Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

1. Forecasting with DSGE Models
2. Forecasting

2010

• Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2010, "Has Models' Forecasting Performance for US Output Growth and Inflation Changed over Time, and When?," Working Papers, Duke University, Department of Economics, number 10-16.
• Alastair Hall & Atsushi Inoue & James M. Nason & Barbara Rossi, 2010, "Information Criteria for Impulse Response Function Matching Estimation of DSGE Models," Working Papers, Duke University, Department of Economics, number 10-28.
• Barbara Rossi & Raffaella Giacomini, 2010, "Model Comparisons in Unstable Environments," Working Papers, Duke University, Department of Economics, number 10-29.
• Tim Bollerslev & Natalia Sizova & George Tauchen, 2010, "Volatility in Equilibrium: Asymmetries and Dynamic Dependencies," Working Papers, Duke University, Department of Economics, number 10-34.
• Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2010, "Understanding Models' Forecasting Performance," Working Papers, Duke University, Department of Economics, number 10-56.
• Han Hong & Ahmed Khwaja & A. Ronald Gallant, 2010, "Dynamic Entry with Cross Product Spillovers: An Application to the Generic Drug Industry," Working Papers, Duke University, Department of Economics, number 10-59.
• Viktor Todorov & George Tauchen, 2010, "The Realized Laplace Transform of Volatility," Working Papers, Duke University, Department of Economics, number 10-72.
• Viktor Todorov & Iaryna Grynkiv & George Tauchen, 2010, "Realized Laplace Transforms for Estimation of Jump Diffusive Volatility Models," Working Papers, Duke University, Department of Economics, number 10-75.
• Gabriel RODRIGUEZ, 2010, "Estimating Output Gap, Core Inflation, And The Nairu For Peru, 1979-2007," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, volume 10, issue 1.
• HODGES, Hart & KNABB, Shawn D., 2010, "How Robust is the Relationship between Financial Intermediation and Economic Growth?," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, volume 10, issue 1.
• KETENCI, Natalya, 2010, "Cointegration Analysis Of Tourism Demand For Turkey," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, volume 10, issue 1.
• Bildirici, M.E. & Alp, E.A. & Bakirtas, T., 2010, "OIL PRICES AND CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICITS: Analysis OF CAUSALITY in the USA," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, volume 10, issue 1.
• Cohener, G. & Aguayo, E., 2010, "El dinamismo de la soja y su impacto en la economía paraguaya, 1991-2006," Estudios Economicos de Desarrollo Internacional, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, volume 10, issue 2, pages 77-106.
• Viktor Winschel & Markus Kr‰tzig, 2010, "Solving, Estimating, and Selecting Nonlinear Dynamic Models Without the Curse of Dimensionality," Econometrica, Econometric Society, volume 78, issue 2, pages 803-821, March.
• Luc Bauwens & Arie Preminger & Jeroen V. K. Rombouts, 2010, "Theory and inference for a Markov switching GARCH model," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, volume 13, issue 2, pages 218-244, July.
• Cipollini, Fabrizio & Gallo, Giampiero M., 2010, "Automated variable selection in vector multiplicative error models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, volume 54, issue 11, pages 2470-2486, November.
• Rossi, E. & Spazzini, F., 2010, "Model and distribution uncertainty in multivariate GARCH estimation: A Monte Carlo analysis," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, volume 54, issue 11, pages 2786-2800, November.
• Bouezmarni, Taoufik & Rombouts, Jeroen V.K., 2010, "Nonparametric density estimation for positive time series," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, volume 54, issue 2, pages 245-261, February.
• Poilly, Céline, 2010, "Does money matter for the identification of monetary policy shocks: A DSGE perspective," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 34, issue 10, pages 2159-2178, October.
• Cogan, John F. & Cwik, Tobias & Taylor, John B. & Wieland, Volker, 2010, "Corrigendum to "New Keynesian versus old Keynesian government spending multipliers" [J. Econ. Dynam. Control 34(3) (2010) 281-295]," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 34, issue 10, pages 2229-2229, October.
• Cogan, John F. & Cwik, Tobias & Taylor, John B. & Wieland, Volker, 2010, "New Keynesian versus old Keynesian government spending multipliers," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 34, issue 3, pages 281-295, March.
• Boug, Pål & Cappelen, Adne & Swensen, Anders Rygh, 2010, "The new Keynesian Phillips curve revisited," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 34, issue 5, pages 858-874, May.
• Malley, Jim & Woitek, Ulrich, 2010, "Technology shocks and aggregate fluctuations in an estimated hybrid RBC model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 34, issue 7, pages 1214-1232, July.
• Diks, Cees & Panchenko, Valentyn & van Dijk, Dick, 2010, "Out-of-sample comparison of copula specifications in multivariate density forecasts," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 34, issue 9, pages 1596-1609, September.
