Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

2013

• Bao, Te & Duffy, John & Hommes, Cars, 2013, "Learning, forecasting and optimizing: An experimental study," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 61, issue C, pages 186-204, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2013.04.003.
• Armantier, Olivier & Treich, Nicolas, 2013, "Eliciting beliefs: Proper scoring rules, incentives, stakes and hedging," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 62, issue C, pages 17-40, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2013.03.008.
• Lumsdaine, Robin L. & Exterkate, Anneke, 2013, "How survey design affects self-assessed health responses in the Survey of Health, Ageing, and Retirement in Europe (SHARE)," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 63, issue C, pages 299-307, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2013.06.002.
• van der Cruijsen, Carin & de Haan, Jakob & Jansen, David-Jan & Mosch, Robert, 2013, "Knowledge and opinions about banking supervision: Evidence from a survey of Dutch households," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, volume 9, issue 2, pages 219-229, DOI: 10.1016/j.jfs.2011.11.002.
• Beck, Adrian & Kerschbamer, Rudolf & Qiu, Jianying & Sutter, Matthias, 2013, "Shaping beliefs in experimental markets for expert services: Guilt aversion and the impact of promises and money-burning options," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, volume 81, issue C, pages 145-164, DOI: 10.1016/j.geb.2013.05.002.
• Manski, Charles F. & Neri, Claudia, 2013, "First- and second-order subjective expectations in strategic decision-making: Experimental evidence," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, volume 81, issue C, pages 232-254, DOI: 10.1016/j.geb.2013.06.001.
• Prat, Georges & Uctum, Remzi, 2013, "Modeling the horizon-dependent ex-ante risk premium in the foreign exchange market: Evidence from survey data," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, volume 23, issue C, pages 33-54, DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2012.09.005.
• Breitung, Jörg & Schmeling, Maik, 2013, "Quantifying survey expectations: What’s wrong with the probability approach?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 29, issue 1, pages 142-154, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2012.07.005.
• Hernandis, Lucía & Torró, Hipòlit, 2013, "The information content of Eonia swap rates before and during the financial crisis," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 37, issue 12, pages 5316-5328, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2013.08.001.
• Becchetti, Leonardo & Ciciretti, Rocco & Giovannelli, Alessandro, 2013, "Corporate social responsibility and earnings forecasting unbiasedness," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 37, issue 9, pages 3654-3668, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2013.05.026.
• Estrin, Saul & Korosteleva, Julia & Mickiewicz, Tomasz, 2013, "Which institutions encourage entrepreneurial growth aspirations?," Journal of Business Venturing, Elsevier, volume 28, issue 4, pages 564-580, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbusvent.2012.05.001.
• Post, Thomas & Hanewald, Katja, 2013, "Longevity risk, subjective survival expectations, and individual saving behavior," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 86, issue C, pages 200-220, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2012.11.012.
• Hüsler, A. & Sornette, D. & Hommes, C.H., 2013, "Super-exponential bubbles in lab experiments: Evidence for anchoring over-optimistic expectations on price," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 92, issue C, pages 304-316, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2013.06.005.
• de Bresser, Jochem & van Soest, Arthur, 2013, "Survey response in probabilistic questions and its impact on inference," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 96, issue C, pages 65-84, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2013.09.012.
• Anderson, Soren T. & Kellogg, Ryan & Sallee, James M., 2013, "What do consumers believe about future gasoline prices?," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, volume 66, issue 3, pages 383-403, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2013.07.002.
• Ortoleva, Pietro, 2013, "The price of flexibility: Towards a theory of Thinking Aversion," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, volume 148, issue 3, pages 903-934, DOI: 10.1016/j.jet.2012.10.009.
• Goldstein, Itay & Ozdenoren, Emre & Yuan, Kathy, 2013, "Trading frenzies and their impact on real investment," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, volume 109, issue 2, pages 566-582, DOI: 10.1016/j.jfineco.2013.03.011.
• Hong, Harrison & Sraer, David, 2013, "Quiet bubbles," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, volume 110, issue 3, pages 596-606, DOI: 10.1016/j.jfineco.2013.07.002.
• Garz, Marcel, 2013, "Unemployment expectations, excessive pessimism, and news coverage," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, volume 34, issue C, pages 156-168, DOI: 10.1016/j.joep.2012.09.007.
• Kliger, Doron & Kudryavtsev, Andrey, 2013, "Volatility expectations and the reaction to analyst recommendations," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, volume 37, issue C, pages 1-6, DOI: 10.1016/j.joep.2013.04.003.
• Nguyen, Viet Hoang & Claus, Edda, 2013, "Good news, bad news, consumer sentiment and consumption behavior," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, volume 39, issue C, pages 426-438, DOI: 10.1016/j.joep.2013.10.001.
