Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

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Top JEL
/ E: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
/ / E4: Money and Interest Rates
/ / / E47: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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This JEL code is mentioned in the following RePEc Biblio entries:

1. Forecasting with DSGE Models
2. Forecasting Economic Activity Using Financial Variables

2011

• Ferreira-Filho, Joaquim Bento de Souza & Horridge, Mark, 2011, "Ethanol Expansion and the Indirect Land Use Change in Brazil," Conference papers, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project, number 332079.
• Kun Guo & Wei-Xing Zhou & Si-Wei Cheng & Didier Sornette, 2011, "The US stock market leads the Federal funds rate and Treasury bond yields," Papers, arXiv.org, number 1102.2138, Feb.
• Didier Sornette & Ryan Woodard & Wanfeng Yan & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2011, "Clarifications to Questions and Criticisms on the Johansen-Ledoit-Sornette Bubble Model," Papers, arXiv.org, number 1107.3171, Jul, revised Jun 2013.
• Philipp Maier, 2011, "Mixed Frequency Forecasts for Chinese GDP," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 11-11, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2011-11.
• Stefano Neri & Tiziano Ropele, 2011, "Imperfect information, real-time data and monetary policy in the euro area," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 802, Mar.
• Esteban Gómez & Andrés Murcia & Nancy Zamundio, 2011, "Financial Conditions Index: Early and Leading Indicator for Colombia," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, volume 29, issue 66, pages 174-220, December, DOI: 10.32468/Espe.6605.
• Alain Monfort & Jean-Paul Renne, 2011, "Default, liquidity and crises: an econometric framework," Working papers, Banque de France, number 340.
• Alain Monfort & Jean-Paul Renne, 2011, "Credit and liquidity risks in euro area sovereign yield curves," Working papers, Banque de France, number 352.
• Lars E. O. Svensson, 2011, "Practical Monetary Policy: Examples from Sweden and the United States," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, volume 42, issue 2 (Fall), pages 289-352.
• Helge Berger & Pär Österholm, 2011, "Does Money Growth Granger Cause Inflation in the Euro Area? Evidence from Out‐of‐Sample Forecasts Using Bayesian VARs," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, volume 87, issue 276, pages 45-60, March.
• Hiona Balfoussia & Sophocles N. Brissimis & Manthos D. Delis, 2011, "The theoretical framework of monetary policy revisited," Working Papers, Bank of Greece, number 138, Sep.
• José Renato Haas Ornelas & Marcelo Yoshio Takami, 2011, "Recovering Risk-Neutral Densities from Brazilian Interest Rate Options," Brazilian Review of Finance, Brazilian Society of Finance, volume 9, issue 1, pages 9-26.
• Esteban Gómez & Andr�s Murcia & Nancy Zamudio, 2011, "Financial Conditions Index: Early and Leading Indicator for Colombia," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, volume 29, issue 66, pages 174-220, DOI: 10.32468/Espe.6605.
• Juan Camilo Galvis Ciro & Juan Guillermo Bedoya Ospina & Rubén Albeiro Loaiza Maya, 2011, "Una regla de política fiscal óptima para la economía colombiana: aproximación desde un modelo de equilibrio general dinámico y estocástico," Revista Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, CIE.
• J. A. Giesecke & N. H. Tran & G.A. Meagher & F. Pang, 2011, "Growth and Change in the Vietnamese Labour Market: A decomposition of forecast trends in employment over 2010-2020," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre, number g-216, Apr.
• Joaquim Bento Ferreira-Filho & Mark Horridge, 2011, "Ethanol Expansion and Indirect Land Use Change in Brazil," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre, number g-218, Jun.
• BELMONTE, Miguel A.G. & KOOP, Gary & KOROBILIS, Dimitris, 2011, "Hierarchical shrinkage in time-varying parameter models," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE), number 2011036, Sep.
• Surico, Paolo & ,, 2011, "A Century of Inflation Forecasts," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 8292, Mar.
• Caroline JARDET & Alain MONFORT & Fulvio PEGORARO, 2011, "No-arbitrage Near-Cointegrated VAR(p) Term Structure Models, Term Premia and GDP Growth," Working Papers, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics, number 2011-03.
• Alain Monfort & Jean-Paul Renne, 2011, "Credit and Liquidity Risks in Euro-area Sovereign Yield Curves," Working Papers, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics, number 2011-26, Jul.
• Dowd, Kevin & Cotter, John & Loh, Lixia, 2011, "U.S. Core Inflation: A Wavelet Analysis," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, volume 15, issue 4, pages 513-536, September.
• Belmonte, Miguel A & Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2011, "Hierarchical Shrinkage in Time-Varying Parameter Models," SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE), number 2012-68, Jun.
