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Likelihood inference for discretely observed non-linear diffusions

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Cited by:

  1. Bauwens, Luc & Rombouts, Jeroen V.K., 2012. "On marginal likelihood computation in change-point models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(11), pages 3415-3429.
  2. Jensen, Mark J. & Maheu, John M., 2010. "Bayesian semiparametric stochastic volatility modeling," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 157(2), pages 306-316, August.
  3. Ruijun Bu & Fredj Jawadi & Yuyi Li, 2020. "A multifactor transformed diffusion model with applications to VIX and VIX futures," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(1), pages 27-53, January.
  4. Lüders, Erik, 2002. "Why Are Asset Returns Predictable?," ZEW Discussion Papers 02-48, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
  5. Jun Yu & Peter C. B. Phillips, 2001. "A Gaussian approach for continuous time models of the short-term interest rate," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 4(2), pages 1-3.
  6. Andersen, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim & Christoffersen, Peter F. & Diebold, Francis X., 2006. "Volatility and Correlation Forecasting," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 15, pages 777-878, Elsevier.
  7. Dennis Kristensen, 2004. "A Semiparametric Single-Factor Model of the Term Structure," FMG Discussion Papers dp501, Financial Markets Group.
  8. repec:wyi:journl:002118 is not listed on IDEAS
  9. Hong, Yongmiao & Lin, Hai & Wang, Shouyang, 2010. "Modeling the dynamics of Chinese spot interest rates," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(5), pages 1047-1061, May.
  10. Isambi Mbalawata & Simo Särkkä & Heikki Haario, 2013. "Parameter estimation in stochastic differential equations with Markov chain Monte Carlo and non-linear Kalman filtering," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 28(3), pages 1195-1223, June.
  11. Yun, Jaeho, 2014. "Out-of-sample density forecasts with affine jump diffusion models," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 74-87.
  12. Wichitaksorn, Nuttanan & Tsurumi, Hiroki, 2013. "Comparison of MCMC algorithms for the estimation of Tobit model with non-normal error: The case of asymmetric Laplace distribution," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 226-235.
  13. Peter C. B. Phillips & Jun Yu, 2006. "A Two-Stage Realized Volatility Approach to Estimation of Diffusion Processes with Discrete," Macroeconomics Working Papers 22472, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
  14. Kristensen, Dennis, 2010. "Pseudo-maximum likelihood estimation in two classes of semiparametric diffusion models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 156(2), pages 239-259, June.
  15. Xiaohong Chen & Yanqin Fan, 2002. "Evaluating Density Forecasts via the Copula Approach," Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers 0225, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics, revised Sep 2003.
  16. Altissimo, Filippo & Mele, Antonio, 2005. "Simulated nonparametric estimation of dynamic models with applications to finance," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 24658, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  17. Ole Barndorff-Nielsen & Elisa Nicolato & Neil Shephard, 2002. "Some recent developments in stochastic volatility modelling," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 2(1), pages 11-23.
  18. Comte, F. & Genon-Catalot, V. & Rozenholc, Y., 2009. "Nonparametric adaptive estimation for integrated diffusions," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 119(3), pages 811-834, March.
  19. Aliu, A. Hassan & Abiodun A. A. & Ipinyomi R.A., 2017. "Statistical Inference for Discretely Observed Diffusion Epidemic Models," International Journal of Mathematics Research, Conscientia Beam, vol. 6(1), pages 29-35.
  20. Maneesoonthorn, Worapree & Martin, Gael M. & Forbes, Catherine S. & Grose, Simone D., 2012. "Probabilistic forecasts of volatility and its risk premia," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 171(2), pages 217-236.
  21. Philip Gray, 2005. "Bayesian Estimation of Short-Rate Models," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 30(1), pages 1-22, June.
  22. Bernd Wilfling, 2003. "Interest Rate Volatility Prior to Monetary Union under Alternative Pre-Switch Regimes," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 4, pages 433-457, November.
  23. Carrasco, Marine & Chernov, Mikhaël & Florens, Jean-Pierre & Ghysels, Eric, 2000. "Efficient Estimation of Jump Diffusions and General Dynamic Models with a Continuum of Moment Conditions," IDEI Working Papers 116, Institut d'Économie Industrielle (IDEI), Toulouse, revised 2002.
  24. Seungmoon Choi, 2011. "Closed-Form Likelihood Expansions for Multivariate Time-Inhomogeneous Diffusions," School of Economics and Public Policy Working Papers 2011-26, University of Adelaide, School of Economics and Public Policy.
  25. Sanford, Andrew D. & Martin, Gael M., 2005. "Simulation-based Bayesian estimation of an affine term structure model," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 49(2), pages 527-554, April.
  26. Wang, Xiaohu & Xiao, Weilin & Yu, Jun, 2023. "Modeling and forecasting realized volatility with the fractional Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 232(2), pages 389-415.
