Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

2025

• Jeworrek, Sabrina & Tonzer, Lena & Witte, Matti, 2025, "Inflation und Nachhaltigkeit: Wie sich Inflationssorgen auf den Kauf von Bio-Produkten auswirken," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), volume 31, issue 1, pages 6-9, DOI: 10.18717/wwnak2-0y74.
• Bardt, Hubertus & Grömling, Michael, 2025, "Wachstumstreiber Zuversicht," IW-Reports, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) / German Economic Institute, number 27/2025.
• Beber, Bernd & Frohnweiler, Sarah & Lakemann, Tabea & Anti Partey, Peter & Schnars, Regina & Lay, Jann, 2025, "Skills trainings and Bayesian learning: A multisite randomized controlled trial in Ghana," Ruhr Economic Papers, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen, number 1170, DOI: 10.4419/96973355.
• Eva, Kenneth & Lamla, Michael & Pfajfar, Damjan, 2025, "State-dependent sticky expectations: Evidence and theory," Ruhr Economic Papers, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen, number 1179, DOI: 10.4419/96973364.
• Gao, Can & Han, Brandon Yueyang, 2025, "When no news is good news: Multidimensional heterogeneous beliefs in financial markets," SAFE Working Paper Series, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE, number 451, DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.5341704.
• Bui, Dzung & Hayo, Bernd, 2025, "Drawbacks of Household Panel Data on Inflation Perceptions and Expectations: Representativeness and Selectivity Issues," VfS Annual Conference 2025 (Cologne): Revival of Industrial Policy, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 325379.
• Dalgic, Husnu C., 2025, "When is Liquidity Bad?," VfS Annual Conference 2025 (Cologne): Revival of Industrial Policy, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 325452.
• Nghiem, Giang & Marenčák, Michal, 2025, "Personal Inflation Rates in the Euro Area," VfS Annual Conference 2025 (Cologne): Revival of Industrial Policy, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 325454.
• Veltri, Bruno & Blesch, Maximilian, 2025, "Policy Uncertainty, Misinformation, and Statutory Retirement Age Reform," VfS Annual Conference 2025 (Cologne): Revival of Industrial Policy, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 325463.
• Çekin, Semih Emre & Polattimur, Hamza, 2025, "Televised inflation: Measuring TV news coverage and its effect on household expectations," ZEW Discussion Papers, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research, number 25-051.
• Blesse, Sebastian & Gruendler, Klaus & Heil, Philipp & Hermes, Henning, 2025, "The demand for economic narratives," ZEW Discussion Papers, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research, number 25-054.
• Brüll, Eduard & Mäurer, Samuel & Rostam-Afschar, Davud, 2025, "Beliefs about bots: How employers plan for AI in white-collar work," ZEW Discussion Papers, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research, number 25-057.

2024

• Francesco D’Acunto & Michael Weber, 2024, "Why Survey-Based Subjective Expectations are Meaningful and Important," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 32199, Mar.
• Valerie R. Boctor & Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber, 2024, "On Eliciting Subjective Probability Distributions of Expectations," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 32406, May.
• Philip Schnorpfeil & Michael Weber & Andreas Hackethal, 2024, "Inflation and Trading," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 32470, May.
• Joel P. Flynn & Karthik Sastry, 2024, "The Macroeconomics of Narratives," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 32602, Jun.
• Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Xiao Yin, 2024, "Higher-Order Beliefs and Risky Asset Holdings," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 32680, Jul.
• Francesco D’Acunto & Michael Weber & Xiao Yin, 2024, "Subjective Income Expectations and Household Debt Cycles," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 32715, Jul.
• Bocar A. Ba & Abdoulaye Ndiaye & Roman Rivera & Alexander Whitefield, 2024, "Mispricing Narratives after Social Unrest," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 32730, Jul.
• Ivan Yotzov & Nicholas Bloom & Philip Bunn & Paul Mizen & Gregory Thwaites, 2024, "The Speed of Firm Response to Inflation," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 32731, Jul.
• Olena Kostyshyna & Luba Petersen, 2024, "The Effect of Inflation Uncertainty on Household Expectations and Spending," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 32939, Sep.
• Dimitris Georgarakos & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Olivier Coibion & Geoff Kenny, 2024, "The Causal Effects of Inflation Uncertainty on Households' Beliefs and Actions," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 33014, Oct.
• Pei Kuang & Michael Weber & Shihan Xie, 2024, "Perceived Political Bias of the Federal Reserve," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 33071, Oct.
• Prachi Srivastava & Nicholas Bloom & Philip Bunn & Paul Mizen & Gregory Thwaites & Ivan Yotzov, 2024, "Firm Climate Investment: A Glass Half-Full," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 33081, Oct.
• Sandra Eickmeier & Luba Petersen, 2024, "The ECB’s Climate Activities and Public Trust," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 33103, Nov.
• Michael Sockin & Wei Xiong, 2024, "Information Discovery for Industrial Policy," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 33107, Nov.
• Joseph E. Stiglitz, 2024, "Growth and Fluctuations: An Overview," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 33218, Dec.
