Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes
Top JEL
/ D: Microeconomics
/ / D8: Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty
/ / / D84: Expectations; Speculations
2026
- Claus, Edda & Nguyen, Viet Hoang, 2026, "Heart strings and purse strings: The impact of affect on consumer spending," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 187, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2026.105383.
- Cole, Stephen J. & Martínez García, Enrique & Sims, Eric, 2026, "Living Up to Expectations: The Effectiveness of Forward Guidance and Inflation Dynamics Post-Global Financial Crisis," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 188, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2026.105385.
- Erkut, Hande & Kübler, Dorothea, 2026, "Double standards: When stakeholders disagree with spectators in repugnance judgments," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 188, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2026.105415.
- Couture, Cody & Zamarripa, Rene, 2026, "Do IMF economists believe in the Phillips Curve? Evidence from the WEO country groups," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, volume 74, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2026.101503.
- Couture, Cody & Zamarripa, Rene, 2026, "Corrigendum to ‘Do IMF Economists Believe in the Phillips Curve? Evidence from the WEO Country Groups’ [Emerging Markets Review 74 (2026) 101503]," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, volume 74, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2026.101516.
- Jiang, Danyang & Li, Haoyuan & Tian, Xiaoli, 2026, "IPO underwriting incentives and macroeconomic forecast optimism," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, volume 87, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jempfin.2026.101704.
- Srivastava, Prachi & Bloom, Nicholas & Bunn, Philip & Mizen, Paul & Thwaites, Gregory & Yotzov, Ivan, 2026, "Firm climate investment: A glass half-full," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 154, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2025.109097.
- Singhal, Puja & Kaestner, Kathrin & Schwarz, Antonia & Pahle, Michael, 2026, "How do households react to a real cost shock? Evidence from the energy price crisis in Germany," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 155, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2026.109142.
- Gardini, Laura & Radi, Davide & Sushko, Iryna & Westerhoff, Frank, 2026, "Speculative price dynamics in a cobweb-type oil market model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 160, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2026.109478.
- Palao, Fernando & Pardo, Ángel & Roig, Marta, 2026, "When presidents make the news, do crude oil markets listen? An LLM-driven analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 160, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2026.109480.
- Naebi, Fatemeh, 2026, "Challenging the rare disaster model: An empirical analysis using the survey of professional forecasters," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 101, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2026.110049.
- Erkut, Hande & Kübler, Dorothea, 2026, "Repugnant transactions: The role of agency and severe consequences," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, volume 157, issue C, pages 22-33, DOI: 10.1016/j.geb.2026.01.001.
- García-Schmidt, Mariana, 2026, "Is the information channel of monetary policy alive in emerging markets?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, volume 162, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2026.104297.
- Mitchell, James & Shiroff, Taylor & Braitsch, Hana, 2026, "Practice makes perfect: Learning effects with household point and density forecasts of inflation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 42, issue 2, pages 315-329, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2025.06.002.
- Bürgi, Constantin & Ortiz, Julio L., 2026, "Overreaction through anchoring," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 42, issue 2, pages 512-526, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2025.08.002.
- Gan, Quan & Wan, Wayne Xinwei & Xu, Ke, 2026, "Limits of arbitrage, idiosyncratic risk, and the role of flippers in the housing market," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 187, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2026.107695.
- Brouwer, Nils & De Haan, Jakob, 2026, "The impact of public knowledge about central bank independence on trust and inflation expectations," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 241, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107329.
- Beckmann, Joscha & Brunne, Jennifer & Heinrich, Timo, 2026, "Inflation expectations and cognitive uncertainty," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 244, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2026.107437.
- Chao, Matthew & Shin, Euncheol, 2026, "Culture-specific social constructs and their implications for cross-cultural experiments," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 245, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2026.107491.
- Angelico, Cristina & Di Giacomo, Federica, 2026, "Heterogeneous inflation expectations and forecast errors across the income distribution: The role of memory," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 246, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2026.107552.
- Enders, Zeno & Trautmann, Stefan T. & Vinogradov, Dmitri V., 2026, "Macroeconomic expectations: Formation, measurement, and consequences," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 247, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2026.107620.
