Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

1. Forecasting with DSGE Models
2. Forecasting

2015

• Seungmoon Choi, 2015, "Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Continuous-Time Diffusion Models for Korean Short-Term Interest Rates," Economic Analysis (Quarterly), Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea, volume 21, issue 4, pages 28-58, December.
• Zhongjun Qu & Denis Tkachenko, 2015, "Global Identification in DSGE Models Allowing for Indeterminacy," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series, Boston University - Department of Economics, number wp2015-001, Aug.
• Zhongjun Qu, 2015, "A Composite Likelihood Framework for Analyzing Singular DSGE Models," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series, Boston University - Department of Economics, number wp2015-002, Jun.
• Albuquerque Bruno & Baumann Ursel & Krustev Georgi, 2015, "US household deleveraging following the Great Recession – a model-based estimate of equilibrium debt," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, volume 15, issue 1, pages 255-307, January, DOI: 10.1515/bejm-2013-0190.
• Lehmann Robert & Wohlrabe Klaus, 2015, "Forecasting GDP at the Regional Level with Many Predictors," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, volume 16, issue 2, pages 226-254, May, DOI: 10.1111/geer.12042.
• Dehejia Rajeev, 2015, "Experimental and Non-Experimental Methods in Development Economics: A Porous Dialectic," Journal of Globalization and Development, De Gruyter, volume 6, issue 1, pages 47-69, June, DOI: 10.1515/jgd-2014-0005.
• Silva João M. C. Santos & Tenreyro Silvana & Windmeijer Frank, 2015, "Testing Competing Models for Non-negative Data with Many Zeros," Journal of Econometric Methods, De Gruyter, volume 4, issue 1, pages 29-46, January, DOI: 10.1515/jem-2013-0005.
• Jochmann Markus & Koop Gary, 2015, "Regime-switching cointegration," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 19, issue 1, pages 35-48, February, DOI: 10.1515/snde-2012-0064.
• Nonejad Nima, 2015, "Particle Gibbs with ancestor sampling for stochastic volatility models with: heavy tails, in mean effects, leverage, serial dependence and structural breaks," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 19, issue 5, pages 561-584, December, DOI: 10.1515/snde-2014-0043.
• Fernanda Maria Muller & Fábio Mariano Bayer, 2015, "Numerical evaluation of likelihood inferences in Beta-t-Skew-EGARCH models," Brazilian Review of Finance, Brazilian Society of Finance, volume 13, issue 1, pages 40-73.
• Mihailo Radoman & Marcel-Cristian Voia, 2015, "Internal Promotion in Competitive Sports: Evidence from the English Premier League," Carleton Economic Papers, Carleton University, Department of Economics, number 15-09, Oct.
• Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Oyekola, Olayinka, 2015, "Oil Prices and the Dynamics of Output and Real Exchange Rate," Cardiff Economics Working Papers, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, number E2015/18, Nov.
• Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Oyekola, Olayinka, 2015, "Energy Business Cycles," Cardiff Economics Working Papers, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, number E2015/19, Nov.
• Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael, 2015, "Small sample performance of indirect inference on DSGE models," Cardiff Economics Working Papers, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, number E2015/2, Jan.
• Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael & Xu, Yongdeng, 2015, "Comparing Indirect Inference and Likelihood testing: asymptotic and small sample results," Cardiff Economics Working Papers, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, number E2015/8, Jul.
• Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael & Xu, Yongdeng, 2015, "Testing macro models by indirect inference: a survey for users," Cardiff Economics Working Papers, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, number E2015/9, Jul.
• Christophe Gouel & Nicolas Legrand, 2015, "Estimating the competitive storage model with trending commodity prices," Working Papers, Chaire Economie du climat, number 1513.
• Jan Frederik Kiviet & Milan Pleus & Rutger Poldermans, 2015, "Accuracy and Efficiency of Various GMM Inference Techniques in Dynamic Micro Panel Data Models," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 5189.
• Michael D. Bauer, 2015, "Restrictions on Risk Prices in Dynamic Term Structure Models," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 5241.
• Kajal Lahiri & Liu Yang, 2015, "Asymptotic Variance of Brier (Skill) Score in the Presence of Serial Correlation," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 5290.
• Steffen Henzel & Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2015, "Nowcasting Regional GDP: The Case of the Free State of Saxony," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 5336.
• André Kallåk Anundsen & Ragnar Nymoen, 2015, "Did US Consumers 'Save for a Rainy Day' Before the Great Recession?," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 5347.
• Tim Oliver Berg, 2015, "Forecast Accuracy of a BVAR under Alternative Specifications of the Zero Lower Bound," ifo Working Paper Series, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 203.
• Francesca Monti, 2015, "Can a data-rich environment help identify the sources of model misspecification?," Discussion Papers, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM), number 1505, Jan.