• Philip Bunn & Lena Anayi & Emily Barnes & Nicholas Bloom & Paul Mizen & Gregory Thwaites & Ivan Yotzov, 2024, "How Curvy is the Phillips Curve?," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 33234, Dec.
• Thomas F Crossley & Yifan Gong & Ralph Stinebrickner & Todd Stinebrickner, 2024, "Examining Income Expectations in the College and Early Post-College Periods: New Distributional Tests of Rational Expectations," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, volume 22, issue 6, pages 2700-2747.
• Leonardo Bargigli & Giulio Cifarelli, 2024, "Endogenous Volatility in the Foreign Exchange Market," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, volume 22, issue 4, pages 773-807.
• Emmanuel Carré & Laurent Le Maux, 2024, "Bernanke and Kindleberger on financial crises, 1978–2003," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, volume 76, issue 2, pages 314-329.
• Pedro Venturi & Alex Ferreira & Arie Gozluklu & Yujing Gong, 2024, "Exchange rates and binary political events," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, volume 76, issue 3, pages 797-822.
• Matteo Benetton & Giovanni Compiani, 2024, "Investors’ Beliefs and Cryptocurrency Prices," The Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Society for Financial Studies, volume 14, issue 2, pages 197-236.
• Pooya Molavi & Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi & Andrea Vedolin, 2024, "Model Complexity, Expectations, and Asset Prices," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, volume 91, issue 4, pages 2462-2507.
• Isaac Hacamo & Kristoph Kleiner, 2024, "No experience necessary: the peer effects of intended entrepreneurs," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, volume 28, issue 4, pages 1311-1344.
• Michail Anthropelos & Paul Schneider, 2024, "Optimal investment and equilibrium pricing under ambiguity," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, volume 28, issue 6, pages 1759-1805.
• Ana Maria (Marașescu) Necula, 2024, "Credit Ratings and ESG Ratings in the European Union," Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, Ovidius University of Constantza, Faculty of Economic Sciences, volume 0, issue 1, pages 664-670, August.
• Tymofii Brik & Maksym Obrizan, 2024, "Gender Gap in Urban Job Market During the Pandemic: The Case of Ukraine," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, volume 66, issue 2, pages 215-235, June, DOI: 10.1057/s41294-023-00215-9.
• Livia Boerner, 2024, "They want what I want: User entrepreneurship, egocentric bias, and overconfidence in early-stage entrepreneurial decision-making," Working Papers Dissertations, Paderborn University, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, number 121, Sep.
• Pietro Guarnieri & Lorenzo Spadoni, 2024, "Norms and anti-coordination: elicitation and priming in an El Farol Bar Game experiment," Discussion Papers, Dipartimento di Economia e Management (DEM), University of Pisa, Pisa, Italy, number 2024/303, Jan.
• Tut, DANIEL, 2024, "Bitcoin, speculative sentiments and crypto-assets valuation," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 120866, Mar.
• Anthony Brassil & Yahdullah Haidari & Jonathan Hambur & Gulnara Nolan & Callum Ryan, 2024, "How Do Households Form Inflation and Wage Expectations?," RBA Research Discussion Papers, Reserve Bank of Australia, number rdp2024-07, Oct, DOI: 10.47688/rdp2024-07.
• Sarah Kiesl-Reiter & Melanie Lührmann & Jonathan Shaw & Joachim Winter, 2024, "The Formation of Subjective House Price Expectations," Rationality and Competition Discussion Paper Series, CRC TRR 190 Rationality and Competition, number 491, Jan.
• Caio Machado, 2024, "Online Appendix to "Coordinating in Financial Crises"," Online Appendices, Review of Economic Dynamics, number 23-96.
• Jonathan Adams & Philip Barrett, 2024, "Code and data files for "Shocks to Inflation Expectations"," Computer Codes, Review of Economic Dynamics, number 22-216, revised .
• Caio Machado, 2024, "Code and data files for "Coordinating in Financial Crises"," Computer Codes, Review of Economic Dynamics, number 23-96, revised .
• Jonathan Adams & Philip Barrett, 2024, "Shocks to Inflation Expectations," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, volume 54, October, DOI: 10.1016/j.red.2024.101234.
• Caio Machado, 2024, "Coordinating in Financial Crises," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, volume 54, October, DOI: 10.1016/j.red.2024.101236.
• Mohammad Mostafazade & Parviz Davoodi & Hossein Samsami & Aliakbar Arabmazar, 2024, "The Effect of Political Management and Economic Stability on Speculation in Iran's Economy," Quarterly Journal of Applied Theories of Economics, Faculty of Economics, Management and Business, University of Tabriz, volume 11, issue 1, pages 175-206.
• Alessandro Citanna & Mich Tvede, 2024, "Do taxspots matter? A study of optimal tax uncertainty," Working Papers, The University of Sheffield, Department of Economics, number 2024006, Jul.
