Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes
Top JEL
/ C: Mathematical and Quantitative Methods
/ / C5: Econometric Modeling
/ / / C53: Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
This JEL code is mentioned in the following RePEc Biblio entries:
2024
- Moffo, Ahmadou Mustapha Fonton, 2024, "A machine learning approach in stress testing US bank holding companies," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, volume 95, issue PC, DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103476.
- Ben Hamida, Amal & de Peretti, Christian & Belkacem, Lotfi, 2024, "The link between abnormal numbers and price movements of financial securities: How does Benford’s law predict stock returns?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, volume 95, issue PC, DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103517.
- Yang, Ni & Fernandez-Perez, Adrian & Indriawan, Ivan, 2024, "Spillover between investor sentiment and volatility: The role of social media," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, volume 96, issue PA, DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103643.
- Zhang, Xiaoyun & Guo, Qiang, 2024, "How useful are energy-related uncertainty for oil price volatility forecasting?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 60, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2023.104953.
- Baruník, Jozef & Hanus, Luboš, 2024, "Fan charts in era of big data and learning," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 61, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2024.105003.
- Liu, Dinggao & Chen, Kaijie & Cai, Yi & Tang, Zhenpeng, 2024, "Interpretable EU ETS Phase 4 prices forecasting based on deep generative data augmentation approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 61, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2024.105038.
- Tang, Wenjin & Bu, Hui & Zuo, Yuan & Wu, Junjie, 2024, "Unlocking the power of the topic content in news headlines: BERTopic for predicting Chinese corporate bond defaults," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 62, issue PA, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2024.105062.
- Kirtac, Kemal & Germano, Guido, 2024, "Sentiment trading with large language models," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 62, issue PB, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2024.105227.
- Li, Wei & Zhang, Junchao & Cao, Xiangye & Han, Wei, 2024, "Is the prediction of precious metal market volatility influenced by internet searches regarding uncertainty?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 62, issue PB, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2024.105269.
- Ma, Feng & Lyu, Zhichong & Li, Haibo, 2024, "Can ChatGPT predict Chinese equity premiums?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 65, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2024.105631.
- Chen, Zhenlong & Liu, Junjie & Hao, Xiaozhen, 2024, "Can the ‘good-bad’ volatility and the leverage effect improve the prediction of cryptocurrency volatility?—Evidence from SHARV-MGJR model," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 67, issue PA, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2024.105757.
- Salisu, Afees A. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula E. & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2024, "Energy market uncertainties and exchange rate volatility: A GARCH-MIDAS approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 67, issue PB, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2024.105847.
- Göncü, Ahmet & Kuzubaş, Tolga U. & Saltoğlu, Burak, 2024, "Predicting oil prices: A comparative analysis of machine learning and image recognition algorithms for trend prediction," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 67, issue PB, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2024.105874.
- Nguyen, Hien Thi & Nguyen, Hoang & Tran, Minh-Ngoc, 2024, "Deep learning enhanced volatility modeling with covariates," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 69, issue PB, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2024.106145.
- Liu, Wei-han & Xu, Xingfu, 2024, "Forecasting crude oil price: A deep forest ensemble approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 69, issue PB, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2024.106153.
- Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian & Polat, Onur, 2024, "Forecasting U.S. recessions using over 150 years of data: Stock-market moments versus oil-market moments," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 69, issue PB, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2024.106179.
- Wang, Qi & Zhang, Li, 2024, "Are natural resource volatility curses or blessings for economic performance? Stories of resource-rich regions," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 69, issue PB, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2024.106240.
- Kim, Hyeongwoo & Son, Jisoo, 2024, "What charge-off rates are predictable by macroeconomic latent factors?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, volume 74, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jfs.2024.101301.
- Biswas, Rita & Loungani, Prakash & Liang, Zhongwen & Michaelides, Michael, 2024, "Linkages between financial and macroeconomic indicators in emerging markets and developing economies," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, volume 62, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.gfj.2024.101007.
- Steinmetz, Julia & Jentsch, Carsten, 2024, "Bootstrap consistency for the Mack bootstrap," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, volume 115, issue C, pages 83-121, DOI: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2024.01.001.
- Fava, Santino Del & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian & Rognone, Lavinia, 2024, "Forecasting international financial stress: The role of climate risks," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, volume 92, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.101975.
