Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

1. Forecasting with DSGE Models
2. Forecasting

2011

• Li Donni, P & Peragine, V & Pignataro G, 2011, "Measuring equity in health: a normative decomposition," Health, Econometrics and Data Group (HEDG) Working Papers, HEDG, c/o Department of Economics, University of York, number 11/06, May.
• Knüppel, Malte, 2011, "Evaluating the calibration of multi-step-ahead density forecasts using raw moments," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 2011,32.
• Förstemann, Till, 2011, "Improvements in rating models for the German corporate sector," Discussion Paper Series 2: Banking and Financial Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 2011,11.
• Franke, Reiner & Jang, Tae-Seok & Sacht, Stephen, 2011, "Moment matching versus Bayesian estimation: Backward-looking behaviour in the new-Keynesian three-equations model," Economics Working Papers, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics, number 2011-10.
• Dreger, Christian & Wolters, Jürgen, 2011, "Liquidity and Asset Prices: How Strong Are the Linkages?," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, volume 1, pages 43-52.
• Dreger, Christian & Wolters, Jürgen, 2011, "Money and inflation in the euro area during the financial crisis," Discussion Papers, European University Viadrina Frankfurt (Oder), Department of Business Administration and Economics, number 300.
• Hewicker, Harald & Cremers, Heinz, 2011, "Modellierung von Zinsstrukturkurven," Frankfurt School - Working Paper Series, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management, number 165.
• Kitlinski, Tobias & Schmidt, Torsten, 2011, "The Forecasting Performance of an Estimated Medium Run Model," Ruhr Economic Papers, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen, number 301.
• Mehrhoff, Jens & Eiglsperger, Martin & Haine, Wim, 2011, "Seasonal adjustment and reliability of euro area GDP – Increased uncertainty in times of unusual developments?," VfS Annual Conference 2011 (Frankfurt, Main): The Order of the World Economy - Lessons from the Crisis, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 48721.
• Cristina Amado & Timo Teräsvirta, 2011, "Modelling Volatility by Variance Decomposition," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2011-01, Jan.
• Timo Teräsvirta, 2011, "Nonlinear models for autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2011-02, Jan.
• Stefano Grassi & Tommaso Proietti, 2011, "Characterizing economic trends by Bayesian stochastic model specification search," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2011-16, May.
• Cristina Amado & Timo Teräsvirta, 2011, "Conditional Correlation Models of Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity with Nonstationary GARCH Equations," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2011-24, May.
• Anders Bredahl Kock & Timo Teräsvirta, 2011, "Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables using Neural Network Models and Three Automated Model Selection Techniques," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2011-27, Aug.
• Anders Bredahl Kock & Timo Teräsvirta, 2011, "Forecasting performance of three automated modelling techniques during the economic crisis 2007-2009," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2011-28, Aug.
• Manuel Lukas, 2011, "Return Predictability, Model Uncertainty, and Robust Investment," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2011-42, Nov.
• Tim Bollerslev & Daniela Osterrieder & Natalia Sizova & George Tauchen, 2011, "Risk and Return: Long-Run Relationships, Fractional Cointegration, and Return Predictability," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2011-51, Dec.
• Torben G. Andersen & Nicola Fusari & Viktor Todorov, 2011, "Parametric Inference and Dynamic State Recovery from Option Panels," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2012-11, May.
• Dean Croushore, 2011, "Frontiers of Real-Time Data Analysis," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, volume 49, issue 1, pages 72-100, March.
• Walter Krämer, 2011, "The Cult of Statistical Significance – What Economists Should and Should Not Do to Make their Data Talk," Schmollers Jahrbuch : Journal of Applied Social Science Studies / Zeitschrift für Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften, Duncker & Humblot, Berlin, volume 131, issue 3, pages 455-468, DOI: 10.3790/schm.131.3.455.
• Win, Heijman & Milic, Branislav B. & Bogdanov, Natalija, , "The “Rural-Sensitive Evaluation Model” for evaluation of local governments’ sensitivity to rural issues in Serbia," 122nd Seminar, February 17-18, 2011, Ancona, Italy, European Association of Agricultural Economists, number 99417, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.99417.
• Bastianin, Andrea & Manera, Matteo & Markandya, Anil & Scarpa, Elisa, 2011, "Oil Price Forecast Evaluation with Flexible Loss Functions," Energy: Resources and Markets, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM), number 120042, Dec, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.120042.
