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What Rates Of Productivity Growth Would Be Required To Offset The Effects Of Population Aging? A Study Of Twenty Industrialised Countries

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  • Frank T. Denton
  • Byron G. Spencer

Abstract

A shift in population distribution toward older ages is underway in industrialised countries throughout the world and will continue well into the future. We provide a framework for isolating the pure effects of population aging on per capita GDP, employ the framework in calculations for twenty OECD countries, and derive the rates of productivity growth required to offset those effects. We consider also some labourrelated changes that might provide offsets, for comparison with productivity.

Suggested Citation

  • Frank T. Denton & Byron G. Spencer, 2017. "What Rates Of Productivity Growth Would Be Required To Offset The Effects Of Population Aging? A Study Of Twenty Industrialised Countries," Department of Economics Working Papers 2017-08, McMaster University.
    • Handle: RePEc:mcm:deptwp:2017-08
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Frank T. Denton & Byron G. Spencer, 2018. "The Differential Effects of Population Aging on Provincial GDP per capita and the Role of Productivity Growth as a Possible offset," Department of Economics Working Papers 2018-04, McMaster University.

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    JEL classification:

    • J1 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics
    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • O4 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity

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