- Duan, Jieyi & Hanaki, Nobuyuki, 2026, "An experimental analysis on cross-asset arbitrage opportunity and the law of one price," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 248, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2026.107640.
- Xiao, Wei & Ji, Yangyang, 2026, "Heuristic macroeconomic expectations," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 248, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2026.107669.
- Jeworrek, Sabrina & Tonzer, Lena, 2026, "Inflation concerns and green product consumption: Evidence from a nationwide survey and a framed field experiment," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 248, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2026.107673.
- Guarnieri, Pietro & Spadoni, Lorenzo, 2026, "Social expectations and norm nudging in anti-coordination problems: An El Farol Bar Game experiment," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 249, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2026.107712.
- Brugiavini, Agar & Casarin, Roberto & Costola, Michele & Crivellenti, Claudia, 2026, "Firms’ expectations and uncertainty during COVID-19: Evidence from Italian firms," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 249, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2026.107716.
- Cao, Jinze & Fan, Mingxuan, 2026, "The illusion of free electricity: Household responses to solar panel program in Singapore," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, volume 138, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2026.103312.
- Chen, Enxian & Qiao, Lei & Sun, Xiang & Sun, Yeneng, 2026, "Localized perfection," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, volume 235, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jet.2026.106183.
- Muramoto, Akitoshi & Sogo, Takeharu, 2026, "Asymmetric optimal auction design with loss-averse bidders," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, volume 235, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jet.2026.106186.
- Chen, Heng & Liu, Yicheng, 2026, "Expectation and confusion: Evidence and theory," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, volume 235, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jet.2026.106189.
- Liu, Haoyang & Palmer, Christopher, 2026, "Implicit extrapolation and the beliefs channel of investment demand," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, volume 175, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jfineco.2025.104172.
- Andersen, Steffen & Dimmock, Stephen G. & Nielsen, Kasper Meisner & Peijnenburg, Kim, 2026, "Extrapolators and contrarians: Forecast bias and individual investor stock trading," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, volume 181, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jfineco.2026.104291.
- Pang, Hao, 2026, "Forecast bias across horizons: Inflation expectations and the Treasury yields," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, volume 183, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jfineco.2026.104327.
- Liu, Jiageng & Makarov, Igor & Schoar, Antoinette, 2026, "Anatomy of a run: The Terra Luna crash," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, volume 184, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jfineco.2026.104359.
- Massa, Olga Isengildina & Karali, Berna & Irwin, Scott H., 2026, "The new grain giants: the reliability of USDA’s corn and soybean production forecasts for Brazil and Argentina," Food Policy, Elsevier, volume 143, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.foodpol.2026.103158.
- Yu, Minli & te Kaat, Daniel Marcel & de Haan, Jakob, 2026, "The cross-border effect of monetary policy on house price expectations," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 167, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2026.103607.
- Acuña Armenta, Carolina, 2026, "Central bank transparency under adaptive learning empirical evidence from Mexico," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 88, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2026.103751.
- Matinyan, Anahit & Kilejian, Ardash & Minasyan, Gevorg & Shirkhanyan, Aleksandr, 2026, "The role of information in shaping inflation expectations and perceptions: A survey experiment," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 88, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2026.103754.
- Saulītis, Andris, 2026, "Strategic misreporting on tax evasion: Uncovering social desirability bias through integrated list-vignette experiments," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, volume 115, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.joep.2026.102906.
- Arntz, Melanie & Blesse, Sebastian & Doerrenberg, Philipp, 2026, "The end of work feels near. How do people perceive the impact of digital technologies and automation?," Labour Economics, Elsevier, volume 102, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.labeco.2026.102897.
- Zarifhonarvar, Ali, 2026, "Generating inflation expectations with large language models," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 157, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2025.103859.
- Gemmi, Luca & Valchev, Rosen, 2026, "Biased surveys," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 157, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2025.103868.
- Goldfayn-Frank, Olga & Kieren, Pascal & Trautmann, Stefan, 2026, "A choice-based approach to the measurement of inflation expectations," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 157, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2025.103882.