- Huang, Zih-Chun & Sangiorgi, Ivan & Urquhart, Andrew, 2024, "Forecasting Bitcoin volatility using machine learning techniques," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, volume 97, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102064.
- Alexandridis, Antonios K. & Panopoulou, Ekaterini & Souropanis, Ioannis, 2024, "Forecasting exchange rate volatility: An amalgamation approach," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, volume 97, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102067.
- Iseringhausen, Martin, 2024, "A time-varying skewness model for Growth-at-Risk," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 40, issue 1, pages 229-246, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2023.02.006.
- Segnon, Mawuli & Gupta, Rangan & Wilfling, Bernd, 2024, "Forecasting stock market volatility with regime-switching GARCH-MIDAS: The role of geopolitical risks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 40, issue 1, pages 29-43, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2022.11.007.
- Athanasopoulos, George & Hyndman, Rob J. & Kourentzes, Nikolaos & Panagiotelis, Anastasios, 2024, "Forecast reconciliation: A review," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 40, issue 2, pages 430-456, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2023.10.010.
- Koop, Gary & McIntyre, Stuart & Mitchell, James & Poon, Aubrey, 2024, "Using stochastic hierarchical aggregation constraints to nowcast regional economic aggregates," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 40, issue 2, pages 626-640, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2022.04.002.
- Cascaldi-Garcia, Danilo & Ferreira, Thiago R.T. & Giannone, Domenico & Modugno, Michele, 2024, "Back to the present: Learning about the euro area through a now-casting model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 40, issue 2, pages 661-686, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2023.04.005.
- Poutré, Cédric & Dionne, Georges & Yergeau, Gabriel, 2024, "The profitability of lead–lag arbitrage at high frequency," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 40, issue 3, pages 1002-1021, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2023.09.001.
- Gonzalo, Jesús & Pitarakis, Jean-Yves, 2024, "Out-of-sample predictability in predictive regressions with many predictor candidates," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 40, issue 3, pages 1166-1178, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2023.10.005.
- Joseph, Andreas & Potjagailo, Galina & Chakraborty, Chiranjit & Kapetanios, George, 2024, "Forecasting UK inflation bottom up," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 40, issue 4, pages 1521-1538, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2024.01.001.
- Berrisch, Jonathan & Ziel, Florian, 2024, "Multivariate probabilistic CRPS learning with an application to day-ahead electricity prices," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 40, issue 4, pages 1568-1586, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2024.01.005.
- Gibbs, Christopher G. & Vasnev, Andrey L., 2024, "Conditionally optimal weights and forward-looking approaches to combining forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 40, issue 4, pages 1734-1751, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2024.03.002.
- Fritzsch, Simon & Timphus, Maike & Weiß, Gregor, 2024, "Marginals versus copulas: Which account for more model risk in multivariate risk forecasting?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 158, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2023.107035.
- Cheng, Hang & Guo, Hui & Shi, Yongdong, 2024, "Multifactor conditional equity premium model: Evidence from China's stock market," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 161, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107117.
- Cao, Cong, 2024, "How to better predict the effect of urban traffic and weather on air pollution? Norwegian evidence from machine learning approaches," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 221, issue C, pages 544-569, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2024.03.018.
- Zhang, Li & Liang, Chao & Huynh, Luu Duc Toan & Wang, Lu & Damette, Olivier, 2024, "Measuring the impact of climate risk on renewable energy stock volatility: A case study of G20 economies," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 223, issue C, pages 168-184, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2024.05.005.
- Clements, Michael P., 2024, "Survey expectations and adjustments for multiple testing," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 224, issue C, pages 338-354, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2024.06.009.
- Qiu, Yajie & Deschamps, Bruno & Liu, Xiaoquan, 2024, "Uncertainty and macroeconomic forecasts: Evidence from survey data," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 224, issue C, pages 463-480, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2024.06.008.
- Xiao, Wei, 2024, "Initial anchors and limited information in learning-to-forecast experiments," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 225, issue C, pages 192-227, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2024.06.038.
- Chen, Heng & Li, Xu & Pei, Guangyu & Xin, Qian, 2024, "Heterogeneous overreaction in expectation formation: Evidence and theory," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, volume 218, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jet.2024.105839.
- Hsu, Po-Hsuan & Taylor, Mark P. & Wang, Zigan & Li, Yan, 2024, "The out-of-sample performance of carry trades," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 143, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2024.103042.
