Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes
Top JEL
/ D: Microeconomics
/ / D8: Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty
/ / / D84: Expectations; Speculations
2012
- Michael D. Hurd & Susann Rohwedder, 2012, "Stock Price Expectations and Stock Trading," Working Papers, RAND Corporation, number WR-938, Jul.
- Carrera, César, 2012, "Estimating Information Rigidity using Firms’ Survey Data," Working Papers, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, number 2012-004, Jan.
- Ormeño, Arturo, 2012, "Using Survey Data on Inflation Expectations in the Estimation of Learning and Rational Expectations Models," Working Papers, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, number 2012-007, Feb.
- Viktor Tsyrennikov & Thomas Sargent & Timothy Cogley, 2012, "Wealth Dynamics in a Bond Economy with Heterogeneous Beliefs," 2012 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 1079.
- Kristoffer Nimark, 2012, "Man-bites-dog business cycles," 2012 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 127.
- Christian Hellwig & Aleh Tsyvinski & Elias Albagli, 2012, "A theory of asset prices based on heterogeneous information," 2012 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 394.
- Bernardo Guimaraes & Luis Araujo, 2012, "The effect of options on coordination," 2012 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 474.
- Junichi Fujimoto, 2012, "Speculative Attacks with Multiple Targets," 2012 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 501.
- Smith, James L. & Thompson, Rex, 2012, "The Informational Role of Spot Prices and Inventories," RFF Working Paper Series, Resources for the Future, number dp-12-45, Sep.
- Sebastien Bradley, 2012, "Property Tax Salience and Payment Delinquency," School of Economics Working Paper Series, LeBow College of Business, Drexel University, number 2012-9, Nov.
- Pierdzioch Christian & Jan-Christoph Rülke & Georg Stadtmann, 2012, "Forecasting U.S. Housing Starts Under Asymmetric Loss," Working Paper, Helmut Schmidt University, Hamburg, number 118/2012, Jun.
- Werner Pitsch & Eike Emrich & Christian Pierdzioch, 2012, "Fixing im deutschen Fußball: Eine empirische Analyse mittels der Randomized-Response-Technik," Working Paper, Helmut Schmidt University, Hamburg, number 120/2012, Aug.
- Leonardo Becchetti & Rocco Ciciretti & Alessandro Giovannelli, 2012, "Corporate Social Responsibility and Earnings Forecasting Unbiasedness," CEIS Research Paper, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, number 233, May, revised 08 Feb 2013.
- Saul Estrin & Julia Korosteleva & Tomasz Marek Mickiewicz, 2012, "Which Institutions Encourage Entrepreneurial Growth Aspirations?," UCL SSEES Economics and Business working paper series, UCL School of Slavonic and East European Studies (SSEES), number 119, Mar.
- Marco di Maggio & Marco Pagano, 2012, "Financial Disclosure and Market Transparency with Costly Information Processing," CSEF Working Papers, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy, number 323, Oct, revised 23 Jul 2016.
- Kenneth Kasa, 2012, "A Behavioral Defense of Rational Expectations," Discussion Papers, Department of Economics, Simon Fraser University, number dp12-05, Mar.
- Luba Petersen & Abel Winn, 2012, "The Role of Money Illusion in Nominal Price Adjustment," Discussion Papers, Department of Economics, Simon Fraser University, number dp12-19, Dec.
- Taylor Jaworskiy & Erik O. Kimbrough, 2012, "An Experimental Examination of Asset Pricing Under Market Uncertainty," Discussion Papers, Department of Economics, Simon Fraser University, number dp12-21, Dec.
- Shurojit Chatterji & Sayantan Ghosal, 2012, "Contracting over Prices," Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics, number 36-2012, Dec.
- Romain Baeriswyl & Camille Cornand, 2012, "Reducing overreaction to central banks' disclosures:theory and experiment," Working Papers, Swiss National Bank, number 2012-08.
- Luc Bissonnette & Arthur van Soest, 2012, "The future of retirement and the pension system: How the public’s expectations vary over time and across socio-economic groups," IZA Journal of European Labor Studies, Springer;Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit GmbH (IZA), volume 1, issue 1, pages 1-21, December, DOI: 10.1186/2193-9012-1-2.
- Christopher Chambers & Paul Healy, 2012, "Updating toward the signal," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), volume 50, issue 3, pages 765-786, August, DOI: 10.1007/s00199-010-0588-0.
- Michael Wegener & Frank Westerhoff, 2012, "Evolutionary competition between prediction rules and the emergence of business cycles within Metzler’s inventory model," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, volume 22, issue 2, pages 251-273, April, DOI: 10.1007/s00191-010-0215-z.
- Roberto Dieci & Frank Westerhoff, 2012, "A simple model of a speculative housing market," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, volume 22, issue 2, pages 303-329, April, DOI: 10.1007/s00191-011-0259-8.