• Sonsino, Doron & Regev, Eran, 2013, "Informational overconfidence in return prediction – More properties," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, volume 39, issue C, pages 72-84, DOI: 10.1016/j.joep.2013.06.006.
• Schlösser, Thomas & Dunning, David & Johnson, Kerri L. & Kruger, Justin, 2013, "How unaware are the unskilled? Empirical tests of the “signal extraction” counterexplanation for the Dunning–Kruger effect in self-evaluation of performance," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, volume 39, issue C, pages 85-100, DOI: 10.1016/j.joep.2013.07.004.
• Andrade, Philippe & Le Bihan, Hervé, 2013, "Inattentive professional forecasters," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 60, issue 8, pages 967-982, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2013.08.005.
• Mossay, Pascal, 2013, "A theory of rational spatial agglomerations," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, volume 43, issue 2, pages 385-394, DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2012.09.005.
• Vipin Arora & Shuping Shi, 2013, "A Heterogenous Agent Foundation for Tests of Asset Price Bubbles," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2013-35, Jun.
• Timo Henckel & Gordon D. Menzies & Daniel J. Zizzo, 2013, "The Great Recession and the Two Dimensions of European Central Bank Credibility," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2013-55, Aug.
• Schwandt, Hannes, 2013, "Unmet aspirations as an explanation for the age u-shape in human wellbeing," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 51571.
• Shiryaev, Albert N. & Zhitlukhin, M. V. & Ziemba, William T., 2013, "When to sell Apple and the NASDAQ? Trading bubbles with a stochastic disorder model," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 60966, Nov.
• McAleer, M.J. & Radalj, K., 2013, "Herding, Information Cascades and Volatility Spillovers in Futures Markets," Econometric Institute Research Papers, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute, number EI 2013-23, Jun.
• William Arrata & Alejandro Bernales & Virginie Coudert, 2013, "The Effects of Derivatives on Underlying Financial Markets: Equity Options, Commodity Derivatives and Credit Default Swaps," SUERF 50th Anniversary Volume Chapters, SUERF - The European Money and Finance Forum, chapter 13, in: Morten Balling & Ernest Gnan, "50 Years of Money and Finance: Lessons and Challenges".
• Hao Li, 2013, "Do Irrational Investors Destabilize?," Frontiers of Economics in China-Selected Publications from Chinese Universities, Higher Education Press, volume 8, issue 3, pages 293-308, September.
• Guimarães, Bernardo de Vasconcellos & Araújo, Luís, 2013, "The effect of options on coordination," Textos para discussão, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil), number 324, Aug.
• Dietmar Fehr & Frank Heinemann & Aniol Llorente-Saguer, 2013, "The power of sunspots: an experimental analysis," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, number 13-2.
• Mary A. Burke & Ali Ozdagli, 2013, "Household inflation expectations and consumer spending: evidence from panel data," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, number 13-25, Dec.
• Paolo Gelain & Kevin J. Lansing, 2013, "House Prices, Expectations, and Time-Varying Fundamentals," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2013-03, DOI: 10.24148/wp2013-03.
• Jess Benhabib & Pengfei Wang & Yi Wen, 2013, "Uncertainty and sentiment-driven equilibria," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, number 2013-011, DOI: 10.20955/wp.2013.011.
• Ernesto Reuben & Matthew Wiswall & Basit Zafar, 2013, "Preferences and biases in educational choices and labor market expectations: shrinking the black box of gender," Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 627, Aug.
• Stefano Eusepi & Bruce Preston, 2013, "Fiscal foundations of inflation: imperfect knowledge," Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 649, Oct.
• Philippe Andrade & Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Emanuel Moench, 2013, "Fundamental disagreement," Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 655, Dec.
• Bartholomew Moore, 2013, "Monetary Policy Regimes and Inflation in the New-Keynesian Model," Fordham Economics Discussion Paper Series, Fordham University, Department of Economics, number dp2013-08.
• Ahmad K Naimzada & Giorgio Ricchiuti, 2013, "Complexity with Heterogeneous Fundamentalists and a Multiplicative Price Mechanism," Working Papers - Economics, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Scienze per l'Economia e l'Impresa, number wp2013_03.rdf.
• Camille Cornand & Franck Heinemann, 2013, "Measuring Agents’ Reaction to Private and Public Information in Games with Strategic Complementarities," Working Papers, Groupe d'Analyse et de Théorie Economique Lyon St-Etienne (GATE Lyon St-Etienne), Université de Lyon, number 1341.
• Shurojit Chatterji & Sayantan Ghosal, 2013, "Contracting over Prices," Working Papers, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow, number 2013_24, Nov.
• S Parsons & N Rohde, 2013, "The hot hand fallacy re-examined: New evidence from the English Premier League," Discussion Papers in Economics, Griffith University, Department of Accounting, Finance and Economics, number economics:201403, Mar.