- Hecq, Alain & Issler, João Victor & Voisin, Elisa, 2024, "A short term credibility index for central banks under inflation targeting: An application to Brazil," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 143, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2024.103057.
- Bei, Zeyun & Lin, Juan & Zhou, Yinggang, 2024, "No safe haven, only diversification and contagion — Intraday evidence around the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 143, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2024.103069.
- Conlon, Thomas & Cotter, John & Eyiah-Donkor, Emmanuel, 2024, "Forecasting the price of oil: A cautionary note," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, volume 33, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jcomm.2023.100378.
- Lazar, Emese & Pan, Jingqi & Wang, Shixuan, 2024, "On the estimation of Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall at extreme levels," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, volume 34, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jcomm.2024.100391.
- Ma, Tian & Li, Ganghui & Zhang, Huajing, 2024, "Stock return predictability using economic narrative: Evidence from energy sectors," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, volume 35, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jcomm.2024.100418.
- Li, Kaixin & Zhang, Zhikai & Wang, Yudong & Zhang, Yaojie, 2024, "Forecasting crude oil returns with oil-related industry ESG indices," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, volume 36, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jcomm.2024.100444.
- Cavicchioli, Maddalena, 2024, "A matrix unified framework for deriving various impulse responses in Markov switching VAR: Evidence from oil and gas markets," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, volume 29, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeca.2023.e00349.
- Alves, Renan Santos & Palma, Andreza A., 2024, "The effectiveness of fiscal policy in Brazil through the MIDAS Lens," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, volume 46, issue 1, pages 113-128, DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2023.10.004.
- Sen, Abhibasu & Dutta Choudhury, Karabi, 2024, "Forecasting the Crude Oil prices for last four decades using deep learning approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, volume 88, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2023.104438.
- Simionescu, Mihaela & Cifuentes-Faura, Javier, 2024, "The digital economy and energy poverty in Central and Eastern Europe," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, volume 91, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2024.101841.
- Bolivar, Osmar, 2024, "GDP nowcasting: A machine learning and remote sensing data-based approach for Bolivia," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, volume 5, issue 3, DOI: 10.1016/j.latcb.2024.100126.
- Durand, Luigi & Fornero, Jorge Alberto, 2024, "Estimating the output gap in times of COVID-19," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, volume 5, issue 4, DOI: 10.1016/j.latcb.2024.100129.
- Han, Zhao, 2024, "Asymmetric information and misaligned inflation expectations," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 143, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2023.10.010.
- Gazzani, Andrea & Venditti, Fabrizio & Veronese, Giovanni, 2024, "Oil price shocks in real time," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 144, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2023.12.005.
- López-Salido, David & Loria, Francesca, 2024, "Inflation at risk," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 145, issue S, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2024.103570.
- Tong, Bin & Diao, Xundi & Li, Xiaoping, 2024, "Forecasting VaRs via hybrid EVT with normal and non-normal filters: A comparative analysis from the Chinese stock market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, volume 83, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102271.
- Pan, Ging-Ginq & Shiu, Yung-Ming & Wu, Tu-Cheng, 2024, "Extrapolation and option-implied kurtosis in volatility forecasting," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, volume 84, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102286.
- Lu, Yao & Zhao, Zhihui & Tian, Yuan & Zhan, Minghua, 2024, "How does the economic structure break change the forecast effect of money and credit on output? Evidence based on machine learning algorithms," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, volume 84, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102325.
- Huang, Xiaowei & He, Chenyu & Zhang, Man, 2024, "Economic policy uncertainty and capital flows' tail risk in China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, volume 85, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102370.
- Huynh, Tran & Uebelmesser, Silke, 2024, "Early warning models for systemic banking crises: Can political indicators improve prediction?," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, volume 81, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2023.102484.
- Christensen, Peter & Francisco, Paul & Myers, Erica & Shao, Hansen & Souza, Mateus, 2024, "Energy efficiency can deliver for climate policy: Evidence from machine learning-based targeting," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, volume 234, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2024.105098.
- Salisu, Afees A. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula E. & Gupta, Rangan & Bouri, Elie, 2024, "Energy-related uncertainty and international stock market volatility," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, volume 95, issue C, pages 280-293, DOI: 10.1016/j.qref.2024.04.005.
- Wang, Lu & Wang, Xing & Liang, Chao, 2024, "Natural gas volatility prediction via a novel combination of GARCH-MIDAS and one-class SVM," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, volume 98, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.qref.2024.101927.
