Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes
Top JEL
/ D: Microeconomics
/ / D8: Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty
/ / / D84: Expectations; Speculations
2020
- Guber, Raphael & Kocher, Martin G. & Winter, Joachim, 2020, "Does having insurance change individuals' self-confidence?," Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics, number 84775.
- Michele Berardi, 2020, "Learning from Prices: Information Aggregation and Accumulation in an Asset Price Model," Economics Discussion Paper Series, Economics, The University of Manchester, number 2009, Jul.
- Dzung Bui & Lena Draeger & Bernd Hayo & Giang NghiemŸ, 2020, "Consumer Sentiment During the COVID-19 Pandemic: The Role of Others' Beliefs," MAGKS Papers on Economics, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung), number 202049.
- Anna Boldizsár & Zalán Kocsis & Zsuzsa Nagy-Kékesi & Gábor Sztanó, 2020, "FX Forward Market in Hungary: General Characteristics and Impact of the COVID Crisis," Financial and Economic Review, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary), volume 19, issue 3, pages 5-51.
- Mark L. Egan & Alexander MacKay & Hanbin Yang, 2020, "Recovering Investor Expectations from Demand for Index Funds," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 26608, Jan.
- Olivier Coibion & Dimitris Georgarakos & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber, 2020, "Forward Guidance and Household Expectations," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 26778, Feb.
- Christine Laudenbach & Ulrike Malmendier & Alexandra Niessen-Ruenzi, 2020, "The Long-lasting Effects of Living under Communism on Attitudes towards Financial Markets," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 26818, Mar.
- Francesco D’Acunto & Ulrike Malmendier & Michael Weber, 2020, "Gender Roles and the Gender Expectations Gap," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 26837, Mar.
- Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber, 2020, "Labor Markets During the COVID-19 Crisis: A Preliminary View," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 27017, Apr.
- Jose Maria Barrero & Nicholas Bloom & Steven J. Davis, 2020, "COVID-19 Is Also a Reallocation Shock," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 27137, May.
- Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber, 2020, "The Cost of the Covid-19 Crisis: Lockdowns, Macroeconomic Expectations, and Consumer Spending," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 27141, May.
- Ying Fan & A. Yeşim Orhun & Dana Turjeman, 2020, "Heterogeneous Actions, Beliefs, Constraints and Risk Tolerance During the COVID-19 Pandemic," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 27211, May.
- Francesco D’Acunto & Daniel Hoang & Michael Weber, 2020, "Managing Households' Expectations with Unconventional Policies," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 27399, Jun.
- Nicolas L. Bottan & Ricardo Perez-Truglia, 2020, "Betting on the House: Subjective Expectations and Market Choices," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 27412, Jun.
- Arpita Patnaik & Matthew J. Wiswall & Basit Zafar, 2020, "College Majors," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 27645, Aug.
- Cormac O'Dea & David Sturrock, 2020, "Survival Pessimism and the Demand for Annuities," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 27677, Aug.
- Erol Akcay & David Hirshleifer, 2020, "Social Finance: Cultural Evolution, Transmission Bias and Market Dynamics," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 27745, Aug.
- Jules H. van Binsbergen & Xiao Han & Alejandro Lopez-Lira, 2020, "Man vs. Machine Learning: The Term Structure of Earnings Expectations and Conditional Biases," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 27843, Sep.
- Ian Dew-Becker & Stefano Giglio, 2020, "Cross-Sectional Uncertainty and the Business Cycle: Evidence from 40 Years of Options Data," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 27864, Sep.
- Christopher D. Carroll & Edmund Crawley & Jiri Slacalek & Matthew N. White, 2020, "Modeling the Consumption Response to the CARES Act," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 27876, Sep.
- Kehinde F. Ajayi & Willa H. Friedman & Adrienne M. Lucas, 2020, "When Information is Not Enough: Evidence from a Centralized School Choice System," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 27887, Oct.
- Hassan Afrouzi & Spencer Yongwook Kwon & Augustin Landier & Yueran Ma & David Thesmar, 2020, "Overreaction and Working Memory," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 27947, Oct.
- Michael Boutros & Itzhak Ben-David & John R. Graham & Campbell R. Harvey & John W. Payne, 2020, "The Persistence of Miscalibration," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 28010, Oct.
