Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

1. Forecasting with DSGE Models
2. Forecasting

2004

• Christopher J. Erceg & Luca Guerrieri & Christopher J. Gust, 2004, "Can long-run restrictions identify technology shocks?," International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 792.
• Enrique Sentana, 2004, "Estimation and Testing of Dynamic Models with Generalised Hyperbolic Innovations," FMG Discussion Papers, Financial Markets Group, number dp502, Jun.
• Yoon-Jae Whang & Esfandiar Maasoumi & Oliver Linton, 2004, "Consistent Testing for Stochastic Dominance: A Subsampling Approach," FMG Discussion Papers, Financial Markets Group, number dp508, Sep.
• Meitz, Mika & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2004, "Evaluating models of autoregressive conditional duration," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance, Stockholm School of Economics, number 557, Mar, revised 13 Dec 2004.
• Malmsten, Hans & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2004, "Stylized Facts of Financial Time Series and Three Popular Models of Volatility," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance, Stockholm School of Economics, number 563, Aug, revised 03 Sep 2004.
• Malmsten, Hans, 2004, "Evaluating exponential GARCH models," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance, Stockholm School of Economics, number 564, Aug, revised 03 Sep 2004.
• González Gómez, Andrés, 2004, "A smooth permanent surge process," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance, Stockholm School of Economics, number 572, Dec.
• Corander, Jukka & Villani, Mattias, 2004, "A Bayesian Approach to Modelling Graphical Vector Autoregressions," Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden), number 171, Oct.
• Sjöström, Magnus, 2004, "Factor Demand and Market Power," Umeå Economic Studies, Umeå University, Department of Economics, number 633, May.
• Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Nour Meddahi, 2004, "Analytical Evaluation Of Volatility Forecasts," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, volume 45, issue 4, pages 1079-1110, November.
• Thierry Ané & Loredana Ureche-Rangau, 2004, "Does trading volume really explain stock returns volatility?," Working Papers, IESEG School of Management, number 2004-FIN-02, Jul.
• Domenica Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & Luca Sala, 2004, "VARs, Common Factors and the Empirical Validation of Equilibrium Business Cycle Models," Working Papers, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University, number 258.
• Costas Milas & Jesús Otero & Theodore Panagiotidis, 2004, "Forecasting the spot prices of various coffee types using linear and non-linear error correction models," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 9, issue 3, pages 277-288, DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.245.
• José Carlos Ramirez Sánchez, 2004, "Usos y limitaciones de los procesos estocásticos en el tratamiento de distribuciones de rendimientos con colas gordas," Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, volume 19, issue 1, pages 51-76, June.
• Carmine Pappalardo & Gianfranco Piras, 2004, "Vector-Autoregression Approach to Forecast Italian Imports," ISAE Working Papers, ISTAT - Italian National Institute of Statistics - (Rome, ITALY), number 42, Feb.
• Paulo M.M. Rodrigues & Antonio Rubia, 2004, "On The Small Sample Properties Of Dickey Fuller And Maximum Likelihood Unit Root Tests On Discrete-Sampled Short-Term Interest Rates," Working Papers. Serie AD, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie), number 2004-11, Mar.
• Andrés Romeu & Marcos Vera-Hernández, 2004, "Counts With An Endogenous Binary Regressor: A Series Expansion Approach," Working Papers. Serie AD, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie), number 2004-36, Sep.
• David Abad & Antonio Rubia, 2004, "Estimating The Probability Of Informed Trading: Further Evidence From An Order-Driven Market," Working Papers. Serie AD, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie), number 2004-38, Oct.
• Pesaran, M. Hashem & Timmermann, Allan, 2004, "Real Time Econometrics," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 1108, Apr.
• Junankar, Pramod N. (Raja) & Madsen, Jakob B., 2004, "Unemployment in the OECD: Models and Mysteries," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 1168, Jun.
• Bargain, Olivier B. & Orsini, Kristian, 2004, "In-Work Policies in Europe: Killing Two Birds with One Stone?," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 1445, Dec.
• Wooheon Rhee, 2004, "Habit Formation And Precautionary Saving: Evidence From The Korean Household Panel Studies," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, volume 29, issue 2, pages 1-19, December.
• Jan G. De Gooijer & Kurt Brännäs, 2004, "Asymmetries in conditional mean and variance: modelling stock returns by asMA-asQGARCH," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 23, issue 3, pages 155-171, DOI: 10.1002/for.910.
