Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

1. Forecasting

2014

• Nicholas-James Clavet & Jean-Yves Duclos & Bernard Fortin & Steeve Marchand, 2014, "Reforming Old Age Security: Effects and Alternatives," Cahiers de recherche, Chaire de recherche Industrielle Alliance sur les enjeux économiques des changements démographiques, number 1410.
• Georges Dionne & Maria Pacurar & Xiaozhou Zhou, 2014, "Liquidity-adjusted Intraday Value at Risk modeling and Risk Management: an Application to Data from Deutsche Börse," Cahiers de recherche, CIRPEE, number 1414.
• Atrianfar, Hamed & ,, 2014, "Evaluation of the Performance of Combined Methods in Real-Time Forecasting of Inflation in Iran," Journal of Monetary and Banking Research (فصلنامه پژوهش‌های پولی-بانکی), Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, volume 6, issue 18, pages 23-57, March.
• Hematy, Maryam & Boostani, Reza, 2014, "Constructing a New Monetary Condition Index for Iran," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, volume 9, issue 3, pages 119-147, April.
• Andrea Bastianin & Matteo Manera, 2020, "A test of time reversibility based on Lmoments with an application to the business cycles of the G7 economies," Working Papers, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, number 445, Jun, revised Jun 2020.
• Junji Ueda & Yasutaka Yoneta & Isao Ota, 2014, "A Quantitative Analysis for Required Adjustments for Japan fs Fiscal Policy," Public Policy Review, Policy Research Institute, Ministry of Finance Japan, volume 10, issue 3, pages 577-604, October.
• Rémy Charleroy & Michael A. Stemmer, 2014, "An Emerging Market Financial Conditions Index: A VAR Approach," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, number 14068, Oct.
• Souhaib Ben Taieb & Rob J Hyndman, 2014, "Boosting multi-step autoregressive forecasts," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, number 13/14.
• Rob J Hyndman & Alan Lee & Earo Wang, 2014, "Fast computation of reconciled forecasts for hierarchical and grouped time series," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, number 17/14.
• Julia Polak & Maxwell L. King & Xibin Zhang, 2014, "A Model Validation Procedure," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, number 21/14.
• George Athanasopoulos & D.S. Poskitt & Farshid Vahid & Wenying Yao, 2014, "Determination of long-run and short-run dynamics in EC-VARMA models via canonical correlations," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, number 22/14.
• M. Atikur Rahman Khan & D.S. Poskitt, 2014, "On The Theory and Practice of Singular Spectrum Analysis Forecasting," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, number 3/14.
• David de Antonio Liedo, 2014, "Nowcasting Belgium," Working Paper Research, National Bank of Belgium, number 256, Apr.
• Victor Bystrov, 2014, "A factor-augmented model of markup on mortgage loans in Poland," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, volume 45, issue 6, pages 491-512.
• Marcin Kolasa & Michał Rubaszek, 2014, "How frequently should we re-estimate DSGE models?," NBP Working Papers, Narodowy Bank Polski, number 194.
• Anna Orlik & Laura Veldkamp, 2014, "Understanding Uncertainty Shocks and the Role of Black Swans," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 20445, Aug.
• Marco Del Negro & Raiden B. Hasegawa & Frank Schorfheide, 2014, "Dynamic Prediction Pools: An Investigation of Financial Frictions and Forecasting Performance," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 20575, Oct.
• Mihaela Simionescu, 2014, "M1 and M2 indicators- new proposed measures for the global accuracy of forecast intervals," Computational Methods in Social Sciences (CMSS), "Nicolae Titulescu" University of Bucharest, Faculty of Economic Sciences, volume 2, issue 1, pages 54-59, June.
• Thomas Chalaux & Cyrille Schwellnus, 2014, "Short-term Indicator Models for Quarterly GDP Growth in the BRIICS: A Small-scale Bridge Model Approach," OECD Economics Department Working Papers, OECD Publishing, number 1109, Mar, DOI: 10.1787/5jz5t6b77rg4-en.
• Troy D. Matheson, 2014, "New indicators for tracking growth in real time," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, volume 2013, issue 2, pages 51-71, DOI: 10.1787/jbcma-2013-5jz741mh2czs.
• Tomáš Slacík & Katharina Steiner & Julia Wörz, 2014, "Can Trade Partners Help Better FORCEE the Future? Impact of Trade Linkages on Economic Growth Forecasts in Selected CESEE Countries," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 1, pages 36-56.
• Bradea Ioana & Sabau-Popa Claudia-Diana & Bolos Marcel Ioan, 2014, "Using Dashboards In Business Analysis," Annals of Faculty of Economics, University of Oradea, Faculty of Economics, volume 1, issue 1, pages 851-856, July.
• Drago Pupavac, 2014, "Econometric Model For Forecasting Traffic On Croatian Motorways," Interdisciplinary Management Research, Josip Juraj Strossmayer University of Osijek, Faculty of Economics, Croatia, volume 10, pages 891-900.
• Shu-Ling Chen & John D. Jackson & Hyeongwoo Kim & Pramesti Resiandini, 2014, "What Drives Commodity Prices?," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, volume 96, issue 5, pages 1455-1468.