- Rava Azeredo da Silveira & Yeji Sung & Michael Woodford, 2020, "Optimally Imprecise Memory and Biased Forecasts," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 28075, Nov.
- Misha Galashin & Martin Kanz & Ricardo Perez-Truglia, 2020, "Macroeconomic Expectations and Credit Card Spending," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 28281, Dec.
- Nicholas Bloom & Philip Bunn & Paul Mizen & Pawel Smietanka & Gregory Thwaites, 2020, "The impact of Covid-19 on productivity," Discussion Papers, University of Nottingham, Centre for Finance, Credit and Macroeconomics (CFCM), number 2020/13.
- Florin Bonciu, 2020, "Challenges in Designing Economic Strategies for the Post Covid-19 Era," Global Economic Observer, "Nicolae Titulescu" University of Bucharest, Faculty of Economic Sciences;Institute for World Economy of the Romanian Academy, volume 8, issue 1, pages 19-23, May.
- Peter Backé & Elisabeth Beckmann, 2020, "What drives people’s expectations of euro adoption? – Evidence from the OeNB Euro Survey on selected CESEE countries," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue Q4/20, pages 57-79.
- Barrero, Jose Maria & Bloom, Nick & Davis, Steven J., 2020, "COVID-19 Is Also a Reallocation Shock," SocArXiv, Center for Open Science, number bw7vz, May, DOI: 10.31235/osf.io/bw7vz.
- Barrero, Jose Maria, 2020, "The Micro and Macro of Managerial Beliefs," SocArXiv, Center for Open Science, number fctsb, Apr, DOI: 10.31235/osf.io/fctsb.
- codagnone, cristiano & Bogliacino, Francesco & Gómez, Camilo Ernesto & Folkvord, F. & Liva, Giovanni & Charris, Rafael Alberto & Montealegre, Felipe & Lupiáñez-Villanueva, Francisco & Veltri, Giuseppe, 2020, "Restarting “normal” life after Covid-19 and the lockdown: Evidence from Spain, the United Kingdom, and Italy," SocArXiv, Center for Open Science, number vd4cq, Jun, DOI: 10.31235/osf.io/vd4cq.
- Subhasish M Chowdhury & Philip J Grossman & Joo Young Jeon, 2020, "Gender differences in giving and the anticipation regarding giving in dictator games," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, volume 72, issue 3, pages 772-779.
- Benjamin Enke, 2020, "What You See Is All There Is," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, volume 135, issue 3, pages 1363-1398.
- Patrick Bayer & Christopher Geissler & Kyle Mangum & James W Roberts & Andrew Karolyi, 2020, "Speculators and Middlemen: The Strategy and Performance of Investors in the Housing Market," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, volume 33, issue 11, pages 5212-5247.
- Zhenyu Gao & Michael Sockin & Wei Xiong & Itay Goldstein, 2020, "Economic Consequences of Housing Speculation," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, volume 33, issue 11, pages 5248-5287.
- Utz Weitzel & Christoph Huber & Jürgen Huber & Michael Kirchler & Florian Lindner & Julia Rose & Lauren Cohen, 2020, "Bubbles and Financial Professionals," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, volume 33, issue 6, pages 2659-2696.
- Ankit Kalda & Lauren Cohen, 2020, "Peer Financial Distress and Individual Leverage," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, volume 33, issue 7, pages 3348-3390.
- Jannis Engel & Nora Szech, 2020, "A little good is good enough: Ethical consumption, cheap excuses, and moral self-licensing," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, volume 15, issue 1, pages 1-19, January, DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0227036.
- Zoller-Rydzek, Benedikt & Keller, Florian, 2020, "COVID-19: Guaranteed Loans and Zombie Firms," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 100897, Jun.
- Berardi, Michele, 2020, "Learning from prices: information aggregation and accumulation in an asset market," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 102139, Apr.
- Lautenbacher, Stefan, 2020, "Subjective Uncertainty, Expectations, and Firm Behavior," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 103516, Oct.
- Berardi, Michele, 2020, "Uncertainty and sentiments in asset prices," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 103798, Oct.
- Harin, Alexander, 2020, "Macroscopic analogs of quantum-mechanical phenomena and auto-transformations of functions," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 104188, Nov.
