Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes
Top JEL
/ D: Microeconomics
/ / D8: Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty
/ / / D84: Expectations; Speculations
2024
- Hana Cosic & Yaz Gulnur Muradoglu, 2024, "Optimism in Property Markets," Quarterly Journal of Finance (QJF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., volume 14, issue 02, pages 1-31, June, DOI: 10.1142/S2010139224400020.
- Kieren, Pascal & König-Kersting, Christian & Schmidt, Robert J. & Trautmann, Stefan T. & Theurich, Franziska, 2024, "First-order and higher-order inflation expectations: Evidence about households and firms," Discussion Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 18/2024.
- Eickmeier, Sandra & Petersen, Luba, 2024, "Toward a holistic approach to central bank trust," Discussion Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 27/2024.
- Eickmeier, Sandra & Petersen, Luba, 2024, "The ECB's climate activities and public trust," Discussion Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 43/2024.
- Menz, Jan-Oliver, 2024, "Sources of post-pandemic inflation in Germany and the euro area: An application of Bernanke and Blanchard (2023)," Technical Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 02/2024.
- Schnorpfeil, Philip & Weber, Michael & Hackethal, Andreas, 2024, "Inflation and trading," CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies (CFS), number 727.
- Schnorpfeil, Philip & Weber, Michael & Hackethal, Andreas, 2024, "Households' response to the wealth effects of inflation," CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies (CFS), number 728.
- Kolev, Atanas & Randall, Timothy, 2024, "The effect of uncertainty on investment: Evidence from EU survey data," EIB Working Papers, European Investment Bank (EIB), number 2024/02, DOI: 10.2867/723130.
- Grohmann, Antonia & Menkhoff, Lukas & Merkle, Christoph & Schmacker, Renke, 2025, "Earn More Tomorrow: Overconfidence, Income Expectations, and Consumer Indebtedness," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, volume 57, issue 5, pages 1071-1102, DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.13157.
- Jeworrek, Sabrina & Tonzer, Lena, 2024, "Inflation concerns and green product consumption: Evidence from a nationwide survey and a framed field experiment," IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), number 10/2024.
- Balleer, Almut & Duernecker, Georg & Forstner, Susanne & Goensch, Johannes, 2024, "Biased expectations and labor market outcomes: Evidence from German survey data and implications for the East-West wage gap," Ruhr Economic Papers, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen, number 1062, DOI: 10.4419/96973232.
- Balleer, Almut & Duernecker, Georg & Forstner, Susanne & Goensch, Johannes, 2024, "Wage bargaining and labor market policy with biased expectations," Ruhr Economic Papers, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen, number 1069, DOI: 10.4419/96973241.
- Bachmann, Ronald & Klauser, Roman, 2024, "How do workers react to increased job loss fears? The role of training and job mobility," Ruhr Economic Papers, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen, number 1137, DOI: 10.4419/96973319.
- Schnorpfeil, Philip & Weber, Michael & Hackethal, Andreas, 2024, "Inflation and trading," SAFE Working Paper Series, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE, number 419, DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.4838014.
- Andre, Peter & Haaland, Ingar & Roth, Christopher & Wiederholt, Mirko & Wohlfart, Johannes, 2024, "Narratives about the macroeconomy," SAFE Working Paper Series, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE, number 426, DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.4947636.
- Ludwig, Alexander & Mankart, Jochen & Quintana, Jorge & Wiederholt, Mirko, 2024, "Heterogeneity in expectations and house price dynamics," SAFE Working Paper Series, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE, number 432, DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.4967237.
- Weinig, Max & Fritsche, Ulrich, 2025, "Going viral: Inflation narratives and the macroeconomy," WiSo-HH Working Paper Series, University of Hamburg, Faculty of Business, Economics and Social Sciences, WISO Research Laboratory, number 86, revised 2025.
- Link, Sebastian & Peichl, Andreas & Roth, Christopher & Wohlfart, Johannes, 2024, "Attention to the Macroeconomy," VfS Annual Conference 2024 (Berlin): Upcoming Labor Market Challenges, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 302360.
