Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

1. Forecasting with DSGE Models
2. Forecasting

2013

• McIntosh, Christopher S. & Mittelhammer, Ron C. & Middleton, Jonathan N., 2013, "Listen to Your Data: Econometric Model Specification through Sonification," 2013 Annual Meeting, August 4-6, 2013, Washington, D.C., Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, number 150702, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.150702.
• Olivia, Susan & Gibson, John, 2013, "Economic Rise and Decline in Indonesia – As Seen from Space," 2013 Annual Meeting, August 4-6, 2013, Washington, D.C., Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, number 151210, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.151210.
• Majstorović, Aleksandar & Dukić, Dragan & Zogović, Mihajlo, 2013, "An Agricultural Land Value Assessment Model," Economics of Agriculture, Institute of Agricultural Economics, volume 60, issue 2, pages 1-10, July, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.152813.
• Bekkerman, Anton & Brester, Gary W. & McDonald, Tyrel J., 2013, "A Semiparametric Approach to Analyzing Differentiated Agricultural Products," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, volume 45, issue 01, pages 1-16, February, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.143640.
• Bodenhorn, Howard & Guinnane, Timothy & Mroz, Thomas, 2013, "Problems of Sample-selection Bias in the Historical Heights Literature: A Theoretical and Econometric Analysis," Center Discussion Papers, Yale University, Economic Growth Center, number 148749, May, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.148749.
• Olivier Bargain & Christina Orsini & Andreas Peichl, 2013, "Comparing Labor Supply Elasticities in Europe and the US: New Results," AMSE Working Papers, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France, number 1321, Mar.
• Olivier Bargain & Andreas Peichl, 2013, "Steady-State Labor Supply Elasticities: An International Comparison," AMSE Working Papers, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France, number 1322, Mar.
• Miklós Virag & Tamás Nyitrai, 2013, "Application of support vector machines on the basis of the first Hungarian bankruptcy model," Society and Economy, Akadémiai Kiadó, Hungary, volume 35, issue 2, pages 227-248, August.
• Francesca DI IORIO & Stefano FACHIN & Riccardo LUCCHETTI, 2013, "Can you do the wrong thing and still be right? Hypothesis Testing in I(2) and near-I(2) cointegrated VARs," Working Papers, Universita' Politecnica delle Marche (I), Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Sociali, number 395, Nov.
• Alex Luiz Ferreira & Sérgio Naruhiko Sakurai, 2013, "Personal charisma or the economy?: Macroeconomic indicators of presidential approval ratings in Brazil," Economia, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics], volume 14, issue 3–4, pages 214-232.
• Fulvio Baldovin & Massimiliano Caporin & Michele Caraglio & Attilio Stella & Marco Zamparo, 2013, "Option pricing with non-Gaussian scaling and infinite-state switching volatility," Papers, arXiv.org, number 1307.6322, Jul, revised May 2014.
• Max H. Farrell, 2013, "Robust Inference on Average Treatment Effects with Possibly More Covariates than Observations," Papers, arXiv.org, number 1309.4686, Sep, revised Feb 2018.
• A Vadivel & M Ramachandran, 2013, "Does Exchange Rate Intervention Trigger Volatility," IEG Working Papers, Institute of Economic Growth, number 328.
• Arun Advani & Tymon Słoczyński, 2013, "Mostly harmless simulations? On the internal validity of empirical Monte Carlo studies," CeMMAP working papers, Institute for Fiscal Studies, number 64/13, Dec, DOI: 10.1920/wp.cem.2013.6413.
• Carlos P. Barros & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2013, "The Housing Markets in Spain and Portugal: Evidence of Persistence," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, volume 3, pages 19-32, November.
• Todor Krastevich, 2013, "Using Predictive Modeling to Improve Direct Marketing Performance," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 3, pages 25-55.
• Conrad, Christian & Weber, Enzo, 2013, "Measuring Persistence in Volatility Spillovers," University of Regensburg Working Papers in Business, Economics and Management Information Systems, University of Regensburg, Department of Economics, number 473, Apr.
• Antonio Accetturo & Valter Di Giacinto & Giacinto Micucci & Marcello Pagnini, 2013, "Geography, productivity and trade: does selection explain why some locations are more productive than others?," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 910, Apr.
• Matteo Luciani & Libero Monteforte, 2013, "Uncertainty and heterogeneity in factor models forecasting," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 930, Sep.
• Hector Manuel Zárate Solano & Angélica Rengifo Gómez, 2013, "Forecasting annual inflation with power transformations: the case of inflation targeting countries," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 756, Feb, DOI: 10.32468/be.756.