• Benati, Luca, 2011, "Would the Bundesbank have prevented the Great Inflation in the United States?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 35, issue 7, pages 1106-1125, July.
• Akram, Q. Farooq, 2011, "Policy analysis in real time using IMF's monetary model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 28, issue 4, pages 1696-1709, July.
• Carriero, Andrea & Giacomini, Raffaella, 2011, "How useful are no-arbitrage restrictions for forecasting the term structure of interest rates?," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 164, issue 1, pages 21-34, September.
• Horváth, Roman & Komárek, Luboš & Rozsypal, Filip, 2011, "Does money help predict inflation? An empirical assessment for Central Europe," Economic Systems, Elsevier, volume 35, issue 4, pages 523-536, DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2011.03.001.
• Blaskowitz, Oliver & Herwartz, Helmut, 2011, "On economic evaluation of directional forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 27, issue 4, pages 1058-1065, October.
• Fabio Di Dio & Barbara Annicchiarico & Francesco Felici, 2011, "The macroeconomics of Europe 2020 reform strategy and the potential effects on Italian economy," EcoMod2011, EcoMod, number 2866, Jul.
• Edwin Le Heron, 2011, "Confidence and financial crisis in a post-Keynesian stock flow consistent model," European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention, Edward Elgar Publishing, volume 8, issue 2, pages 361-387.
• Csaba Csavas & Szilard Erhart & Anna Naszodi & Klara Pinter, 2011, "Changing Central Bank Transparency in Central and Eastern Europe During the Financial Crisis," Contemporary Studies in Economic and Financial Analysis, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, "The Impact of the Global Financial Crisis on Emerging Financial Markets", DOI: 10.1108/S1569-3759(2011)0000093013.
• Jaromir Tonner & Jiri Polansky & Osvald Vašíèek, 2011, "Parameter Drifting in a DSGE Model Estimated on Czech Data," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, volume 61, issue 5, pages 510-524, November.
• Frédéric Reynes & Yasser Yeddir-Tamsamani & Gaël Callonec, 2011, "Presentation of the Three-ME model: Multi-sector Macroeconomic Model for the Evaluation of Environmental and Energy policy," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE), number 2011-10, May.
• Menno Middeldorp, 2011, "Central bank transparency, the accuracy of professional forecasts, and interest rate volatility," Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 496.
• Edward P. Herbst & Frank Schorfheide, 2011, "Evaluating DSGE model forecasts of comovements," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, number 11-5.
• Joaquim Bento de Souza Ferreira Filho & Mark Horridge, 2011, "Ethanol expansion and indirect land use change in Brazil," Working Papers, Universidade Federal do Paraná, Department of Economics, number 0114.
• Luca Benati & Banque de France, 2011, "Would the bundesbank have prevented the great inflation in the United States?," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-00822061, May, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2011.02.002.
• Andrea Carriero & Raffaella Giacomini, 2011, "How useful are no-arbitrage restrictions for forecasting the term structure of interest rates?," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-00844809, Jul, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2011.02.010.
• Edwin Le Héron, 2011, "Confidence and financial crisis in a post-keynesian stock-flow consistent model," Post-Print, HAL, number halshs-00646622, Sep, DOI: 10.4337/ejeep.2011.02.09.
• Dewachter, Hans & Iania, Leonardo & Lyrio, Marco, 2011, "Information in the Yield Curve: A Macro-Finance Approach," Insper Working Papers, Insper Working Paper, Insper Instituto de Ensino e Pesquisa, number wpe_230, Oct.
• Andrea Carriero, 2011, "Forecasting The Yield Curve Using Priors From No‐Arbitrage Affine Term Structure Models," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, volume 52, issue 2, pages 425-459, May.
• Paul Söderlind, 2011, "Inflation Risk Premia and Survey Evidence on Macroeconomic Uncertainty," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, volume 7, issue 2, pages 113-133, June.
• Charles A. E. Goodhart & Charles Wen Bin Lim, 2011, "Interest Rate Forecasts: A Pathology," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, volume 7, issue 2, pages 135-171, June.
• Juan Galvis & Juan Bedoya & Ruben Loaiza, 2011, "An Optimal Fiscal Policy Rule for the Colombian Economy: A Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach," Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, Departamento de Economía, issue 75, pages 107-141.
• Ágnes Horváth & Csaba Köber & Katalin Szilágyi, 2011, "MPM – The Magyar Nemzeti Bank’s monetary policy model," MNB Bulletin (discontinued), Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary), volume 6, issue 2, pages 18-24, June.
• Helge Berger & Pär Österholm, 2011, "Does Money matter for U.S. Inflation? Evidence from Bayesian VARs," CESifo Economic Studies, CESifo Group, volume 57, issue 3, pages 531-550, September.
