Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

2022

• Georgy Trofimov, 2022, "Competitive Storage and Commodity Price in Continuous Time," HSE Economic Journal, National Research University Higher School of Economics, volume 26, issue 4, pages 523-551.
• Sekizawa, Yoichi, 2022, "将来予測とうつ・不安・幸福度との関係 : コロナ禍におけるパネルデータ形式のアンケート調査による検証, Associations Between Future Expectations and Emotion-Related Variables such as Depression, Anxiety, and Happiness: Exploration Using a Panel Data Survey During the COVID-19 Pandemic," Economic Review, Hitotsubashi University, volume 73, issue 4, pages 343-357, October, DOI: 10.15057/74343.
• Anasuya Haldar & Narayan Sethi, 2022, "The Economic Effects of Covid-19 Mitigation Policies on Unemployment and Economic Policy Uncertainty," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, volume 25, issue Special I, pages 61-84, March, DOI: https://doi.org/10.21098/bemp.v25i0.
• Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber, 2022, "Does Policy Communication during COVID Work?," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, volume 18, issue 1, pages 3-39, March.
• Mr. Philip Barrett & Jonathan J. Adams, 2022, "Shocks to Inflation Expectations," IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund, number 2022/072, Apr.
• Mr. Jiaqian Chen & Lucyna Gornicka & Vaclav Zdarek, 2022, "Biases in Survey Inflation Expectations: Evidence from the Euro Area," IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund, number 2022/205, Sep.
• Utz Weitzel & Michael Kirchler, 2022, "The Banker's Oath And Financial Advice," Working Papers, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, Universität Innsbruck, number 2022-13.
• Maria A. Cattaneo, 2022, "What wages do people expect for vocational and academic education backgrounds in Switzerland?," Economics of Education Working Paper Series, University of Zurich, Department of Business Administration (IBW), number 0197, Oct.
• Drerup, Tilman & Wibral, Matthias & Pugnaghi Zimpelmann, Christian, 2022, "Skewness Expectations and Portfolio Choice," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 15018, Jan.
• Gohl, Niklas & Haan, Peter & Michelsen, Claus & Weinhardt, Felix, 2022, "House Price Expectations," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 15040, Jan.
• Link, Sebastian & Peichl, Andreas & Roth, Christopher & Wohlfart, Johannes, 2022, "Information Frictions among Firms and Households," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 15090, Feb.
• Leibing, Andreas & Peter, Frauke & Waights, Sevrin & Spieß, C. Katharina, 2022, "Gender Gaps in Early Wage Expectations," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 15281, May.
• Brancati, Emanuele & Di Maio, Michele & Rahman, Aminur, 2022, "Finance, Informal Competition, and Expectations: A Firm-Level Analysis," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 15440, Jul.
• Garten, Claudius & Myck, Michal & Oczkowska, Monika, 2022, "Homeownership and the Perception of Material Security in Old Age," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 15495, Aug.
• Drobner, Christoph & Goerg, Sebastian J., 2022, "Motivated Belief Updating and Rationalization of Information," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 15682, Oct.
• Ahmad, Husnain F. & Gibson, Matthew & Nadeem, Fatiq & Nasim, Sanval & Rezaee, Arman, 2022, "Forecasts: Consumption, Production, and Behavioral Responses," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 15831, Dec.
• Giuliana Passamani & Alessandro Sardone & Roberto Tamborini, 2022, "Inflation puzzles, the Phillips Curve and output expectations: new perspectives from the Euro Zone," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, volume 49, issue 1, pages 123-153, February, DOI: 10.1007/s10663-021-09515-8.
• Timo Henckel & Gordon D. Menzies & Peter G. Moffatt & Daniel J. Zizzo, 2022, "Belief adjustment: a double hurdle model and experimental evidence," Experimental Economics, Springer;Economic Science Association, volume 25, issue 1, pages 26-67, February, DOI: 10.1007/s10683-021-09701-2.
• Despoina Alempaki & Andrew M. Colman & Felix Kölle & Graham Loomes & Briony D. Pulford, 2022, "Investigating the failure to best respond in experimental games," Experimental Economics, Springer;Economic Science Association, volume 25, issue 2, pages 656-679, April, DOI: 10.1007/s10683-021-09725-8.
• Stanimira Milcheva, 2022, "Volatility and the Cross-Section of Real Estate Equity Returns during Covid-19," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, volume 65, issue 2, pages 293-320, August, DOI: 10.1007/s11146-021-09840-6.
• Aurélien Baillon & Aleli Kraft & Owen O’Donnell & Kim Wilgenburg, 2022, "A behavioral decomposition of willingness to pay for health insurance," Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, volume 64, issue 1, pages 43-87, February, DOI: 10.1007/s11166-022-09371-2.
• Christian Deutscher & Marco Sahm & Sandra Schneemann & Hendrik Sonnabend, 2022, "Strategic investment decisions in multi-stage contests with heterogeneous players," Theory and Decision, Springer, volume 93, issue 2, pages 281-317, September, DOI: 10.1007/s11238-021-09845-w.

