Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

1. Forecasting with DSGE Models
2. Forecasting

2014

• Anastasiadis, Simon & Kerr, Suzi & Zhang, Wei & Allan, Corey & Power, William, 2014, "Land Use in Rural New Zealand: Spatial Land-use, Land-use Change, and Model Validation," 2013 Conference, August 28-30, 2013, Christchurch, New Zealand, New Zealand Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, number 189507, Aug, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.189507.
• Olivier Bargain & Karina Doorley, 2014, "Putting Structure on the RD Design: Social Transfers and Youth Inactivity in France," AMSE Working Papers, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France, number 1406, Feb, revised 23 Feb 2014.
• McAleer, Michael & Hafner, Christian, 2014, "A One Line Derivation of EGARCH," LIDAM Reprints ISBA, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA), number 2014030, Jan.
• Hasan Güngör & Salih Turan Katircioglu & Mehmet Mercan, 2014, "Revisiting the nexus between financial development, FDI, and growth: New evidence from second generation econometric procedures in the Turkish context," Acta Oeconomica, Akadémiai Kiadó, Hungary, volume 64, issue 1, pages 73-89, March.
• Miklós Virág & Tamás Nyitrai, 2014, "Is there a trade-off between the predictive power and the interpretability of bankruptcy models? The case of the first Hungarian bankruptcy prediction model," Acta Oeconomica, Akadémiai Kiadó, Hungary, volume 64, issue 4, pages 419-440, December.
• Ivona Stoica & Anamaria-Cătălina Radu & Andra Dobrescu & OlguÅ£a Anca Orzan, 2014, "Modeling User Satisfaction Of Medical Educational Services," Annales Universitatis Apulensis Series Oeconomica, Faculty of Sciences, "1 Decembrie 1918" University, Alba Iulia, volume 1, issue 16, pages 1-22.
• Narek Ghazaryan, 2014, "Short Term Forecasting System of Private Demand Components in Armenia," Working Papers, Central Bank of Armenia, number 3, Apr, revised Dec 2015.
• Hayk Karapetyan, 2019, "Estimating Potential Output at the Central Bank of Armenia," Working Papers, Central Bank of Armenia, number 12, Oct.
• Francis J. DiTraglia, 2014, "Using Invalid Instruments on Purpose: Focused Moment Selection and Averaging for GMM," Papers, arXiv.org, number 1408.0705, Aug, revised Nov 2020.
• Maximiliano Mozetic, 2014, "Aproximación a las causas de la desigualdad económica," Ensayos de Política Económica, Departamento de Investigación Francisco Valsecchi, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Pontificia Universidad Católica Argentina., volume 2, issue 2, pages 116-143, Octubre.
• Marta Gómez-Puig & Simón Sosvilla-Rivero, 2014, "Causality and contagion in EMU sovereign debt markets," Working Papers, Universitat de Barcelona, UB Riskcenter, number 2014-03, Feb.
• Marta Gómez-Puig & Simón Sosvilla-Rivero & María del Carmen Ramos-Herrera, 2014, "An update on EMU sovereign yield spread drivers in time of crisis: A panel data analysis," Working Papers, Universitat de Barcelona, UB Riskcenter, number 2014-04, Mar.
• Prakash L. Dheeriya & Fahimeh Rezayat & Burhan F. Yavas, 2014, "Relations between Volatility and Returns of Exchange Traded Funds of Emerging Markets and of USA," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, volume 4, pages 44-46, Feburary.
• Javier Eliecer Pirateque Niño, 2014, "Uso de la Metodología Wavelets para la validación de la regla de la raíz del tiempo y su aplicación al riesgo de mercado," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 809, Feb, DOI: 10.32468/be.809.
• Ignacio Lozano & Alexander Guarín, 2014, "Fragilidad Bancaria en Colombia: Un Análisis Basado en las Hojas de Balance," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 813, Jun, DOI: 10.32468/be.813.
• Ignacio Lozano & Alexander Guarín, 2014, "Banking Fragility in Colombia: An Empirical Analysis Based on Balance Sheets," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 813i, Mar, DOI: 10.32468/be.813-I.
• Santiago Cajiao Raigosa & Luis Fernando Melo Velandia & Daniel Parra Amado, 2014, "Pronósticos para una economía menos volátil: El caso colombiano," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 821, May, DOI: 10.32468/be.821.
• Andrés Eduardo Jiménez Gómez & Luis Fernando Melo Velandia, 2014, "Modelación de la asimetría y curtosis condicionales: una aplicación VaR para series colombianas," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 834, Jul, DOI: 10.32468/be.834.