• Sune Karlsson & Tor Jacobson, 2004, "Finding good predictors for inflation: a Bayesian model averaging approach," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 23, issue 7, pages 479-496, DOI: 10.1002/for.924.
• Rodney W. Strachan & Herman K. van Dijk, 2004, "Bayesian Model Selection with an Uninformative Prior," Keele Economics Research Papers, Centre for Economic Research, Keele University, number KERP 2004/01, Jan.
• Rodney W. Strachan & Herman K. van Dijk, 2004, "The Value of Structural Information in the VAR Model," Keele Economics Research Papers, Centre for Economic Research, Keele University, number KERP 2004/02, Jan.
• Rodney W. Strachan & Herman K. van Dijk, 2004, "Exceptions to Bartlett’s Paradox," Keele Economics Research Papers, Centre for Economic Research, Keele University, number KERP 2004/03, Jan.
• Rodney W. Strachan, 2004, "On Priors on Cointegrating Spaces," Keele Economics Research Papers, Centre for Economic Research, Keele University, number KERP 2004/06, Jun.
• Theodore Panagiotidis & Emilie Rutledge, 2004, "Oil and gas market in the UK: evidence from a cointegration approach," Discussion Paper Series, Department of Economics, Loughborough University, number 2004_18, Nov, revised Nov 2004.
• Richard K. Crump & V. Joseph Hotz & Guido W. Imbens & Oscar A. Mitnik, 2004, "Dealing with Limited Overlap in Estimation of Average Treatment Effects," Working Papers, University of Miami, Department of Economics, number 0716, Jul, revised 12 Jun 2007.
• Joseph G. Hirschberg & Jenny N. Lye, 2004, "Inferences for the Extremum of Quadratic Regression Models," Department of Economics - Working Papers Series, The University of Melbourne, number 906.
• Christopher Martin & Michael Arghyrou & Costas Milas, 2004, "Nonlinear inflation dynamics: evidence from the UK," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2003, Money Macro and Finance Research Group, number 59, Sep.
• Hashem Pesaran & Paolo Zaffaroni & Banca d'Italia), 2004, "Model Averaging and Value-at-Risk based Evaluation of Large Multi Asset Volatility Models for Risk Management," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2004, Money Macro and Finance Research Group, number 101, Sep.
• Don Bredin & Stilianos Fountas, 2004, "Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Macroeconomic Performance: Are they related?," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2004, Money Macro and Finance Research Group, number 51, Sep.
• Christopher Martin & Costas Milas, 2004, "Uncertainty and UK Monetary Policy," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2004, Money Macro and Finance Research Group, number 65, Sep.
• D.S. Poskitt & Jing Zhang, 2004, "Estimating Components in Finite Mixtures and Hidden Markov Models," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, number 10/04, Mar.
• Xibin Zhang & Maxwell L. King, 2004, "Box-Cox Stochastic Volatility Models with Heavy-Tails and Correlated Errors," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, number 26/04, Nov.
• D. S. Poskitt & C. L. Skeels, 2004, "Assessing the Magnitude of the Concentration Parameter in a Simultaneous Equations Model," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, number 29/04, Dec.
• William A. Brock & Steven N. Durlauf, 2004, "Elements of a Theory of Design Limits to Optimal Policy," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 10495, May.
• Eilev S. Jansen, 2004, "Modelling inflation in the Euro Area," Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, number 4104, Mar, revised 01 Jun 2004.
• Robert H. McGuckin & Ataman Ozyildirim, 2004, "Real-Time Tests of the Leading Economic Index: Do Changes in the Index Composition Matter?," Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, volume 2004, issue 2, pages 171-191, DOI: 10.1787/jbcma-v2004-art11-en.
• Gabriel Moser & Fabio Rumler & Johann Scharler, 2004, "Forecasting Austrian Inflation," Working Papers, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), number 91, Oct.
• Matthew J. Cushing & Mary G. McGarvey, 2004, "Sample Selection in Models of Academic Performance," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, volume 42, issue 2, pages 319-322, April.
• Guillaume Chevillon, 2004, "`Weak` trends for inference and forecasting in finite samples," Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics, number 210, Dec.
• John Creedy & Ivan Tuckwell, 2004, "Reweighting Household Surveys for Tax Microsimulation Modelling: An Application to the New Zealand Household Economic Survey," Australian Journal of Labour Economics (AJLE), Bankwest Curtin Economics Centre (BCEC), Curtin Business School, volume 7, issue 1, pages 71-88, March.
• Knoben, J. & Kerkhofs, M. & Graafland, J.J., 2004, "Evaluation of Dutch election programs: The impact of parameter uncertainty," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 20773.