- Lisa Bruttel & Werner Güth & Ulrich Kamecke, 2012, "Finitely repeated prisoners’ dilemma experiments without a commonly known end," International Journal of Game Theory, Springer;Game Theory Society, volume 41, issue 1, pages 23-47, February, DOI: 10.1007/s00182-011-0272-z.
- Sebastian Ille, 2012, "A Dynamical Approach to Conflict Analysis," LEM Papers Series, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy, number 2012/05, Feb.
- Cheung, Stephen L. & Hedegaard, Morten & Palan, Stefan, 2012, "To See Is To Believe: Common Expectations In Experimental Asset Markets," Working Papers, University of Sydney, School of Economics, number 2012-10, May.
- Jan Christoph Ruelke & Christian Pierdzioch & Georg Stadtmann, 2012, "On the internal consistency of short-term, medium-term and long-term oil price forecasts," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 44, issue 21, pages 2757-2765, July, DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566201.
- Jan Christoph Ruelke & Christian Pierdzioch & Georg Stadtmann, 2012, "On the internal consistency of short-term, medium-term and long-term oil price forecasts," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 44, issue 21, pages 2757-2765, July, DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566201.
- Te Bao & John Duffy & Cars Hommes, 2012, "Learning, Forecasting and Optimizing: An Experimental Study," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 12-015/1, Feb.
- Te Bao & Cars Hommes & Joep Sonnemans & Jan Tuinstra, 2012, "Individual Expectations, Limited Rationality and Aggregate Outcomes," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 12-016/1, Feb.
- Norbert Christopeit & Michael Massmann, 2012, "Strong Consistency of the Least-Squares Estimator in Simple Regression Models with Stochastic Regressors," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 12-109/III, Oct.
- Pfajfar, D. & Santoro, E., 2012, "News on Inflation and the Epidemiology of Inflation Expectations," Discussion Paper, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research, number 2012-048.
- Pfajfar, D., 2012, "Formation of Rationally Heterogeneous Expectations," Discussion Paper, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research, number 2012-083.
- Pfajfar, D. & Santoro, E., 2012, "News on Inflation and the Epidemiology of Inflation Expectations," Other publications TiSEM, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management, number 515ee09e-b946-439f-afff-d.
- Pfajfar, D. & Santoro, E., 2012, "News on Inflation and the Epidemiology of Inflation Expectations," Other publications TiSEM, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management, number 87fa5f59-4918-4fe4-ad6e-c.
- Pfajfar, D., 2012, "Formation of Rationally Heterogeneous Expectations," Other publications TiSEM, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management, number f256da5c-c711-49c8-bd12-9.
- Magali Beffy & Denis Fougère & Arnaud Maurel, 2012, "Choosing the Field of Study in Postsecondary Education: Do Expected Earnings Matter?," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, volume 94, issue 1, pages 334-347, February.
- Paul E. Carrillo & M. Shahe Emran, 2012, "Public Information and Inflation Expectations: Microeconometric Evidence from a Natural Experiment," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, volume 94, issue 4, pages 860-877, November.
- Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2012, "What Can Survey Forecasts Tell Us about Information Rigidities?," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, volume 120, issue 1, pages 116-159, DOI: 10.1086/665662.
- Andreas Fuster & Benjamin Hebert & David Laibson, 2012, "Natural Expectations, Macroeconomic Dynamics, and Asset Pricing," NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, volume 26, issue 1, pages 1-48, DOI: 10.1086/663989.
- Opolot, Daniel, 2012, "Social interactions and complex networks," MERIT Working Papers, United Nations University - Maastricht Economic and Social Research Institute on Innovation and Technology (MERIT), number 2012-014.
- Neri, Claudia & Manski, Charles, 2012, "First- and Second-order Subjective Expectations in Strategic Decision-Making: Experimental Evidence," Economics Working Paper Series, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science, number 1206, Mar.
- Neri, Claudia, 2012, "Eliciting Beliefs in Continuous-Choice Games: A Double Auction Experiment," Economics Working Paper Series, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science, number 1207, Mar, revised Dec 2012.
- Xue-Zhong He & Lei Shi, 2012, "Heterogeneous Beliefs and the Performances of Optimal Portfolios," Research Paper Series, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney, number 301, Mar.
- Xue-Zhong He & Lei Shi, 2012, "Heterogeneous Beliefs and the Cross-Section of Asset Returns," Research Paper Series, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney, number 303, Mar.
- Carl Chiarella & Roberto Dieci & Xue-Zhong He & Kai Li, 2012, "An Evolutionary CAPM Under Heterogeneous Beliefs," Research Paper Series, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney, number 315, Oct.