• Jennifer Castle & David Hendry & Michael P. Clements, 2014, "Robust Approaches to Forecasting," Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics, number 697, Jan.
• Kevin Sheppard & Wen Xu, 2014, "Factor High-Frequency Based Volatility (HEAVY) Models," Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics, number 710, May.
• Andrew Martinez, 2014, "How Good Are U.S. Government Forecasts of the Federal Debt?," Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics, number 727, Oct.
• Simionescu, Mihaela, 2014, "New Strategies to Improve the Accuracy of Predictions based on Monte Carlo and Bootstrap Simulations: An Application to Bulgarian and Romanian Inflation || Nuevas estrategias para mejorar la exactitud de las predicciones de inflación en Rumanía y Bul," Revista de Métodos Cuantitativos para la Economía y la Empresa = Journal of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, volume 18, issue 1, pages 112-129, December.
• Massimiliano Caporin & Aleksey Kolokolov & Roberto RenoÕ, 2014, "Multi-jumps," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno", number 0185, Sep.
• Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian, 2014, "Real-Time Analysis of Oil Price Risks Using Forecast Scenarios," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, volume 62, issue 1, pages 119-145, April.
• Daniel Felix Ahelegbey & Paolo Giudici, 2014, "Hierarchical Graphical Models, With Application To Systemic Risk," DEM Working Papers Series, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management, number 063, Jan.
• Dean Fantazzini & Mario Maggi, 2014, "Proposed Coal Power Plants and Coal-To-Liquids Plants: Which Ones Survive and Why?," DEM Working Papers Series, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management, number 082, Jul.
• Marco Del Negro & Raiden B. Hasegawa & Frank Schorfheide, 2014, "Dynamic Prediction Pools: An Investigation of Financial Frictions and Forecasting Performance," PIER Working Paper Archive, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, number 14-034, Oct.
• Francis X. Diebold & Minchul Shin, 2014, "Assessing Point Forecast Accuracy by Stochastic Error Distance," PIER Working Paper Archive, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, number 14-038, Nov.
• Tomasz Jasinski & Agnieszka Scianowska, 2014, "Security Assessment and Optimization of Energy Supply," Working Papers, Institute of Economic Research, number 30/2014, Dec, revised Dec 2014.
• Dean Fantazzini, 2014, "Nowcasting and Forecasting the Monthly Food Stamps Data in the US Using Online Search Data," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, volume 9, issue 11, pages 1-27, November, DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0111894.
• Zhu, Ke & Li, Wai Keung, 2014, "A new Pearson-type QMLE for conditionally heteroskedastic models," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 52732, Jan.
• Demiralay, Sercan & Ulusoy, Veysel, 2014, "Value-at-risk Predictions of Precious Metals with Long Memory Volatility Models," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 53229, Jan.
• Beja Jr., Edsel, 2014, "Income growth and happiness: Reassessment of the Easterlin Paradox," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 53360, Feb.
• zhang, zhichao & Xie, Li & lu, xiangyun & zhang, zhuang, 2014, "Determinants of financial distress in u.s. large bank holding companies," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 53545, Jan.
• Ferreira Filipe, Sara & Grammatikos, Theoharry & Michala, Dimitra, 2014, "Forecasting Distress in European SME Portfolios," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 53572, Feb.
• Byrne, Joseph P & Korobilis, Dimitris & Ribeiro, Pinho J, 2014, "Exchange Rate Predictability in a Changing World," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 53684, Feb.
• Korobilis, Dimitris, 2014, "Data-based priors for vector autoregressions with drifting coefficients," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 53772, Jan.
• Caporin, Massimiliano & Fontini, Fulvio, 2014, "The Value of Protecting Venice from the Acqua Alta Phenomenon under Different Local Sea Level Rises," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 53779, Feb.
• Liu, Chu-An & Kuo, Biing-Shen, 2014, "Model Averaging in Predictive Regressions," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 54198, Mar.
• Tsyplakov, Alexander, 2014, "Theoretical guidelines for a partially informed forecast examiner," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 55017, Apr.
• Harin, Alexander, 2014, "General correcting formulae for forecasts," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 55283, Apr.
• Hännikäinen, Jari, 2014, "Multi-step forecasting in the presence of breaks," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 55816, May.
• Franco, Ray John Gabriel & Mapa, Dennis S., 2014, "The Dynamics of Inflation and GDP Growth: A Mixed Frequency Model Approach," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 55858.
• Halkos, George & Kevork, Ilias, 2014, "Διαστήματα Εμπιστοσύνης Για Εκατοστημόρια Σε Στάσιμες Arma Διαδικασίες: Μία Εμπειρική Εφαρμογή Σε Περιβαλλοντικά Δεδομένα
  [Confidence intervals for percentiles in stationary ARMA processes: An application using environmental data]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 56134, May.
• Hännikäinen, Jari, 2014, "Zero lower bound, unconventional monetary policy and indicator properties of interest rate spreads," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 56737, Jun.