- Rychalovska, Yuliya & Slobodyan, Sergey & Wouters, Rafael, 2026, "Professional survey forecasts and expectations in DSGE models," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 158, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2025.103885.
- Balleer, Almut & Duernecker, Georg & Forstner, Susanne & Goensch, Johannes, 2026, "Biased expectations and labor market outcomes: Evidence from German survey data and implications for the East–West wage gap," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 159, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2026.103917.
- Lei, Xun & Huang, Jiexiang & Ruan, Xinfeng, 2026, "Sentiment and uncertainty: Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, volume 96, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.pacfin.2025.102993.
- Lee, Seohyun, 2026, "Forecast disagreement about firm-level profitability and uncertainty," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, volume 97, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.pacfin.2026.103092.
- Kuang, Pei & Luca, Davide & Wei, Zhiwu, 2026, "Ballots, budgets and bricks: Brexit and the polarisation of individual economic behaviours," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, volume 259, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2026.105666.
- Perera-Tallo, Fernando, 2026, "The role of the central bank in managing expectations, backing up public debt, and controlling public deficits," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, volume 107, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.qref.2026.102127.
- Goel, Aditya, 2026, "Measuring macroeconomic surprise magnitude with prediction markets: Market-implied dispersion from Kalshi," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, volume 110, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2026.105577.
- Knapp, Boris & Stelzeneder, Dominik, 2026, "The impact of misinformation on consumer choices," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, volume 122, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2026.102576.
- Kevin Lee & Kalvinder Shields, 2026, "Monitoring Macroeconomic Prospects with a Meta VAR-E Dashboard," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2026-10, Feb.
- Melina Ludolph & Giang Nghiem & Lena Tonzer, 2026, "Fiscal Expansion and Households' Income Inequality Expectations: A Survey Experiment," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2026-19, Mar.
- James Morley & Jing Tian & Ben Zhe Wang, 2026, "Disagreement over the Nature of Macroeconomic Shocks," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2026-21, Mar.
- Jessica Piccolo & Alessia Russo & Eleonora Granziera & Efrem Castelnuovo, 2026, "Households' Macroeconomic Beliefs: The Role of Education," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2026-52, Jul.
- Ben Zhe Wang & Jeffrey Sheen & Natalia Ponomareva & Nicholas Bloom, 2026, "Meet the BOSS - the Australian Business Outlook Scenarios Survey," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2026-71, Aug.
- Jonathan Hambur & Martin McCarthy & Sam Munn & Emily Shaw, 2026, "Rate and See: Household Interest Rate Expectation Formation in Australia," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2026-76, Sep.
- Besley, Timothy & Dann, Chris & Dray, Sacha, 2026, "Growth experiences and trust in government," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 129614, May.
- Liu, Jiageng & Makarov, Igor & Schoar, Antoinette, 2026, "Anatomy of a run: the Terra Luna Crash," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 137575, Oct.
- De Grauwe, Paul & Ji, Yuemei, 2026, "Modeling the economy as a watch or as a cloud," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 137712, Jul.
- Reis, Ricardo, 2026, "Why did inflation rise and fall in 2021–2024? Channels and evidence from expectations," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 138478, Aug.
- Bond, Steve & Norris Keiller, Agnes & de Paula, Áureo & Van Reenen, John, 2026, "Leveraging subjective expectations for production functions," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 138667, May.
- Kuang, Pei & Luca, Davide & Wei, Zhiwu, 2026, "Ballots, budgets and bricks: Brexit and the polarisation of individual economic behaviours," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 138681, Jul.
- Anja Bauer & Rolf Bürkl & Katharina Gangl & Christoph Ungemach, 2026, "Unterschiede zwischen Alters-, Einkommens- und Haushaltstypen im Konsumklima," NIM Report, Nürnberg Institut für Marktentscheidungen e.V., number report-001, Jun, DOI: https://doi.org/10.83358/jyvr-5w67.
