Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes
Top JEL
/ D: Microeconomics
/ / D8: Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty
/ / / D84: Expectations; Speculations
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- Jessica Piccolo & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, , "Homeownership and Attention to Inflation: Evidence from Information Treatments," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno", number 0317.
- Brock Mendel & Andrei Shleifer, , "Chasing Noise," Working Paper, Harvard University OpenScholar, number 19517.
- Nicola Gennaioli & Andrei Shleifer & Robert Vishny, , "Neglected Risks: The Psychology of Financial Crises," Working Paper, Harvard University OpenScholar, number 256166.
- Pedro Bordalo & Katherine Coffman & Nicola Gennaioli & Andrei Shleifer, , "Stereotypes," Working Paper, Harvard University OpenScholar, number 373306.
- Pedro Bordalo & Katherine Coffman & Nicola Gennaioli & Andrei Shleifer, , "Stereotypes," Working Paper, Harvard University OpenScholar, number 467407.
- Pedro Bordalo & Nicola Gennaioli & Andrei Shleifer, , "Salience and Asset Prices," Working Paper, Harvard University OpenScholar, number 69726.
- Sophocles Mavroeidis & Mikkel Plagborg-Møller & James H. Stock, , "Empirical Evidence on Inflation Expectations in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," Working Paper, Harvard University OpenScholar, number 84656.
- Nicola Acocella, , "Forward guidance announcements and policy effectiveness," Working Papers, Sapienza University of Rome, Metodi e Modelli per l'Economia, il Territorio e la Finanza MEMOTEF, number 124/14.
- Martin Chegere & Paolo Falco & Marco Nieddiu & Lorenzo Pandolfi & Mattea Stein, 2022, "The Magic of the Game:Experimental Evidence on Sports Betting Behavior," CSEF Working Papers, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy, number 655, Nov, revised 15 Nov 2024.
- Kent Osband Valerio Filoso & Capasso Salvatore & Valerio Filoso, 2022, "The Limits of Limitless Debt," CSEF Working Papers, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy, number 662, Dec.
- Leilane de Freitas Rocha Cambara & Roberto Meurer, Gilberto Tadeu Lima, 2019, "Deviating from Perfect Foresight but not from Theoretical Consistency: The Behavior of Inflation Expectations in Brazil," Working Papers, Department of Economics, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP), number 2019_36, Sep.
- Mikhail Anufriev & John Duffy & Valentyn Panchenko, , "Planar Beauty Contests," Discussion Papers, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales, number 2019-06.
- Szkup, Michal, 2020, "Multiplier effect and comparative statics in global games of regime change," Theoretical Economics, Econometric Society, volume 15, issue 2, May.
- Doval, Laura & Skreta, Vasiliki, 2024, "Optimal mechanism for the sale of a durable good," Theoretical Economics, Econometric Society, volume 19, issue 2, May.
- Antler, Yair, 2023, "Multilevel marketing: pyramid-shaped schemes or exploitative scams?," Theoretical Economics, Econometric Society, volume 18, issue 2, May.
- Awaya, Yu & Iwasaki, Kohei & Watanabe, Makoto, 2022, "Rational bubbles and middlemen," Theoretical Economics, Econometric Society, volume 17, issue 4, November.
- Mitkov, Yuliyan, 2025, "Private sunspots in games of coordinated attack," Theoretical Economics, Econometric Society, volume 20, issue 2, May.
- Liao, Xiaoye & Szkup, Michal, 2026, "Coordination with sequential information acquisition," Theoretical Economics, Econometric Society, volume 21, issue 1, January.
- Roman Frydman & Soren Johansen & Anders Rahbek & Morten Tabor, 2017, "The Qualitative Expectations Hypothesis: Model Ambiguity, Consistent Representations of Market Forecasts, and Sentiment," Working Papers Series, Institute for New Economic Thinking, number 59, Jun, DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2995140.
- Roman Frydman & Soren Johansen & Anders Rahbek & Morten Tabor, 2019, "The Knightian Uncertainty Hypothesis: Unforeseeable Change and Muth`s Consistency Constraint in Modeling Aggregate Outcomes," Working Papers Series, Institute for New Economic Thinking, number 92, Feb, DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3346766.
