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Structural Change In Croatian Real Gdp Growth Rates

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  • Mile Bosnjak

    (University of Zagreb)

Abstract

Markov switching model captures the sudden changes in the observed series using exogenous variable which is unobserved and follows a stochastic process. This research fits Markov switching model to quarterly real GDP growth rates in Croatia for the period 2000:1 to 2016:2 in order to analyze changes in mean over time. Research results show that Croatian GDP growth rates are regime dependent. Markov switching model with two regimes detects shifts in Croatian GDP growth rates. Consistently with the previous similar researches, the research results indicate long lasting recession period and sluggish Croatian economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Mile Bosnjak, 2017. "Structural Change In Croatian Real Gdp Growth Rates," Economic Thought and Practice, Department of Economics and Business, University of Dubrovnik, vol. 26(1), pages 205-218, june.
    • Handle: RePEc:avo:emipdu:v:26:y:2017:i:1:p:205-218
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Markov model; regimes; GDP; Croatia;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models

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