• Bervejillo, Jose E. & Alston, Julian M. & Tumber, Kabir P., 2011, "The Economic Returns to Public Agricultural Research in Uruguay," Working Papers, Robert Mondavi Institute Center for Wine Economics, number 162518, Dec, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.162518.
• Ngongang, Elie, 2011, "Impact of Exchange Rate Policy on the Trade of Industrial Products in Sub-Saharan Africa from 1975 to 2007," Review of Applied Economics, Lincoln University, Department of Financial and Business Systems, volume 7, issue 01-2, pages 1-27, March, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.143427.
• Bernard, Jean-Thomas & Gavin, Michael & Khalaf, Lynda & Voia, Marcel, 2011, "The Environmental Kuznets Curve: Tipping Points, Uncertainty and Weak Identification," Working Papers, University of Laval, Center for Research on the Economics of the Environment, Agri-food, Transports and Energy (CREATE), number 119109, Dec, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.119109.
• Elie BOURI, 2011, "An Attempt to Capture Leptokurtic of Returns and to Model Its Volatility: The Case of Beirut Stock Exchange," Review of Economic and Business Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, issue 8, pages 259-271, December.
• Luca RICCETTI, 2011, "A Copula-GARCH Model for Macro Asset Allocation of a Portfolio with Commodities: an Out-of-Sample Analysis," Working Papers, Universita' Politecnica delle Marche (I), Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Sociali, number 355, Jan.
• Christian Bluhm & Christoph Wagner, 2011, "Valuation and Risk Management of Collateralized Debt Obligations and Related Securities," Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, volume 3, issue 1, pages 193-222, December.
• Hedibert F. Lopes & Justin L. Tobias, 2011, "Confronting Prior Convictions: On Issues of Prior Sensitivity and Likelihood Robustness in Bayesian Analysis," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, volume 3, issue 1, pages 107-131, September.
• Craig Blackburn & Michael Sherris, 2011, "Consistent Dynamic Affine Mortality Model for Longevity Risk Applications," Working Papers, ARC Centre of Excellence in Population Ageing Research (CEPAR), Australian School of Business, University of New South Wales, number 201107, May.
• Christian Dreger & J¨¹rgen Wolters, 2011, "Liquidity and Asset Prices: How Strong are the Linkages?," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, volume 1, pages 43-52, February.
• Grigori Fainstein & Igor Novikov, 2011, "The Comparative Analysis of Credit Risk Determinants In the Banking Sector of the Baltic States," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, volume 1, pages 20-45, June.
• Johannes Vilsmeier, 2011, "Updating the Option Implied Probability of Default Methodology," Working Papers, Bavarian Graduate Program in Economics (BGPE), number 107, Oct.
• Agustín Maravall Herrero & Domingo Pérez Cañete, 2011, "Applying and interpreting model-based seasonal adjustment. The euro-area industrial production series," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 1116, Jul.
• Leandro D�Aurizio & Stefano Iezzi, 2011, "Investment forecasting with business survey data," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 832, Nov.
• Luis Fernando Melo & Joan Camilo Granados, 2011, "Regulación y valor en riesgo," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, volume 29, issue 64, pages 110-177, July, DOI: 10.32468/Espe.6404.
• Vesna Karadžic & Tamara Backovic Vulic, 2011, "The Montenegrin Capital Market: Calendar Anomalies," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, volume 56, issue 191, pages 107-122, October-D.
• Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & Lima, Luiz Renato & Linton, Oliver & Smith, Daniel R., 2011, "Evaluating Value-at-Risk Models via Quantile Regression," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, volume 29, issue 1, pages 150-160.
• Todorov, Viktor & Tauchen, George, 2011, "Volatility Jumps," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, volume 29, issue 3, pages 356-371.
• Wegmann, Bertil & Villani, Mattias, 2011, "Bayesian Inference in Structural Second-Price Common Value Auctions," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, volume 29, issue 3, pages 382-396.
• Kurt Brannas & Albina Soultanaeva, 2011, "Influence of news from Moscow and New York on returns and risks of Baltic States’ stock markets," Baltic Journal of Economics, Baltic International Centre for Economic Policy Studies, volume 11, issue 1, pages 109-124, July.
• Fernanda Cuitiño & Fiorella Tramontin & Leonardo Vicente, 2011, "Evaluación de indicadores de inflación subyacente para Uruguay," Documentos de trabajo, Banco Central del Uruguay, number 2011011, Dec.
• Chris Heaton & George Milunovich & Anthony Passé‐De Silva, 2011, "International Commodity Prices and the Australian Stock Market," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, volume 87, issue 276, pages 37-44, March.