- Mikhail Anufriev & Tiziana Assenza & Cars Hommes & Domenico Massaro, 0000, "Interest Rate Rules and Macroeconomic Stability under Heterogeneous Expectations," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 09-040/1, 00.
- Cars Hommes & Anita Kopányi-Peuker & Joep Sonnemans, , "Bubbles, crashes and information contagion in large-group asset market experiments," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 19-016/II.
- Johan de Jong & Joep Sonnemans & Jan Tuinstra, , "The Effect of Futures Markets on the Stability of Commodity Prices," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 19-028/II.
- Asen Ivanov, , "Strategic Play and Risk Aversion in One-Shot Normal-Form Games: An Experimental Study," Working Papers, VCU School of Business, Department of Economics, number 0802.
- Daniel Graydon Stephenson, 2023, "Knowledge, Interest Rates, and Asset Price Bubbles," Working Papers, VCU School of Business, Department of Economics, number 2301, Jan.
- Jean-Michel Grandmont, , "Countercyclical Endogenous Uncertainty Shocks, Efficiency Wages and Procyclical Precautionary Labor Productivity," Working Papers, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari", number 2017:25.
- Stephen Morris, , ""Approximate Common Knowledge Revisited''," CARESS Working Papres, University of Pennsylvania Center for Analytic Research and Economics in the Social Sciences, number 96-06.
- Mordecai Kurz & Ho-Mou Wu, , "Endogenous Uncertainty in a General Equilibrium Model with Price Contingent Contracts," Working Papers, Stanford University, Department of Economics, number 96002.
- Mordecai Kurz, , "Endogenous Uncertainty: A Unified View of Market Volatility," Working Papers, Stanford University, Department of Economics, number 97027.
- Mordecai Kurz, , "Endogenous Uncertainty: A Unified View of Market Volatility," Working Papers, Stanford University, Department of Economics, number 98013.
- Mordecai Kurz & Maurizio Motolese, , "Endogenous Uncertainty and Market Volatility," Working Papers, Stanford University, Department of Economics, number 99005.
- J. Dominitz & C. F. Manski, , "Perceptions of Economic Insecurity: Evidence from the Survey of Economic Expectations," Institute for Research on Poverty Discussion Papers, University of Wisconsin Institute for Research on Poverty, number 1105-96.
- Roth, Christopher & Sonja Settele & Wohlfart, Johannes, 2021, "Risk Exposure and Acquisition of Macroeconomic Information," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics, number 1331.
- Seppo Honkapohja & Kaushik Mitra, , "Are Non-Fundamental Equilibria Learnable in Models of Monetary Policy?," Discussion Papers, Department of Economics, University of York, number 01/05.
- Ernst Fehr & Urs Fischbacher & Bernhard von Rosenbladt & J�rgen Schupp & Gert G. Wagner, , "A Nation-Wide Laboratory: Examining trust and trustworthiness by integrating behavioral experiments into representative surveys," IEW - Working Papers, Institute for Empirical Research in Economics - University of Zurich, number 141.
- Enrico De Giorgi & Stefan Reimann, , "The ?-Beauty Contest: Choosing Numbers, Thinking Intervals," IEW - Working Papers, Institute for Empirical Research in Economics - University of Zurich, number 183.
- Pierre Monnin, , "Are stock markets really like beauty contests? Empirical evidence of higher order belief's impact on asset prices," IEW - Working Papers, Institute for Empirical Research in Economics - University of Zurich, number 202.
- Bruno S. Frey & Alois Stutzer, , "Economic Consequences of Mispredicting Utility," IEW - Working Papers, Institute for Empirical Research in Economics - University of Zurich, number 218.
- Yan, Lei & Irwin, Scott H. & Sanders, Dwight R., 2016, "The Relationship between Commodity Investment Flows and Crude Oil Futures Prices: Real or Spurious?," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, number 235933, May, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.235933.