• Rodríguez, Carlos A., 2004, "A P* Model of Inflation in Puerto Rico," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 41278, Sep.
• Degiannakis, Stavros, 2004, "Forecasting Realized Intra-day Volatility and Value at Risk: Evidence from a Fractional Integrated Asymmetric Power ARCH Skewed-t Model," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 80488.
• Degiannakis, Stavros, 2004, "Volatility Forecasting: Evidence from a Fractional Integrated Asymmetric Power ARCH Skewed-t Model," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 96330.
• Angelidis, Timotheos & Benos, Alexandros & Degiannakis, Stavros, 2004, "The Use of GARCH Models in VaR Estimation," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 96332.
• Delphine Lautier & Yves Simon, 2004, "La volatilité des prix des matières premières," Revue d'Économie Financière, Programme National Persée, volume 74, issue 1, pages 45-84, DOI: 10.3406/ecofi.2004.5031.
• Bruno Chiarini & Elisabetta Marzano, 2004, "Market Comsumption And Hidden Consumption. A Test For Substitutability," Working Papers, D.E.S. (Department of Economic Studies), University of Naples "Parthenope", Italy, number 7_2004, Sep.
• Francesco Giurda & Elias Tzavalis, 2004, "Is the Currency Risk Priced in Equity Markets?," Working Papers, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance, number 511, Mar.
• Carol Alexandra & Emese Lazar, 2004, "Normal Mixture GARCH (1,1): Application to Exchange Rate Modelling," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance, Henley Business School, University of Reading, number icma-dp2004-05, Mar.
• Maral Kichian & Jean-Marie Dufour & Lynda Khalaf, 2004, "Are New Keynesian Phillips Curves Identified ?," 2004 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 601.
• Sydney Ludvigson & Xiaohong Chen, 2004, "Land of Addicts? An Empirical Investigation of Habit-Based Asset Pricing Models," 2004 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 692.
• Jean-Marie Dufour & Abdeljelil Farhat & Lynda Khalaf & Jean-Marie Dufour, 2004, "Tests multiples simulés et tests de normalité basés sur plusieurs moments dans les modèles de régression," L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique, volume 80, issue 2, pages 501-522.
• Noel D. Uri, 2004, "Testing for Structural Stability of the Demand for Subscription Television Service in the United States," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, volume 57, issue 2, pages 213-247.
• John Landon-Lane & Filippo Occhino, 2004, "A Likelihood-Based Evaluation of the Segmented Markets Friction in Equilibrium Monetary Models," Departmental Working Papers, Rutgers University, Department of Economics, number 200415, Aug.
• Julie Le Gallo, 2004, "Space-Time Analysis of GDP Disparities among European Regions: A Markov Chains Approach," International Regional Science Review, , volume 27, issue 2, pages 138-163, April, DOI: 10.1177/0160017603262402.
• William A. Barnett & Yijun He, 2004, "New Phenomena Identified in a Stochastic Dynamic Macroeconometric Model: A Bifurcation Perspective," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004, Society for Computational Economics, number 145, Aug.
• Peter Vlaar & Ard den Reijer, 2004, "Forecasting inflation: An art as well as a science!," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004, Society for Computational Economics, number 148, Aug.
• Cees Diks & Valentyn Panchenko, 2004, "Modified Hiemstra-Jones Test for Granger Non-causality," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004, Society for Computational Economics, number 192, Aug.
• Ana-Maria Fuertes & Elena Kalotychou, 2004, "Elements in the Design of an Early Warning System for Sovereign Default," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004, Society for Computational Economics, number 231, Aug.
• Valderio A. Reisen, DEST-UFES, Brazil & Luz A. M. Santander & GET-UFF, 2004, "Semi-parametric procedures for Unit root and fractional cointegration tests," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004, Society for Computational Economics, number 250, Aug.
• Valderio A. Reisen, UFES, Brazil. & Carlos Feitosa Luna & Manoel R. Sena Jr., 2004, "Estimation of the fractionally integrated process with Missing Values: Simulation and Application," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004, Society for Computational Economics, number 251, Aug.
• Stefania D'Amico, 2004, "Density Estimation and Combination under Model Ambiguity," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004, Society for Computational Economics, number 273, Aug.
• Christopher J. Erceg & Luca Guerrieri, 2004, "Can Long-Run Restrictions Identify Technology Shocks?," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004, Society for Computational Economics, number 3, Aug.