• Ignacio Lozano & Alexander Guarin, 2014, "Banking fragility in Colombia: An empirical analysis based on balance sheets," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, volume 32, issue 75, pages 48-63, December, DOI: 10.1016/j.espe.2014.10.001.
• Matteo Mogliani & V ronique Brunhes-Lesage & Olivier Darn & Bertrand Pluyaud, 2014, "New estimate of the MIBA forecasting model. Modeling first-release GDP using the Banque de France's Monthly Business Survey and the blocking approach," Working papers, Banque de France, number 473.
• Fulvio Pegoraro & Siegel, A. F. & Luca Tiozzo Pezzoli, 2014, "International Yield Curves and Principal Components Selection Techniques: An Empirical Assessment," Working papers, Banque de France, number 489.
• Fulvio Pegoraro & Siegel, A. F. & Luca Tiozzo Pezzoli, 2014, "Specification Analysis of International Treasury Yield Curve Factors," Working papers, Banque de France, number 490.
• Barbara Rossi, 2015, "Forecast Rationality Tests in the Presence of Instabilities, With Applications to Federal Reserve and Survey Forecasts," Working Papers, Barcelona School of Economics, number 765, Sep.
• Lu Jin & Atsushi Inoue & Barbara Rossi, 2015, "Rolling Window Selection for Out-of-Sample Forecasting with Time-Varying Parameters," Working Papers, Barcelona School of Economics, number 768, Sep.
• Raffaella Giacomini & Barbara Rossi, 2015, "Model Comparisons in Unstable Environments," Working Papers, Barcelona School of Economics, number 784, Sep.
• Raffaella Giacomini & Barbara Rossi, 2015, "Forecasting in Nonstationary Environments: What Works and What Doesn't in Reduced-Form and Structural Models," Working Papers, Barcelona School of Economics, number 819, Sep.
• Beißner, Patrick, 2014, "Coherent price systems and uncertainty-neutral valuation," Center for Mathematical Economics Working Papers, Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University, number 464, Apr.
• Jose Olmo & William Pouliot, 2014, "Tests to Disentangle Breaks in Intercept from Slope in Linear Regression Models with Application to Management Performance in the Mutual Fund Industry," Discussion Papers, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham, number 14-02, Mar.
• Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee, 2014, "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Concise Review Of Some Recent Developments," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, volume 28, issue 2, pages 195-208, April.
• Markku Lanne & Jani Luoto, 2014, "Does Output Gap, Labour's Share or Unemployment Rate Drive Inflation?," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, volume 76, issue 5, pages 715-726, October.
• Jan R. Magnus & Wendun Wang, 2014, "Concept-Based Bayesian Model Averaging and Growth Empirics," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, volume 76, issue 6, pages 874-897, December.
• Antonio Murillo Reyes, 2014, "Estimación de una curva de Phillips Neokeynesiana para Bolivia," Serie de Documentos de Trabajo, Banco Central de Bolivia, number 2014/05, Dec.
• Knut Are Aastveit & Anne Sofie Jore & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2014, "Forecasting recessions in real time," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2014/02, Feb.
• Konstantinos Theodoridis & Francesco Zanetti, 2014, "News and labour market dynamics in the data and in matching models," Bank of England working papers, Bank of England, number 488, Mar.
• F. Bacchini & M. E. Bontempi & R. Golinelli & C. Jona Lasinio, 2014, "ICT and Non-ICT investments: short and long run macro dynamics," Working Papers, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna, number wp956, Jul.
• Kleiber, Christian & Zeileis, Achim, 2014, "Visualizing Count Data Regressions Using Rootograms," Working papers, Faculty of Business and Economics - University of Basel, number 2014/13.
• Karim L. Anaya & Michael G. Pollitt, 2014, "Does Weather Have an Impact on Electricity Distribution Efficiency? Evidence from South America," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 1424, Aug.
• Velibor Milošević, 2014, "Use and Limitations of the Reserve Requirement Policy in Montenegro," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, volume 3, issue 2, pages 5-20.
• Snežana Radukić & Milica Radović, 2014, "Long Term Trend Analysis in the Capital Market – The Case of Serbia," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, volume 3, issue 3, pages 5-18.
• Michael McAleer & Christian M. Hafner, 2014, "A One Line Derivation of EGARCH," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 14/16, Jun.
• Christian M. Hafner & Michael McAleer, 2014, "A One Line Derivation of DCC: Application of a Vector Random Coefficient Moving Average Process," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 14/19, Jul.
