Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes
Top JEL
/ D: Microeconomics
/ / D8: Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty
/ / / D84: Expectations; Speculations
2020
- Buchheim, Lukas & Krolage, Carla & Link, Sebastian, 2020, "Sudden Stop: When Did Firms Anticipate the Potential Consequences of COVID-19?," IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA), number 13457, Jul.
- Ganguli, Ina & Gaule, Patrick & Čugalj, Danijela Vuletić, 2020, "Biased Beliefs and Entry into Scientific Careers," IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA), number 13475, Jul.
- Briel, Stephanie & Osikominu, Aderonke & Pfeifer, Gregor & Reutter, Mirjam & Satlukal, Sascha, 2020, "Overconfidence and Gender Differences in Wage Expectations," IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA), number 13517, Jul.
- Banerjee, Ritwik & Majumdar, Priyama, 2020, "Exponential Growth Bias in the Prediction of COVID-19 Spread and Economic Expectation," IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA), number 13664, Sep.
- Biroli, Pietro & Bosworth, Steven J. & Della Giusta, Marina & Di Girolamo, Amalia & Jaworska, Sylvia & Vollen, Jeremy, 2020, "Framing the Predicted Impacts of COVID-19 Prophylactic Measures in Terms of Lives Saved Rather Than Deaths Is More Effective for Older People," IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA), number 13753, Sep.
- Anderberg, Dan & Chevalier, Arnaud & Hassani Nezhad, Lena & Lührmann, Melanie & Pavan, Ronni, 2020, "Higher Education Financing and the Educational Aspirations of Teenagers and their Parents," IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA), number 13807, Oct.
- Becker, Christoph K. & Melkonyan, Tigran & Proto, Eugenio & Sofianos, Andis & Trautmann, Stefan T., 2020, "Reverse Bayesianism: Revising Beliefs in Light of Unforeseen Events," IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA), number 13821, Oct.
- Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Weber, Michael, 2020, "Political Polarization and Expected Economic Outcomes," IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA), number 13823, Oct.
- Carrieri, Vincenzo & De Paola, Maria & Gioia, Francesca, 2020, "The Health-Wealth Trade-off during the COVID-19 Pandemic: Communication Matters," IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA), number 13943, Dec.
- Ermanno Catullo & Mauro Gallegati & Alberto Russo, 2020, "Forecasting in a complex environment: Machine learning sales expectations in a Stock Flow Consistent Agent-Based simulation model," Working Papers, Economics Department, Universitat Jaume I, Castellón (Spain), number 2020/17.
- Stefano Marzioni & Guido Traficante, 2020, "Heterogeneous Expectations and Uncertain Inflation Target," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, volume 56, issue 3, pages 601-621, October, DOI: 10.1007/s10614-019-09959-y.
- Raphael Zingg & Erasmus Elsner, 2020, "Protection heterogeneity in a harmonized European patent system," European Journal of Law and Economics, Springer, volume 50, issue 1, pages 87-131, August, DOI: 10.1007/s10657-020-09651-9.
- Yaron Azrieli & Christopher P. Chambers & Paul J. Healy, 2020, "Incentives in experiments with objective lotteries," Experimental Economics, Springer;Economic Science Association, volume 23, issue 1, pages 1-29, March, DOI: 10.1007/s10683-019-09607-0.
- David L. Dickinson & Ananish Chaudhuri & Ryan Greenaway-McGrevy, 2020, "Trading while sleepy? Circadian mismatch and mispricing in a global experimental asset market," Experimental Economics, Springer;Economic Science Association, volume 23, issue 2, pages 526-553, June, DOI: 10.1007/s10683-019-09623-0.
- Xiu Chen & Fuhai Hong & Xiaojian Zhao, 2020, "Concentration and variability of forecasts in artificial investment games: an online experiment on WeChat," Experimental Economics, Springer;Economic Science Association, volume 23, issue 3, pages 815-847, September, DOI: 10.1007/s10683-019-09632-z.
- Ciril Bosch-Rosa & Thomas Meissner, 2020, "The one player guessing game: a diagnosis on the relationship between equilibrium play, beliefs, and best responses," Experimental Economics, Springer;Economic Science Association, volume 23, issue 4, pages 1129-1147, December, DOI: 10.1007/s10683-020-09642-2.
- Iddisah Sulemana & Richard Osei Bofah & Edward Nketiah-Amponsah, 2020, "Job Insecurity and Life Satisfaction in Ghana," Journal of Family and Economic Issues, Springer, volume 41, issue 1, pages 172-184, March, DOI: 10.1007/s10834-019-09650-2.
- Wändi Bruine de Bruin & Htay-Wah Saw & Dana P. Goldman, 2020, "Political polarization in US residents’ COVID-19 risk perceptions, policy preferences, and protective behaviors," Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, volume 61, issue 2, pages 177-194, October, DOI: 10.1007/s11166-020-09336-3.
- Eric C. C. Chang, 2020, "Corruption predictability and corruption voting in Asian democracies," Public Choice, Springer, volume 184, issue 3, pages 307-326, September, DOI: 10.1007/s11127-019-00760-x.