• Dennis Sánchez, 2013, "Determinantes de los flujos de inversión extranjera directa estadounidense a través de un modelo gravitacional con componente espacial: evidencia para algunos países latinoamericanos," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, volume 31, issue 72, pages 35-50, December, DOI: 10.32468/Espe.7203.
• Matthieu Bussière, 2013, "In Defense of Early Warning Signals," Working papers, Banque de France, number 420.
• Frédérique Bec & Matteo Mogliani, 2013, "Nowcasting French GDP in Real-Time from Survey Opinions: Information or Forecast Combinations?," Working papers, Banque de France, number 436.
• Barbara Rossi, 2015, "Conditional Predictive Density Evaluation in the Presence of Instabilities," Working Papers, Barcelona School of Economics, number 688, Sep.
• Barbara Rossi, 2015, "Evaluating Predictive Densities of US Output Growth and Inflation in a Large Macroeconomic Data Set," Working Papers, Barcelona School of Economics, number 689, Sep.
• Matteo Barigozzi & Christian Brownlees, 2015, "Nets: Network Estimation for Time Series," Working Papers, Barcelona School of Economics, number 723, Sep.
• Bucevska Vesna, 2013, "An Empirical Evaluation of GARCH Models in Value-at-Risk Estimation: Evidence from the Macedonian Stock Exchange," Business Systems Research, Sciendo, volume 4, issue 1, pages 49-64, March, DOI: 10.2478/bsrj-2013-0005.
• Ilaski Barañano & M. Paz Moral, 2013, "Consumption–Leisure Trade-Offs And Persistency In Business Cycles," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, volume 65, issue 3, pages 280-298, July.
• Jennifer L. Castle & Xiaochuan Qin & W. Robert Reed, 2013, "Using Model Selection Algorithms To Obtain Reliable Coefficient Estimates," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, volume 27, issue 2, pages 269-296, April, DOI: 10.1111/joes.2013.27.issue-2.
• Tor Jacobson & Jesper Lindé & Kasper Roszbach, 2013, "Firm Default And Aggregate Fluctuations," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, volume 11, issue 4, pages 945-972, August.
• Raymond Kan & Cesare Robotti & Jay Shanken, 2013, "Pricing Model Performance and the Two‐Pass Cross‐Sectional Regression Methodology," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, volume 68, issue 6, pages 2617-2649, December, DOI: 10.1111/jofi.12035.
• Md Atikur Rahman Khan & D. S. Poskitt, 2013, "Moment tests for window length selection in singular spectrum analysis of short– and long–memory processes," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, volume 34, issue 2, pages 141-155, March, DOI: j.1467-9892.2012.00820.x.
• Ke. Zhu, 2013, "A mixed portmanteau test for ARMA-GARCH models by the quasi-maximum exponential likelihood estimation approach," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, volume 34, issue 2, pages 230-237, March, DOI: jtsa.12007.
• Jennifer L. Castle & Jurgen A. Doornik & David F. Hendry, 2013, "Model Selection in Equations with Many ‘Small’ Effects," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, volume 75, issue 1, pages 6-22, February, DOI: j.1468-0084.2012.00727.x.
• Janine Aron & John Muellbauer, 2013, "New Methods for Forecasting Inflation, Applied to the US," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, volume 75, issue 5, pages 637-661, October.
• James B. Mcdonald & Jeff Sorensen & Patrick A. Turley, 2013, "Skewness And Kurtosis Properties Of Income Distribution Models," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, volume 59, issue 2, pages 360-374, June.
• Janine Aron & John Muellbauer, 2013, "Wealth, Credit Conditions, and Consumption: Evidence from South Africa," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, volume 59, issue , pages 161-196, October.
• Oscar Martinez Ibañez & Miguel Manjón Antolín & Josep-Maria Arauzo-Carod, 2013, "The Geographical Scope of Industrial Location Determinants: An Alternative Approach," Tijdschrift voor Economische en Sociale Geografie, Royal Dutch Geographical Society KNAG, volume 104, issue 2, pages 194-214, April, DOI: 10.1111/tesg.2013.104.issue-2.
• Francesco Furlanetto & Nicolas Groshenny, 2013, "Mismatch shocks and unemployment during the Great Recession," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2013/16, Jun.
• Barbara Guardabascio & Marco Ventura, 2013, "Estimating the dose-response function through the GLM approach," German Stata Users' Group Meetings 2013, Stata Users Group, number 10, Jul.