• Cicinelli, Claudio & Cossio, Andrea & Nucci, Francesco & Ricchi, Ottavio & Tegami, Cristian, 2010, "The Italian Treasury Econometric Model (ITEM)," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 27, issue 1, pages 125-133, January.
• Barnett, William A. & He, Susan, 2010, "Existence of singularity bifurcation in an Euler-equations model of the United States economy: Grandmont was right," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 27, issue 6, pages 1345-1354, November.
• Pesaran, Bahram & Pesaran, M. Hashem, 2010, "Conditional volatility and correlations of weekly returns and the VaR analysis of 2008 stock market crash," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 27, issue 6, pages 1398-1416, November.
• Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael, 2010, "The 'Puzzles' methodology: En route to Indirect Inference?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 27, issue 6, pages 1417-1428, November.
• Scheufele, Rolf, 2010, "Evaluating the German (New Keynesian) Phillips curve," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, volume 21, issue 2, pages 145-164, August.
• Karamé, F., 2010, "Impulse-response functions in Markov-switching structural vector autoregressions: A step further," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 106, issue 3, pages 162-165, March.
• Linton, Oliver & Song, Kyungchul & Whang, Yoon-Jae, 2010, "An improved bootstrap test of stochastic dominance," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 154, issue 2, pages 186-202, February.
• Conrad, Christian, 2010, "Non-negativity conditions for the hyperbolic GARCH model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 157, issue 2, pages 441-457, August.
• Jacobs, Jan P.A.M. & Wallis, Kenneth F., 2010, "Cointegration, long-run structural modelling and weak exogeneity: Two models of the UK economy," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 158, issue 1, pages 108-116, September.
• Fanelli, Luca & Paruolo, Paolo, 2010, "Speed of adjustment in cointegrated systems," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 158, issue 1, pages 130-141, September.
• Castle, Jennifer L. & Hendry, David F., 2010, "A low-dimension portmanteau test for non-linearity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 158, issue 2, pages 231-245, October.
• Francq, Christian & Zakoïan, Jean-Michel, 2010, "Inconsistency of the MLE and inference based on weighted LS for LARCH models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 159, issue 1, pages 151-165, November.
• Escanciano, Juan Carlos & Velasco, Carlos, 2010, "Specification tests of parametric dynamic conditional quantiles," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 159, issue 1, pages 209-221, November.
• Clements, Michael P. & Beatriz Galvão, Ana, 2010, "First announcements and real economic activity," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 54, issue 6, pages 803-817, August.
• Adeyemi, Olutomi I. & Broadstock, David C. & Chitnis, Mona & Hunt, Lester C. & Judge, Guy, 2010, "Asymmetric price responses and the underlying energy demand trend: Are they substitutes or complements? Evidence from modelling OECD aggregate energy demand," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 32, issue 5, pages 1157-1164, September.
• Duca, John V. & Muellbauer, John & Murphy, Anthony, 2010, "Housing markets and the financial crisis of 2007-2009: Lessons for the future," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, volume 6, issue 4, pages 203-217, December.
• Manjón-Antolín, Miguel C., 2010, "Firm size and short-term dynamics in aggregate entry and exit," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, volume 28, issue 5, pages 464-476, September.
• Kurita, Takamitsu, 2010, "Effects of a signal-to-noise ratio on finite sample inference for cointegrating vectors," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, volume 80, issue 10, pages 2033-2039, DOI: 10.1016/j.matcom.2010.03.008.
• Iskrev, Nikolay, 2010, "Local identification in DSGE models," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 57, issue 2, pages 189-202, March.
• Javed Iqbal & Sara Azher & Ayesha Ijaz, 2010, "Predictive Ability of Value-at-Risk Methods: Evidence from the Karachi Stock Exchange-100 Index," EERI Research Paper Series, Economics and Econometrics Research Institute (EERI), Brussels, number EERI_RP_2010_18, Aug.
• Timo Mitze, 2010, "Estimating Gravity Models of International Trade with Correlated Time-Fixed Regressors: To IV or not IV?," EERI Research Paper Series, Economics and Econometrics Research Institute (EERI), Brussels, number EERI_RP_2010_22, Aug.
• Stefano Grassi & Tommaso Proietti, 2010, "Characterizing economic trends by Bayesian stochastic model specification search," EERI Research Paper Series, Economics and Econometrics Research Institute (EERI), Brussels, number EERI_RP_2010_25, Aug.
• Nicolas Groshenny, 2010, "Monetary Policy, Inflation and Unemployment In Defense of the Federal Reserve," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2010-37, Dec.
• María del Carmen Melgar Hiraldo & José Antonio Ordaz Sanz, 2010, "Aplicación de los modelos inflados de ceros en el análisis de la siniestralidad y el componente de culpabilidad en el seguro de automóviles," Revista de Administración, Finanzas y Economía (Journal of Management, Finance and Economics), Tecnológico de Monterrey, Campus Ciudad de México, volume 4, issue 1, pages 44-63.
