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Secular Stagnation? The Effect of Aging on Economic Growth in the Age of Automation

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Cited by:

  1. Basso, Henrique S. & Jimeno, Juan F., 2021. "From secular stagnation to robocalypse? Implications of demographic and technological changes," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 833-847.
  2. Yayun Ren & Jian Yu & Guanglai Zhang & Chang Zhang & Wenmei Liao, 2023. "The Short- and Long-Run Impacts of Air Pollution on Human Health: New Evidence from China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(3), pages 1-23, January.
  3. Dian Wang & ZhiBin Zhang & NiYa Peng, 2025. "The Impact and Spatial Effects of Industrial Intelligence on Carbon Emissions in Chinese Cities," SAGE Open, , vol. 15(3), pages 21582440251, September.
  4. Roberto Iacono, 2018. "The Nordic Model of Economic Development and Welfare: Recent Developments and Future Prospects," Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics;Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), vol. 53(4), pages 185-190, July.
  5. Murach, Michael & Wagner, Helmut & Kim, Jungsuk & Park, Donghyun, 2022. "Trajectories to high income: Comparing the growth dynamics in China, South Korea, and Japan with cointegrated VAR models," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 492-511.
  6. Butler, Alexander W. & Yi, Hanyi, 2022. "Aging and public financing costs: Evidence from U.S. municipal bond markets," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 211(C).
  7. Carl-Johan Dalgaard & Casper Worm Hansen & Holger Strulik, 2022. "Physiological aging around the World," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 17(6), pages 1-17, June.
  8. Fukuda, Shin-ichi & Okumura, Koki, 2021. "The aging society, savings rates, and regional flow of funds in Japan," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
  9. Daniele Angelini, 2023. "Aging Population and Technology Adoption," Working Paper Series of the Department of Economics, University of Konstanz 2023-01, Department of Economics, University of Konstanz.
  10. Hoshi, Takeo & Kodama, Naomi & Li, Huiyu, 2025. "The effect of aging on entrepreneurship and aggregate productivity," The Journal of the Economics of Ageing, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
  11. Scuotto, V. & Ballestra, L.V. & Cuomo, M.T. & Del Giudice, M., 2024. "Increasing lower incomes and reducing material deprivation: The beneficial role of social robots," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 206(C).
  12. Jo, Wooyong & Nam, Hyoryung & Choi, Jeonghye, 2022. "Opening the OTC drug market: The effect of deregulation on retail pharmacy’s performance," International Journal of Research in Marketing, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 847-866.
  13. Yuequn Cao & Chaoyang Tu & Kexin Du & Chenlin Cui, 2025. "The coupling dynamic effect of government environmental attention, green efficiency, and air quality," Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 12(1), pages 1-17, December.
  14. Zhang, Jingting & Shi, Zhiru, 2025. "Suppress or let go? The time-varying roles of automation towards labor market," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 158-174.
  15. Chia‐Hui Lu, 2023. "The macroeconomic impact of automation: Applications to elderly care," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 41(4), pages 674-695, October.
  16. Lee, Jong-Wha & Song, Eunbi, 2025. "Demographic change and long-term economic growth path in Asia," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
  17. Davis, Colin & Hashimoto, Ken-ichi & Tabata, Ken, 2022. "Demographic structure, knowledge diffusion, and endogenous productivity growth," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
  18. Annarita Baldanzi & Klaus Prettner & Paul Tscheuschner, 2019. "Longevity-induced vertical innovation and the tradeoff between life and growth," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 32(4), pages 1293-1313, October.
  19. Han, Peng & Liu, Hanfeng & Chen, Yuhe, 2025. "Aging, financial coverage, and agricultural economic resilience: Nonlinear dynamics and thresholds," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
  20. Gregori Galofré-Vilà & Martin McKee & David Stuckler, 2022. "Quantifying the mortality impact of the 1935 old-age assistance," European Review of Economic History, European Historical Economics Society, vol. 26(1), pages 62-77.
  21. Piyachart Phiromswad & Sabin Srivannaboon & Pattarake Sarajoti, 2022. "The interaction effects of automation and population aging on labor market," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 17(2), pages 1-16, February.
  22. Abeliansky, Ana Lucia & Prettner, Klaus, 2017. "Automation and demographic change," VfS Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking 168215, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
  23. Zhou, Yang & Wang, Heng & Qiu, Huanguang, 2023. "Population aging reduces carbon emissions: Evidence from China's latest three censuses," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 351(C).