• Gabriel Desgranges & Stéphane Gauthier, 2013, "Asymmetric Information and Rationalizability," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers), HAL, number hal-00780372, Nov, DOI: 10.1007/s00199-012-0731-1.
• Isabelle Salle & Murat Yildizoglu & Marc-Alexandre Sénégas, 2013, "Inflation targeting in a learning economy: an ABM perspective," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-00778979, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2013.01.031.
• Gabriel Desgranges & Stéphane Gauthier, 2013, "Asymmetric Information and Rationalizability," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-00780372, Nov, DOI: 10.1007/s00199-012-0731-1.
• Georges Prat & Remzi Uctum, 2013, "Modeling the horizon-dependent ex-ante risk premium in the foreign exchange market: evidence from survey data," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-01385855.
• Romain Baeriswyl & Camille Cornand, 2013, "Reducing overreaction to central banks' disclosures : theory and experiment," Post-Print, HAL, number halshs-00861799, Jun.
• Romain Baeriswyl & Camille Cornand, 2013, "Reducing overreaction to central banks' disclosures : theory and experiment," Post-Print, HAL, number halshs-00954621, Apr.
• Gabriel Desgranges & Stéphane Gauthier, 2013, "Asymmetric Information and Rationalizability," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint), HAL, number hal-00780372, Nov, DOI: 10.1007/s00199-012-0731-1.
• Eizo Akiyama & Nobuyuki Hanaki & Ryuichiro Ishikawa, 2013, "It is Not Just Confusion! Strategic Uncertainty in an Experimental Asset Market," Working Papers, HAL, number halshs-00854513, Aug.
• Eizo Akiyama & Nobuyuki Hanaki & Ryuichiro Ishikawa, 2013, "How Do Experienced Traders Respond to Inflows of Inexperienced Traders? An Experimental Analysis," Working Papers, HAL, number halshs-00920413, Dec.
• Hubert Janos Kiss & Adrienn Selei, 2013, "Gambler's fallacy in the classroom?," KRTK-KTI WORKING PAPERS, Institute of Economics, Centre for Economic and Regional Studies, number 1342, Dec.
• Robert Baumann & Justin Svec, 2013, "The Impact of Political Uncertainty: A Robust Control Approach," Working Papers, College of the Holy Cross, Department of Economics, number 1306, Aug.
• Lena Dräger & Michael Lamla, 2013, "Imperfect Information and Inflation Expectations: Evidence from Microdata," Macroeconomics and Finance Series, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics, number 201301, Jan.
• Eva A. Arnold, 2013, "The Role of Data Revisions and Disagreement in Professional Forecasts," Macroeconomics and Finance Series, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics, number 201303, May.
• Lena Dräger & Michael J. Lamla, 2013, "Anchoring of Consumers’ Inflation Expectations: Evidence from Microdata," Macroeconomics and Finance Series, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics, number 201305, Jul.
• Lena Dräger & Ulrich Fritsche, 2013, "Don't Worry, Be Right! Survey Wording Effects on In flation Perceptions and Expectations," Macroeconomics and Finance Series, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics, number 201308, Dec.
• Kemal K?vanc Akoz & Cemal Eren Arbatli, 2013, "Manipulated voters in competitive election campaigns," HSE Working papers, National Research University Higher School of Economics, number WP BRP 31/EC/2013.
• Hori, Masahiro & 堀, 雅博 & Kawagoe, Masaaki, 2013, "Inflation Expectations Of Japanese Households: Micro Evidence From A Consumer Confidence Survey," Hitotsubashi Journal of Economics, Hitotsubashi University, volume 54, issue 1, pages 17-38, June, DOI: 10.15057/25776.
• Bordalo, Pedro & Gennaioli, Nicola & Shleifer, Andrei, 2013, "Salience and Asset Prices," Scholarly Articles, Harvard University Department of Economics, number 11688793.
• Beshears, John Leonard & Choi, James J & Fuster, Andreas & Laibson, David I. & Madrian, Brigitte, 2013, "What Goes Up Must Come Down? Experimental Evidence on Intuitive Forecasting," Scholarly Articles, Harvard University Department of Economics, number 12378032.
• Antoniu Ovidiu Balint, 2013, "The application of multi - agent systems in the field of transport," Hyperion Economic Journal, Faculty of Economic Sciences, Hyperion University of Bucharest, Romania, volume 1, issue 1, pages 51-55, March.
• Paolo Gelain & Kevin J. Lansing & Caterina Mendicino, 2013, "House Prices, Credit Growth, and Excess Volatility: Implications for Monetary and Macroprudential Policy," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, volume 9, issue 2, pages 219-276, June.
• Emanuel Gasteiger, 2013, "Do heterogeneous expectations constitute a challenge for policy interaction?," Working Papers Series 2, ISCTE-IUL, Business Research Unit (BRU-IUL), number 13-02, Mar.