• Christopher Martin & C Milas, 2010, "Financial Stability and Monetary Policy," Department of Economics Working Papers, University of Bath, Department of Economics, number 5/10, May.
• Cruz Aké, Salvador & Venegas-Martínez, Francisco, 2010, "Valor de una empresa en riesgo de expropiación en un entorno de crisis financiera. Caso Banamex," El Trimestre Económico, Fondo de Cultura Económica, volume 77, issue 306, pages 473-503, abril-jun, DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.20430/ete.v77i.
• Gaviria, Alejandro & Medina, Carlos & Palau, María del Mar, 2010, "Las consecuencias económicas de un nombre atípico. El caso colombiano," El Trimestre Económico, Fondo de Cultura Económica, volume 77, issue 307, pages 535-556, julio-sep, DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.20430/ete.v77i.

2009

• Andrés González & Kirstin Hubrich & Timo Teräsvirta, 2009, "Forecasting inflation with gradual regime shifts and exogenous information," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2009-03, Jan.
• Tim Bollerslev & Natalia Sizova & George Tauchen, 2009, "Volatility in Equilibrium: Asymmetries and Dynamic Dependencies," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2009-05, Feb.
• José Fajardo & Ernesto Mordecki, 2009, "Skewness Premium with Lévy Processes," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2009-10, Mar.
• Torben G. Andersen & Viktor Todorov, 2009, "Realized Volatility and Multipower Variation," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2009-49, May.
• Tue Gørgens & Allan Würtz, 2009, "Testing a parametric function against a nonparametric alternative in IV and GMM settings," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2009-54, Jan.
• Luca Benati & Paolo Surico, 2009, "VAR Analysis and the Great Moderation," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, volume 99, issue 4, pages 1636-1652, September, DOI: 10.1257/aer.99.4.1636.
• Paul Alagidede, 2009, "Are African Stock Markets Integrated with the Rest of the World?," The African Finance Journal, Africagrowth Institute, volume 11, issue 1, pages 37-53.
• Balagtas, Joseph Valdes & Holt, Matthew T., None, "AJAE Appendix: The Commodity Terms of Trade, Unit Roots, and Nonlinear Alternatives," American Journal of Agricultural Economics APPENDICES, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, volume 91, issue 01, pages 1-21, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.164070.
• Bastianin, Andrea, 2009, "Modelling Asymmetric Dependence Using Copula Functions: An Application to Value-at-Risk in the Energy Sector," Sustainable Development Papers, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM), number 50452, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.50452.
• Houssou, Nazaire & Zeller, Manfred, 2009, "Operational Models for Improving the Targeting Efficiency of Agricultural and Development Policies: A systematic comparison of different estimation methods using out-of-sample tests," 2009 Conference, August 16-22, 2009, Beijing, China, International Association of Agricultural Economists, number 51454, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.51454.
• Ioan TRENCA & Annamaria BENYOVSZKI, 2009, "Using credit scoring method for probability of non-financial companies default estimation at industry level," Finante - provocarile viitorului (Finance - Challenges of the Future), University of Craiova, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, volume 1, issue 9, pages 45-58, May.
• Dorel BERCEANU & Marian SIMINICA, 2009, "The main theories of the dividend decision," Finante - provocarile viitorului (Finance - Challenges of the Future), University of Craiova, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, volume 1, issue 9, pages 91-96, May.
• Raj Chetty, 2009, "Sufficient Statistics for Welfare Analysis: A Bridge Between Structural and Reduced-Form Methods," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, volume 1, issue 1, pages 451-488, May.
• Conrad, Christian & Weber, Enzo, 2013, "Measuring Persistence in Volatility Spillovers," Working Papers, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics, number 0543, Apr.
• Vassil Tsanov, 2009, "Labor Market in Bulgaria: Institutions and Flexibility," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 3, pages 80-127.
• Plamen Petkov, 2009, "Cointegration Analysis of the Aggregate Production Function through Autoregressive Distributive Lags Models (ARDL)," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 4, pages 3-35.
• Carlos Enrique Carrasco Gutierrez & Reinaldo Castro Souza & Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén, 2009, "Selection of Optimal Lag Length in Cointegrated VAR Models with Weak Form of Common Cyclical Features," Fucape Working Papers, Fucape Business School, number 16, Aug.
• Jean-Marie Dufour & Lynda Khalaf & Maral Kichian, 2009, "Structural Multi-Equation Macroeconomic Models: Identification-Robust Estimation and Fit," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 09-19, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2009-19.
• Jean-Marie Dufour & Lynda Khalaf & Maral Kichian, 2009, "Structural Inflation Models with Real Wage Rigidities: The Case of Canada," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 09-21, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2009-21.