- George W. Evans & Seppo Honkapohja & Kaushik Mitra, 2012, "Does Ricardian Equivalence Hold When Expectations Are Not Rational?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 44, issue 7, pages 1259-1283, October, DOI: 10.1111/j.1538-4616.2012.00531.x.
- Emilia Tomczyk, 2012, "Information content of survey data: applications of entropy and dissimilarity measures," Working Papers, Department of Applied Econometrics, Warsaw School of Economics, number 62, May.
- Solomon M. Hsiang & Daiju Narita, 2012, "Adaptation To Cyclone Risk: Evidence From The Global Cross-Section," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., volume 3, issue 02, pages 1-28, DOI: 10.1142/S201000781250011X.
- Jonathan K. Yoder & Adrienne M. Ohler & Hayley H. Chouinard, 2012, "What floats your boat? Preference revelation from lotteries over complex goods," Working Papers, School of Economic Sciences, Washington State University, number 2012-4.
- Westerhoff, Frank & Franke, Reiner, 2012, "Agent-based models for economic policy design: Two illustrative examples," BERG Working Paper Series, Bamberg University, Bamberg Economic Research Group, number 88.
- Tramontana, Fabio & Westerhoff, Frank & Gardini, Laura, 2012, "The bull and bear market model of Huang and Day : Some extensions and new results," BERG Working Paper Series, Bamberg University, Bamberg Economic Research Group, number 89.
- Mitra, Kaushik & Evans, George W. & Honkapohja, Seppo, 2012, "Fiscal policy and learning," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland, number 5/2012.
- Waters, George A., 2012, "Careful price level targeting," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland, number 30/2012.
- Reitz, Stefan & Rülke, Jan-Christoph & Stadtmann, Georg, 2012, "Nonlinear expectations in speculative markets: Evidence from the ECB survey of professional forecasters," Discussion Papers, European University Viadrina Frankfurt (Oder), Department of Business Administration and Economics, number 311.
- Pierdzioch, Christian & Rülke, Jan-Christoph & Stadtmann, Georg, 2012, "Oil price forecasting under asymmetric loss," Discussion Papers, European University Viadrina Frankfurt (Oder), Department of Business Administration and Economics, number 314.
- Pierdzioch, Christian & Rülke, Jan Christoph & Stadtmann, Georg, 2012, "House price forecasts in times of crisis: Do forecasters herd?," Discussion Papers, European University Viadrina Frankfurt (Oder), Department of Business Administration and Economics, number 318.
- Pierdzioch, Christian & Rülke, Jan Christoph & Stadtmann, Georg, 2012, "Housing starts in Canada, Japan, and the United States: Do forecasters herd?," Discussion Papers, European University Viadrina Frankfurt (Oder), Department of Business Administration and Economics, number 320.
- Pierdzioch, Christian & Rülke, Jan-Christoph & Stadtmann, Georg, 2012, "A note on forecasting emerging market exchange rates: Evidence of anti-herding," Discussion Papers, European University Viadrina Frankfurt (Oder), Department of Business Administration and Economics, number 324.
- Will, Matthias Georg & Prehn, Sören & Pies, Ingo & Glauben, Thomas, 2012, "Schadet oder nützt die Finanzspekulation mit Agrarrohstoffen? Ein Literaturüberblick zum aktuellen Stand der empirischen Forschung," Discussion Papers, Martin Luther University of Halle-Wittenberg, Chair of Economic Ethics, number 2012-26.
- Will, Matthias Georg & Prehn, Sören & Pies, Ingo & Glauben, Thomas, 2012, "Is financial speculation with agricultural commodities harmful or helpful? A literature review of current empirical research," Discussion Papers, Martin Luther University of Halle-Wittenberg, Chair of Economic Ethics, number 2012-27.
- Reitz, Stefan & Rülke, Jan & Stadtmann, Georg, 2012, "Nonlinear Expectations in Speculative Markets," VfS Annual Conference 2012 (Goettingen): New Approaches and Challenges for the Labor Market of the 21st Century, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 62045.
- Costa-Gomes, Miguel A. & Huck, Steffen & Weizsäcker, Georg, 2012, "Beliefs and actions in the trust game: Creating instrumental variables to estimate the causal effect," Discussion Papers, Research Unit: Economics of Change, WZB Berlin Social Science Center, number SP II 2012-302.
- Dick, Christian D. & Menkhoff, Lukas, 2012, "Exchange rate expectations of chartists and fundamentalists," ZEW Discussion Papers, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research, number 12-026.
- Fischer, Thomas & Riedler, Jesper, 2012, "Prices, debt and market structure in an agent-based model of the financial market," ZEW Discussion Papers, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research, number 12-045.
- Olga Markic, 2012, "First- and third-person approaches: the problem of integration," Interdisciplinary Description of Complex Systems - scientific journal, Croatian Interdisciplinary Society Provider Homepage: http://indecs.eu, volume 10, issue 3, pages 213-222.