• Guillaume Gaetan Martinet & Michael McAleer, 2014, "On the Invertibility of EGARCH," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 14/21, Jul.
• Michael McAleer, 2014, "Asymmetry and Leverage in Conditional Volatility Models," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 14/24, Sep.
• Clifford Lam & Pedro Souza, 2014, "Regularization for Spatial Panel Time Series Using the Adaptive LASSO," STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE, number 578, Nov.
• Tim Oliver Berg & Steffen Henzel, 2014, "Point and Density Forecasts for the Euro Area Using Bayesian VARs," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 4711.
• Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2014, "The Great Mortgaging: Housing Finance, Crises, and Business Cycles," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 4993.
• Robert Lehmann & Michael Weber, 2014, "Der Blick in die Glaskugel wird schärfer: EineEvaluation der Treffsicherheit der ifo DresdenKonjunkturprognosen," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, volume 21, issue 03, pages 45-46, June.
• Steffen Henzel & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2014, "Evaluation der ifo Konjunkturprognosen," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, volume 67, issue 17, pages 43-45, September.
• Jorge Miguel Lopo Gonçalves Andraz, 2014, "On the Long-Term Macroeconomic Effects of Social Security Spending: Evidence for 12 EU Countries," CEFAGE-UE Working Papers, University of Evora, CEFAGE-UE (Portugal), number 2014_08.
• Igor Kheifets, 2014, "Specification Tests for Nonlinear Dynamic Models," Working Papers, Center for Economic and Financial Research (CEFIR), number w0209, Oct.
• Firmin Doko Tchatoka & Jean-Marie Dufour, 2014, "Identification-robust inference for endogeneity parameters in linear structural models," CIRANO Working Papers, CIRANO, number 2014s-17, Feb.
• Bruce A. Blonigen & Jeremy Piger, 2014, "Determinants of foreign direct investment," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, volume 47, issue 3, pages 775-812, August, DOI: 10.1111/caje.12091.
• Gabriele Fiorentini & Enrique Sentana, 2014, "Neglected Serial Correlation Tests in UCARIMA Models," Working Papers, CEMFI, number wp2014_1406, Oct.
• Alexandra PERJU-MITRAN & Andreea E. BUDACIA, 2014, "Video Games Contribution To Students’ Entrepreneurial Traits And Intent," CrossCultural Management Journal, Fundația Română pentru Inteligența Afacerii, Editorial Department, issue 2, pages 339-346, November.
• Consuela NECȘULESCU & Luminița ȘERBĂNESCU, 2014, "The Impact Of The Main Macroeconomic Indicators On The Final Consumption Of The Population," SEA - Practical Application of Science, Romanian Foundation for Business Intelligence, Editorial Department, issue 3, pages 388-396, April.
• Ricardo Crisóstomo, 2014, "An analisys of the Heston Stochastic Volatility Model: Implementation and Calibration using Matlab," CNMV Working Papers, CNMV- Spanish Securities Markets Commission - Research and Statistics Department, number CNMV Working Papers no 58.
• Javier Eliecer Pirateque Ni�o, 2014, "Uso de la Metodolog�a Wavelets para la Validaci�n de la Regla de la Ra�z del Tiempo y su Aplicaci�n al Riesgo de Mercado," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 11137, Feb.
• Ignacio Lozano & Alexander Guar�n, 2014, "Banking Fragility in Colombia: An Empirical Analysis Based on Balance Sheets," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 11145, Mar.
• Santiago Cajiao Raigosa & Luis Fernando Melo Velandia & Daniel Parra Amado, 2014, "Pron�sticos para una econom�a menos vol�til: El caso colombiano," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 11252, May.
• Ignacio Lozano & Alexander Guar�n, 2014, "Banking fragility in Colombia: An empirical analysis based on balance sheets," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, volume 32, issue 75, pages 48-63, DOI: 10.1016/j.espe.2014.10.001.
• Jhon Alexander Méndez Sayago, 2014, "Plusvalía, salario real y eficiencia del trabajo en el sector manufacturero en Colombia," Apuntes del Cenes, Universidad Pedagógica y Tecnológica de Colombia.
• Juan Carlos Rodríguez Marín & Jhon Alexis D�az Contreras, 2014, "Evaluación de impacto del sistema de transporte Metrolínea: revisión de metodologías," Revista Equidad y Desarrollo, Universidad de la Salle, DOI: 10.19052/ed.3253.
• YANG, Yukai, 2014, "Testing constancy of the error covariance matrix in vector models against parametric alternatives using a spectral decomposition," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE), number 2014017, Jun.