• Andrey Shternshis & Piero Mazzarisi, 2024, "Variance of entropy for testing time-varying regimes with an application to meme stocks," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, volume 47, issue 1, pages 215-258, June, DOI: 10.1007/s10203-023-00427-9.
• Michael Hatcher & Tim Hellmann, 2024, "Communication, networks and asset price dynamics: a survey," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, volume 19, issue 1, pages 1-58, January, DOI: 10.1007/s11403-023-00395-8.
• Michele Cantarella & Ilja Kristian Kavonius, 2024, "Job polarisation and household borrowing," The Journal of Economic Inequality, Springer;Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, volume 22, issue 4, pages 959-980, December, DOI: 10.1007/s10888-024-09624-x.
• Georgios Mavropoulos, 2024, "What drives period fertility rates during post-recession spells?," Journal of Population Research, Springer, volume 41, issue 4, pages 1-26, December, DOI: 10.1007/s12546-024-09349-8.
• Maria Alejandra Cattaneo, 2024, "What wages do people expect for vocational and academic education backgrounds in Switzerland?," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, Springer;Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics, volume 160, issue 1, pages 1-16, December, DOI: 10.1186/s41937-023-00118-7.
• M’bakob Gilles Brice & Mandeng ma Ntamack Jules, 2024, "Influence of psychological exchange rates (PER) on forex price formation: theory, empirical, and experimental evidence," SN Business & Economics, Springer, volume 4, issue 9, pages 1-53, September, DOI: 10.1007/s43546-024-00698-3.
• Ritsu Yano & Yoshiyuki Nakazono & Kento Tango, 2024, "The Transmission of Monetary Policy Shocks: Evidence from Japan," TUPD Discussion Papers, Graduate School of Economics and Management, Tohoku University, number 57, Nov.
• Saten Kumar & Dennis Wesselbaum, 2024, "Contracts and Firms' Inflation Expectations," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, volume 106, issue 1, pages 246-255, January, DOI: 10.1162/rest_a_01115.
• Ester Faia & Andreas Fuster & Vincenzo Pezone & Basit Zafar, 2024, "Biases in Information Selection and Processing: Survey Evidence from the Pandemic," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, volume 106, issue 3, pages 829-847, May, DOI: 10.1162/rest_a_01187.
• Mathieu Pedemonte, 2024, "Fireside Chats: Communication and Consumers’ Expectations in the Great Depression," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, volume 106, issue 4, pages 997-1011, July, DOI: 10.1162/rest_a_01200.
• Mehran Akbari & Christian Bauer & Matthias Neuenkirch & Dennis Umlandt, 2024, "Economic Forecast Disagreement and Equity Pricing: International Evidence," Research Papers in Economics, University of Trier, Department of Economics, number 2025-07.
• Reynaud, Arnaud & Ouvrard, Benjamin, 2024, "Re-calibrating beliefs about peers: Direct impacts and cross-learning effects in agriculture," TSE Working Papers, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), number 24-1517, Mar.
• Assenza, Tiziana & Cardaci, Alberto & Huber, Stefanie, 2024, "Fake News: Susceptibility, Awareness and Solutions," TSE Working Papers, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), number 24-1519, Mar, revised Nov 2024.
• Andries, Marianne & Bianchi, Milo & Huynh, Karen & Pouget, Sébastien, 2024, "Return Predictability, Expectations, and Investment: Experimental Evidence," TSE Working Papers, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), number 1561, Aug.
• Mathieu Lambotte, 2024, "Identification and estimation of asymmetries in peer effects for binary outcomes," Economics Working Paper Archive (University of Rennes & University of Caen), Center for Research in Economics and Management (CREM), University of Rennes, University of Caen and CNRS, number 2024-05, Nov.
• Boris van Leeuwen & Ingela Alger, 2024, "Estimating Social Preferences and Kantian Morality in Strategic Interactions," Journal of Political Economy Microeconomics, University of Chicago Press, volume 2, issue 4, pages 665-706, DOI: 10.1086/732125.
• Tufan Ekici & Martin Geiger & Marios Zachariadis, 2024, "Understanding Expectations Formation for Hand-to-Mouth Households: Lessons from the Financial Crisis," University of Cyprus Working Papers in Economics, University of Cyprus Department of Economics, number 05-2024, Aug, revised 05 Nov 2024.
• Jonathan J Adams & Cheng Chen & Min Fang & Takahiro Hattori & Eugenio Rojas, 2024, "Incomplete Information and Investment Inaction," Working Papers, University of Florida, Department of Economics, number 001013, Sep.
• Isaac Baley & Javier Turen, 2024, "Lumpy forecasts," Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, number 1898, Dec.
• Andrea Teglio & Michele Catalano & Marko Petrovic, 2024, "Myopic households on a stable path: the neoclassical growth model with rule-based expectations," Working Papers, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari", number 2024: 05.
• Alessandro Bucciol & Joshy Easaw & Serena Trucchi, 2024, "Household Income Expectations: The Role of Shocks and Aggregate Conditions," Working Papers, University of Verona, Department of Economics, number 04/2024, Feb.