  27. John Stachurski & Vance Martin, 2008. "Computing the Distributions of Economic Models via Simulation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 76(2), pages 443-450, March.
  28. A. Hurn & J. Jeisman & K. Lindsay, 2007. "Teaching an Old Dog New Tricks: Improved Estimation of the Parameters of Stochastic Differential Equations by Numerical Solution of the Fokker-Planck Equation," NCER Working Paper Series 9, National Centre for Econometric Research.
  29. Kalogeropoulos, Konstantinos & Roberts, Gareth O. & Dellaportas, Petros, 2007. "Inference for stochastic volatility model using time change transformations," MPRA Paper 5697, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  30. Kam Fong Chan, 2005. "Modelling conditional heteroscedasticity and jumps in Australian short‐term interest rates," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 45(4), pages 537-551, December.
  31. Meddahi, Nour & Renault, Eric, 2004. "Temporal aggregation of volatility models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 119(2), pages 355-379, April.
  32. Peter C. B. Phillips & Jun Yu, 2005. "Comments on “A selective overview of nonparametric methods in financial econometricsâ€Â," Finance Working Papers 22469, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
  33. Neil Shephard & Siddhartha Chib, 1998. "Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods for Generalized Stochastic Volatility Models," Economics Series Working Papers 1998-W21, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
  34. Choi, Seungmoon, 2013. "Closed-form likelihood expansions for multivariate time-inhomogeneous diffusions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 174(2), pages 45-65.
  35. Justin Sirignano & Konstantinos Spiliopoulos, 2017. "Stochastic Gradient Descent in Continuous Time: A Central Limit Theorem," Papers 1710.04273, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2019.
  36. Bernd Wilfling, 2003. "Interest Rate Volatility Prior to Monetary Union under Alternative Pre‐Switch Regimes," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 4(4), pages 433-457, November.
  37. Torben G. Andersen & Luca Benzoni & Jesper Lund, 2002. "An Empirical Investigation of Continuous‐Time Equity Return Models," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 57(3), pages 1239-1284, June.
  38. Nils Bertschinger & Oliver Pfante, 2015. "Inferring Volatility in the Heston Model and its Relatives -- an Information Theoretical Approach," Papers 1512.08381, arXiv.org.
  39. Andrew D. Sanford & Gael Martin, 2004. "Bayesian Analysis of Continuous Time Models of the Australian Short Rate," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 11/04, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  40. Franke, Günter & Lüders, Erik, 2004. "Why Do Asset Prices Not Follow Random Walks?," CoFE Discussion Papers 04/05, University of Konstanz, Center of Finance and Econometrics (CoFE).
  41. Omori, Yasuhiro & Chib, Siddhartha & Shephard, Neil & Nakajima, Jouchi, 2007. "Stochastic volatility with leverage: Fast and efficient likelihood inference," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 140(2), pages 425-449, October.
  42. Peter C.B.Phillips & Jun Yu, "undated". "Maximum Likelihood and Gaussian Estimation of Continuous Time Models in Finance," Working Papers CoFie-08-2009, Singapore Management University, Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics.
  43. Christopher S. Jones, 2003. "Nonlinear Mean Reversion in the Short-Term Interest Rate," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 16(3), pages 793-843, July.
  44. Mark Trede & Bernd Wilfling, 2007. "Estimating exchange rate dynamics with diffusion processes: an application to Greek EMU data," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 33(1), pages 23-39, July.
  45. Y.K. Tse & Xibin Zhang & Jun Yu, 2002. "Estimation of Hyperbolic Diffusion Using MCMC Method," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 18/02, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  46. Bu, Ruijun & Cheng, Jie & Hadri, Kaddour, 2016. "Reducible diffusions with time-varying transformations with application to short-term interest rates," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PA), pages 266-277.
  47. Yu, Jun, 2012. "Bias in the estimation of the mean reversion parameter in continuous time models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 169(1), pages 114-122.
  48. repec:wyi:journl:002108 is not listed on IDEAS
  49. Kalogeropoulos, Konstantinos, 2007. "Likelihood-based inference for a class of multivariate diffusions with unobserved paths," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 31423, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  50. Dennis Kristensen & Young Jun Lee & Antonio Mele, 2023. "Closed-form approximations of moments and densities of continuous-time Markov models," Papers 2308.09009, arXiv.org.
  51. Bandi, Federico M. & Phillips, Peter C.B., 2007. "A simple approach to the parametric estimation of potentially nonstationary diffusions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 137(2), pages 354-395, April.
  52. Calvet, Laurent E. & Fisher, Adlai J. & Thompson, Samuel B., 2006. "Volatility comovement: a multifrequency approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 131(1-2), pages 179-215.
