This file is part of IDEAS , which uses RePEc data
[ Papers |
Articles |
Software |
Books |
Chapters |
Authors |
Institutions |
JEL Classification |
NEP reports |
Search |
New papers by email |
Author registration |
Rankings |
Volunteers |
FAQ |
Blog |
Help! ]
Citations for "The Generalized Dynamic Factor Model: One-Sided Estimation and Forecasting" by Forni M. & Hallin M.
For a complete description of this item, click here .
Cited by (explanations , Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.): Lucia Alessi & Matteo Barigozzi & Marco Capasso, 2008.
"A review of nonfundamentalness and identification in structural VAR models ,"
Working Paper Series
922, European Central Bank.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Anindya Banerjee & Massimiliano Marcellino & Igor Masten, 2009.
"Forecasting with Factor-Augmented Error Correction Models ,"
Discussion Papers
09-06, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Kuzin, Vladimir & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Schumacher, Christian, 2009.
"Pooling versus model selection for nowcasting with many predictors: an application to German GDP ,"
Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies
2009,03, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Bušs, Ginters, 2009.
"Comparing forecasts of Latvia's GDP using simple seasonal ARIMA models and direct versus indirect approach ,"
MPRA Paper
16684, University Library of Munich, Germany.
[Downloadable!]
Massimiliano Marcellino & Christian Schumacher, 2008.
"Factor-MIDAS for Now- and Forecasting with Ragged-Edge Data: A Model Comparison for German GDP1 ,"
Working Papers
333, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Massimiliano Marcellino & Christian Schumacher, 2008.
"Factor-MIDAS for Now- and Forecasting with Ragged-Edge Data: A Model Comparison for German GDP ,"
Economics Working Papers
ECO2008/16, European University Institute.
[Downloadable!] Marcellino, Massimiliano & Schumacher, Christian, 2007.
"Factor-MIDAS for now- and forecasting with ragged-edge data: a model comparison for German GDP ,"
Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies
2007,34, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre.
[Downloadable!] Marcellino, Massimiliano & Schumacher, Christian, 2008.
"Factor-MIDAS for now- and forecasting with ragged-edge data: A model comparison for German GDP ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
6708, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Anindya Banerjee & Massimiliano Marcellino & Igor Masten, 2008.
"Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Diffusion Indexes in Short Samples with Structural Change ,"
Economics Working Papers
ECO2008/17, European University Institute.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Banerjee, Anindya & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Masten, Igor, 2008.
"Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Diffusion Indexes in Short Samples with Structural Change ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
6706, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Anindya Banerjee & Massimiliano Marcellino & Igor Masten, 2008.
"Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Diffusion Indexes in Short Samples with Structural Change ,"
Working Papers
334, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
[Downloadable!] Inoue, Atsushi & Kilian, Lutz, 2005.
"How Useful is Bagging in Forecasting Economic Time Series? A Case Study of US CPI Inflation ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
5304, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Christian Schulz, 2007.
"Forecasting economic growth for Estonia : application of common factor methodologies ,"
Bank of Estonia Working Papers
2007-09, Bank of Estonia, revised 04 Sep 2007.
[Downloadable!]
Ziegler, Christina & Eickmeier, Sandra, 2006.
"How good are dynamic factor models at forecasting output and inflation? A meta-analytic approach ,"
Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies
2006,42, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre.
[Downloadable!]
Matteo Barigozzi & Marco Capasso, 2007.
"A Multivariate Perspective for Modeling and Forecasting Inflation's Conditional Mean and Variance ,"
LEM Papers Series
2007/21, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
[Downloadable!]
Marco Del Negro & Christopher Otrok, 2008.
"Dynamic factor models with time-varying parameters: measuring changes in international business cycles ,"
Staff Reports
326, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
[Downloadable!]
Riccardo Cristadoro & Fabrizio Venditti & Giuseppe Saporito, 2008.