• Kun Guo & Wei-Xing Zhou & Si-Wei Cheng & Didier Sornette, 2011, "The US Stock Market Leads the Federal Funds Rate and Treasury Bond Yields," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, volume 6, issue 8, pages 1-9, August, DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0022794.
• Wei-Xing Zhou & Guo-Hua Mu & Wei Chen & Didier Sornette, 2011, "Investment Strategies Used as Spectroscopy of Financial Markets Reveal New Stylized Facts," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, volume 6, issue 9, pages 1-9, September, DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0024391.
• Lanne, Markku & Nyberg, Henri & Saarinen, Erkka, 2011, "Forecasting U.S. Macroeconomic and Financial Time Series with Noncausal and Causal AR Models: A Comparison," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 30254, Apr.
• Miguel, Belmonte & Gary, Koop & Dimitris, Korobilis, 2011, "Hierarchical shrinkage in time-varying parameter models," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 31827, Jun.
• Balfoussia, Hiona & Brissimis, Sophocles & Delis, Manthos D, 2011, "The theoretical framework of monetary policy revisited," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 32236, Jul.
• Zaman, Gheorghe & Georgescu, George, 2011, "Sovereign risk and debt sustainability: warning levels for Romania," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 32924, Mar.
• Guzman, Giselle C., 2011, "The case for higher frequency inflation expectations," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 36656, Jun.
• Mutu, Simona & Breşfelean, Vasile Paul & Göndör, Mihaela, 2011, "The impact of the financial crisis on the interbank money markets behavior. Evidence from several CEE transition economies," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 42102, Dec.
• Nizar, Muhammad Afdi & Purnomo, Kuntarto, 2011, "Potensi Penerimaan Pajak Dari Underground Economy Di Indonesia
  [underground economy activities in Indonesia]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 65608.
• Ying Chen & Bo Li, 2011, "Forecasting Yield Curves in an Adaptive Framework," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, volume 3, issue 4, pages 237-259, December.
• Winkelried, Diego, 2011, "Exchange rate pass-through and inflation targeting in Peru," Working Papers, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, number 2011-012, Jul.
• Miguel A. G. Belmonte & Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2011, "Hierarchical Shrinkage in Time-Varying Parameter Models," Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis, number 35_11, Jul.
• Miguel Belmonte & Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2011, "Hierarchical Shrinkage in Time-Varying Parameter Models," Working Papers, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics, number 1137, Jun.
• William Lin & Shih-Chuan Tsai & David Sun, 2011, "Price informativeness and predictability: how liquidity can help," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 43, issue 17, pages 2199-2217, DOI: 10.1080/00036840903153812.
• Kevin Dowd & John Cotter, 2011, "U.S. Core Inflation: A Wavelet Analysis," Working Papers, Geary Institute, University College Dublin, number 200617, Jun.
• Man Fu & Prasad V. Bidarkota, 2011, "The Present Value Model With Stochastic Discount Rate And An Ann Process For Broad Dividends," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., volume 6, issue 01, pages 1-20, DOI: 10.1142/S2010495211500011.
• Joanna Janczura & Sebastian Orzel & Agnieszka Wylomanska, 2011, "Subordinated alpha-stable Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process as a tool for financial data description," HSC Research Reports, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, number HSC/11/03.
• Agnieszka Wylomanska, 2011, "Measures of dependence for Ornstein–Uhlenbeck processes with tempered stable distribution," HSC Research Reports, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, number HSC/11/04.
• Memmel, Christoph & Sachs, Angelika & Stein, Ingrid, 2011, "Contagion at the interbank market with stochastic LGD," Discussion Paper Series 2: Banking and Financial Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 2011,06.
• Memmel, Christoph & Sachs, Angelika, 2011, "Contagion in the interbank market and its determinants," Discussion Paper Series 2: Banking and Financial Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 2011,17.
• Scheffknecht, Lukas & Geiger, Felix, 2011, "A behavioral macroeconomic model with endogenous boom-bust cycles and leverage dynamcis," FZID Discussion Papers, University of Hohenheim, Center for Research on Innovation and Services (FZID), number 37-2011.
• Falch, Nina Skrove & Nymoen, Ragnar, 2011, "The accuracy of a forecast targeting central bank," Economics Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 2011-6.
• Skrove Falch, Nina & Nymoen, Ragnar, 2011, "The accuracy of a forecast targeting central bank," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy, volume 5, pages 1-36, DOI: 10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2011-.
• Wei-bin Zhang, 2011, "Elastic Labour Supply and Home Production in a Monetary Growth Model," Interdisciplinary Description of Complex Systems - scientific journal, Croatian Interdisciplinary Society Provider Homepage: http://indecs.eu, volume 9, issue 2, pages 87-100.