• Hill Jonathan B., 2013, "Stochastically weighted average conditional moment tests of functional form," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 17, issue 2, pages 121-139, April, DOI: 10.1515/snde-2012-0019.
• Morley James & Piger Jeremy & Tien Pao-Lin, 2013, "Reproducing business cycle features: are nonlinear dynamics a proxy for multivariate information?," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 17, issue 5, pages 483-498, December, DOI: 10.1515/snde-2012-0036.
• Dias Francisco & Pinheiro Maximiano & Rua António, 2013, "Determining the number of global and country-specific factors in the euro area," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 17, issue 5, pages 573-617, December, DOI: 10.1515/snde-2012-0031.
• Ionela-Carmen, PIRNEA, 2013, "Study On The Performance Evaluation Models Of Small And Medium Enterprises In Romania," Management Strategies Journal, Constantin Brancoveanu University, volume 22, issue 4, pages 05-10.
• Catherine Baumont & Diego Legros, 2013, "Nature et impacts des effets spatiaux sur les valeurs immobilières. Le cas de l'espace urbanisé parisien," Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, volume 64, issue 5, pages 911-950.
• Gilles Duranton, 2013, "The Growth of U.S. Cities," Revue d'économie régionale et urbaine, Armand Colin, volume 0, issue 5, pages 857-876.
• Marcel-Cristian Voia & Mihailo Radoman, 2013, "Youth Training Programs and their Impact on Career and Spell Duration of Professional Soccer Players," Carleton Economic Papers, Carleton University, Department of Economics, number 13-01, Jan.
• Jelena Stanković & Vesna Janković-Milić & Snežana Radukić, 2013, "Quantitative Analysis of Business Success Indicators in the Banking Sector of the Republic of Serbia," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, volume 2, issue 3, pages 29-46.
• Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael, 2013, "A Monte Carlo procedure for checking identification in DSGE models," Cardiff Economics Working Papers, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, number E2013/4, Mar.
• Taylor, Nick & Xu, Yongdeng, 2013, "The logarithmic vector multiplicative error model: an application to high frequency NYSE stock data," Cardiff Economics Working Papers, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, number E2013/7, Apr.
• Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Meenagh, David, 2013, "Testing and Estimating Models Using Indirect Inference," Cardiff Economics Working Papers, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, number E2013/8, Jun.
• Adama BAH, 2013, "Finding the Best Indicators to Identify the Poor," Working Papers, CERDI, number 201324.
• Teresa Buchen & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2013, "Assessing the Macroeconomic Forecasting Performance of Boosting - Evidence for the United States, the Euro Area, and Germany," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 4148.
• Michael Melvin & John Prins & Duncan Shand, 2013, "Forecasting Exchange Rates: An Investor Perspective," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 4238.
• Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2013, "Sovereigns versus Banks: Credit, Crises, and Consequences," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 4431.
• Tim Oliver Berg & Steffen Henzel, 2013, "Point and Density Forecasts for the Euro Area Using Many Predictors: Are Large BVARs Really Superior?," ifo Working Paper Series, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 155.
• Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2013, "Forecasting gross value-added at the regional level: Are sectoral disaggregated predictions superior to direct ones?," ifo Working Paper Series, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 171.
• Georges Dionne & Olfa Maalaoui Chun, 2013, "Default and liquidity regimes in the bond market during the 2002-2012 period," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, volume 46, issue 4, pages 1160-1195, November, DOI: 10.1111/caje.12057.
• Gabriele Fiorentini & Enrique Sentana, 2013, "Dynamic Specification Tests for Dynamic Factor Models," Working Papers, CEMFI, number wp2013_1306, Jun.
• Gilles Duranton & Diego Puga, 2013, "The Growth of Cities," Working Papers, CEMFI, number wp2013_1308, Jul.
• Cristina Borra & Luis Palma & M. Carmen Gonz�lez & Luis F. Aguado, 2013, "Evaluation of an Active Labour Market Programme in a Context of High Unemployment," Revista Desarrollo y Sociedad, Universidad de los Andes,Facultad de Economía, CEDE.
• Mateo Clavijo, 2013, "Desaceleración económica e inflación de activos financieros en Colombia," Revista Desarrollo y Sociedad, Universidad de los Andes,Facultad de Economía, CEDE.
• Mauricio G. Villena & Ericka Y. Lafuente, 2013, "Valoración económica de bienes ambientales por beneficiarios circundantes y no circundantes," Revista Cuadernos de Economia, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID.
• Santiago Medina Hurtado & Jorge Aníbal Restrepo Morales, 2013, "Estimación de la utilidad en riesgo de una empresa de transmisión de energía eléctrica considerando variables económicas," Revista Cuadernos de Economia, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID.