  24. Lee, Hyun-Hoon & Shin, Kwanho, 2019. "Nonlinear effects of population aging on economic growth," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 1-1.
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  26. repec:ejw:journl:v:16:y:2019:i:2:p:342-373 is not listed on IDEAS
  27. Wang, Tianchen & Wu, Xuesong & Mi, Qun, 2025. "Institutional openness and the labor income share of enterprises - A decade and a half of empirical evidence from China's free trade zones," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
  28. Belyakov, A.O. & Kurbatskiy, A.N. & Prettner, K., 2021. "The growth effects of anticipated versus unanticipated population aging," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
  29. Zhou, Mi & Wu, Heng & Huang, Li, 2026. "The graying and the energy-poor: How population aging deepens multidimensional energy poverty in rural China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
  30. Miao Zhang & Shibing You & Li Zhang & Houli Zhang & Yukun Wang, 2023. "Dynamic Analysis of the Effects of Aging on China’s Sustainable Economic Growth," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-16, March.
  31. Burkhard Heer & Andreas Irmen & Bernd Süssmuth, 2023. "Explaining the decline in the US labor share: taxation and automation," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 30(6), pages 1481-1528, December.
  32. Arai, Yoichi & Otsu, Taisuke & Xu, Mengshan, 2024. "GLS under monotone heteroskedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 246(1).
  33. Lihua Gu, 2021. "The Impact of Intelligent Manufacturing on Export Sophistication: Evidence from Industrial Robots," International Journal of Business and Management, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 14(12), pages 183-183, July.
  34. Fan Zhang & Fei Wang & Qiao Wang, 2023. "Does the mixed‐ownership reform improve the productivity of state‐owned enterprises? Evidence from companies listed in Chinese stock," Annals of Public and Cooperative Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 94(4), pages 1299-1321, December.
  35. Dalgaard, Carl-Johan & Hansen, Casper Worm & Strulik, Holger, 2018. "Physiological Aging around the World and Economic Growth," CAGE Online Working Paper Series 375, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE).
  36. Liu, Laihui & An, Suxia, 2026. "Spillover across borders: Industrial robotics applications in developed countries and deindustrialization in developing countries," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).
  37. Kim, Hoolda & Song Lee, Bun, 2023. "Aging workforce, wages, and productivity: Do older workers drag productivity down in Korea?," The Journal of the Economics of Ageing, Elsevier, vol. 24(C).
  38. Thomas Leoni & Johanna Schwinger, 2017. "Fehlzeitenreport 2017. Krankheits- und unfallbedingte Fehlzeiten in Österreich – Die alter(n)sgerechte Arbeitswelt," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 60730, March.
  39. Mathilde Esposito, 2024. "Workforce Aging and Potential Output Growth," Working Papers hal-04747557, HAL.
  40. Chen, Xian & Liu, Yang & Wen, Fenghua, 2024. "Air pollution and the digital transformation," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PC).
  41. Jagjit S. Chadha & Issam Samiri, 2022. "Macroeconomic Perspectives on Productivity," Working Papers 030, The Productivity Institute.
  42. Wang, Yijie & Xie, Donghong, 2026. "The shadow of culture: Clan traditions and biological aging in China," The Journal of the Economics of Ageing, Elsevier, vol. 34(C).
  43. Madsen, Jakob B., 2025. "The aging society: Is growth reverting to pre-industrial levels in the 21st century?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
  44. R. Rupeika-Apoga & I. Romanova & L. Bule & Y.E. Thalassinos, 2019. "The Impact of Population Ageing and Social Stratification: The Case of Latvia," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), vol. 0(1), pages 49-63.
  45. Yao, Shiqi & Song, Limin & Zhang, Junkang, 2026. "Contraction or expansion? Impact of population aging on corporate employment in China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
  46. Diego Wachs & Jorge Onrubia, 2021. "Automatic adjustment mechanisms in public pension reforms: Effects over fiscal sustainability, adequacy, and fairness," Working Papers 2021-05, FEDEA.
  47. Cai, Dongsong & Long, Ling & Cai, Wanhuan & Wang, Xin, 2025. "Population aging, digital financial inclusion, development strategies and economic resilience," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
  48. Tao, Weiliang & Weng, Shimei & Chen, Xueli & ALHussan, Fawaz Baddar & Song, Malin, 2024. "Artificial intelligence-driven transformations in low-carbon energy structure: Evidence from China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
  49. Kaixing Huang, 2024. "Fertility and long‐term economic growth," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 62(3), pages 1152-1171, July.