• Christian Kascha & Carsten Trenkler, 2011, "Cointegrated VARMA models and forecasting US interest rates," ECON - Working Papers, Department of Economics - University of Zurich, number 033, Oct.

2010

• Ellinami J Minja, 2010, "Cointegration Analysis of Behavioral Issues in the Auctioning of Treasury Bills in Tanzania," The African Finance Journal, Africagrowth Institute, volume 12, issue Conferenc, pages 58-74.
• Alfred Maussner, 2010, "The Analytics of New Keynesian Phillips Curves," Discussion Paper Series, Universitaet Augsburg, Institute for Economics, number 313, Nov.
• Nellie Zhang & Tom Hossfeld, 2010, "Losses from Simulated Defaults in Canada's Large Value Transfer System," Discussion Papers, Bank of Canada, number 10-14, DOI: 10.34989/sdp-2010-14.
• Nikita Perevalov & Philipp Maier, 2010, "On the Advantages of Disaggregated Data: Insights from Forecasting the U.S. Economy in a Data-Rich Environment," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 10-10, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2010-10.
• Marco J. Lombardi & Philipp Maier, 2010, "‘Lean’ versus ‘Rich’ Data Sets: Forecasting during the Great Moderation and the Great Recession," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 10-37, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2010-37.
• Gómez-Pineda, Javier G., 2010, "El régimen de meta de inflación," Chapters, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, chapter 12, in: Gómez-Pineda, Javier G., "Dinero, banca y mercados financieros. Los países emergentes en la economía global", DOI: 10.32468/Ebook.682-773-7.
• Rochelle M. Edge & Refet S. Gurkaynak, 2010, "How Useful Are Estimated DSGE Model Forecasts for Central Bankers?," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, volume 41, issue 2 (Fall), pages 209-259.
• Anindya Banerjee & Victor Bystrov & Paul Mizen, 2010, "Interest rate pass-through in the major European economies - the role of expectations," Discussion Papers, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham, number 10-07, Feb.
• Sergio Cerezo Aguirre, 2010, "Un Modelo de Equilibrio General Dinámico Estocástico para el análisis de la política monetaria en Bolivia," Revista de Análisis del BCB, Banco Central de Bolivia, volume 13, issue 1, pages 49-89, December.
• Michiel de Pooter & Francesco Ravazzolo & Dick van Dijk, 2010, "Term structure forecasting using macro factors and forecast combination," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2010/01, Mar.
• Q. Farooq Akram, 2010, "Policy analysis in real time using IMF's monetary model," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2010/10, Jun.
• Hilde C. Bjørnland & Karsten R. Gerdrup & Anne Sofie Jore & Leif Anders Thorsrud & Christie Smith, 2010, "Does forecast combination improve Norges Bank inflation forecasts?," Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School, number No 2/2010, Dec.
• Piergiorgio Alessandri & Mathias Drehmann, 2010, "An economic capital model integrating credit and interest rate risk in the banking book," Bank of England working papers, Bank of England, number 388, Jun.
• Pooyan Amir Ahmadi & Albrecht Ritschl, 2010, "Depression Econometrics: A FAVAR Model of Monetary Policy During the Great Depression," CEP Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE, number dp0967, Jan.
• Albrecht Ritschl & Samad Salferaz, 2010, "Crisis? What Crisis? Currency vs. Banking in the Financial Crisis of 1931," CEP Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE, number dp0977, May.
• Roman Horvath & Lubos Komarek & Filip Rozsypal, 2010, "Does Money Help Predict Inflation? An Empirical Assessment for Central Europe," Working Papers, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, number 2010/05, Dec.
• Tomas Havranek & Roman Horvath & Jakub Mateju, 2010, "Do Financial Variables Help Predict Macroeconomic Environment? The Case of the Czech Republic," Working Papers, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, number 2010/06, Dec.
• Jan Filacek & Branislav Saxa, 2010, "Central Bank Forecasts as a Coordination Device," Working Papers, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, number 2010/13, Dec.
• Andrés Vélez, 2010, "valoracion de las quality options en los futuros de TES," Análisis - Revista del Mercado de Valores, Autorregulador del Mercado de Valores de Colombia.
• Carlos Aldana & Felipe Aristizabal & Claudia Echavarría, 2010, "Instrumentos regulatorios para fomentar la profundizacion del mercado de deuda privada en Colombia," Análisis - Revista del Mercado de Valores, Autorregulador del Mercado de Valores de Colombia.
• Pablo Pincheira & Mauricio Calani, 2010, "Communicational Bias in Monetary Policy: Can Words Forecast Deeds?," Economía Journal, The Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association - LACEA, volume 0, issue Fall 2010, pages 103-152.