• Carlos Medel & Pablo Pincheira, 2015, "The Out-of-Sample Performance of An Exact Median-Unbiased Estimator for the Near-Unity Ar(1)Model," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile, number 768, Sep.
• Markus LEIPPOLD & Nikola VASILJEVIC, 2015, "Pricing and Disentanglement of American Puts in the Hyper-Exponential Jump-Diffusion Model," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series, Swiss Finance Institute, number 15-08, Feb, revised Mar 2015.
• Paul Schneider & Fabio Trojani, 2015, "Divergence and the Price of Uncertainty," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series, Swiss Finance Institute, number 15-60, Nov.
• Jorgen Hansen & Xingfei Liu, 2015, "Estimating labour supply responses and welfare participation: Using a natural experiment to validate a structural labour supply model," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, volume 48, issue 5, pages 1831-1854, December, DOI: 10.1111/caje.12181.
• Dante Amengual & Enrique Sentana, 2015, "Is a Normal Copula the Right Copula?," Working Papers, CEMFI, number wp2015_1504, Aug.
• Kamarul Ariffin MANSOR & Wan Irham ISHAK, 2015, "Forecasting Tourist Arrivals To Langkawi Island Malaysia," CrossCultural Management Journal, Fundația Română pentru Inteligența Afacerii, Editorial Department, issue 1, pages 69-76, June.
• Gustavo Nicol√°s P√°ez, 2015, "Prediciendo decisiones de agentes econ√≥micos: ¬øC√≥mo determina el Banco de la Rep√∫blica de Colombia la tasa de inter√©s?," Documentos CEDE, Universidad de los Andes, Facultad de Economía, CEDE, number 12567, Feb.
• Raúl De Jesús Gutiérrez & Reyna Vergara Gonz�lez & Miguel A. D�az Carre�o, 2015, "Predicción de la volatilidad en el mercado del petróleo mexicano ante la presencia de efectos asimétricos," Revista Cuadernos de Economia, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID.
• Alejandro Ramírez Vigoya, 2015, "Ajuste de una función de producción al sector financiero en Colombia," Revista Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Universidad Militar Nueva Granada, volume 0, issue 1, pages 141-156.
• Gabriela Zepeda-Mercado, 2015, "Sincronización cíclica del sector manufacturero de méxico y estados unidos desde una perspectiva no lineal autorregresiva con transición suave," Revista Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Universidad Militar Nueva Granada, volume 23, issue 2, pages 163-175.
• Henk-Wim de Boer, 2015, "A structural analysis of labour supply and involuntary unemployment in the Netherlands," CPB Discussion Paper, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis, number 312, Sep.
• Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael R. & Meenagh, David & Le, Vo Phuong Mai, 2015, "Small sample performance of indirect inference on DSGE models," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 10382, Feb.
• Muellbauer, John & Aron, Janine & Sebudde, Rachel, 2015, "Inflation forecasting models for Uganda: is mobile money relevant?," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 10739, Jul.
• Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael R. & Meenagh, David & Xu, Yongdeng, 2015, "Comparing Indirect Inference and Likelihood testing: asymptotic and small sample results," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 10765, Aug.
• Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael R. & Meenagh, David & Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Xu, Yongdeng, 2015, "Testing macro models by indirect inference: a survey for users," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 10766, Aug.
• Sentana, Enrique & Amengual, Dante, 2015, "Is a normal copula the right copula?," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 10809, Sep.
• Rubio-Ramírez, Juan Francisco & Schorfheide, Frank & Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús, 2015, "Solution and Estimation Methods for DSGE Models," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 11032, Dec.
• Janine Aron & John Muellbauer & Rachel Sebudde, 2015, "Inflation forecasting models for Uganda: is mobile money relevant?," CSAE Working Paper Series, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford, number 2015-17.
• Blazsek, Szabolcs & Escribano, Álvaro, 2015, "Dynamic conditional score patent count panel data models," UC3M Working papers. Economics, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Economía, number we1510, Nov.
• Almeida, Daniel de & Hotta, Luiz & Ruiz Ortega, Esther, 2015, "MGARCH models: tradeoff between feasibility and flexibility," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística, number ws1516, Jul.
• Nikolai Dokuchaev, 2015, "Modelling Possibility of Short-Term Forecasting of Market Parameters for Portfolio Selection," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, volume 16, issue 1, pages 143-161, May.
• Chen, Haiqiang, 2015, "Robust Estimation And Inference For Threshold Models With Integrated Regressors," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, volume 31, issue 4, pages 778-810, August.
• Tchatoka, Firmin Doko, 2015, "Subset Hypotheses Testing And Instrument Exclusion In The Linear Iv Regression," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, volume 31, issue 6, pages 1192-1228, December.
• Lance Kent, 2015, "Relaxing Rational Expectations," Working Papers, Economics Department, William & Mary, number 159, Mar.