• Krzysztof Tymicki, 2013, "Zamierzenia prokreacyjne a mo¿liwoœæ ich realizacji w kontekœcie czynników biologicznych," Working Papers, Institute of Statistics and Demography, Warsaw School of Economics, number 56.
• Joanna Osiñska, 2013, "Postawy wzglêdem euro i ich determinanty– przegl¹d badañ i literatury przedmiotu," Working Papers, Institute of Statistics and Demography, Warsaw School of Economics, number 70.
• Binswanger, Johannes & Salm, Martin, 2013, "Does Everyone Use Probabilities? Intuitive and Rational Decisions about Stockholding," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 7265, Mar.
• Benabou, Roland, 2013, "Groupthink: Collective Delusions in Organizations and Markets," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 7322, Mar.
• Enke, Benjamin & Zimmermann, Florian, 2013, "Correlation Neglect in Belief Formation," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 7372, Apr.
• Frey, Bruno S. & Stutzer, Alois, 2013, "Economic Consequences of Mispredicting Utility," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 7430, May.
• Reuben, Ernesto & Wiswall, Matthew & Zafar, Basit, 2013, "Preferences and Biases in Educational Choices and Labor Market Expectations: Shrinking the Black Box of Gender," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 7579, Aug.
• Schwandt, Hannes, 2013, "Unmet Aspirations as an Explanation for the Age U-shape in Human Wellbeing," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 7604, Aug.
• Kiryl Khalmetski, 2013, "The Hidden Value of Lying: Evasion of Guilt in Expert Advice," 2013 Papers, Job Market Papers, number pkh266, Nov.
• Lisa Bruttel & Werner Güth, 2013, "Tit for Others' Tat Repeated Prisoner's Dilemma Experiments with Third-Party Monitoring and Indirect Punishment," Jena Economics Research Papers, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena, number 2013-043, Oct.
• Carl Chiarella & Roberto Dieci & Xue-Zhong He & Kai Li, 2013, "An evolutionary CAPM under heterogeneous beliefs," Annals of Finance, Springer, volume 9, issue 2, pages 185-215, May, DOI: 10.1007/s10436-012-0215-0.
• Edmund Mantell, 2013, "Rational Reserve Pricing in Sequential Auctions," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, volume 41, issue 2, pages 149-159, June, DOI: 10.1007/s11293-012-9345-z.
• Serguei Chervachidze & William Wheaton, 2013, "What Determined the Great Cap Rate Compression of 2000–2007, and the Dramatic Reversal During the 2008–2009 Financial Crisis?," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, volume 46, issue 2, pages 208-231, February, DOI: 10.1007/s11146-011-9334-z.
• John Payne & Namika Sagara & Suzanne Shu & Kirstin Appelt & Eric Johnson, 2013, "Life expectancy as a constructed belief: Evidence of a live-to or die-by framing effect," Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, volume 46, issue 1, pages 27-50, February, DOI: 10.1007/s11166-012-9158-0.
• Vlad Tarko, 2013, "Can probability theory deal with entrepreneurship?," The Review of Austrian Economics, Springer;Society for the Development of Austrian Economics, volume 26, issue 3, pages 329-345, September, DOI: 10.1007/s11138-012-0193-5.
• Astrid Matthey & Tobias Regner, 2013, "On the independence of history: experience spill-overs between experiments," Theory and Decision, Springer, volume 75, issue 3, pages 403-419, September, DOI: 10.1007/s11238-012-9346-z.
• Lisa Bruttel & Werner Güth, 2013, "Tit for Others' Tat Repeated Prisoner's Dilemma Experiments with Third-Party Monitoring and Indirect Punishment," Working Paper Series of the Department of Economics, University of Konstanz, Department of Economics, University of Konstanz, number 2013-22, Oct.
• Lena Draeger & Michael J. Lamla, 2013, "Imperfect information and inflation expectations," KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, number 13-329, Jan, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-007611525.
• Michael J. Lamla & Lena Draeger, 2013, "Anchoring of Consumers' Inflation Expectations," KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, number 13-339, Jul, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-009920757.
• Michael J. Lamla & Lena Draeger & Damjan Pfajfar, 2013, "Are Consumer Expectations Theory-Consistent? The Role of Macroeconomic Determinants and Central Bank Communication," KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, number 13-345, Nov, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-009996520.
• Michael McAleer & Kim Radalj, 2013, "Herding, Information Cascades and Volatility Spillovers in Futures Markets," KIER Working Papers, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research, number 873, Jul.
• Anne-Gael Vaubourg & Valdete Berisha-Krasniqui & Sébastien Galanti & Christophe Hurlin & Régis Breton, 2013, "We study whether financial analysts' concern for preserving good relationships with firms' managers motivates them to issue pessimistic or optimistic forecasts. Based on a dataset of one-yearahead EPS forecasts issued by 4 648 analysts concerning 241," Larefi Working Papers, Larefi, Université Bordeaux 4, number 1304, Apr.