- Victor Aguirregabiria & Jihye Jeon, 2020, "Firms’ Beliefs and Learning: Models, Identification, and Empirical Evidence," Review of Industrial Organization, Springer;The Industrial Organization Society, volume 56, issue 2, pages 203-235, March, DOI: 10.1007/s11151-019-09722-5.
- Tobin Hanspal & Annika Weber & Johannes Wohlfart, 2020, "Exposure to the COVID-19 Stock Market Crash and its Effect on Household Expectations," CEBI working paper series, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics. The Center for Economic Behavior and Inequality (CEBI), number 20-13, May.
- Christopher Roth & Sonja Settele & Johannes Wohlfart, 2021, "Risk Exposure and Acquisition of Macroeconomic Information," CEBI working paper series, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics. The Center for Economic Behavior and Inequality (CEBI), number 20-24, 01.
- Hestermann, Nina & Le Yaouanq, Yves & Treich, Nicolas, 2020, "An economic model of the meat paradox," Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics, number 84734.
- Guber, Raphael & Kocher, Martin G. & Winter, Joachim, 2020, "Does having insurance change individuals' self-confidence?," Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics, number 84775.
- Michele Berardi, 2020, "Learning from Prices: Information Aggregation and Accumulation in an Asset Price Model," Economics Discussion Paper Series, Economics, The University of Manchester, number 2009, Jul.
- Dzung Bui & Lena Draeger & Bernd Hayo & Giang NghiemŸ, 2020, "Consumer Sentiment During the COVID-19 Pandemic: The Role of Others' Beliefs," MAGKS Papers on Economics, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung), number 202049.
- Anna Boldizsár & Zalán Kocsis & Zsuzsa Nagy-Kékesi & Gábor Sztanó, 2020, "FX Forward Market in Hungary: General Characteristics and Impact of the COVID Crisis," Financial and Economic Review, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary), volume 19, issue 3, pages 5-51.
2019
- Marco Bassetto & Carlo Galli, 2019, "Is Inflation Default? The Role of Information in Debt Crises," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, volume 109, issue 10, pages 3556-3584, October.
- Vladimir Asriyan & William Fuchs & Brett Green, 2019, "Liquidity Sentiments," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, volume 109, issue 11, pages 3813-3848, November.
- Mariana García-Schmidt & Michael Woodford, 2019, "Are Low Interest Rates Deflationary? A Paradox of Perfect-Foresight Analysis," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, volume 109, issue 1, pages 86-120, January.
- Guido Ascari & Paolo Bonomolo & Hedibert F. Lopes, 2019, "Walk on the Wild Side: Temporarily Unstable Paths and Multiplicative Sunspots," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, volume 109, issue 5, pages 1805-1842, May.
- Florin O. Bilbiie, 2019, "Optimal Forward Guidance," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, volume 11, issue 4, pages 310-345, October.
- Annette Cerulli-Harms & Lorenz Goette & Charles Sprenger, 2019, "Randomizing Endowments: An Experimental Study of Rational Expectations and Reference-Dependent Preferences," American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, American Economic Association, volume 11, issue 1, pages 185-207, February.
- Thomas M. Mertens & John C. Williams, 2019, "Monetary Policy Frameworks and the Effective Lower Bound on Interest Rates," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, volume 109, pages 427-432, May.
- Michael Woodford & Yinxi Xie, 2019, "Policy Options at the Zero Lower Bound When Foresight is Limited," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, volume 109, pages 433-437, May.
- Rava Azeredo da Silveira & Michael Woodford, 2019, "Noisy Memory and Over-Reaction to News," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, volume 109, pages 557-561, May.
- Francesco D'Acunto & Daniel Hoang & Maritta Paloviita & Michael Weber, 2019, "Cognitive Abilities and Inflation Expectations," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, volume 109, pages 562-566, May.
- Brigitta Toth-Bozo & Laszlo Szalai, 2019, "Political Announcements and Exchange Rate Expectations," World Journal of Applied Economics, WERI-World Economic Research Institute, volume 5, issue 2, pages 53-66, December, DOI: 10.22440/wjae.5.2.2.
- Dávid Kopányi & Jean Paul Rabanal & Olga A. Rud & Jan Tuinstra, 2019, "Can successful forecasters help stabilize asset prices in a learning to forecast experiment?," Working Papers, Peruvian Economic Association, number 140, Jan.
- Jean Paul Rabanal & Aleksei Chernulich & John Horowitz & Olga A. Rud & Manizha Sharifova, 2019, "Market timing under public and private information," Working Papers, Peruvian Economic Association, number 151, Aug.
- Alonso Alfaro-Ureña & Aarón Mora-Meléndez, 2019, "The Information Rigidities and Rationality of Costa Rican Inflation Expectations," Documentos de Trabajo, Banco Central de Costa Rica, number 1705, Jul.
- Laura Doval & Vasiliki Skreta, 2019, "Optimal mechanism for the sale of a durable good," Papers, arXiv.org, number 1904.07456, Apr, revised May 2021.
- Sander Heinsalu, 2019, "Reversals of signal-posterior monotonicity imply a bias of screening," Papers, arXiv.org, number 1910.03117, Oct, revised Nov 2019.