• Konstantin A. Kholodilin, 2015, "War, Housing Rents, and Free Market: A Case of Berlin's Rental Housing Market during the World War I," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, number 1477.
• Ha-Thu Nguyen, 2015, "How is credit scoring used to predict default in China?," EconomiX Working Papers, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX, number 2015-1.
• Christophe Gouel & Nicolas Legrand, 2015, "Estimating the Competitive Storage Model with Trending Commodity Prices," EconomiX Working Papers, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX, number 2015-15.
• T.P. Sinha, 2015, "Has Black Income as a Proportion of GDP in India Declined in the Post-Reform Period?," Indian Economic Review, Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics, volume 50, issue 2, pages 273-316.
• GUISAN, Maria-Carmen, 2015, "Selected Readings On Econometrics Methodology, 2001-2010: Causality, Measure Of Variables, Dynamic Models And Economic Approaches To Growth And Development," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, volume 15, issue 2, pages 213-220.
• Camba-Méndez, Gonzalo & Kapetanios, George & Papailias, Fotis & Weale, Martin R., 2015, "An automatic leading indicator, variable reduction and variable selection methods using small and large datasets: Forecasting the industrial production growth for euro area economies," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1773, Apr.
• Albuquerque, Bruno & Krustev, Georgi, 2015, "Debt overhang and deleveraging in the US household sector: gauging the impact on consumption," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1843, Aug.
• De Bruyckere, Valerie, 2015, "Systemic risk rankings and network centrality in the European banking sector," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1848, Sep.
• Ciccarelli, Matteo & García, Juan Angel, 2015, "International spillovers in inflation expectations," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1857, Oct.
• Athey, Susan & Eckles, Dean & Imbens, Guido W., 2015, "Exact P-Values for Network Interference," Research Papers, Stanford University, Graduate School of Business, number 3287, Jun.
• Athey, Susan & Eckles, Dean & Imbens, Guido W., 2015, "Exact P-Values for Network Interference," Research Papers, Stanford University, Graduate School of Business, number 3351, Jun.
• El in Aykac Alp & Elif Guneren Genc, 2015, "The Relation between Current Account Deficit and Tourism: The Case of Turkey," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, volume 5, issue 2, pages 448-453.
• Samuel Yeboah Asuamah & Joseph Ohene-Manu, 2015, "An Econometric Investigation of Forecasting Premium Fuel," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, volume 5, issue 3, pages 716-724.
• Ali Acaravci & Sinan Erdogan & Guray Akalin, 2015, "The Electricity Consumption, Real Income, Trade Openness and Foreign Direct Investment: The Empirical Evidence from Turkey," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, volume 5, issue 4, pages 1050-1057.
• P. Byrne, Joseph & Cao, Shuo & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2015, "Term Structure Dynamics, Macro-Finance Factors and Model Uncertainty," SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE), number 2015-71.
• Korobilis, Dimitris, 2015, "Quantile forecasts of inflation under model uncertainty," SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE), number 2015-72, Apr.
• Korobilis, Dimitris, 2015, "Prior selection for panel vector autoregressions," SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE), number 2015-73, Apr.
• Mutschler, Willi, 2015, "Identification of DSGE models—The effect of higher-order approximation and pruning," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 56, issue C, pages 34-54, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2015.04.007.
• Cantore, Cristiano & Levine, Paul & Pearlman, Joseph & Yang, Bo, 2015, "CES technology and business cycle fluctuations," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 61, issue C, pages 133-151, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2015.09.006.
• Afonso, António & Arghyrou, Michael G. & Bagdatoglou, George & Kontonikas, Alexandros, 2015, "On the time-varying relationship between EMU sovereign spreads and their determinants," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 44, issue C, pages 363-371, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2014.07.025.
• King, Daniel & Botha, Ferdi, 2015, "Modelling stock return volatility dynamics in selected African markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 45, issue C, pages 50-73, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2014.11.008.
• Franke, Reiner & Jang, Tae-Seok & Sacht, Stephen, 2015, "Moment matching versus Bayesian estimation: Backward-looking behaviour in a New-Keynesian baseline model," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, volume 31, issue C, pages 126-154, DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2014.11.001.
• Buncic, Daniel & Moretto, Carlo, 2015, "Forecasting copper prices with dynamic averaging and selection models," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, volume 33, issue C, pages 1-38, DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2015.03.002.
• Mayr, Johannes & Ulbricht, Dirk, 2015, "Log versus level in VAR forecasting: 42 million empirical answers—Expect the unexpected," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 126, issue C, pages 40-42, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2014.11.008.
• Wilson, Paul, 2015, "The misuse of the Vuong test for non-nested models to test for zero-inflation," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 127, issue C, pages 51-53, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2014.12.029.