"Forecasting inflation and tracking monetary policy in the euro area - does national information help? ,"
Working Paper Series
900, European Central Bank.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: William T. Gavin & Kevin L. Kliesen, 2008.
"Forecasting inflation and output: comparing data-rich models with simple rules ,"
Review ,
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue May, pages 175-192.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Xavier Boutin & Lionel Janin, 2008.
"Are Prices Really Affected by Mergers? ,"
Documents de Travail de la DESE - Working Papers of the DESE
2008-08, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques, D3E, revised Jul 2008.
[Downloadable!]
Eickmeier, Sandra, 2004.
"Business Cycle Transmission from the US to Germany : a Structural Factor Approach ,"
Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies
2004,12, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Christian Schulz, 2008.
"Forecasting economic activity for Estonia : The application of dynamic principal component analyses ,"
Bank of Estonia Working Papers
2008-02, Bank of Estonia, revised 30 Oct 2008.
[Downloadable!]
María Elsa Correal & Daniel Peña, 2008.
"Modelo factorial dinámico threshold ,"
Revista Colombiana de Estadística ,
REVISTA COLOMBIANA DE ESTADISTICA.
[Downloadable!]
Camacho, Maximo & Pérez-Quirós, Gabriel & Sáiz Matute, Lorena, 2005.
"Are European Business Cycles Close Enough to be Just One? ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
4824, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
Maximo Camacho & Gabriel Perez-Quiros, 2004.
"Are European business cycles close enough to be just one? ,"
Computing in Economics and Finance 2004
16, Society for Computational Economics.
[Downloadable!] Máximo Camacho & Gabriel Pérez-Quirós & Lorena Saiz, 2004.
"Are european business cycles close enough to be just one? ,"
Banco de España Working Papers
0408, Banco de España.
[Downloadable!] Camacho, Maximo & Perez-Quiros, Gabriel & Saiz, Lorena, 2006.
"Are European business cycles close enough to be just one? ,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control ,
Elsevier, vol. 30(9-10), pages 1687-1706.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Christophe Van Nieuwenhuyze, 2006.
"A generalised dynamic factor model for the Belgian economy - Useful business cycle indicators and GDP growth forecasts ,"
Research series
200603-2, National Bank of Belgium.
[Downloadable!]
Bork, Lasse, 2009.
"Estimating US Monetary Policy Shocks Using a Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregression: An EM Algorithm Approach ,"
Finance Research Group Working Papers
F-2009-03, University of Aarhus, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies.
[Downloadable!]
Marc Hallin & Charles Mathias & Hugues Pirotte & David Veredas, 2009.
"Market Liquidity as Dynamic Factors ,"
ECARES Working Papers
2009_004, Université Libre de Bruxelles, Ecares.
[Downloadable!]
Lasse Bork, 2009.
"Estimating US Monetary Policy Shocks Using a Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregression: An EM Algorithm Approach ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2009-11, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!]
Stéphane Dées & Matthias Burgert, 2008.
"Forecasting world trade. Direct versus "bottom-up" approaches ,"
Working Paper Series
882, European Central Bank.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Massimiliano Marcellino & George Kapetanios, 2006.
"The Role of Search Frictions and Bargaining for Inflation Dynamics ,"
Working Papers
305, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
[Downloadable!]
Nii Ayi Armah & Norman R. Swanson, 2008.
"Seeing inside the black box: Using diffusion index methodology to construct factor proxies in large scale macroeconomic time series environments ,"
Working Papers
08-25, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
[Downloadable!]
D'Agostino, Antonello & Giannone, Domenico, 2006.
"Comparing Alternative Predictors Based on Large-Panel Factor Models ,"
Research Technical Papers
14/RT/06, Central Bank & Financial Services Authority of Ireland (CBFSAI).
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: A.H.J. den Reijer, 2005.
"Forecasting Dutch GDP using Large Scale Factor Models ,"
DNB Working Papers
028, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
[Downloadable!]
Marc Hallin & Roman Liska, 2008.