• Jerzy Mycielski & Michal Kurcewicz, 2004, "A Specification Search Algorithm for Cointegrated Systems," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004, Society for Computational Economics, number 321, Aug.
• Maral Kichian & Jean-Marie Dufour & Lynda Khalaf, 2004, "Are New Keynesian Phillips Curves Identified ?," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004, Society for Computational Economics, number 56, Aug.
• Mikael Petitjean & Pierre Giot, 2004, "Forecasting the Bond-Equity Yield Ratio Using Regime Switching and Cointegration Models: An international Comparison," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004, Society for Computational Economics, number 6, Aug.
• M. Hashem Pesaran & Paolo Zaffaroni, 2004, "Model Averaging and Value-at-Risk based Evaluation of Large Multi Asset Volatility Models for Risk Management," IEPR Working Papers, Institute of Economic Policy Research (IEPR), number 04.3, Oct.

2003

• Dimitrios Papaikonomou, 2003, "Structural Change and Small-Sample Inference in a Long-Run Structural Var Model of UK Aggregate Demand," Ekonomia, Cyprus Economic Society and University of Cyprus, volume 6, issue 2, pages 210-236, Winter.
• S. Chaouachi & G. Dufrenot & V.Mignon, 2003, "Modelling the misalignement of the Dollar-Sterling real exchange rate: A nonlinear cointegration perspective," Thema Working Papers, THEMA (Théorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), CY Cergy-Paris University, ESSEC and CNRS, number 2003-03.
• van Dijk, D.J.C. & Franses, Ph.H.B.F., 2003, "Selecting a Nonlinear Time Series Model using Weighted Tests of Equal Forecast Accuracy," Econometric Institute Research Papers, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute, number EI 2003-10, Mar.
• Strachan, R.W. & van Dijk, H.K., 2003, "The value of structural information in the VAR model," Econometric Institute Research Papers, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute, number EI 2003-17, Jun.
• Chris Stewart, 2003, "An International Comparison Of Long-Run Consumer Behaviour," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, volume 0, issue 1-2, pages 145-168, January -.
• Angelos A. Antzoulatos & Theodosios Sampaniotis, 2003, "Capital Flight In The 1990s – Lessons From E. Europe," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, volume 0, issue 1-2, pages 35-50, January -.
• K. Pendaraki & C. Zopounidis, 2003, "Evaluation Of Equity Mutual Funds’ Performance Using A Multicriteria Methodology," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, volume 0, issue 3-4, pages 143-162, July - De.
• Stéphane Moyen & Jean-Guillaume Sahuc, 2003, "Incorporating Labour Market Frictions into an Optimizing Based Monetary Policy Model," Documents de recherche, Centre d'Études des Politiques Économiques (EPEE), Université d'Evry Val d'Essonne, number 03-03.
• Giorgio Busetti & Matteo Manera, 2003, "STAR-GARCH Models for Stock Market Interactions in the Pacific Basin Region, Japan and US," Working Papers, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, number 2003.43, Apr.
• Fernandes, Marcelo & Grammig, Joachim, 2003, "Nonparametric specification tests for conditional duration models," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE), EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), number 502, Oct.
• Ben R. Craig & Ernst Glatzer & Joachim G. Keller & Martin Scheicher, 2003, "The forecasting performance of German stock option densities," Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, number 0312, DOI: 10.26509/frbc-wp-200312.
• Ben R. Craig & Joachim G. Keller, 2003, "The empirical performance of option-based densities of foreign exchange," Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, number 0313, DOI: 10.26509/frbc-wp-200313.
• Yongsung Chang & Frank Schorfheide, 2003, "Labor supply shifts and economic fluctuations," Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, number 03-07.
• Brunstad, Rolf Jens & Gaasland, Ivar, 2003, "Efficiency losses in milk marketing boards – the importance of exports," Working Papers in Economics, University of Bergen, Department of Economics, number 15/03, Dec.
• Petzold, Max & Jonsson, Robert, 2003, "Maximum Likelihood Ratio based small-sample tests for random coefficients in linear regression," Working Papers in Economics, University of Gothenburg, Department of Economics, number 102, Aug.
• Ericsson, Johan & Karlsson, Sune, 2003, "Choosing Factors in a Multifactor Asset Pricing Model: A Bayesian Approach," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance, Stockholm School of Economics, number 524, Apr, revised 12 Feb 2004.
• Lundbergh, Stefan & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2003, "A time series model for an exchange rate in a target zone with applications," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance, Stockholm School of Economics, number 533, Sep.