• Vincent Vandenberghe, 2011, "Firm‐level Evidence on Gender Wage Discrimination in the Belgian Private Economy," LABOUR, CEIS, volume 25, issue 3, pages 330-349, September, DOI: j.1467-9914.2011.00524.x.
• Olivier Darné & Laurent Ferrara, 2011, "Identification of Slowdowns and Accelerations for the Euro Area Economy," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, volume 73, issue 3, pages 335-364, June.
• Paulo M. M. Rodrigues & Antonio Rubia, 2011, "The Effects of Additive Outliers and Measurement Errors when Testing for Structural Breaks in Variance," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, volume 73, issue 4, pages 449-468, August.
• Jan Hanousek & Evžen Kočenda, 2011, "Foreign News and Spillovers in Emerging European Stock Markets," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, volume 19, issue 1, pages 170-188, February.
• Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Roman Matousek & Chris Stewart, 2011, "EU Banks Rating Assignments: Is There Heterogeneity between New and Old Member Countries?," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, volume 19, issue 1, pages 189-206, February.
• Alexander Mihailov & Fabio Rumler & Johann Scharler, 2011, "Inflation Dynamics in the New EU Member States: How Relevant Are External Factors?," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, volume 19, issue 1, pages 65-76, February.
• Massimiliano Caporin & Michael McAleer, 2011, "Thresholds, news impact surfaces and dynamic asymmetric multivariate GARCH," Statistica Neerlandica, Netherlands Society for Statistics and Operations Research, volume 65, issue 2, pages 125-163, May, DOI: j.1467-9574.2010.00479.x.
• Knut Are Aastveit & Karsten R. Gerdrup & Anne Sofie Jore & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2011, "Nowcasting GDP in real-time: A density combination approach," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2011/11, Sep.
• Knut Are Aastveit & Karsten R. Gerdrup & Anne Sofie Jore & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2011, "Nowcasting GDP in Real-Time: A Density Combination Approach," Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School, number No 1/2011, Sep.
• Konstantinos Theodoridis, 2011, "An efficient minimum distance estimator for DSGE models," Bank of England working papers, Bank of England, number 439, Oct.
• Christensen Timothy & Hurn Stan & Pagan Adrian, 2011, "Detecting Common Dynamics in Transitory Components," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 3, issue 1, pages 1-28, February, DOI: 10.2202/1941-1928.1088.
• Lanne Markku & Saikkonen Pentti, 2011, "Noncausal Autoregressions for Economic Time Series," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 3, issue 3, pages 1-32, October, DOI: 10.2202/1941-1928.1080.
• Sonia Ondo-Ndong & Sandra Rigot, 2011, "The Aggregated Leverage Ratio and the Detection of Financial Vulnerability :Evidence from the United States and European Countries," Brussels Economic Review, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles, volume 54, issue 1, pages 5-20.
• Doppelhofer, G. & Weeks, M., 2011, "Robust Growth Determinants," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 1117, Jan.
• Jennifer Castle & Xiaochuan Qin & W. Robert Reed, 2011, "Using Model Selection Algorthims to Obtain Reliable Coefficient Estimates," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 11/03, Jan.
• Massimiliano Caporin & Michael McAleer, 2011, "Ranking Multivariate GARCH Models by Problem Dimension: An Empirical Evaluation," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 11/23, May.
• John V. Duca & John Muellbauer & Anthony Murphy, 2011, "Shifting Credit Standards and the Boom and Bust in U.S. House Prices," SERC Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE, number 0076, Mar.
• John V. Duca & John Muellbauer & Anthony Murphy, 2011, "House Prices and Credit Constraints: Making Sense of the U.S. Experience," SERC Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE, number 0077, Mar.
• Gernot Doppelhofer & Melvyn Weeks, 2011, "Robust Growth Determinants," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 3354.
• Jim Malley & Ulrich Woitek, 2011, "Productivity Shocks and Aggregate Fluctuations in an Estimated Endogenous Growth Model with Human Capital," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 3567.
• Mahir Binici & Yin-Wong Cheung, 2011, "Exchange Rate Dynamics under Alternative Optimal Interest Rate Rules," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 3577.
• Pablo Pincheira, 2011, "A Bunch of Models, a Bunch of Nulls and Inference About Predictive Ability," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile, number 607, Jan.
• Marie-Claude Beaulieu & Jean-Marie Dufour & Lynda Khalaf & Maral Kichian, 2011, "An Identification-Robust Test for Time-Varying Parameters in the Dynamics of Energy Prices," CIRANO Working Papers, CIRANO, number 2011s-22, Feb.