- Urban Kordes, 2012, "Thinking of Experience, Experiencing Thinking," Interdisciplinary Description of Complex Systems - scientific journal, Croatian Interdisciplinary Society Provider Homepage: http://indecs.eu, volume 10, issue 3, pages 223-234.
- Björn Bartling & Leif Brandes & Daniel Schunk, 2012, "Expectations as reference points: field evidence from experienced subjects in a competitive, high-stakes environment," ECON - Working Papers, Department of Economics - University of Zurich, number 073, May.
- Patrick Bajari & Jane Cooley Fruehwirth & Kyoo il Kim & Christopher Timmins, 2012, "A Rational Expectations Approach to Hedonic Price Regressions with Time-Varying Unobserved Product Attributes: The Price of Pollution," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, volume 102, issue 5, pages 1898-1926, August.
- Sergey Slobodyan & Raf Wouters, 2012, "Learning in a Medium-Scale DSGE Model with Expectations Based on Small Forecasting Models," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, volume 4, issue 2, pages 65-101, April.
- Mikhail Anufriev & Cars Hommes, 2012, "Evolutionary Selection of Individual Expectations and Aggregate Outcomes in Asset Pricing Experiments," American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, American Economic Association, volume 4, issue 4, pages 35-64, November, DOI: 10.1257/mic.4.4.35.
- Simón Sosvilla-Rivero & Maria del Carmen Ramos-Herrera, 2012, "On the forecast accuracy and consistency of exchange rate expectations: The Spanish PwC Survey," Working Papers, Asociación Española de Economía y Finanzas Internacionales, number 12-02, Feb.
- Georges Prat, 2012, "Equity risk premium and time horizon: what do the U.S. secular data say?," Working Papers, Association Française de Cliométrie (AFC), number 12-06.
- Zanello, Giacomo & Shankar, Bhavani & Srinivasan, Chittur S., 2012, "Receiving incorrect information is costly: Diffusion and accuracy of market information among farmers in northern Ghana," 2012 Annual Meeting, August 12-14, 2012, Seattle, Washington, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, number 123967, May, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.123967.
- Stinn, Matthew & Duffy, Michael D., 2012, "What is the Precision of Land Survey Values?," Choices: The Magazine of Food, Farm, and Resource Issues, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, volume 27, issue 3, pages 1-4, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.138941.
- Zanello, Giacomo & Shankar, Bhavani & Srinivasan, Chittur S., 2012, "Transaction costs, information technologies, and the choice of marketplace amongst farmers in northern Ghana," 86th Annual Conference, April 16-18, 2012, Warwick University, Coventry, UK, Agricultural Economics Society, number 134740, Apr, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.134740.
- Maitre d'Hotel, Elodie & le Cotty, Tristan & Jayne, Thomas S., , "Is A Public Regulation Of Food Price Volatility Feasible In Africa? An Arch Approach In Kenya," 123rd Seminar, February 23-24, 2012, Dublin, Ireland, European Association of Agricultural Economists, number 122551, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.122551.
- Irwin, Scott H., 2012, "Does the Masters Hypothesis Explain Recent Food Price Spikes?," 2012 Conference, August 18-24, 2012, Foz do Iguacu, Brazil, International Association of Agricultural Economists, number 126877, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.126877.
- Cordier, Jean & Gohin, Alexandre, 2012, "Quel impact des nouveaux spéculateurs sur les prix agricoles ? Une analyse empirique des fonds d’investissement," Working Papers, Institut National de la recherche Agronomique (INRA), Departement Sciences Sociales, Agriculture et Alimentation, Espace et Environnement (SAE2), number 207989, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.207989.
- Irwin, Scott H. & Sanders, Dwight R., 2012, "Financialization and Structural Change in Commodity Futures Markets," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, volume 44, issue 3, pages 1-26, August, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.130280.
- Bleich, Dirk & Fendel, Ralf, 2012, "Monetary Policy Conditions in Spain Before and After the Changeover to the Euro: A Taylor Rule Based Assessment," Review of Applied Economics, Lincoln University, Department of Financial and Business Systems, volume 8, issue 01, pages 1-17, February, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.143463.
- Irwin, Scott H., 2012, "Does the Masters Hypothesis Explain Recent Food Price Spikes?," Working Papers, Structure and Performance of Agriculture and Agri-products Industry (SPAA), number 126944, Jun, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.126944.
- Proto, Eugenio & Sgroi, Daniel, 2012, "Self-Centered Beliefs: An Empirical Approach," Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick - Department of Economics, number 270746, Feb, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.270746.
- Eizo Akiyama & Nobuyuki Hanaki & Ryuchiro Ishikawa, 2012, "Effect of uncertainty about others’ rationality in experimental asset markets," AMSE Working Papers, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France, number 1234, Nov.