• Osvaldo Espin-García & Carlos Vladimir Rodríguez-Caballero, 2013, "Metodología para un scoring de clientes sin referencias crediticias," Revista Cuadernos de Economia, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID.
• Mariana Gerstenbluth & Natalia Melgar & Máximo Rossi, 2013, "Ingreso y desigualdad: ¿Cómo afectan a la felicidad en América Latina?," Revista Cuadernos de Economia, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID.
• Diego Enrique Pinilla Rodríguez & Juan de Dios Jiménez Aguilera & Roberto Montero Granados, 2013, "Gasto público y crecimiento económico. Un estudio empírico para América Latina," Revista Cuadernos de Economia, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID.
• H�ctor Manuel Z�arte Solano & Ang�lica Rengifo G�mez, 2013, "Forecasting annual inflation with power transformations: the case of inflation targeting countries," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 10462, Feb.
• Dennis Sánchez Navarro, 2013, "Determinantes de los flujos de inversión extranjera directa estadounidense a través de un modelo gravitacional con componente espacial: evidencia para algunos países latinoamericanos," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, volume 31, issue 72, pages 35-50, DOI: 10.32468/Espe.7203.
• Jorge Iván Pérez G. & Karen Lorena Gonz�lez C. & Mauricio Lopera C., 2013, "Modelos de predicción de la fragilidad empresarial: aplicación al caso colombiano para el ano 2011," Perfil de Coyuntura Económica, Universidad de Antioquia, CIE, issue 22, pages 205-228.
• Diego Fernando Lemus Polanía & Elkin Argemiro Casta�o V�lez, 2013, "Prueba de hipótesis sobre la existencia de una raíz fraccional en una serie de tiempo no estacionaria," Revista Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, CIE, issue 78, pages 151-184.
• Nicole Bosch & Miriam Gielen & Egbert Jongen & Mauro Mastrogiacomo (DNB & voorheen CPB), 2013, "A structural analysis of labour supply elasticities in the Netherlands," CPB Discussion Paper, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis, number 235, Mar.
• Joanna Gorna & Karolina Gorna & Elzbieta Szulc, 2013, "Analysis of ß-Convergence. From Traditional Cross-Section Model to Dynamic Panel Model," Dynamic Econometric Models, Uniwersytet Mikolaja Kopernika, volume 13, pages 127-144.
• Anna Czapkiewicz & Artur Machno, 2013, "Empirical Verification of World’s Regions Profitability in Dynamic International Investment Strategy," Dynamic Econometric Models, Uniwersytet Mikolaja Kopernika, volume 13, pages 145-162.
• Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael R. & Le, Vo Phuong Mai, 2013, "A Monte Carlo procedure for checking identification in DSGE models," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 9411, Mar.
• Rossi, Barbara & Gürkaynak, Refet & KısacıkoÄŸlu, Burçin, 2013, "Do DSGE Models Forecast More Accurately Out-of-Sample than VAR Models?," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 9576, Jul.
• Werker, Bas J M & Andreou, Elena, 2013, "Residual-based Rank Specification Tests for AR-GARCH type models," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 9583, Aug.
• Duranton, Gilles & Puga, Diego, 2013, "The growth of cities," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 9590, Aug.
• Taylor, Alan M. & Schularick, Moritz & Jordà , Ã’scar, 2013, "Sovereigns versus Banks: Credit, Crises, and Consequences," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 9678, Oct.
• Mackowiak, Bartosz & Jarocinski, Marek, 2013, "Granger-Causal-Priority and Choice of Variables in Vector Autoregressions," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 9686, Oct.
• Muellbauer, John & Aron, Janine & Rankin, Neil & Creamer, Kenneth, 2013, "Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Consumer Prices in South Africa: Evidence from Micro-Data," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 9735, Nov.
• Frédérique Bec & Matteo Mogliani, 2013, "Nowcasting French GDP in Real-Time from Survey Opinions : Information or Forecast Combinations ?," Working Papers, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics, number 2013-21, Dec.
• Montes-Rojas, G. & Galvao Jr, A. F., 2013, "Bayesian Endogeneity Bias Modeling," Working Papers, Department of Economics, City St George's, University of London, number 13/09.
• Lanne, Markku & Saikkonen, Pentti, 2013, "Noncausal Vector Autoregression," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, volume 29, issue 3, pages 447-481, June.