• Ignacio Velez Pareja & Joseph Tham, 2010, "Estimating Cash Flows for Project Appraisal and Firm Valuation," Proyecciones Financieras y Valoración, Master Consultores, number 6738, Mar.
• Ignacio Velez-Pareja & Joseph Tham, 2010, "An introduction to the cost of capital," Proyecciones Financieras y Valoración, Master Consultores, number 6854, Mar.
• Marcellino, Massimiliano & Kapetanios, George & Carriero, Andrea, 2010, "Forecasting Government Bond Yields with Large Bayesian VARs," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7796, Apr.
• Gürkaynak, Refet & Edge, Rochelle, 2010, "How Useful Are Estimated DSGE Model Forecasts for Central Bankers?," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 8158, Dec.
• Alain Monfort & Jean-Paul Renne, 2010, "Default, Liquidity and Crises : An Econometric Framework," Working Papers, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics, number 2010-46.
• Daniel Burren, 2010, "The Term Structure of Interest Rates in a New Keynesian Model with Time-Varying Macro Volatility," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, volume 11, issue 2, pages 277-299, November.
• Betty C. Daniel & Christos Shiamptanis, 2010, "Sovereign Default Risk in a Monetary Union," Working Papers, Central Bank of Cyprus, number 2010-3, May.
• Alastair Hall & Atsushi Inoue & James M. Nason & Barbara Rossi, 2010, "Information Criteria for Impulse Response Function Matching Estimation of DSGE Models," Working Papers, Duke University, Department of Economics, number 10-28.
• Chadha, Jagjit S. & Holly, Sean, 2010, "Macroeconomic models and the yield curve: An assessment of the fit," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 34, issue 8, pages 1343-1358, August.
• Schorfheide, Frank & Sill, Keith & Kryshko, Maxym, 2010, "DSGE model-based forecasting of non-modelled variables," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 26, issue 2, pages 348-373, April.
• Alessandri, Piergiorgio & Drehmann, Mathias, 2010, "An economic capital model integrating credit and interest rate risk in the banking book," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 34, issue 4, pages 730-742, April.
• Boppana Nagarjuna & Varadi Vijay Kumar, 2010, "Heat waves or Meteor showers: Empirical evidence from the stock markets," Journal of Economics and Econometrics, Economics and Econometrics Society, volume 53, issue 2, pages 57-74.
• Pincheira, Pablo & Calani, Mauricio, 2010, "Communicational bias in monetary policy can words forecast deeds?," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 123267, Oct.
• Ritschl, Albrecht & Salferaz, Samad, 2010, "Crisis?: What crisis?: currency vs. banking in the financial crisis of 1931," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 28726.
• Capistrán, Carlos & López-Moctezuma, Gabriel, 2010, "Las expectativas macroeconómicas de los especialistas. Una evaluación de pronósticos de corto plazo en México," El Trimestre Económico, Fondo de Cultura Económica, volume 77, issue 306, pages 275-312, abril-jun, DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.20430/ete.v77i.
• Adam Gersl & Jakub Seidler, 2010, "Conservative Stress Testing: The Role of Regular Verification," Working Papers IES, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, number 2010/12, Jul, revised Jul 2008.
• Adam Gersl & Petr Jakubík, 2010, "Adverse Feedback Loop in the Bank-Based Financial Systems," Working Papers IES, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, number 2010/14, Jul, revised Jul 2010.
• Athanasios Orphanides & Min Wei, 2010, "Evolving macroeconomic perceptions and the term structure of interest rates," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2010-01.
• Michiel De Pooter & Francesco Ravazzolo & Dick van Dijk, 2010, "Term structure forecasting using macro factors and forecast combination," International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 993.
• Céline Antonin & Christophe Blot & Mathieu Plane, 2010, "La hausse des taux longs est-elle inévitable ?," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-01024100, Oct, DOI: 10.3917/reof.115.0301.
• Céline Antonin & Christophe Blot & Mathieu Plane, 2010, "La hausse des taux longs est-elle inévitable ?," Sciences Po Economics Publications (main), HAL, number hal-01024100, Oct, DOI: 10.3917/reof.115.0301.
• Gheorghe Zaman & George Georgescu, 2010, "Romania’s External Debt Sustainability Under Crisis Circumstances," Romanian Journal of Economics, Institute of National Economy, volume 30, issue 1(39), pages 5-38, June.
• Nazaria Solferino & Robert Waldmann, 2010, "Predicting the signs of forecast errors," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 29, issue 5, pages 476-485, DOI: 10.1002/for.1139.