- Massimo Filippini & Cloé Garnache, 2026, "Projection Bias in Durable Goods Investment: Evidence from Solar Panel Adoption in Norway," CER-ETH Economics working paper series, CER-ETH - Center of Economic Research (CER-ETH) at ETH Zurich, number 26/408, Jul.
- Miguel Acosta & Yeji Sung, 2026, "Recency Effects in Perceived Uncertainty," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2026-12, Jul, DOI: 10.24148/wp2026-12.
- Lawrence J. Christiano & Martin S. Eichenbaum & Benjamin K. Johannsen, 2026, "Slow Learning," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2026-039, Jun, DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2026.039.
- Sai Ma, 2026, "Attention Allocation and Belief Distortions," International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 1438, Apr, DOI: 10.17016/IFDP.2026.1438.
- Kartik B. Athreya & José Mustre-del-Río & Juan M. Sánchez, 2026, "Fleeting Forbearance in a World of Persistent Financial Distress," Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, number RWP 26-13, Sep, DOI: 10.18651/RWP2026-13.
- Julie Bennett & Neville Francis & Brooke Hathhorn & Jonghyuck Lim & Michael T. Owyang, 2026, "Understanding the Distribution of Inflation Expectations," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, volume 108, issue 10, pages 1-19, August, DOI: 10.20955/r.2026.10.
- Alexander Bick & António Dias da Silva & Marco Weißler, 2026, "On-the-Job Search in Europe and the U.S.: Precautionary vs. Job Ladder Motives," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, number 2026-015, Jun, DOI: 10.20955/wp.2026.015.
- Kartik B. Athreya & José Mustre-del-Río & Juan M. Sánchez, 2026, "Fleeting Forbearance in a World of Persistent Financial Distress," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, number 2026-019, Sep, DOI: 10.20955/wp.2026.019.
- Ali Hashim & Gizem Koşar & Wilbert Van der Klaauw, 2026, "Use of Gen AI in the Workplace and the Value of Access to Training," Liberty Street Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 20260414, Apr, DOI: 10.59576/lse.20260414.
- Christopher Gresh & Andrew F. Haughwout & Eungik Lee & Wilbert Van der Klaauw, 2026, "Why Do Fewer Renters Expect to Move?," Liberty Street Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 20260806, Aug, DOI: 10.59576/lse.20260806.
- Olivier Armantier & Gizem Koşar & Giorgio Topa & Wilbert Van der Klaauw & John C. Williams, 2026, "Three Stylized Facts About Inflation Expectations During the 2021-23 Inflation Surge," Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 1200, Aug, DOI: 10.59576/sr.1200.
- Alberto Ciancio & Camilo Garcia-Jimeno, 2026, "Anticipating State Action: Risk Perceptions and Consumption under Immigration Enforcement," Working Papers, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow, number 2026_02, Feb.
- Riccardo Sommariva & Paolo Zeppini, 2026, "Heterogeneous Expectations with Multiple Risky Assets," GREDEG Working Papers, Groupe de REcherche en Droit, Economie, Gestion (GREDEG CNRS), Université Côte d'Azur, France, number 2026-18, Jul.
- Barro, Tjantana & Marencak, Michal & Nghiem, Giang, 2026, "The Green Transition and Households' Macroeconomic Expectations: A Survey Experiment," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP), Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät, number dp-743, Jan.
- Ludolph, Melina & Nghiem, Giang & Tonzer, Lena, 2026, "Fiscal Expansion and Households' Income Inequality Expectations: A Survey Experiment," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP), Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät, number dp-744, Feb.
- Dräger, Lena & Marencak, Michal & Nghiem, Giang & Paloviita, Maritta, 2026, "Heterogeneity in Consumers' Economic Expectations across Euro Area Countries," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP), Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät, number dp-747, Jun.
- Ludolph, Melina & Nghiem, Giang & Tonzer, Lena, 2026, "Facts or feelings? The role of relatable narratives in shaping inflation expectations," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP), Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät, number dp-748, Jun.
- Olaniyi Evans, 2026, "The Immersive Economy After the Metaverse: Forecast Failure, the Wearables Turn, and Investment Policy," Hequation Review, Hequation, volume 3, issue 2, pages 8-15, DOI: 10.6084/m9.figshare.32588928.