• Anja Sebbesen & Harald Oberhofer, 2024, "The propagation of business expectations within the European Union," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 39, issue 6, pages 1082-1103, September, DOI: 10.1002/jae.3075.
• Jonas Dovern & Alexander Glas & Geoff Kenny, 2024, "Testing for differences in survey‐based density expectations: A compositional data approach," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 39, issue 6, pages 1104-1122, September, DOI: 10.1002/jae.3080.
• Hana Cosic & Yaz Gulnur Muradoglu, 2024, "Optimism in Property Markets," Quarterly Journal of Finance (QJF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., volume 14, issue 02, pages 1-31, June, DOI: 10.1142/S2010139224400020.
• Kieren, Pascal & König-Kersting, Christian & Schmidt, Robert J. & Trautmann, Stefan T. & Theurich, Franziska, 2024, "First-order and higher-order inflation expectations: Evidence about households and firms," Discussion Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 18/2024.
• Eickmeier, Sandra & Petersen, Luba, 2024, "Toward a holistic approach to central bank trust," Discussion Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 27/2024.
• Eickmeier, Sandra & Petersen, Luba, 2024, "The ECB's climate activities and public trust," Discussion Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 43/2024.
• Menz, Jan-Oliver, 2024, "Sources of post-pandemic inflation in Germany and the euro area: An application of Bernanke and Blanchard (2023)," Technical Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 02/2024.
• Schnorpfeil, Philip & Weber, Michael & Hackethal, Andreas, 2024, "Inflation and trading," CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies (CFS), number 727.
• Schnorpfeil, Philip & Weber, Michael & Hackethal, Andreas, 2024, "Households' response to the wealth effects of inflation," CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies (CFS), number 728.
• Kolev, Atanas & Randall, Timothy, 2024, "The effect of uncertainty on investment: Evidence from EU survey data," EIB Working Papers, European Investment Bank (EIB), number 2024/02, DOI: 10.2867/723130.
• Grohmann, Antonia & Menkhoff, Lukas & Merkle, Christoph & Schmacker, Renke, 2025, "Earn More Tomorrow: Overconfidence, Income Expectations, and Consumer Indebtedness," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, volume 57, issue 5, pages 1071-1102, DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.13157.
• Jeworrek, Sabrina & Tonzer, Lena, 2024, "Inflation concerns and green product consumption: Evidence from a nationwide survey and a framed field experiment," IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), number 10/2024.
• Balleer, Almut & Duernecker, Georg & Forstner, Susanne & Goensch, Johannes, 2024, "Biased expectations and labor market outcomes: Evidence from German survey data and implications for the East-West wage gap," Ruhr Economic Papers, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen, number 1062, DOI: 10.4419/96973232.
• Balleer, Almut & Duernecker, Georg & Forstner, Susanne & Goensch, Johannes, 2024, "Wage bargaining and labor market policy with biased expectations," Ruhr Economic Papers, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen, number 1069, DOI: 10.4419/96973241.
• Bachmann, Ronald & Klauser, Roman, 2024, "How do workers react to increased job loss fears? The role of training and job mobility," Ruhr Economic Papers, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen, number 1137, DOI: 10.4419/96973319.
• Schnorpfeil, Philip & Weber, Michael & Hackethal, Andreas, 2024, "Inflation and trading," SAFE Working Paper Series, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE, number 419, DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.4838014.
• Andre, Peter & Haaland, Ingar & Roth, Christopher & Wiederholt, Mirko & Wohlfart, Johannes, 2024, "Narratives about the macroeconomy," SAFE Working Paper Series, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE, number 426, DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.4947636.
• Ludwig, Alexander & Mankart, Jochen & Quintana, Jorge & Wiederholt, Mirko, 2024, "Heterogeneity in expectations and house price dynamics," SAFE Working Paper Series, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE, number 432, DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.4967237.
• Weinig, Max & Fritsche, Ulrich, 2025, "Going viral: Inflation narratives and the macroeconomy," WiSo-HH Working Paper Series, University of Hamburg, Faculty of Business, Economics and Social Sciences, WISO Research Laboratory, number 86, revised 2025.
• Link, Sebastian & Peichl, Andreas & Roth, Christopher & Wohlfart, Johannes, 2024, "Attention to the Macroeconomy," VfS Annual Conference 2024 (Berlin): Upcoming Labor Market Challenges, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 302360.
• Schnorpfeil, Philip & Weber, Michael & Hackethal, Andreas, 2024, "Households' Response to the Wealth Effects of Inflation," VfS Annual Conference 2024 (Berlin): Upcoming Labor Market Challenges, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 302382.
• Dräger, Lena & Dalloul, Ami & Nghiem, Giang, 2024, "Anchoring Household's Inflation Expectations when Inflation is High," VfS Annual Conference 2024 (Berlin): Upcoming Labor Market Challenges, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 302397.
• Pavlova, Lora, 2024, "Framing effects in consumer expectations surveys," ZEW Discussion Papers, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research, number 24-036.
• Krunoslav Antoliš, 2024, "Education against Disinformation," Interdisciplinary Description of Complex Systems - scientific journal, Croatian Interdisciplinary Society Provider Homepage: http://indecs.eu, volume 22, issue 1, pages 71-83.