• Braione, Manuela & Scholtes, Nicolas K., 2014, "Construction of value-at-risk forecasts under different distributional assumptions within a BEKK framework," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE), number 2014059, Nov.
• Terasvirta, Timo & Yang, Yukai, 2014, "Linearity and misspecification tests for vector smooth transition regression models," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE), number 2014061, Nov.
• Terasvirta, Timo & Yang, Yukai, 2014, "Specification, estimation and evaluation of vector smooth transition autoregressive models with applications," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE), number 2014062, Nov.
• Joris de Wind & Luca Gambetti, 2014, "Reduced-rank time-varying vector autoregressions," CPB Discussion Paper, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis, number 270, Mar.
• Joris de Wind, 2014, "Time variation in the dynamic effects of unanticipated changes in tax policy," CPB Discussion Paper, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis, number 271, Mar.
• Henk-Wim de Boer & Egbert Jongen & Jan Kabatek, 2014, "The effectiveness of fiscal stimuli for working parents," CPB Discussion Paper, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis, number 286, Oct.
• Nikolay, Iskrev, 2014, "Choosing the variables to estimate singular DSGE models: Comment," Dynare Working Papers, CEPREMAP, number 41, Oct.
• Taylor, Alan M. & Schularick, Moritz & Jordà , Ã’scar, 2014, "The Great Mortgaging: Housing Finance, Crises, and Business Cycles," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 10161, Sep.
• Rossi, Barbara & Inoue, Atsushi & Jin, Lu, 2014, "Window Selection for Out-of-Sample Forecasting with Time-Varying Parameters," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 10168, Sep.
• Giacomini, Raffaella, 2014, "Economic theory and forecasting: lessons from the literature," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 10201, Oct.
• Dolado, Juan J & Mora, Ricardo, 2014, "Dual Labour Markets and (Lack of) On-The-Job Training: PIAAC Evidence from Spain and Other EU Countries," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 10246, Nov.
• Kilian, Lutz & Inoue, Atsushi & Guerron-Quintana, Pablo A., 2014, "Impulse Response Matching Estimators for DSGE Models," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 10298, Dec.
• Kilian, Lutz & Inoue, Atsushi, 2014, "Joint Confidence Sets for Structural Impulse Responses," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 9892, Mar.
• Willi Mutschler, 2014, "Identification of DSGE Models - the Effect of Higher-Order Approximation and Pruning," CQE Working Papers, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster, number 3314, Oct.
• Marta Małecka, 2014, "Duration-Based Approach to VaR Independence Backtesting," Statistics in Transition new series, Główny Urząd Statystyczny (Polska), volume 15, issue 4, pages 627-636, September.
• Armstrong, Angus & Davis, E. Philip, 2014, "Comparing Housing Booms and Mortgage Supply in the Major OECD Countries," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, volume 230, issue , pages 3-15, November.
• Igor Kheifets, 2014, "Specification Tests for Nonlinear Dynamic Models," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, number 1937, Mar, revised Oct 2014.
• Alfredo Marvão Pereira & Jorge M. Andraz, 2014, "On The Long-Term Macroeconomic Effects Of Social Security Spending:Evidence For 12 Eu Countries," Working Papers, Economics Department, William & Mary, number 150, Apr.
• Johannes Geyer & Peter Haan & Katharina Wrohlich, 2014, "The Effects of Family Policy on Mothers' Labor Supply: Combining Evidence from a Structural Model and a Natural Experiment," SOEPpapers on Multidisciplinary Panel Data Research, DIW Berlin, The German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP), number 645.
• Max Löffler & Andreas Peichl & Sebastian Siegloch, 2014, "Structural Labor Supply Models and Wage Exogeneity," SOEPpapers on Multidisciplinary Panel Data Research, DIW Berlin, The German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP), number 675.
• Johannes Geyer & Peter Haan & Katharina Wrohlich, 2014, "The Effects of Family Policy on Mothers' Labor Supply: Combining Evidence from a Structural Model and a Natural Experiment," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, number 1366.
• Christian Dreger & Jürgen Wolters, 2014, "Unconventional Monetary Policy and Money Demand," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, number 1382.
• Konstantin A. Kholodilin & Tobias Thomas & Dirk Ulbricht, 2014, "Do Media Data Help to Predict German Industrial Production?," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, number 1393.
• Johannes Mayr & Dirk Ulbricht, 2014, "Log versus Level in VAR Forecasting: 42 Million Empirical Answers - Expect the Unexpected," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, number 1412.