• Karapanagiotidis, Paul, 2014, "Dynamic State-Space Models," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 56807, Jun.
• Asongu, Simplice, 2014, "On foreign aid distortions to governance," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 56812, Jan.
• Ledenyov, Dimitri O. & Ledenyov, Viktor O., 2014, "On the winning virtuous strategies for ultra high frequency electronic trading in foreign currencies exchange markets," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 57084, Jul.
• Proietti, Tommaso, 2014, "Exponential Smoothing, Long Memory and Volatility Prediction," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 57230, Jul.
• Caleiro, António, 2014, "De novo acerca da sazonalidade nos nascimentos em Portugal
  [Again on the seasonality of births in Portugal]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 57708, Aug.
• Dragomirescu-Gaina, Catalin & Elia, Leandro & Weber, Anke, 2014, "A fast-forward look at tertiary education attainment in Europe 2020," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 57957, Jun.
• Caporin, Massimiliano & Kolokolov, Aleksey & Renò, Roberto, 2014, "Multi-jumps," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 58175, Aug.
• Ruja, Catalin, 2014, "Macro Stress-Testing Credit Risk in Romanian Banking System," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 58244, Jul.
• Hännikäinen, Jari, 2014, "The mortgage spread as a predictor of real-time economic activity," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 58360, Sep.
• Ardakani, Omid & Kishor, N. Kundan, 2014, "Examining the Success of the Central Banks in Inflation Targeting Countries: The Dynamics of Inflation Gap and the Institutional Characteristics," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 58402, Sep.
• Byrne, Joseph P & Korobilis, Dimitris & Ribeiro, Pinho J, 2014, "On the Sources of Uncertainty in Exchange Rate Predictability," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 58956, Sep.
• Guérin, Pierre & Leiva-Leon, Danilo, 2014, "Model Averaging in Markov-Switching Models: Predicting National Recessions with Regional Data," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 59361, Oct.
• Gatt, William, 2014, "Communicating uncertainty - a fan chart for HICP projections," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 59603, Sep.
• Fantazziini, Dean, 2014, "Nowcasting and Forecasting the Monthly Food Stamps Data in the US using Online Search Data," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 59696.
• Ledenyov, Dimitri O. & Ledenyov, Viktor O., 2014, "On the winning virtuous strategies for ultra high frequency electronic trading in foreign currencies exchange markets," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 59770, Jul.
• Mehta, Anirudh & Kanishka, Kunal, 2014, "Modeling and Forecasting Volatility – How Reliable are modern day approaches?," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 59788, Nov.
• Bessler, David & Kibriya, Shahriar & Chen, Junyi & Price, Ed, 2014, "On Forecasting Conflict in Sudan: 2009-2012," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 60069, Aug.
• Halkos, George & Kevork, Ilias & Tziourtzioumis, Chris, 2014, "Emissions and abatement costs for the passenger cars sector in Greece," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 60197, Nov.
• Giovannelli, Alessandro & Proietti, Tommaso, 2014, "On the Selection of Common Factors for Macroeconomic Forecasting," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 60673, Nov.
• Zeynalov, Ayaz, 2014, "Nowcasting Tourist Arrivals to Prague: Google Econometrics," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 60945.
• Barrera-Chaupis, Carlos, 2014, "La relación entre los ciclos discretos en la inflación y el crecimiento: Perú 1993-2012
  [The relationship between inflation's and growth's discrete cycles: Peru 1993-2012]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 60959, Dec.
• Halkos, George & Kevork, Ilias & Tziourtzioumis, Chris, 2014, "Greenhouse gas emissions and marginal abatement cost curves for the road transport in Greece," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 61032, Dec.
• Moahmed Hassan, Hisham & Mahgoub Mohamed, Tariq, 2014, "Rainfall Drought Simulating Using Stochastic SARIMA Models for Gadaref Region, Sudan," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 61153.
• Pönkä, Harri, 2014, "Predicting the direction of US stock markets using industry returns," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 62942, Feb.
• O'Hare, Colin & Li, Youwei, 2014, "Identifying structural breaks in stochastic mortality models," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 62994, Oct.
• Huseynov, Salman & Ahmadov, Vugar & Adigozalov, Shaig, 2014, "Beating a Random Walk: “Hard Times” for Forecasting Inflation in Post-Oil Boom Years?," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 63515, Oct.
• Tóth, Peter, 2014, "Malý dynamický faktorový model na krátkodobé prognózovanie slovenského HDP
  [A Small Dynamic Factor Model for the Short-Term Forecasting of Slovak GDP]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 63713, Oct.
• Mammadov, Fuad & Shaig Adigozalov, Shaiq, 2014, "Indicator Based Forecasting of Business Cycles in Azerbaijan," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 64367, Oct.
• Chen, Song Xi & Lei, Lihua & Tu, Yundong, 2014, "Functional Coefficient Moving Average Model with Applications to forecasting Chinese CPI," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 67074, revised 2015.
• Muteba Mwamba, John Weirstrass & Webb, Daniel, 2014, "The predictability of asset returns in the BRICS countries: a nonparametric approach," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 72880, Jul, revised 15 Nov 2014.