• Bekkerman, Anton & Brester, Gary W. & McDonald, Tyrel J., 2013, "A Semiparametric Approach to Analyzing Differentiated Agricultural Products," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, volume 45, issue 1, pages 79-94, February.
• Groshenny, Nicolas, 2013, "Monetary Policy, Inflation And Unemployment: In Defense Of The Federal Reserve," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, volume 17, issue 6, pages 1311-1329, September.
• Yae In Baek & Jin Seo Cho & Peter C.B. Phillips, 2013, "Testing Linearity Using Power Transforms of Regressors," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, number 1917, Sep.
• Yoonseok Lee & Peter C.B. Phillips, 2013, "Model Selection in the Presence of Incidental Parameters," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, number 1919, Oct.
• Igor Kheifets & Carlos Velasco, 2013, "New Goodness-of-fit Diagnostics for Conditional Discrete Response Models," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, number 1924, Nov.
• Aris Spanos & Niki Papadopoulou, 2013, "A Small Macroeconometric Model for the Cyprus Economy," Working Papers, Central Bank of Cyprus, number 2013-2, Aug.
• Hong Lan & Alexander Meyer-Gohde, 2013, "Dynare add-on for "Pruning in Perturbation DSGE Models"," QM&RBC Codes, Quantitative Macroeconomics & Real Business Cycles, number 196, revised .
• Benjamin Beckers & Helmut Herwartz & Moritz Seidel, 2013, "Forecasting the Risk of Speculative Assets by Means of Copula Distributions," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, number 1282.
• Riadh Aloui & Mohamed Safouane Ben Aissa & Duc Khuong Nguyen, 2013, "A wavelet-based copula approach for modeling market risk in agricultural commodity markets," Working Papers, Development and Policies Research Center (DEPOCEN), Vietnam, number 154.
• Jia Li & Andrew J. Patton, 2013, "Asymptotic Inference about Predictive Accuracy Using High Frequency Data," Working Papers, Duke University, Department of Economics, number 13-27.
• de Bondt, Gabe & Dieden, Heinz Christian & Muzikarova, Sona & Vincze, Istvan, 2013, "Introducing the ECB indicator on euro area industrial new orders," Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 149, Jun.
• Castrén, Olli & Fitzpatrick, Trevor & Sydow, Matthias, 2009, "Assessing portfolio credit risk changes in a sample of EU large and complex banking groups in reaction to macroeconomic shocks," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1002, Feb.
• Alessi, Lucia & Barigozzi, Matteo & Capasso, Marco, 2009, "Estimation and forecasting in large datasets with conditionally heteroskedastic dynamic common factors," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1115, Nov.
• Jarociński, Marek, 2010, "Imposing parsimony in cross-country growth regressions," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1234, Aug.
• Wieland, Volker & Taylor, John B., 2010, "Surprising comparative properties of monetary models: Results from a new model database," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1261, Nov.
• Hubrich, Kirstin & González, Andrés & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2011, "Forecasting inflation with gradual regime shifts and exogenous information," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1363, Jul.
• Nicoletti, Giulio & Passaro, Raffaele, 2012, "Sometimes it helps: the evolving predictive power of spreads on GDP dynamics," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1447, Jul.
• Warne, Anders & Coenen, Günter & Christoffel, Kai, 2013, "Predictive likelihood comparisons with DSGE and DSGE-VAR models," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1536, Apr.
• Hubrich, Kirstin & Granziera, Eleonora & Moon, Hyungsik Roger, 2013, "A predictability test for a small number of nested models," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1580, Aug.
• Jarociński, Marek & Maćkowiak, Bartosz, 2013, "Granger-causal-priority and choice of variables in vector autoregressions," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1600, Oct.
• Bodenhorn, Howard & Guinnane, Timothy W. & Mroz, Thomas A., 2013, "Problems of Sample-Selection Bias in the Historical Heights Literature: A Theoretical and Econometric Analysis," Working Papers, Yale University, Department of Economics, number 114, May.
• Miguel, Belmonte & Gary, Koop, 2013, "Model Switching and Model Averaging in Time- Varying Parameter Regression Models," SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE), number 2013-34.
• Gary, Koop, 2013, "Using VARs and TVP-VARs with Many Macroeconomic Variables," SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE), number 2013-35.
• Afonso, António & Arghyrou, Michael G. & Bagdatoglou, George & Kontonikas, Alexandros, 2013, "On the time-varying relationship between EMU sovereign spreads and their determinants," SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE), number 2013-47.
• Gary, Koop & Dimitris, Korobilis, 2013, "A New Index of Financial Conditions," SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE), number 2013-48.