- Brañas-Garza, Pablo & Mesa-Vázquez, Ernesto & Rivero-Garrido, Noelia, 2020, "Gender differences in overplacement in familiar and unfamiliar tasks: Far more similarities," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 104426, Dec.
- Martin, José Manuel, 2020, "reaction model for a Central Bank against shocks on labor market - Part I," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 108128, Dec.
- Suah, Jing Lian, 2020, "Veiled Expectations: The Heterogeneous Impact of Exchange Rate Shocks at the Sectoral-Level," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 109086, Nov.
- Vîntu, Denis, 2020, "Relegating - The GDP Structural Modelling Strategy, The Dynamics in Time-Series Data: Short-Run Shocks, Disequilibrium Shocks and Innovative Shocks to Nuisance," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 112857, Oct, revised 30 Sep 2020.
- Anastasiou, Dimitrios, 2020, "Senior bank loan officers' expectations for loan demand: Evidence from the Euro-area," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 98903, Jan.
- Miglo, Anton, 2020, "Choice Between IEO and ICO: Speed vs. Liquidity vs. Risk," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 99600, Apr.
- Vega, Marco & Lahura, Erick, 2020, "Assessing central bank communication through monetary policy statements: Results for Colombia, Chile and Peru," Working Papers, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, number 2020-017, Dec.
- Danz, David & Engelmann, Dirk & Kübler, Dorothea, 2020, "Do Legal Standards Affect Ethical Concerns of Consumers?," Rationality and Competition Discussion Paper Series, CRC TRR 190 Rationality and Competition, number 234, Apr.
- Haan, Peter & Peichl, Andreas & Schrenker, Annekatrin & Weizsäcker, Georg & Winter, Joachim, 2020, "Starke Erwartungsreaktionen auf Angela Merkels Covid-Erklärungen," Rationality and Competition Discussion Paper Series, CRC TRR 190 Rationality and Competition, number 239, Apr.
- Frick, Mira & Iijima, Ryota & Le Yaouanq, Yves, 2020, "Objective Rationality Foundations for (Dynamic) α-MEU," Rationality and Competition Discussion Paper Series, CRC TRR 190 Rationality and Competition, number 252, Jul.
- Ahrens, Steffen & Bitter, Lea & Bosch-Rosa, Ciril, 2020, "Coordination under Loss Contracts," Rationality and Competition Discussion Paper Series, CRC TRR 190 Rationality and Competition, number 256, Sep.
- Schrenker, Annekatrin, 2020, "Do Women Expect Wage Cuts for Part-Time Work?," Rationality and Competition Discussion Paper Series, CRC TRR 190 Rationality and Competition, number 257, Sep.
- Michal Szkup, 2020, "Online Appendix to "Preventing Self-Fulfilling Debt Crises: A Global Games Approach"," Online Appendices, Review of Economic Dynamics, number 19-127.
- Michal Szkup, 2020, "Code and data files for "Preventing Self-Fulfilling Debt Crises: A Global Games Approach"," Computer Codes, Review of Economic Dynamics, number 19-127, revised .
- Ricardo Serrano-Padial, 2021, "Large Aggregate Games with Heterogeneous Players," School of Economics Working Paper Series, LeBow College of Business, Drexel University, number 2021-2, Jan.
- Robert Wrathall & Rod Falvey & Gulasekaran Rajaguru, 2020, "Do (Australian) jockeys have hot hands?," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, volume 45, issue 2, pages 223-239, May, DOI: 10.1177/0312896219883675.
- Hashmat Khan & Jean-François Rouillard & Santosh Upadhayaya, 2020, "Consumer Confidence and Household Investment," Cahiers de recherche, Departement d'économique de l'École de gestion à l'Université de Sherbrooke, number 20-15, Oct.
- Inez Hillel, 2020, "Holes in the Social Safety Net: Poverty, Inequality and Social Assistance in Canada," CSLS Research Reports, Centre for the Study of Living Standards, number 2020-06, Aug.
- Raphael Galvao & Felipe Shalders, 2020, "Rules versus Discretion in Central Bank Communication," Working Papers, Department of Economics, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP), number 2020_02, Mar.
- Maurizio Bovi, 2020, "A time-varying expectations formation mechanism," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, volume 37, issue 1, pages 69-103, April, DOI: 10.1007/s40888-019-00171-7.