• Michael McAleer & Kim Radalj, 2013, "Herding, Information Cascades and Volatility Spillovers in Futures Markets," Journal of Reviews on Global Economics, Lifescience Global, volume 2, pages 307-329.
• Leonard J. Mirman & Egas M. Salgueiro & Marc Santugini, 2013, "Integrating Real and Financial Decisions of the Firm," Cahiers de recherche, CIRPEE, number 1333.
• Michele Berardi, 2013, "On the fragility of sunspot equilibria under learning and evolutionary dynamics," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series, Economics, The University of Manchester, number 186.
• Damjan Pfajfar & Emiliano Santoro, 2013, "News on Inflation and the Epidemiology of Inflation Expectations," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 45, issue 6, pages 1045-1067, September.
• Ahmad Naimzada & Marina Pireddu, 2013, "Dynamic behavior of real and stock markets with a varying degree of interaction," Working Papers, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, number 245, Jun, revised Jun 2013.
• Guy Mayraz, 2013, "Wishful Thinking," Department of Economics - Working Papers Series, The University of Melbourne, number 1172.
• Penczynski, Stefan P., 2013, "Herding differently : A level-k model of social learning," Working Papers, University of Mannheim, Department of Economics, number 13-01.
• Junya Hamaaki, 2013, "The Pension System and Household Consumption and Saving Behavior," Public Policy Review, Policy Research Institute, Ministry of Finance Japan, volume 9, issue 4, pages 687-716, September.
• Andreas Karpf, 2013, "Herd behavior in consumer inflation expectations - Evidence from the French household survey," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, number 13054, Jul.
• Andreas Karpf, 2013, "Herd behavior in consumer inflation expectations - Evidence from the French household survey," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, number 13054r, Jul, revised Dec 2013.
• Weihong HUANG & Zhenxi CHEN, 2013, "Propagation of Financial Crises: A Heterogenous Agents Approach," Economic Growth Centre Working Paper Series, Nanyang Technological University, School of Social Sciences, Economic Growth Centre, number 1309, Sep.
• Halina Kowalczyk & Tomasz Lyziak & Ewa Stanisławska, 2013, "A new approach to probabilistic surveys of professional forecasters and its application in the monetary policy context," NBP Working Papers, Narodowy Bank Polski, number 142.
• Eva A. Arnold, 2013, "The role of data revisions and disagreement in professional forecasts," NBP Working Papers, Narodowy Bank Polski, number 153.
• Aleksandra Hałka & Tomasz Łyziak, 2013, "How to defi ne the Consumer Perceived Price Index? The case of Poland," NBP Working Papers, Narodowy Bank Polski, number 160.
• Tomasz Łyziak, 2013, "A note on central bank transparency and credibility in Poland," NBP Working Papers, Narodowy Bank Polski, number 162.
• Nicole M. Aulerich & Scott H. Irwin & Philip Garcia, 2014, "Bubbles, Food Prices, and Speculation: Evidence from the CFTC's Daily Large Trader Data Files," NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, "The Economics of Food Price Volatility".
• Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2013, "Is The Phillips Curve Alive and Well After All? Inflation Expectations and the Missing Disinflation," NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, "Lessons from the Financial Crisis for Monetary Policy".
• Lars E. O. Svensson, 2013, "The Possible Unemployment Cost of Average Inflation below a Credible Target," NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, "Lessons from the Financial Crisis for Monetary Policy".
• Pedro Bordalo & Nicola Gennaioli & Andrei Shleifer, 2013, "Salience and Asset Prices," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 18708, Jan.
• Jess Benhabib & Pengfei Wang & Yi Wen, 2013, "Uncertainty and Sentiment-Driven Equilibria," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 18878, Mar.
• Rüdiger Bachmann & Steffen Elstner, 2013, "Firms' Optimism and Pessimism," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 18989, Apr.
• Nicole M. Aulerich & Scott H. Irwin & Philip Garcia, 2013, "Bubbles, Food Prices, and Speculation: Evidence from the CFTC's Daily Large Trader Data Files," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 19065, May.
• Robin L. Lumsdaine & Rogier J.D. Potter van Loon, 2013, "Wall Street vs. Main Street: An Evaluation of Probabilities," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 19103, Jun.
• Thomas P. Triebs & Justin Tumlinson, 2013, "Learning to Forecast the Hard Way—Evidence from German Reunification," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 19209, Jul.
• Ryan D. Edwards, 2013, "If My Blood Pressure Is High, Do I Take It To Heart? Behavioral Impacts of Biomarker Collection in the Health and Retirement Study," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 19311, Aug.
• Isilda Mara & Michael Landesmann, 2013, "The steadiness of migration plans and expected length of stay: based on a recent survey of Romanian migrants in Italy," Norface Discussion Paper Series, Norface Research Programme on Migration, Department of Economics, University College London, number 2013007, Feb.