• Kirsanova, Tatiana & Leith, Campbell & Chen, Xiaoshan, 2013, "How Optimal is US Monetary Policy?," SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE), number 2013-53.
• Boris Blagov, 2013, "Financial crises and time- varying risk premia in a small open economy: a Markov-Switching DSGE model for Estonia," Bank of Estonia Working Papers, Bank of Estonia, number wp2013-8, Dec, revised 09 Dec 2013.
• Hadad, Muliaman D. & Hall, Maximilian J.B. & Santoso, Wimboh & Simper, Richard, 2013, "Economies of scale and a process for identifying hypothetical merger potential in Indonesian commercial banks," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, volume 26, issue C, pages 42-51, DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2013.04.006.
• Çakmaklı, Cem & Paap, Richard & van Dijk, Dick, 2013, "Measuring and predicting heterogeneous recessions," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 37, issue 11, pages 2195-2216, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2013.06.004.
• Brock, William A. & Durlauf, Steven N. & Rondina, Giacomo, 2013, "Design limits and dynamic policy analysis," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 37, issue 12, pages 2710-2728, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2013.07.008.
• Poghosyan, Karen & Boldea, Otilia, 2013, "Structural versus matching estimation: Transmission mechanisms in Armenia," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 30, issue C, pages 136-148, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2012.09.008.
• Li, Yushu, 2013, "Wavelet based outlier correction for power controlled turning point detection in surveillance systems," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 30, issue C, pages 317-321, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2012.08.028.
• Gupta, Rangan & Modise, Mampho P., 2013, "Macroeconomic Variables and South African Stock Return Predictability," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 30, issue C, pages 612-622, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2012.10.015.
• Kato, Takafumi, 2013, "A comparison of spatial error models through Monte Carlo experiments," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 30, issue C, pages 743-753, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2012.10.010.
• Barnett, William A. & Eryilmaz, Unal, 2013, "Hopf bifurcation in the Clarida, Gali, and Gertler model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 31, issue C, pages 401-404, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2012.11.051.
• Guo, Zhichao & Feng, Yuanhua, 2013, "Modeling of the impact of the financial crisis and China's accession to WTO on China's exports to Germany," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 31, issue C, pages 474-483, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2012.12.015.
• Öğünç, Fethi & Akdoğan, Kurmaş & Başer, Selen & Chadwick, Meltem Gülenay & Ertuğ, Dilara & Hülagü, Timur & Kösem, Sevim & Özmen, Mustafa Utku & Tekatlı, Necati, 2013, "Short-term inflation forecasting models for Turkey and a forecast combination analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 33, issue C, pages 312-325, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2013.04.001.
• Meniago, Christelle & Mukuddem-Petersen, Janine & Petersen, Mark A. & Mongale, Itumeleng P., 2013, "What causes household debt to increase in South Africa?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 33, issue C, pages 482-492, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2013.04.028.
• Eriṣ, Mehmet N. & Ulaṣan, Bülent, 2013, "Trade openness and economic growth: Bayesian model averaging estimate of cross-country growth regressions," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 33, issue C, pages 867-883, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2013.05.014.
• Melvin, Michael & Prins, John & Shand, Duncan, 2013, "Forecasting Exchange Rates: an Investor Perspective," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, Elsevier, chapter 0, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann, "Handbook of Economic Forecasting", DOI: 10.1016/B978-0-444-62731-5.00013-0.
• Sin, Chor-Yiu (CY), 2013, "Using CARRX models to study factors affecting the volatilities of Asian equity markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, volume 26, issue C, pages 552-564, DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2013.02.021.
• Korobilis, Dimitris, 2013, "Bayesian forecasting with highly correlated predictors," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 118, issue 1, pages 148-150, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2012.10.003.
• Zhang, Lingxiang, 2013, "Partial unit root and linear spurious regression: A Monte Carlo simulation study," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 118, issue 1, pages 189-191, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2012.10.018.
• Mao, Guangyu, 2013, "Model selection for regression with heteroskedastic and autocorrelated errors," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 118, issue 3, pages 497-501, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2012.12.035.
• Louis, Philippe & Van Laere, Elisabeth & Baesens, Bart, 2013, "Understanding and predicting bank rating transitions using optimal survival analysis models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 119, issue 3, pages 280-283, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2013.02.033.
• Atak, Alev & Kapetanios, George, 2013, "A factor approach to realized volatility forecasting in the presence of finite jumps and cross-sectional correlation in pricing errors," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 120, issue 2, pages 224-228, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2013.03.051.