• Jörgen Hansen & Xingfei Liu, 2011, "Estimating Labor Supply Responses and Welfare Participation: Using a Natural Experiment to Validate a Structural Labor Supply Model," CIRANO Working Papers, CIRANO, number 2011s-53, Jul.
• Andrés Gonzalez & Franz Hamann, 2011, "Lack of Credibility, Inflation Persistence and Disinflation in Colombia," Revista Desarrollo y Sociedad, Universidad de los Andes,Facultad de Economía, CEDE.
• Eliana Gonz�lez, 2011, "Forecasting With Many Predictors. An Empirical Comparison," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 7996, Feb.
• Andr�s Gonz�lez G. & Franz Hamann, 2011, "Lack of Credibility, Inflation Persistence and Disinflation in Colombia," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 8737, May.
• Luis Fernando Melo & Joan Camilo Granados, 2011, "Regulación y valor en riesgo," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, volume 29, issue 64, pages 110-177, DOI: 10.32468/Espe.6404.
• Bernardo León & Andr�s Mora, 2011, "CDS: relación con índices accionarios y medida de riesgo," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, volume 29, issue 64, pages 178-211, DOI: 10.32468/Espe.6405.
• Martha López & Fernando Tenjo & H�ctor Z�rate, 2011, "The Risk-Taking Channel and Monetary Transmission Mechanism in Colombia," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, volume 29, issue 64, pages 211-234, DOI: 10.32468/Espe.6406.
• Jorge Andrés Perdomo Calvo, 2011, "Una propuesta metodológica para estimar los cambios sobre el valor de la propiedad: estudio de caso para Bogotá aplicando Propensity Score Matching.," Revista Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, CIE.
• Milena Hoyos & Mario Galindo, 2011, "Comparación de los modelos SETAR y STAR para el índice de empleo industrial colombiano," Documentos de Trabajo, Escuela de Economía, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID, number 8347, Apr.
• Ivan Savin & Peter Winker, 2011, "Heuristic model selection for leading indicators in Russia and Germany," Working Papers, COMISEF, number 046, Jan.
• KOROBILIS, Dimitris, 2011, "Hierarchical shrinkage priors for dynamic regressions with many predictors," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE), number 2011021, May.
• KOROBILIS, Dimitris, 2011, "VAR forecasting using Bayesian variable selection," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE), number 2011022, May.
• BELMONTE, Miguel A.G. & KOOP, Gary & KOROBILIS, Dimitris, 2011, "Hierarchical shrinkage in time-varying parameter models," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE), number 2011036, Sep.
• Timmermann, Allan & Patton, Andrew, 2011, "Forecast Rationality Tests Based on Multi-Horizon Bounds," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 8194, Jan.
• Muellbauer, John & Murphy, Anthony & Duca, John V, 2011, "House Prices and Credit Constraints: Making Sense of the US Experience," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 8360, Apr.
• Muellbauer, John & Murphy, Anthony & Duca, John V, 2011, "Shifting Credit Standards and the Boom and Bust in US House Prices," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 8361, Apr.
• Kilian, Lutz & Inoue, Atsushi, 2011, "Inference on Impulse Response Functions in Structural VAR Models," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 8419, Jun.
• Gautier, Pieter & van Vuuren, Aico, 2011, "A Flexible Test for Present Bias and Time Preferences using Land-Lease Contracts," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 8512, Aug.
• Rossi, Barbara & Inoue, Atsushi, 2011, "Out-of-Sample Forecast Tests Robust to the Choice of Window Size," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 8542, Aug.
• Taylor, Alan M. & Schularick, Moritz & Jordà , Ã’scar, 2011, "When Credit Bites Back: Leverage, Business Cycles, and Crises," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 8678, Dec.
• Dolado, Juan José & Ortigueira, Salvador & Stucchi, Rodolfo, 2011, "Does dual employment protection affect TFP? Evidence from Spanish manufacturing firms," UC3M Working papers. Economics, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Economía, number we1137, Dec.
• Vincent VANDENBERGHE, 2011, "Firm-level Evidence on Gender Wage Discrimination in the Belgian Private Economy," LIDAM Discussion Papers IRES, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES), number 2011016, Apr.
• Adrien Bonache & Karen Moris, 2011, "Premières preuves empiriques de chaos dans les ventes de biens à la mode - First empirical evidence of chaos in the sales of fashion goods," Working Papers CREGO, Université de Bourgogne - CREGO EA7317 Centre de recherches en gestion des organisations, number 1110602, Jun.