- Timo Dimitriadis & Andrew J. Patton & Patrick W. Schmidt, 2019, "Testing Forecast Rationality for Measures of Central Tendency," Papers, arXiv.org, number 1910.12545, Oct, revised Jul 2024.
- Enxian Chen & Lei Qiao & Xiang Sun & Yeneng Sun, 2019, "Robust perfect equilibrium in large games," Papers, arXiv.org, number 1912.12908, Dec, revised May 2021.
- Oleksiy Kryvtsov & Luba Petersen, 2019, "Central Bank Communication That Works: Lessons from Lab Experiments," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 19-21, Jun, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2019-21.
- George Evans & Cars Hommes & Bruce McGough & Isabelle Salle, 2019, "Are Long-Horizon Expectations (De-)Stabilizing? Theory and Experiments," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 19-27, Aug, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2019-27.
- Marc-André Gosselin & Mikael Khan & Matthieu Verstraete, 2019, "The Formation of House Price Expectations in Canada: Evidence from a Randomized Information Experiment," Staff Analytical Notes, Bank of Canada, number 2019-24, Aug, DOI: 10.34989/san-2019-24.
- Mikael Khan & Matthieu Verstraete, 2019, "Non-Resident Taxes and the Role of House Price Expectations," Staff Analytical Notes, Bank of Canada, number 2019-8, DOI: 10.34989/san-2019-8.
- López Noria Gabriela & Bush Georgia, 2019, "Uncertainty and Exchange Rate Volatility: the Case of Mexico," Working Papers, Banco de México, number 2019-12, Aug.
- Pei Kuang & Renbin Zhang & Tongbin Zhang, 2019, "New Tests of Expectation Formation with Applications to Asset Pricing Models," Discussion Papers, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham, number 19-05, May.
- Serafin Frache & Rodrigo Lluberas, 2019, "New information and inflation expectations among firms," BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 781, Apr.
- Michael J. Lamla & Damjan Pfajfar & Lea Rendell, 2019, "Inflation and deflationary biases in inflation expectations," BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 789, Jun.
- Tatiana Evdokimova & Grigory Zhirnov & Inge Klaver, 2019, "The Impact of Inflation Anchor Strength and Monetary Policy Transparency on Inflation During the Period of Emerging Market Volatility in Summer 2018," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, volume 78, issue 3, pages 71-88, September, DOI: 10.31477/rjmf.201903.71.
- Laura Zacheo & Margarita Güenaga, 2019, "Traspaso de tipo de cambio a precios y relación con la credibilidad de la política monetaria," Documentos de trabajo, Banco Central del Uruguay, number 2019003.
- Cars Hommes & Domenico Massaro & Isabelle Salle, 2019, "Monetary And Fiscal Policy Design At The Zero Lower Bound: Evidence From The Lab," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, volume 57, issue 2, pages 1120-1140, April, DOI: 10.1111/ecin.12741.
- Erik Eyster & Matthew Rabin & Dimitri Vayanos, 2019, "Financial Markets Where Traders Neglect the Informational Content of Prices," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, volume 74, issue 1, pages 371-399, February, DOI: 10.1111/jofi.12729.
- Edward Halim & Yohanes E. Riyanto & Nilanjan Roy, 2019, "Costly Information Acquisition, Social Networks, and Asset Prices: Experimental Evidence," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, volume 74, issue 4, pages 1975-2010, August, DOI: 10.1111/jofi.12768.
- Theresa Kuchler & Basit Zafar, 2019, "Personal Experiences and Expectations about Aggregate Outcomes," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, volume 74, issue 5, pages 2491-2542, October, DOI: 10.1111/jofi.12819.
- Pedro Bordalo & Nicola Gennaioli & Rafael La Porta & Andrei Shleifer, 2019, "Diagnostic Expectations and Stock Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, volume 74, issue 6, pages 2839-2874, December, DOI: 10.1111/jofi.12833.
- Leonard J. Mirman & Marc Santugini, 2019, "The Informational Role of Prices," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, volume 121, issue 2, pages 606-629, April, DOI: 10.1111/sjoe.12272.
- Vegard H. Larsen & Leif Anders Thorsrud & Julia Zhulanova, 2019, "News-driven inflation expectations and information rigidities," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2019/5, Feb.
- Vegard H. Larsen & Leif Anders Thorsrud & Julia Zhulanova, 2019, "News-driven inflation expectations and information rigidities," Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School, number No 03/2019, Apr.
- Ryan Chahrour & Kristoffer Nimark & Stefan Pitschner, 2019, "Sectoral Media Focus and Aggregate Fluctuations," Boston College Working Papers in Economics, Boston College Department of Economics, number 987, Oct.
- Maiko Koga & Koichi Yoshino & Tomoya Sakata, 2019, "Strategic Complementarity and Asymmetric Price Setting among Firms," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series, Bank of Japan, number 19-E-5, Mar.
- Toshitaka Maruyama & Kenji Suganuma, 2019, "Inflation Expectations Curve in Japan," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series, Bank of Japan, number 19-E-6, Apr.