2021

• Jan R. Magnus & Anatoly A. Peresetsky, 2021, "A statistical explanation of the Dunning-Kruger effect," Working Papers, New Economic School (NES), number w0286, Nov.
• Patrick Bayer & Kyle Mangum & James W. Roberts, 2021, "Speculative Fever: Investor Contagion in the Housing Bubble," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, volume 111, issue 2, pages 609-651, February, DOI: 10.1257/aer.20171611.
• Alexandre N. Kohlhas & Ansgar Walther, 2021, "Asymmetric Attention," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, volume 111, issue 9, pages 2879-2925, September, DOI: 10.1257/aer.20191432.
• Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2021, "The Transmission of Monetary Policy Shocks," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, volume 13, issue 3, pages 74-107, July, DOI: 10.1257/mac.20180124.
• M. Kathleen Ngangoué & Georg Weizsäcker, 2021, "Learning from Unrealized versus Realized Prices," American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, American Economic Association, volume 13, issue 2, pages 174-201, May, DOI: 10.1257/mic.20180268.
• Navin Kartik & Frances Xu Lee & Wing Suen, 2021, "Information Validates the Prior: A Theorem on Bayesian Updating and Applications," American Economic Review: Insights, American Economic Association, volume 3, issue 2, pages 165-182, June, DOI: 10.1257/aeri.20200284.
• Christoph Drobner & Sebastian J. Goerg, 2021, "Motivated Belief Updating and Rationalization of Information," Munich Papers in Political Economy, Munich School of Politics and Public Policy and the School of Management at the Technical University of Munich, number 18, Dec.
• Candelon, Bertrand & Ferrara, Laurent & Joëts, Marc, 2021, "Global financial interconnectedness: a non-linear assessment of the uncertainty channel," LIDAM Reprints LFIN, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN), number 2021003, Jan, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.20.
• Peter Andre & Carlo Pizzinelli & Christopher Roth & Johannes Wohlfart, 2021, "Subjective Models of the Macroeconomy: Evidence From Experts and Representative Samples," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany, number 119, Oct.
• Christopher Roth & Mirko Wiederholt & Johannes Wohlfart, 2021, "The Effects of Forward Guidance: Theory with Measured Expectations," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany, number 126, Nov.
• Peter Andre & Ingar Haaland & Christopher Roth & Mirko Wiederholt & Johannes Wohlfart, 2021, "Narratives about the Macroeconomy," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany, number 127, Nov.
• Christine Laudenbach & Annika Weber & Johannes Wohlfart, 2021, "Beliefs About the Stock Market and Investment Choices: Evidence from a Field Experiment," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany, number 128, Nov.
• Heiner Mikosch & Christopher Roth & Samad Sarferaz & Johannes Wohlfart, 2021, "Uncertainty and Information Acquisition: Evidence from Firms and Households," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany, number 129, Dec.
• Ignacio Galará, 2021, "Miopes y pesimistas: ¿Cómo forman sus expectativas de inflación los argentinos? Revisión empírica de un modelo teórico agregado de expectativas con sesgos de información. Estudio del caso argentino," Working Papers, Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE), number 37, Mar.
• Bibiana Lanzilotta & Juan Gabriel Brida & Lucía Rosich, 2021, "Common trends in producers’ expectations, the nonlinear linkage with Uruguayan GDP and its implications in economic growth forecasting," Working Papers, Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE), number 62, Apr.
• Carlos Segura-Rodriguez & Andrea Collado-Chaves, 2021, "Stability of Costa Rican Inflation Expectations," Notas Técnicas, Banco Central de Costa Rica, number 2101, Jan.
• Laura Doval & Vasiliki Skreta, 2021, "Purchase history and product personalization," Papers, arXiv.org, number 2103.11504, Mar, revised Jul 2023.
• Jessica Birkholz & Jarina Kühn, 2021, "Entrepreneurship Perception during the first COVID-19 Shock: Mental Representations of Entrepreneurship and Preferences of Business Models during the Pandemic," Bremen Papers on Economics & Innovation, University of Bremen, Faculty of Business Studies and Economics, number 2105, Jul, DOI: https://doi.org/10.26092/elib/824.
• Jaqueson Galimberti, 2021, "Initial Beliefs Uncertainty and Information Weighting in the Estimation of Models with Adaptive Learning," Working Papers, Auckland University of Technology, Department of Economics, number 2021-01, Feb.
• Alexander Hodbod & Cars Hommes & Stefanie J. Huber & Isabelle Salle, 2021, "The COVID-19 Consumption Game-Changer: Evidence from a Large-Scale Multi-Country Survey," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 21-57, Nov, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2021-57.