• Minahil Asim & Ronak Jain & Vatsal Khandelwal, 2024, "Great expectations? Experimental evidence from schools in Pakistan," ECON - Working Papers, Department of Economics - University of Zurich, number 454, Sep.
• Rava Azeredo da Silveira & Yeji Sung & Michael Woodford, 2024, "Optimally Imprecise Memory and Biased Forecasts," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, volume 114, issue 10, pages 3075-3118, October, DOI: 10.1257/aer.20201806.
• Olivier Coibion & Dimitris Georgarakos & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Geoff Kenny & Michael Weber, 2024, "The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Household Spending," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, volume 114, issue 3, pages 645-677, March, DOI: 10.1257/aer.20221167.
• Pamela Giustinelli & Matthew D. Shapiro, 2024, "SeaTE: Subjective Ex Ante Treatment Effect of Health on Retirement," American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, American Economic Association, volume 16, issue 2, pages 278-317, April, DOI: 10.1257/app.20210316.
• Heiner Mikosch & Christopher Roth & Samad Sarferaz & Johannes Wohlfart, 2024, "Uncertainty and Information Acquisition: Evidence from Firms and Households," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, volume 16, issue 2, pages 375-405, April, DOI: 10.1257/mac.20220047.
• Tiziano Ropele & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Olivier Coibion, 2024, "Inflation Expectations and Misallocation of Resources: Evidence from Italy," American Economic Review: Insights, American Economic Association, volume 6, issue 2, pages 246-261, June, DOI: 10.1257/aeri.20230201.
• S Anukriti & Catalina Herrera-Almanza & Sophie Ochmann, 2024, "The Influence of COVID-19 on Young Women's Labor Market Aspirations and Expectations in India," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, volume 114, pages 243-247, May, DOI: 10.1257/pandp.20241119.
• Alan S. Blinder & Michael Ehrmann & Jakob de Haan & David-Jan Jansen, 2024, "Central Bank Communication with the General Public: Promise or False Hope?," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, volume 62, issue 2, pages 425-457, June, DOI: 10.1257/jel.20231683.
• Roxana-Maria Staneiu & Madalina-Elena Stratone & Dan-Cristian Dabija & Pompei Mititean, 2024, "Leveraging Neuroleadership and Adopting AI to Improve Human Capital Development in IT&C Business Organisations," The AMFITEATRU ECONOMIC journal, Academy of Economic Studies - Bucharest, Romania, volume 26, issue 67, pages 721-721, August.
• Tom Krebs & Isabella Weber, 2024, "Can Price Controls be Optimal? The Economics of the Energy Shock in Germany," Working Papers, Forum New Economy, number 3, Mar.
• Tiziana Assenza & Alberto Cardaci & Stefanie J. Huber, 2024, "Fake News: Susceptibility, Awareness and Solutions," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany, number 290, Apr.
• Yuliyan Mitkov, 2024, "Private Sunspots in Games of Coordinated Attack," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany, number 295, Apr.
• Tiziana Assenza & Alberto Cardaci & Stefanie Huber, 2024, "Fake News: Susceptibility, Awareness, and Solutions," ECONtribute Policy Brief Series, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany, number 065, Dec.
• Miele, Kai R., 2024, "Mental Health and Labor Market Effects of Anticipating Job Loss," CINCH Working Paper Series (since 2020), Duisburg-Essen University Library, DuEPublico, number 82169, Jul, DOI: 10.17185/duepublico/82169.
• Francesco D'Acunto & Michael Weber, 2024, "Why Survey-Based Subjective Expectations Are Meaningful and Important," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, volume 16, issue 1, pages 329-357, August, DOI: 10.1146/annurev-economics-091523-04.
• Pietro Ortoleva, 2024, "Alternatives to Bayesian Updating," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, volume 16, issue 1, pages 545-570, August, DOI: 10.1146/annurev-economics-100223-05.
• Inna S. Lola & Dmitry G. Asoskov, 2024, "Potential of business uncertainty indicators in forecasting economic activity: The case of Russia," Russian Journal of Economics, ARPHA Platform, volume 10, issue 4, pages 351-364, December, DOI: 10.32609/j.ruje.10.113578.
• Laura Gardini & Davide Radi & Noemi Schmitt & Iryna Sushko & Frank Westerhoff, 2024, "On the limits of informationally efficient stock markets: New insights from a chartist-fundamentalist model," Papers, arXiv.org, number 2410.21198, Oct.
• Goldfayn-Frank, Olga & Kieren, Pascal & Trautmann, Stefan, 2024, "A Choice-Based Approach to the Measurement of Inflation Expectations," Working Papers, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics, number 0742, Feb.
• Conrad, Christian & Lahiri, Kajal, 2024, "Heterogeneous Expectations among Professional Forecasters," Working Papers, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics, number 0754, Oct.
• Etienne Briand & Massimiliano Marcellino & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2024, "Inflation, Attention and Expectations," Working Papers, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management, number 24-05, Dec, revised Dec 2024.