- Haruhiko Inatsugu & Tomiyuki Kitamura & Taichi Matsuda, 2019, "The Formation of Firms' Inflation Expectations: A Survey Data Analysis," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series, Bank of Japan, number 19-E-15, Nov.
- Tomiyuki Kitamura & Masaki Tanaka, 2019, "Firms' Inflation Expectations under Rational Inattention and Sticky Information: An Analysis with a Small-Scale Macroeconomic Model," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series, Bank of Japan, number 19-E-16, Nov.
- Youngju Kim & Seohyun Lee & Hyunjoon Lim, 2019, "Uncertainty, Credit and Investment: Evidence from Firm-Bank Matched Data," Working Papers, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea, number 2019-25, Nov.
- M. Bigoni & S. Bortolotti & E. Nas zen, 2019, "Economic Polarization and Antisocial Behavior: an experiment," Working Papers, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna, number wp1133, Aug.
- Hans-Martin von Gaudecker & Axel Wogrolly, 2019, "The Dynamics of Households' Stock Market Beliefs," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany, number crctr224_2019_079, Apr.
- Roth Christopher & Wohlfart Johannes, 2019, "Makroökonomische Erwartungen und ihre Rolle in wirtschaftlichen Entscheidungen von Haushalten," Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik, De Gruyter, volume 20, issue 2, pages 159-166, June, DOI: 10.1515/pwp-2018-0038.
- Guo Feng & Liu Chong & Shi Qingling, 2019, "Smart or stupid depends on who is your counterpart: a cobweb model with heterogeneous expectations," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 23, issue 5, pages 1-17, December, DOI: 10.1515/snde-2017-0082.
- Paul Hubert & Mathilde Le Moigne, 2018, "La désinflation manquante. Un phénomène américain uniquement ?," Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, volume 0, issue 6, pages 47-75.
- Luc Arrondel & Jérôme Coffinet, 2019, "Le patrimoine et l’endettement des ménages français en 2015. Enseignements de l’enquête européenne HFCS et comparaisons internationales," Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, volume 0, issue 1, pages 49-75.
- Arrondel, L. & Calvo-Pardo, H. & Giannitsarou, C. & Haliassos, M., 2019, "Informative Social Interactions," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 1911, Jan.
- Hashmat Khan & Jean-François Rouillard & Santosh Upadhayaya, 2019, "Consumer Confidence and Household Investment," Carleton Economic Papers, Carleton University, Department of Economics, number 19-06, Sep, revised 04 Jan 2024.
- Mueller, Maximilian & Hicks, Joan Hamory & Johnson-Hanks, Jennifer & Miguel, Edward, 2019, "The Illusion of Stable Preferences Over Major Life Decisions," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley, number qt2kk9b9tt, May.
- Coibion, Olivier & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & van Rooij, Maarten, 2019, "How Does Consumption Respond to News about Inflation? Field Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley, number qt30478554, Aug.
- Coibion, Olivier & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & van Rooij, Maarten, 2019, "How Does Consumption Respond to News about Inflation? Field Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley, number qt3zh865pj, Jul.
- Coibion, Olivier & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & van Rooij, Maarten, 2019, "How Does Consumption Respond to News About Inflation? Field Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley, number qt4nc5400j, Jul.
- Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber & Michael Weber, 2019, "Monetary Policy Communications and their Effects on Household Inflation Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 7464.
- Christian Deutscher & Marco Sahm & Sandra Schneemann & Hendrik Sonnabend, 2019, "Strategic Investment Decisions in Multi-stage Contests with Heterogeneous Players," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 7474.
- Charles Bellemare & Alexander Sebald, 2019, "Measuring Belief-Dependent Preferences without Information about Beliefs," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 7505.
- Hans-Martin von Gaudecker & Axel Wogrolly & Hans-Martin von Gaudecker, 2019, "The dynamics of households' stock market beliefs," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 7602.
- Zeno Enders & Franziska Hünnekes & Gernot Müller, 2019, "Firm expectations and economic activity," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 7623.
- Francesco D'Acunto & Daniel Hoang & Michael Weber & Michael Weber, 2019, "Managing Households' Expectations with Salient Economic Policies," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 7793.
- Francesco D'Acunto & Ulrike M. Malmendier & Juan Ospina & Michael Weber & Michael Weber, 2019, "Exposure to Daily Price Changes and Inflation Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 7798.
- Lukas Kiessling & Pia Pinger & Philipp Seegers & Jan Bergerhoff, 2019, "Gender Differences in Wage Expectations: Sorting, Children, and Negotiation Styles," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 7827.
- Peter Andre & Carlo Pizzinelli & Christopher Roth & Johannes Wohlfart, 2019, "Subjective Models of the Macroeconomy: Evidence from Experts and Representative Samples," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 7850.
- Emanuele Ciani & Adeline Delavande & Ben Etheridge & Marco Francesconi, 2019, "Policy Uncertainty and Information Flows: Evidence from Pension Reform Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 7851.
- Thomas Gomez & Giulia Piccillo, 2019, "Diverse Risk Preferences and Heterogeneous Expectations in an Asset Pricing Model," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8003.