- Juan Brichetti & Daniel Heymann & Pedro Juarros & Gustavo Montero, 2019, "Expectations, Coordination Failures and Macro Crises," Documentos de trabajo del Instituto Interdisciplinario de Economía Política IIEP (UBA-CONICET), Universidad de Buenos Aires, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Instituto Interdisciplinario de Economía Política IIEP (UBA-CONICET), number 2019-46, Jul.
- Sanja Celcer, , "The Response of Household Debt to Consumer Confidence Shocks in Germany, Italy and France," Review of Socio - Economic Perspectives, Reviewsep, number 202344, DOI: https://doi.org/10.19275/RSEP187.
- Andrius Vainilavicius, , "European Union consumer inflation expectations in macro panels," Review of Socio - Economic Perspectives, Reviewsep, number 202353, DOI: 10.2478/rsep-2025-0006.
- Maxence Soumare & J{o}rgen Vitting Andersen & Francis Bouchard & Alain Elkaim & Dominique Gu'egan & Justin Leroux & Michel Miniconi & Lars Stentoft, 2013, "A theoretical framework for trading experiments," Papers, arXiv.org, number 1306.2073, Jun.
- Si Chen, 2013, "Optimistic versus Pessimistic--Optimal Judgemental Bias with Reference Point," Papers, arXiv.org, number 1310.2964, Oct.
- Thomas Lux & D. Sornette, 1999, "On Rational Bubbles and Fat Tails," Papers, arXiv.org, number cond-mat/9910141, Oct.
- Pei Kuang & Kaushik Mitra, 2015, "Long-Run Growth Uncertainty," Discussion Papers, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham, number 15-07, Mar.
- Dong Lou & Gabor Pinter & Semih Uslu & Danny Walker, 2024, "Bond supply, yield drifts and liquidity provision before macroeconomic announcements," BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 1232, Dec.
- Christian Ewerhart & Nuno Cassola & Steen EJjerksov & Natacha Valla, 2006, "Manipulation in Money Markets," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series, Swiss Finance Institute, number 06-29, Nov.
- Andreas D. Huesler & Didier Sornette & C. H. Hommes, 2012, "Super-Exponential Bubbles in Lab Experiments: Evidence for Anchoring Over-Optimistic Expectations on Price," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series, Swiss Finance Institute, number 12-20, May.
- Semyon MALAMUD, 2014, "Price Discovery through Options," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series, Swiss Finance Institute, number 14-36, May.
- Julio Dvila & Piero Gottardi & Atsushi Kajii, , "Local Sunspot Equilibria Reconsidered," Penn CARESS Working Papers, Penn Economics Department, number 164a7928416be97f49ebc2b58.
- Stephen Morris, , "Approximate Common Knowledge Revisited," Penn CARESS Working Papers, Penn Economics Department, number 6be11f49fbded40b2a623aebf.
- AUMANN, Robert J. & DREZE, Jacques H., 2009, "Rational expectations in games," LIDAM Reprints CORE, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE), number 2011, Jan, DOI: 10.1257/aer.98.1.72.
- Bertrand Candelon & Laurent Ferrara & Marc Joëts, 2019, "Global financial interconnectedness: A non-linear assessment of the uncertainty channel," GRU Working Paper Series, City University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics and Finance, Global Research Unit, number GRU_2019_001, Jan.
- Shyam Gouri Suresh, 2015, "Rational versus Adaptive Expectations in an Agent-Based Model of a Barter Economy," Working Papers, Davidson College, Department of Economics, number 15-02, Jan.
- Mishra, Sagarika, 2012, "Do agents learn by least squares? The evidence provided by changes in monetary policy," Working Papers, Deakin University, Department of Economics, number fe_2012_09, Jan.
- Timo WOLLMERSHAEUSER & Robert SCHMIDT, 2010, "Sterilized Foreign Exchange Market Interventions in a Chartist-Fundamentalist Exchange Rate Model," EcoMod2004, EcoMod, number 330600162, Jan.
- James C. Cox & Cary A. Deck, 2007, "Assigning Intentions when Actions are Unobservable: the Impact of Trembling in the Trust Game," Experimental Economics Center Working Paper Series, Experimental Economics Center, Andrew Young School of Policy Studies, Georgia State University, number 2006-01, Dec.