• Degiannakis, Stavros & Dent, Pamela & Floros, Christos, 2014, "A Monte Carlo Simulation Approach to Forecasting Multi-period Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall Using the FIGARCH-skT Specification," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 80431.
• de la Fonteijne, Marcel R., 2014, "Okun's Law, Dead or Alive: A Fundamental Approach," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 83911.
• Bilgili, Faik & Doğan, İbrahim & H. Tülüce, Nadide & Kuşkaya, Sevda, 2014, "The impact of biomass, geothermal and hydroelectric energy consumption on industrial production: A threshold cointegration model with regime shifts," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 90168, May.
• Ramadas, Sendhil & Palanisamy, Ramasundaram & Kuruvila, Anil & Chandrasekaran, Sundaramoorthy & Singh, Randhir & Sharma, Indu, 2014, "Food Price Volatility in India – Drivers, Impact and Policy Response," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 91131, Nov.
• Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Won Joong Kim, 2014, "Forecasting the Price of Gold Using Dynamic Model Averaging," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201415, Apr.
• Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Periklis Gogas & Theophilos Papadimitriou, 2014, "Forecasting the U.S. Real House Price Index," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201418, May.
• Goodness C. Aye & Frederick W. Deale & Rangan Gupta, 2014, "Does Debt Ceiling and Government Shutdown Help in Forecasting the US Equity Risk Premium?," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201422, May.
• Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar, 2014, "Forecasting US Real House Price Returns over 1831-2013: Evidence from Copula Models," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201444, Aug.
• Christian Pierdzioch & Monique B. Reid & Rangan Gupta, 2014, "Inflation Forecasts and Forecaster Herding: Evidence from South African Survey Data," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201455, Oct.
• Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste, 2014, "The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty in Forecasting US Inflation Using a VARFIMA Model," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201460, Oct.
• Christian Pierdzioch & Monique B. Reid & Rangan Gupta, 2014, "On the Directional Accuracy of Inflation Forecasts: Evidence from South African Survey Data," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201463, Oct.
• Christian Pierdzioch & Monique B. Reid & Rangan Gupta, 2014, "Forecasting the South African Inflation Rate: On Asymmetric Loss and Forecast Rationality," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201475, Nov.
• Milan Bašta, 2014, "Simulating Bivariate Stationary Processes with Scale-Specific Characteristics," Acta Oeconomica Pragensia, Prague University of Economics and Business, volume 2014, issue 1, pages 3-26, DOI: 10.18267/j.aop.423.
• Michal Řičař, 2014, "Macroeconomic Modelling of a Firm's Default," Acta Oeconomica Pragensia, Prague University of Economics and Business, volume 2014, issue 1, pages 27-40, DOI: 10.18267/j.aop.424.
• Milan Bašta, 2014, "Additive Decomposition and Boundary Conditions in Wavelet-Based Forecasting Approaches," Acta Oeconomica Pragensia, Prague University of Economics and Business, volume 2014, issue 2, pages 48-70, DOI: 10.18267/j.aop.431.
• Anna Staszewska-Bystrova & Peter Winker, 2014, "Measuring Forecast Uncertainty of Corporate Bond Spreads by Bonferroni-Type Prediction Bands," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, volume 6, issue 2, pages 89-104, June.
• Cláudia Duarte, 2014, "Autoregressive augmentation of MIDAS regressions," Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department, number w201401.
• Piergiorgio Alessandri & Haroon Mumtaz, 2014, "Financial conditions and density forecasts for US output and inflation," CReMFi Discussion Papers, CReMFi, School of Economics and Finance, QMUL, number 1, Mar.
• Ching-Wai (Jeremy) Chiu & Haroon Mumtaz & Gabor Pinter, 2014, "Fat-tails in VAR Models," Working Papers, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance, number 714, Mar.
• Piergiorgio Alessandri & Haroon Mumtaz, 2014, "Financial Conditions and Density Forecasts for US Output and Inflation," Working Papers, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance, number 715, Apr.
• Davide Delle Monache & Ivan Petrella, 2014, "Adaptive Models and Heavy Tails," Working Papers, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance, number 720, Jul.
• Grigory Franguridi, 2014, "Higher order conditional moment dynamics and forecasting value-at-risk (in Russian)," Quantile, Quantile, issue 12, pages 69-82, February.
• Orrego, Fabrizio, 2014, "Precios de viviendas en Lima," Revista Estudios Económicos, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, issue 28, pages 47-59.
• Orrego, Fabrizio, 2014, "Precios de viviendas en Lima," Working Papers, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, number 2014-008, May.
• Barrera, Carlos, 2014, "La relación entre los ciclos discretos en la inflación y el crecimiento: Perú 1993 - 2012," Working Papers, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, number 2014-024, Dec.
• Stephen McKnight & Alexander Mihailov & Kerry Patterson & Fabio Rumler, 2014, "The Predictive Performance of Fundamental Inflation Concepts: An Application to the Euro Area and the United States," Economics Discussion Papers, Department of Economics, University of Reading, number em-dp2014-03, May.