• Rangan Gupta & Sonali Das, 2010, "Predicting Downturns in the US Housing Market: A Bayesian Approach," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, volume 41, issue 3, pages 294-319, October, DOI: 10.1007/s11146-008-9163-x.
• Stephen Hall & Kavita Sirichand, 2010, "Decision-Based Forecast Evaluation of UK Interest Rate Predictability," Discussion Papers in Economics, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester, number 10/09, Mar.
• Stephen Hall & Kavita Sirichand, 2010, "Economic Value of Stock and Interest Rate Predictability in the UK," Discussion Papers in Economics, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester, number 10/13, Apr.
• Martin Mandler, 2010, "Explaining ECB and FED interest rate correlation: Economic interdependence and optimal monetary policy," MAGKS Papers on Economics, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung), number 201025.
• Zoltán Molnár, 2010, "About the interbank HUF liquidity – what does the MNB’s new liquidity forecast show?," MNB Bulletin (discontinued), Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary), volume 5, issue 4, pages 24-32, December.
• Ankita Mishra & Vinod Mishra, 2010, "A VAR Model of Monetary Policy and Hypothetical Case of Inflation Targeting in India," Monash Economics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Economics, number 15-10, May.
• Rodríguez Nava Abigail & Francisco Venegas Martínez, 2010, "Efectos del tipo de cambio sobre el déficit público: modelos de simulación Monte Carlo," Contaduría y Administración, Accounting and Management, volume 55, issue 3, pages 11-40, septiembr.
• Lars E.O. Svensson, 2010, "Inflation Targeting," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 16654, Dec.
• David Jamieson Bolder & Yuliya Romanyuk, 2010, "Combining Canadian Interest Rate Forecasts," Palgrave Macmillan Books, Palgrave Macmillan, chapter 1, in: Arjan B. Berkelaar & Joachim Coche & Ken Nyholm, "Interest Rate Models, Asset Allocation and Quantitative Techniques for Central Banks and Sovereign Wealth Funds", DOI: 10.1057/9780230251298_1.
• Wasim Shahid Malik & Ather Maqsood Ahmed, 2010, "Taylor Rule and the Macroeconomic Performance in Pakistan," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, volume 49, issue 1, pages 37-56.
• Cinquegrana, Giuseppe & Sarno, Domenico, 2010, "The yield curve and the prediction on the business cycle: a VAR analysis for the European Union," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 21795, Jan.
• Das, Rituparna, 2010, "Forecasting Money Supply in India: Remaining Policy Issues," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 22999.
• Harin, Alexander, 2010, "Theorem of existence of ruptures in probability scale. Preliminary short version," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 23319, Jun.
• Mandler, Martin, 2010, "Explaining ECB and Fed interest rate correlation: Economic interdependence and optimal monetary policy," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 25929, Oct.
• Guzman, Giselle C., 2010, "An inflation expectations horserace," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 36511, Jan.
• André Babeau, 2010, "L’absence de prévisions macrofinancières : une situation calamiteuse heureusement en cours d’évolution," Revue d'Économie Financière, Programme National Persée, volume 98, issue 3, pages 39-53, DOI: 10.3406/ecofi.2010.5778.
• Andrea Carriero & George Kapetanios & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2010, "Forecasting Government Bond Yields with Large Bayesian VARs," Working Papers, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance, number 662, Apr.
• Matteo Iacoviello, 2010, "Financial Business Cycles," 2010 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 1053.
• Paul Söderlind, 2010, "Reaction of Swiss Term Premia to Monetary Policy Surprises," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), volume 146, issue I, pages 385-404, March.
• Carlos Lenz, 2010, "Discussion: Reaction of Swiss Term Premia to Monetary Policy Surprises," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), volume 146, issue I, pages 405-408, March.
• Halil Guler & Anil Talasli, 2010, "Modelling the Daily Currency in Circulation in Turkey," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, volume 10, issue 1, pages 29-46.
• Peter Cripwell & David Edelman, 2010, "The Non-Linear Evolution of High Frequency Short Term Interest Rates," Working Papers, Geary Institute, University College Dublin, number 200835, Apr.
• Fabio Canova & Filippo Ferroni, 2010, "The dynamics of US inflation: Can monetary policy explain the changes?," Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, number 1241, Jun.
• Francesco Audrino & Fulvio Corsi & Kameliya Filipova, 2010, "Bond Risk Premia Forecasting: A Simple Approach for Extracting¨Macroeconomic Information from a Panel of Indicators," University of St. Gallen Department of Economics working paper series 2010, Department of Economics, University of St. Gallen, number 2010-09, Mar.