• Ha-Thu Nguyen, 2014, "Default Predictors in Credit Scoring - Evidence from France’s Retail Banking Institution," EconomiX Working Papers, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX, number 2014-26.
• Krylova, Elizaveta & Darracq Pariès, Matthieu & Moccero, Diego & Marchini, Claudia, 2014, "The retail bank interest rate pass-through: The case of the euro area during the financial and sovereign debt crisis," Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 155, Sep.
• Marek Jarociński & Bartosz Maćkowiak, 2014, "Choosing variables in macroeconomic modelling," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, volume 20, pages 5-8.
• de Bondt, Gabe & Dieden, Heinz Christian & Muzikarova, Sona & Vincze, Istvan, 2014, "Modelling industrial new orders for the euro area," Statistics Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 6, Dec.
• Baumann, Ursel & Albuquerque, Bruno & Krustev, Georgi, 2014, "Has US household deleveraging ended? a model-based estimate of equilibrium debt," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1643, Mar.
• Hoerova, Marie & Bekaert, Geert, 2014, "The VIX, the variance premium and stock market volatility," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1675, May.
• Bakshi, Gurdip & Chabi-Yo, Fousseni, 2014, "New Entropy Restrictions and the Quest for Better Specified Asset Pricing Models," Working Paper Series, Ohio State University, Charles A. Dice Center for Research in Financial Economics, number 2014-07, May.
• Merlo, Antonio & Palfrey, Thomas R., 2014, "External Validation of Voter Turnout Models by Concealed Parameter Recovery," Working Papers, Rice University, Department of Economics, number 14-015, Aug.
• Schorfheide, Frank & Wolpin, Kenneth I., 2014, "To Hold Out or Not to Hold Out," Working Papers, Rice University, Department of Economics, number 14-018, Jul.
• Nadhem Selmi & Nejib Hachicha, 2014, "Were Oil Price Markets the Source of Credit Crisis in European Countries? Evidence Using a VAR-MGARCH-DCC Model," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, volume 4, issue 2, pages 169-177.
• Korobilis, Dimitris, 2014, "Data-based priors for vector autoregressions with drifting coefficients," SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE), number 2014-022, Jan.
• Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2014, "Model Uncertainty in Panel Vector Autoregressive Models," SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE), number 2014-011, Aug.
• Chen, Xiaoshan & Kirsanova, Tatiana & Leith, Campbell, 2014, "An Empirical Assessment of Optimal Monetary Policy Delegation in the Euro Area," SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE), number 2015-04, Nov.
• Grassi, S. & Proietti, T., 2014, "Characterising economic trends by Bayesian stochastic model specification search," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, volume 71, issue C, pages 359-374, DOI: 10.1016/j.csda.2013.02.024.
• Caporin, Massimiliano & McAleer, Michael, 2014, "Robust ranking of multivariate GARCH models by problem dimension," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, volume 76, issue C, pages 172-185, DOI: 10.1016/j.csda.2012.05.012.
• Audrino, Francesco, 2014, "Forecasting correlations during the late-2000s financial crisis: The short-run component, the long-run component, and structural breaks," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, volume 76, issue C, pages 43-60, DOI: 10.1016/j.csda.2013.06.002.
• Aielli, Gian Piero & Caporin, Massimiliano, 2014, "Variance clustering improved dynamic conditional correlation MGARCH estimators," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, volume 76, issue C, pages 556-576, DOI: 10.1016/j.csda.2013.01.029.
• Nguimkeu, Pierre, 2014, "A structural econometric analysis of the informal sector heterogeneity," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, volume 107, issue C, pages 175-191, DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2013.12.001.
• Fabozzi, Frank J. & Leccadito, Arturo & Tunaru, Radu S., 2014, "Extracting market information from equity options with exponential Lévy processes," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 38, issue C, pages 125-141, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2013.10.001.
• Chen, Zhiping & Li, Gang & Zhao, Yonggan, 2014, "Time-consistent investment policies in Markovian markets: A case of mean–variance analysis," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 40, issue C, pages 293-316, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2014.01.011.
• Diks, Cees & Panchenko, Valentyn & Sokolinskiy, Oleg & van Dijk, Dick, 2014, "Comparing the accuracy of multivariate density forecasts in selected regions of the copula support," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 48, issue C, pages 79-94, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2014.08.021.
• Hunter, John & Wu, Feng, 2014, "Multifactor consumption based asset pricing models using the US stock market as a reference: Evidence from a panel of developed economies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 36, issue C, pages 557-565, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2013.10.001.