• Mikael Khan & Olga Bilyk & Matthew Ackman, 2021, "Update on housing market imbalances and household indebtedness," Staff Analytical Notes, Bank of Canada, number 2021-4, Apr, DOI: 10.34989/san-2021-4.
• Pablo Aguilar, 2021, "La recuperación del consumo en 2021: un análisis a partir de las expectativas de los consumidores," Boletín Económico, Banco de España, issue 3/2021.
• Pablo Aguilar, 2021, "Consumption recovery in 2021: an analysis drawing on consumer expectations," Economic Bulletin, Banco de España, issue 3/2021.
• Luis Guirola, 2021, "Does political polarization affect economic expectations?: Evidence from three decades of cabinet shifts in Europe," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 2133, Sep.
• Cristina Angelico & Juri Marcucci & Marcello Miccoli & Filippo Quarta, 2021, "Can we measure inflation expectations using Twitter?," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1318, Feb.
• Ana María Iregui-Bohórquez & César Anzola-Bravo & Luisa Fernanda Ballén-Rubio & Valeria Bejarano-Salcedo & Eliana González-Molano & Anderson Grajales-Olarte & Alexander Guarín-López & María Alejandra , 2021, "¿Qué nos dicen las encuestas sobre la formación de expectativas de inflación?," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, issue 100, pages 1-95, September.
• Sydnee Caldwell & Scott Nelson & Daniel C. Waldinger, 2021, "Tax Refund Uncertainty: Evidence and Welfare Implications," Working Papers, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics, number 2021-18.
• Chistoph Grosse-Steffen, 2021, "Anchoring of Inflation Expectations: Do Inflation Target Formulations Matter?," Working papers, Banque de France, number 852.
• Erika Deserranno & Firman Witoelar & Gianmarco León-Ciliotta, 2021, "When Transparency Fails: Financial Incentives for Local Banking Agents in Indonesia," Working Papers, Barcelona School of Economics, number 1233, Jan.
• Laura Veldkamp & Isaac Baley, 2021, "Bayesian Learning," Working Papers, Barcelona School of Economics, number 1287, Sep.
• Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Tho Pham & Oleksandr Talavera, 2021, "The Voice of Monetary Policy," Discussion Papers, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham, number 21-02, Feb.
• George W. Evans & Seppo Honkapohja & Kaushik Mitra, 2022, "Expectations, Stagnation and Fiscal Policy: a Nonlinear Analysis," Discussion Papers, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham, number 22-01, Jan.
• Sergey Slobodyan & Raf Wouters, 2021, "Survey Expectations and Learning," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, volume 80, issue 2, pages 3-27, June, DOI: 10.31477/rjmf.202102.03.
• Serafín Frache & Rodrigo Lluberas & Javier Turen, 2021, "Belief-Dependent Pricing Decisions," Documentos de trabajo, Banco Central del Uruguay, number 2021007.
• Raphael Guber & Martin G. Kocher & Joachim Winter, 2021, "Does having insurance change individuals' self‐confidence?," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, volume 88, issue 2, pages 429-442, June, DOI: 10.1111/jori.12319.
• Barbara Broadway & John P. de New, 2021, "The Importance of Economic Expectations for Retirement Entry," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, volume 67, issue 1, pages 37-60, March, DOI: 10.1111/roiw.12456.
• Joab Dan Valdivia Coria & Juan Carlos Carlo Santos, 2021, "Efectos de la inversión pública y privada en el crecimiento económico de Bolivia," Revista de Análisis del BCB, Banco Central de Bolivia, volume 34, issue 1, pages 55-86, January -.
• Rolando Einar Paz Rodriguez, 2021, "Análisis de las expectativas cambiarias en Bolivia," Revista de Análisis del BCB, Banco Central de Bolivia, volume 35, issue 1, pages 105-128, July - De.
• Osnat Zohar, 2021, "Cyclicality of Uncertainty and Disagreement," Bank of Israel Working Papers, Bank of Israel, number 2021.09, May.
• Ko Adachi & Kazuhiro Hiraki, 2021, "Recent Developments in Measuring Inflation Expectations: With a Focus on Market-based Inflation Expectations and the Term Structure of Inflation Expectations," Bank of Japan Research Laboratory Series, Bank of Japan, number 21-E-1, Jun.
• Christian Zimpelmann, 2021, "Stock Market Beliefs and Portfolio Choice in the General Population," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany, number crctr224_2021_258, Jan.
• Peter Andre & Ingar Haaland & Christopher Roth & Johannes Wohlfart, 2021, "Inflation Narratives," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany, number crctr224_2021_325, Dec.
• Galanis Spyros & Kotronis Stelios, 2021, "Updating Awareness and Information Aggregation," The B.E. Journal of Theoretical Economics, De Gruyter, volume 21, issue 2, pages 613-635, June, DOI: 10.1515/bejte-2018-0193.
• Hans-Michael Trautwein, 2021, "Taking expectations seriously: A leitmotif in Stockholm School economics," Revue d'économie politique, Dalloz, volume 131, issue 3, pages 333-369.