- Schnorpfeil, Philip & Weber, Michael & Hackethal, Andreas, 2024, "Households' Response to the Wealth Effects of Inflation," VfS Annual Conference 2024 (Berlin): Upcoming Labor Market Challenges, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 302382.
- Dräger, Lena & Dalloul, Ami & Nghiem, Giang, 2024, "Anchoring Household's Inflation Expectations when Inflation is High," VfS Annual Conference 2024 (Berlin): Upcoming Labor Market Challenges, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 302397.
- Pavlova, Lora, 2024, "Framing effects in consumer expectations surveys," ZEW Discussion Papers, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research, number 24-036.
- Krunoslav Antoliš, 2024, "Education against Disinformation," Interdisciplinary Description of Complex Systems - scientific journal, Croatian Interdisciplinary Society Provider Homepage: http://indecs.eu, volume 22, issue 1, pages 71-83.
- Minahil Asim & Ronak Jain & Vatsal Khandelwal, 2024, "Great expectations? Experimental evidence from schools in Pakistan," ECON - Working Papers, Department of Economics - University of Zurich, number 454, Sep.
- Rava Azeredo da Silveira & Yeji Sung & Michael Woodford, 2024, "Optimally Imprecise Memory and Biased Forecasts," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, volume 114, issue 10, pages 3075-3118, October, DOI: 10.1257/aer.20201806.
- Olivier Coibion & Dimitris Georgarakos & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Geoff Kenny & Michael Weber, 2024, "The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Household Spending," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, volume 114, issue 3, pages 645-677, March, DOI: 10.1257/aer.20221167.
- Pamela Giustinelli & Matthew D. Shapiro, 2024, "SeaTE: Subjective Ex Ante Treatment Effect of Health on Retirement," American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, American Economic Association, volume 16, issue 2, pages 278-317, April, DOI: 10.1257/app.20210316.
- Heiner Mikosch & Christopher Roth & Samad Sarferaz & Johannes Wohlfart, 2024, "Uncertainty and Information Acquisition: Evidence from Firms and Households," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, volume 16, issue 2, pages 375-405, April, DOI: 10.1257/mac.20220047.
- Tiziano Ropele & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Olivier Coibion, 2024, "Inflation Expectations and Misallocation of Resources: Evidence from Italy," American Economic Review: Insights, American Economic Association, volume 6, issue 2, pages 246-261, June, DOI: 10.1257/aeri.20230201.
- S Anukriti & Catalina Herrera-Almanza & Sophie Ochmann, 2024, "The Influence of COVID-19 on Young Women's Labor Market Aspirations and Expectations in India," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, volume 114, pages 243-247, May, DOI: 10.1257/pandp.20241119.
- Alan S. Blinder & Michael Ehrmann & Jakob de Haan & David-Jan Jansen, 2024, "Central Bank Communication with the General Public: Promise or False Hope?," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, volume 62, issue 2, pages 425-457, June, DOI: 10.1257/jel.20231683.
- Roxana-Maria Staneiu & Madalina-Elena Stratone & Dan-Cristian Dabija & Pompei Mititean, 2024, "Leveraging Neuroleadership and Adopting AI to Improve Human Capital Development in IT&C Business Organisations," The AMFITEATRU ECONOMIC journal, Academy of Economic Studies - Bucharest, Romania, volume 26, issue 67, pages 721-721, August.
- Tom Krebs & Isabella Weber, 2024, "Can Price Controls be Optimal? The Economics of the Energy Shock in Germany," Working Papers, Forum New Economy, number 3, Mar.
- Tiziana Assenza & Alberto Cardaci & Stefanie J. Huber, 2024, "Fake News: Susceptibility, Awareness and Solutions," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany, number 290, Apr.
- Yuliyan Mitkov, 2024, "Private Sunspots in Games of Coordinated Attack," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany, number 295, Apr.