• Eklund, Bruno, 2003, "Testing the unit root hypothesis against the logistic smooth transition autoregressive model," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance, Stockholm School of Economics, number 546, Nov.
• Eklund, Bruno, 2003, "A nonlinear alternative to the unit root hypothesis," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance, Stockholm School of Economics, number 547, Nov.
• Eklund, Bruno & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2003, "Testing constancy of the error covariance matrix in vector models," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance, Stockholm School of Economics, number 549, Nov, revised 18 Jan 2006.
• Bårdsen, Gunnar & Jansen, Eilev S. & Nymoen, Ragnar, 2003, "Testing the New Keynesian Phillips curve," Memorandum, Oslo University, Department of Economics, number 18/2002, Jun.
• Lindé, Jesper, 2003, "Monetary Policy Shocks and Business Cycle Fluctuations in a Small Open Economy: Sweden 1986-2002," Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden), number 153, Nov.
• Anna Persson & Timo Teräsvirta, 2003, "The net barter terms of trade: A smooth transition approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 8, issue 1, pages 81-97, DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.198.
• Carlo Altavilla, 2003, "Assessing monetary rules performance across EMU countries," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 8, issue 2, pages 131-151, DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.199.
• Darcy Fuenzalida O'Shee & Mauricio Nash Sarquis, 2003, "Efecto De La Ley De Opa En El Retorno De La Acción En Chile," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, volume 2, issue 4, pages 305-320, Diciembre.
• Luis Miguel Galindo & Horacio Catalán, 2003, "The Term Structure Of Interest Rates In Mexico: The Cetes Market," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, volume 2, issue 4, pages 339-357, Diciembre.
• Trino-Manuel Ñíguez, 2003, "Volatility And Var Forecasting For The Ibex-35 Stock-Return Index Using Figarch-Type Processes And Different Evaluation Criteria," Working Papers. Serie AD, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie), number 2003-33, Sep.
• Antonio Rubia Serrano & Trino-Manuel Ñíguez, 2003, "Forecasting The Conditional Covariance Matrix Of A Portfolio Under Long-Run Temporal Dependence," Working Papers. Serie AD, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie), number 2003-34, Oct.
• Galindo-Rueda, Fernando, 2003, "Employer Learning and Schooling-Related Statistical Discrimination in Britain," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 778, Apr.
• Pierre Giot & Sébastien Laurent, 2003, "Value-at-risk for long and short trading positions," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 18, issue 6, pages 641-663, DOI: 10.1002/jae.710.
• Krekó, Judit & Vonnák, Balázs, 2003, "Makroelemzők inflációs várakozásai Magyarországon
  [The inflationary expectations of macro analysts in Hungary]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), volume 0, issue 4, pages 315-334.
• Khalaf, Lynda & Kichian, Maral, 2003, "Are New Keynesian Phillips Curved Identified?," Cahiers de recherche, GREEN, number 0312.
• Chris Heaton & Victor Solo, 2003, "Asymptotic Principal Components Estimation Of Large Factor Models," Research Papers, Macquarie University, Department of Economics, number 0303, Jun.
• Xibin Zhang & Maxwell L. King, 2003, "Estimation of Asymmetric Box-Cox Stochastic Volatility Models Using MCMC Simulation," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, number 10/03, Apr.
• Md B. Billah & R.J. Hyndman & A.B. Koehler, 2003, "Empirical Information Criteria for Time Series Forecasting Model Selection," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, number 2/03, Jan.
• GONÇALVES, Silvia & KILIAN, Lutz, 2003, "Bootstrapping Autoregressions with Conditional Heteroskedasticity of Unknown Form," Cahiers de recherche, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques, number 2003-01.
• Gonçalves, Sílvia & KILIAN, Lutz, 2003, "Bootstrapping Autoregressions with Conditional Heteroskedasticity of Unknown Form," Cahiers de recherche, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ, number 01-2003.
• Clive G. Bowsher, 2003, "Modelling Security Market Events in Continuous Time: Intensity Based, Multivariate Point Process Models," Economics Papers, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford, number 2003-W03, Jan.
• Olivier Basdevant & David Hargreaves, 2003, "Modelling structural change: the case of New Zealand," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, number DP2003/03, Apr.
• John Bryant, 2003, "Can population projections be used for sensitivity tests on policy models?," Treasury Working Paper Series, New Zealand Treasury, number 03/07, Mar.
• Franck Sédillot & Nigel Pain, 2003, "Indicator Models of Real GDP Growth in Selected OECD Countries," OECD Economics Department Working Papers, OECD Publishing, number 364, Jul, DOI: 10.1787/275257320252.