• Elisabeth Beckmann & Mariya Hake & Jarmila Urvová, 2013, "Determinants of Households’ Savings in Central, Eastern and Southeastern Europe," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 3, pages 8-29.
• Colantonio Emiliano, 2013, "Betting Markets: Opportunities For Many?," Annals of Faculty of Economics, University of Oradea, Faculty of Economics, volume 1, issue 2, pages 200-208, December.
• Roland Bénabou, 2013, "Groupthink: Collective Delusions in Organizations and Markets," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, volume 80, issue 2, pages 429-462.
• Asãvoaei Alexandru, 2013, "Keynesian Realism and the Present State of Economic Science," Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, Ovidius University of Constantza, Faculty of Economic Sciences, volume 0, issue 1, pages 410-414, May.
• Cynthia Sanborn & Juan Luis Dammert, 2013, "Perú: extracción de recursos naturales, desarrollo económico e inclusión social," Working Papers, Centro de Investigación, Universidad del Pacífico, number 13-14, Feb.
• Tomasz Łyziak, 2013, "Non-Positive Scaling Factor in Probability Quantification Methods: Deriving Consumer Inflation Perceptions and Expectations in the Whole Euro Area and Ireland," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, volume 55, issue 1, pages 77-98, March.
• John Duffy & Te Bao, 2013, "Adaptive vs. Eductive Learning: Theory and Evidence," Working Paper, Department of Economics, University of Pittsburgh, number 518, Dec, revised Dec 2013.
• Papakonstantinou, A. & Bogetoft, P., 2013, "Crowd-sourcing with uncertain quality - an auction approach," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 44236, Feb.
• Papakonstantinou, A. & Bogetoft, P., 2013, "Crowd-sourcing with uncertain quality - an auction approach," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 46055, Feb.
• Amberger, Korie, 2013, "The Role of Capital on Noise Shocks," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 46483, Apr.
• Bell, Peter N, 2013, "New Testing Procedures to Assess Market Efficiency with Trading Rules," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 46701, Mar.
• Guimaraes, Bernardo & Machado, Caio, 2013, "Demand expectations and the timing of stimulus policies," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 48895, Jul.
• Doshchyn, Artur & Giommetti, Nicola, 2013, "Learning, Expectations, and Endogenous Business Cycles," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 49617, Aug.
• Estrada, Fernando, 2013, "Bribery and Threat," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 49774.
• Ledenyov, Dimitri O. & Ledenyov, Viktor O., 2013, "On the tracking and replication of hedge fund optimal investment portfolio strategies in global capital markets in presence of nonlinearities, applying Bayesian filters: 1. Stratanovich – Kalman – Bucy filters for Gaussian linear investment returns d," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 51046, Oct.
• Rudiger, Jesper & Vigier, Adrien, 2013, "Financial Experts, Asset Prices and Reputation," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 51784, Nov.
• Lof, Matthijs, 2013, "Essays on Expectations and the Econometrics of Asset Pricing," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 59064, May.
• Gerunov, Anton, 2013, "Връзка Между Икономическите Очаквания И Стопанската Динамика В Ес-27
  [Linkages Between Expectations and Economic Dynamics in EU-27]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 68795.
• Jake Anders & John Micklewright, 2013, "Teenagers' expectations of applying to university: how do they change?," DoQSS Working Papers, Quantitative Social Science - UCL Social Research Institute, University College London, number 13-13, Oct.
• Ortiz, Marco, 2013, "Learning Through the Yield Curve," Working Papers, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, number 2013-018, Dec.
• WAGENER, Gina, 2013, "The Supply Of Project Information To External Stakeholders," Romanian Distribution Committee Magazine, Romanian Distribution Committee, volume 4, issue 4, pages 13-20, December.
• Jess Benhabib & Chetan Dave, 2013, "Code and data files for "Learning, Large Deviations and Rare Events"," Computer Codes, Review of Economic Dynamics, number 12-17, revised .
• Steffen Elstner & Ruediger Bachmann, 2013, "Firms' Optimism and Pessimism," 2013 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 623.
• Charles Manski & Claudia Neri, 2013, "First- and Second-order Subjective Expectations in Strategic Decision-Making: Experimental Evidence," 2013 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 73.
• Ata Ozkaya, 2013, "The Domestic Debt Intolerance and Bad Equilibrium: An Empirical Default Model," GIAM Working Papers, Galatasaray University Economic Research Center, number 13-1, Feb.
• Leonardo Becchetti & Rocco Ciciretti & Iftekhar Hasan, 2013, "Corporate Social Responsibility, Stakeholder Risk, and Idiosyncratic Volatility," CEIS Research Paper, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, number 285, Jul, revised 16 Dec 2013.