- Gian Maria Tomat, 2020, "Present Value Models and the Behaviour of European Financial Markets," Italian Economic Journal: A Continuation of Rivista Italiana degli Economisti and Giornale degli Economisti, Springer;Società Italiana degli Economisti (Italian Economic Association), volume 6, issue 3, pages 493-520, November, DOI: 10.1007/s40797-019-00110-2.
- Nobuyuki Hanaki, 2020, "Cognitive ability and observed behavior in laboratory experiments: implications for macroeconomic theory," The Japanese Economic Review, Springer, volume 71, issue 3, pages 355-378, July, DOI: 10.1007/s42973-019-00018-7.
- David Vidal-Tomás & Simone Alfarano, 2020, "An agent-based early warning indicator for financial market instability," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, volume 15, issue 1, pages 49-87, January, DOI: 10.1007/s11403-019-00272-3.
- Annarita Colasante & Aurora García-Gallego & Nikolaos Georgantzis & Andrea Morone, 2020, "Voluntary contributions in a system with uncertain returns: a case of systemic risk," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, volume 15, issue 1, pages 111-132, January, DOI: 10.1007/s11403-019-00276-z.
- Saakshi & Sohini Sahu & Siddhartha Chattopadhyay, 2020, "Epidemiology of inflation expectations and internet search: an analysis for India," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, volume 15, issue 3, pages 649-671, July, DOI: 10.1007/s11403-019-00255-4.
- Ehud Lehrer & Roee Teper, 2020, "Set-valued capacities: multi-agenda decision making," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), volume 69, issue 1, pages 233-248, February, DOI: 10.1007/s00199-018-1164-2.
- Sanna Nivakoski, 2020, "Wealth and the effect of subjective survival probability," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, volume 33, issue 2, pages 633-670, April, DOI: 10.1007/s00148-019-00749-2.
- Gunther Tichy, 2020, "Europa in der Vertrauenskrise?
[European Trust Crisis?]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, volume 100, issue 8, pages 622-627, August, DOI: 10.1007/s10273-020-2721-4. - M. Hashem Pesaran & Ida Johnsson, 2020, "Double-Question Survey Measures for the Analysis of Financial Bubbles and Crashes," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 38, issue 2, pages 428-442, April, DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2018.1513845.
- John Ameriks & Gábor Kézdi & Minjoon Lee & Matthew D. Shapiro, 2020, "Heterogeneity in Expectations, Risk Tolerance, and Household Stock Shares: The Attenuation Puzzle," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 38, issue 3, pages 633-646, July, DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2018.1549560.
- Victor Aguirregabiria, 2020, "Identification of Firms' Beliefs in Structural Models of Market Competition," Working Papers, University of Toronto, Department of Economics, number tecipa-670, Jun.
- Nicholas W. Papageorge & Seth Gershenson & Kyung Min Kang, 2020, "Teacher Expectations Matter," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, volume 102, issue 2, pages 234-251, May.
- Christopher Roth & Johannes Wohlfart, 2020, "How Do Expectations about the Macroeconomy Affect Personal Expectations and Behavior?," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, volume 102, issue 4, pages 731-748, October.
- Bobba, Matteo & Frisancho, Veronica, 2020, "Self-Perceptions about Academic Achievement: Evidence from Mexico City," TSE Working Papers, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), number 20-1070, Jan.
- Hestermann, Nina & Le Yaouanq, Yves & Treich, Nicolas, 2020, "An economic model of the meat paradox," TSE Working Papers, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), number 20-1141, Sep.
- Margaret Samahita & Håkan J Holm, 2020, "Mining for Mood Effect in the Field," Working Papers, School of Economics, University College Dublin, number 202002, Jan.
- Julian Kozlowski & Laura Veldkamp & Venky Venkateswaran, 2020, "The Tail That Wags the Economy: Beliefs and Persistent Stagnation," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, volume 128, issue 8, pages 2839-2879, DOI: 10.1086/707735.
- Jonathan J Adams, 2020, "Moderating Macroeconomic Bubbles Under Dispersed Information," Working Papers, University of Florida, Department of Economics, number 001005, Sep.
- Lieb, Lenard & Schuffels, Johannes, 2020, "Inflation expectations and consumer spending: the role of household balance sheets (RM/19/022-revised-)," Research Memorandum, Maastricht University, Graduate School of Business and Economics (GSBE), number 006, Mar, DOI: 10.26481/umagsb.2020006.