• Jean-Marie Dufour & Lynda Khalaf & Maral Kichian, 2009, "Assessing Indexation-Based Calvo Inflation Models," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 09-7, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2009-7.
• Maritta Paloviita, 2009, "On the Generality of the New Keynesian Phillips Curves," Ensayos Económicos, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department, volume 1, issue 55, pages 7-32, July - Se.
• Hasan Sahin & Ismail H. Genç, 2009, "An Empirical Analysis of Short Term Interest Rate Models for Turkey," Journal of BRSA Banking and Financial Markets, Banking Regulation and Supervision Agency, volume 3, issue 2, pages 107-119.
• Mert Ural, 2009, "Alternative Approaches for Estimating Value at Risk," Journal of BRSA Banking and Financial Markets, Banking Regulation and Supervision Agency, volume 3, issue 2, pages 63-86.
• Javier Mencía & Enrique Sentana, 2009, "Multivariate location-scale mixtures of normals and mean-variance-skewness portfolio allocation," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 0909, Jun.
• Javier Mencía & Enrique Sentana, 2009, "Distributional tests in multivariate dynamic models with Normal and Student t innovations," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 0929, Dec.
• Fabio Busetti & Juri Marcucci & Giovanni Veronese, 2009, "Comparing forecast accuracy: A Monte Carlo investigation," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 723, Sep.
• Benavides Guillermo & Capistrán Carlos, 2009, "Forecasting Exchange Rate Volatility: The Superior Performance of Conditional Combinations of Time Series and Option Implied Forecasts," Working Papers, Banco de México, number 2009-01, Jan.
• Capistrán Carlos & Constandse Christian & Ramos Francia Manuel, 2009, "Using Seasonal Models to Forecast Short-Run Inflation in Mexico," Working Papers, Banco de México, number 2009-05, Jul.
• Engle Robert F. & Rangel José Gonzalo, 2009, "High and Low Frequency Correlations in Global Equity Markets," Working Papers, Banco de México, number 2009-17, Dec.
• Milica D. Obadović & Mirjana M. Obadović, 2009, "An Analytical Method Of Estimating Value-At-Risk On The Belgrade Stock Exchange," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, volume 54, issue 183, pages 119-138, October -.
• Božidar Cerovic & Aleksandra Nojkovic, 2009, "Transition And Growth: What Was Taught And What Happened," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, volume 54, issue 183, pages 7-31, October -.
• Pesaran, M. Hashem & Timmermann, Allan, 2009, "Testing Dependence Among Serially Correlated Multicategory Variables," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, volume 104, issue 485, pages 325-337.
• Anatolyev, Stanislav, 2009, "Nonparametric Retrospection and Monitoring of Predictability of Financial Returns," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, volume 27, issue 2, pages 149-160.
• Millimet, Daniel L. & Tchernis, Rusty, 2009, "On the Specification of Propensity Scores, With Applications to the Analysis of Trade Policies," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, volume 27, issue 3, pages 397-415.
• Karim Barhoumi & Olivier Darn & Laurent Ferrara, 2009, "Are disaggregate data useful for factor analysis in forecasting French GDP?," Working papers, Banque de France, number 232.
• Claire C l rier, 2009, "Forecasting inflation in France," Working papers, Banque de France, number 262.
• Christopher Martin & Costas Milas, 2009, "Uncertainty And Monetary Policy Rules In The United States," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, volume 47, issue 2, pages 206-215, April, DOI: 10.1111/j.1465-7295.2008.00160.x.
• R. Aaberge & U. Colombino & T. Wennemo, 2009, "Evaluating Alternative Representations Of The Choice Sets In Models Of Labor Supply," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, volume 23, issue 3, pages 586-612, July, DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-6419.2008.00573.x.
• Geert Bekaert & Robert J. Hodrick & Xiaoyan Zhang, 2009, "International Stock Return Comovements," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, volume 64, issue 6, pages 2591-2626, December, DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.2009.01512.x.
• Q. Farooq Akram & Ragnar Nymoen, 2009, "Model Selection for Monetary Policy Analysis: How Important is Empirical Validity?," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, volume 71, issue 1, pages 35-68, February, DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-0084.2008.00516.x.
• Thierry Warin & Phanindra V. Wunnava & Hubert P. Janicki, 2009, "Testing Mundell's Intuition of Endogenous OCA Theory," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, volume 17, issue 1, pages 74-86, February, DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-9396.2008.00802.x.
• Karsten R. Gerdrup & Anne Sofie Jore & Christie Smith & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2009, "Evaluating ensemble density combination - forecasting GDP and inflation," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2009/19, Nov.
