Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

1. Forecasting

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• Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon & Ping Wu, 2023, "Incorporating Short Data into Large Mixed-Frequency VARs for Regional Nowcasting," Working Papers, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics, number 2311, Apr.
• Wanfeng Yan & Ryan Woodard & Didier Sornette, , "The Role of diversification risk in financial bubbles," Working Papers, ETH Zurich, Chair of Systems Design, number ETH-RC-11-003.
• Didier Sornette & Ryan Woodard, & Wanfeng Yan & Wei-Xing Zhou, , "Clarifications to Questions and Criticisms on the Johansen-Ledoit-Sornette bubble Model," Working Papers, ETH Zurich, Chair of Systems Design, number ETH-RC-11-004.
• Michael McAleer & Juan-Angel Jimenez-Martin & Teodosio Pérez-Amaral, 0000, "Has the Basel II Accord Encouraged Risk Management during the 2008-09 Financial Crisis?," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 09-039/4, 00.
• Robin Niesert & Jochem Oorschot & Chris Veldhuisen & Kester Brons & Rutger-Jan Lange, , "Can Google Search Data Help Predict Macroeconomic Series?," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 19-021/III.
• Daan Opschoor & Michel van der Wel, , "A Smooth Shadow-Rate Dynamic Nelson-Siegel Model for Yields at the Zero Lower Bound," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 22-011/III.
• Yu-chin Chen & Wen-Jen Tsay, , "Forecasting Commodity Prices with Mixed-Frequency Data: An OLS-Based Generalized ADL Approach," Working Papers, University of Washington, Department of Economics, number UWEC-2011-06.
• Lucrezia Reichlin & Domenico Giannone & Luca Sala, , "Monetary policy in real time," ULB Institutional Repository, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles, number 2013/10177.
• Domenico Giannone & Michèle Lenza & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2008, "Explaining the great moderation: it is not the shocks," ULB Institutional Repository, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles, number 2013/6413.
• Mengheng Li & Ivan Mendieta-Muñoz, 2025, "RUnpacking trend inflation: Evidence from a factor correlated unobserved components model of sticky and flexible prices    ," Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, University of Utah, University of Utah, Department of Economics, number 2025-04.
• Daniel Felix Ahelegbey & Paolo Giudici, 2014, "Hierarchical Graphical Models, With Application to Systemic Risk," Working Papers, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari", number 2014:01.
• Luisa Bisaglia & Margherita Gerolimetto, , "Estimation and forecasting in INAR(p) models using sieve bootstrap," Working Papers, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari", number 2018:06.
• Yunus Emre Gür & Abdunnur Yıldız & Emre Ünal, 0, "Advanced AI Models for Future Forecasting of Budget Expenditures via Machine Learning and Deep Learning," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, volume 0, issue 0, pages 1-36.
• B. Pesaran & G. Wright, , "The Use Of Spreads In Forecasting Medium Term U.K Interest Rates," Working Papers, University of East London, Department of Economics, number 9606.
• Seppo Honkapohja & Kaushik Mitra, , "Learning with Bounded Memory in Stochastic Models," Discussion Papers, Department of Economics, University of York, number 00/42.
• Kaushik Mitra, , "Is more data better?," Discussion Papers, Department of Economics, University of York, number 00/44.
• Albrecht Ritschl & Ulrich Woitek, , "Did Monetary Forces Cause the Great Depression? A Bayesian VAR Analysis for the U.S. Economy," IEW - Working Papers, Institute for Empirical Research in Economics - University of Zurich, number 050.