- Tiziana Assenza & Alberto Cardaci & Stefanie Huber, 2024, "Fake News: Susceptibility, Awareness, and Solutions," ECONtribute Policy Brief Series, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany, number 065, Dec.
- Miele, Kai R., 2024, "Mental Health and Labor Market Effects of Anticipating Job Loss," CINCH Working Paper Series (since 2020), Duisburg-Essen University Library, DuEPublico, number 82169, Jul, DOI: 10.17185/duepublico/82169.
- Francesco D'Acunto & Michael Weber, 2024, "Why Survey-Based Subjective Expectations Are Meaningful and Important," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, volume 16, issue 1, pages 329-357, August, DOI: 10.1146/annurev-economics-091523-04.
- Pietro Ortoleva, 2024, "Alternatives to Bayesian Updating," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, volume 16, issue 1, pages 545-570, August, DOI: 10.1146/annurev-economics-100223-05.
- Inna S. Lola & Dmitry G. Asoskov, 2024, "Potential of business uncertainty indicators in forecasting economic activity: The case of Russia," Russian Journal of Economics, ARPHA Platform, volume 10, issue 4, pages 351-364, December, DOI: 10.32609/j.ruje.10.113578.
- Laura Gardini & Davide Radi & Noemi Schmitt & Iryna Sushko & Frank Westerhoff, 2024, "On the limits of informationally efficient stock markets: New insights from a chartist-fundamentalist model," Papers, arXiv.org, number 2410.21198, Oct.
- Conrad, Christian & Lahiri, Kajal, 2024, "Heterogeneous Expectations among Professional Forecasters," Working Papers, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics, number 0754, Oct.
- Etienne Briand & Massimiliano Marcellino & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2024, "Inflation, Attention and Expectations," Working Papers, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management, number 24-05, Dec, revised Dec 2024.
- Janet Hua Jiang & Rupal Kamdar & Kelin Lu & Daniela Puzzello, 2024, "How Do Households Respond to Expected Inflation? An Investigation of Transmission Mechanisms," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 24-44, Nov, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2024-44.
- Tao Wang, 2024, "How Do Agents Form Macroeconomic Expectations? Evidence from Inflation Uncertainty," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 24-5, Feb, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2024-5.
- Paolo Farroni & Jacopo Tozzo, 2024, "Bank beliefs and firm lending: evidence from Italian loan-level data," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1469, Nov.
- Ángelo Gutiérrez-Daza, 2024, "Business Cycles when Consumers Learn by Shopping," Working Papers, Banco de México, number 2024-12, Sep.
- Rashad Ahmed & Iñaki Aldasoro & Chanelle Duley, 2024, "Public information and stablecoin runs," BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 1164, Jan.
- Andres Sanchez-Jabba & Erick Villabon-Hinestroza, 2024, "The measure matters: differences in the passthrough of inflation expectations in Colombia," BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 1205, Aug.
- Yury Perevyshin, 2024, "Analysts' Inflation Expectations vs Univariate Models of Inflation Forecasting in the Russian Economy," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, volume 83, issue 2, pages 54-76, June.
- Vadim Grishchenko & Ivan Krylov, 2024, "New Approaches to Measuring, Analysing, and Forecasting Prices: A Review of the Bank of Russia, NES, and HSE University Workshop," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, volume 83, issue 2, pages 92-111, June.
- Alexander Reentovich, 2024, "Uncertain technical change, Bayesian learning and the Green Paradox," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series, Bank of Russia, number wps133, Aug.
- Lena Dräger & Michael J. Lamla, 2024, "Consumers' macroeconomic expectations," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, volume 38, issue 2, pages 427-451, April, DOI: 10.1111/joes.12590.
- Ernesto Reuben & Paola Sapienza & Luigi Zingales, 2024, "Overconfidence and Preferences for Competition," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, volume 79, issue 2, pages 1087-1121, April, DOI: 10.1111/jofi.13314.