- du Plessis, Emile, 2024, "Reading between the lines: Quantitative text analysis of banking crises," Research in Economics, Elsevier, volume 78, issue 4, DOI: 10.1016/j.rie.2024.101000.
- Mati, Sagiru & Baita, Abubakar Jamilu & Ismael, Goran Yousif & Abdullahi, Salisu Garba & Samour, Ahmed & Ozsahin, Dilber Uzun, 2024, "Enhancing CO2 emissions prediction in Africa: A novel approach integrating enviroeconomic factors and nature-inspired neural network in the presence of unit root," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, volume 237, issue PA, DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2024.121561.
- Westphal, Igor, 2024, "The effects of reducing renewable power intermittency through portfolio diversification," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, volume 197, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2024.114415.
- Manner, Hans & Rodríguez, Gabriel & Stöckler, Florian, 2024, "A changepoint analysis of exchange rate and commodity price risks for Latin American stock markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, volume 89, issue PA, pages 1385-1403, DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2023.08.021.
- Guo, Yanfeng & Zhao, Huanyu, 2024, "Volatility spillovers between oil and coal prices and its implications for energy portfolio management in China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, volume 89, issue PB, pages 446-457, DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2023.10.004.
- Luo, Tao & Sun, Huaping & Zhang, Lixia & Bai, Jiancheng, 2024, "Do the dynamics of macroeconomic attention drive the yen/dollar exchange market volatility?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, volume 89, issue PB, pages 597-611, DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2023.09.012.
- Li, Xiaodan & Gong, Xue & Ge, Futing & Huang, Jingjing, 2024, "Forecasting stock volatility using pseudo-out-of-sample information," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, volume 90, issue C, pages 123-135, DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2023.11.014.
- Li, Zhao-Chen & Xie, Chi & Wang, Gang-Jin & Zhu, You & Zeng, Zhi-Jian & Gong, Jue, 2024, "Forecasting global stock market volatilities: A shrinkage heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR) model with a large cross-market predictor set," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, volume 93, issue PB, pages 673-711, DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2024.05.008.
- Peng, Lijuan & Liang, Chao & Yang, Baoying & Wang, Lu, 2024, "Crude oil volatility forecasting: Insights from a novel time-varying parameter GARCH-MIDAS model," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, volume 94, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2024.103413.
- Patra, Saswat, 2024, "An empirical analysis of the volume-volatility nexus in crude oil markets under structural breaks: Implications for forecasting," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, volume 94, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2024.103434.
- He, Mengxi & Wen, Danyan & Xing, Lu & Zhang, Yaojie, 2024, "Industry volatility concentration and the predictability of aggregate stock market volatility," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, volume 95, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2024.103488.
- Zhang, Xincheng & Wu, Shaojiang, 2024, "Natural resources and sustainable development: Evidence from the dynamic correlation between crude oil and gold market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, volume 96, issue PB, DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2024.103665.
- Semenov, Andrei, 2024, "Overreaction and underreaction to new information and the directional forecast of exchange rates," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, volume 96, issue PC, DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2024.103676.
- Li, Zhe & Liang, Shuguang & Pan, Xianyou & Pang, Meng, 2024, "Credit risk prediction based on loan profit: Evidence from Chinese SMEs," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, volume 67, issue PA, DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2023.102155.
- Yousaf, Imran & Arfaoui, Nadia & Gubareva, Mariya, 2024, "Spillovers and hedging effectiveness between oil and US equity sectors: Evidence from the COVID pre- and post-vaccination phases," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, volume 69, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2023.102204.
- Pan, Zhigang & Bai, Zhihong & Xing, Xiaochao & Wang, Zhufeng, 2024, "US inflation and global commodity prices: Asymmetric interdependence," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, volume 69, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2024.102245.
- Lohmann, Christian & Ohliger, Thorsten, 2024, "Predicting the cure of a defaulted company: Nonlinear relationships between loan-related variables and the cure probability," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, volume 70, issue PB, DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2024.102395.
- Bonato, Matteo & Cepni, Oguzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2024, "Financial stress and realized volatility: The case of agricultural commodities," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, volume 71, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2024.102442.
- Belhadj, Besma, 2024, "Fuzzy multiple regressions for Cross-Section and Panel data," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, volume 91, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2023.101761.
- Citterio, Alberto, 2024, "Bank failure prediction models: Review and outlook," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, volume 92, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.101818.