- Lucio Gobbi & Ronny Mazzocchi & Roberto Tamborini, 2019, "Monetary Policy, Rational Confidence and Neo-Fisherian Depressions," EconPol Working Paper, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 38.
- Eleni Iliopulos & Erica Perego & Thepthida Sopraseuth, 2019, "International Business Cycles: Information Matters," Working Papers, CEPII research center, number 2019-03, Feb.
- Jaime Alberto Montoya Arbeláez & Remberto Rhenals Monterrosa, 2019, "Algebra de un modelo simple IS-MR-AD-AS: Notas de clase," Borradores Departamento de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, CIE, number 17522, Aug.
- Cukierman, Alex, 2019, "Implications of the permanent-transitory confusion for New-Keynesian modeling, inflation forecasts and the post-crisis era," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 13727, May.
- Carvalho, Carlos & Eusepi, Stefano & , & Preston, Bruce, 2019, "Anchored Inflation Expectations," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 13900, Jul.
- Giannoni, Marc & Crump, Richard K. & Eusepi, Stefano & Sahin, Aysegul, 2019, "A Unified Approach to Measuring u," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 13939, Aug.
- Skreta, Vasiliki & Doval, Laura, 2019, "Optimal mechanism for the sale of a durable good," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 13967, Aug.
- Francesconi, Marco & Ciani, Emanuele & , & Etheridge, Ben, 2019, "Policy Uncertainty and Information Flows: Evidence from Pension Reform Expectations," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 13988, Sep.
- Stefania Basiglio & Mariacristina Rossi & Arthur, 2019, "“Subjective inheritance expectations and economic outcomes”," CeRP Working Papers, Center for Research on Pensions and Welfare Policies, Turin (Italy), number 190, May.
- Galanis, S. & Kotronis, S., 2019, "Updating Awareness and Information Aggregation," Working Papers, Department of Economics, City St George's, University of London, number 19/03, Feb.
- Cole, Stephen J. & Milani, Fabio, 2019, "The Misspecification Of Expectations In New Keynesian Models: A Dsge-Var Approach," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, volume 23, issue 3, pages 974-1007, April.
- Quaghebeur, Ewoud, 2019, "Learning And The Size Of The Government Spending Multiplier," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, volume 23, issue 8, pages 3189-3224, December.
- Alan Piper, 2019, "Optimism, Pessimism and Life Satisfaction: An Empirical Investigation," SOEPpapers on Multidisciplinary Panel Data Research, DIW Berlin, The German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP), number 1027.
- Georges Prat & David Le Bris, 2019, "Equity Risk Premium and Time Horizon: what do the French secular data say ?," EconomiX Working Papers, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX, number 2019-8.
- de Vincent-Humphreys, Rupert & Dimitrova, Ivelina & Falck, Elisabeth & Henkel, Lukas & Meyler, Aidan, 2019, "Twenty years of the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters," Economic Bulletin Articles, European Central Bank, volume 1.
- Fidora, Michael & Schmitz, Martin, 2019, "The decrease in euro area net financial outflows in 2018: foreign direct investment retrenchment and portfolio investment slowdown," Economic Bulletin Boxes, European Central Bank, volume 4.
- Andersson, Malin & Mosk, Benjamin, 2019, "Confidence and business investment," Economic Bulletin Boxes, European Central Bank, volume 4.
- Slacalek, Jiri, 2019, "How does sluggish updating of information affect consumer spending?," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, volume 65.
- Ferrando, Annalisa & Ganoulis, Ioannis & Preuss, Carsten, 2019, "Firms’ expectations on the availability of credit since the financial crisis," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2341, Dec.
- Shestakova, Natalia & Powell, Owen & Gladyrev, Dmitry, 2019, "Bubbles, experience and success," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, volume 22, issue C, pages 206-213, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2019.02.011.
- Galimberti, Jaqueson K., 2019, "An approximation of the distribution of learning estimates in macroeconomic models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 102, issue C, pages 29-43, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2019.03.003.
- Bao, Te & Zong, Jichuan, 2019, "The impact of interest rate policy on individual expectations and asset bubbles in experimental markets," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 107, issue C, pages 1-1, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2019.103735.
- Bao, Te & Hommes, Cars, 2019, "When speculators meet suppliers: Positive versus negative feedback in experimental housing markets," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 107, issue C, pages 1-1, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2019.103730.
- Kopányi, Dávid & Rabanal, Jean Paul & Rud, Olga A. & Tuinstra, Jan, 2019, "Can competition between forecasters stabilize asset prices in learning to forecast experiments?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 109, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2019.103770.
- Cohen, Samuel N. & Henckel, Timo & Menzies, Gordon D. & Muhle-Karbe, Johannes & Zizzo, Daniel J., 2019, "Switching cost models as hypothesis tests," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 175, issue C, pages 32-35, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2018.11.014.
- Schmitt, Noemi & Westerhoff, Frank, 2019, "Short-run momentum, long-run mean reversion and excess volatility: An elementary housing model," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 176, issue C, pages 43-46, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2018.12.013.