• Richard Arena & Eric Nasica, 2021, "Keynes’s methodology and the analysis of economic agent behavior in a complex world," Revue d'économie politique, Dalloz, volume 131, issue 3, pages 371-402.
• Rodolphe Dos Santos Ferreira, 2021, "When Muth’s entrepreneurs meet Schrödinger’s cat," Revue d'économie politique, Dalloz, volume 131, issue 3, pages 449-459.
• Alan Kirman, 2021, "Rational expectations in a changing world," Revue d'économie politique, Dalloz, volume 131, issue 3, pages 485-509.
• George W. Evans, 2021, "Theories of Learning and Economic Policy," Revue d'économie politique, Dalloz, volume 131, issue 3, pages 583-608.
• Sushant Acharya & Keshav Dogra & Sanjay R. Singh, 2021, "The financial origins of non-fundamental risk," Working Papers, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics, number 345, Dec.
• Thomas F. Crossley & Yifan Gong & Todd Stinebrickner & Ralph Stinebrickner, 2021, "Examining Income Expectations in the College and Early Post-College Periods: New Distributional Tests of Rational Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8834.
• Hassan Afrouzi & Choongryul Yang, 2021, "Dynamic Rational Inattention and the Phillips Curve," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8840.
• Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber & Michael Weber, 2021, "Fiscal Policy and Households' Inflation Expectations: Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8905.
• Sebastian Link & Andreas Peichl & Christopher Roth & Johannes Wohlfart, 2021, "Information Frictions among Firms and Households," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8969.
• Dzung Bui & Lena Dräger & Bernd Hayo & Giang Nghiem, 2021, "Consumer Sentiment during the Covid-19 Pandemic: The Role of Others' Beliefs," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 9010.
• Antonio Palestrini & Domenico Delli Gatti & Mauro Gallegati & Bruce C. Greenwald, 2021, "Adaptive Agents May Be Smarter than You Think: Unbiasedness in Adaptive Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 9205.
• Rui (Aruhan) Shi, 2021, "Learning from Zero: How to Make Consumption-Saving Decisions in a Stochastic Environment with an AI Algorithm," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 9255.
• Almut Balleer & Georg Duernecker & Susanne K. Forstner & Johannes Goensch, 2021, "The Effects of Biased Labor Market Expectations on Consumption, Wealth Inequality, and Welfare," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 9326.
• Johannes Maier & Dominik S. Fischer, 2021, "Decomposing the Disposition Effect," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 9334.
• Christine Laudenbach & Annika Weber & Rüdiger Weber & Johannes Wohlfart, 2021, "Beliefs about the Stock Market and Investment Choices: Evidence from a Survey and a Field Experiment," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 9427.
• Heiner Mikosch & Christoher Roth & Samad Sarferaz & Johannes Wohlfart & Christopher Roth, 2021, "Uncertainty and Information Acquisition: Evidence from Firms and Households," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 9462.
• Ciril Bosch-Rosa & Daniel Gietl & Frank Heinemann, 2021, "Risk-Taking under Limited Liability: Quantifying the Role of Motivated Beliefs," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 9477.
• Stefan Lautenbacher, 2021, "Subjective Uncertainty, Expectations, and Firm Behavior," ifo Working Paper Series, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 349.
• Mototsugu Shintani & Kozo Ueda, 2021, "Identifying the Source of Information Rigidities in the Expectations Formation Process," CARF F-Series, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo, number CARF-F-516, Jun.
• Bernardo Guimaraes & Pierluca Pannella, 2021, "Short-squeeze bubbles," Discussion Papers, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM), number 2109, Mar.
• Link, Sebastian & Peichl, Andreas & Roth, Christopher & Wohlfart, Johannes, 2021, "Information Frictions among Firms and Households," CAGE Online Working Paper Series, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE), number 556.
• Carlos Madeira, 2021, "Learning Your Own Ability," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile, number 919, Aug.
• Michail Anthropelos & Paul Schneider, 2021, "Optimal Investment and Equilibrium Pricing under Ambiguity," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series, Swiss Finance Institute, number 21-78, Nov.
• Karel Musil & Stanislav Tvrz & Jan Vlcek, 2021, "News versus Surprise in Structural Forecasting Models: Central Bankers' Practical Perspective," Research and Policy Notes, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, number 2021/02, Dec.
• Volha Audzei, 2021, "Learning and Cross-Country Correlations in a Multi-Country DSGE Model," Working Papers, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, number 2021/7, Dec.
• Ana María Iregui-Bohórquez & C�sar Anzola-Bravo & Luisa Fernanda Ball�n-Rubio & Valeria Bejarano-Salcedo & Eliana Gonz�lez-Molano & Anderson Grajales-Olarte & Alexander Guar�n-L�pez & Mar�a Alejandra , 2021, "¿Qué nos dicen las encuestas sobre la formación de expectativas de inflación?," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, issue 100, pages 1-95.
