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Contagion at the interbank market with stochastic LGD

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  • Memmel, Christoph
  • Sachs, Angelika
  • Stein, Ingrid

Abstract

This paper investigates contagion at the German interbank market under the assumption of a stochastic loss given default (LGD). We combine a unique data set about the LGD of interbank loans with data about interbank exposures. We find that the frequency distribution of the LGD is u-shaped. Under the assumption of a stochastic LGD, simulation results show a more fragile banking system than under the assumption of a constant LGD. There are three types of banks concerning their tendency to trigger contagion: banks with strongly varying impact, banks whose impact is relatively constant, and banks with no direct impact.

Suggested Citation

  • Memmel, Christoph & Sachs, Angelika & Stein, Ingrid, 2011. "Contagion at the interbank market with stochastic LGD," Discussion Paper Series 2: Banking and Financial Studies 2011,06, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:bubdp2:201106
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Lelyveld, Iman van & Liedorp, Franka, 2004. "Interbank Contagion in the Dutch Banking Sector," MPRA Paper 651, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 11 Jul 2005.
    2. Marco A. Espinosa‐Vega & Juan Solé, 2011. "Cross‐border financial surveillance: a network perspective," Journal of Financial Economic Policy, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 3(3), pages 182-205, August.
    3. Mr. Jorge A Chan-Lau, 2010. "Balance Sheet Network Analysis of Too-Connected-to-Fail Risk in Global and Domestic Banking Systems," IMF Working Papers 2010/107, International Monetary Fund.
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    Cited by:

    1. Mr. Nicolas Arregui & Mr. Mohamed Norat & Antonio Pancorbo & Ms. Jodi G Scarlata & Eija Holttinen & Fabiana Melo & Jay Surti & Christopher Wilson & Rodolfo Wehrhahn & Mamoru Yanase, 2013. "Addressing Interconnectedness: Concepts and Prudential Tools," IMF Working Papers 2013/199, International Monetary Fund.
    2. Memmel, Christoph & Sachs, Angelika, 2013. "Contagion in the interbank market and its determinants," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 9(1), pages 46-54.
    3. Bosma, Jakob & Koetter, Michael & Wedow, Michael, 2012. "Credit risk connectivity in the financial industry and stabilization effects of government bailouts," Discussion Papers 16/2012, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    4. Janette Larney & Gerrit Lodewicus Grobler & James Samuel Allison, 2022. "Introducing Two Parsimonious Standard Power Mixture Models for Bimodal Proportional Data with Application to Loss Given Default," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(23), pages 1-19, November.
    5. Shouwei Li & Jianmin He, 2016. "Loss distribution of systemic defaults in different interbank networks," International Journal of Modern Physics C (IJMPC), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 27(10), pages 1-9, October.
    6. Alesia Kalbaska, 2013. "From Sovereigns to Banks: Evidence on Cross-border Contagion (2006-2011)," Department of Economics University of Siena 680, Department of Economics, University of Siena.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    interbank market; contagion; stochastic LGD;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D53 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Financial Markets
    • E47 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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