"Dynamic Factors in the Presence of Block Structure ,"
ECARES Working Papers
2008_012, Université Libre de Bruxelles, Ecares.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Mario Forni & Domenico Giannone & Marco Lippi & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2008.
"Opening the Black Box: Structural Factor Models with Large Cross-Sections ,"
ECARES Working Papers
2008_036, Université Libre de Bruxelles, Ecares.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Mario Forni & Domenico Giannone & Marco Lippi & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2007.
"Opening the black box - structural factor models with large gross-sections ,"
Working Paper Series
712, European Central Bank.
[Downloadable!] Mario Forni & Domenico Giannone & Marco Lippi & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2007.
"Opening the Black Box: Structural Factor Models with Large Cross-Sections ,"
Center for Economic Research (RECent)
008, University of Modena and Reggio E., Dept. of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Forni, Mario & Giannone, Domenico & Lippi, Marco & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2009.
"Opening The Black Box: Structural Factor Models With Large Cross Sections ,"
Econometric Theory ,
Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(05), pages 1319-1347, October.
[Downloadable!] Calista Cheung & Frédérick Demers, 2007.
"Evaluating Forecasts from Factor Models for Canadian GDP Growth and Core Inflation ,"
Working Papers
07-8, Bank of Canada.
[Downloadable!]
Dreger, Christian & Schumacher, Christian, 2002.
"Estimating Large-Scale Factor Models for Economic Activity in Germany: Do They Outperform Simpler Models? ,"
Discussion Paper Series
26321, Hamburg Institute of International Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Mario Forni & Luca Gambetti, 2008.
"The dynamic eects of monetary policy: A structural factor model approach ,"
Center for Economic Research (RECent)
026, University of Modena and Reggio E., Dept. of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Cristadoro, Riccardo & Forni, Mario & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Veronese, Giovanni, 2001.
"A Core Inflation Index for the Euro Area ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
3097, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Mario Forni & Filippo Altissimo & Riccardo Cristadoro & Marco Lippi & Giovanni Veronese., 2008.
"New Eurocoin: Tracking Economic Growth in Real Time ,"
Center for Economic Research (RECent)
020, University of Modena and Reggio E., Dept. of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Filippo Altissimo & Riccardo Cristadoro & Mario Forni & Marco Lippi & Giovanni Veronese, 2007.
"New Eurocoin: Tracking Economic Growth in Real Time ,"
Temi di discussione (Economic working papers)
631, Bank of Italy, Economic Research Department.
[Downloadable!] Altissimo, Filippo & Cristadoro, Riccardo & Forni, Mario & Lippi, Marco & Veronese, Giovanni, 2006.
"New EuroCOIN: Tracking Economic Growth in Real Time ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
5633, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Christian Gillitzer & Jonathan Kearns & Anthony Richards, 2005.
"The Australian Business Cycle: A Coincident Indicator Approach ,"
RBA Research Discussion Papers
rdp2005-07, Reserve Bank of Australia.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Abdullah Al-Hassan, 2009.
"A Coincident Indicator of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) Business Cycle ,"
IMF Working Papers
09/73, International Monetary Fund.
[Downloadable!]
Forni, Mario & Lippi, Marco & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2003.
"Opening the Black Box: Structural Factor Models versus Structural VARs ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
4133, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Pesaran, M.H. & Pick, A. & Timmermann, A., 2009.
"Variable Selection and Inference for Multi-period Forecasting Problems ,"
Cambridge Working Papers in Economics
0901, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Heather Anderson & Fashid Vahid, 2005.
"Forecasting the Volatility of Australian Stock Returns: Do Common Factors Help? ,"
ANUCBE School of Economics Working Papers
2005-451, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Andreas Fischer & Marlene Amstad, 2004.
"Sequential Information Flow and Real-Time Diagnosis of Swiss Inflation: Intra-Monthly DCF Estimates for a Low-Inflation Environment ,"
Working Papers
04.06, Swiss National Bank, Study Center Gerzensee.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Lucia Alessi & Matteo Barigozzi & Marco Capasso, 2008.