• Reis, Ricardo, 2021, "The People versus the Markets: A Parsimonious Model of Inflation Expectations," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 15624, Jan.
• Deserranno, Erika & Leon-Ciliotta, Gianmarco, 2021, "When Transparency Fails: Financial Incentives for Local Banking Agents in Indonesia," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 15714, Jan.
• Molavi, Pooya & Tahbaz-Salehi, Alireza & Vedolin, Andrea, 2021, "Model Complexity, Expectations, and Asset Prices," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 15717, Jan.
• Faia, Ester & Fuster, Andreas & Pezone, Vincenzo & Zafar, Basit, 2021, "Biases in Information Selection and Processing: Survey Evidence from the Pandemic," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 15774, Feb.
• Dessaint, Olivier & Foucault, Thierry & Frésard, Laurent, 2021, "Does Alternative Data Improve Financial Forecasting? The Horizon Effect," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 15786, Feb.
• Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Weber, Michael, 2021, "Fiscal Policy and Households' Inflation Expectations: Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 15821, Feb.
• Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Pham, Tho & Talavera, Oleksandr, 2021, "The Voice of Monetary Policy," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 15932, Mar.
• Broer, Tobias & Kohlhas, Alexandre & Mitman, Kurt & Schlafmann, Kathrin, 2021, "Information and Wealth Heterogeneity in the Macroeconomy," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 15934, Mar.
• Doval, Laura & Skreta, Vasiliki, 2021, "Purchase history and product personalization," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 15969, Mar.
• Avdeenko, Alexandra & Eryilmaz, Onur, 2021, "The Impact of Climate Change on Risk Aversion and Mitigation Behavior: Evidence from Germany," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 16266, Jun.
• Galashin, Mikhail & Kanz, Martin & Perez-Truglia, Ricardo, 2021, "Macroeconomic Expectations and Credit Card Spending," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 16279, Jun.
• Dew-Becker, Ian & Giglio, Stefano, 2021, "Cross-sectional uncertainty and the business cycle: evidence from 40 years of options data," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 16306, Jun.
• Baley, Isaac & Veldkamp, Laura, 2021, "Bayesian Learning," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 16377, Jul.
• Bergemann, Dirk & Heumann, Tibor & Morris, Stephen, 2021, "Selling Impressions: Efficiency vs. Competition," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 16402, Jul.
• Balleer, Almut & Duernecker, Georg & Forstner, Susanne & Goensch, Johannes, 2021, "The Effects of Biased Labor Market Expectations on Consumption, Wealth Inequality, and Welfare," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 16444, Aug.
• Bergemann, Dirk & Ottaviani, Marco, 2021, "Information Markets and Nonmarkets," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 16459, Aug.
• Campante, Filipe & Durante, Ruben & Tesei, Andrea, 2021, "Media and Social Capital," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 16500, Sep.
• Morris, Stephen & Bergemann, Dirk & Heumann, Tibor & Sorokin, Constantine & Winter, Eyal, 2021, "Selling Impressions: Efficiency vs. Competition," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 16507, Sep.
• D'Acunto, Francesco & Fuster, Andreas & Weber, Michael, 2021, "Diverse Policy Committees Can Reach Underrepresented Groups," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 16563, Sep.
• Andonov, Aleksandar & Rauh, Joshua, 2021, "The Return Expectations of Public Pension Funds," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 16635, Oct.
• Roth, Christopher & Wiederholt, Mirko & Wohlfart, Johannes, 2021, "The Effects of Forward Guidance: Theory with Measured Expectations," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 16710, Nov.
• Andre, Peter & Haaland, Ingar & Roth, Christopher & Wohlfart, Johannes, 2021, "Inflation Narratives," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 16758, Nov.
• Mikosch, Heiner & Roth, Christopher & Sarferaz, Samad & Wohlfart, Johannes, 2021, "Uncertainty and Information Acquisition: Evidence from Firms and Households," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 16765, Dec.
• Acharya, Sushant & Dogra, Keshav & Singh, Sanjay R., 2021, "The Financial Origins of Non-Fundamental Risk," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 16793, Dec.
• King King Li & Bo Huang, 2021, "Wishful Thinking in Macroeconomic Expectations," GRU Working Paper Series, City University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics and Finance, Global Research Unit, number GRU_2021_015, May.
• Cormac O'Dea & David Sturrock, 2021, "Survival Pessimism and the Demand for Annuities," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, number 2276, Feb.
• Dirk Bergemann & Tibor Heumann & Stephen Morris, 2021, "Selling Impressions: Efficiency vs. Competition," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, number 2291, Jul.
• Dirk Bergemann & Marco Ottaviani, 2021, "Information Markets and Nonmarkets," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, number 2296, Aug.
• Dirk Bergemann & Tibor Heumann & Stephen Morris & Constantine Sorokin & Eyal Winter, 2021, "Selling Impressions: Efficiency vs. Competition," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, number 2300, Aug.