• Michael P. Clements & Ana Beatriz Galvão, 2014, "Measuring Macroeconomic Uncertainty: US Inflation and Output Growth," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance, Henley Business School, University of Reading, number icma-dp2014-04, Jun.
• Michael P. Clements, 2014, "Anticipating Early Data Revisions to US GDP and the Effects of Releases on Equity Markets," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance, Henley Business School, University of Reading, number icma-dp2014-06, Aug.
• Dimitrios Papastamos & Fotis Mouzakis & Simon Stevenson, 2014, "Rationality and Momentum in Real Estate Investment Forecasts," Real Estate & Planning Working Papers, Henley Business School, University of Reading, number rep-wp2014-07, May.
• Ioana Alexandra Bradea, 2014, "Risks in hospitals. Assessment and Management," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, volume 17, issue 54, pages 25-36, December.
• Tuhkuri, Joonas, 2014, "Big Data: Google Searches Predict Unemployment in Finland," ETLA Reports, The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy, number 31, Aug.
• Peussa, Aleksandr, 2014, "Forecast Models for Private Consumption," ETLA Reports, The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy, number 34, Oct.
• Leonardo Becchetti & Rocco Ciciretti & Ambrogio Dalo & Stefano Herzel, 2014, "Socially Responsible and Conventional Investment Funds: Performance Comparison and the Global Financial Crisis," Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis, number 04_14, Feb.
• Joseph P. Byrne & Dimitris Korobilis & Pinho J. Ribeiro, 2014, "Exchange Rate Predictability in a Changing World," Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis, number 06_14, Feb.
• Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Periklis Gogas & Theophilos Papadimitriou, 2014, "Forecasting the U.S. Real House Price Index," Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis, number 30_14, Nov.
• David Roland-Holst & Guntur Sugiyarto, 2014, "Growth Horizons for a Changing Asian Regional Economy," ADB Economics Working Paper Series, Asian Development Bank, number 392, Mar.
• Alexandr Shcherba, 2014, "Comparing «Realized volatility» models in the VaR calculation for the Russian equity market," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), volume 34, issue 2, pages 120-136.
• Boris Putko & Alexander Didenko & Mikhail Dubovikov, 2014, "The model of volatility of the exchange rate (RUR/USD), based on the fractal characteristics of time series," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), volume 36, issue 4, pages 79-87.
• Georges Dionne & Maria Pacurar & Xiaozhou Zhou, 2014, "Liquidity-adjusted Intraday Value at Risk modeling and risk management: An application to data from Deutsche Börse," Working Papers, HEC Montreal, Canada Research Chair in Risk Management, number 14-1, Feb.
• Mei-Yu Lee, 2014, "Adequacy of Lagrange Multiplier Test," European Economic Letters, European Economics Letters Group, volume 3, issue 2, pages 32-35.
• Dominik Korniluk, 2014, "Stabilising expenditure rule in Poland – stochastic simulations for 2014-2040," MF Working Papers, Ministry of Finance in Poland, number 19, Sep.
• Mihaela Simionescu, 2014, "Bayesian Forecasts Combination To Improve The Romanian Inflation Predictions Based On Econometric Models," UTMS Journal of Economics, University of Tourism and Management, Skopje, Macedonia, volume 5, issue 2, pages 131-140.
• Chih-Chung Yang & Yungho Leu & Chien-Pang Lee, 2014, "A Dynamic Weighted Distancedbased Fuzzy Time Series Neural Network with Bootstrap Model for Option Price Forecasting," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, volume 0, issue 2, pages 115-129, June.
• Melike Bildirici & Özgür Ömer Ersin, 2014, "Nonlinearity, Volatility and Fractional Integration in Daily Oil Prices: Smooth Transition Autoregressive ST-FI(AP)GARCH Models," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, volume 0, issue 3, pages 108-135, October.
• Emilian Dobrescu, 2014, "Attempting to Quantify the Accuracy of Complex Macroeconomic Forecasts," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, volume 0, issue 4, pages 5-21, December.
• Albu, Lucian Liviu & Lupu, Radu & Calin, Cantemir, 2014, "A Nonlinear Model to Estimate the Long Term Correlation between Market Capitalization and GDP per capita in Eastern EU Countries," Working Papers of Institute for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, number 141115, Nov.
• Marin ANDREICA & Mãdãlina Ecaterina POPESCU & Dragos MICU, 2014, "Proposal of a SMEs Forecast Management Support System," REVISTA DE MANAGEMENT COMPARAT INTERNATIONAL/REVIEW OF INTERNATIONAL COMPARATIVE MANAGEMENT, Faculty of Management, Academy of Economic Studies, Bucharest, Romania, volume 15, issue 2, pages 237-243, May.
• J. Wesley Burnett & Xueting Zhao, 2014, "Forecasting U.S. State-Level Carbon Dioxide Emissions," The Review of Regional Studies, Southern Regional Science Association, volume 44, issue 3, pages 223-240, Winter.