- Battiston, Pietro & Gamba, Simona & Santoro, Alessandro, 2024, "Machine learning and the optimization of prediction-based policies," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, volume 199, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2023.123080.
- Ghosh, Indranil & Jana, Rabin K., 2024, "Clean energy stock price forecasting and response to macroeconomic variables: A novel framework using Facebook's Prophet, NeuralProphet and explainable AI," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, volume 200, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2023.123148.
- Yang, Jinyu & Dong, Dayong & Liang, Chao, 2024, "Climate policy uncertainty and the U.S. economic cycle," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, volume 202, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123344.
- Zhang, Xincheng, 2024, "Country-level energy-related uncertainties and stock market returns: Insights from the U.S. and China," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, volume 204, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123437.
- Saâdaoui, Foued & Rabbouch, Hana, 2024, "Financial forecasting improvement with LSTM-ARFIMA hybrid models and non-Gaussian distributions," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, volume 206, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123539.
- Lamperti, Fabio, 2024, "Unlocking machine learning for social sciences: The case for identifying Industry 4.0 adoption across business restructuring events," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, volume 207, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123627.
- Alexandros Botsis & Christoph Gortz & Plutarchos Sakellaris, 2024, "Quantifying Qualitative Survey Data with Panel Data Structure," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2024-21, Mar.
- Matthew Agarwala & Matt Burke & Jennifer Doherty-Bigara & Patrycja Klusak & Kamiar Mohaddes, 2024, "Climate Change and Sovereign Risk: A Regional Analysis for the Caribbean," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2024-26, Apr.
- Roshen Fernando, 2024, "Global Economic Impacts of Physical Climate Risks on Agriculture and Energy," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2024-37, Jun.
- Roshen Fernando, 2024, "Impact of Physical Climate Risks on Financial Assets," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2024-38, Jun.
- Roshen Fernando & Warwick McKibbin, 2024, "Global Economic Impacts of Antimicrobial Resistance," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2024-41, Jun.
- Leo Krippner, 2024, "Applications of Vector Autoregressions in Their Scalar Autoregressive Component Form," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2024-71, Dec.
- Matt Burke & Matthew Agarwala & Patrycja Klusak & Kamiar Mohaddes, 2024, "Climate Policy and Sovereign Debt: The Impact of Transition Scenarios on Sovereign Creditworthiness," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2024-73, Dec.
- Kirtac, Kemal & Germano, Guido, 2024, "Sentiment trading with large language models," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 122592, Apr.
- Kumar, Utkarsh & Ahmad, Wasim & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2024, "Bayesian Markov switching model for BRICS currencies' exchange rates," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 122816, Sep.
- Simionescu, Mihaela & Schneider, Nicolas & Gavurova, Beata, 2024, "A Bayesian vector-autoregressive application with time-varying parameters on the monetary shocks-production network nexus," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 125580, Sep.
- Massimiliano Marcellino & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2024, "Bayesian nonparametric methods for macroeconomic forecasting," Chapters, Edward Elgar Publishing, chapter 5, in: Michael P. Clements & Ana Beatriz Galvão, "Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Macroeconomic Forecasting".
- Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia & Matteo Luciani & Michele Modugno, 2024, "Lessons from nowcasting GDP across the world," Chapters, Edward Elgar Publishing, chapter 8, in: Michael P. Clements & Ana Beatriz Galvão, "Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Macroeconomic Forecasting".
- Christine Amsler & Robert James & Artem Prokhorov & Peter Schmidt, 2024, "Improving Predictions of Technical Inefficiency," Advances in Econometrics, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, "Essays in Honor of Subal Kumbhakar", DOI: 10.1108/S0731-905320240000046011.
- Kwame Asiam Addey & John Baptist D. Jatoe, 2024, "Implications of crop yield distributions for multiperil crop insurance rating in Ghana: a lasso model application," Agricultural Finance Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, volume 84, issue 2/3, pages 246-265, August, DOI: 10.1108/AFR-05-2024-0078.
- Siddhartha S. Bora & Ani L. Katchova, 2024, "Multi-step commodity forecasts using deep learning," Agricultural Finance Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, volume 84, issue 4/5, pages 269-296, September, DOI: 10.1108/AFR-08-2023-0105.