• Dirk Bergemann & Benjamin Brooks & Stephen Morris, 2021, "Optimal Information Disclosure in Auctions," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, number 2318, Dec.
• Nils Brouwer & Jakob de Haan, 2021, "The impact of providing information about the ECB's instruments on inflation expectations and trust in the ECB. Experimental evidence," Working Papers, DNB, number 707, Mar.
• Jieyi Duan & Nobuyuki Hanaki, 2021, "The impact of asset purchases in an experimental market with consumption smoothing motives," ISER Discussion Paper, Institute of Social and Economic Research, The University of Osaka, number 1147, Nov.
• Jieyi Duan & Nobuyuki Hanaki, 2021, "The impact of asset purchases in an experimental market with consumption smoothing motives," ISER Discussion Paper, Institute of Social and Economic Research, The University of Osaka, number 1147r, Nov, revised Sep 2022.
• Meyler, Aidan & Reiche, Lovisa, 2021, "Making sense of consumers’ inflation perceptions and expectations – the role of (un)certainty," Economic Bulletin Articles, European Central Bank, volume 2.
• Koester, Gerrit & Nordeman, Jakob & Soudan, Michel, 2021, "Comparing recent inflation developments in the United States and the euro area," Economic Bulletin Boxes, European Central Bank, volume 6.
• Meyler, Aidan & Moreno, Marta Saez & Arioli, Rodolfo & Fischer, Franziska, 2021, "Results of a special survey of professional forecasters on the ECB’s new monetary policy strategy," Economic Bulletin Boxes, European Central Bank, volume 7.
• Baumann, Ursel & Darracq Pariès, Matthieu & Westermann, Thomas & Riggi, Marianna & Bobeica, Elena & Meyler, Aidan & Böninghausen, Benjamin & Fritzer, Friedrich & Trezzi, Riccardo & Jonckheere, Jana & , 2021, "Inflation expectations and their role in Eurosystem forecasting," Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 264, Sep.
• Kenny, Geoff & Duca, Ioana, 2021, "Can consumers’ inflation expectations help stabilise the economy?," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, volume 79.
• Coibion, Olivier & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Kenny, Geoff & Weber, Michael, 2021, "The effect of macroeconomic uncertainty on household spending," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2557, May.
• Ferrando, Annalisa & Popov, Alexander & Udell, Gregory F., 2021, "Unconventional monetary policy, funding expectations, and firm decisions," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2598, Oct.
• Hodbod, Alexander & Hommes, Cars & Huber, Stefanie J. & Salle, Isabelle, 2021, "The COVID-19 consumption game-changer: evidence from a large-scale multi-country survey," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2599, Oct.
• Enders, Zeno & Maruhn, Franziska & Müller, Gernot J., 2021, "Firm expectations and economic activity," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2621, Dec.
• Goyal, Ashima & Parab, Prashant, 2021, "What influences aggregate inflation expectations of households in India?," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, volume 72, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2020.101260.
• Ah Mand, Abdollah & Sifat, Imtiaz, 2021, "Static and regime-dependent herding behavior: An emerging market case study," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, volume 29, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2021.100466.
• Barrafrem, Kinga & Tinghög, Gustav & Västfjäll, Daniel, 2021, "Trust in the government increases financial well-being and general well-being during COVID-19," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, volume 31, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2021.100514.
• Filiz, Ibrahim & Judek, Jan René & Lorenz, Marco & Spiwoks, Markus, 2021, "Reducing algorithm aversion through experience," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, volume 31, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2021.100524.
• Breunig, Christoph & Grabova, Iuliia & Haan, Peter & Weinhardt, Felix & Weizsäcker, Georg, 2021, "Long-run expectations of households," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, volume 31, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2021.100535.
• Isler, Ozan & Flew, Terry & Erol, Isil & Dulleck, Uwe, 2021, "Market news and credibility cues improve house price predictions: An experiment on bounded rationality in real estate," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, volume 31, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2021.100550.
• Bao, Te & Hommes, Cars & Pei, Jiaoying, 2021, "Expectation formation in finance and macroeconomics: A review of new experimental evidence," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, volume 32, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2021.100591.
• Georges, Christophre & Pereira, Javier, 2021, "Market stability with machine learning agents," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 122, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2020.104032.
• Zhang, Tongbin, 2021, "Stock prices and the risk-free rate: An internal rationality approach," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 127, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2021.104103.
• Cho, Seonghoon, 2021, "Determinacy and classification of Markov-switching rational expectations models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 127, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2021.104115.
• Ahmed, M. Iqbal & Cassou, Steven P., 2021, "Asymmetries in the effects of unemployment expectation shocks as monetary policy shifts with economic conditions," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 100, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2021.105502.