- Khaliliaraghi, Negar & Lundborg, Petter & Vikström, johan, 2026, "Gender Gaps Under Comparable Tasks: Evidence from Quasi-Random Assignment," Working Paper Series, IFAU - Institute for Evaluation of Labour Market and Education Policy, number 2026:7, Mar.
- Baader, Malte & Barron, Kai & Hochleitner, Anna & Kaiser, Jonas P., 2026, "The Stories We Tell: Societal Narratives and Support for the Far Right," Discussion Paper Series in Economics, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Economics, number 14/2026, Sep.
- Pamela Giustinelli & Edwin Leuven, 2026, "Getting In and Getting Through: Ex Ante Beliefs and Counterfactual Outcomes in Centralized College Admissions," Working Papers, Human Capital and Economic Opportunity Working Group, number 2026-002, Mar.
- Hirs, Jorge & Andrian, Leandro Gaston & Valencia, Oscar, 2026, "Fiscal Assessments Through the Lens of Firms: Corporate Perceptions and the Transmission of Fiscal Policy," IDB Publications (Working Papers), Inter-American Development Bank, number 14475, Jan, DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0013914.
- Roshin Paul P & Taniya Ghosh, 2026, "Inflation expectations of Indian households: A Better way to measure, and behavioral consequences," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India, number 2026-009, May.
- Bnaya Dreyfuss & Ofer Glicksohn & Ori Heffetz & Assaf Romm, 2026, "Deferred Acceptance with News Utility," Management Science, INFORMS, volume 72, issue 3, pages 2090-2110, March, DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.2024.05446.
- Peter Haan & Chen Sun & Uwe Sunde & Georg Weizsäcker, 2026, "Nonadditivity of Subjective Expectations over Different Time Intervals," Management Science, INFORMS, volume 72, issue 8, pages 6792-6805, August, DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.2023.01558.
- Khaliliaraghi, Negar & Lundborg, Petter & Vikström, Johan, 2026, "Gender Gaps Under Comparable Tasks: Evidence from Quasi-Random Assignment," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 18379, Feb.
- Hübsch, Theresa & Mahlstedt, Robert & Pinger, Pia & Settele, Sonja & Willadsen, Helene, 2026, "Mental Models of High School Success," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 18433, Mar.
- Ciancio, Alberto & Garcia-Jimeno, Camilo, 2026, "Anticipating State Action: Risk Perceptions and Consumption under Immigration Enforcement," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 18446, Mar.
- Mahlstedt, Robert & Settele, Sonja & Wohlfart, Johannes, 2026, "Unemployment Narratives," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 18532, Apr.
- Akgunduz, Yusuf Emre & Cilasun, Seyit Mumin & Deryol, Ahmet & Tumen, Semih, 2026, "Echoes of Hyperinflation: The Link Between past Exposure and Formation of Expectations," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 18543, Apr.
- Kosar, Gizem & Melcangi, Davide, 2026, "Subjective Uncertainty and the Marginal Propensity to Consume," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 18602, Apr.
- Leibing, Andreas, 2026, "Skill Substitution, Expectations, and the Business Cycle," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 18835, Jul.
- Basso, Henrique & Bover, Olympia & Galvez, Julio & Hospido, Laura, 2026, "Perceived versus Realized Income Dynamics: Evidence from Subjective Expectations," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 18935, Sep.
- Fuchs-Schündeln, Nicola & Jessen, Jonas & Ong, Pinchuan & Pan, Jessica, 2026, "Assessing Hypothetical Scenarios for Estimating Labor Supply Responses: Evidence from a Pension Reform," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 18944, Sep.
- TANAKA,Kiyoyasu & UEKI,Yasushi, 2026, "Who Fears Job Losses from U.S. Tariff Hikes? Evidence from Cambodia," IDE Discussion Papers, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization(JETRO), number 985, Jan.
- Heuermann Daniel F. & Krämer Andreas, 2026, "Perceived Inflation in Germany: Determinants and the Role of the Basket of Goods," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, volume 246, issue 4, pages 361-384, DOI: 10.1515/jbnst-2024-0090.