• E. Quaghebeur, 2013, "Learning and the Size of the Government Spending Multiplier," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, number 13/851, Oct.
• Frank Hespeler & Marco M. Sorge, 2013, "Does Near-Rationality Matter in First-Order Approximate Solutions? A Perturbation Approach," CSEF Working Papers, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy, number 339, Sep.
• Marco M. Sorge, 2013, "On the Fundamentalness of Nonfundamentalness in DSGE Models," CSEF Working Papers, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy, number 340, Sep.
• Oleksiy Kryvtsov & Luba Petersen, 2013, "Expectations and Monetary Policy: Experimental Evidence," Discussion Papers, Department of Economics, Simon Fraser University, number dp13-09, Sep.
• Joanna Osińska, 2013, "Postawy wobec euro i ich determinanty," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 10, pages 39-67.
• Sophie van Huellen, 2013, "Price Non-Convergence in Commodities: A Case Study of the Wheat Conundrum," Working Papers, Department of Economics, SOAS University of London, UK, number 185, Oct.
• Geraldine David & Kim Oosterlinck & Ariane Szafarz, 2013, "Art Market Inefficiency," Working Papers CEB, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles, number 13-011, Feb.
• Chia-Hsuan Yeh & Chun-Yi Yang, 2013, "Do price limits hurt the market?," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, volume 8, issue 1, pages 125-153, April, DOI: 10.1007/s11403-012-0107-4.
• Gabriel Desgranges & Céline Rochon, 2013, "Conformism and public news," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), volume 52, issue 3, pages 1061-1090, April, DOI: 10.1007/s00199-011-0679-6.
• Hiroyuki Nakata, 2013, "Welfare effects of short-sale constraints under heterogeneous beliefs," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), volume 53, issue 2, pages 283-314, June, DOI: 10.1007/s00199-012-0691-5.
• Xiaojuan Hu & Cheng-Zhong Qin, 2013, "Information acquisition and welfare effect in a model of competitive financial markets," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), volume 54, issue 1, pages 199-210, September, DOI: 10.1007/s00199-012-0711-5.
• Gabriel Desgranges & Stéphane Gauthier, 2013, "Asymmetric information and rationalizability," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), volume 54, issue 3, pages 789-804, November, DOI: 10.1007/s00199-012-0731-1.
• Carl Chiarella & Roberto Dieci & Xue-Zhong He, 2013, "Time-varying beta: a boundedly rational equilibrium approach," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, volume 23, issue 3, pages 609-639, July, DOI: 10.1007/s00191-011-0233-5.
• Mikhail Anufriev & Cars Hommes & Raoul Philipse, 2013, "Evolutionary selection of expectations in positive and negative feedback markets," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, volume 23, issue 3, pages 663-688, July, DOI: 10.1007/s00191-011-0242-4.
• Ro’i Zultan, 2013, "Timing of messages and the Aumann conjecture: a multiple-selves approach," International Journal of Game Theory, Springer;Game Theory Society, volume 42, issue 4, pages 789-800, November, DOI: 10.1007/s00182-012-0323-0.
• Thomas Lange, 2013, "Return migration of foreign students and non-resident tuition fees," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, volume 26, issue 2, pages 703-718, April, DOI: 10.1007/s00148-012-0436-6.
• Kenneth J. Merkley & Linda S. Bamber & Theodore E. Christensen, 2013, "Detailed management earnings forecasts: do analysts listen?," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, volume 18, issue 2, pages 479-521, June, DOI: 10.1007/s11142-012-9214-7.
• Valentyn Panchenko & Sergiy Gerasymchuk & Oleg V. Pavlov, 2013, "Asset Price Dynamics with Heterogeneous Beliefs and Local Network Interactions," Discussion Papers, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales, number 2013-18, Jun.
• Simon Sosvilla-Rivero & Mar�a del Carmen Ramos-Herrera, 2013, "On the forecast accuracy and consistency of exchange rate expectations: the Spanish PwC Survey," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 20, issue 2, pages 107-110, February, DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.684775.
• Christian Pierdzioch & Jan-Christoph Rülke & Georg Stadtmann, 2013, "Forecasting US housing starts under asymmetric loss," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 23, issue 6, pages 505-513, March, DOI: 10.1080/09603107.2012.730130.
• Christian Pierdzioch & Jan-Christoph Rülke & Georg Stadtmann, 2013, "Oil price forecasting under asymmetric loss," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 45, issue 17, pages 2371-2379, June, DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.663478.
• Luigi Giamboni & Emanuele Millemaci & Robert J. Waldmann, 2013, "Evaluating how predictable errors in expected income affect consumption," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 45, issue 28, pages 4004-4021, October, DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.745987.
• Cars Hommes, 2013, "Reflexivity, expectations feedback and almost self-fulfilling equilibria: economic theory, empirical evidence and laboratory experiments," Journal of Economic Methodology, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 20, issue 4, pages 406-419, December, DOI: 10.1080/1350178X.2013.859426.