• Hassani-Nezhad, Lena & Anderberg, Dan & Chevalier, Arnaud & Lührmann, Melanie & Pavan, Ronni, 2021, "Higher education financing and the educational aspirations of teenagers and their parents," Economics of Education Review, Elsevier, volume 85, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econedurev.2021.102175.
• Holmes, Mark J. & Iregui, Ana María & Otero, Jesús, 2021, "The effects of FX-interventions on forecasters disagreement: A mixed data sampling view," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, volume 58, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2021.101511.
• An, Zidong & Liu, Dingqian & Wu, Yuzheng, 2021, "Expectation formation following pandemic events," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 200, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2021.109739.
• Bertsch, Christoph & Hull, Isaiah & Zhang, Xin, 2021, "Narrative fragmentation and the business cycle," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 201, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2021.109783.
• Ruiz-Palazuelos, Sofía, 2021, "Clustering in network games," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 205, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2021.109922.
• Stanisławska, Ewa & Paloviita, Maritta & Łyziak, Tomasz, 2021, "Consumer inflation views: Micro-level inconsistencies and macro-level measures," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 206, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2021.110004.
• Binder, Carola Conces, 2021, "Household expectations and the release of macroeconomic statistics," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 207, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2021.110041.
• Hansen, Lars Peter & Sargent, Thomas J., 2021, "Macroeconomic uncertainty prices when beliefs are tenuous," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 223, issue 1, pages 222-250, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2019.11.010.
• Vázquez, Jesús & Aguilar, Pablo, 2021, "Adaptive learning with term structure information," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 134, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2021.103689.
• Hodbod, Alexander & Hommes, Cars & Huber, Stefanie J. & Salle, Isabelle, 2021, "The COVID-19 consumption game-changer: Evidence from a large-scale multi-country survey," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 140, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2021.103953.
• Merkle, Christoph & Sextroh, Christoph J., 2021, "Value and momentum from investors’ perspective: Evidence from professionals’ risk-ratings," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, volume 62, issue C, pages 159-178, DOI: 10.1016/j.jempfin.2021.03.004.
• Schmitt, Noemi & Westerhoff, Frank, 2021, "Pricking asset market bubbles," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 38, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2020.101441.
• Bigoni, Maria & Bortolotti, Stefania & Nas Özen, Efşan, 2021, "Economic polarization and antisocial behavior: An experiment," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, volume 126, issue C, pages 387-401, DOI: 10.1016/j.geb.2020.12.006.
• Heffetz, Ori, 2021, "Are reference points merely lagged beliefs over probabilities?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 181, issue C, pages 252-269, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2020.11.010.
• Staccioli, Jacopo & Napoletano, Mauro, 2021, "An agent-based model of intra-day financial markets dynamics," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 182, issue C, pages 331-348, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2020.05.018.
• Zhu, Jiahua & Bao, Te & Chia, Wai Mun, 2021, "Evolutionary selection of forecasting and quantity decision rules in experimental asset markets," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 182, issue C, pages 363-404, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2019.11.005.
• Hommes, Cars & Makarewicz, Tomasz, 2021, "Price level versus inflation targeting under heterogeneous expectations: a laboratory experiment," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 182, issue C, pages 39-82, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2020.11.011.
• Prat, Georges & Uctum, Remzi, 2021, "Term structure of interest rates: Modelling the risk premium using a two horizons framework," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 182, issue C, pages 421-436, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2019.09.006.
• Rholes, Ryan & Petersen, Luba, 2021, "Should central banks communicate uncertainty in their projections?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 183, issue C, pages 320-341, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2020.11.013.
• Martin, Carolin & Schmitt, Noemi & Westerhoff, Frank, 2021, "Heterogeneous expectations, housing bubbles and tax policy," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 183, issue C, pages 555-573, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2020.12.033.
• Iregui, Ana María & Núñez, Héctor M. & Otero, Jesús, 2021, "Testing the efficiency of inflation and exchange rate forecast revisions in a changing economic environment," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 187, issue C, pages 290-314, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2021.04.037.
• Cole, Stephen J. & Milani, Fabio, 2021, "Heterogeneity in individual expectations, sentiment, and constant-gain learning," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 188, issue C, pages 627-650, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2021.05.034.
• Tjernström, Emilia & Lybbert, Travis J. & Hernández, Rachel Frattarola & Correa, Juan Sebastian, 2021, "Learning by (virtually) doing: Experimentation and belief updating in smallholder agriculture," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 189, issue C, pages 28-50, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2021.03.001.
• Gasteiger, Emanuel, 2021, "Optimal constrained interest-rate rules under heterogeneous expectations," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 190, issue C, pages 287-325, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2021.07.020.
• Makarewicz, Tomasz, 2021, "Traders, forecasters and financial instability: A model of individual learning of anchor-and-adjustment heuristics," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 190, issue C, pages 626-673, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2021.07.008.
• Danilov, Anastasia & Khalmetski, Kiryl & Sliwka, Dirk, 2021, "Descriptive Norms and Guilt Aversion," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 191, issue C, pages 293-311, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2021.09.002.