- Pamela Giustinelli, 2022, "Expectations in Education: Framework, Elicitation, and Evidence," Working Papers, Human Capital and Economic Opportunity Working Group, number 2022-026, Aug.
- Marco de Pinto & Lazlo Goerke & Alberto Palermo, 2023, "Informational Rents and the Excessive Entry Theorem: The Case of Hidden Action," IAAEU Discussion Papers, Institute of Labour Law and Industrial Relations in the European Union (IAAEU), number 202301, Jan.
- Adrián Caballero & R. López-Pérez, 2020, "Self-serving recall is not a sufficient cause of optimism: An experiment," Working Papers, Instituto de Políticas y Bienes Públicos (IPP), CSIC, number 2005, Oct.
- Adrián Caballero & Raúl López-Pérez, 2020, "An experimental test of some economic theories of optimism," Working Papers, Instituto de Políticas y Bienes Públicos (IPP), CSIC, number 2006, Oct.
- Maurizio Bovi, , "Le persone comuni fanno previsioni economiche seguendo logiche econometriche o meccanismi psicologici?," Working Papers, Department of the Treasury, Ministry of the Economy and of Finance, number wp2009-5.
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- Biondi Yuri, 2011, "Disagreement-Based Trading and Speculation: Implications for Financial Regulation and Economic Theory," Accounting, Economics, and Law: A Convivium, De Gruyter, volume 1, issue 1, pages 1-8, January, DOI: 10.2202/2152-2820.1017.
- Stout Lynn A., 2011, "Risk, Speculation, and OTC Derivatives: An Inaugural Essay for Convivium," Accounting, Economics, and Law: A Convivium, De Gruyter, volume 1, issue 1, pages 1-15, January, DOI: 10.2202/2152-2820.1004.
- Baglioni Angelo, 2008, "Entry into a Network Industry: Consumers' Expectations and Firms' Pricing Policies," The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, De Gruyter, volume 8, issue 1, pages 1-13, July, DOI: 10.2202/1935-1682.2012.
- Easaw Joshy & Golinelli Roberto, 2010, "Households Forming Inflation Expectations: Active and Passive Absorption Rates," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, volume 10, issue 1, pages 1-32, November, DOI: 10.2202/1935-1690.2070.
- Evans George W & McGough Bruce, 2010, "Implementing Optimal Monetary Policy in New-Keynesian Models with Inertia," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, volume 10, issue 1, pages 1-25, March, DOI: 10.2202/1935-1690.1763.
- Carrera Cesar, 2012, "Estimating Information Rigidity Using Firms' Survey Data," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, volume 12, issue 1, pages 1-34, June, DOI: 10.1515/1935-1690.2377.
- Evans George W & Honkapohja Seppo M.S. & Marimon Ramon, 2007, "Stable Sunspot Equilibria in a Cash-in-Advance Economy," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, volume 7, issue 1, pages 1-38, January, DOI: 10.2202/1935-1690.1165.
- Doepke Joerg & Dovern Jonas & Fritsche Ulrich & Slacalek Jiri, 2008, "The Dynamics of European Inflation Expectations," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, volume 8, issue 1, pages 1-23, March, DOI: 10.2202/1935-1690.1540.
- Menzies Gordon Douglas & Zizzo Daniel John, 2009, "Inferential Expectations," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, volume 9, issue 1, pages 1-27, December, DOI: 10.2202/1935-1690.1710.
- Branch William & McGough Bruce, 2004, "Multiple Equilibria in Heterogeneous Expectations Models," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, volume 4, issue 1, pages 1-16, December, DOI: 10.2202/1534-6005.1197.
- Evans George W & McGough Bruce, 2005, "Indeterminacy and the Stability Puzzle in Non-Convex Economies," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, volume 5, issue 1, pages 1-46, September, DOI: 10.2202/1534-6005.1264.