• Douglas D. Davis & Korenok Oleg, 2010, "Nominal Price Shocks in Monopolistically Competitive Markets: An Experimental Analysis," Working Papers, VCU School of Business, Department of Economics, number 1003, Jun, revised Jun 2011.
• Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2010, "Forecast uncertainty and the Bank of England interest rate decisions," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 2010,27.
• Schmidt, Sandra & Nautz, Dieter, 2010, "Central bank communication and the perception of monetary policy by financial market experts," Discussion Papers, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics, number 2010/29.
• Karnizova, Lilia, 2010, "News versus sunspot shocks in a New Keynesian model," Economics Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 2010-15.
• Karnizova, Lilia, 2010, "News versus sunspot shocks in a New Keynesian model," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy, volume 4, pages 1-27, DOI: 10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2010-.
• Ritschl, Albrecht & Sarferaz, Samad, 2010, "Crisis? What crisis? Currency vs. banking in the Financial Crisis of 1931," SFB 649 Discussion Papers, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk, number 2010-014.
• Schmidt, Sandra & Nautz, Dieter, 2010, "Why do financial market experts misperceive future monetary policy decisions?," SFB 649 Discussion Papers, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk, number 2010-036.
• Schmidt, Sandra & Nautz, Dieter, 2010, "Why do financial market experts misperceive future monetary policy decisions?," ZEW Discussion Papers, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research, number 10-045.

2009

• Andrés González & Kirstin Hubrich & Timo Teräsvirta, 2009, "Forecasting inflation with gradual regime shifts and exogenous information," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2009-03, Jan.
• Burhan Dogan, 2009, "Measurement Of Liquidity Effect From The View Of The Efficiency Of Monetary Policies In Turkey," Anadolu University Journal of Social Sciences, Anadolu University, volume 9, issue 1, pages 99-122, June.
• Kimberly Beaton & René Lalonde & Corinne Luu, 2009, "A Financial Conditions Index for the United States," Discussion Papers, Bank of Canada, number 09-11, DOI: 10.34989/sdp-2009-11.
• Engelberg, Joseph & Manski, Charles F. & Williams, Jared, 2009, "Comparing the Point Predictions and Subjective Probability Distributions of Professional Forecasters," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, volume 27, pages 30-41.
• Caroline Jardet & Alain Monfort & Fulvio Pegoraro, 2009, "No-arbitrage Near-Cointegrated VAR(p) Term Structure Models, Term Premia and GDP Growth," Working papers, Banque de France, number 234.
• Hilde C. Bjørnland & Karsten Gerdrup & Anne Sofie Jore & Christie Smith & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2009, "Does forecast combination improve Norges Bank inflation forecasts?," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2009/01, Jan.
• D'Agostino, Antonello & Gambetti, Luca & Giannone, Domenico & Giannone, Domenico, 2009, "Macroeconomic Forecasting and Structural Change," Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland, number 8/RT/09, Oct.
• Pablo Pincheira & Mauricio Calani, 2009, "Communicational Bias In Monetary Policy: Can Words Forecast Deeds?," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile, number 526, Oct.
• Michal Andrle & Tibor Hledik & Ondra Kamenik & Jan Vlcek, 2009, "Implementing the New Structural Model of the Czech National Bank," Working Papers, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, number 2009/2, Oct.
• Jaime Silva González, 2009, "Estimación de la tasa de cambio real de equilibrio: aplicación a Colombia," Revista de Economía del Caribe, Universidad del Norte, volume 0, issue 0, pages 1-35.
• Guido Gabriel González Casares & Marlon Andrés Viera Mendoza & Xavier Ordenana Rodríguez, 2009, "El destino de las remesas en Ecuador: Un análisis microeconómico sobre los factores que determinan su utilización en actividades de inversión," Revista de Economía del Caribe, Universidad del Norte, volume 0, issue 0, pages 1-37.
• José Luis Ramos Ruiz & Raimundo Abello Llanos & Gustavo Rodríguez Albor, 2009, "Posibilidades de transformación productiva y desarrollo tecnológico del Caribe colombiano," Revista de Economía del Caribe, Universidad del Norte, volume 0, issue 0, pages 1-40.
• Paola Roldán Vásquez & Carlos Ospino Hernández, 2009, "¿Quiénes terminan en la informalidad?: Impacto de las características y el tiempo de búsqueda," Revista de Economía del Caribe, Universidad del Norte, volume 0, issue 0, pages 1-32.
• Ignacio Velez-Pareja, 2009, "Metodos de pronostico," Proyecciones Financieras y Valoración, Master Consultores, number 5675, Jun.
• Ignacio Velez-Pareja, 2009, "Constructing Consistent Financial Planning Models for Valuation," Proyecciones Financieras y Valoración, Master Consultores, number 5747, Aug.