- Mihaela Cristina Gheorghe, 2012, "Creative Accounting In The Context Of An “Efficient” Management," Annals of University of Craiova - Economic Sciences Series, University of Craiova, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, volume 2, issue 40, pages 187-190.
- Aromí, Daniel, 2012, "Saving decisions under bounded and heterogeneous sophistication," Revista de Economía Política de Buenos Aires, Universidad de Buenos Aires, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Instituto Interdisciplinario de Economía Política IIEP (UBA-CONICET), issue 11, pages 119-146, December.
- Pesce, Gabriela & Vigier, Hernán & Durán, Regina, 2012, "Theoretical and empirical analysis of environment insurance in Argentina," Revista de Economía Política de Buenos Aires, Universidad de Buenos Aires, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Instituto Interdisciplinario de Economía Política IIEP (UBA-CONICET), issue 11, pages 81-118, December.
- Hommes, C.H. & Zhu, M., 2012, "Behavioral Learning Equilibria," CeNDEF Working Papers, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance, number 12-09.
- HERMANS, Julie & VANDERSTRAETEN, Johanna & DEJARDIN, Marcus & RAMDANI, Dendi & STAM, Erik & VAN WITTELOOSTUIJN, Arjen, 2012, "Ambitious entrepreneurship: Antecedents and consequences," Working Papers, University of Antwerp, Faculty of Business and Economics, number 2012023, Oct.
- Andreas Husler & Didier Sornette & Cars H. Hommes, 2012, "Super-exponential bubbles in lab experiments: evidence for anchoring over-optimistic expectations on price," Papers, arXiv.org, number 1205.0635, May.
- Defne MUTLUER KURUL, 2012, "Are Bankers Successful in Forecasting the Direction of Credit Volume and Interest rates?," Journal of BRSA Banking and Financial Markets, Banking Regulation and Supervision Agency, volume 6, issue 1, pages 81-102.
- Alessandro Borin & Virginia Di Nino, 2012, "The role of financial investments in agricultural commodity derivatives markets," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 849, Jan.
- Alberto Locarno, 2012, "Monetary policy in a model with misspecified, heterogeneous and ever-changing expectations," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 888, Oct.
- García-Verdú Santiago, 2012, "The Evolution of Inflation Expectations in Mexico," Working Papers, Banco de México, number 2012-06, Aug.
- Sophie Mitra & Jean‐Marc Boussard, 2012, "A simple model of endogenous agricultural commodity price fluctuations with storage," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, volume 43, issue 1, pages 1-15, January, DOI: j.1574-0862.2011.00561.x.
- Astri Muren, 2012, "Optimistic Behavior When A Decision Bias Is Costly: An Experimental Test," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, volume 50, issue 2, pages 463-469, April, DOI: j.1465-7295.2010.00359.x.
- Kevin Lee & Nilss Olekalns & Kalvinder Shields & Zheng Wang, 2012, "Australian Real-Time Database: An Overview and an Illustration of its Use in Business Cycle Analysis," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, volume 88, issue 283, pages 495-516, December, DOI: 10.1111/ecor.2012.88.issue-283.
- Michael W. M. Roos & Ulrich Schmidt, 2012, "The Importance of Time‐Series Extrapolation for Macroeconomic Expectations," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, volume 13, issue 2, pages 196-210, May.
- Stefano Eusepi & Bruce Preston, 2012, "Debt, Policy Uncertainty, And Expectations Stabilization," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, volume 10, issue 4, pages 860-886, August, DOI: j.1542-4774.2012.01072.x.
- Diego Escobari, 2012, "Dynamic Pricing, Advance Sales and Aggregate Demand Learning in Airlines," Journal of Industrial Economics, Wiley Blackwell, volume 60, issue 4, pages 697-724, December, DOI: 10.1111/joie.2012.60.issue-4.
- Christian Pierdzioch & Jan-Christoph Rülke & Georg Stadtmann, 2012, "A Note on Forecasting Emerging Market Exchange Rates: Evidence of Anti-herding," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, volume 20, issue 5, pages 974-984, November, DOI: roie.12007.
- Richard Harrison & Tim Taylor, 2012, "Non-rational expectations and the transmission mechanism," Bank of England working papers, Bank of England, number 448, May.
- Richard Harrison & Tim Taylor, 2012, "Misperceptions, heterogeneous expectations and macroeconomic dynamics," Bank of England working papers, Bank of England, number 449, May.
- J. Easaw & R. Golinelli & M. Malgarini, 2012, "Do Households Anchor their Inflation Expectations? Theory and Evidence from a Household Survey," Working Papers, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna, number wp842, Aug.
- J. Easaw & R. Golinelli, 2012, "Household Inflation Expectations: Information Gathering, Inattentive or Stubborn ?," Working Papers, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna, number wp853, Nov.