• Eyal Argov, 2009, "The Choice of a Foreign Price Measure in a Bayesian Estimated New-Keynesian Model for Israel," Bank of Israel Working Papers, Bank of Israel, number 2009.04, Jun.
• Eduardo F. L. de Melo & Beatriz Vaz de Melo Mendes, 2009, "Local Estimation of Copula Based Value-at-Risk," Brazilian Review of Finance, Brazilian Society of Finance, volume 7, issue 1, pages 29-50.
• Evarist Stoja & Arnold Polanski, 2009, "Dynamic Density Forecasts for Multivariate Asset Returns," Bristol Economics Discussion Papers, School of Economics, University of Bristol, UK, number 09/616, Sep.
• Evarist Stoja & Arnold Polanski, 2009, "Efficient Evaluation of Multidimensional Time-Varying Density Forecasts with an Application to Risk Management," Bristol Economics Discussion Papers, School of Economics, University of Bristol, UK, number 09/617, Dec.
• Akhter Faroque & William Veloce & Jean-Francois Lamarche, 2009, "Have Structural Changes Eliminated the Out-of-Sample Ability of Financial Variables To Forecast Real Activity After the Mid-1980s? Evidence From the Canadian Economy," Working Papers, Brock University, Department of Economics, number 0910, Dec, revised Oct 2010.
• Laurent Ferrara, 2009, "Caractérisation et datation des cycles économiques en zone euro," Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, volume 60, issue 3, pages 703-712.
• A. Pedro Duarte Silva, 2009, "Exact and heuristic algorithms for variable selection: Extended Leaps and Bounds," Working Papers de Economia (Economics Working Papers), Católica Porto Business School, Universidade Católica Portuguesa, number 01, Jan.
• Jennifer L. Castle & Xiaochuan Qin & W. Robert Reed, 2009, "How To Pick The Best Regression Equation: A Review And Comparison Of Model Selection Algorithms," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 09/13, Oct.
• Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael, 2009, "The 'Puzzles' methodology: en route to Indirect Inference?," Cardiff Economics Working Papers, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, number E2009/22, Nov.
• Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael, 2009, "Two Orthogonal Continents: Testing a Two-country DSGE Model of the US and EU Using Indirect Inference," Cardiff Economics Working Papers, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, number E2009/3, Mar, revised Dec 2009.
• Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael, 2009, "Some problems in the testing of DSGE models," Cardiff Economics Working Papers, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, number E2009/31, Dec.
• Li, GuangJie, 2009, "Consistent Estimation, Model Selection and Averaging of Dynamic Panel Data Models with Fixed Effect," Cardiff Economics Working Papers, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, number E2009/5, Mar.
• Li, GuangJie & Leon-Gonzalez, Roberto, 2009, "A Correction Function Approach to Solve the Incidental Parameter Problem," Cardiff Economics Working Papers, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, number E2009/6, Mar.
• Franz R. Hahn, 2009, "A note on management efficiency and international banking. Some empirical panel evidence," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, volume 12, pages 69-81, May.
• PierrePhilippe Combes & Gilles Duranton & Laurent Gobillon & Diego Puga & Sébastien Roux, 2009, "The Productivity Advantages of Large Cities: Distinguishing Agglomeration from Firm Selection," SERC Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE, number 0027, Oct.
• Jan Hanousek & Evzen Kocenda, 2009, "Intraday Price Discovery in Emerging European Stock Markets," CERGE-EI Working Papers, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague, number wp382, Feb.
• M. Hashem Pesaran & Christoph Schleicher & Paolo Zaffaroni, 2008, "Model Averaging in Risk Management with an Application to Futures Markets," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 2231.
• Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Roman Matousek & Chris Stewart, 2009, "Rating Assignments: Lessons from International Banks," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 2618.
• Jim Malley & Ulrich Woitek, 2009, "Technology Shocks and Aggregate Fluctuations in an Estimated Hybrid RBC Model," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 2626.
• Jim Malley & Ulrich Woitek, 2009, "Productivity Shocks and Aggregate Cycles in an Estimated Endogenous Growth Model," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 2672.
• Michael Funke & Marc Gronwald, 2009, "A Convex Hull Approach to Counterfactual Analysis of Trade Openness and Growth," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 2692.
• Sasa Zikovic & Randall Filer, 2009, "Hybrid Historical Simulation VaR and ES: Performance in Developed and Emerging Markets," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 2820.
• M. Hashem Pesaran & Paolo Zaffaroni, 2009, "Optimality and Diversifiability of Mean Variance and Arbitrage Pricing Portfolios," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 2857.
• Gerit Vogt, 2009, "Konjunkturprognose in Deutschland. Ein Beitrag zur Prognose der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung auf Bundes- und Länderebene," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 36, July.
• Michael Reinhard & Hans Schedl & Achim Buchwald & Ralph Henger, 2007, "Positionierung der deutschen Industrie im globalen Konsolidierungsprozess : im Auftrag des Bundesministeriums für Wirtschaft und Technologie," ifo Forschungsberichte, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 36.