• Valadkhani, Abbas & Bollen, Bernard, 2013, "An alternative approach to the modelling of interest rate pass through and asymmetric adjustment," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 120, issue 3, pages 491-494, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2013.06.006.
• Chicu, Mark & Masten, Matthew A., 2013, "A specification test for discrete choice models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 121, issue 2, pages 336-339, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2013.08.024.
• Kao, Yi-Cheng & Kuan, Chung-Ming & Chen, Shikuan, 2013, "Testing the predictive power of the term structure without data snooping bias," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 121, issue 3, pages 546-549, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2013.10.020.
• Hurn, A.S. & Lindsay, K.A. & McClelland, A.J., 2013, "A quasi-maximum likelihood method for estimating the parameters of multivariate diffusions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 172, issue 1, pages 106-126, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2012.09.002.
• Laurent, Sébastien & Rombouts, Jeroen V.K. & Violante, Francesco, 2013, "On loss functions and ranking forecasting performances of multivariate volatility models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 173, issue 1, pages 1-10, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2012.08.004.
• Zhang, Xinyu & Wan, Alan T.K. & Zou, Guohua, 2013, "Model averaging by jackknife criterion in models with dependent data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 174, issue 2, pages 82-94, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2013.01.004.
• Arbués, Ignacio, 2013, "Determining the MSE-optimal cross section to forecast," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 175, issue 2, pages 61-70, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2012.02.009.
• Inoue, Atsushi & Kilian, Lutz, 2013, "Inference on impulse response functions in structural VAR models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 177, issue 1, pages 1-13, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2013.02.009.
• Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2013, "Large time-varying parameter VARs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 177, issue 2, pages 185-198, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2013.04.007.
• Rossi, Barbara & Sekhposyan, Tatevik, 2013, "Conditional predictive density evaluation in the presence of instabilities," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 177, issue 2, pages 199-212, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2013.04.008.
• Gallegati, Marco & Ramsey, James B., 2013, "Bond vs stock market's Q: Testing for stability across frequencies and over time," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, volume 24, issue C, pages 138-150, DOI: 10.1016/j.jempfin.2013.10.003.
• Kang, Sang Hoon & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2013, "Modeling and forecasting the volatility of petroleum futures prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 36, issue C, pages 354-362, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2012.09.010.
• Alexander, Carol & Prokopczuk, Marcel & Sumawong, Anannit, 2013, "The (de)merits of minimum-variance hedging: Application to the crack spread," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 36, issue C, pages 698-707, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2012.11.016.
• Chen, Chien-Ming, 2013, "A critique of non-parametric efficiency analysis in energy economics studies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 38, issue C, pages 146-152, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2013.03.009.
• Janczura, Joanna & Trück, Stefan & Weron, Rafał & Wolff, Rodney C., 2013, "Identifying spikes and seasonal components in electricity spot price data: A guide to robust modeling," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 38, issue C, pages 96-110, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2013.03.013.
• Stern, David I. & Enflo, Kerstin, 2013, "Causality between energy and output in the long-run," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 39, issue C, pages 135-146, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2013.05.007.
• Chang, Kuang-Liang & Yu, Shih-Ti, 2013, "Does crude oil price play an important role in explaining stock return behavior?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 39, issue C, pages 159-168, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2013.05.008.
• Venditti, Fabrizio, 2013, "From oil to consumer energy prices: How much asymmetry along the way?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 40, issue C, pages 468-473, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2013.07.008.
• Bruns, Stephan B. & Gross, Christian, 2013, "What if energy time series are not independent? Implications for energy-GDP causality analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 40, issue C, pages 753-759, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2013.08.020.
• Tong, Bin & Wu, Chongfeng & Zhou, Chunyang, 2013, "Modeling the co-movements between crude oil and refined petroleum markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 40, issue C, pages 882-897, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2013.10.008.
• Adofo, Yaw Osei & Evans, Joanne & Hunt, Lester Charles, 2013, "How sensitive to time period sampling is the asymmetric price response specification in energy demand modelling?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 40, issue C, pages 90-109, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2013.05.015.
• Vivian, Andrew & Wohar, Mark E., 2013, "The output gap and stock returns: Do cyclical fluctuations predict portfolio returns?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, volume 26, issue C, pages 40-50, DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2012.05.002.
• Ciner, Cetin & Gurdgiev, Constantin & Lucey, Brian M., 2013, "Hedges and safe havens: An examination of stocks, bonds, gold, oil and exchange rates," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, volume 29, issue C, pages 202-211, DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2012.12.001.