- Emiliano Alvarez, 2026, "Inflation Target Credibility and Inflation Regimes in a Heterogeneous Agent-Based Model," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, volume 68, issue 2, pages 1871-1888, August, DOI: 10.1007/s10614-025-11082-0.
- Philipp Chapkovski, 2026, "Can corruption indices lead to statistical discrimination? Experimental evidence from a within-country setting," Public Choice, Springer, volume 208, issue 1, pages 49-86, July, DOI: 10.1007/s11127-025-01367-1.
- Yuta Okamoto & Yuuki Ozaki, 2026, "On Extrapolation of Treatment Effects in Multiple-Cutoff Regression Discontinuity Designs," Discussion Paper Series, Research Institute for Economics & Business Administration, Kobe University, number DP2026-20, Jun.
2025
- Felix Chopra & Christopher Roth & Johannes Wohlfart, 2025, "Home Price Expectations and Spending: Evidence from a Field Experiment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, volume 115, issue 7, pages 2267-2305, July, DOI: 10.1257/aer.20240022.
- Nicolas Bottan & Ricardo Perez-Truglia, 2025, "Betting on the House: Subjective Expectations and Market Choices," American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, American Economic Association, volume 17, issue 1, pages 459-500, January, DOI: 10.1257/app.20230641.
- George W. Evans & Christopher G. Gibbs & Bruce McGough, 2025, "A Unified Model of Learning to Forecast," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, volume 17, issue 2, pages 101-133, April, DOI: 10.1257/mac.20220205.
- Andreas Dibiasi & Heiner Mikosch & Samad Sarferaz, 2025, "Uncertainty Shocks, Adjustment Costs, and Firm Beliefs: Evidence from a Representative Survey," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, volume 17, issue 3, pages 36-73, July, DOI: 10.1257/mac.20220318.
- Claudia Bruschi & Francesco D'Acunto & Saten Kumar & Michael Weber, 2025, "Subjective Models of Workers and Managers for Macroeconomic Expectations," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, volume 115, pages 248-253, May, DOI: 10.1257/pandp.20251016.
- Silvia Albrizio & Allan Dizioli & Pedro Simon & Yifan Zhang, 2025, "Attention, Please! Listening to the Central Bank in Uncertain Times," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, volume 115, pages 254-260, May, DOI: 10.1257/pandp.20251017.
- Lukas Buchheim & Sebastian Link & Sascha Möhrle, 2025, "The Accuracy of Firms' Wage Inflation Expectations," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, volume 115, pages 261-265, May, DOI: 10.1257/pandp.20251018.
- Ursel Baumann & Annalisa Ferrando & Dimitris Georgarakos & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Timo Reinelt, 2025, "Do Inflation Expectations Become More Anchored during a Disinflation Episode? Evidence for Euro Area Firms," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, volume 115, pages 266-270, May, DOI: 10.1257/pandp.20251019.
- Stefano Fiorin & Joseph Hall & Martin Kanz, 2025, "Discrimination Expectations in the Credit Market: Survey Evidence from India," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, volume 115, pages 351-356, May, DOI: 10.1257/pandp.20251098.
- Irina ZINOVIEVA & George MENGOV, 2025, "Work motivation and professional life in turbulent times," Access Journal, Access Press Publishing House, volume 6, issue 1, pages 202-216, November, DOI: 10.46656/access.2025.6.1(11).
- Lisa Keding & Marten C. Ritterrath, 2025, "Inventors' Personal Experience of Natural Disasters and Green Innovation," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany, number 380, Nov.
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- Chenyu Hou & Tao Wang, 2025, "Uncovering Subjective Models from Survey Expectations," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 25-31, Nov, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2025-31.
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- Eric Vansteenberghe, 2025, "Monetary Policy, Uncertainty, and Credit Supply," Working papers, Banque de France, number 1025.
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- Harold Glenn A. Valera & Cymon Kayle Lubangco & Mark J. Holmes, 2025, "​​Does Repeated Cross-section Data Help Explain Consumer Inflation Expectations Revisions?," BSP Discussion Paper Series, Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas, number 202514, Dec.