• Esmeralda de Jesus Ratinho Lopes Arranhado Ramalho, 2009, "Covariate Measurement Error: Bias Reduction under Response-based Sampling," CEFAGE-UE Working Papers, University of Evora, CEFAGE-UE (Portugal), number 2009_15.
• Andrés Eduardo Rangel Jiménez, 2009, "¿Histéresis en la tasa de desempleo de Bogotá? Consideraciones sobre el uso de los test ADF y Zivot-Andrews," Revista de Economía y Administración, Universidad Autónoma de Occidente.
• Milena Hoyos & Johanna Ramos & Lorena Vivas, 2009, "Un modelo SETAR para el PIB Colombiano," Documentos de Trabajo, Escuela de Economía, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID, number 6160, May.
• LAURENT, Sebastien & ROMBOUTS, Jeroen V.K. & VIOLANTE, FRANCESCO, 2009, "Consistent ranking of multivariate volatility models," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE), number 2009002, Jan.
• SBRANA, Giacomo & SILVESTRINI, Andrea, 2009, "What do we know about comparing aggregate and disaggregate forecasts?," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE), number 2009020, Mar.
• Favero, Carlo A. & Consolo, Agostino & Paccagnini, Alessia, 2009, "On the Statistical Identification of DSGE Models," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7176, Feb.
• Muellbauer, John & Aron, Janine, 2009, "Some Issues in Modeling and Forecasting Inflation in South Africa," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7183, Feb.
• Duranton, Gilles & Combes, Pierre-Philippe & Puga, Diego & Gobillon, Laurent & Roux, Sébastien, 2009, "The productivity advantages of large cities: Distinguishing agglomeration from firm selection," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7191, Mar.
• Canova, Fabio & Sala, Luca, 2009, "Back to square one: identification issues in DSGE models," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7234, Mar.
• Taylor, John & Wieland, Volker & Cwik, Tobias & Cogan, John F., 2009, "New Keynesian versus old Keynesian government spending multipliers," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7236, Mar.
• Kilian, Lutz & Kim, Yun Jung, 2009, "Do Local Projections Solve the Bias Problem in Impulse Response Inference?," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7266, Apr.
• Taylor, John & Wieland, Volker, 2009, "Surprising comparative properties of monetary models: Results from a new data base," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7294, May.
• Attanasio, Orazio & Mesnard, Alice & Battistin, Erich, 2009, "Food and Cash Transfers: Evidence from Colombia," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7326, Jun.
• Ferrara, Laurent & Darné, Olivier, 2009, "Identification of slowdowns and accelerations for the euro area economy," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7376, Jul.
• Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael R. & Meenagh, David & Le, Vo Phuong Mai, 2009, "Two Orthogonal Continents? Testing a Two-country DSGE Model of the US and EU Using Indirect Inference," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7385, Jul.
• Fafchamps, Marcel & Comola, Margherita, 2009, "Testing Unilateral and Bilateral Link Formation," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7406, Aug.
• Kilian, Lutz & Inoue, Atsushi & Guerron-Quintana, Pablo A., 2009, "Frequentist Inference in Weakly Identified DSGE Models," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7447, Sep.
• Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael R. & Le, Vo Phuong Mai, 2009, "How much nominal rigidity is there in the US Economy? Testing a New Keynesian DSGE model using indirect inference," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7537, Nov.
• Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael R. & Le, Vo Phuong Mai, 2009, "The 'Puzzles' Methodology: en route to Indirect Inference?," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7539, Nov.
• Wieland, Volker, 2009, "Fiscal stimulus and the promise of future spending cuts," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7615, Dec.
• Pierre-Philippe COMBES & Gilles DURANTON & Laurent GOBILLON & Diego PUGA & Sébastien ROUX, 2009, "The Productivity Advantages of Large Cities : Distinguishing Agglomeration from Firm Selection," Working Papers, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics, number 2009-08.
• Janine Aron & John Muellbauer, 2009, "Some Issues in Modeling and Forecasting Inflation in South Africa," CSAE Working Paper Series, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford, number 2009-01.
• Margherita Comola & Marcel Fafchamps, 2009, "Testing Unilateral and Bilateral Link Formation," CSAE Working Paper Series, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford, number 2009-13.
• Julie Litchfield & Barry Reilly & Mario Veneziani, 2009, "How Happy are the Albanians: an Empirical ANALYSIS OF LIFE SATISFACTION," DISCE - Quaderni del Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Sociali, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Dipartimenti e Istituti di Scienze Economiche (DISCE), number dises1065, Nov.
• Sucarrat, Genaro & Escribano, Álvaro, 2009, "Automated financial multi-path GETS modelling," UC3M Working papers. Economics, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Economía, number we093620, Jul.
• Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & Lima, Luiz Renato & Linton, Oliver & Smith, Daniel, 2009, "Evaluating Value-at-Risk models via Quantile Regression," UC3M Working papers. Economics, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Economía, number we094625, May.
• Linton, Oliver & Song, Kyungchul & Whang, Yoon-Jae, 2009, "An improved bootstrap test of stochastic dominance," UC3M Working papers. Economics, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Economía, number we094827, Jul.
• Vincent BODART & Philippe LEDENT & Fatemeh SHADMAN-METHA, 2009, "An Employment Equation for Belgium," LIDAM Discussion Papers IRES, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES), number 2009016, Jun.
• Galvao Jr, A. F. & Montes-Rojas, G., 2009, "Instrumental variables quantile regression for panel data with measurement errors," Working Papers, Department of Economics, City St George's, University of London, number 09/06.
• Oliver Linton & Kyungchul Song & Yoon-Jae Whang, 2009, "An Improved Bootstrap Test of Stochastic Dominance," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, number 1713, Jul.
• Vadim Marmer & Taisuke Otsu, 2009, "Optimal Comparison of Misspecified Moment Restriction Models under a Chosen Measure of Fit," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, number 1724, Aug, revised Jul 2011.
• Alfredo M. Pereira & Jorge M. Andraz, 2009, "Social Security And Economic Performance In Portugal: After All That Has Been Said And Done How Much Has Actually Changed?," Working Papers, Economics Department, William & Mary, number 81, Jan.
• Patricia Prüfer & Gabriele Tondl, 2009, "The FDI-Growth Nexus in Latin America: The Role of Source Countries and Local Conditions," DEGIT Conference Papers, DEGIT, Dynamics, Economic Growth, and International Trade, number c014_025, Jun.
• Christian Dreger & Jürgen Wolters, 2009, "Liquidity and Asset Prices: How Strong Are the Linkages?," Working Paper / FINESS, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, number 7.4A.
• Christian Dreger & Jürgen Wolters, 2009, "Geldpolitik und Vermögensmärkte," Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung / Quarterly Journal of Economic Research, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, volume 78, issue 1, pages 56-65, DOI: 10.3790/vjh.78.1.56.
• Konstantin A. Kholodilin & Stefan Kooths, 2009, "Konjunkturelle Frühindikatoren in der Krise: weiche Faktoren stärker als harte," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, volume 76, issue 21, pages 348-354.
• Christian Dreger & Jürgen Wolters, 2009, "Liquidity and Asset Prices: How Strong Are the Linkages?," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, number 860.
• Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Roman Matousek & Chris Stewart, 2009, "Rating Assignments: Lessons from International Banks," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, number 868.
• Tatevik Sekhposyan & Barbara Rossi, 2009, "Has Economic Modelsí Forecasting Performance for US Output Growth and Inflation Changed Over Time, and When?," Working Papers, Duke University, Department of Economics, number 09-06.
• Alastair Hall & Atsushi & James M Nason & Barbara Rossi, 2009, "Information Criteria For Impulse Response Function Matching Estimation Of Dsge Models," Working Papers, Duke University, Department of Economics, number 09-09.
• Raffaella Giacomini & Barbara Rossi, 2009, "Model Comparisons in Unstable Environments," Working Papers, Duke University, Department of Economics, number 09-10.
• Tim Bollerslev & Natalia Sizova & George Tauchen, 2009, "Volatility in Equilibrium: Asymmetries and Dynamic Dependencies," Working Papers, Duke University, Department of Economics, number 10-73.
• Gomez Zaldivar, M. & Ventosa-Santaularia, D., 2009, "Bilateral Relationship between Consumption and GDP in Mexico and the USA: A Comment," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, volume 9, issue 1.
• Lucia Alessi & Matteo Barigozzi & Marco Capasso, 2009, "Forecasting Large Datasets with Conditionally Heteroskedastic Dynamic Common Factors," Working Papers ECARES, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles, number 2009_005.
• Lucia Alessi & Matteo Barigozzi & Marco Capasso, 2009, "A Robust Criterion for Determining the Number of Factors in Approximate Factor Models," Working Papers ECARES, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles, number 2009_023.
• Alexandre Petkovic & David Veredas, 2009, "Aggregation of linear models for panel data," Working Papers ECARES, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles, number 2009-012, Mar.
• Cogan, John F. & Cwik, Tobias & Taylor, John B. & Wieland, Volker, 2009, "New Keynesian versus old Keynesian government spending multipliers," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1090, Sep.
• Ciccarelli, Matteo & Garcí­a, Juan Angel, 2009, "What drives euro area break-even inflation rates?," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 996, Jan.