None

• J. Piplack, 2009, "Estimating and Forecasting Asset Volatility and Its Volatility: A Markov-Switching Range Model," Working Papers, Utrecht School of Economics, number 09-08, May.
• Carrera Cesar, 2012, "Estimating Information Rigidity Using Firms' Survey Data," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, volume 12, issue 1, pages 1-34, June, DOI: 10.1515/1935-1690.2377.
• Feldman Ron J. & Kim Jan & Miller Preston J. & Schmidt Jason E., 2003, "Are Banking Supervisory Data Useful for Macroeconomic Forecasts?," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, volume 3, issue 1, pages 1-24, February, DOI: 10.2202/1534-6005.1066.
• Misiorek Adam & Trueck Stefan & Weron Rafal, 2006, "Point and Interval Forecasting of Spot Electricity Prices: Linear vs. Non-Linear Time Series Models," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 10, issue 3, pages 1-36, September, DOI: 10.2202/1558-3708.1362.
• Stevenson Maxwell J & Moreira do Amaral Luiz Felipe & Peat Maurice, 2006, "Risk Management and the Role of Spot Price Predictions in the Australian Retail Electricity Market," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 10, issue 3, pages 1-25, September, DOI: 10.2202/1558-3708.1383.
• Chen Zhuo & Yang Yuhong, 2007, "Time Series Models for Forecasting: Testing or Combining?," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 11, issue 1, pages 1-37, March, DOI: 10.2202/1558-3708.1385.
• Chan Wing Hong, 2008, "Dynamic Hedging with Foreign Currency Futures in the Presence of Jumps," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 12, issue 2, pages 1-25, May, DOI: 10.2202/1558-3708.1571.
• Granger Clive W.J., 2008, "Non-Linear Models: Where Do We Go Next - Time Varying Parameter Models?," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 12, issue 3, pages 1-11, September, DOI: 10.2202/1558-3708.1639.
• Sajjad Rasoul & Coakley Jerry & Nankervis John C, 2008, "Markov-Switching GARCH Modelling of Value-at-Risk," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 12, issue 3, pages 1-31, September, DOI: 10.2202/1558-3708.1522.
• Pelagatti Matteo M, 2009, "Modelling Good and Bad Volatility," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 13, issue 1, pages 1-20, March, DOI: 10.2202/1558-3708.1595.
• Berkowitz Jeremy, 2009, "On Justifications for the ad hoc Black-Scholes Method of Option Pricing," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 14, issue 1, pages 1-27, December, DOI: 10.2202/1558-3708.1683.
• Dark Jonathan Graeme, 2010, "Estimation of Time Varying Skewness and Kurtosis with an Application to Value at Risk," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 14, issue 2, pages 1-50, March, DOI: 10.2202/1558-3708.1720.
• Haas Markus, 2010, "Skew-Normal Mixture and Markov-Switching GARCH Processes," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 14, issue 4, pages 1-56, September, DOI: 10.2202/1558-3708.1765.
• Clements Michael P., 2012, "Forecasting U.S. Output Growth with Non-Linear Models in the Presence of Data Uncertainty," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 16, issue 1, pages 1-27, January, DOI: 10.1515/1558-3708.1865.
• Cai Zongwu & Chen Linna & Fang Ying, 2012, "A New Forecasting Model for USD/CNY Exchange Rate," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 16, issue 3, pages 1-20, September, DOI: 10.1515/1558-3708.1878.
• Andrada-Félix Julián & Fernadez-Rodriguez Fernando & Garcia-Artiles Maria-Dolores & Sosvilla-Rivero Simon, 2003, "An Empirical Evaluation of Non-Linear Trading Rules," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 7, issue 3, pages 1-32, October, DOI: 10.2202/1558-3708.1160.
• Golan Amos, 2003, "An Information Theoretic Approach for Estimating Nonlinear Dynamic Models," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 7, issue 4, pages 1-26, December, DOI: 10.2202/1558-3708.1174.
• Wolff Rodney & Yao Qiwei & Tong Howell, 2004, "Statistical Tests for Lyapunov Exponents of Deterministic Systems," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 8, issue 2, pages 1-19, May, DOI: 10.2202/1558-3708.1214.
• Doornik Jurgen A & Ooms Marius, 2004, "Inference and Forecasting for ARFIMA Models With an Application to US and UK Inflation," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 8, issue 2, pages 1-25, May, DOI: 10.2202/1558-3708.1218.
• Cleveland William P., 2004, "Stability and Consistency of Seasonally Adjusted Aggregates and Their Component Patterns," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 8, issue 2, pages 1-19, May, DOI: 10.2202/1558-3708.1206.
• Riani Marco, 2004, "Extensions of the Forward Search to Time Series," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 8, issue 2, pages 1-25, May, DOI: 10.2202/1558-3708.1208.
• Ivanov Ventzislav & Kilian Lutz, 2005, "A Practitioner's Guide to Lag Order Selection For VAR Impulse Response Analysis," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 9, issue 1, pages 1-36, March, DOI: 10.2202/1558-3708.1219.
• Bessec Marie & Bouabdallah Othman, 2005, "What Causes The Forecasting Failure of Markov-Switching Models? A Monte Carlo Study," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 9, issue 2, pages 1-24, June, DOI: 10.2202/1558-3708.1171.
• Marcucci Juri, 2005, "Forecasting Stock Market Volatility with Regime-Switching GARCH Models," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 9, issue 4, pages 1-55, December, DOI: 10.2202/1558-3708.1145.
• Henry S. Farber, 2003, "Is Tomorrow Another Day? The Labor Supply Of New York Cab Drivers," Working Papers, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Center for Economic Policy Studies., number 110, May.
• Mateusz BuczyÅ„ski & Marcin Chlebus, None, "Old-fashioned parametric models are still the best: a comparison of value-at-risk approaches in several volatility states," Journal of Risk Model Validation, Journal of Risk Model Validation.
• Martina Lubyová & Miroslav Štefánik & Pavol Baboš & Daniel Gerbery & Veronika Hvozdíková & Katarína Karasová & Ivan Lichner & Tomáš Miklošovic & Marek Radvanský & Eva Rublíková & Ivana Studená, None, "Labour Market in Slovakia 2017+," Books, Institute of Economic Research, Slovak Academy of Sciences, number 003, edition 1, ISBN: ARRAY(0x666772d8).
• Karol Frank & Martin Hudcovský & Veronika Hvozdíková & Tomáš Jeck & Karol Morvay & Ivana Šikulová, None, "Hospodársky vývoj Slovenska v roku 2021," Books, Institute of Economic Research, Slovak Academy of Sciences, number 004, edition 1, ISBN: ARRAY(0x66b99698).
• Michael Louis George, 2007, "Predicting the Profit Potential of a Microeconomic Process: An Information Theoretic/Thermodynamic Approach," Working Papers, Institute of Business Entropy, number 0607, Sep.
• Michael Louis George, 2007, "United States Patent Application Publication - Predictive Cost Reduction Based on a Thermodynamic Model," Working Papers, Institute of Business Entropy, number 0608, Sep.