"A robust criterion for determining the number of static factors in approximate factor models ,"
Working Paper Series
903, European Central Bank.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Filippo Altissimo & Benoît Mojon & Paolo Zaffaroni, 2007.
"Fast micro und slow macro: can aggregation explain the persistence of inflation? ,"
Working Paper Series
729, European Central Bank.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Lima, Luiz Renato Regis de Oliveira & Issler, João Victor, 2008.
"A Panel Data Approach to Economic Forecasting: The Bias-Corrected Average Forecast ,"
Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE)
668, Graduate School of Economics, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil).
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Issler, João Victor & Lima, Luiz Renato Regis de Oliveira, 2007.
"A Panel Data Approach to Economic Forecasting: The Bias-Corrected Average Forecast ,"
Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE)
642, Graduate School of Economics, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil).
[Downloadable!] Lima, Luiz Renato Regis de Oliveira & Issler, João Victor, 2007.
"A Panel Data Approach to Economic Forecasting: The Bias-Corrected Average Forecast ,"
Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE)
650, Graduate School of Economics, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil).
[Downloadable!] Issler, João Victor & Lima, Luiz Renato, 2009.
"A panel data approach to economic forecasting: The bias-corrected average forecast ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 152(2), pages 153-164, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) David F. Hendry & Kirstin Hubrich, 2006.
"Forecasting economic aggregates by disaggregates ,"
Working Paper Series
589, European Central Bank.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Sonali Das & Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi, 2008.
"Could We Have Predicted The Recent Downturn In The South African Housing Market? ,"
Working Papers
200831, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
Ard den Reijer, 2007.
"Identifying Regional and Sectoral Dynamics of the Dutch Staffing Labour Cycle ,"
DNB Working Papers
153, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
[Downloadable!]
Eklund, Jana & Karlsson, Sune, 2007.
"An Embarrassment of Riches: Forecasting Using Large Panels ,"
Working Papers
2007:1, Örebro University, Swedish Business School.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: D'Agostino, Antonello & McQuinn, Kieran & O'Brien, Derry, 2008.
"Now-casting Irish GDP ,"
Research Technical Papers
9/RT/08, Central Bank & Financial Services Authority of Ireland (CBFSAI).
[Downloadable!]
Konstantin A. Kholodilin & Boriss Siliverstovs, 2005.
"On the Forecasting Properties of the Alternative Leading Indicators for the German GDP: Recent Evidence ,"
Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin
522, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Michele Modugno & Kleopatra Nikolaou, 2009.
"The forecasting power of international yield curve linkages ,"
Working Paper Series
1044, European Central Bank.
[Downloadable!]
Emanuel Mönch, 2005.
"Forecasting the yield curve in a data-rich environment - a no-arbitrage factor-augmented VAR approach ,"
Working Paper Series
544, European Central Bank.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi, 2008.
"Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Large Datasets: Dynamic Factor Model versus Large-Scale BVARs ,"
Working Papers
200816, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Jon Faust & Jonathan H. Wright, 2007.
"Comparing Greenbook and Reduced Form Forecasts using a Large Realtime Dataset ,"
NBER Working Papers
13397, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Stephen M. Miller, 2009.
"Using Large Data Sets to Forecast Housing Prices: A Case Study of Twenty US States ,"
Working papers
2009-13, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Andrea Carriero & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2007.
"Monitoring the Economy of the Euro Area: A Comparison of Composite Coincident Indexes ,"
Working Papers
319, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
[Downloadable!]
Romain Houssa, 2004.
"Monetary Union in West Africa and Asymmetric Shocks: A Dynamic Structural Factor Model Approach ,"
Development and Comp Systems
0409063, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!]
Jan J. J. Groen & George Kapetanios, 2008.