- Ina Ganguli & Patrick Gaule & Danijela Vuletic Cugalj, 2020, "Biased Beliefs and Entry into Scientific Careers," Upjohn Working Papers, W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research, number 20-334, Sep.
- Alessia Cafferata & Marwil J. Dávila-Fernández & Serena Sordi, 2020, "(Ir)rational explorers in the financial jungle: modelling Minsky with heterogeneous agents," Department of Economics University of Siena, Department of Economics, University of Siena, number 819, Feb.
- Marwil J. Dávila-Fernández & Lionello F. Punzo, 2020, "The Kuznets curve of the Rich," Department of Economics University of Siena, Department of Economics, University of Siena, number 826, Apr.
- James P. Gander, 2020, "A Complementary Micro Coronavirus Model Under Uncertainty and Utility," Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, University of Utah, University of Utah, Department of Economics, number 2020_03.
- Xue-Zhong He & Junqing Kang & Xuan Zhou, 2020, "The Fast and the Furious: Exchange Latency and Ever-fast Trading," Research Paper Series, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney, number 419, Dec.
- Hide-Fumi Yokoo & Toshi H. Arimura & Mriduchhanda Chattopadhyay & Hajime Katayama, 2020, "Subjective risk belief function in the field: Evidence from cooking fuel choices and health in India," RIEEM Discussion Paper Series, Research Institute for Environmental Economics and Management, Waseda University, number 2003, Aug.
- Maximilian Böck & Martin Feldkircher, 2020, "The impact of monetary policy on expectations along the yield curve," Department of Economics Working Papers, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics, number wuwp306, Dec.
- Böck, Maximilian & Feldkircher, Martin, 2020, "The impact of monetary policy on expectations along the yield curve," Department of Economics Working Paper Series, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business, number 306, Dec.
- Martin, Carolin & Schmitt, Noemi & Westerhoff, Frank H., 2020, "Heterogeneous expectations, housing bubbles and tax policy," BERG Working Paper Series, Bamberg University, Bamberg Economic Research Group, number 156.
- Schmitt, Noemi & Schwartz, Ivonne & Westerhoff, Frank H., 2020, "Heterogeneous speculators and stock market dynamics: A simple agent-based computational model," BERG Working Paper Series, Bamberg University, Bamberg Economic Research Group, number 160.
- Ambrocio, Gene, 2020, "European household and business expectations during COVID-19: Towards a v-shaped recovery in confidence?," BoF Economics Review, Bank of Finland, number 6/2020.
- Ambrocio, Gene, 2020, "Inflationary household uncertainty shocks," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland, number 5/2020.
- Granziera, Eleonora & Sihvonen, Markus, 2020, "Bonds, currencies and expectational errors," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland, number 7/2020.
- D'Acunto, Francesco & Hoang, Daniel & Paloviita, Maritta & Weber, Michael, 2020, "Effective policy communication: Targets versus instruments," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland, number 17/2020.
- Brenneisen, Jan-Niklas, 2020, "Monetary policy under imperfect information and consumer confidence," Economics Working Papers, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics, number 2020-04.
- Kovbasyuk, Sergey & Pagano, Marco, 2020, "Advertising arbitrage," CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies (CFS), number 641.
- Brancati, Emanuele & Brancati, Raffaele, 2020, "Heterogeneous Shocks in the Covid-19 Pandemic: Panel Evidence from Italian Firms," GLO Discussion Paper Series, Global Labor Organization (GLO), number 649.
- Briel, Stephanie & Osikominu, Aderonke & Pfeifer, Gregor & Reutter, Mirjam & Satlukal, Sascha, 2020, "Overconfidence and gender differences in wage expectations," Hohenheim Discussion Papers in Business, Economics and Social Sciences, University of Hohenheim, Faculty of Business, Economics and Social Sciences, number 08-2020.
- Dimitriadis, Timo & Patton, Andrew J. & Schmidt, Patrick W., 2020, "Testing forecast rationality for measures of central tendency," Hohenheim Discussion Papers in Business, Economics and Social Sciences, University of Hohenheim, Faculty of Business, Economics and Social Sciences, number 12-2020.
- Berner, Julian & Buchholz, Manuel & Tonzer, Lena, 2020, "Asymmetric investment responses to firm-specific forecast errors," IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), number 5/2020.