• Mapa, Dennis S., 2003, "A Range-Based GARCH Model for Forecasting Volatility," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 21323, Dec.
• Ghassan, Hassan B., 2003, "Test de l’effet de stabilisation automatique par la modélisation SVAR sans contrainte de long terme
  [Testing the Automatic Stabilization Effect: Evidence from SVAR Model without Long-Term Constraint]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 56387, Feb, revised 02 Apr 2003.
• Charles, Coleman, 2003, "Loss Functions for Detecting Outliers in Panel Data: An Introduction," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 77844.
• Marek Loužek, 2003, "Can pro-natalist policy be effective?," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, volume 2003, issue 3, pages 265-281, DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.218.
• Francisco Craveiro Dias, 2003, "Nonlinearities over the Business Cycle: an Application of the Smooth Transition Autoregressive Model to characterize GDP dynamics for the Euro-area and Portugal," Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department, number w200309.
• George Kapetanios & Melvyn Weeks, 2003, "Non-Nested Models and the Likelihood Ratio Statistic: A Comparison of Simulation and Bootstrap Based Tests," Working Papers, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance, number 490, Apr.
• Carol Alexandra & Emese Lazar, 2003, "Symmetric Normal Mixture GARCH," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance, Henley Business School, University of Reading, number icma-dp2003-09, May.
• Alan Mulhern, 2003, "Identifying growth characteristics in the Polish small firm stratum," Economics Discussion Papers, School of Economics, Kingston University London, number 2003-3, Jan.
• Subrata Ghatak & Alan Mulhern & Chris Stewart, 2003, "Regional Development of Small Firms in Poland," Economics Discussion Papers, School of Economics, Kingston University London, number 2003-5, Jan.
• Alan Mulhern, 2003, "Regional differences in small firm development: the case of Poland," Economics Discussion Papers, School of Economics, Kingston University London, number 2003-12, Jan.
• Valentina Corradi & Norman R. Swanson, 2003, "A Test for Comparing Multiple Misspecified Conditional Distributions," Departmental Working Papers, Rutgers University, Department of Economics, number 200314, Oct.
• Victor Solo & Chris Heaton, 2003, "Asymptotic Principal Components Estimation of Large Factor Models," Computing in Economics and Finance 2003, Society for Computational Economics, number 251, Aug.
• Fabio Milani, 2003, "Adaptive Learning, Model Uncertainty and Monetary Policy Inertia in a Large Information Environment," Computing in Economics and Finance 2003, Society for Computational Economics, number 280, Aug.
• Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Juan Rubio-Ramirez, 2003, "Estimating nonlinear dynamic economies: A likelihood approach," Computing in Economics and Finance 2003, Society for Computational Economics, number 91, Aug.
• Hyeok Jeong & Robert M. Townsend, 2003, "Growth and Inequality: Model Evaluation Based on an Estimation-Calibration Strategy," IEPR Working Papers, Institute of Economic Policy Research (IEPR), number 05.10, Sep.
• Harry Telser & Peter Zweifel, 2003, "Validity of Discrete-Choice Experiments - Evidence for Health Risk Reduction," SOI - Working Papers, Socioeconomic Institute - University of Zurich, number 0313, Oct, revised Feb 2005.
• Konstantinos Giannakas & Kien C. Tran & Vangelis Tzouvelekas, 2003, "On the choice of functional form in stochastic frontier modeling," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 28, issue 1, pages 75-100, January, DOI: 10.1007/s001810100120.
• Kurt Brannas & Niklas Nordman, 2003, "Conditional skewness modelling for stock returns," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 10, issue 11, pages 725-728, DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000139015.
• Kurt Brannas & Niklas Nordman, 2003, "An alternative conditional asymmetry specification for stock returns," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 13, issue 7, pages 537-541, DOI: 10.1080/0960310022000020889.
• Rim Ben Ayed-Mouelhi & Mohamed Goa�ed, 2003, "Efficiency Measure from Dynamic Stochastic Production Frontier: Application to Tunisian Textile, Clothing, and Leather Industries," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 22, issue 1, pages 93-111, February, DOI: 10.1081/ETC-120017976.
• Ozge Akinci, 2003, "Modeling the Demand for Currency Issued in Turkey," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, volume 3, issue 1, pages 1-25.
• Andreou, E. & Werker, B.J.M., 2003, "A Simple Asymptotic Analysis of Residual-Based Statistics," Discussion Paper, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research, number 2003-118.