• Janet Hua Jiang & Rupal Kamdar & Kelin Lu & Daniela Puzzello, 2024, "How Do Households Respond to Expected Inflation? An Investigation of Transmission Mechanisms," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 24-44, Nov, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2024-44.
• Tao Wang, 2024, "How Do Agents Form Macroeconomic Expectations? Evidence from Inflation Uncertainty," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 24-5, Feb, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2024-5.
• Paolo Farroni & Jacopo Tozzo, 2024, "Bank beliefs and firm lending: evidence from Italian loan-level data," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1469, Nov.
• Ángelo Gutiérrez-Daza, 2024, "Business Cycles when Consumers Learn by Shopping," Working Papers, Banco de México, number 2024-12, Sep.
• Rashad Ahmed & Iñaki Aldasoro & Chanelle Duley, 2024, "Public information and stablecoin runs," BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 1164, Jan.
• Andres Sanchez-Jabba & Erick Villabon-Hinestroza, 2024, "The measure matters: differences in the passthrough of inflation expectations in Colombia," BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 1205, Aug.
• Yury Perevyshin, 2024, "Analysts' Inflation Expectations vs Univariate Models of Inflation Forecasting in the Russian Economy," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, volume 83, issue 2, pages 54-76, June.
• Vadim Grishchenko & Ivan Krylov, 2024, "New Approaches to Measuring, Analysing, and Forecasting Prices: A Review of the Bank of Russia, NES, and HSE University Workshop," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, volume 83, issue 2, pages 92-111, June.
• Alexander Reentovich, 2024, "Uncertain technical change, Bayesian learning and the Green Paradox," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series, Bank of Russia, number wps133, Aug.
• Lena Dräger & Michael J. Lamla, 2024, "Consumers' macroeconomic expectations," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, volume 38, issue 2, pages 427-451, April, DOI: 10.1111/joes.12590.
• Ernesto Reuben & Paola Sapienza & Luigi Zingales, 2024, "Overconfidence and Preferences for Competition," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, volume 79, issue 2, pages 1087-1121, April, DOI: 10.1111/jofi.13314.
• Olivier Dessaint & Thierry Foucault & Laurent Fresard, 2024, "Does Alternative Data Improve Financial Forecasting? The Horizon Effect," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, volume 79, issue 3, pages 2237-2287, June, DOI: 10.1111/jofi.13323.
• Joris Wauters & Zivile Zekaite & Garo Garabedian, 2024, "Owner-occupied housing costs, policy communication, and inflation expectations," French Stata Users' Group Meetings 2024, Stata Users Group, number 11, Jun.
• Ivan Yotzov & Nicholas Bloom & Philip Bunn & Paul Mizen & Gregory Thwaites, 2024, "The speed of firm response to inflation," Bank of England working papers, Bank of England, number 1085, Aug.
• Andrea Alati & Johannes J Fischer & Maren Froemel & Ozgen Ozturk, 2024, "Firms’ sales expectations and marginal propensity to invest," Bank of England working papers, Bank of England, number 1087, Aug.
• Gabor Pinter & Emil Siriwardane & Danny Walker, 2024, "Fire sales of safe assets," Bank of England working papers, Bank of England, number 1089, Aug.
• Dario Bonciani & Riccardo M Masolo & Silvia Sarpietro, 2024, "How food prices shape inflation expectations and the monetary policy response," Bank of England working papers, Bank of England, number 1094, Oct.
• Prachi Srivastava & Nicholas Bloom & Philip Bunn & Paul Mizen & Gregory Thwaites & Ivan Yotzov, 2024, "Firm climate investment: a glass half-full," Bank of England working papers, Bank of England, number 1095, Oct.
• Lukas Kiessling & Pia Pinger & Philipp Seegers & Jan Bergerhoff, 2024, "Gender Differences in Wage Expectations and Negotiation," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany, number crctr224_2024_496, Jan.
• Peter Andre & Philipp Schirmer & Johannes Wohlfart, 2024, "Mental Models of the Stock Market," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany, number crctr224_2024_611, Nov.
• Galimberti Jaqueson K., 2024, "Initial Beliefs Uncertainty," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, volume 24, issue 1, pages 45-96, January, DOI: 10.1515/bejm-2023-0069.
• Borraz Fernando & Orlik Anna & Zacheo Laura, 2024, "Inflation Uncertainty from Firms’ Perspective, Overconfidence and Credibility of Monetary Policy," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, volume 24, issue 2, pages 853-882, DOI: 10.1515/bejm-2023-0161.
• Lenhard, Gregor, 2024, "Learning from the Past: The Role of Personal Experiences in Artificial Stock Markets," Working papers, Faculty of Business and Economics - University of Basel, number 2024/01, Mar.
• Wauters, Joris & Zekaite, Zivile & Garabedian, Garo, 2024, "Owner-occupied housing costs, policy communication, and inflation expectations," Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland, number 3/RT/24, May.