- Jana Drutarovská, 2012, "Vplyv špekulácií na vývoj cien ropy," Medzinarodne vztahy (Journal of International Relations), Ekonomická univerzita, Fakulta medzinárodných vzťahov, volume 10, issue 4, pages 192-201.
- Minford, Patrick & Srinivasan, Naveen, 2012, "Can the learnability criterion ensure determinacy in New Keynesian Models?," Cardiff Economics Working Papers, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, number E2012/16, Jul.
- Evans, George W & Ramey, Garey, 2001, "Adaptive Expectations, Underparameterization and the Lucas Critique," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, UC San Diego, number qt41f2h196, May.
- Björn Bartling & Leif Brandes & Daniel Schunk, 2012, "Expectations as Reference Points: Field Evidence from Experienced Subjects in a Competitive, High-Stakes Environment," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 3830.
- Joachim Winter & Amelie C. Wuppermann, 2012, "Do they Know what's at Risk? Health Risk Perception among the Obese," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 3864.
- Stefan Arent, 2012, "Expectations and Saving Behavior: An Empirical Analysis," ifo Working Paper Series, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 128.
- Proto, Eugenio & Sgroi, Daniel, 2012, "Self Centred Beliefs: An Empircal Approach," CAGE Online Working Paper Series, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE), number 75.
- Elias Albagli & Christian Hellwig & Aleh Tsyvinski, 2012, "A Theory of Asset Prices Based on Heterogeneous Information," Levine's Working Paper Archive, David K. Levine, number 786969000000000347, Jan.
- Eric Smith & Martin Shubik, 2012, "Runs, Panics and Bubbles: Diamond Dybvig and Morris Shin Reconsidered," Levine's Working Paper Archive, David K. Levine, number 786969000000000567, Sep.
- Michiel Bijlsma & Karen van der Wiel, 2012, "What Awareness? Consumer Perception of Bank Risk and Deposit Insurance," CPB Discussion Paper, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis, number 205, Feb.
- Burkart, Mike & Lee, Samuel, 2012, "Smart Buyers," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 8774, Jan.
- Woodford, Michael & Adam, Klaus, 2012, "Robustly Optimal Monetary Policy in a Microfounded New Keynesian Model," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 8826, Feb.
- Giannoni, Marc & Preston, Bruce & Eusepi, Stefano, 2012, "Long-Term Debt Pricing and Monetary Policy Transmission under Imperfect Knowledge," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 8845, Feb.
- Honkapohja, Seppo & Evans, George W. & Mitra, Kaushik, 2012, "Fiscal Policy and Learning," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 8891, Mar.
- Honkapohja, Seppo & Evans, George W. & Mitra, Kaushik, 2012, "Policy Change and Learning in the RBC Model," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 8892, Mar.
- Honkapohja, Seppo & Sargent, Thomas & Evans, George W. & Williams, Noah, 2012, "Bayesian Model Averaging, Learning and Model Selection," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 8917, Mar.
- Minford, Patrick & Srinivasan, Naveen, 2012, "Can the learnability criterion ensure determinacy in New Keynesian Models?," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 9039, Jul.
- Pagano, Marco & Di Maggio, Marco, 2012, "Financial Disclosure and Market Transparency with Costly Information Processing," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 9207, Nov.
- Verena Jung & Sascha L. Schmidt & Benno Torgler, 2012, "Antecedents of Attitudes Towards Risky Career Choices," CREMA Working Paper Series, Center for Research in Economics, Management and the Arts (CREMA), number 2012-20, Dec.
- Irwin, Scott H. & Sanders, Dwight R., 2012, "Financialization and Structural Change in Commodity Futures Markets," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, volume 44, issue 3, pages 371-396, August.
- Eric Smith & Martin Shubik, 2012, "Runs, Panics and Bubbles: Diamond-Dybvig and Morris-Shin Reconsidered," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, number 1869, Aug.
- Fischer, Thomas & Riedler, Jesper, 2012, "Prices, Debt and Market Structure in an Agent-Based Model of the Financial Market," Publications of Darmstadt Technical University, Institute for Business Studies (BWL), Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute for Business Studies (BWL), number 58512, Jul.
- Fischer, Thomas, 2012, "News Reaction in Financial Markets within a Behavioral Finance Model with Heterogeneous Agents," Publications of Darmstadt Technical University, Institute for Business Studies (BWL), Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute for Business Studies (BWL), number 58930, Aug.
- Gerard van den Berg & Michèle A. Weynandt, 2012, "Explaining Differences between the Expected and Actual Duration until Return Migration: Economic Changes," SOEPpapers on Multidisciplinary Panel Data Research, DIW Berlin, The German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP), number 497.