- Olivier Dessaint & Thierry Foucault & Laurent Fresard, 2024, "Does Alternative Data Improve Financial Forecasting? The Horizon Effect," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, volume 79, issue 3, pages 2237-2287, June, DOI: 10.1111/jofi.13323.
- Knut Are Aastveit & Hilde C. Bjørnland & Jamie L. Cross & Helene Olsen, 2024, "Unveiling inflation: Oil Shocks, Supply Chain Pressures, and Expectations," Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School, number No 05/2024, Jul.
- Joris Wauters & Zivile Zekaite & Garo Garabedian, 2024, "Owner-occupied housing costs, policy communication, and inflation expectations," French Stata Users' Group Meetings 2024, Stata Users Group, number 11, Jun.
- Ivan Yotzov & Nicholas Bloom & Philip Bunn & Paul Mizen & Gregory Thwaites, 2024, "The speed of firm response to inflation," Bank of England working papers, Bank of England, number 1085, Aug.
- Andrea Alati & Johannes J Fischer & Maren Froemel & Ozgen Ozturk, 2024, "Firms’ sales expectations and marginal propensity to invest," Bank of England working papers, Bank of England, number 1087, Aug.
- Gabor Pinter & Emil Siriwardane & Danny Walker, 2024, "Fire sales of safe assets," Bank of England working papers, Bank of England, number 1089, Aug.
- Dario Bonciani & Riccardo M Masolo & Silvia Sarpietro, 2024, "How food prices shape inflation expectations and the monetary policy response," Bank of England working papers, Bank of England, number 1094, Oct.
- Prachi Srivastava & Nicholas Bloom & Philip Bunn & Paul Mizen & Gregory Thwaites & Ivan Yotzov, 2024, "Firm climate investment: a glass half-full," Bank of England working papers, Bank of England, number 1095, Oct.
- Lukas Kiessling & Pia Pinger & Philipp Seegers & Jan Bergerhoff, 2024, "Gender Differences in Wage Expectations and Negotiation," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany, number crctr224_2024_496, Jan.
- Peter Andre & Philipp Schirmer & Johannes Wohlfart, 2024, "Mental Models of the Stock Market," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany, number crctr224_2024_611, Nov.
- Galimberti Jaqueson K., 2024, "Initial Beliefs Uncertainty," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, volume 24, issue 1, pages 45-96, January, DOI: 10.1515/bejm-2023-0069.
- Borraz Fernando & Orlik Anna & Zacheo Laura, 2024, "Inflation Uncertainty from Firms’ Perspective, Overconfidence and Credibility of Monetary Policy," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, volume 24, issue 2, pages 853-882, DOI: 10.1515/bejm-2023-0161.
- Lenhard, Gregor, 2024, "Learning from the Past: The Role of Personal Experiences in Artificial Stock Markets," Working papers, Faculty of Business and Economics - University of Basel, number 2024/01, Mar.
- Wauters, Joris & Zekaite, Zivile & Garabedian, Garo, 2024, "Owner-occupied housing costs, policy communication, and inflation expectations," Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland, number 3/RT/24, May.
- Bucciol, Alessandro & Easaw, Joshy & Trucchi, Serena, 2024, "Household Income Expectations: The Role of Shocks and Aggregate Conditions," Cardiff Economics Working Papers, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, number E2024/7, Feb.
- Yuliya Rychalovska & Sergey Slobodyan & Raf Wouters, 2024, "Survey Expectations, Adaptive Learning and Inflation Dynamics," CERGE-EI Working Papers, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague, number wp781, May.
- Volha Audzei & Sergey Slobodyan, 2024, "Dynamic Sparse Restricted Perceptions Equilibria," CERGE-EI Working Papers, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague, number wp792, Oct.
- Yu Awaya & Kohei Iwasaki & Makoto Watanabe, 2024, "Money Is the Root of Asset Bubbles," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 10923.