• Bucciol, Alessandro & Easaw, Joshy & Trucchi, Serena, 2024, "Household Income Expectations: The Role of Shocks and Aggregate Conditions," Cardiff Economics Working Papers, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, number E2024/7, Feb.
• Yuliya Rychalovska & Sergey Slobodyan & Raf Wouters, 2024, "Survey Expectations, Adaptive Learning and Inflation Dynamics," CERGE-EI Working Papers, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague, number wp781, May.
• Volha Audzei & Sergey Slobodyan, 2024, "Dynamic Sparse Restricted Perceptions Equilibria," CERGE-EI Working Papers, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague, number wp792, Oct.
• Yu Awaya & Kohei Iwasaki & Makoto Watanabe, 2024, "Money Is the Root of Asset Bubbles," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 10923.
• Alexandros Botsis & Christoph Görtz & Plutarchos Sakellaris, 2024, "Quantifying Qualitative Survey Data with Panel Data Structure," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 11013.
• Giang Nghiem & Lena Dräger & Ami Dalloul, 2024, "Anchoring Households’ Inflation Expectations When Inflation Is High," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 11042.
• Lena Dräger & Maximilian Floto & Marina Schröder, 2024, "Inflation Expectations and Economic Preferences," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 11326.
• Lukas Buchheim & Sebastian Link & Sascha Möhrle, 2024, "Inflation and Wage Expectations of Firms and Employees," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 11329.
• Christina Anderl & Guglielmo Maria Caporale, 2024, "Expectations and Speculation in the Natural Gas Markets," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 11341.
• Edgar Avalos & Jose Maria Barrero & Elwyn Davies & Leonardo Iacovone & Jesica Torres, 2024, "Business Uncertainty in Developing and Emerging Economies," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 11368.
• Philip Schnorpfeil & Michael Weber & Andreas Hackethal & Michael Weber, 2024, "Inflation and Trading," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 11580.
• Paula Patzelt & Ricardo Reis, 2024, "Estimating the rise in expected inflation from higher energy prices," Discussion Papers, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM), number 2411, Mar.
• Salomé Fofana & Paula Patzelt & Ricardo Reis, 2024, "Household Disagreement about Expected Inflation," Discussion Papers, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM), number 2418, Mar.
• Andrea Alati & Johannes J. Fischer & Maren Froemel & Ozgen Ozturk, 2024, "Firms’ Sales Expectations and Marginal Propensity to Invest," Discussion Papers, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM), number 2424, May.
• Ivan Yotzov & Nicholas Bloom & Philip Bunn & Paul Mizen & Gregory Thwaites, 2024, "The Speed of Firm Response to Inflation," Discussion Papers, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM), number 2425, May.
• Nikoleta Anesti & Vania Esady & Matthew Naylor, 2024, "Food prices matter most: Sensitive household inflation expectations," Discussion Papers, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM), number 2434, Aug.
• Hang Do & Kiet Duong & Toan Huynh & Nam T. Vu, 2024, "The Real Effects of Brexit on Labor Demand: Evidence from Firm-level Data," Working Papers, Queen Mary, University of London, School of Business and Management, Centre for Globalisation Research, number 117, Apr.
• Luca Gemmi & Roxana Mihet, 2024, "Household Belief Formation in Uncertain Times," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series, Swiss Finance Institute, number 24-20, Feb.
• Giuseppe Rose & Desiré De Luca, 2024, "Health Concerns And Consumption Expectations During Covid-19: Evidence From A Fuzzy Regression Discontinuity Design," Working Papers, Università della Calabria, Dipartimento di Economia, Statistica e Finanza "Giovanni Anania" - DESF, number 202401, Feb.
• Makoto WATANABE & Yu Awaya & kohei Iwasaki, 2024, "Money is the roof of asset bubbles," CIGS Working Paper Series, The Canon Institute for Global Studies, number 24-001E, Jan.
• Andersen, Steffen & Dimmock, Stephen & Meisner Nielsen, Kasper & Peijnenburg, Kim, 2024, "Extrapolators and Contrarians: Forecast Bias and Household Stock Trading," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 18810, Feb.
• Patzelt, Paula & Reis, Ricardo, 2024, "Estimating the rise in expected inflation from higher energy prices," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 18907, Mar.
• Fofana, Salomé & Patzelt, Paula & Reis, Ricardo, 2024, "Household Disagreement about Expected Inflation," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 18956, Mar.
• Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Yin, Xiao, 2024, "Higher-Order Beliefs and Risky Asset Holdings," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 19205, Jul.
• Andries, Marianne & Bianchi, Milo & Huynh, Karen & Pouget, Sebastien, 2024, "Return Predictability, Expectations, and Investment: Experimental Evidence," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 19239, Jul.
• Dario Bonciani & Riccardo Masolo & Sara Sarpietro, 2024, "How Food Prices Shape Inflation Expectations and the Monetary Policy Response," DISCE - Working Papers del Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Dipartimenti e Istituti di Scienze Economiche (DISCE), number def135, Oct.
• Alexandre Carrier & Kostas Mavromatis, 2024, "Optimal normalization policy under behavioral expectations," Working Papers, DNB, number 800, Feb.
