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Good mine, bad mine: Natural resource heterogeneity and Dutch disease in Indonesia

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  • Paul Pelzl

    (Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam)

  • Steven (S.) Poelhekke

    (Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, De Nederlandsche Bank)

Abstract

We analyse the local effect of exogenous shocks to the value of mineral deposits at the district level in Indonesia using a panel of manufacturing plants. To the best of our knowledge, we are the first to model and estimate the effect of heterogeneity in natural resource extraction methods. We find that in areas where mineral extraction is relatively capital-intensive, mining booms cause virtually no upward pressure on manufacturing earnings per worker, and both producers of traded and local goods benefit from mining booms in terms of employment. In contrast, labour-intensive mining booms drive up local manufacturing wages such that producers of traded goods reduce employment. This source of heterogeneity helps to explain the mixed evidence for `Dutch disease' effects in the literature. In addition, we find no evidence that fiscal revenue sharing between sub-national districts leads to any spillovers.

Suggested Citation

  • Paul Pelzl & Steven (S.) Poelhekke, 2018. "Good mine, bad mine: Natural resource heterogeneity and Dutch disease in Indonesia," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 18-073/VIII, Tinbergen Institute.
  • Handle: RePEc:tin:wpaper:20180073
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    3. Gianmarco I. P. Ottaviano & Davide Suverato, 2024. "Fantastic beasts and where to find them," CEP Discussion Papers dp1989, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
    4. Nicolas Berman & Mathieu Couttenier & Victoire Girard, 2023. "Mineral Resources and the Salience of Ethnic Identities," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 133(653), pages 1705-1737.
    5. Rodríguez-Puello, Gabriel & Rickardsson, Jonna, 2024. "Spatial Diffusion of Economic Shocks in the Labor Market: Evidence from a Mining Boom and Bust," OSF Preprints tzmf2, Center for Open Science.
    6. Gao, Zhiyuan & Zhang, Yahui & Li, Lianqing & Hao, Yu, 2024. "Will resource tax reform raise green total factor productivity levels in cities? Evidence from 114 resource-based cities in China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
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    8. Coulibaly, Massa & Foltz, Jeremy & Parker, Dominic & Olurotimi, Osaretin & Traoré, Nouhoum, 2024. "The effects of mining on local poverty in developing countries: Evidence from Mali," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
    9. Missbach, Leonard & Steckel, Jan Christoph & Renner, Sebastian & Kraus, Sebastian, 2024. "Coal-fired power plants and industrial development," EconStor Preprints 300209, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    10. Ze, Fu & Yu, Wence & Ali, Anis & Hishan, Sanil S. & Muda, Iskandar & Khudoykulov, Khurshid, 2023. "Influence of natural resources, ICT, and financial globalization on economic growth: Evidence from G10 countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    11. Almutairi, Najla Tharman, 2022. "Does oil wealth matter to female labour force participation: New evidence from the oil-intensive economy of Saudi Arabia," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    12. Brehm, Margaret E. & Brehm, Paul A. & Cassidy, Alecia & Cassidy, Traviss, 2024. "Resource Extraction, Revenue Sharing, and Growth," MPRA Paper 121428, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Mariano Kulish & James Morley & Nadine Yamout & Francesco Zanetti, 2023. "Dutch Disease, Unemployment and Structural Change," CAMA Working Papers 2023-38, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    14. Zhang, Haoran, 2023. "Coal busts and urban recovery: Evidence from China," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Dutch disease; natural resources; mining; labour intensity; Indonesia;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • L16 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - Industrial Organization and Macroeconomics; Macroeconomic Industrial Structure
    • L72 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Primary Products and Construction - - - Mining, Extraction, and Refining: Other Nonrenewable Resources
    • O12 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Microeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products
    • Q30 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation - - - General

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