• Reboredo, Juan C. & Rivera-Castro, Miguel A., 2014, "Can gold hedge and preserve value when the US dollar depreciates?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 39, issue C, pages 168-173, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2014.02.038.
• Akram, Q. Farooq, 2014, "Macro effects of capital requirements and macroprudential policy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 42, issue C, pages 77-93, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2014.05.033.
• Gómez-Puig, Marta & Sosvilla-Rivero, Simón & Ramos-Herrera, María del Carmen, 2014, "An update on EMU sovereign yield spread drivers in times of crisis: A panel data analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, volume 30, issue C, pages 133-153, DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2014.09.003.
• Csereklyei, Zsuzsanna, 2014, "Measuring the impact of nuclear accidents on energy policy," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, volume 99, issue C, pages 121-129, DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2014.01.010.
• Montes-Rojas, Gabriel & Galvao, Antonio F., 2014, "Bayesian endogeneity bias modeling," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 122, issue 1, pages 36-39, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2013.10.034.
• Caraiani, Petre, 2014, "What drives the nonlinearity of time series: A frequency perspective," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 125, issue 1, pages 40-42, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2014.07.002.
• Lahaye, Jerome & Shaw, Philip, 2014, "Can we reject linearity in an HAR-RV model for the S&P 500? Insights from a nonparametric HAR-RV," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 125, issue 1, pages 43-46, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2014.07.003.
• Kalli, Maria & Griffin, Jim E., 2014, "Time-varying sparsity in dynamic regression models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 178, issue 2, pages 779-793, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2013.10.012.
• Todorov, Viktor & Tauchen, George & Grynkiv, Iaryna, 2014, "Volatility activity: Specification and estimation," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 178, issue P1, pages 180-193, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2013.08.015.
• Kim, Hyun Hak & Swanson, Norman R., 2014, "Forecasting financial and macroeconomic variables using data reduction methods: New empirical evidence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 178, issue P2, pages 352-367, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2013.08.033.
• Lavergne, Pascal, 2014, "Model equivalence tests in a parametric framework," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 178, issue P3, pages 414-425, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2013.05.007.
• Escanciano, J.C. & Goh, S.C., 2014, "Specification analysis of linear quantile models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 178, issue P3, pages 495-507, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2013.07.006.
• Choi, Hwan-sik & Jeong, Minsoo & Park, Joon Y., 2014, "An asymptotic analysis of likelihood-based diffusion model selection using high frequency data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 178, issue P3, pages 539-557, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2013.08.036.
• Noureldin, Diaa & Shephard, Neil & Sheppard, Kevin, 2014, "Multivariate rotated ARCH models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 179, issue 1, pages 16-30, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2013.10.003.
• Armstrong, Timothy B. & Bertanha, Marinho & Hong, Han, 2014, "A fast resample method for parametric and semiparametric models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 179, issue 2, pages 128-133, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2014.01.001.
• Voß, Sebastian & Weißbach, Rafael, 2014, "A score-test on measurement errors in rating transition times," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 180, issue 1, pages 16-29, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2014.01.004.
• Granziera, Eleonora & Hubrich, Kirstin & Moon, Hyungsik Roger, 2014, "A predictability test for a small number of nested models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 182, issue 1, pages 174-185, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2014.04.016.
• Borovička, Jaroslav & Hansen, Lars Peter, 2014, "Examining macroeconomic models through the lens of asset pricing," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 183, issue 1, pages 67-90, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2014.06.010.
• Bekaert, Geert & Hoerova, Marie, 2014, "The VIX, the variance premium and stock market volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 183, issue 2, pages 181-192, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2014.05.008.
• Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2014, "A new index of financial conditions," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 71, issue C, pages 101-116, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2014.07.002.
• Aktas, Osman Ulas & Kryzanowski, Lawrence, 2014, "Market impacts of trades for stocks listed on the Borsa Istanbul," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, volume 20, issue C, pages 152-175, DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2014.06.002.
• Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Nguyen, Duc Khuong & Reboredo, Juan Carlos & Wen, Xiaoqian, 2014, "Dependence of stock and commodity futures markets in China: Implications for portfolio investment," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, volume 21, issue C, pages 183-200, DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2014.09.002.
• Amado, Cristina & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2014, "Modelling changes in the unconditional variance of long stock return series," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, volume 25, issue C, pages 15-35, DOI: 10.1016/j.jempfin.2013.09.003.
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• Hahn, Warren J. & DiLellio, James A. & Dyer, James S., 2014, "What do market-calibrated stochastic processes indicate about the long-term price of crude oil?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 44, issue C, pages 212-221, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2014.04.007.