"Revisiting useful approaches to data-rich macroeconomic forecasting ,"
Staff Reports
327, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Laurent Maurin & Matthieu Darracq Pariès, 2008.
"The role of country-specific trade and survey data in forecasting euro area manufacturing production. Perspective from Large Panel factor models ,"
Working Paper Series
894, European Central Bank.
[Downloadable!]
Marta Banbura & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2008.
"Large Bayesian VARs ,"
ECARES Working Papers
2008_033, Université Libre de Bruxelles, Ecares.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Bovi, M., 2005.
"Economic Clubs and European Commitment. Evidence from the International Business Cycles ,"
International Journal of Applied Econometrics and Quantitative Studies ,
Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 2(2), pages 101-122.
[Downloadable!]
Gianluca Lagana, 2004.
"Measuring monetary policy in the UK: a factor augmented vector autoregressive approach ,"
Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2004
64, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
[Downloadable!]
Lasse Bork & Hans Dewachter & Romain Houssa, 2009.
"Identification of Macroeconomic Factors in Large Panels ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2009-43, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!]
Kapetanios, George & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2006.
"A Parametric Estimation Method for Dynamic Factor Models of Large Dimensions ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
5620, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2002.
"Factor Models in Large Cross-Sections of Time Series ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
3285, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Frale, Cecilia & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Mazzi, Gian Luigi & Proietti, Tommaso, 2008.
"A Monthly Indicator of the Euro Area GDP ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
7007, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Chris Bloor & Troy Matheson, 2008.
"Analysing shock transmission in a data-rich environment: A large BVAR for New Zealand ,"
Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series
DP2008/09, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
[Downloadable!]
Lutz Kilian & Atsushi Inoue, 2004.
"Bagging Time Series Models ,"
Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings
110, Econometric Society.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Proietti, Tommaso, 2008.
"Estimation of Common Factors under Cross-Sectional and Temporal Aggregation Constraints: Nowcasting Monthly GDP and its Main Components ,"
MPRA Paper
6860, University Library of Munich, Germany.
[Downloadable!]
Domenico Giannone & Troy Matheson, 2006.
"A new core inflation indicator for New Zealand ,"
Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series
DP2006/02, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Giannone, Domenico & Matheson, Troy, 2007.
"A New Core Inflation Indicator for New Zealand ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
6469, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Domenico Giannone & Troy D. Matheson, 2007.
"A New Core Inflation Indicator for New Zealand ,"
International Journal of Central Banking ,
International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 3(4), pages 145-180, December.
[Downloadable!] Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi, 2008.
"Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables in a Small Open Economy: A Comparison between Small- and Large-Scale Models ,"
Working Papers
200830, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
Andrea Carriero & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2007.
"Sectoral Survey-based Confidence Indicators for Europe ,"
Working Papers
320, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
[Downloadable!]
Barhoumi, K. & Rünstler, G. & Cristadoro, R. & Den Reijer, A. & Jakaitiene, A. & Jelonek, P. & Rua, A. & Ruth, K. & Benk, S. & Van Nieuwenhuyze, C., 2008.
"Short-term forecasting of GDP using large monthly datasets: a pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise ,"
Documents de Travail
215, Banque de France.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Guenter Beck & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2006.
"Regional Inflation Dynamics within and across Euro Area and a Comparison with the US ,"
Computing in Economics and Finance 2006
338, Society for Computational Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Altissimo, Filippo & Bassanetti, Antonio & Cristadoro, Riccardo & Forni, Mario & Hallin, Marc & Lippi, Marco & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Veronese, Giovanni, 2001.
"EuroCOIN: A Real Time Coincident Indicator of the Euro Area Business Cycle ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
3108, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
Did you know? No RePEc service, like IDEAS, charges for the use or the display of bibliographic data.
This page was last updated on 2009-12-2.
This information is provided to you by IDEAS at the Department of Economics , College of Liberal Arts and Sciences , University of Connecticut using RePEc data on a server sponsored by the Society for Economic Dynamics .