• Martin, Christopher & Milas, Costas, 2013, "Financial crises and monetary policy: Evidence from the UK," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, volume 9, issue 4, pages 654-661, DOI: 10.1016/j.jfs.2012.08.002.
• Spiliopoulos, Leonidas, 2013, "Beyond fictitious play beliefs: Incorporating pattern recognition and similarity matching," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, volume 81, issue C, pages 69-85, DOI: 10.1016/j.geb.2013.04.005.
• Dixon, Peter B. & Rimmer, Maureen T., 2013, "Validation in Computable General Equilibrium Modeling," Handbook of Computable General Equilibrium Modeling, Elsevier, chapter 0, in: Peter B. Dixon & Dale Jorgenson, "Handbook of Computable General Equilibrium Modeling", DOI: 10.1016/B978-0-444-59568-3.00019-5.
• Schmidt, Sebastian & Wieland, Volker, 2013, "The New Keynesian Approach to Dynamic General Equilibrium Modeling: Models, Methods and Macroeconomic Policy Evaluation," Handbook of Computable General Equilibrium Modeling, Elsevier, chapter 0, in: Peter B. Dixon & Dale Jorgenson, "Handbook of Computable General Equilibrium Modeling", DOI: 10.1016/B978-0-444-59568-3.00022-5.
• Molnar, Jozsef & Violi, Roberto & Zhou, Xiaolan, 2013, "Multimarket contact in Italian retail banking: Competition and welfare," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, volume 31, issue 5, pages 368-381, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijindorg.2013.06.003.
• Blackburn, Craig & Sherris, Michael, 2013, "Consistent dynamic affine mortality models for longevity risk applications," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, volume 53, issue 1, pages 64-73, DOI: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2013.04.007.
• Busetti, Fabio & Marcucci, Juri, 2013, "Comparing forecast accuracy: A Monte Carlo investigation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 29, issue 1, pages 13-27, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2012.04.011.
• Korobilis, Dimitris, 2013, "Hierarchical shrinkage priors for dynamic regressions with many predictors," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 29, issue 1, pages 43-59, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2012.05.006.
• Proietti, Tommaso & Lütkepohl, Helmut, 2013, "Does the Box–Cox transformation help in forecasting macroeconomic time series?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 29, issue 1, pages 88-99, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2012.06.001.
• Jordà, Òscar & Knüppel, Malte & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2013, "Empirical simultaneous prediction regions for path-forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 29, issue 3, pages 456-468, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2012.12.002.
• Grydaki, Maria & Bezemer, Dirk, 2013, "The role of credit in the Great Moderation: A multivariate GARCH approach," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 37, issue 11, pages 4615-4626, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2013.01.039.
• Lönnbark, Carl, 2013, "On the role of the estimation error in prediction of expected shortfall," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 37, issue 3, pages 847-853, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2012.10.013.
• Reboredo, Juan C., 2013, "Is gold a safe haven or a hedge for the US dollar? Implications for risk management," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 37, issue 8, pages 2665-2676, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2013.03.020.
• Polanski, Arnold & Stoja, Evarist & Zhang, Ren, 2013, "Multidimensional risk and risk dependence," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 37, issue 8, pages 3286-3294, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2013.04.022.
• Wu, Meng-Wen & Shen, Chung-Hua, 2013, "Corporate social responsibility in the banking industry: Motives and financial performance," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 37, issue 9, pages 3529-3547, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2013.04.023.
• Elsinger, Helmut, 2013, "Comment on: A new test for chaos and determinism based on symbolic dynamics," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 91, issue C, pages 131-138, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2013.04.008.
• Bollerslev, Tim & Osterrieder, Daniela & Sizova, Natalia & Tauchen, George, 2013, "Risk and return: Long-run relations, fractional cointegration, and return predictability," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, volume 108, issue 2, pages 409-424, DOI: 10.1016/j.jfineco.2013.01.002.
• Ampaabeng, Samuel K. & Tan, Chih Ming, 2013, "The long-term cognitive consequences of early childhood malnutrition: The case of famine in Ghana," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, volume 32, issue 6, pages 1013-1027, DOI: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2013.08.001.
• Chen, Wei-Peng & Choudhry, Taufiq & Wu, Chih-Chiang, 2013, "The extreme value in crude oil and US dollar markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 36, issue C, pages 191-210, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2013.04.004.
• Kawakami, Kei, 2013, "Conditional forecast selection from many forecasts: An application to the Yen/Dollar exchange rate," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, volume 28, issue C, pages 1-18, DOI: 10.1016/j.jjie.2013.01.006.