• Söderlind, Paul, 2009, "Inflation Risk Premia and Survey Evidence on Macroeconomic Uncertainty," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7250, Apr.
• Giannone, Domenico & D’Agostino, Antonello & Gambetti, Luca, 2009, "Macroeconomic Forecasting and Structural Change," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7542, Nov.
• Ritschl, Albrecht & Ahmadi, Pooyan Amir, 2009, "Depression Econometrics: A FAVAR Model of Monetary Policy During the Great Depression," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7546, Nov.
• Ritschl, Albrecht & Sarferaz, Samad, 2009, "Crisis? What Crisis? Currency vs. Banking in the Financial Crisis of 1931," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7610, Dec.
• Sucarrat, Genaro & Escribano, Álvaro, 2009, "Automated financial multi-path GETS modelling," UC3M Working papers. Economics, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Economía, number we093620, Jul.
• Antonello D'Agostino & Luca Gambetti & Domenico Giannone, 2009, "Macroeconomic Forecasting and Structural Change," Working Papers ECARES, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles, number 2009_020.
• Le Breton, Gwenaël & Be Duc, Louis, 2009, "Flow-of-funds analysis at the ECB: framework and applications," Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 105, Aug.
• Canova, Fabio & Gambetti, Luca, 2009, "Structural changes in the US economy: Is there a role for monetary policy?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 33, issue 2, pages 477-490, February.
• Steve Keen, 2009, "Bailing out the Titanic with a Thimble," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, volume 39, issue 1, pages 3-24, March.
• Berger, Helge & Österholm, Pär, 2009, "Does money still matter for U.S. output?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 102, issue 3, pages 143-146, March.
• Kholodilin, Konstantin & Montagnoli, Alberto & Napolitano, Oreste & Siliverstovs, Boriss, 2009, "Assessing the impact of the ECB's monetary policy on the stock markets: A sectoral view," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 105, issue 3, pages 211-213, December.
• Akram, Q. Farooq, 2009, "Commodity prices, interest rates and the dollar," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 31, issue 6, pages 838-851, November.
• Ahmadi, Pooyan Amir & Ritschl, Albrecht, 2009, "Depression econometrics: a FAVAR model of monetary policy during the Great Depression," Economic History Working Papers, London School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Economic History, number 51582.
• Giselle Guzmán, 2009, "Using Sentiment Surveys to Predict GDP Growth and Stock Returns," Chapters, Edward Elgar Publishing, chapter 12, in: Lawrence R. Klein, "The Making of National Economic Forecasts".
• Logan J. Kelly, 2009, "The stock of money and why you should care," Advances in Econometrics, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, "Measurement Error: Consequences, Applications and Solutions", DOI: 10.1108/S0731-9053(2009)0000024013.
• Hamid Baghestani, 2009, "Evaluating random walk forecasts of exchange rates," Studies in Economics and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, volume 26, issue 3, pages 171-181, July, DOI: 10.1108/10867370910974008.
• Amir E. Khandani & Andrew W. Lo & Robert C. Merton, 2009, "Systemic Risk and the Refinancing Ratchet Effect," Harvard Business School Working Papers, Harvard Business School, number 10-023, Sep, revised Jul 2010.
• Lillian Cheung & Chi-Sang Tam & Jessica Szeto, 2009, "Deteriorating Public Finances and Rising Government Debt: Implications for Monetary Policy," Working Papers, Hong Kong Monetary Authority, number 0915, Aug.
• Felix Geiger & Oliver Sauter, 2009, "Deflationary vs. Inflationary Expectations - A New-Keynesian Perspective with Heterogeneous Agents and Monetary Believes," Diskussionspapiere aus dem Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre der Universität Hohenheim, Department of Economics, University of Hohenheim, Germany, number 312/2009, Jun.
• Felix Geiger & Oliver Sauter & Kai D. Schmid, 2009, "The Camp View of Inflation Forecasts," Diskussionspapiere aus dem Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre der Universität Hohenheim, Department of Economics, University of Hohenheim, Germany, number 320/2009, Dec.
• Dietske Simons & Ferdinand Rolwes, 2009, "Macroeconomic efault Modeling and Stress Testing," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, volume 5, issue 3, pages 177-204, September.
• Luca Arciero & Claudia Biancotti & Leandro D'Aurizio & Claudio Impenna, 2009, "Exploring Agent-Based Methods for the Analysis of Payment Systems: A Crisis Model for StarLogo TNG," Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, volume 12, issue 1, pages 1-2.
• Guangling 'Dave' Liu & Rangan Gupta & Eric Schaling, 2009, "A New-Keynesian DSGE model for forecasting the South African economy," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 28, issue 5, pages 387-404, DOI: 10.1002/for.1103.