• Christian Dreger & Jürgen Wolters, 2011, "Money and Inflation in the Euro Area during the Financial Crisis," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, number 1131.
• Barbara Rossi & Atsushi Inoue, 2011, "Out-of-Sample Forecast Tests Robust to Window Size Choice," Working Papers, Duke University, Department of Economics, number 11-04.
• Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2011, "Forecast Optimality Tests in the Presence of Instabilities," Working Papers, Duke University, Department of Economics, number 11-18.
• Viktor Todorov & George Tauchen, 2011, "Inverse Realized Laplace Transforms for Nonparametric Volatility Estimation in Jump-Diffusions," Working Papers, Duke University, Department of Economics, number 11-21.
• George Tauchen, 2011, "Levy Process Models for High Frequency Financial Data," Working Papers, Duke University, Department of Economics, number 11-22.
• Viktor Todorov & George Tauchen & Iaryna Grynkiv, 2011, "Volatility Activity: Specification and Estimation," Working Papers, Duke University, Department of Economics, number 11-23.
• ESCOBARI, Diego, 2011, "Testing for Stochastic and Beta-convergence in Latin American Countries," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, volume 11, issue 2.
• Matteo Luciani, 2011, "Forecasting with Approximate Dynamic Factor Models: the Role of Non-Pervasive Shocks," Working Papers ECARES, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles, number ECARES 2011‐022, Jul.
• John V. Duca & John Muellbauer & Anthony Murphy, 2011, "House Prices and Credit Constraints: Making Sense of the US Experience," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, volume 121, issue 552, pages 533-551, May.
• Peter R. Hansen & Asger Lunde & James M. Nason, 2011, "The Model Confidence Set," Econometrica, Econometric Society, volume 79, issue 2, pages 453-497, March.
• Chen, Xiaoshan & MacDonald, Ronald, 2011, "Realised and Optimal Monetary Policy Rules in an Estimated Markov-Switching DSGE Model of the United Kingdom," SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE), number 2011-21.
• Jochmann, Markus & Koop, Gary, 2011, "Regime-Switching Cointegration," SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE), number 2011-36.
• Jochmann, Markus & Koop, Gary, 2011, "Regime-Switching Cointegration," SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE), number 2011-60.
• Malley, James & Woitek, Ulrich, 2011, "Productivity shocks and aggregate fluctuations in an estimated endogenous growth model with human capital," SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE), number 2011-71.
• Belmonte, Miguel A & Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2011, "Hierarchical Shrinkage in Time-Varying Parameter Models," SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE), number 2012-68, Jun.
• Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael, 2011, "How much nominal rigidity is there in the US economy? Testing a new Keynesian DSGE model using indirect inference," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 35, issue 12, pages 2078-2104, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2011.08.009.
• Naraidoo, Ruthira & Raputsoane, Leroi, 2011, "Optimal monetary policy reaction function in a model with target zones and asymmetric preferences for South Africa," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 28, issue 1-2, pages 251-258, January.
• Naraidoo, Ruthira & Raputsoane, Leroi, 2011, "Optimal monetary policy reaction function in a model with target zones and asymmetric preferences for South Africa," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 28, issue 1, pages 251-258, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2010.09.005.
• Ryu, Hang Keun, 2011, "Subjective model selection rules versus passive model selection rules," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 28, issue 1, pages 459-472, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2010.08.002.
• Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Shah, Zahra B., 2011, "An in-sample and out-of-sample empirical investigation of the nonlinearity in house prices of South Africa," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 28, issue 3, pages 891-899, May.
• Chevallier, Julien, 2011, "Evaluating the carbon-macroeconomy relationship: Evidence from threshold vector error-correction and Markov-switching VAR models," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 28, issue 6, pages 2634-2656, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2011.08.003.
• Lady, George M. & Buck, Andrew J., 2011, "Structural models, information and inherited restrictions," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 28, issue 6, pages 2820-2831, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2011.08.021.
• Bjørnland, Hilde C. & Gerdrup, Karsten & Jore, Anne Sofie & Smith, Christie & Thorsrud, Leif Anders, 2011, "Weights and pools for a Norwegian density combination," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, volume 22, issue 1, pages 61-76, January.
• Bollerslev, Tim & Gibson, Michael & Zhou, Hao, 2011, "Dynamic estimation of volatility risk premia and investor risk aversion from option-implied and realized volatilities," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 160, issue 1, pages 235-245, January.
• Patton, Andrew J., 2011, "Volatility forecast comparison using imperfect volatility proxies," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 160, issue 1, pages 246-256, January.