- Comerford, David A., 2019, "Asking for frequencies rather than percentages increases the validity of subjective probability measures: Evidence from subjective life expectancy," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 180, issue C, pages 33-35, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2019.04.001.
- Zhao, Yongchen, 2019, "Updates to household inflation expectations: Signal or noise?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 181, issue C, pages 95-98, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2019.05.017.
- Larsen, Vegard H. & Thorsrud, Leif A., 2019, "The value of news for economic developments," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 210, issue 1, pages 203-218, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2018.11.013.
- de Meza, David & Dawson, Christopher & Henley, Andrew & Arabsheibani, G. Reza, 2019, "Curb your enthusiasm: Optimistic entrepreneurs earn less," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 111, issue C, pages 53-69, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2018.08.007.
- Marquardt, Philipp & Noussair, Charles N & Weber, Martin, 2019, "Rational expectations in an experimental asset market with shocks to market trends," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 114, issue C, pages 116-140, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2019.01.009.
- Hommes, Cars & Massaro, Domenico & Weber, Matthias, 2019, "Monetary policy under behavioral expectations: Theory and experiment," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 118, issue C, pages 193-212, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2019.05.009.
- Bohr, Clement E. & Holt, Charles A. & Schubert, Alexandra V., 2019, "Assisted savings for retirement: An experimental analysis," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 119, issue C, pages 42-54, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2019.05.020.
- Coutts, Alexander, 2019, "Testing models of belief bias: An experiment," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, volume 113, issue C, pages 549-565, DOI: 10.1016/j.geb.2018.11.001.
- Polonio, Luca & Coricelli, Giorgio, 2019, "Testing the level of consistency between choices and beliefs in games using eye-tracking," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, volume 113, issue C, pages 566-586, DOI: 10.1016/j.geb.2018.11.003.
- Rosato, Antonio & Tymula, Agnieszka A., 2019, "Loss aversion and competition in Vickrey auctions: Money ain't no good," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, volume 115, issue C, pages 188-208, DOI: 10.1016/j.geb.2019.02.014.
- Le Van, Cuong & Navrouzoglou, Paulina & Vailakis, Yiannis, 2019, "On endogenous formation of price expectations," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, volume 115, issue C, pages 436-458, DOI: 10.1016/j.geb.2019.03.004.
- Chambers, Christopher P. & Healy, Paul J. & Lambert, Nicolas S., 2019, "Proper scoring rules with general preferences: A dual characterization of optimal reports," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, volume 117, issue C, pages 322-341, DOI: 10.1016/j.geb.2019.07.012.
- Tarashev, Nikola & Zabai, Anna, 2019, "When pegging is a commitment device: Revisiting conventional wisdom about currency crises," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, volume 118, issue C, pages 233-247, DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2019.02.001.
- Chmura, Thorsten & Bai, Ye & Bauder, David, 2019, "The impact of an insider and short-selling on bubble formation in experimental financial market," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, volume 60, issue C, pages 211-230, DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2019.01.003.
- Das, Abhiman & Lahiri, Kajal & Zhao, Yongchen, 2019, "Inflation expectations in India: Learning from household tendency surveys," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 35, issue 3, pages 980-993, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2019.03.007.
- de Bresser, Jochem, 2019, "Measuring subjective survival expectations – Do response scales matter?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 165, issue C, pages 136-156, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2019.06.018.
- Morell, Alexander, 2019, "The short arm of guilt – An experiment on group identity and guilt aversion," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 166, issue C, pages 332-345, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2019.06.022.
- Khalmetski, Kiryl, 2019, "Evasion of guilt in expert advice," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 167, issue C, pages 296-310, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2019.06.003.
- Smith, Alec, 2019, "Lagged beliefs and reference-dependent utility," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 167, issue C, pages 331-340, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2018.10.004.
- Caria, A. Stefano & Fafchamps, Marcel, 2019, "Expectations, network centrality, and public good contributions: Experimental evidence from India," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 167, issue C, pages 391-408, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2017.07.024.
- O'Connor, Kelsey J. & Graham, Carol, 2019, "Longer, more optimistic, lives: Historic optimism and life expectancy in the United States," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 168, issue C, pages 374-392, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2019.10.018.
- Montes, Gabriel Caldas & Nicolay, Rodolfo Tomás da Fonseca & Acar, Tatiana, 2019, "Do fiscal communication and clarity of fiscal announcements affect public debt uncertainty? Evidence from Brazil," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, volume 103, issue C, pages 38-60, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconbus.2018.12.002.
- Siemroth, Christoph, 2019, "The informational content of prices when policy makers react to financial markets," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, volume 179, issue C, pages 240-274, DOI: 10.1016/j.jet.2018.11.002.
- Dew-Becker, Ian & Nathanson, Charles G., 2019, "Directed attention and nonparametric learning," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, volume 181, issue C, pages 461-496, DOI: 10.1016/j.jet.2019.03.004.
- Sihvonen, Markus, 2019, "Market selection with idiosyncratic uncertainty," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, volume 182, issue C, pages 143-160, DOI: 10.1016/j.jet.2019.04.005.