• Kim, Jeong Ho (John) & Kim, Byung-Cheol, 2021, "A welfare criterion with endogenous welfare weights for belief disagreement models," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 191, issue C, pages 312-333, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2021.09.006.
• Boeck, Maximilian & Feldkircher, Martin, 2021, "The Impact of Monetary Policy on Yield Curve Expectations," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 191, issue C, pages 887-901, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2021.09.044.
• Schmitt, Noemi & Westerhoff, Frank, 2021, "Trend followers, contrarians and fundamentalists: Explaining the dynamics of financial markets," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 192, issue C, pages 117-136, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2021.10.006.
• Kukacka, Jiri & Kristoufek, Ladislav, 2021, "Does parameterization affect the complexity of agent-based models?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 192, issue C, pages 324-356, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2021.10.007.
• van der Wielen, Wouter & Barrios, Salvador, 2021, "Economic sentiment during the COVID pandemic: Evidence from search behaviour in the EU," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, volume 115, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconbus.2020.105970.
• Rossi, Stefano & Tinn, Katrin, 2021, "Rational quantitative trading in efficient markets," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, volume 191, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jet.2020.105127.
• Sadzik, Tomasz & Woolnough, Chris, 2021, "Rational destabilization in a frictionless market," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, volume 192, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jet.2020.105169.
• Evans, David & Evans, George W. & McGough, Bruce, 2021, "Learning when to say no," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, volume 194, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jet.2021.105240.
• Rondina, Giacomo & Walker, Todd B., 2021, "Confounding dynamics," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, volume 196, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jet.2021.105251.
• Sadzik, Tomasz & Woolnough, Chris, 2021, "Snowballing private information," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, volume 198, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jet.2021.105333.
• Adam, Klaus & Woodford, Michael, 2021, "Robustly optimal monetary policy in a new Keynesian model with housing," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, volume 198, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jet.2021.105352.
• Qiu, Wenfeng & Ahn, David S., 2021, "Uncertainty from the small to the large," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, volume 198, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jet.2021.105367.
• Gopalan, Radhakrishnan & Gormley, Todd A. & Kalda, Ankit, 2021, "It’s not so bad: Director bankruptcy experience and corporate risk-taking," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, volume 142, issue 1, pages 261-292, DOI: 10.1016/j.jfineco.2021.04.037.
• Schlenker, Wolfram & Taylor, Charles A., 2021, "Market expectations of a warming climate," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, volume 142, issue 2, pages 627-640, DOI: 10.1016/j.jfineco.2020.08.019.
• Kawaguchi, Kohei & Kodama, Naomi & Tanaka, Mari, 2021, "Small business under the COVID-19 crisis: Expected short- and medium-run effects of anti-contagion and economic policies," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, volume 61, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jjie.2021.101138.
• Kodama, Naomi & Murakami, Yoshiaki & Tanaka, Mari, 2021, "No Successor, No Success? Impact of a Little Son on Business Performance," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, volume 62, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jjie.2021.101169.
• Cavusoglu, Nevin & Goldberg, Michael D. & Stillwagon, Josh, 2021, "Currency returns and downside risk: Debt, volatility, and the gap from benchmark values," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 68, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2021.103304.
• Tsoulouhas, Theofanis, 2021, "Why do countries in financial distress strategically delay seeking help?," Journal of Government and Economics, Elsevier, volume 2, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jge.2021.100006.
• Tian, Can, 2021, "Input-output linkages in Pigouvian industrial fluctuations," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 117, issue C, pages 1078-1095, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2020.09.001.
• Assenza, T. & Heemeijer, P. & Hommes, C.H. & Massaro, D., 2021, "Managing self-organization of expectations through monetary policy: A macro experiment," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 117, issue C, pages 170-186, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2019.12.005.
• Malmendier, Ulrike & Nagel, Stefan & Yan, Zhen, 2021, "The making of hawks and doves," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 117, issue C, pages 19-42, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2020.04.002.
• Larsen, Vegard H. & Thorsrud, Leif Anders & Zhulanova, Julia, 2021, "News-driven inflation expectations and information rigidities," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 117, issue C, pages 507-520, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2020.03.004.
• Adam, Klaus & Matveev, Dmitry & Nagel, Stefan, 2021, "Do survey expectations of stock returns reflect risk adjustments?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 117, issue C, pages 723-740, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2020.04.010.
• Kryvtsov, Oleksiy & Petersen, Luba, 2021, "Central bank communication that works: Lessons from lab experiments," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 117, issue C, pages 760-780, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2020.05.001.
• Duca-Radu, Ioana & Kenny, Geoff & Reuter, Andreas, 2021, "Inflation expectations, consumption and the lower bound: Micro evidence from a large multi-country survey," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 118, issue C, pages 120-134, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2020.03.005.