- Georges Prat & Remzi Uctum, 2012, "Modeling the horizon-dependent risk premium in the forex market: evidence from survey data," EconomiX Working Papers, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX, number 2012-29.
- Cosmin Ilut & Martin Schneider, 2012, "Ambiguous Business Cycles," Working Papers, Duke University, Department of Economics, number 12-06.
- Mitra, Kaushik & Evans, George W. & Honkapohja, Seppo, 2012, "Fiscal Policy and Learning," SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE), number 2012-10.
- Mitra, Kaushik & Evans, George W. & Honkapohja, Seppo, 2012, "Baysian Model Averaging, Learning and Model Selection," SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE), number 2012-11.
- Branch, William & Evans, George W & McGough, Bruce, 2012, "Finite Horizon Learning," SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE), number 2012-16.
- Slobodyan, Sergey & Wouters, Raf, 2012, "Learning in an estimated medium-scale DSGE model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 36, issue 1, pages 26-46, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2011.01.016.
- Bao, Te & Hommes, Cars & Sonnemans, Joep & Tuinstra, Jan, 2012, "Individual expectations, limited rationality and aggregate outcomes," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 36, issue 8, pages 1101-1120, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2012.03.006.
- Franke, Reiner & Westerhoff, Frank, 2012, "Structural stochastic volatility in asset pricing dynamics: Estimation and model contest," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 36, issue 8, pages 1193-1211, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2011.10.004.
- Reitz, Stefan & Rülke, Jan-Christoph & Stadtmann, Georg, 2012, "Nonlinear expectations in speculative markets – Evidence from the ECB survey of professional forecasters," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 36, issue 9, pages 1349-1363, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2012.02.007.
- Fendel, Ralf & Rülke, Jan-Christoph, 2012, "Some international evidence on the Lucas Supply Function," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 114, issue 2, pages 157-160, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2011.10.003.
- Coelho, Marta & de Meza, David, 2012, "Do bad risks know it? Experimental evidence on optimism and adverse selection," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 114, issue 2, pages 168-171, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2011.10.012.
- Pierdzioch, Christian & Rülke, Jan-Christoph & Stadtmann, Georg, 2012, "On the loss function of the Bank of Canada: A note," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 115, issue 2, pages 155-159, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2011.12.030.
- Berlemann, Michael & Vöpel, Henning, 2012, "Tournament incentives and asset price bubbles: Evidence from a field experiment," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 115, issue 2, pages 232-235, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2011.12.043.
- Gomes, Orlando, 2012, "Rational thinking under costly information—Macroeconomic implications," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 115, issue 3, pages 427-430, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2011.12.102.
- Peel, D.A. & Zhang, Jie, 2012, "On the potential for observational equivalence in experiments on risky choice when a power value function is assumed," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 116, issue 1, pages 8-10, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2011.12.116.
- Geishecker, Ingo, 2012, "Simultaneity bias in the analysis of perceived job insecurity and subjective well-being," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 116, issue 3, pages 319-321, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2012.03.018.
- He, Xue-Zhong & Shi, Lei, 2012, "Disagreement, correlation and asset prices," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 116, issue 3, pages 512-515, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2012.04.064.
- Tsuchiya, Yoichi, 2012, "Evaluating Japanese corporate executives’ forecasts under an asymmetric loss function," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 116, issue 3, pages 601-603, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2012.06.010.
- Yuan, Yue, 2012, "Optimal beliefs in the long run: An overlapping generations perspective," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 117, issue 2, pages 525-527, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2012.06.052.
- Dräger, Lena & Lamla, Michael J., 2012, "Updating inflation expectations: Evidence from micro-data," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 117, issue 3, pages 807-810, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2012.08.033.
- Mannberg, Andréa, 2012, "Risk and rationalization—The role of affect and cognitive dissonance for sexual risk taking," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 56, issue 6, pages 1325-1337, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2012.06.005.
- Irwin, Scott H. & Sanders, Dwight R., 2012, "Testing the Masters Hypothesis in commodity futures markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 34, issue 1, pages 256-269, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2011.10.008.
- Jakobsson, Kristofer & Söderbergh, Bengt & Snowden, Simon & Li, Chuan-Zhong & Aleklett, Kjell, 2012, "Oil exploration and perceptions of scarcity: The fallacy of early success," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 34, issue 4, pages 1226-1233, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2011.11.003.
- Vacha, Lukas & Barunik, Jozef & Vosvrda, Miloslav, 2012, "How do skilled traders change the structure of the market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, volume 23, issue C, pages 66-71, DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2011.06.011.
- Kräussl, Roman & Lucas, André & Siegmann, Arjen, 2012, "Risk aversion under preference uncertainty," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 9, issue 1, pages 1-7, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2011.08.001.