- Gizatulina, Alia & Hellman, Ziv, 2019, "No trade and yes trade theorems for heterogeneous priors," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, volume 182, issue C, pages 161-184, DOI: 10.1016/j.jet.2019.04.006.
- Heimer, Rawley & Simsek, Alp, 2019, "Should retail investors’ leverage be limited?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, volume 132, issue 3, pages 1-21, DOI: 10.1016/j.jfineco.2018.10.017.
- Costanigro, Marco & Scozzafava, Gabriele & Casini, Leonardo, 2019, "Vertical differentiation via multi-tier geographical indications and the consumer perception of quality: The case of Chianti wines," Food Policy, Elsevier, volume 83, issue C, pages 246-259, DOI: 10.1016/j.foodpol.2019.01.008.
- Karali, Berna & Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Adjemian, Michael K. & Johansson, Robert, 2019, "Are USDA reports still news to changing crop markets?," Food Policy, Elsevier, volume 84, issue C, pages 66-76, DOI: 10.1016/j.foodpol.2019.02.005.
- van Huellen, Sophie, 2019, "Price discovery in commodity futures and cash markets with heterogeneous agents," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 95, issue C, pages 1-13, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2019.03.003.
- Reed, Jason R., 2019, "The forward premium puzzle and Markov-switching adaptive learning," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 59, issue C, pages 1-17, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2018.10.005.
- Gelain, Paolo & Iskrev, Nikolay & J. Lansing, Kevin & Mendicino, Caterina, 2019, "Inflation dynamics and adaptive expectations in an estimated DSGE model," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 59, issue C, pages 258-277, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2018.12.002.
- Morikawa, Masayuki, 2019, "Uncertainty over production forecasts: An empirical analysis using monthly quantitative survey data," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 60, issue C, pages 163-179, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2019.01.007.
- Henckel, Timo & Menzies, Gordon D. & Moffatt, Peter & Zizzo, Daniel J., 2019, "Three dimensions of central bank credibility and inferential expectations: The Euro zone," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 60, issue C, pages 294-308, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2019.01.012.
- Geiger, Martin & Scharler, Johann, 2019, "How do consumers assess the macroeconomic effects of oil price fluctuations? Evidence from U.S. survey data," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 62, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2019.103134.
- Milovanska-Farrington, Stefani, 2019, "The effect of family welfare support on the likelihood of having another child and parents’ labor supply," Research in Economics, Elsevier, volume 73, issue 3, pages 243-263, DOI: 10.1016/j.rie.2019.07.005.
- Cafferata, Alessia & Tramontana, Fabio, 2019, "A financial market model with confirmation bias," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, volume 51, issue C, pages 252-259, DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2019.08.004.
- Kevin Lee & James Morley & Kian Ong & Kalvinder Shields, 2019, "Measuring the Fiscal Multiplier when Plans Take Time to Implement," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2019-13, Feb.
- Kevin Lee & James Morley & Kalvinder Shields & Madeleine Sui-Lay Tan, 2019, "The Australian Real-Time Fiscal Database: An Overview and an Illustration of its Use in Analysing Planned and Realised Fiscal Policies," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2019-14, Feb.
- Bryan C. McCannon, 2018, "Minimum quality standard regulation and entrepreneurial innovation," Journal of Entrepreneurship and Public Policy, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, volume 8, issue 2, pages 217-225, November, DOI: 10.1108/JEPP-D-18-00020.
- Ahmed Bouteska & Boutheina Regaieg, 2019, "Earnings forecast revisions and securities prices evolution in the Tunisian stock market," Review of Behavioral Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, volume 11, issue 2, pages 165-187, June, DOI: 10.1108/RBF-03-2018-0025.
- Oscar Stålnacke, 2019, "Individual investors’ sophistication and expectations of risk and return," Review of Behavioral Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, volume 11, issue 1, pages 2-22, May, DOI: 10.1108/RBF-08-2017-0087.
- Belikova K.M. & Badaeva N.V. & Akhmadova M.A., 2019, "Economization of Information and Scientific Data: A Common Approach," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), volume 0, issue 1, pages 153-161.
- Lamla, Michael & PJaifar, Damian & Rendell, Lea, 2019, "Inflation and Deflationary Biases in Inflation Expectations," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers, University of Essex, Essex Business School, number 24771, Jun.
- Ioana A. Duca & Geoff Kenny & Andreas Reuter, 2019, "Inflation Expectations, Consumption and the Lower Bound: Micro Evidence from a Large Euro Area Survey," European Economy - Discussion Papers, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission, number 092, Feb.
- Anat Bracha & Jenny Tang, 2019, "Inflation Thresholds and Inattention," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, number 19-14, Sep, DOI: 10.29412/res.wp.2019.14.
- Chengcheng Jia, 2019, "The Informational Effect of Monetary Policy and the Case for Policy Commitment," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, number 19-07R, Apr, revised 09 May 2022, DOI: 10.26509/frbc-wp-201907r.