• Zheng Tian & Mulugeta Kahsai & Randall Jackson, 2014, "Technical Document for Price Adjustment," Working Papers, Regional Research Institute, West Virginia University, number Technical Document 2014-0, Jul, revised 11 Sep 2014.
• Mihaela Simionescu, 2014, "What Type Of Social Capital Is Engaged By The French Dairy Stockbreeders? A Characterization Through Their Professional Identities," Romanian Journal of Regional Science, Romanian Regional Science Association, volume 8, issue 1, pages 87-102, JUNE.
• Irina Morozova & Tatiana Litvinova, 2014, "Features of the methods of entrepreneurial activity forecasting application on the market of agricultural machinery," Review of Applied Socio-Economic Research, Pro Global Science Association, volume 8, issue 2, pages 100-107, June.
• Oana Simona HUDEA (CARAMAN), 2014, "Routes and Trends of Romanian Core Economic Variables," Romanian Statistical Review Supplement, Romanian Statistical Review, volume 62, issue 10, pages 129-137, Octomber.
• Francesco Benedetto & Gaetano Giunta & Loretta Mastroeni, 2014, "Maximum entropy estimator for the predictability of energy commodity market time series," Departmental Working Papers of Economics - University 'Roma Tre', Department of Economics - University Roma Tre, number 0192, Jul.
• Leonardo Becchetti & Rocco Ciciretti & Ambrogio Dalò & Stefano Herzel, 2014, "Socially Responsible and Conventional Investment Funds: Performance Comparison and the Global Financial Crisis," CEIS Research Paper, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, number 310, Feb, revised 18 Feb 2014.
• Tommaso Proietti, 2014, "Exponential Smoothing, Long Memory and Volatility Prediction," CEIS Research Paper, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, number 319, Jul, revised 30 Jul 2014.
• Martyna Marczak & Tommaso Proietti, 2014, "Outlier Detection in Structural Time Series Models: the Indicator Saturation Approach," CEIS Research Paper, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, number 325, Aug, revised 08 Aug 2014.
• Roy Havemann, 2014, "Counter-Cyclical Capital Buffers and Interest-Rate Policy as Complements – The Experience of South Africa," ERSA Working Paper Series, Economic Research Southern Africa, number 476, Nov.
• Marcin Kozak & Olesia Iefremova, 2014, "Implementation Of The Delphi Technique In Finance," "e-Finanse", University of Information Technology and Management, Institute of Financial Research and Analysis, volume 10, issue 4, pages 36-45, May.
• Jayita Bit & Sarmila Banerjee, 2014, "Consumption of Wood Products and Dependence on Imports," Foreign Trade Review, , volume 49, issue 3, pages 263-290, August, DOI: 10.1177/0015732514539204.
• Марков Л. С. & Маркова В. М., 2014, "Влияние характеристик среды на эволюцию отраслевой системы. Influence of the environment characteristics on industry system evolution," Мир экономики и управления // Вестник НГУ. Cерия: Cоциально-экономические науки, Socionet;Новосибирский государственный университет, volume 14, issue 3, pages 103-112.
• Alpaslan YARAR & Mustafa ONÜÇYILDIZ & Nuri PEKÇET?N, 2014, "Forecasting The Runoff Data Using Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference Systems (ANFIS)," Proceedings of International Academic Conferences, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences, number 0201599, Jun.
• Nils Wittmann & Eppinger Marcus, 2014, "Market Inefficiencies and Forecastability of Spot Rates in the Shipping Sector," Proceedings of International Academic Conferences, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences, number 0900012, Dec.
• Kloudová Dana, 2014, "Estimating Output Gap and Potential Output for Russia and Its Uselfulness by Forecasting Inflation," Proceedings of Economics and Finance Conferences, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences, number 0402134, Jul.
• Rendón De la Torre, Stephanie, 2014, "Aplicación de análisis multifractal de exponentes de Hölder en mercados financieros mexicanos : índice accionario IPC y tipo de cambio USD/MXN / A Multifractal Analysis Application of Hölder Exponents in Mexican Financial Markets: Mexican Stock Index," Estocástica: finanzas y riesgo, Departamento de Administración de la Universidad Autónoma Metropolitana Unidad Azcapotzalco, volume 4, issue 2, pages 191-208, julio-dic.
• Piotr Wdowiński, 2014, "Makroekonomiczne czynniki ryzyka kredytowego w sektorze bankowym w Polsce," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 4, pages 55-77.
• Beatrice Pierluigi & Jan Bruha & Roberta Serafini, 2014, "Euro area labour markets: Different reaction to shocks?," Journal of Banking and Financial Economics, University of Warsaw, Faculty of Management, volume 2, issue 2, pages 34-60, DOI: 10.7172/2353-6845.jbfe.2014.2.2.
• Mihaela Simionescu, 2014, "Modelling And Predicting The Real Gdp Rate In Romania," Journal of Academic Research in Economics, Spiru Haret University, Faculty of Accounting and Financial Management Constanta, volume 6, issue 3 (Novemb, pages 305-314.
• Atsushi Inoue & Lutz Kilian, 2014, "Joint Confidence Sets for Structural Impulse Responses," Departmental Working Papers, Southern Methodist University, Department of Economics, number 1401, Feb.