• Zhang, Xinyu, 2015, "Consistency of model averaging estimators," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 130, issue C, pages 120-123, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2015.03.017.
• Chan, Joshua C.C. & Grant, Angelia L., 2015, "Pitfalls of estimating the marginal likelihood using the modified harmonic mean," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 131, issue C, pages 29-33, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2015.03.036.
• Xie, Tian, 2015, "Prediction model averaging estimator," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 131, issue C, pages 5-8, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2015.03.027.
• Nonejad, Nima, 2015, "Flexible model comparison of unobserved components models using particle Gibbs with ancestor sampling," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 133, issue C, pages 35-39, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2015.04.034.
• Herwartz, Helmut & Raters, Fabian H.C., 2015, "Copula-MGARCH with continuous covariance decomposition," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 133, issue C, pages 73-76, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2015.05.023.
• Krämer, Walter & Wied, Dominik, 2015, "A simple and focused backtest of value at risk," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 137, issue C, pages 29-31, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2015.10.028.
• Han, Xu, 2015, "Tests for overidentifying restrictions in Factor-Augmented VAR models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 184, issue 2, pages 394-419, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2014.04.024.
• Andreou, Elena & Werker, Bas J.M., 2015, "Residual-based rank specification tests for AR–GARCH type models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 185, issue 2, pages 305-331, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2014.11.001.
• Liu, Chu-An, 2015, "Distribution theory of the least squares averaging estimator," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 186, issue 1, pages 142-159, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2014.07.002.
• Clark, Todd E. & McCracken, Michael W., 2015, "Nested forecast model comparisons: A new approach to testing equal accuracy," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 186, issue 1, pages 160-177, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2014.06.016.
• Fujiki, Hiroshi & Hsiao, Cheng, 2015, "Disentangling the effects of multiple treatments—Measuring the net economic impact of the 1995 great Hanshin-Awaji earthquake," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 186, issue 1, pages 66-73, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2014.10.010.
• Cheng, Xu & Hansen, Bruce E., 2015, "Forecasting with factor-augmented regression: A frequentist model averaging approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 186, issue 2, pages 280-293, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2015.02.010.
• Onatski, Alexei, 2015, "Asymptotic analysis of the squared estimation error in misspecified factor models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 186, issue 2, pages 388-406, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2015.02.016.
• Shi, Xiaoxia, 2015, "Model selection tests for moment inequality models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 187, issue 1, pages 1-17, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2015.01.004.
• Lee, Donghoon & Song, Kyungchul, 2015, "Simulated maximum likelihood estimation for discrete choices using transformed simulated frequencies," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 187, issue 1, pages 131-153, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2014.12.009.
• Caner, Mehmet & Fan, Qingliang, 2015, "Hybrid generalized empirical likelihood estimators: Instrument selection with adaptive lasso," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 187, issue 1, pages 256-274, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2015.01.007.
• Baek, Yae In & Cho, Jin Seo & Phillips, Peter C.B., 2015, "Testing linearity using power transforms of regressors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 187, issue 1, pages 376-384, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2015.03.041.
• Baldovin, Fulvio & Caporin, Massimiliano & Caraglio, Michele & Stella, Attilio L. & Zamparo, Marco, 2015, "Option pricing with non-Gaussian scaling and infinite-state switching volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 187, issue 2, pages 486-497, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2015.02.033.
• Andersen, Torben G. & Bondarenko, Oleg & Todorov, Viktor & Tauchen, George, 2015, "The fine structure of equity-index option dynamics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 187, issue 2, pages 532-546, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2015.02.037.
• Hong, Han & Mahajan, Aprajit & Nekipelov, Denis, 2015, "Extremum estimation and numerical derivatives," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 188, issue 1, pages 250-263, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2014.05.019.
• Lu, Xun & Su, Liangjun, 2015, "Jackknife model averaging for quantile regressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 188, issue 1, pages 40-58, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2014.11.005.
• Poskitt, D.S. & Grose, Simone D. & Martin, Gael M., 2015, "Higher-order improvements of the sieve bootstrap for fractionally integrated processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 188, issue 1, pages 94-110, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2015.03.045.
• Hong, Han & Li, Weiming & Wang, Boyu, 2015, "Estimation of dynamic discrete models from time aggregated data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 188, issue 2, pages 435-446, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2015.03.009.
• Lee, Yoonseok & Phillips, Peter C.B., 2015, "Model selection in the presence of incidental parameters," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 188, issue 2, pages 474-489, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2015.03.012.
• Farrell, Max H., 2015, "Robust inference on average treatment effects with possibly more covariates than observations," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 189, issue 1, pages 1-23, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2015.06.017.
• Cai, Zongwu & Juhl, Ted & Yang, Bingduo, 2015, "Functional index coefficient models with variable selection," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 189, issue 2, pages 272-284, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2015.03.022.