- Stephen J. Cole & Enrique Martínez García, 2019, "The Effect of Central Bank Credibility on Forward Guidance in an Estimated New Keynesian Model," Globalization Institute Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 375, Dec, revised 20 Mar 2021, DOI: 10.24149/gwp375r2.
- Michael J. Lamla & Damjan Pfajfar & Lea Rendell, 2019, "Inflation and Deflationary Biases in Inflation Expectations," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2019-042, Jun, DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2019.042.
- Julian Kozlowski & Laura Veldkamp & Venky Venkateswaran, 2019, "The Tail that Wags the Economy: Beliefs and Persistent Stagnation," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, number 2019-6, Feb, DOI: 10.20955/wp.2019.006.
- Olivier Armantier & Michael Neubauer & Daphne Skandalis & Wilbert Van der Klaauw, 2019, "Economic Expectations Grow Less Polarized since the 2016 Election," Liberty Street Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 20190513, May.
- Gizem Koşar & Tyler Ransom & Wilbert Van der Klaauw, 2019, "Understanding migration aversion using elicited counterfactual choice probabilities," Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 883, Apr.
- Anmol Bhandari & Jaroslav Borovicka & Paul Ho, 2019, "Survey Data and Subjective Beliefs in Business Cycle Models," Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, number 19-14, Sep.
- Alan Piper, 2019, "Optimism, pessimism and life satisfaction: an empirical investigation," Discussion Papers, Europa-Universität Flensburg, International Institute of Management, number 030.
- Leonardo Bargigli, 2019, "A Model of Market Making with Heterogeneous Speculators," Working Papers - Economics, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Scienze per l'Economia e l'Impresa, number wp2019_01.rdf.
- Melisa Bubonya & Deborah A. Cobb-Clark & Daniel Christensen & Sarah E. Johnson & Stephen R. Zubrick, 2019, "The Great Recession and Children’s Mental Health in Australia," IJERPH, MDPI, volume 16, issue 4, pages 1-19, February.
- Joy Buchanan & Daniel Houser, 2019, "If Wages Fell During a Recession," Working Papers, George Mason University, Interdisciplinary Center for Economic Science, number 1072, Jun.
- Nobuyuki Hanaki, 2019, "Cognitive Ability and Observed Behavior in Laboratory Experiments: Implications for Macroeconomic Theory," GREDEG Working Papers, Groupe de REcherche en Droit, Economie, Gestion (GREDEG CNRS), Université Côte d'Azur, France, number 2019-22, Sep.
- Agnès Festré, 2019, "Hayek on expectations: the interplay between two complex system," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-02182152, Jun, DOI: 10.1080/09672567.2019.1626464.
- George Evans & Roger Guesnerie & Bruce Mcgough, 2019, "Eductive Stability in Real Business Cycle Models," Post-Print, HAL, number halshs-02084319, Feb, DOI: 10.1111/ecoj.12620.
- Nobuyuki Hanaki, 2019, "Cognitive ability and observed behavior in laboratory experiments: implications for macroeconomic theory," Post-Print, HAL, number halshs-02534868, Dec, DOI: 10.1007/s42973-019-00018-7.
- George Evans & Roger Guesnerie & Bruce Mcgough, 2019, "Eductive Stability in Real Business Cycle Models," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint), HAL, number halshs-02084319, Feb, DOI: 10.1111/ecoj.12620.
- Sofia Teives Henriques & Paul Sharp, 2019, "Without coal in the age of steam and dams in the age of electricity: an explanation for the failure of Portugal to industrialize before the Second World War," Working Papers, European Historical Economics Society (EHES), number 0148, Mar.
- Michael Buchner & Tobias A. Jopp, 2019, "Full steam ahead: Insider knowledge, stock trading and the nationalization of the railways in Prussia around 1879," Working Papers, European Historical Economics Society (EHES), number 0151, Mar.
- Helénsdotter, Ronja, 2019, "Experimental Evidence on Cooperation, Political Affiliation, and Group Size," Working Papers in Economics, University of Gothenburg, Department of Economics, number 765, May.
- Paulie, Charlotte, 2019, "Does Inflation Targeting Reduce the Dispersion of Price Setters’ Inflation Expectations?," Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden), number 370, Apr.
- Paulie, Charlotte, 2019, "Does Inflation Targeting Reduce the Dispersion of Price Setters’ Inflation Expectations?," Working Paper Series, Uppsala University, Department of Economics, number 2018:16, Jan.
- Gizem Kosar & Tyler Ransom & Wilbert van der Klaauw, 2019, "Understanding Migration Aversion using Elicited Counterfactual Choice Probabilities," Working Papers, Human Capital and Economic Opportunity Working Group, number 2019-037, Jun.
- Cormac O'Dea & David Sturrock, 2019, "Survival pessimism and the demand for annuities," IFS Working Papers, Institute for Fiscal Studies, number W19/02, Jan.
- Ashima Goyal & Prashant Parab, 2019, "Modeling heterogeneity and rationality of inflation expectations across Indian households," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India, number 2019-02, Feb.
- Ashima Goyal & Prashant Parab, 2019, "Modeling consumers' confidence and inflation expectations," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India, number 2019-025, Jul.
Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/j/D84-11.html