• Simone Auer, 2014, "Monetary Policy Shocks and Foreign Investment Income: Evidence from a large Bayesian VAR," Working Papers, Swiss National Bank, number 2014-02.
• Nikolaos D. Geomelos & Evangelos Xideas, 2014, "Ex-Post and Ex-Ante Forecasts of Spot Prices in Bulk Shipping in a Period of Economic Crisis using Simultaneous Equation Models," SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, University of Piraeus, volume 64, issue 2, pages 14-39, April-Jun.
• A. Malliaris & Mary Malliaris, 2014, "N-tuple S&P patterns across decades, 1950–2011," Central European Journal of Operations Research, Springer;Slovak Society for Operations Research;Hungarian Operational Research Society;Czech Society for Operations Research;Österr. Gesellschaft für Operations Research (ÖGOR);Slovenian Society Informatika - Section for Operational Research;Croatian Operational Research Society, volume 22, issue 2, pages 339-353, June, DOI: 10.1007/s10100-013-0298-3.
• P. Schanbacher, 2014, "Measuring and adjusting for overconfidence," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, volume 37, issue 2, pages 423-452, October, DOI: 10.1007/s10203-013-0153-y.
• Wojciech W. Charemza & Yuriy Kharin & Vladislav Maevskiy, 2014, "Bilinear Forecast Risk Assessment for Non-systematic Inflation: Theory and Evidence," Dynamic Modeling and Econometrics in Economics and Finance, Springer, in: Frauke Schleer-van Gellecom, "Advances in Non-linear Economic Modeling", DOI: 10.1007/978-3-642-42039-9_6.
• Giovanni De Luca & Alfonso Carfora, 2014, "Predicting U.S. recessions through a combination of probability forecasts," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 46, issue 1, pages 127-144, February, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-012-0671-4.
• Nicholas Taylor, 2014, "Economic forecast quality: information timeliness and data vintage effects," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 46, issue 1, pages 145-174, February, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-012-0672-3.
• Henning Fischer & Marta García-Bárzana & Peter Tillmann & Peter Winker, 2014, "Evaluating FOMC forecast ranges: an interval data approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 47, issue 1, pages 365-388, August, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-013-0736-z.
• E. Mamatzakis, 2014, "Revealing asymmetries in the loss function of WTI oil futures market," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 47, issue 2, pages 411-426, September, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-013-0764-8.
• Yasutomo Murasawa, 2014, "Measuring the natural rates, gaps, and deviation cycles," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 47, issue 2, pages 495-522, September, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-013-0747-9.
• Christian Grimme & Steffen Henzel & Elisabeth Wieland, 2014, "Inflation uncertainty revisited: a proposal for robust measurement," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 47, issue 4, pages 1497-1523, December, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-013-0789-z.
• Yanhui Chen & Kin Lai & Jiangze Du, 2014, "Modeling and forecasting Hang Seng index volatility with day-of-week effect, spillover effect based on ARIMA and HAR," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, volume 4, issue 2, pages 113-132, December, DOI: 10.1007/s40822-015-0013-x.
• Edsel Beja, 2014, "Income growth and happiness: reassessment of the Easterlin Paradox," International Review of Economics, Springer;Happiness Economics and Interpersonal Relations (HEIRS), volume 61, issue 4, pages 329-346, December, DOI: 10.1007/s12232-014-0211-y.
• Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2014, "Forecasting gross value-added at the regional level: are sectoral disaggregated predictions superior to direct ones?," Review of Regional Research: Jahrbuch für Regionalwissenschaft, Springer;Gesellschaft für Regionalforschung (GfR), volume 34, issue 1, pages 61-90, February, DOI: 10.1007/s10037-013-0083-8.
• Marko Milojević & Ivica Terzić, 2014, "Modeling Market Risk In Frontier Equity Markets—Evidence From Serbia," CBU International Conference Proceedings, ISE Research Institute, volume 2, issue 0, pages 126-133, July, DOI: 10.12955/cbup.v2.455.
• Asger Lunde & Kasper V. Olesen, 2014, "Modeling and Forecasting the Distribution of Energy Forward Returns - Evidence from the Nordic Power Exchange," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2013-19, Nov.
• Markku Lanne & Henri Nyberg, 2014, "Generalized Forecast Error Variance Decomposition for Linear and Nonlinear Multivariate Models," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2014-17, May.
• Martyna Marczak & Tommaso Proietti, 2014, "Outlier Detection in Structural Time Series Models: the Indicator Saturation Approach," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2014-20, Aug.
• Gustavo Fruet Dias & George Kapetanios, 2014, "Estimation and Forecasting in Vector Autoregressive Moving Average Models for Rich Datasets," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2014-37, Oct.
• Gustavo Fruet Dias & Fotis Papailias, 2014, "Forecasting Long Memory Series Subject to Structural Change: A Two-Stage Approach," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2014-55, Dec.
• Simplice Anutechia Asongu, 2014, "On foreign aid distortions to governance," AAYE Policy Research Working Paper Series, Association of African Young Economists, number 14_015, Aug, revised Oct 2014.