- Alexandros Botsis & Christoph Görtz & Plutarchos Sakellaris, 2024, "Quantifying Qualitative Survey Data with Panel Data Structure," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 11013.
- Giang Nghiem & Lena Dräger & Ami Dalloul, 2024, "Anchoring Households’ Inflation Expectations When Inflation Is High," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 11042.
- Lena Dräger & Maximilian Floto & Marina Schröder, 2024, "Inflation Expectations and Economic Preferences," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 11326.
- Lukas Buchheim & Sebastian Link & Sascha Möhrle, 2024, "Inflation and Wage Expectations of Firms and Employees," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 11329.
- Christina Anderl & Guglielmo Maria Caporale, 2024, "Expectations and Speculation in the Natural Gas Markets," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 11341.
- Edgar Avalos & Jose Maria Barrero & Elwyn Davies & Leonardo Iacovone & Jesica Torres, 2024, "Business Uncertainty in Developing and Emerging Economies," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 11368.
- Philip Schnorpfeil & Michael Weber & Andreas Hackethal & Michael Weber, 2024, "Inflation and Trading," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 11580.
- Paula Patzelt & Ricardo Reis, 2024, "Estimating the rise in expected inflation from higher energy prices," Discussion Papers, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM), number 2411, Mar.
- Salomé Fofana & Paula Patzelt & Ricardo Reis, 2024, "Household Disagreement about Expected Inflation," Discussion Papers, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM), number 2418, Mar.
- Andrea Alati & Johannes J. Fischer & Maren Froemel & Ozgen Ozturk, 2024, "Firms’ Sales Expectations and Marginal Propensity to Invest," Discussion Papers, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM), number 2424, May.
- Ivan Yotzov & Nicholas Bloom & Philip Bunn & Paul Mizen & Gregory Thwaites, 2024, "The Speed of Firm Response to Inflation," Discussion Papers, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM), number 2425, May.
- Nikoleta Anesti & Vania Esady & Matthew Naylor, 2024, "Food prices matter most: Sensitive household inflation expectations," Discussion Papers, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM), number 2434, Aug.
- Hang Do & Kiet Duong & Toan Huynh & Nam T. Vu, 2024, "The Real Effects of Brexit on Labor Demand: Evidence from Firm-level Data," Working Papers, Queen Mary, University of London, School of Business and Management, Centre for Globalisation Research, number 117, Apr.
- Luca Gemmi & Roxana Mihet, 2024, "Household Belief Formation in Uncertain Times," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series, Swiss Finance Institute, number 24-20, Feb.
- Giuseppe Rose & Desiré De Luca, 2024, "Health Concerns And Consumption Expectations During Covid-19: Evidence From A Fuzzy Regression Discontinuity Design," Working Papers, Università della Calabria, Dipartimento di Economia, Statistica e Finanza "Giovanni Anania" - DESF, number 202401, Feb.
- Makoto WATANABE & Yu Awaya & kohei Iwasaki, 2024, "Money is the roof of asset bubbles," CIGS Working Paper Series, The Canon Institute for Global Studies, number 24-001E, Jan.
- Andersen, Steffen & Dimmock, Stephen & Meisner Nielsen, Kasper & Peijnenburg, Kim, 2024, "Extrapolators and Contrarians: Forecast Bias and Household Stock Trading," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 18810, Feb.
- Patzelt, Paula & Reis, Ricardo, 2024, "Estimating the rise in expected inflation from higher energy prices," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 18907, Mar.
- Fofana, Salomé & Patzelt, Paula & Reis, Ricardo, 2024, "Household Disagreement about Expected Inflation," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 18956, Mar.
- Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Yin, Xiao, 2024, "Higher-Order Beliefs and Risky Asset Holdings," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 19205, Jul.
- Andries, Marianne & Bianchi, Milo & Huynh, Karen & Pouget, Sebastien, 2024, "Return Predictability, Expectations, and Investment: Experimental Evidence," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 19239, Jul.