• Cheng, Tzu-Chang F. & Ing, Ching-Kang & Yu, Shu-Hui, 2015, "Toward optimal model averaging in regression models with time series errors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 189, issue 2, pages 321-334, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2015.03.026.
• Clements, A.E. & Hurn, A.S. & Volkov, V.V., 2015, "Volatility transmission in global financial markets," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, volume 32, issue C, pages 3-18, DOI: 10.1016/j.jempfin.2014.12.002.
• Shen, Chung-Hua & Luo, Fuyan & Huang, Dengshi, 2015, "Analysis of earnings management influence on the investment efficiency of listed Chinese companies," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, volume 34, issue C, pages 60-78, DOI: 10.1016/j.jempfin.2015.08.003.
• Pringles, Rolando & Olsina, Fernando & Garcés, Francisco, 2015, "Real option valuation of power transmission investments by stochastic simulation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 47, issue C, pages 215-226, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2014.11.011.
• Weron, Rafał & Zator, Michał, 2015, "A note on using the Hodrick–Prescott filter in electricity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 48, issue C, pages 1-6, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2014.11.014.
• Camarero, Mariam & Forte, Anabel & Garcia-Donato, Gonzalo & Mendoza, Yurena & Ordoñez, Javier, 2015, "Variable selection in the analysis of energy consumption–growth nexus," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 52, issue PA, pages 207-216, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2015.10.012.
• Deeney, Peter & Cummins, Mark & Dowling, Michael & Bermingham, Adam, 2015, "Sentiment in oil markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, volume 39, issue C, pages 179-185, DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2015.01.005.
• Wang, Miao & Wong, M. C. Sunny, 2015, "Rational speculative bubbles in the US stock market and political cycles," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 13, issue C, pages 1-9, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2015.03.009.
• Han, Jihun & Park, Hyungbin, 2015, "The intrinsic bounds on the risk premium of Markovian pricing kernels," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 13, issue C, pages 36-44, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2015.03.005.
• Ardia, David & Boudt, Kris, 2015, "Testing equality of modified Sharpe ratios," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 13, issue C, pages 97-104, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2015.02.008.
• Sogiakas, Vasilios & Karathanassis, George, 2015, "Informational efficiency and spurious spillover effects between spot and derivatives markets," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, volume 27, issue C, pages 46-72, DOI: 10.1016/j.gfj.2015.04.004.
• Denuit, Michel & Kiriliouk, Anna & Segers, Johan, 2015, "Max-factor individual risk models with application to credit portfolios," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, volume 62, issue C, pages 162-172, DOI: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2015.03.006.
• Jammazi, Rania & Lahiani, Amine & Nguyen, Duc Khuong, 2015, "A wavelet-based nonlinear ARDL model for assessing the exchange rate pass-through to crude oil prices," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, volume 34, issue C, pages 173-187, DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2014.11.011.
• Bec, Frédérique & Mogliani, Matteo, 2015, "Nowcasting French GDP in real-time with surveys and “blocked” regressions: Combining forecasts or pooling information?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 31, issue 4, pages 1021-1042, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2014.11.006.
• Berg, Tim O. & Henzel, Steffen R., 2015, "Point and density forecasts for the euro area using Bayesian VARs," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 31, issue 4, pages 1067-1095, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2015.03.006.
• Jessen, Cathrine & Lando, David, 2015, "Robustness of distance-to-default," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 50, issue C, pages 493-505, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2014.05.016.
• Darolles, Serge & Fol, Gaëlle Le & Mero, Gulten, 2015, "Measuring the liquidity part of volume," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 50, issue C, pages 92-105, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2014.09.007.
• Tavin, Bertrand, 2015, "Detection of arbitrage in a market with multi-asset derivatives and known risk-neutral marginals," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 53, issue C, pages 158-178, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2014.12.023.
• Fajardo, José, 2015, "Barrier style contracts under Lévy processes: An alternative approach," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 53, issue C, pages 179-187, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2015.01.002.
• Weiß, Gregor N.F. & Scheffer, Marcus, 2015, "Mixture pair-copula-constructions," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 54, issue C, pages 175-191, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2015.01.008.
• Bernard, Carole & Vanduffel, Steven, 2015, "A new approach to assessing model risk in high dimensions," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 58, issue C, pages 166-178, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2015.03.007.
• Cai, Zongwu & Ren, Yu & Yang, Bingduo, 2015, "A semiparametric conditional capital asset pricing model," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 61, issue C, pages 117-126, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2015.09.002.
• Audrino, Francesco & Fengler, Matthias R., 2015, "Are classical option pricing models consistent with observed option second-order moments? Evidence from high-frequency data," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 61, issue C, pages 46-63, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2015.08.018.
• Christiansen, Nels, 2015, "Greasing the wheels: Pork and public goods contributions in a legislative bargaining experiment," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 120, issue C, pages 64-79, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2015.10.004.