- Dovern, Jonas & Müller, Lena Sophia & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2020, "How Do Firms Form Expectations of Aggregate Growth? New Evidence from a Large-scale Business Survey," Working Papers, German Research Foundation's Priority Programme 1859 "Experience and Expectation. Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour", Humboldt University Berlin, number 15, DOI: 10.18452/21402.
- Conrad, Christian & Enders, Zeno & Glas, Alexander, 2020, "The role of information and experience for households' inflation expectations," Working Papers, German Research Foundation's Priority Programme 1859 "Experience and Expectation. Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour", Humboldt University Berlin, number 20, DOI: 10.18452/21833.
- Hirt-Schierbaum, Linda & Ivets, Maryna, 2020, "You can win by losing! Using self-betting as a commitment device: Evidence from a weight loss program," Ruhr Economic Papers, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen, number 881, DOI: 10.4419/96973020.
- Hanspal, Tobin & Weber, Annika & Wohlfart, Johannes, 2020, "Exposure to the COVID-19 stock market crash and its effect on household expectations," SAFE Working Paper Series, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE, number 279, DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3577217.
- Arni, Patrick & Liu, Xingfei, 2020, "The Role of Incomplete Information in Shaping Policy Effects: Evidence from Unemployment Insurance," VfS Annual Conference 2020 (Virtual Conference): Gender Economics, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 224629.
- Brückbauer, Frank, 2022, "Do financial market experts know their theory? New evidence from survey data," ZEW Discussion Papers, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research, number 20-092, revised 2022.
- Sergey Kovbasyuk & Marco Pagano, 2020, "Advertising Arbitrage," Working Papers, New Economic School (NES), number w0277, Aug.
- Zhen Huo & Marcelo Pedroni, 2020, "A Single-Judge Solution to Beauty Contests," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, volume 110, issue 2, pages 526-568, February, DOI: 10.1257/aer.20170519.
- Pedro Bordalo & Nicola Gennaioli & Yueran Ma & Andrei Shleifer, 2020, "Overreaction in Macroeconomic Expectations," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, volume 110, issue 9, pages 2748-2782, September, DOI: 10.1257/aer.20181219.
- Raffaella Giacomini & Vasiliki Skreta & Javier Turen, 2020, "Heterogeneity, Inattention, and Bayesian Updates," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, volume 12, issue 1, pages 282-309, January, DOI: 10.1257/mac.20180235.
- Christopher D. Carroll & Edmund Crawley & Jiri Slacalek & Kiichi Tokuoka & Matthew N. White, 2020, "Sticky Expectations and Consumption Dynamics," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, volume 12, issue 3, pages 40-76, July, DOI: 10.1257/mac.20180286.
- Guihai Zhao, 2020, "Ambiguity, Nominal Bond Yields, and Real Bond Yields," American Economic Review: Insights, American Economic Association, volume 2, issue 2, pages 177-192, June, DOI: 10.1257/aeri.20190155.
- Flavia G. Poinsot, 2020, "Un ensayo sobre el núcleo del pensamiento acerca de las expectativas en Oskar Morgenstern: Un hombre hecho a sí mismo," Asociación Argentina de Economía Política: Working Papers, Asociación Argentina de Economía Política, number 4390, Nov.
- Christoph Drobner, 2020, "Motivated Beliefs and Anticipation of Uncertainty Resolution," Munich Papers in Political Economy, Munich School of Politics and Public Policy and the School of Management at the Technical University of Munich, number 07, Nov.
- Jacek GRODZICKI, 2020, "Pay Transparency From A Young Employee'S Perspective In Poland," Annales Universitatis Apulensis Series Oeconomica, Faculty of Sciences, "1 Decembrie 1918" University, Alba Iulia, volume 2, issue 22, pages 47-52.
- Saki Bigio & Eduardo Zilberman, 2020, "Speculation-driven Business Cycles," Working Papers, Peruvian Economic Association, number 161, Jan.
- Valerie Lankester-Campos & Kerry Loaiza-Marín & Carlos Monge-Badilla, 2020, "Assessing public debt sustainability for Costa Rica using the fiscal reaction function," Documentos de Trabajo, Banco Central de Costa Rica, number 2005, Oct.
- Carlos Segura-Rodriguez, 2020, "Heterogeneous and persistent inflation expectation formation," Documentos de Trabajo, Banco Central de Costa Rica, number 2006, Nov.
