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Export under risk and expectation dependence

Author

Listed:
  • Broll, Udo
  • Pelster, Matthias
  • Kit, Pong Wong

Abstract

ing from self-protection and self-insurance e ects of export produc-tion choices, exporting rms usually have access to a number of risk sharingmarkets that have an efficient risk management role. Two of the most strikingresults achieved from the existence of risk sharing markets are the separationtheorem and the and full-hedging theorem. This note examines the optimalproduction for exports and hedging decisions of a risk-averse rm facing bothhedgeable exchange rate risk and non-hedgeable (background) risk. While theseparation property holds in this context, the full-hedging property does not.The correlation between the non-hedgeable income risk and the hedgeableforeign exchange rate risk is pivotal We show that the concept of expectationdependence is useful in determining the optimal nancial risk management.

Suggested Citation

  • Broll, Udo & Pelster, Matthias & Kit, Pong Wong, 2021. "Export under risk and expectation dependence," CEPIE Working Papers 02/21, Technische Universität Dresden, Center of Public and International Economics (CEPIE).
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:tudcep:0221
    as

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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Export; Background Risk; Exchange Rate Risk; Expectation Dependence; Hedging; Hintergrundrisiko; Wechselkursrisiko; Erwartungsabhängigkeit; Absicherung;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • D84 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Expectations; Speculations
    • F11 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Neoclassical Models of Trade
    • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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