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• Bobeica, Elena & Paredes, Joan & Renault, Théodore & Rousseau, Flavie, 2024, "Selling price expectations for services: what do they tell us about consumer price pressures?," Economic Bulletin Boxes, European Central Bank, volume 5.
• Baptista, Pedro & Bates, Colm & Kouvavas, Omiros & Neves, Pedro & Werkmeister, Katia, 2024, "What consumers think is the main driver of recent inflation: changes in perceptions over time," Economic Bulletin Boxes, European Central Bank, volume 7.
• Allayioti, Anastasia & Arioli, Rodolfo & Bates, Colm & Botelho, Vasco & Fagandini, Bruno & Fonseca, Luís & Healy, Peter & Meyler, Aidan & Minasian, Ryan & Zahrt, Octavia, 2024, "A look back at 25 years of the ECB SPF," Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 364, Dec.
• Schnorpfeil, Philip & Weber, Michael & Hackethal, Andreas, 2024, "Households' response to the wealth effects of inflation," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2904, Feb.
• Kukavica, Anthony J. & Narayanan, Sridhar, 2024, "Rational and Irrational Belief in the Hot Hand: Evidence from "Jeopardy!"," Research Papers, Stanford University, Graduate School of Business, number 4229, Dec.
• Heinke, Steve & Olschewski, Sebastian & Rieskamp, Jörg, 2024, "Experiences, demand for risky investments, and implications for price dynamics," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, volume 43, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2024.100939.
• Dhami, Sanjit & Wei, Mengxing & Mamidi, Pavan, 2024, "Religious identity, trust, reciprocity, and prosociality: Theory and evidence," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, volume 166, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2023.103192.
• Granziera, Eleonora & Sihvonen, Markus, 2024, "Bonds, currencies and expectational errors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 158, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2023.104790.
• Duffy, John & Shin, Michael, 2024, "Heterogeneous experience and constant-gain learning," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 164, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104881.
• Campiglio, Emanuele & Lamperti, Francesco & Terranova, Roberta, 2024, "Believe me when I say green! Heterogeneous expectations and climate policy uncertainty," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 165, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104900.
• Botsis, Alexandros & Görtz, Christoph & Sakellaris, Plutarchos, 2024, "Quantifying qualitative survey data with panel data," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 167, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104929.
• Nasir, Muhammad Ali & Huynh, Toan Luu Duc, 2024, "Nexus between inflation and inflation expectations at the zero lower bound: A tiger by the tail," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 131, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2023.106601.
• Frache, Serafin & Lluberas, Rodrigo & Turen, Javier, 2024, "Belief-dependent pricing decisions," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 132, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2023.106630.
• Kirpson, Gerda & Staehr, Karsten, 2024, "Do individuals expect the Phillips curve? Evidence from the European Consumer Expectations Survey," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 234, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2023.111430.
• Zhao, Yongchen, 2024, "Uncertainty of household inflation expectations: Reconciling point and density forecasts," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 234, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2023.111486.
• Wang, Lunyi & Yang, Shiqi & Zhao, Sibo, 2024, "The momentum ambiguity and investor trading behavior," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 235, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2024.111533.
• Stanisławska, Ewa & Paloviita, Maritta, 2024, "Heterogeneous responsiveness of consumers’ medium-term inflation expectations," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 237, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2024.111629.
• Chang, Shih-Chung & Wang, Frank Yong, 2024, "Two-sided asymmetric information and convertible securities in venture financing," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 237, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2024.111635.
• Gründler, Daniel, 2024, "Does the inflation pass-through of gasoline price shocks depend on the level of inflation?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 243, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2024.111928.
• Zhu, Xinxin & Jiao, Peiran & Zong, Jichuan, 2024, "Beliefs and the equity home bias," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 244, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2024.111983.
• Wang, Lunyi & Wang, Yao & Zhang, Shunming, 2024, "Probability distortion and non-participation," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 244, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2024.111989.
• Kučerová, Zuzana & Pakši, Daniel & Koňařík, Vojtěch, 2024, "Macroeconomic fundamentals and attention: What drives european consumers’ inflation expectations?," Economic Systems, Elsevier, volume 48, issue 1, DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2023.101153.
• Doval, Laura & Skreta, Vasiliki, 2024, "Mechanism design with limited commitment: Markov environments," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 167, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2024.104777.
• Shahzad, Umer & Orsi, Bianca & Sharma, Gagan Deep, 2024, "Managing inflation expectations and the efficiency of monetary policy responses to energy crises," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 133, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2024.107474.
• Tanaka, Tetsuji & Guo, Jin & Wang, Xiufang, 2024, "Understanding the spillover effects of ethanol production and energy prices on African food markets: A time-varying approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 134, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2024.107583.
• Yoon, Beomseok & Filipski, Mateusz & Landry, Craig E. & Yoo, Seung Jick, 2024, "Endowment effects, expectations, and trading behavior in carbon cap and trade," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 139, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2024.107927.