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- Vighneswara Swamy & Vijayakumar Narayanamurthy, 2024, "Are private banks more sensitive to changes in reserve requirements? Evidence from an emerging market," Journal of Economics, Finance and Administrative Science, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, volume 30, issue 59, pages 79-115, December, DOI: 10.1108/JEFAS-11-2022-0261.
- Souhir Amri Amamou & Mouna Ben Daoud & Saoussen Aguir Bargaoui, 2024, "Green bonds forecasting: evidence from pre-crisis, Covid-19 and Russian–Ukrainian crisis frameworks," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, volume 52, issue 1, pages 179-193, June, DOI: 10.1108/JES-01-2024-0061.
- Dinci J. Penzin & Kazeem O. Isah & Afees A. Salisu, 2024, "Climate change-stock return volatility nexus in advanced economies: the role of technology shocks," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, volume 52, issue 1, pages 119-135, May, DOI: 10.1108/JES-08-2023-0419.
- Luan Thanh Le & Trang Xuan-Thi-Thu, 2024, "Discovering supply chain operation towards sustainability using machine learning and DES techniques: a case study in Vietnam seafood," Maritime Business Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, volume 9, issue 3, pages 243-262, July, DOI: 10.1108/MABR-10-2023-0074.
- A. Szepeluk & D. Tomczyszyn & A. Cyburt, 2024, "Application of Technical Analysis Stochastic Oscillator for Early Detection of Epidemiological Changes Based on Covid-19 Data in Poland," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, volume 0, issue 3, pages 1069-1082.
- Oksana Kiforenko & Iwona Szczepaniak, 2024, "The War’s Impact on Ukraine’s Agricultural Production – Projections Vs. Real Data," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, volume 0, issue 3, pages 241-269.
- Bartosz Przysucha & Piotr Bednarczuk & Wlodzimierz Martyniuk & Ewa Golec & Michal Jasienski & Damian Pliszczuk, 2024, "Monte Carlo Simulation as a Demand Forecasting Tool," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, volume 0, issue Special A, pages 103-113.
- Pawel Rymarczyk & Cezary Figura & Lukasz Wojciechowski & Kamila Cwik & Piotr Stalinski, 2024, "Evaluating the Effectiveness of Advertising Campaigns in the Fast-Food Industry Using an Analytical Engine," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, volume 0, issue Special A, pages 126-136.
- Pawel Olszewski & Leszek Gil & Natalia Rak & Tomasz Wolowiec & Michal Jasienski, 2024, "Construction of Regression Models Predicting Lead Times and Classification Models," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, volume 0, issue Special A, pages 179-189.
- Krzysztof Krol & Pawel Kaleta & Dariusz Kasperek & Sylwia Skrzypek-Ahmed & Emanuel Jozefacki & Agnieszka Chmielowska-Marmucka, 2024, "Analysis System for Logistics and Production Processes: A Methodological Approach to Signal Analysis for Forecasting," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, volume 0, issue Special A, pages 59-71.
- Tomasz Smutek & Jan Sikora & Sylwester Bogacki & Marek Rutkowski & Dariusz Wozniak, 2024, "Use of Autoencoder and One-Hot Encoding for Customer Segmentation," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, volume 0, issue Special A, pages 72-82.
- Boris Fisera & Filip Ostrihon, 2024, "Constructing Prediction Regions for Exchange Rate Path Forecasts: The Potential of Calibration," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, volume 74, issue 4, pages 432-472, October.
- Jiri Kukacka & Erik Zila, 2024, "Wealth, Cost, and Misperception: Empirical Estimation of Three Interaction Channels in a Financial-Macroeconomic Agent-Based Model," Working Papers IES, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, number 2024/22, May, revised May 2024.
- Andrea Bastianin & Elisabetta Mirto & Yan Qin & Luca Rossini, 2024, "What drives the European carbon market? Macroeconomic factors and forecasts," Working Papers, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, number 2024.02, Feb.
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- Todd E. Clark & Gergely Ganics & Elmar Mertens, 2024, "Constructing Fan Charts from the Ragged Edge of SPF Forecasts," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, number 22-36R, Aug, DOI: 10.26509/frbc-wp-202236r.
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- Jesus Cañas & Aparna Jayashankar & Emily Kerr & Diego Morales-Burnett, 2024, "Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey: Survey Methodology, Performance and Forecast Accuracy," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 2402, Mar, DOI: 10.24149/wp2402.