• Diks, Cees & Panchenko, Valentyn & van Dijk, Dick, 2011, "Likelihood-based scoring rules for comparing density forecasts in tails," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 163, issue 2, pages 215-230, August.
• Rossi, Barbara & Sekhposyan, Tatevik, 2011, "Understanding models' forecasting performance," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 164, issue 1, pages 158-172, September.
• Pesaran, M. Hashem & Pick, Andreas & Timmermann, Allan, 2011, "Variable selection, estimation and inference for multi-period forecasting problems," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 164, issue 1, pages 173-187, September.
• Carriero, Andrea & Giacomini, Raffaella, 2011, "How useful are no-arbitrage restrictions for forecasting the term structure of interest rates?," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 164, issue 1, pages 21-34, September.
• Todorov, Viktor & Tauchen, George & Grynkiv, Iaryna, 2011, "Realized Laplace transforms for estimation of jump diffusive volatility models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 164, issue 2, pages 367-381, October.
• Müller, Hans-Georg & Sen, Rituparna & Stadtmüller, Ulrich, 2011, "Functional data analysis for volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 165, issue 2, pages 233-245, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2011.08.002.
• Di Vaio, Gianfranco & Enflo, Kerstin, 2011, "Did globalization drive convergence? Identifying cross-country growth regimes in the long run," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 55, issue 6, pages 832-844, August.
• Moreno, Manuel & Serrano, Pedro & Stute, Winfried, 2011, "Statistical properties and economic implications of jump-diffusion processes with shot-noise effects," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, volume 214, issue 3, pages 656-664, November.
• Lozano, Martín & Rubio, Gonzalo, 2011, "Evaluating alternative methods for testing asset pricing models with historical data," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, volume 18, issue 1, pages 136-146, January.
• Conrad, Christian & Karanasos, Menelaos & Zeng, Ning, 2011, "Multivariate fractionally integrated APARCH modeling of stock market volatility: A multi-country study," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, volume 18, issue 1, pages 147-159, January.
• Serinaldi, Francesco, 2011, "Distributional modeling and short-term forecasting of electricity prices by Generalized Additive Models for Location, Scale and Shape," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 33, issue 6, pages 1216-1226, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2011.05.001.
• Fang, Ying & Ren, Yu & Yuan, Yufei, 2011, "Nonparametric estimation and testing of stochastic discount factor," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 8, issue 4, pages 196-205, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2011.04.001.
• Abbasi, Alireza & Altmann, Jörn & Hossain, Liaquat, 2011, "Identifying the effects of co-authorship networks on the performance of scholars: A correlation and regression analysis of performance measures and social network analysis measures," Journal of Informetrics, Elsevier, volume 5, issue 4, pages 594-607, DOI: 10.1016/j.joi.2011.05.007.
• Athanasopoulos, George & Hyndman, Rob J. & Song, Haiyan & Wu, Doris C., 2011, "The tourism forecasting competition," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 27, issue 3, pages 822-844, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2010.04.009.
• Kim, Jae H. & Wong, Kevin & Athanasopoulos, George & Liu, Shen, 2011, "Beyond point forecasting: Evaluation of alternative prediction intervals for tourist arrivals," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 27, issue 3, pages 887-901, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2010.02.014.
• Blaskowitz, Oliver & Herwartz, Helmut, 2011, "On economic evaluation of directional forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 27, issue 4, pages 1058-1065, October.
• Athanasopoulos, George & Hyndman, Rob J. & Song, Haiyan & Wu, Doris C., 2011, "The tourism forecasting competition," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 27, issue 3, pages 822-844, July.
• Kim, Jae H. & Wong, Kevin & Athanasopoulos, George & Liu, Shen, 2011, "Beyond point forecasting: Evaluation of alternative prediction intervals for tourist arrivals," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 27, issue 3, pages 887-901, July.
• McLeod, Logan, 2011, "A nonparametric vs. latent class model of general practitioner utilization: Evidence from Canada," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, volume 30, issue 6, pages 1261-1279, DOI: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2011.08.005.
• Kurita, Takamitsu, 2011, "Long-run exclusion and the determination of cointegrating rank: Monte Carlo evidence," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, volume 81, issue 9, pages 1733-1740, DOI: 10.1016/j.matcom.2011.01.007.
• Bottasso, Anna & Conti, Maurizio & Piacenz, Massimiliano & Vannoni, Davide, 2011, "The appropriateness of the poolability assumption for multiproduct technologies: Evidence from the English water and sewerage utilities," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, volume 130, issue 1, pages 112-117, March.