- Dario Bonciani & Riccardo Masolo & Sara Sarpietro, 2024, "How Food Prices Shape Inflation Expectations and the Monetary Policy Response," DISCE - Working Papers del Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Dipartimenti e Istituti di Scienze Economiche (DISCE), number def135, Oct.
- Alexandre Carrier & Kostas Mavromatis, 2024, "Optimal normalization policy under behavioral expectations," Working Papers, DNB, number 800, Feb.
- Daria Minina & Gabriele Galati & Richhild Moessner & Maarten van Rooij, 2024, "The effect of information on consumer inflation expectations," Working Papers, DNB, number 810, Apr.
- Bobeica, Elena & Paredes, Joan & Renault, Théodore & Rousseau, Flavie, 2024, "Selling price expectations for services: what do they tell us about consumer price pressures?," Economic Bulletin Boxes, European Central Bank, volume 5.
- Baptista, Pedro & Bates, Colm & Kouvavas, Omiros & Neves, Pedro & Werkmeister, Katia, 2024, "What consumers think is the main driver of recent inflation: changes in perceptions over time," Economic Bulletin Boxes, European Central Bank, volume 7.
- Allayioti, Anastasia & Arioli, Rodolfo & Bates, Colm & Botelho, Vasco & Fagandini, Bruno & Fonseca, Luís & Healy, Peter & Meyler, Aidan & Minasian, Ryan & Zahrt, Octavia, 2024, "A look back at 25 years of the ECB SPF," Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 364, Dec.
- Schnorpfeil, Philip & Weber, Michael & Hackethal, Andreas, 2024, "Households' response to the wealth effects of inflation," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2904, Feb.
- Kukavica, Anthony J. & Narayanan, Sridhar, 2024, "Rational and Irrational Belief in the Hot Hand: Evidence from "Jeopardy!"," Research Papers, Stanford University, Graduate School of Business, number 4229, Dec.
- Heinke, Steve & Olschewski, Sebastian & Rieskamp, Jörg, 2024, "Experiences, demand for risky investments, and implications for price dynamics," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, volume 43, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2024.100939.
- Dhami, Sanjit & Wei, Mengxing & Mamidi, Pavan, 2024, "Religious identity, trust, reciprocity, and prosociality: Theory and evidence," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, volume 166, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2023.103192.
- Granziera, Eleonora & Sihvonen, Markus, 2024, "Bonds, currencies and expectational errors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 158, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2023.104790.
- Duffy, John & Shin, Michael, 2024, "Heterogeneous experience and constant-gain learning," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 164, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104881.
- Campiglio, Emanuele & Lamperti, Francesco & Terranova, Roberta, 2024, "Believe me when I say green! Heterogeneous expectations and climate policy uncertainty," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 165, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104900.
- Botsis, Alexandros & Görtz, Christoph & Sakellaris, Plutarchos, 2024, "Quantifying qualitative survey data with panel data," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 167, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104929.
- Nasir, Muhammad Ali & Huynh, Toan Luu Duc, 2024, "Nexus between inflation and inflation expectations at the zero lower bound: A tiger by the tail," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 131, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2023.106601.
- Frache, Serafin & Lluberas, Rodrigo & Turen, Javier, 2024, "Belief-dependent pricing decisions," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 132, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2023.106630.
- Kirpson, Gerda & Staehr, Karsten, 2024, "Do individuals expect the Phillips curve? Evidence from the European Consumer Expectations Survey," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 234, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2023.111430.
- Zhao, Yongchen, 2024, "Uncertainty of household inflation expectations: Reconciling point and density forecasts," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 234, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2023.111486.
- Wang, Lunyi & Yang, Shiqi & Zhao, Sibo, 2024, "The momentum ambiguity and investor trading behavior," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 235, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2024.111533.
- Stanisławska, Ewa & Paloviita, Maritta, 2024, "Heterogeneous responsiveness of consumers’ medium-term inflation expectations," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 237, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2024.111629.
