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Starke Erwartungsreaktionen auf Angela Merkels Covid-Erklärungen

Author

Listed:
  • Haan, Peter

    (DIW Berlin)

  • Peichl, Andreas

    (LMU Munich & ifo Institute)

  • Schrenker, Annekatrin

    (DIW Berlin)

  • Weizsäcker, Georg

    (HU Berlin)

  • Winter, Joachim

    (LMU Munich)

Abstract

Wir führen hochfrequente Befragungen der in Deutschland lebenden Personen durch und erheben die Erwartungen zur Dauer der Covid-bedingten Beschränkungen des öffentlichen Lebens. In einer ersten Analyse der Daten finden wir Hinweise, dass zwei in den Erhebungszeitraum fallenden öffentlichen Auftritte von Bundeskanzlerin Angela Merkel die Erwartungen stark beeinflussen. Insbesondere messen wir nach Merkels Pressekonferenz vom 15.4.2020 eine deutlich pessimistische Bewegung der Erwartungen und die beabsichtigten Konsumausgaben der Haushalte sinken zeitgleich. Die Ergebnisse legen nahe, dass die deutsche Politik über die Möglichkeit eines sehr wirksamen Erwartungsmanagements verfügt.

Suggested Citation

  • Haan, Peter & Peichl, Andreas & Schrenker, Annekatrin & Weizsäcker, Georg & Winter, Joachim, 2020. "Starke Erwartungsreaktionen auf Angela Merkels Covid-Erklärungen," Rationality and Competition Discussion Paper Series 239, CRC TRR 190 Rationality and Competition.
  • Handle: RePEc:rco:dpaper:239
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    Keywords

    ökonomische Erwartungen; Covid-Shutdown;

    JEL classification:

    • D12 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis
    • D84 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Expectations; Speculations

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