- Chong, Zhiwei, 2012, "Rational expectations equilibrium with transaction costs in financial markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 9, issue 2, pages 73-80, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2011.11.001.
- Birru, Justin & Figlewski, Stephen, 2012, "Anatomy of a meltdown: The risk neutral density for the S&P 500 in the fall of 2008," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, volume 15, issue 2, pages 151-180, DOI: 10.1016/j.finmar.2011.09.001.
- Haruvy, Ernan & Stahl, Dale O., 2012, "Between-game rule learning in dissimilar symmetric normal-form games," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, volume 74, issue 1, pages 208-221, DOI: 10.1016/j.geb.2011.06.001.
- Jara-Moroni, Pedro, 2012, "Rationalizability in games with a continuum of players," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, volume 75, issue 2, pages 668-684, DOI: 10.1016/j.geb.2012.03.004.
- Tolvanen, Juha & Soultanis, Elefterios, 2012, "A correction to “Large games and the law of large numbers” [Games Econom. Behav. 64 (2008) 1–34]," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, volume 76, issue 1, pages 340-343, DOI: 10.1016/j.geb.2012.05.010.
- Engelmann, Dirk & Strobel, Martin, 2012, "Deconstruction and reconstruction of an anomaly," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, volume 76, issue 2, pages 678-689, DOI: 10.1016/j.geb.2012.07.009.
- Bax, Eric & Kuratti, Anand & Mcafee, Preston & Romero, Julian, 2012, "Comparing predicted prices in auctions for online advertising," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, volume 30, issue 1, pages 80-88, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijindorg.2011.06.001.
- Chortareas, Georgios & Jitmaneeroj, Boonlert & Wood, Andrew, 2012, "Forecast rationality and monetary policy frameworks: Evidence from UK interest rate forecasts," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, volume 22, issue 1, pages 209-231, DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2011.09.002.
- Menzies, Gordon D. & Zizzo, Daniel John, 2012, "Monetary policy and inferential expectations of exchange rates," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, volume 22, issue 2, pages 359-380, DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2011.11.001.
- Szafarz, Ariane, 2012, "Financial crises in efficient markets: How fundamentalists fuel volatility," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 36, issue 1, pages 105-111, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2011.06.008.
- Livingston, Jeffrey A., 2012, "The hot hand and the cold hand in professional golf," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 81, issue 1, pages 172-184, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2011.10.001.
- Suetens, Sigrid & Tyran, Jean-Robert, 2012, "The gambler's fallacy and gender," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 83, issue 1, pages 118-124, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2011.06.017.
- Sordi, Serena & Vercelli, Alessandro, 2012, "Heterogeneous expectations and strong uncertainty in a Minskyian model of financial fluctuations," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 83, issue 3, pages 544-557, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2012.05.012.
- Giansante, Simone & Chiarella, Carl & Sordi, Serena & Vercelli, Alessandro, 2012, "Structural contagion and vulnerability to unexpected liquidity shortfalls," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 83, issue 3, pages 558-569, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2012.05.014.
- Arango, Santiago & Moxnes, Erling, 2012, "Commodity cycles, a function of market complexity? Extending the cobweb experiment," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 84, issue 1, pages 321-334, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2012.04.002.
- Mendel, Brock & Shleifer, Andrei, 2012, "Chasing noise," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, volume 104, issue 2, pages 303-320, DOI: 10.1016/j.jfineco.2011.02.018.
- Bleich, Dirk & Fendel, Ralf & Rülke, Jan-Christoph, 2012, "Inflation targeting makes the difference: Novel evidence on inflation stabilization," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 31, issue 5, pages 1092-1105, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2011.12.012.
- Bowden, Mark P., 2012, "Information contagion within small worlds and changes in kurtosis and volatility in financial prices," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 34, issue 2, pages 553-566, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2012.01.003.
- Urbig, Diemo & Monsen, Erik, 2012, "The structure of optimism: “Controllability affects the extent to which efficacy beliefs shape outcome expectancies”," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, volume 33, issue 4, pages 854-867, DOI: 10.1016/j.joep.2012.03.004.
- Ryvkin, Dmitry & Krajč, Marian & Ortmann, Andreas, 2012, "Are the unskilled doomed to remain unaware?," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, volume 33, issue 5, pages 1012-1031, DOI: 10.1016/j.joep.2012.06.003.
- Brandes, Leif & Franck, Egon, 2012, "Social preferences or personal career concerns? Field evidence on positive and negative reciprocity in the workplace," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, volume 33, issue 5, pages 925-939, DOI: 10.1016/j.joep.2012.05.001.
- Krawczyk, Michał, 2012, "Incentives and timing in relative performance judgments: A field experiment," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, volume 33, issue 6, pages 1240-1246, DOI: 10.1016/j.joep.2012.09.006.
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