- Chang, Shih-Chung & Wang, Frank Yong, 2024, "Two-sided asymmetric information and convertible securities in venture financing," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 237, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2024.111635.
- Gründler, Daniel, 2024, "Does the inflation pass-through of gasoline price shocks depend on the level of inflation?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 243, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2024.111928.
- Zhu, Xinxin & Jiao, Peiran & Zong, Jichuan, 2024, "Beliefs and the equity home bias," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 244, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2024.111983.
- Wang, Lunyi & Wang, Yao & Zhang, Shunming, 2024, "Probability distortion and non-participation," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 244, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2024.111989.
- Kučerová, Zuzana & Pakši, Daniel & Koňařík, Vojtěch, 2024, "Macroeconomic fundamentals and attention: What drives european consumers’ inflation expectations?," Economic Systems, Elsevier, volume 48, issue 1, DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2023.101153.
- Doval, Laura & Skreta, Vasiliki, 2024, "Mechanism design with limited commitment: Markov environments," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 167, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2024.104777.
- Shahzad, Umer & Orsi, Bianca & Sharma, Gagan Deep, 2024, "Managing inflation expectations and the efficiency of monetary policy responses to energy crises," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 133, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2024.107474.
- Tanaka, Tetsuji & Guo, Jin & Wang, Xiufang, 2024, "Understanding the spillover effects of ethanol production and energy prices on African food markets: A time-varying approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 134, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2024.107583.
- Yoon, Beomseok & Filipski, Mateusz & Landry, Craig E. & Yoo, Seung Jick, 2024, "Endowment effects, expectations, and trading behavior in carbon cap and trade," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 139, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2024.107927.
- Obrimah, Oghenovo A., 2024, "A parsimonious analytically specified general equilibrium structure that spans discount rates," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 62, issue PB, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2024.105252.
- Ma, Yu & Liu, Hong & Yang, Qingshan, 2024, "Information acquisition, market professional and discretionary liquidity trading," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 68, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2024.106039.
- Wan, Junmin, 2024, "Bubble occurrence and landing," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, volume 70, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jfs.2023.101210.
- Blazquiz-Pulido, Juan Francisco & Polonio, Luca & Bilancini, Ennio, 2024, "Who's the deceiver? Identifying deceptive intentions in communication," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, volume 145, issue C, pages 451-466, DOI: 10.1016/j.geb.2024.02.006.
- Hossain, Tanjim & Okui, Ryo, 2024, "Belief formation under signal correlation," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, volume 146, issue C, pages 160-183, DOI: 10.1016/j.geb.2024.05.004.
- Brownback, Andy & Burke, Nathaniel & Gagnon-Bartsch, Tristan, 2024, "Inference from biased polls," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, volume 148, issue C, pages 449-486, DOI: 10.1016/j.geb.2024.10.007.
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- Licata, Carmelo & Méon, Pierre-Guillaume, 2024, "Attractiveness vs. Partisan stereotypes," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 219, issue C, pages 284-304, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2024.01.014.
- Aidala, Felix & Armantier, Olivier & Koşar, Gizem & Somerville, Jason & Topa, Giorgio & van der Klaauw, Wilbert, 2024, "Gasoline price changes and consumer inflation expectations: Experimental evidence," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 220, issue C, pages 66-80, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2024.01.027.
- Xiao, Wei, 2024, "Initial anchors and limited information in learning-to-forecast experiments," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 225, issue C, pages 192-227, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2024.06.038.
- Montes, Gabriel Caldas & do Nascimento Valladares, Matheus, 2024, "The effects of economic uncertainty and economic policy uncertainty on banks’ loan loss provision in Brazil," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, volume 131, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconbus.2024.106185.
- Chen, Heng & Li, Xu & Pei, Guangyu & Xin, Qian, 2024, "Heterogeneous overreaction in expectation formation: Evidence and theory," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, volume 218, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jet.2024.105839.