• Ece Oral, 2013, "Consumer Tendency Survey Based Inflation Expectations," Working Papers, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, number 1308.
• Evren Ceritoglu, 2013, "Household Expectations and Household Consumption Expenditures : The Case of Turkey," Working Papers, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, number 1310.
• Cars Hommes & Mei Zhu, 2013, "Behavioral Learning Equilibria," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 13-014/II, Jan.
• Tiziana Assenza & Peter Heemeijer & Cars Hommes & Domenico Massaro, 2013, "Individual Expectations and Aggregate Macro Behavior," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 13-016/II, Jan.
• Michael McAleer & Kim Radalj, 2013, "Herding, Information Cascades and Volatility Spillovers in Futures Markets," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 13-086/III, Jul.
• Stefanie Peer & Jasper Knockaert & Paul Koster & Erik Verhoef, 2013, "Overreporting vs. Overreacting: Commuters' Perceptions of Travel Times," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 13-123/VIII, Aug, revised 25 Aug 2013.
• Florian Wagener, 2013, "Expectations in Experiments," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 13-125/II, Aug.
• Cars Hommes, 2013, "Behaviorally Rational Expectations and Almost Self-Fulfilling Equilibria," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 13-204/II, Dec.
• Tiziana Assenza & William A. Brock & Cars H. Hommes, 2013, "Animal Spirits, Heterogeneous Expectations and the Emergence of Booms and Busts," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 13-205/II, Dec.
• Cars Hommes, 2013, "Reflexivity, Expectations Feedback and almost Self-fulfilling Equilibria: Economic Theory, Empirical Evidence and Laboratory Experiments," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 13-206/II, Dec.
• Dräger, L. & Lamla, M.J. & Pfajfar, D., 2013, "Are Consumer Expectations Theory-Consistent? The Role of Macroeconomic Determinants and Central Bank Communication," Discussion Paper, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research, number 2013-063.
• Dräger, L. & Lamla, M.J. & Pfajfar, D., 2013, "Are Consumer Expectations Theory-Consistent? The Role of Macroeconomic Determinants and Central Bank Communication," Other publications TiSEM, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management, number 4d696071-8776-4191-a84f-f.
• Lisa Bruttel & Werner G�th, 2013, "Tit for Others' Tat. Repeated Prisoner's Dilemma Experiments with Third-Party Monitoring and Indirect Punishment," TWI Research Paper Series, Thurgauer Wirtschaftsinstitut, Universität Konstanz, number 85.
• María del Carmen Ramos-Herrera & Simon Sosvilla-Rivero, 2013, "Inflation expectations in Spain: The Spanish PwC Survey," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2013-08, Jan.
• Michael McAleer & Kim Radalj, 2013, "Herding, Information Cascades and Volatility Spillovers in Futures Markets," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2013-25, Jun.
• Subhasish M. Chowdhury & Joo Young Jeon, 2013, "Altruism, Anticipation, and Gender," Working Paper series, University of East Anglia, Centre for Behavioural and Experimental Social Science (CBESS), School of Economics, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK., number 13-06.
• Geraldine David & Kim Oosterlinck & Ariane Szafarz, 2013, "Art Market Inefficiency," ULB Institutional Repository, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles, number 2013/145737, Oct.
• Timo Henckel & Gordon Menzies & Daniel J. Zizzo, 2013, "The Great Recession and the Two Dimensions of European Central Bank Credibility," Working Paper Series, Economics Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 13, Aug.
• Corrado Di Guilmi & Xue-Zhong He & Kai Li, 2013, "Herding, Trend Chasing and Market Volatility," Research Paper Series, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney, number 337, Oct.
• Michael Landesmann & Isilda Mara, 2013, "The Steadiness of Migration Plans and Expected Length of Stay – Based on a Recent Survey of Romanian Migrants in Italy," wiiw Working Papers, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw, number 104, Sep.
• Damjan Pfajfar & Emiliano Santoro, 2013, "News on Inflation and the Epidemiology of Inflation Expectations," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 45, issue 6, pages 1045-1067, September, DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.12043.
• Emilia Tomczyk, 2013, "End of sample vs. real time data: perspectives for analysis of expectations," Working Papers, Department of Applied Econometrics, Warsaw School of Economics, number 68, Jan.
• Schmitt, Noemi & Westerhoff, Frank, 2013, "Speculative behavior and the dynamics of interacting stock markets," BERG Working Paper Series, Bamberg University, Bamberg Economic Research Group, number 90.
• Enke, Benjamin & Zimmermann, Florian, 2013, "Correlation Neglect in Belief Formation," Bonn Econ Discussion Papers, University of Bonn, Bonn Graduate School of Economics (BGSE), number 04/2013.