• Frömmel, Michael & Han, Xing & Kratochvil, Stepan, 2014, "Modeling the daily electricity price volatility with realized measures," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 44, issue C, pages 492-502, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2014.03.001.
• Leme, Rafael C. & Paiva, Anderson P. & Steele Santos, Paulo E. & Balestrassi, Pedro P. & Galvão, Leandro de Lima, 2014, "Design of experiments applied to environmental variables analysis in electricity utilities efficiency: The Brazilian case," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 45, issue C, pages 111-119, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2014.06.017.
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• Nowotarski, Jakub & Raviv, Eran & Trück, Stefan & Weron, Rafał, 2014, "An empirical comparison of alternative schemes for combining electricity spot price forecasts," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 46, issue C, pages 395-412, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2014.07.014.
• Bekiros, Stelios D., 2014, "Contagion, decoupling and the spillover effects of the US financial crisis: Evidence from the BRIC markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, volume 33, issue C, pages 58-69, DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2013.07.007.
• Kumar, Dilip & Maheswaran, S., 2014, "Modeling and forecasting the additive bias corrected extreme value volatility estimator," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, volume 34, issue C, pages 166-176, DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2014.06.002.
• Tsai, Wei-Che, 2014, "Improved method for static replication under the CEV model," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 11, issue 3, pages 194-202, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2014.04.004.
• Duranton, Gilles & Puga, Diego, 2014, "The Growth of Cities," Handbook of Economic Growth, Elsevier, chapter 5, in: Philippe Aghion & Steven Durlauf, "Handbook of Economic Growth", DOI: 10.1016/B978-0-444-53540-5.00005-7.
• Cho, Dooyeon & Doblas-Madrid, Antonio, 2014, "Trade intensity and purchasing power parity," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, volume 93, issue 1, pages 194-209, DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2014.01.007.
• Brzezinski, Michal, 2014, "Empirical modeling of the impact factor distribution," Journal of Informetrics, Elsevier, volume 8, issue 2, pages 362-368, DOI: 10.1016/j.joi.2014.01.009.
• Aktas, Osman Ulas & Kryzanowski, Lawrence, 2014, "Trade classification accuracy for the BIST," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, volume 33, issue C, pages 259-282, DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2014.08.003.
• Gupta, Rangan & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Modise, Mampho P. & Nguyen, Duc Khuong, 2014, "Can economic uncertainty, financial stress and consumer sentiments predict U.S. equity premium?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, volume 33, issue C, pages 367-378, DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2014.09.004.
• Luciani, Matteo, 2014, "Forecasting with approximate dynamic factor models: The role of non-pervasive shocks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 30, issue 1, pages 20-29, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2013.05.001.
• Rombouts, Jeroen & Stentoft, Lars & Violante, Franceso, 2014, "The value of multivariate model sophistication: An application to pricing Dow Jones Industrial Average options," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 30, issue 1, pages 78-98, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2013.07.006.
• Dreger, Christian & Wolters, Jürgen, 2014, "Money demand and the role of monetary indicators in forecasting euro area inflation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 30, issue 2, pages 303-312, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2013.09.008.
• Kock, Anders Bredahl & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2014, "Forecasting performances of three automated modelling techniques during the economic crisis 2007–2009," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 30, issue 3, pages 616-631, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2013.01.003.
• Rossi, Barbara & Sekhposyan, Tatevik, 2014, "Evaluating predictive densities of US output growth and inflation in a large macroeconomic data set," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 30, issue 3, pages 662-682, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2013.03.005.
• Wojtowicz, Marcin, 2014, "CDOs and the financial crisis: Credit ratings and fair premia," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 39, issue C, pages 1-13, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2013.10.005.
• Bekiros, Stelios D., 2014, "Exchange rates and fundamentals: Co-movement, long-run relationships and short-run dynamics," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 39, issue C, pages 117-134, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2013.11.007.
• Bauer, Julian & Agarwal, Vineet, 2014, "Are hazard models superior to traditional bankruptcy prediction approaches? A comprehensive test," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 40, issue C, pages 432-442, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2013.12.013.
• Liu, Chunping & Minford, Patrick, 2014, "How important is the credit channel? An empirical study of the US banking crisis," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 41, issue C, pages 119-134, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2013.12.017.
• Zieling, Daniel & Mahayni, Antje & Balder, Sven, 2014, "Performance evaluation of optimized portfolio insurance strategies," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 43, issue C, pages 212-225, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2014.03.027.