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- Vadim Grishchenko & Maria Lymar & Andrei Sinyakov, 2025, "What information is important for households’ inflation expectations: evidence from a randomized controlled trial," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series, Bank of Russia, number wps148, Apr.
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- Benjamin Christoffersen & Arvid Hoffmann & Zwetelina Iliewa & Lena Jaroszek, 2025, "Experience Effects on Wall Street vs. Main Street: Field and Lab Evidence of Context Dependence," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany, number crctr224_2025_684, Apr.
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- Volha Audzei & Sergey Slobodyan, 2025, "Dynamic Sparse Adaptive Learning," CERGE-EI Working Papers, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague, number wp797, Jun.
- Julia Le Blanc & Jiri Slacalek & Matthew N. White, 2025, "Housing Wealth Across Countries: The Role of Expectations, Institutions and Preferences," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 11621.
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- Gizem Kosar & Davide Melcangi, 2025, "Subjective Uncertainty and the Marginal Propensity to Consume," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 11792.
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- Yu Awaya & Jihwan Do & Makoto Watanabe, 2025, "Bubbles and Collateral," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 11894.
- Irene Iodice, 2025, "Transparency as Trade Policy: The Value of Advance Notifications in Technical Regulations," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12015.
- Sebastian Blesse & Klaus Gründler & Philipp Heil & Henning Hermes, 2025, "The Demand for Economic Narratives," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12204.
- Stefano Fasani & Giuseppe Pagano Giorgianni & Valeria Patella & Lorenza Rossi, 2025, "Belief Distortions and Uncertainty About Inflation," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12209.
- Maximilian Boeck & Zeno Enders & Michael Kleemann & Gernot Müller, 2025, "Dancing in the Dark: Sentiment Shocks and Economic Activity," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12252.
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- Baley, Isaac & Turen, Javier, 2025, "Lumpy Forecasts," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 19824, Jan.
- Le Blanc, Julia & Slacalek, Jiri & White, Matthew, 2025, "Housing Wealth Across Countries: The Role of Expectations, Institutions and Preferences," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 19838, Jan.
- Andrade, Philippe & Gautier, Erwan & Mengus, Eric & Moench, Emanuel & Schmidt, Tobias, 2025, "Household Beliefs about Fiscal Dominance," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 19862, Jan.
- D'Acunto, Francesco & Liu, Baixiao & Ma, Linlin & Wu, Yizou, 2025, "Let the Good Times Roll: Subjective Expectations and Asset Management," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 19870, Jan.
- Kuang, Pei & Weber, Michael & Xie, Shihan, 2025, "Central Bank Communication with the Polarized Public," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 19952, Feb.
- Besley, Tim & Dann, Chris & Dray, Sacha, 2025, "Growth Experiences and Trust in Government," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20062, Mar.
- Piccolo, Jessica & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy, 2025, "Homeownership and Attention to Inflation: Evidence from Information Treatments," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20087, Mar.
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- Biasi, Barbara & Cullen, Zöe & Gilman, Julia & Roussille, Nina, 2025, "How Does Wage Inequality Affect The Labor Movement?," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20566, Aug.
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- Blesse, Sebastian & Gruendler, Klaus & Heil, Philipp & Hermes, Henning, 2025, "The Demand for Economic Narratives," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20759, Oct.
- Adam, Klaus & Kuang, Pei & Xie, Shihan, 2025, "Overconfidence in Private Information Explains Biases in Professional Forecasts," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20806, Nov.
- Kamdar, Rupal & Ray, Walker & Ulate, Mauricio, 2025, "We Think That They Think: Political Affiliation and Higher-Order Beliefs," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20822, Nov.
- De Fiore, Fiorella & Lombardi, Marco & Mangiante, Giacomo, 2025, "The Asymmetric and Heterogeneous Pass-through of Input Prices to Firms’ Expectations and Decisions," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20835, Nov.
- De Fiore, Fiorella & Lombardi, Marco & Pierres Tejada, Albert, 2025, "Fiscal Stimulus Plans and Households’ Expectations," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20849, Nov.
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