• Bottasso, Anna & Conti, Maurizio & Piacenza, Massimiliano & Vannoni, Davide, 2011, "Corrigendum to "The appropriateness of the poolability assumption for multiproduct technologies: Evidence from the English water and sewerage utilities" [Int. J. Prod. Econ. 130 (2011) 112-117]," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, volume 131, issue 2, pages 763-763, June.
• Jan P.A.M. Jacobs & Pieter W. Otter & Ard H.J. den Reijer, 2011, "Information, Data Dimension and Factor Structure," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2011-15, Jun.
• Ghosh, Anisha & Julliard, Christian & Taylor, Alex, 2011, "What is the Consumption-CAPM missing? An information-theoretic framework for the analysis of asset pricing models," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 119061, Oct.
• Duca, John V. & Muellbauer, John & Murphy, Anthony, 2011, "House prices and credit constraints: making sense of the U.S. experience," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 58441, Mar.
• Duca, John V. & Muellbauer, John & Murphy, Anthony, 2011, "Shifting credit standards and the boom and bust in U.S. house prices," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 58533, Mar.
• Boriss Siliverstovs & Sule Akkoyunlu, 2011, "Does the Law of One Price Hold in a High-Inflation Environment? A Tale of Two Cities in Turkey," EcoMod2011, EcoMod, number 3139, Jul.
• Daniel L. Millimet, 2011, "The Elephant in the Corner: A Cautionary Tale about Measurement Error in Treatment Effects Models," Advances in Econometrics, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, "Missing Data Methods: Cross-sectional Methods and Applications", DOI: 10.1108/S0731-9053(2011)000027A004.
• A. Nazif Çatik & Christopher Martin & A. Özlem Onder, 2011, "Relative price variability and the Phillips Curve: evidence from Turkey," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, volume 38, issue 5, pages 546-561, September, DOI: 10.1108/01443581111161814.
• Caporin, M. & McAleer, M.J., 2011, "Ranking Multivariate GARCH Models by Problem Dimension: An Empirical Evaluation," Econometric Institute Research Papers, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute, number EI 2011-18, May.
• Aysit Tansel & Pinar Yasar, 2011, "Macroeconomic Impact of Remittances on Output Growth: Evidence from Turkey," Working Papers, Economic Research Forum, number 586, Jan, revised 05 Jan 2011.
• Peichl, Andreas & Bargain, Olivier & Orsini, Kristian, 2011, "Labor supply elasticities in Europe and the US," EUROMOD Working Papers, EUROMOD at the Institute for Social and Economic Research, number EM1/11, Jul.
• Matteo Barigozzi & Alessio Moneta, 2011, "The Rank of a System of Engel Curves. How Many Common Factors?," Papers on Economics and Evolution, Philipps University Marburg, Department of Geography, number 2011-01, Jan.
• Parente, Paulo M D C & Santos Silva, Joao M C, 2011, "A cautionary note on tests for overidentifying restrictions," Economics Discussion Papers, University of Essex, Department of Economics, number 3532.
• Stelios Bekiros, 2011, "Exchange Rates and Fundamentals: Co-Movement, Long-Run Relationships and Short-run Dynamics," Economics Working Papers, European University Institute, number ECO2011/21.
• Paulo M.D.C. Parente & Joao M.C. Santos Silva, 2011, "A Cautionary Note on Tests for Overidentifying Restrictions," Discussion Papers, University of Exeter, Department of Economics, number 1111.
• Katerina Arnostova & David Havrlant & Luboš Rùžièka & Peter Tóth, 2011, "Short-Term Forecasting of Czech Quarterly GDP Using Monthly Indicators," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, volume 61, issue 6, pages 566-583, December.
• Milan Rippel & Ivo Jánský, 2011, "Value at Risk forecasting with the ARMA-GARCH family of models in times of increased volatility," Working Papers IES, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, number 2011/27, Jul, revised Jul 2011.
• Andrea Bastianin & Matteo Manera & Anil Markandya & Elisa Scarpa, 2011, "Oil Price Forecast Evaluation with Flexible Loss Functions," Working Papers, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, number 2011.91, Dec.
• Raúl de Jesús, Edgar Ortiz, 2011, "Risk in Emerging Stock Markets from Brazil and Mexico: Extreme Value Theory and Alternative Value at Risk Models," Frontiers in Finance and Economics, SKEMA Business School, volume 8, issue 2, pages 49-88, October.