  53. Bakshi, Gurdip & Ju, Nengjiu & Ou-Yang, Hui, 2006. "Estimation of continuous-time models with an application to equity volatility dynamics," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 82(1), pages 227-249, October.
  54. Czellar, Veronika & Karolyi, G. Andrew & Ronchetti, Elvezio, 2007. "Indirect robust estimation of the short-term interest rate process," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 14(4), pages 546-563, September.
  55. Kristensen, Dennis & Shin, Yongseok, 2012. "Estimation of dynamic models with nonparametric simulated maximum likelihood," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 167(1), pages 76-94.
  56. Siddhartha Chib & Neil Shephard, 2001. "Comment on Garland B. Durham and A. Ronald Gallant's "Numerical techniques for maximum likelihood estimation of continuous-time diffusion processes"," Economics Papers 2001-W26, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
  57. Pastorello, S. & Rossi, E., 2010. "Efficient importance sampling maximum likelihood estimation of stochastic differential equations," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 54(11), pages 2753-2762, November.
  58. Yasuhiro Omori & Siddhartha Chib & Neil Shephard & Jouchi Nakajima, 2004. "Stochastic volatility with leverage: fast likelihood inference," Economics Papers 2004-W19, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
  59. Yuan Shen & Dan Cornford & Manfred Opper & Cedric Archambeau, 2012. "Variational Markov chain Monte Carlo for Bayesian smoothing of non-linear diffusions," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 27(1), pages 149-176, March.
  60. Kleppe, Tore Selland & Yu, Jun & Skaug, Hans J., 2014. "Maximum likelihood estimation of partially observed diffusion models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 180(1), pages 73-80.
  61. Altissimo, Filippo & Mele, Antonio, 2004. "Simulated nonparametric estimation of continuous time models of asset prices and returns," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 24674, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  62. Leah Kelly, 2004. "Inference and Intraday Analysis of Diversified World Stock Indices," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 24, July-Dece.
  63. Marcos Massaki Abe & Eui Jung Chang & Benjamin Miranda Tabak, 2007. "Forecasting Exchange Rate Density Using Parametric Models: the Case of Brazil," Brazilian Review of Finance, Brazilian Society of Finance, vol. 5(1), pages 29-39.
  64. Yu, Jun, 2014. "Econometric Analysis Of Continuous Time Models: A Survey Of Peter Phillips’S Work And Some New Results," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 30(4), pages 737-774, August.
  65. Zhao-Hua Lu & Sy-Miin Chow & Nilam Ram & Pamela M. Cole, 2019. "Zero-Inflated Regime-Switching Stochastic Differential Equation Models for Highly Unbalanced Multivariate, Multi-Subject Time-Series Data," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 84(2), pages 611-645, June.
  66. Chernov, Mikhail & Ronald Gallant, A. & Ghysels, Eric & Tauchen, George, 2003. "Alternative models for stock price dynamics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 116(1-2), pages 225-257.
  67. Michael Smith & Andrew Pitts, 2006. "Foreign Exchange Intervention by the Bank of Japan: Bayesian Analysis Using a Bivariate Stochastic Volatility Model," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(2-3), pages 425-451.
  68. Theodore Simos & Mike Tsionas, 2018. "Bayesian inference of the fractional Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process under a flow sampling scheme," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 33(4), pages 1687-1713, December.
  69. Cheng, Ai-ru (Meg) & Gallant, A. Ronald & Ji, Chuanshu & Lee, Beom S., 2008. "A Gaussian approximation scheme for computation of option prices in stochastic volatility models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 146(1), pages 44-58, September.
  70. James Hamilton, 2000. "Book review," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(1), pages 135-137.
  71. Catherine S. Forbes & Gael M. Martin & Jill Wright, 2007. "Inference for a Class of Stochastic Volatility Models Using Option and Spot Prices: Application of a Bivariate Kalman Filter," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(2-4), pages 387-418.
  72. Ole E. Barndorff‐Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2002. "Econometric analysis of realized volatility and its use in estimating stochastic volatility models," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 64(2), pages 253-280, May.
  73. Golightly, A. & Wilkinson, D.J., 2008. "Bayesian inference for nonlinear multivariate diffusion models observed with error," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(3), pages 1674-1693, January.
  74. Yu, Jialin, 2007. "Closed-form likelihood approximation and estimation of jump-diffusions with an application to the realignment risk of the Chinese Yuan," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 141(2), pages 1245-1280, December.
  75. Chiarella, Carl & Hung, Hing & T, Thuy-Duong, 2009. "The volatility structure of the fixed income market under the HJM framework: A nonlinear filtering approach," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 53(6), pages 2075-2088, April.
  76. Ole Barndorff-Nielsen & Elisa Nicolato & Neil Shephard, 2002. "Some recent developments in stochastic volatility modelling," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 2(1), pages 11-23.
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