• Andrabi, Tahir & Das, Jishnu & Khwaja, Asim Ijaz & Zajonc, Tristan, 2009, "Do Value-Added Estimates Add Value? Accounting for Learning Dynamics," Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government, number rwp09-034, Oct.
• Chabi-Yo, Fousseni, 2009, "Expected Returns and Volatility of Fama-French Factors," Working Paper Series, Ohio State University, Charles A. Dice Center for Research in Financial Economics, number 2009-17, Sep.
• David Ardia, 2009, "Bayesian estimation of a Markov-switching threshold asymmetric GARCH model with Student-t innovations," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, volume 12, issue 1, pages 105-126, March.
• Tomoaki Nakatani & Timo Terasvirta, 2009, "Testing for volatility interactions in the Constant Conditional Correlation GARCH model," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, volume 12, issue 1, pages 147-163, March.
• D. S. Poskitt & C. L. Skeels, 2009, "Assessing the magnitude of the concentration parameter in a simultaneous equations model," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, volume 12, issue 1, pages 26-44, March.
• James J. Heckman & Petra E. Todd, 2009, "A note on adapting propensity score matching and selection models to choice based samples," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, volume 12, issue s1, pages 230-234, January.
• Malley, Jim University of Glasgow & Woitek, Ulrich, 2009, "Technology shocks and aggregate fluctuations in an estimated hybrid RBC model," SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE), number 2009-18.
• Jochmann, Markus & Koop, Gary & Leon-Gonzalez & Strachan, Rodney W., 2009, "Stochastic Search Variable Selection in Vector Error Correction Models with an Application to a Model of the UK Macroeconomy," SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE), number 2009-44.
• Kascha, Christian & Mertens, Karel, 2009, "Business cycle analysis and VARMA models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 33, issue 2, pages 267-282, February.
• Stan Hurn & Ralf Becker, 2009, "Testing for Nonlinearity in Mean in the Presence of Heteroskedasticity," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, volume 39, issue 2, pages 311-326, September.
• Matheron, Julien & Poilly, Céline, 2009, "How well does a small structural model with sticky prices and wages fit postwar U.S. data?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 26, issue 1, pages 266-284, January.
• Anatolyev, Stanislav, 2009, "Dynamic modeling under linear-exponential loss," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 26, issue 1, pages 82-89, January.
• Kolasa, Marcin, 2009, "Structural heterogeneity or asymmetric shocks? Poland and the euro area through the lens of a two-country DSGE model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 26, issue 6, pages 1245-1269, November.
• Lamla, Michael J., 2009, "Long-run determinants of pollution: A robustness analysis," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, volume 69, issue 1, pages 135-144, November.
• Li, Tong, 2009, "Simulation based selection of competing structural econometric models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 148, issue 2, pages 114-123, February.
• Consolo, Agostino & Favero, Carlo A. & Paccagnini, Alessia, 2009, "On the statistical identification of DSGE models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 150, issue 1, pages 99-115, May.
• Mencía, Javier & Sentana, Enrique, 2009, "Multivariate location-scale mixtures of normals and mean-variance-skewness portfolio allocation," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 153, issue 2, pages 105-121, December.
• Pesaran, M. Hashem & Schleicher, Christoph & Zaffaroni, Paolo, 2009, "Model averaging in risk management with an application to futures markets," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, volume 16, issue 2, pages 280-305, March.
• Ren, Yu & Shimotsu, Katsumi, 2009, "Improvement in finite sample properties of the Hansen-Jagannathan distance test," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, volume 16, issue 3, pages 483-506, June.
• Bhaskara Rao, B. & Rao, Gyaneshwar, 2009, "Structural breaks and energy efficiency in Fiji," Energy Policy, Elsevier, volume 37, issue 10, pages 3959-3966, October.
• Alagidede, Paul & Panagiotidis, Theodore, 2009, "Modelling stock returns in Africa's emerging equity markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, volume 18, issue 1-2, pages 1-11, March.
• Hanousek, Jan & Kocenda, Evzen & Kutan, Ali M., 2009, "The reaction of asset prices to macroeconomic announcements in new EU markets: Evidence from intraday data," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, volume 5, issue 2, pages 199-219, June.
• Sheremet, Oleg & Lucas, André, 2009, "Global loss diversification in the insurance sector," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, volume 44, issue 3, pages 415-425, June.
• Brissimis, Sophocles N. & Delis, Manthos D., 2009, "Identification of a loan supply function: A cross-country test for the existence of a bank lending channel," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, volume 19, issue 2, pages 321-335, April.
• Dahl, Christian M. & Hansen, Henrik & Smidt, John, 2009, "The cyclical component factor model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 25, issue 1, pages 119-127.
• Ager, P. & Kappler, M. & Osterloh, S., 2009, "The accuracy and efficiency of the Consensus Forecasts: A further application and extension of the pooled approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 25, issue 1, pages 167-181.