• Simplice A. Asongu, 2014, "On foreign aid distortions to governance," Research Africa Network Working Papers, Research Africa Network (RAN), number 14/003, Jan.
• Kym Anderson & Glyn Wittwer, 2014, "Asia's Evolving Role in Global Wine Markets," Wine Economics Research Centre Working Papers, University of Adelaide, Wine Economics Research Centre, number 2014-01, Jun.
• Marta Gómez-Puig & Simón Sosvilla-Rivero, 2014, "EMU sovereign debt market crisis: Fundamentals-based or pure contagion?," Working Papers, Asociación Española de Economía y Finanzas Internacionales, number 14-08, May.
• Emilian Dobrescu, 2014, "A Hybrid Forecasting Approach," The AMFITEATRU ECONOMIC journal, Academy of Economic Studies - Bucharest, Romania, volume 16, issue 35, pages 390-390, February.
• Asongu Simplice, 2014, "On foreign aid distortions to governance," Working Papers of the African Governance and Development Institute., African Governance and Development Institute., number 14/003, Jan.
• Dharmasena, Senarath & Bessler, David A. & Todd, Jessica & Capps, Oral, Jr., 2014, "Dynamics of the Food Environment in the United States," 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, number 169797, May, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.169797.
• Bastianin, Andrea & Galeotti, Marzio & Manera, Matteo, 2014, "Forecasting the Oil-gasoline Price Relationship: Should We Care about the Rockets and the Feathers?," Climate Change and Sustainable Development, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM), number 165791, Mar, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.165791.
• Dharmasena, Senarath & Ishdorj, Ariun & Capps, Oral, Jr. & Bessler, David A., 2014, "Dynamics of Macroeconomic Shocks on Food Assistance Programs in the United States," 2014 Annual Meeting, February 1-4, 2014, Dallas, Texas, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, number 162368, Jan, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.162368.
• Mihaela SIMIONESCU, 2014, "Improving The Inflation Rate Forecasts Of Romanian Experts Using A Fixed-Effects Models Approach," Review of Economic and Business Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, issue 13, pages 87-102, June.
• Mary Violeta Bar, 2014, "The Computational Intelligence Techniques For Predictions - Artificial Neural Networks," Annals of University of Craiova - Economic Sciences Series, University of Craiova, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, volume 2, issue 42, pages 184-190.
• Alberto Bagnai & Christian Alexander Mongeau Ospina, 2014, "The impact of an exchange rate realignment on the trade balance: Euro vs. national currency - Some preliminary results with a/simmetrie model of the Italian economy," a/ Policy Briefs Series, Italian Association for the Study of Economic Asymmetries, Rome (Italy), number 1401, Jun.
• Alberto Bagnai & Christian Alexander Mongeau Ospina, 2014, "The a/simmetrie annual macroeconometric model of the Italian economy: structure and properties," a/ Working Papers Series, Italian Association for the Study of Economic Asymmetries, Rome (Italy), number 1405, Nov.
• Alberto Bagnai & Christian Alexander Mongeau Ospina, 2014, "Long- and short-run price asymmetries in the Italian energy market: the case of gasoline and heating gasoil," a/ Working Papers Series, Italian Association for the Study of Economic Asymmetries, Rome (Italy), number 1407, Dec.
• Miklós Virág & Tamás Nyitrai, 2014, "Is there a trade-off between the predictive power and the interpretability of bankruptcy models? The case of the first Hungarian bankruptcy prediction model," Acta Oeconomica, Akadémiai Kiadó, Hungary, volume 64, issue 4, pages 419-440, December.
• Bolt, W. & Demertzis, D. & Diks, C.G.H. & Van der Leij, M.J., 2014, "Identifying Booms and Busts in House Prices under Heterogeneous Expectations," CeNDEF Working Papers, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance, number 14-13.
• Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra, 2014, "“A multivariate neural network approach to tourism demand forecasting”," AQR Working Papers, University of Barcelona, Regional Quantitative Analysis Group, number 201410, May, revised May 2014.
• Narek Ghazaryan, 2014, "Short Term Forecasting System of Private Demand Components in Armenia," Working Papers, Central Bank of Armenia, number 3, Apr, revised Dec 2015.
• Hayk Karapetyan, 2019, "Estimating Potential Output at the Central Bank of Armenia," Working Papers, Central Bank of Armenia, number 12, Oct.
• Joseph Byrne & Dimitris Korobilis & Pinho Ribeiro, 2014, "Exchange Rate Predictability in a Changing World," Papers, arXiv.org, number 1403.0627, Mar.
• Roland Weigand, 2014, "Matrix Box-Cox Models for Multivariate Realized Volatility," Working Papers, Bavarian Graduate Program in Economics (BGPE), number 144, Mar.
• Weigand, Roland, 2014, "Matrix Box-Cox Models for Multivariate Realized Volatility," University of Regensburg Working Papers in Business, Economics and Management Information Systems, University of Regensburg, Department of Economics, number 478, Mar.
• Davide Delle Monache & Ivan Petrella, 2014, "Adaptive Models and Heavy Tails," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics, number 1409, Jul.