• Schneider, Paul, 2015, "Generalized risk premia," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, volume 116, issue 3, pages 487-504, DOI: 10.1016/j.jfineco.2015.03.003.
• Andersen, Torben G. & Fusari, Nicola & Todorov, Viktor, 2015, "The risk premia embedded in index options," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, volume 117, issue 3, pages 558-584, DOI: 10.1016/j.jfineco.2015.06.005.
• Saka, Orkun & Fuertes, Ana-Maria & Kalotychou, Elena, 2015, "ECB policy and Eurozone fragility: Was De Grauwe right?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 54, issue C, pages 168-185, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2015.03.002.
• Funke, Michael & Shu, Chang & Cheng, Xiaoqiang & Eraslan, Sercan, 2015, "Assessing the CNH–CNY pricing differential: Role of fundamentals, contagion and policy," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 59, issue C, pages 245-262, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2015.07.008.
• Dreger, Christian & Wolters, Jürgen, 2015, "Unconventional monetary policy and money demand," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 46, issue C, pages 40-54, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2015.07.005.
• Khan, Jashim & Belk, Russell W. & Craig-Lees, Margaret, 2015, "Measuring consumer perceptions of payment mode," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, volume 47, issue C, pages 34-49, DOI: 10.1016/j.joep.2015.01.006.
• Lucarelli, Caterina & Uberti, Pierpaolo & Brighetti, Gianni & Maggi, Mario, 2015, "Risky choices and emotion-based learning," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, volume 49, issue C, pages 59-73, DOI: 10.1016/j.joep.2015.04.004.
• Dragomirescu-Gaina, Catalin & Elia, Leandro & Weber, Anke, 2015, "A fast-forward look at tertiary education attainment in Europe 2020," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, volume 37, issue 5, pages 804-819, DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2015.05.002.
• Li, Gang & Li, Yong, 2015, "Forecasting copper futures volatility under model uncertainty," Resources Policy, Elsevier, volume 46, issue P2, pages 167-176, DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2015.09.009.
• Geyer, Johannes & Haan, Peter & Wrohlich, Katharina, 2015, "The effects of family policy on maternal labor supply: Combining evidence from a structural model and a quasi-experimental approach," Labour Economics, Elsevier, volume 36, issue C, pages 84-98, DOI: 10.1016/j.labeco.2015.07.001.
• Fantazzini, Dean & Toktamysova, Zhamal, 2015, "Forecasting German car sales using Google data and multivariate models," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, volume 170, issue PA, pages 97-135, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijpe.2015.09.010.
• Swanson, Norman R. & Urbach, Richard, 2015, "Prediction and simulation using simple models characterized by nonstationarity and seasonality," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, volume 40, issue C, pages 312-323, DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2015.02.027.
• Caporin, Massimiliano & Velo, Gabriel G., 2015, "Realized range volatility forecasting: Dynamic features and predictive variables," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, volume 40, issue C, pages 98-112, DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2015.02.021.
• Demirovic, Amer & Tucker, Jon & Guermat, Cherif, 2015, "Accounting data and the credit spread: An empirical investigation," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, volume 34, issue C, pages 233-250, DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2015.02.013.
• Joshua C.C. Chan & Angelia L. Grant, 2015, "Pitfalls of Estimating the Marginal Likelihood Using the Modified Harmonic Mean," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2015-08, Mar.
• Francesco Furlanetto & Nicolas Groshenny, 2015, "Mismatch Shocks and Unemployment During the Great Recession," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2015-17, Jun.
• Joshua C.C. Chan & Angelia L. Grant, 2015, "Modeling energy price dynamics: GARCH versus stochastic volatility," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2015-20, Jun.
• Joshua C.C. Chan & Angelia L. Grant, 2015, "A Bayesian model comparison for trend-cycle decompositions of output," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2015-31, Aug.
• Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat, 2015, "Bayesian model comparison for time-varying parameter VARs with stochastic volatility," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2015-32, Aug.
• Silva, João M. C. Santos & Tenreyro, Silvana & Windmeijer, Frank, 2015, "Testing competing models for non-negative data with many zeros," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 63663, Jan.
• Lleo, Sebastien & Ziemba, Bill, 2015, "The Swiss black swan bad scenario: is Switzerland another casualty of the Eurozone crisis," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 65107, Aug.
• Monti, Francesca, 2015, "Can a data-rich environment help identify the sources of model misspecification?," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 86320, Jan.
• Giuseppe De Luca & Jan R. Magnus & Franco Peracchi, 2015, "On the ambiguous consequences of omitting variables," EIEF Working Papers Series, Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance (EIEF), number 1505, revised May 2015.
• George Lady & Andres J. Buck, 2015, "Estimating a Falsified Model: Some Impossibility Theorems," EcoMod2015, EcoMod, number 8326, Jul.