  50. Atif Mian & Ludwig Straub & Amir Sufi, 2021. "What explains the decline in r ∗ ? Rising income inequality versus demographic shifts," Working Papers 2021-12, Princeton University. Economics Department..
  51. Davit Gondauri, 2025. "The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Gross Domestic Product: A Global Analysis," Papers 2505.11989, arXiv.org.
  52. Allen, Steven G., 2023. "Demand for older workers: What do we know? What do we need to learn?," The Journal of the Economics of Ageing, Elsevier, vol. 24(C).
  53. Doepke, Matthias & Hannusch, Anne & Kindermann, Fabian & Tertilt, Michèle, 2022. "The Economics of Fertility: A New Era," IZA Discussion Papers 15224, IZA Network @ LISER.
  54. Osathanunkul, Rossarin & Dumrong, Pasinee & Yamaka, Woraphon & Maneejuk, Paravee, 2023. "The nonlinear impacts of aging labor and government health expenditures on productivity in ASEAN+3 economies," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 450-470.
  55. Ana Milijić & Aleksandar Manasijević & Dejan Đorđević & Vladislav Marjanović & Marina Stanojević, 2025. "Demographic Trends and Regional Disparities in the EU," Social Sciences, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-16, September.
  56. Siyan Chen & Saul Desiderio, 2023. "An agent-based framework for the analysis of the macroeconomic effects of population aging," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 33(2), pages 393-427, April.
  57. Ian Goldin & Pantelis Koutroumpis & François Lafond & Julian Winkler, 2024. "Why Is Productivity Slowing Down?," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 62(1), pages 196-268, March.
  58. Piotr F. Borowski, 2021. "Significance and Directions of Energy Development in African Countries," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-19, July.
  59. Zuo, Jingjing & Han, Lu & Wang, Wei, 2025. "Who is compressing the “dividends” of employees? Research on the impact of population aging on employee treatment," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
  60. Tsoulfidis, Lefteris & Tsaliki, Persefoni, 2021. "The Long Recession and Economic Consequences of the COVID-19 Pandemic," MPRA Paper 107737, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  61. Auclert, Adrien & Malmberg, Hannes & Martenet, Frederic & Rognlie, Matthew, 2021. "Demographics, Wealth, and Global Imbalances in the Twenty-First Century," CEPR Discussion Papers 16470, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
  62. Ngueuleweu Tiwang Gildas & Ningaye paul & Fon Dorothy Engwali, 2025. "Do demographic structure conditions sector contribution to economic growth? A machine learning approach," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 27(2), pages 2901-2941, February.
  63. Hung-ju Chen & Koichi Miyazaki, 2020. "Labor productivity, labor supply of the old, and economic growth," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(1), pages 277-285.
  64. Peralta, Catarina & Gil, Pedro Mazeda, 2025. "Automation, education, and population: Dynamic effects in an OLG growth and fertility model," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
  65. Frank T. Denton & Byron G. Spencer, 2017. "What Rates Of Productivity Growth Would Be Required To Offset The Effects Of Population Aging? A Study Of Twenty Industrialised Countries," Department of Economics Working Papers 2017-08, McMaster University.
  66. Ichiro Fukunaga & Yoshihiko Hogen & Yojiro Ito & Kenji Kanai & Satoshi Tsuchida, 2024. "Potential Growth in Japan: Issues on Its Relationship with Prices and Wages," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 24-E-16, Bank of Japan.
  67. Iñigo Calvo-Sotomayor & Ekhi Atutxa & Ricardo Aguado, 2020. "Who Is Afraid of Population Aging? Myths, Challenges and an Open Question from the Civil Economy Perspective," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(15), pages 1-17, July.
  68. Xiaoyu Bian & Guangsu Zhou, 2024. "The effects of robots on internal migration: Evidence from China," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 64(3), pages 840-865, June.
  69. Park, Cyn-Young & Shin, Kwanho & Kikkawa, Aiko, 2021. "Aging, automation, and productivity in Korea1," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
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  71. Qianqian Guo & Zhifang Su, 2023. "The Application of Industrial Robot and the High-Quality Development of Manufacturing Industry: From a Sustainability Perspective," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(16), pages 1-26, August.
  72. Kotamäki, Mauri & Lehtimäki, Jonne, 2025. "Getting too old for this: Population ageing and its economic consequences in Finland," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 1720-1750.
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