• Peter van Els & Alberto Locarno & Benoît Mojon & Julian Morgan, 2003, "New Macroeconomic Evidence on Monetary Policy Transmission in the Euro Area," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, volume 1, issue 2-3, pages 720-730, 04/05.
• Gunnar Bårdsen & Ragnar Nymoen, 2003, "Testing Steady-State Implications for the NAIRU," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, volume 85, issue 4, pages 1070-1075, November.
• Luis A. Gil-Alana & S.G. Brian Henry, 2003, "Fractional Integration and the Dynamics of UK Unemployment," Faculty Working Papers, School of Economics and Business Administration, University of Navarra, number 10/03, May.
• Tran Van Hoa, 2003, "Growth of Asian Regional Trade and Income Convergence: Evidence from ASEAN+3 Based on Extended Helpman-Krugman Hypothesis and Flexible Modelling Approach," Economics Working Papers, School of Economics, University of Wollongong, NSW, Australia, number wp03-02.
• Tran Van Hoa, 2003, "New Asian Regionalism: Evidence of ASEAN+3 Free Trade Agreement From Extended Gravity Theory and New Modelling Approach," Economics Working Papers, School of Economics, University of Wollongong, NSW, Australia, number wp03-03.
• Àlex Costa & Albert Satorra & Eva Ventura, 2003, "An empirical evaluation of small area estimators," Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, number 674, Apr, revised Jun 2003.
• Joseph P. Romano & Michael Wolf, 2003, "Stepwise multiple testing as formalized data snooping," Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, number 712, Oct.
• Àlex Costa & Albert Satorra & Eva Ventura, 2003, "Using composite estimators to improve both domain and total area estimation," Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, number 731, Dec.
• Joachim Grammig & Erik Theissen, 2003, "Estimating the Probability of Informed Trading - Does Trade Misclassification Matter?," University of St. Gallen Department of Economics working paper series 2003, Department of Economics, University of St. Gallen, number 2003-01, Jan.
• Judith A. Clarke & Sadaf Mirza, 2003, "Some Finite Sample Results On Testing For Granger Noncausality," Econometrics Working Papers, Department of Economics, University of Victoria, number 0305, May.
• Bernardo Maggi & Stefania P. S. Rossi, 2003, "An efficiency analysis of banking systems: a comparison of European and United States large commercial banks using different functional forms," Vienna Economics Papers, University of Vienna, Department of Economics, number vie0306, Apr.
• Pierre Giot, 2003, "The information content of implied volatility in agricultural commodity markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 23, issue 5, pages 441-454, May.
• Evzen Kocenda, 2003, "An Alternative to the BDS Test: Integration Across The Correlation Integral," Econometrics, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 0301004, Jan.
• Carlos A. Rodríguez Ramos, 2003, "The P* model as a general identity to analyze and forecast the behavior of the inflation rate in the economy of Puerto Rico," Econometrics, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 0302002, Feb.
• Alejandro Diaz-Bautista & Ramon A. Castillo Ponce, 2003, "Testing for Unit Roots: Mexico's GDP," Econometrics, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 0306007, Jun.
• Ryan Lemand, 2003, "The Contagion Effect Between the Volatilities of the NASDAQ-100 and the IT.CA :A Univariate and A Bivariate Switching Approach," Econometrics, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 0307002, Jul, revised 07 Dec 2020.
• Ryan Lemand, 2003, "New Technology Stock Market Indexes Contagion: A VAR-dccMVGARCH Approach," Econometrics, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 0307003, Jul, revised 07 Dec 2020.
• Ryan Lemand, 2003, "Should Stock Market Indexes Time Varying Correlations Be Taken Into Account? A Conditional Variance Multivariate Approach," Econometrics, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 0307004, Jul, revised 07 Dec 2020.
• Raffaella Giacomini & Halbert White, 2003, "Tests of Conditional Predictive Ability," Econometrics, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 0308001, Aug.
• Hans J. Baumgartner, 2003, "Are There Any Class Size Effects On Early Career Earnings In West Germany?," HEW, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 0305004, May, revised 05 Nov 2003.
• Slim CHAOUACHI & Gilles DUFRENOT & Val=E9rie MIGNON, 2003, "Modelling the misalignments of the Dollar-Sterling real exchange rate: a nonlinear cointegration perspective," International Finance, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 0309002, Sep.
• Catherine Baumont & Cem Ertur & Julie Le Gallo, 2003, "Spatial Analysis Of Employment And Population Density: The Case Of The Agglomeration Of Dijon, 1999," Urban/Regional, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 0310003, Oct.