• Gulten Mero & Serge Darolles & Gaëlle Le Fol, 2015, "Financial Market Liquidity: Who Is Acting Strategically?," Thema Working Papers, THEMA (Théorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), CY Cergy-Paris University, ESSEC and CNRS, number 2015-14.
• Marcel Aloy & Gilles Dufrénot, 2015, "A Comparison of the Fed’s and ECB’s Strategies during the Subprime Crisis," International Symposia in Economic Theory and Econometrics, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, "Monetary Policy in the Context of the Financial Crisis: New Challenges and Lessons", DOI: 10.1108/S1571-038620150000024024.
• Martinet, G.G. & McAleer, M.J., 2015, "On the Invertibility of EGARCH(p,q)," Econometric Institute Research Papers, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute, number EI 2015-12, Feb.
• Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & STELIOS BEKIROS, 2015, "The Role Of News-Based Uncertainty Indices In Predicting Oil Markets: A Hybrid Nonparametric Quantile Causality Method," Working Papers, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics, number 15-02.
• Mariana NICOLAE-BALAN & Raluca Ioana IORGULESCU, 2015, "Analysis Models for Territorial Variation of Demographic Phenomena. The Case of Romania," Eco-Economics Review, Ecological University of Bucharest, Economics Faculty and Ecology and Environmental Protection Faculty, volume 1, issue 1, pages 25-32, June.
• Raja HMILI & Taoufik BOURAOUI, 2015, "Early Warning Indicators of Banking Crisis in Asian Countries," Expert Journal of Finance, Sprint Investify, volume 3, issue 1, pages 1-8.
• Hyytinen, Ari & Meriläinen, Jaakko & Saarimaa, Tuukka & Toivanen, Otto & Tukiainen, Janne, 2015, "Does Regression Discontinuity Design Work? Evidence from Random Election Outcomes," Working Papers, VATT Institute for Economic Research, number 59.
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• Mark Bognanni & Edward P. Herbst, 2015, "Estimating (Markov-Switching) VAR Models without Gibbs Sampling: A Sequential Monte Carlo Approach," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2015-116, Dec, DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2015.116.
• Silvia Goncalves & Michael W. McCracken & Benoit Perron, 2015, "Tests of Equal Accuracy for Nested Models with Estimated Factors," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, number 2015-25, Sep, DOI: 10.20955/wp.2015.025.
• Michael W. McCracken & Michael T. Owyang & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2015, "Real-Time Forecasting and Scenario Analysis using a Large Mixed-Frequency Bayesian VAR," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, number 2015-030, Oct, revised 10 Apr 2020, DOI: 10.20955/wp.2015.030.
• Christophe Gouel & Nicolas Legrand, 2015, "Estimating the Competitive Storage Model with Trending Commodity Prices," FOODSECURE Technical papers, LEI Wageningen UR, number 6, Nov.
• Andrew J. Buck & George M. Lady, 2015, "A New Approach to Model Verification, Falsification and Selection," Econometrics, MDPI, volume 3, issue 3, pages 1-28, June.
• Sebastien Lleo & William T. Ziemba, 2015, "The Swiss Black Swan Bad Scenario: Is Switzerland Another Casualty of the Eurozone Crisis?," IJFS, MDPI, volume 3, issue 3, pages 1-30, August.
• Joseph P. Byrne & Shuo Cao. & Dimitris Korobilis., 2015, "Term Structure Dynamics, Macro-Finance Factors and Model Uncertainty," Working Papers, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow, number 2015_08, Feb.
• Dimitris Korobilis., 2015, "Quantile forecasts of inflation under model uncertainty," Working Papers, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow, number 2015_09, Apr.
• Dimitris Korobilis., 2015, "Prior selection for panel vector autoregressions," Working Papers, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow, number 2015_10, Apr.
• Ossola, Elisa & Gagilardini, Patrick & Scaillet, Olivier, 2015, "Time-varying risk premium in large cross-sectional equity datasets," Working Papers, University of Geneva, Geneva School of Economics and Management, number unige:76321.
• Stephan Klasen & Simon Lange, 2015, "Accuracy and Poverty Impacts of Proxy Means-Tested Transfers: An Empirical Assessment for Bolivia," Courant Research Centre: Poverty, Equity and Growth - Discussion Papers, Courant Research Centre PEG, number 164, Jan.
• Stephan Klasen & Simon Lange, 2015, "Targeting Performance and Poverty Effects of Proxy Means-Tested Transfers: Trade-offs and Challenges," Ibero America Institute for Econ. Research (IAI) Discussion Papers, Ibero-America Institute for Economic Research, number 231, Mar.
• Constantin Burgi, 2015, "Can A Subset Of Forecasters Beat The Simple Average In The Spf?," Working Papers, The George Washington University, The Center for Economic Research, number 2015-001, Mar.