- Andrea Collado-Chaves, 2020, "Choosing an Estimator for Inflation Expectations: Mean vs Median," Notas Técnicas, Banco Central de Costa Rica, number 2002, Oct.
- Xavier D'Haultfoeuille & Christophe Gaillac & Arnaud Maurel, 2020, "Rationalizing Rational Expectations: Characterization and Tests," Papers, arXiv.org, number 2003.11537, Mar, revised Dec 2020.
- Navin Kartik & Frances Lee & Wing Suen, 2020, "Information Validates the Prior: A Theorem on Bayesian Updating and Applications," Papers, arXiv.org, number 2005.05714, May, revised Jul 2020.
- Jaqueson K. Galimberti, 2020, "Information weighting under least squares adaptive learning," Working Papers, Auckland University of Technology, Department of Economics, number 2020-04, Apr.
- Christopher S. Sutherland, 2020, "Forward Guidance and Expectation Formation: A Narrative Approach," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 20-40, Sep, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2020-40.
- Charles Bellemare & Rolande Kpekou Tossou & Kevin Moran, 2020, "The Determinants of Consumers' Inflation Expectations: Evidence from the US and Canada," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 20-52, Nov, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2020-52.
- Pablo Aguilar, 2020, "La persistencia de la inflación en el área del euro: el papel de las expectativas," Boletín Económico, Banco de España, issue 4/2020.
- Pablo Aguilar, 2020, "Inflation persistence in the euro area: the role of expectations," Economic Bulletin, Banco de España, issue 4/2020.
- Concetta Rondinelli & Roberta Zizza, 2020, "Spend today or spend tomorrow? The role of inflation expectations in consumer behaviour," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1276, Apr.
- André Marine Charlotte & Dai Meixing, 2020, "The limits to robust monetary policy in a small open economy with learning agents," Working Papers, Banco de México, number 2020-12, Sep.
- Olivier Coibion & Dimitris Georgarakos & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber, 2020, "Forward Guidance and Household Expectations," Working Papers, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics, number 2020-07.
- Matteo Benetton & Giovanni Compiani, 2020, "Investors’ Beliefs and Asset Prices: A Structural Model of Cryptocurrency Demand," Working Papers, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics, number 2020-107.
- Francesco D'Acunto & Ulrike Malmendier & Michael Weber, 2020, "Gender Roles and the Gender Expectations Gap," Working Papers, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics, number 2020-11.
- Francesco D'Acunto & Daniel Hoang & Maritta Paloviita & Michael Weber, 2020, "Effective Policy Communication: Targets versus Instruments," Working Papers, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics, number 2020-148.
- Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber, 2020, "Political Polarization and Expected Economic Outcomes," Working Papers, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics, number 2020-158.
- Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber, 2020, "Labor Markets During the COVID-19 Crisis: A Preliminary View," Working Papers, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics, number 2020-41.
- Jose Maria Barrero & Nicholas Bloom & Steven J. Davis, 2020, "COVID-19 Is Also a Reallocation Shock," Working Papers, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics, number 2020-60.
- Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber, 2020, "The Cost of the COVID-19 Crisis: Lockdowns, Macroeconomic Expectations, and Consumer Spending," Working Papers, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics, number 2020-60.
- Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber, 2020, "Does Policy Communication During COVID Work?," Working Papers, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics, number 2020-76.
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- Felix Kapfhammer & Vegard H. Larsen & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2020, "Climate Risk and Commodity Currencies," Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School, number No 10/2020, Dec.
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- Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Weber, Michael, 2020, "The Cost of the COVID-19 Crisis: Lockdowns, Macroeconomic Expectations, and Consumer Spending," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley, number qt2w66q61b, Jan.
- Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Weber, Michael, 2020, "Labor Markets During the COVID-19 Crisis: A Preliminary View," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley, number qt4cc4w1hg, Apr.
- Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Weber, Michael, 2020, "The Cost of the COVID-19 Crisis: Lockdowns, Macroeconomic Expectations, and Consumer Spending," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley, number qt4jn1x65h, May.
- Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Weber, Michael, 2022, "Does Policy Communication during COVID Work?," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley, number qt5wh5w14k, Jan.