• John V. Duca & John N. Muellbauer & Anthony Murphy, 2011, "House prices and credit constraints: making sense of the U.S. experience," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 1103.
• John V. Duca & John N. Muellbauer & Anthony Murphy, 2011, "Shifting credit standards and the boom and bust in U.S. house prices," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 1104.
• Michael D. Bauer, 2011, "Restrictions on Risk Prices in Dynamic Term Structure Models," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2011-03.
• Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2011, "When credit bites back: leverage, business cycles, and crises," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2011-27.
• Tor Jacobson & Jesper Lindé & Kasper Roszbach, 2011, "Firm default and aggregate fluctuations," International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 1029.
• Alberto Bisin & Andrea Moro & Giorgio Topa, 2011, "The empirical content of models with multiple equilibria in economies with social interactions," Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 504.
• Atsushi Inoue & Barbara Rossi, 2011, "Out-of-sample forecast tests robust to the choice of window size," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, number 11-31.
• Christian T. Brownlees & Fabrizio Cipollini & Giampiero M. Gallo, 2011, "Multiplicative Error Models," Econometrics Working Papers Archive, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti", number 2011_03, Feb, revised Apr 2011.
• Anisha Ghosh & Christian Julliard, 2011, "What is the Consumption-CAPM missing? An informative-Theoretic Framework for the Analysis of Asset Pricing Models," FMG Discussion Papers, Financial Markets Group, number dp691, Oct.
• Xiaoshan Chen & Ronald MacDonald, 2011, "Realised and Optimal Monetary Policy Rules in an Estimated Markov-Switching DSGE Model of the United Kingdom," Working Papers, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow, number 2011_04, Jan.
• Jim Malley & Ulrich Woitek, 2011, "Productivity shocks and aggregate fluctuations in an estimated endogenous growth model with human capital," Working Papers, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow, number 2011_20, Aug.
• Dierk Herzer, 2011, "Cross-country heterogeneity and the trade-income relationship," Ibero America Institute for Econ. Research (IAI) Discussion Papers, Ibero-America Institute for Economic Research, number 209, Jan.
• Ross McKitrick & Timothy Vogelsang, 2011, "Multivariate trend comparisons between autocorrelated climate series with general trend regressors," Working Papers, University of Guelph, Department of Economics and Finance, number 1109.
• Brice Mayag & Michel Grabisch & Christophe Labreuche, 2011, "A Representation of Preferences by the Choquet Integral with Respect to a 2-Additive Capacity," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers), HAL, number halshs-00625706, DOI: 10.1007/s11238-010-9198-3.
• Dominique Guegan & Pierre-André Maugis, 2011, "An econometric Study for Vine Copulas," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers), HAL, number halshs-00645799.
• Donghyun Oh & Almas Heshmati & Hans Lööf, 2011, "Technical Change and Total Factor Productivity Growth for Swedish Manufacturing and Service Industries," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-00693831, May, DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.564147.
• M. Ali Choudhary, 2011, "Neural Network Models for Inflation Forecasting: An Appraisal," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-00704670, Jun, DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566190.
• Cees Diks & Valentyn Panchenko & Dick van Dijk, 2011, "Likelihood-based scoring rules for comparing density forecasts in tails," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-00834423, Jun, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2011.04.001.
• Andrea Carriero & Raffaella Giacomini, 2011, "How useful are no-arbitrage restrictions for forecasting the term structure of interest rates?," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-00844809, Jul, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2011.02.010.
• Heinen, Florian & Kaufmann, Hendrik & Sibbertsen, Philipp, 2011, "The dynamics of real exchange rates - A reconsideration," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP), Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät, number dp-463, Jan.
• Heinen, Florian & Michael, Stefanie & Sibbertsen, Philipp, 2011, "Two competitive models and their identification problem: The ESTAR and TSTAR model," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP), Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät, number dp-474, May.
• Doppelhofer, Gernot & Weeks, Melvyn, 2011, "Robust Growth Determinants," Discussion Paper Series in Economics, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Economics, number 3/2011, Feb.
• K. Anundsen, André & S. Jansen, Eilev, 2011, "Self-reinforcing effects between housing prices and credit: Evidence from Norway," Memorandum, Oslo University, Department of Economics, number 13/2011, Apr.
• Guo, Yingwen & Zhou Z.F., Sherry, 2011, "Duration Analysis of Interest Rate Spells : Cross-National Study of Interest Rate Policy," Hitotsubashi Journal of Economics, Hitotsubashi University, volume 52, issue 1, pages 1-11, June, DOI: 10.15057/19214.