• Keller, Joachim & Glatzer, Ernst & Craig, Ben R. & Scheicher, Martin, 2003, "The Forecasting Performance of German Stock Option Densities," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 2003,17.
• Engelmann, Bernd & Hayden, Evelyn & Tasche, Dirk, 2003, "Measuring the Discriminative Power of Rating Systems," Discussion Paper Series 2: Banking and Financial Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 2003,01.
• Antzoulatos, Angelos A. & Wilfling, Bernd, 2003, "Exchange and Interest Rates prior to EMU: The Case of Greece," HWWA Discussion Papers, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWA), number 244.
• Eberts, Elke, 2003, "The Connection of Stock Markets Between Germany and the USA: New Evidence From a Co-integration Study," ZEW Discussion Papers, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research, number 03-36.
• Antzoulatos, Angelos A. & Wilfling, Bernd, 2003, "Exchange and Interest Rates prior to EMU: The Case of Greece," Discussion Paper Series, Hamburg Institute of International Economics, number 26325, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.26325.
• Maynard, Leigh J. & Veeramani, Venkat N., 2003, "Price Sensitivities for U.S. Frozen Dairy Products," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, volume 35, issue 3, pages 1-11, December, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.43194.
• Manuela CROCI, 2003, "An empirical analysis of international equity market co-movements: implications for informational efficiency," Working Papers, Universita' Politecnica delle Marche (I), Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Sociali, number 197, Nov.
• Brock,W.A. & Durlauf,S.N., 2003, "Elements of a theory of design limits to optimal policy," Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems, number 25.
• Maria Helena Lopes Moreira da Veiga, 2003, "Are One Factor Logarithmic Volatility Models Useful to Fit the Features of Financial Data? An Application to Microsoft Data," UFAE and IAE Working Papers, Unitat de Fonaments de l'Anàlisi Econòmica (UAB) and Institut d'Anàlisi Econòmica (CSIC), number 585.03, Sep.
• David Bolder, 2003, "A Stochastic Simulation Framework for the Government of Canada's Debt Strategy," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 03-10, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2003-10.
• Frédérick Demers, 2003, "The Canadian Phillips Curve and Regime Shifting," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 03-32, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2003-32.
• Lynda Khalaf & Maral Kichian, 2003, "Testing the Stability of the Canadian Phillips Curve Using Exact Methods," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 03-7, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2003-7.
• Roberto Golinelli & Giuseppe Parigi, 2003, "What is this thing called confidence? A comparative analysis of consumer confidence indices in eight major countries," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 484, Sep.
• Norberto Rodríguez N. & Patricia Siado C., 2003, "Un Pronóstico no Paramétrico de la Inflación Colombiana," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 248, Jun, DOI: 10.32468/be.248.
• Lundbergh, Stefan & Terasvirta, Timo & van Dijk, Dick, 2003, "Time-Varying Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, volume 21, issue 1, pages 104-121, January.
• Strachan, Rodney W, 2003, "Valid Bayesian Estimation of the Cointegrating Error Correction Model," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, volume 21, issue 1, pages 185-195, January.
• Fiorentini, Gabriele & Sentana, Enrique & Calzolari, Giorgio, 2003, "Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference in Multivariate Conditionally Heteroscedastic Dynamic Regression Models with Student t Innovations," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, volume 21, issue 4, pages 532-546, October.
• Joseph P. Romano & Michael Wolf, 2015, "Stepwise Multiple Testing as Formalized Data Snooping," Working Papers, Barcelona School of Economics, number 17, Sep.
• Bernd Wilfling, 2003, "Interest Rate Volatility Prior to Monetary Union under Alternative Pre‐Switch Regimes," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, volume 4, issue 4, pages 433-457, November, DOI: 10.1111/j.1465-6485.2003.00088.x.
• Peter Carr & Liuren Wu, 2003, "What Type of Process Underlies Options? A Simple Robust Test," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, volume 58, issue 6, pages 2581-2610, December, DOI: 10.1046/j.1540-6261.2003.00616.x.
• Luis A. Gil‐Alana & S. G. Brian Henry, 2003, "Fractional Integration and the Dynamics of UK Unemployment," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, volume 65, issue 2, pages 221-239, May, DOI: 10.1111/1468-0084.t01-1-00047.
• Dick van Dijk & Philip Hans Franses, 2003, "Selecting a Nonlinear Time Series Model using Weighted Tests of Equal Forecast Accuracy," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, volume 65, issue s1, pages 727-744, December, DOI: 10.1046/j.0305-9049.2003.00091.x.