- Coibion, Olivier & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Weber, Michael, 2020, "Forward Guidance and Household Expectations," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley, number qt63x5f3w5, Jan.
- Coibion, Olivier & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & van Rooij, Maarten, 2023, "How Does Consumption Respond to News about Inflation? Field Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley, number qt65h294q8, Jul.
- Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Weber, Michael, 2020, "The Cost of the COVID-19 Crisis: Lockdowns, Macroeconomic Expectations, and Consumer Spending," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley, number qt69b8w79w, May.
- Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Weber, Michael, 2020, "The Cost of the Covid-19 Crisis: Lockdowns, Macroeconomic Expectations, and Consumer Spending," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley, number qt6m95b34x, May.
- Coibion, Olivier & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Weber, Michael, 2020, "Forward Guidance and Household Expectations," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley, number qt6w1837rg, Feb.
- Coibion, Olivier & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Weber, Michael, 2022, "Forward Guidance and Household Expectations," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley, number qt71g5h892, Jul.
- Coibion, Olivier & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Weber, Michael, 2023, "Forward Guidance and Household Expectations," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley, number qt7np4511v, Jan.
- Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Weber, Michael, 2020, "Labor Markets During the Covid-19 Crisis: A Preliminary View," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley, number qt7rx7t91p, Apr.
- Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Weber, Michael, 2020, "Does Policy Communication During Covid Work?," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley, number qt7t8237jb, Jun.
- Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Weber, Michael, 2020, "Political Polarization and Expected Economic Outcomes," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley, number qt9h51c373, Oct.
- Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Weber, Michael, 2020, "Labor Markets During the Covid-19 Crisis: A Preliminary View," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley, number qt9ms1v2hp, Jan.
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- Olivier Coibion & Dimitris Georgarakos & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber & Michael Weber, 2020, "Forward Guidance and Household Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8118.
- Klaus Adam & Michael Woodford, 2020, "Robustly Optimal Monetary Policy in a New Keynesian Model with Housing," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8127.
- Benjamin Enke, 2020, "What You See Is All There Is," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8131.
- Alexandros Botsis & Christoph Görtz & Plutarchos Sakellaris, 2020, "Quantifying Qualitative Survey Data: New Insights on the (Ir)Rationality of Firms' Forecasts," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8148.
- Francesco D'Acunto & Ulrike M. Malmendier & Michael Weber & Michael Weber, 2020, "Gender Roles and the Gender Expectations Gap," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8158.
- Jonas Dovern & Lena Sophia Müller & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2020, "How Do Firms Form Expectations of Aggregate Growth? New Evidence from a Large-Scale Business Survey," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8179.
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- Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber & Michael Weber, 2020, "Labor Markets during the Covid-19 Crisis: A Preliminary View," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8238.
- Tobin Hanspal & Annika Weber & Johannes Wohlfart, 2020, "Exposure to the Covid-19 Stock Market Crash and its Effect on Household Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8244.
- Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber & Michael Weber, 2020, "The Cost of the Covid-19 Crisis: Lockdowns, Macroeconomic Expectations, and Consumer Spending," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8292.
- Lukas Buchheim & Jonas Dovern & Carla Krolage & Sebastian Link, 2020, "Firm-Level Expectations and Behavior in Response to the Covid-19 Crisis," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8304.
- Stephen J. Cole & Fabio Milani, 2020, "Heterogeneity in Individual Expectations, Sentiment, and Constant-Gain Learning," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8343.
- Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber & Michael Weber, 2020, "Does Policy Communication During Covid Work?," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8369.
- Lukas Buchheim & Carla Krolage & Sebastian Link, 2020, "Sudden Stop: When Did Firms Anticipate the Potential Consequences of Covid-19?," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8429.
- Cheng Chen & Tatsuro Senga & Chang Sun & Hongyong Zhang, 2020, "Uncertainty, Imperfect Information, and Expectation Formation over the Firm's Life Cycle," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8468.
- Paymon Khorrami & Alexander K. Zentefis, 2020, "Arbitrage and Beliefs," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8490.
- Christian Conrad & Zeno Enders & Alexander Glas, 2020, "The Role of Information and Experience for Households' Inflation Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8528.
- Christopher Roth & Sonja Settele & Johannes Wohlfart, 2020, "Risk Exposure and Acquisition of Macroeconomic Information," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8634.
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