- Mohammad R. Jahan-Parvar & Charles Knipp & Pawel J. Szerszen, 2024, "Trend-Cycle Decomposition and Forecasting Using Bayesian Multivariate Unobserved Components," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2024-100, Dec, DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2024.100.
- Miguel Faria-e-Castro & Fernando Leibovici, 2024, "Artificial Intelligence and Inflation Forecasts," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, volume 106, issue 12, pages 1-14, November, DOI: 10.20955/r.2024.12.
- Sergey V. Arzhenovskiy, 2024, "Forecasting GDP Dynamics Based on the Bank of Russia’s Enterprise Monitoring Data," Finansovyj žhurnal — Financial Journal, Financial Research Institute, Moscow 125375, Russia, issue 1, pages 31-44, February, DOI: 10.31107/2075-1990-2024-1-31-44.
- Ștefan Rusu & Marcel Ioan Boloș & Marius Leordeanu, 2024, "Comparative analysis of regression models for stock price prediction: Linear, support vector, polynomial, and LASSO," Journal of Financial Studies, Institute of Financial Studies, volume 9, issue 17, pages 143-156, November, DOI: 10.55654/JFS.2024.9.17.09.
- Konstantinos Kofidis & Cătălina Lucia Cocianu, 2024, "Comparative analysis of RF, SVR with Gaussian kernel and LSTM for predicting loan defaults," Journal of Financial Studies, Institute of Financial Studies, volume 9, issue 17, pages 91-106, November, DOI: 10.55654/JFS.2024.9.17.06.
- Vera Barinova & Margarita Gvozdeva & Stepan Zemtsov, 2024, "Small and medium-sized enterprises in Russia in the context of sanctions," Published Papers, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, number ppaper-2024-1330, revised 2024.
- Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Christian Pierdzioch & Onur Polat, 2024, "Climate Risks and Real Gold Returns over 750 Years," Forecasting, MDPI, volume 6, issue 4, pages 1-16, October.
- Prodosh Eugene Simlai, 2024, "Risk Characterization of Firms with ESG Attributes Using a Supervised Machine Learning Method," JRFM, MDPI, volume 17, issue 5, pages 1-9, May.
- Dean Fantazzini, 2024, "Adaptive Conformal Inference for Computing Market Risk Measures: An Analysis with Four Thousand Crypto-Assets," JRFM, MDPI, volume 17, issue 6, pages 1-44, June.
- Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024, "Multi-Task Forecasting of the Realized Volatilities of Agricultural Commodity Prices," Mathematics, MDPI, volume 12, issue 18, pages 1-26, September.
- Muhammad Akmal Farouqi & Gigih Fitrianto, 2024, "Systemic Effects on Intersectoral Linkages: Framework and Analysis," Gadjah Mada Economics Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Gadjah Mada, number 202403001, Mar.
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[Prévisions de densité de l'inflation : une approche par forêt de régressions quantile]," Working Papers, HAL, number hal-05329662, Jun. - Kreye, Tom Jannik & Sibbertsen, Philipp, 2024, "Testing for a Forecast Accuracy Breakdown under Long Memory," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP), Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät, number dp-729, Nov.
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- Erwis Melchor Pérez & Moisés Emmanuel Ramírez Guzmán & Araceli Hernández Jiménez & Agustín Santiago Alvarado, 2024, "Predicción del riesgo crediticio a microfinanciera usando aprendizaje computacional," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, volume 19, issue 4, pages 1-16, Octubre -.
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- Fiaschi, Davide & Tealdi, Cristina, 2024, "Let's Roll Back! The Challenging Task of Regulating Temporary Contracts," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 16777, Jan.
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- TORI Athina & GJECI Ardit & KUFO Andromahi, 2024, "Emerging from the Storm: Forecasting Bank Loan Quality in the Aftermath of COVID-19," European Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies, Bucharest Economic Academy, issue 01, March.
- Ali Mehrabani & Shahnaz Parsaeian & Aman Ullah, 2024, "Shrinkage Estimation and Forecasting in Dynamic Regression Models under Structural Instability," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, number 202410, Aug.
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- Isaac K. Ofori & Camara K. Obeng & Simplice A. Asongu, 2024, "What Really Drives Economic Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa? Evidence from the Lasso Regularization and Inferential Techniques," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), volume 15, issue 1, pages 144-179, March, DOI: 10.1007/s13132-022-01055-1.
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- Filip Lubinski, 2024, "Book review. J. Doyne Farmer, Making Sense of Chaos. A Better Economics for a Better World, Penguin (2024), pp. 364," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, volume 34, issue 4, pages 1013-1017, December, DOI: 10.1007/s00191-024-00876-4.