- Epstein Larry G & Noor Jawwad & Sandroni Alvaro, 2010, "Non-Bayesian Learning," The B.E. Journal of Theoretical Economics, De Gruyter, volume 10, issue 1, pages 1-20, January, DOI: 10.2202/1935-1704.1623.
- Nielsen Carsten K, 2007, "Sunspot Rational Beliefs Structures, Equilibria and Excess Volatility," The B.E. Journal of Theoretical Economics, De Gruyter, volume 7, issue 1, pages 1-26, May, DOI: 10.2202/1935-1704.1340.
- Fong Yuk-Fai, 2009, "Private Information of Nonpaternalistic Altruism: Exaggeration and Reciprocation of Generosity," The B.E. Journal of Theoretical Economics, De Gruyter, volume 9, issue 1, pages 1-32, January, DOI: 10.2202/1935-1704.1506.
- Stevenson Maxwell J & Moreira do Amaral Luiz Felipe & Peat Maurice, 2006, "Risk Management and the Role of Spot Price Predictions in the Australian Retail Electricity Market," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 10, issue 3, pages 1-25, September, DOI: 10.2202/1558-3708.1383.
- Westerhoff Frank H., 2006, "Nonlinear Expectation Formation, Endogenous Business Cycles and Stylized Facts," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 10, issue 4, pages 1-17, December, DOI: 10.2202/1558-3708.1324.
- Gomes Orlando, 2009, "The Sticky Information Macro Model: Beyond Perfect Foresight," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 14, issue 1, pages 1-37, December, DOI: 10.2202/1558-3708.1716.
- Anufriev Mikhail & Bottazzi Giulio, 2012, "Asset Pricing with Heterogeneous Investment Horizons," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 16, issue 4, pages 1-38, October, DOI: 10.1515/1558-3708.1903.
- Franke Reiner, 2012, "Microfounded Animal Spirits in the New Macroeconomic Consensus," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 16, issue 4, pages 1-41, October, DOI: 10.1515/1558-3708.1898.
- Alfarano Simone & Milakovic Mishael, 2012, "Identification of Interaction Effects in Survey Expectations: A Cautionary Note," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 16, issue 4, pages 1-23, October, DOI: 10.1515/1558-3708.1909.
- Philippe MONGIN, 1991, "Les anticipations rationnelles et la rationalité : un examen de quelques modèles d’apprentissage," Discussion Papers (REL - Recherches Economiques de Louvain), Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES), number 1991041, Dec.
- Caliendo, Marco & Uhlendorff, Arne, 2011, "Determinanten des Suchverhaltens von Arbeitslosen : ausgewählte Erkenntnisse basierend auf dem IZA Evaluationsdatensatz (Determinants of the search behavior of the unemployed : selected results based ," Zeitschrift für ArbeitsmarktForschung - Journal for Labour Market Research, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany], volume 44, issue 1/2, pages 119-125.
- Michal Szkup, 2022, "Preventing Self-Fulfilling Debt Crises: A Global Games Approach," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, volume 43, pages 22-55, January, DOI: 10.1016/j.red.2020.12.002.
- Qingyuan Du & Stefano Eusepi & Bruce Preston, 2021, "Non-Rational Beliefs in an Open Economy," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, volume 41, pages 174-204, July, DOI: 10.1016/j.red.2021.03.002.
- Christopher Gibbs & Nigel McClung, 2023, "Does my model predict a forward guidance puzzle?," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, volume 51, pages 393-423, December, DOI: 10.1016/j.red.2023.03.001.
- James L. Smith & Rex Thompson and Thomas K. Lee, None, "The informational role of spot prices and inventories," Journal of Energy Markets, Journal of Energy Markets.
- D. Urbig & J. Stauf & U. Weitzel, 2009, "What is your level of overconfidence? A strictly incentive compatible measurement of absolute and relative overconfidence," Working Papers, Utrecht School of Economics, number 09-20, Aug.
- M.I. Droes & W.H.J. Hassink, 2009, "Sale Price Expectations and Mortgage Commitment: Inaccuracy versus Price Setting Behaviour," Working Papers, Utrecht School of Economics, number 09-24, Sep.
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