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• Jörg Döpke & Ulrich Fritsche & Christian Pierdzioch, 2015, "Predicting Recessions With Boosted Regression Trees," Working Papers, The George Washington University, The Center for Economic Research, number 2015-004, Dec.
• Constantin Bürgi & Tara M. Sinclair, 2015, "A Nonparametric Approach to Identifying a Subset of Forecasters that Outperforms the Simple Average," Working Papers, The George Washington University, The Center for Economic Research, number 2015-006, Dec.
• Christophe Boucher & Patrick Kouontchou & Bertrand Maillet, 2015, "Du risque des mesures de risque systémique," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-01243404, DOI: 10.3917/reco.pr2.0065.
• Marcel Aloy & Gilles Dufrénot, 2015, "A Comparison of the Fed’s and ECB’s Strategies during the Subprime Crisis," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-01456110, Jul.
• Serge Darolles & Gaëlle Le Fol & Gulten Mero, 2015, "Measuring the Liquidity Part of Volume," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-01632766, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2014.09.007.
• Gulten Mero & S. Darolles & Gaëlle Le Fol, 2015, "Measuring the Liquidity Part of Volume," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-02979999, Dec.
• Mihailo Radoman & Marcel Voia, 2015, "Youth Training Programs and Their Impact on Career and Spell Duration of Professional Soccer Players," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-04926597, Apr, DOI: 10.1111/labr.12049.
• Christophe Gouel & Nicolas Legrand, 2015, "Estimating the Competitive Storage Model with Trending Commodity Prices," Working Papers, HAL, number hal-04141412.
• Grote, Claudia & Bertram, Philip, 2015, "A comparative Study of Volatility Breaks," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP), Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät, number dp-558, Jun.
• Jörg Döpke & Ulrich Fritsche & Christian Pierdzioch, 2015, "Predicting Recessions in Germany With Boosted Regression Trees," Macroeconomics and Finance Series, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics, number 201505, Oct.
• Westin, Jonas & de Jong, Gerard & Vierth, Inge & Krüger, Niclas & Karlsson, Rune & Johansson, Magnus, 2015, "Baserunning - analyzing the sensitivity and economies of scale of the Swedish national freight model system using stochastic production-consumption-matrices," Working papers in Transport Economics, CTS - Centre for Transport Studies Stockholm (KTH and VTI), number 2015:10, May, revised 15 Sep 2016.
• Pingel, Ronnie & Waernbaum, Ingeborg, 2015, "Correlation and efficiency of propensity score-based estimators for average causal effects," Working Paper Series, IFAU - Institute for Evaluation of Labour Market and Education Policy, number 2015:3, Feb.
• Anundsen, Andre K. & Nymoen, Ragnar, 2015, "Did US consumers `save for a rainy day' before the Great Recession?," Memorandum, Oslo University, Department of Economics, number 11/2015, May.
• Gjelsvik, Marit Linnea & Nymoen, Ragnar & Sparrman, Victoria, 2015, "Have Inflation Targeting and EU labour Immigration Changed the System of Wage Formation in Norway," Memorandum, Oslo University, Department of Economics, number 18/2015, Oct.
• Lucas, André & Zhang, Xin, 2015, "Score Driven Exponentially Weighted Moving Averages and Value-at-Risk Forecasting," Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden), number 309, Sep.
• Ishihara, Tsunehiro & Watanabe, Toshiaki, 2015, "Econometric Analysis of Business Cycles: A Survey with the Application to the Composite Index in Japan," Economic Review, Hitotsubashi University, volume 66, issue 2, pages 145-168, April, DOI: 10.15057/27510.
• Achim Ahrens, 2015, "Civil conflicts in Africa: Climate, economic shocks, nighttime lights and spill-over effects," SEEC Discussion Papers, Spatial Economics and Econometrics Centre, Heriot Watt University, number 1501.
• Abbas ali Rezaei, 2015, "“Revenue-led Spending” or “Spending-led Revenue” : Evidence from Iran (1978-2012)," Hyperion Economic Journal, Faculty of Economic Sciences, Hyperion University of Bucharest, Romania, volume 3, issue 1, pages 3-19, March.
• Henk-Wim de Boer & Egbert L.W. Jongen & Jan Kabatek, 2015, "The Effectiveness of Fiscal Stimuli for Working Parents," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne, number wp2015n19, Sep.
• Tarek Bouchaddekh & Abdelfatteh Bouri & Makram Nouaili, 2015, "Asset Pricing and Probability of Information-based Trading: Application to the Tunisian Stock Market," Oblik i finansi, Institute of Accounting and Finance, issue 1, pages 58-65, March.
• Toru Kitagawa & Chris Muris, 2015, "Model averaging in semiparametric estimation of treatment effects," CeMMAP working papers, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies, number CWP46/15, Aug.