- Agnieszka Orwat-Acedańska, 2024, "Accuracy of small area mortality prediction methods: evidence from Poland," Journal of Population Research, Springer, volume 41, issue 1, pages 1-20, March, DOI: 10.1007/s12546-023-09326-7.
- Gavin Ooft & Sailesh Bhaghoe & Philip Hans Franses, 2024, "Forecasting Annual Inflation Using Weekly Money Supply," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), volume 22, issue 1, pages 25-43, March, DOI: 10.1007/s40953-023-00376-5.
- Kristian Jönsson, 2024, "Neighbor Weighting and Distance Metrics in Nearest Neighbor Nowcasting of Swedish GDP," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), volume 22, issue 4, pages 1077-1089, December, DOI: 10.1007/s40953-024-00400-2.
- Seyed Farshid Ghorashi & Maziyar Bahri & Atousa Goodarzi, 2024, "Developing and comparing machine learning approaches for predicting insurance penetration rates based on each country," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, volume 17, issue 1, pages 1-29, December, DOI: 10.1007/s12076-024-00387-7.
- Claudia Ceci & Michele Bufalo & Giuseppe Orlando, 2024, "Modelling the industrial production of electric and gas utilities through the $$CIR^3$$ C I R 3 model," Mathematics and Financial Economics, Springer, number 1, March, DOI: 10.1007/s11579-023-00350-y.
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- Afees Salisu & Sulaiman Salisu & Subair Salisu, 2024, "A news-based economic policy uncertainty index for Nigeria," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, volume 58, issue 5, pages 4987-5002, October, DOI: 10.1007/s11135-024-01886-x.
- Chris Reimann, 2024, "Predicting financial crises: an evaluation of machine learning algorithms and model explainability for early warning systems," Review of Evolutionary Political Economy, Springer, volume 5, issue 1, pages 51-83, June, DOI: 10.1007/s43253-024-00114-4.
- Diego Fresoli, 2024, "Spanish GDP short-term point and density forecasting using a mixed-frequency dynamic factor model," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, volume 15, issue 2, pages 145-177, June, DOI: 10.1007/s13209-024-00297-3.
- Philipp Wegmueller & Christian Glocker, 2024, "Capturing Swiss economic confidence," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, Springer;Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics, volume 160, issue 1, pages 1-17, December, DOI: 10.1186/s41937-024-00120-7.
- Riadh Trabelsi, 2024, "Sources of macroeconomic fluctuations in Tunisia: a structural VAR approach," SN Business & Economics, Springer, volume 4, issue 10, pages 1-28, October, DOI: 10.1007/s43546-024-00717-3.
- M’bakob Gilles Brice & Mandeng ma Ntamack Jules, 2024, "Influence of psychological exchange rates (PER) on forex price formation: theory, empirical, and experimental evidence," SN Business & Economics, Springer, volume 4, issue 9, pages 1-53, September, DOI: 10.1007/s43546-024-00698-3.
- Kazım Berk Küçüklerli & Veysel Ulusoy, 2024, "Sentiment-Driven Exchange Rate Forecasting: Integrating Twitter Analysis with Economic Indicators," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, volume 14, issue 3, pages 1-4.
- Pål Boug & Håvard Hungnes & Takamitsu Kurita, 2024, "Getting Back on Track. Forecasting After Extreme Observations," Discussion Papers, Statistics Norway, Research Department, number 1018, Dec.
- Joana Katina & Joana Katina & Igor Katin & Igor Katin & Vera Komarova, 2024, "Cryptocurrency price forecasting: a comparative analysis of autoregressive and recurrent neural network models," Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Issues, VsI Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Center, volume 11, issue 4, pages 425-436, June, DOI: 10.9770/jesi.2024.11.4(26).
- Givi Bedianashvili & Murman Tsartsidze & Nino Mikeladze & Zviad Gabroshvili, 2024, "Human capital and economic growth under modern globalization," Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Issues, VsI Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Center, volume 12, issue 1, pages 268-289, September, DOI: 10.9770/jesi.2024.12.1(19).
- Yasin Mimir & Lorenzo Ricci, 2024, "Financial imbalances and macroeconomic tail risks: A structural regime-switching investigation," Working Papers, European Stability Mechanism, number 64, Nov, revised 15 Nov 2024.
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