• Caggiano, Giovanni & Calice, Pietro & Leonida, Leone, 2014, "Early warning systems and systemic banking crises in low income countries: A multinomial logit approach," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 47, issue C, pages 258-269, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2014.07.002.
• Martins, Luis F. & Gabriel, Vasco J., 2014, "Modelling long run comovements in equity markets: A flexible approach," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 47, issue C, pages 288-295, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2014.05.029.
• Kalotychou, Elena & Staikouras, Sotiris K. & Zhao, Gang, 2014, "The role of correlation dynamics in sector allocation," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 48, issue C, pages 1-12, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2014.06.025.
• Ziggel, Daniel & Berens, Tobias & Weiß, Gregor N.F. & Wied, Dominik, 2014, "A new set of improved Value-at-Risk backtests," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 48, issue C, pages 29-41, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2014.07.005.
• Bezemer, Dirk & Grydaki, Maria, 2014, "Financial fragility in the Great Moderation," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 49, issue C, pages 169-177, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2014.09.005.
• Maalaoui Chun, Olfa & Dionne, Georges & François, Pascal, 2014, "Credit spread changes within switching regimes," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 49, issue C, pages 41-55, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2014.08.009.
• Gallegati, Marco & Ramsey, James B., 2014, "The forward looking information content of equity and bond markets for aggregate investments," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, volume 75, issue C, pages 1-24, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconbus.2014.04.002.
• Filipova, Kameliya & Audrino, Francesco & De Giorgi, Enrico, 2014, "Monetary policy regimes: Implications for the yield curve and bond pricing," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, volume 113, issue 3, pages 427-454, DOI: 10.1016/j.jfineco.2014.05.006.
• Florackis, Chris & Giorgioni, Gianluigi & Kostakis, Alexandros & Milas, Costas, 2014, "On stock market illiquidity and real-time GDP growth," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 44, issue C, pages 210-229, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2014.02.006.
• Su, Jung-Bin & Lee, Ming-Chih & Chiu, Chien-Liang, 2014, "Why does skewness and the fat-tail effect influence value-at-risk estimates? Evidence from alternative capital markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, volume 31, issue C, pages 59-85, DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2013.12.001.
• Gómez-Puig, Marta & Sosvilla-Rivero, Simón, 2014, "Causality and contagion in EMU sovereign debt markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, volume 33, issue C, pages 12-27, DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2014.03.003.
• de Rassenfosse, Gaétan & Schoen, Anja & Wastyn, Annelies, 2014, "Selection bias in innovation studies: A simple test," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, volume 81, issue C, pages 287-299, DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2013.02.012.
• Joshua C.C. Chan & Angelia L. Grant, 2014, "Fast Computation of the Deviance Information Criterion for Latent Variable Models," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2014-09, Jan.
• Eric Eisenstat & Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2014, "Stochastic Model Specification Search for Time-Varying Parameter VARs," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2014-23, Mar.
• Joshua C.C. Chan & Angelia L. Grant, 2014, "Issues in Comparing Stochastic Volatility Models Using the Deviance Information Criterion," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2014-51, Jul.
• Francesco Furlanetto & Nicolas Groshenny, 2014, "Mismatch Shocks and Unemployment During the Great Recession," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2014-57, Aug.
• Cevat Bilgin, 2014, "Determinants of tax morale in Spain and Turkey: an empirical analysis," European Journal of Government and Economics, Europa Grande, volume 3, issue 1, pages 60-74, June.
• Mendoza, Alfonso. & Galvanovskis, Evalds., 2014, "La cópula GED bivariada. Una aplicación en entornos de crisis," El Trimestre Económico, Fondo de Cultura Económica, volume 81, issue 323, pages .721-746, julio-sep, DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.20430/ete.v81i.
• Seeun Jung, 2014, "The Gender Wage Gap and Sample Selection via Risk Attitudes," Thema Working Papers, THEMA (Théorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), CY Cergy-Paris University, ESSEC and CNRS, number 2014-25.
• Jin Seo Cho & Halbert White, 2014, "Testing the Equality of Two Positive-Definite Matrices with Application to Information Matrix Testing☆A glossary of notation and the program codes written in GAUSS for our simulations are available at:http://web.yonsei.ac.kr/jinseocho/research.htm," Advances in Econometrics, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, "Essays in Honor of Peter C. B. Phillips", DOI: 10.1108/S0731-905320140000033014.
• Miguel Belmonte & Gary Koop, 2014, "Model Switching and Model Averaging in Time-Varying Parameter Regression Models," Advances in Econometrics, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, "Bayesian Model Comparison", DOI: 10.1108/S0731-905320140000034004.