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- Guimaraes, Bernardo & Pannella, Pierluca, 2024, "Short-covering bubbles," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, volume 219, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jet.2024.105846.
- Citanna, A. & Tvede, M., 2024, "Do taxspots matter?," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, volume 220, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jet.2024.105884.
- Friberg, Richard & Goldstein, Itay & Hankins, Kristine W., 2024, "Corporate responses to stock price fragility," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, volume 153, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jfineco.2024.103795.
- Medina, J.P. & Mello, Miguel & Ponce, Jorge, 2024, "Heterogeneous inflation expectations: A call for customized monetary policy communication?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 149, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2024.103211.
- Osband, Kent & Filoso, Valerio & Capasso, Salvatore, 2024, "The limits of limitless debt," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 79, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2023.103567.
- Fan, John Hua & Fernandez-Perez, Adrian & Indriawan, Ivan & Todorova, Neda, 2024, "When Chinese mania meets global frenzy: Commodity price bubbles," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, volume 36, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jcomm.2024.100437.
- Cicognani, Simona & Romagnoli, Giorgia & Soraperra, Ivan, 2024, "Fostering trust: When the rhetoric of sharing can backfire," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, volume 102, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.joep.2024.102728.
- Caballero, Adrián & López-Pérez, Raúl, 2024, "Memory bias beyond ego: Selective recall of positive financial outcomes," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, volume 105, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.joep.2024.102771.
- Langenmayr, Dominika & Simmler, Martin, 2024, "JUE insight: Expectations about future tax rates and firm entry," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, volume 142, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2024.103666.
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- Gemmi, Luca, 2024, "Rational overoptimism and limited liability," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 143, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2023.11.002.
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- Hajdini, Ina & Knotek, Edward S. & Leer, John & Pedemonte, Mathieu & Rich, Robert & Schoenle, Raphael, 2024, "Indirect consumer inflation expectations: Theory and evidence," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 145, issue S, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2024.103568.
- Crump, Richard K. & Eusepi, Stefano & Giannoni, Marc & Şahin, Ayşegül, 2024, "The unemployment–inflation trade-off revisited: The Phillips curve in COVID times," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 145, issue S, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2024.103580.
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- Giang Nghiem & Lena Drager & Ami Dalloul, 2024, "Anchoring Households' Inflation Expectations when Inflation is High," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2024-70, Dec.
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- Yeji Sung, 2025, "Macroeconomic Expectations and Cognitive Noise," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2024-19, May, DOI: 10.24148/wp2024-19.
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- Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Aysegul Sahin, 2024, "Expectations and the Final Mile of Disinflation," Liberty Street Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 20240305, Mar.
- Olivier Armantier & Gizem Koşar & Giorgio Topa & Wilbert Van der Klaauw, 2024, "The Survey of Consumer Expectations: A Look Back at the Past Decade," Liberty Street Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 20240416, Apr.
- Felix Aidala & Gizem Koşar & Wilbert Van der Klaauw, 2024, "The Post‑Pandemic Shift in Retirement Expectations in the U.S," Liberty Street Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 20240509, May.
- Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Marc Giannoni & Aysegul Sahin, 2024, "The Unemployment-Inflation Trade-off Revisited: The Phillips Curve in COVID Times," Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 1086, Mar, DOI: 10.59576/sr.1086.
- Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Emanuel Moench, 2024, "Is There Hope for the Expectations Hypothesis?," Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 1098, Apr, DOI: 10.59576/sr.1098.
- Anton Suvorov & Jeroen van de Ven & Marie Claire Villeval, 2024, "Selective Information Sharing and Group Delusion," Working Papers, Groupe d'Analyse et de Théorie Economique Lyon St-Étienne (GATE Lyon St-Étienne), Université de Lyon, number 2405.
- Marianne Andries & Milo Bianchi & Karen Huynh & Sébastien Pouget, 2024, "Return Predictability, Expectations, and Investment: Experimental Evidence," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-04680777, Aug.
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