Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

1. Forecasting with DSGE Models
2. Forecasting

2015

• Todd Stinebrickner & Ralph Stinebrickner & Nirav Mehta & Timothy Conley, 2015, "How social interactions determine input choices and outcomes in equilibrium: Evidence from a model of study time and academic achievement," 2015 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 1175.
• Bartosz Mackowiak, 2015, "Granger-Causal-Priority and Choice of Variables in Vector Autoregressions," 2015 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 66.
• Rahmi Yamak & Havvanur Feyza Erdem & Fatma Kolcu, 2015, "Comparing Equation of Exchange and Wage-Cost Mark-up Identity for Turkish Economy," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, volume 18, issue 58, pages 117-138, December.
• Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2015, "Model Uncertainty in Panel Vector Autoregressive Models," Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis, number 15-35, Sep.
• Jerry Hausman, 2015, "Specification tests in econometrics," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), volume 38, issue 2, pages 112-134.
• Ilya Tetin, 2015, "Underwriting cycle in Russia and macroeconomic indicators," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), volume 39, issue 3, pages 65-83.
• Anna Bakaykina, 2015, "The estimation of the competitiveness of SME financing programs of development banks in Russia," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), volume 40, issue 4, pages 106-128.
• K. M. Zahidul Islam & Sayed Farrukh Ahmed, 2015, "Stock Market Crash and Stock Return Volatility: Empirical Evidence from Dhaka Stock Exchange," Bangladesh Development Studies, Bangladesh Institute of Development Studies (BIDS), volume 38, issue 3, pages 25-34.
• Mihaela Simionescu, 2015, "A Comparative Analysis Of Macroeconomic Forecasts Accuracy In Spain And Romania," UTMS Journal of Economics, University of Tourism and Management, Skopje, Macedonia, volume 6, issue 1, pages 67-74.
• Oana Simona HUDEA, 2015, "Estimation and Variance Decomposition in a Small-size DSGE Model," Romanian Statistical Review Supplement, Romanian Statistical Review, volume 63, issue 1, pages 121-127, January.
• Alessandro Giovannelli & Tommaso Proietti, 2015, "On the Selection of Common Factors for Macroeconomic Forecasting," CEIS Research Paper, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, number 332, Mar, revised 12 Mar 2015.
• Tommaso Proietti & Martyna Marczak & Gianluigi Mazzi, 2015, "EuroMInd-D: A Density Estimate of Monthly Gross Domestic Product for the Euro Area," CEIS Research Paper, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, number 340, Apr, revised 10 Apr 2015.
• Alessandra Luati & Tommaso Proietti, 2015, "Generalised partial autocorrelations and the mutual information between past and future," CEIS Research Paper, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, number 344, Jun, revised 05 Jun 2015.
• Vipul Kumar Singh, 2015, "Conjoint Analysis of Option and Volatility Models," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, volume 14, issue 3, pages 258-289, December, DOI: 10.1177/0972652714567997.
• Dimitra Lamprou, 2015, "Nowcasting GDP in Greece: A Note on Forecasting Improvements from the Use of Bridge Models," South-Eastern Europe Journal of Economics, Association of Economic Universities of South and Eastern Europe and the Black Sea Region, volume 13, issue 1, pages 85-100.
• Elena Alexandra Toader, 2015, "Using Stanford Parser Method For Assessing The Competencies Of It Professionals," Proceedings of International Academic Conferences, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences, number 1003988, May.
• Serdar Neslihanoglu, 2015, "Financial Stock Market Co-movement and Correlation: Evidence in the European Union (EU) Area Before and After the October 2008 Financial Crisis," Proceedings of International Academic Conferences, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences, number 2604587, Jul.
• Behrooz Noori, 2015, "An analysis of mobile banking customers for a bank strategy and policy planning," Proceedings of International Academic Conferences, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences, number 3104516, Nov.
• . Harshita & Shveta Singh & Surendra S. Yadav, 2015, "Indian stock market and the asset pricing models," Proceedings of Economics and Finance Conferences, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences, number 2204802, Sep.
• Jerzy Marzec & Stanisław Czyż & Piotr Styrkowiec, 2015, "Grouped probit regression analysis for shooting effectiveness in basketball," Collegium of Economic Analysis Annals, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis, issue 39, pages 135-150.
• Thomai Filippeli & Konstantinos Theodoridis, 2015, "DSGE priors for BVAR models," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 48, issue 2, pages 627-656, March, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-013-0797-z.
• Michal Brzezinski, 2015, "Power laws in citation distributions: evidence from Scopus," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, volume 103, issue 1, pages 213-228, April, DOI: 10.1007/s11192-014-1524-z.
• Marit Linnea Gjelsvik & Victoria Sparrman & Ragnar Nymoen, 2015, "Have inflation targeting and EU labour immigration changed the system of wage formation in Norway?," Discussion Papers, Statistics Norway, Research Department, number 824, Oct.
• Martin Feldkircher & Florian Huber & Josef Schreiner & Julia Woerz & Marcel Tirpak & Peter Toth, 2015, "Small-scale nowcasting models of GDP for selected CESEE countries," Working and Discussion Papers, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia, number WP 4/2015, Jun.
• Juraj Hucek & Alexander Karsay & Marian Vavra, 2015, "Short-term Forecasting of Real GDP Using Monthly Data," Working and Discussion Papers, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia, number OP 1/2015, Jul.
• Christopher Gibbs, 2015, "Forecast Combination, Non-linear Dynamics, and the Macroeconomy," Discussion Papers, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales, number 2015-05, Feb.
• Christian Hutter & Enzo Weber, 2015, "Constructing a new leading indicator for unemployment from a survey among German employment agencies," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 47, issue 33, pages 3540-3558, July, DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1018672.
• Annastiina Silvennoinen & Timo Ter�svirta, 2015, "Modeling Conditional Correlations of Asset Returns: A Smooth Transition Approach," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 34, issue 1-2, pages 174-197, February, DOI: 10.1080/07474938.2014.945336.
• Joshua C. C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat, 2015, "Marginal Likelihood Estimation with the Cross-Entropy Method," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 34, issue 3, pages 256-285, March, DOI: 10.1080/07474938.2014.944474.
• J. Miguel Marin & Genaro Sucarrat, 2015, "Financial density selection," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 21, issue 13-14, pages 1195-1213, November, DOI: 10.1080/1351847X.2012.706906.
• Francis X. Diebold, 2015, "Comparing Predictive Accuracy, Twenty Years Later: A Personal Perspective on the Use and Abuse of Diebold-Mariano Tests," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 33, issue 1, pages 1-1, January, DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2014.983236.
• Yan Li & Liangjun Su & Yuewu Xu, 2015, "A Combined Approach to the Inference of Conditional Factor Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 33, issue 2, pages 203-220, April, DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2014.940082.
• Malte Knüppel, 2015, "Evaluating the Calibration of Multi-Step-Ahead Density Forecasts Using Raw Moments," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 33, issue 2, pages 270-281, April, DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2014.948175.
• Massimiliano Caporin & Angelo Ranaldo & Gabriel G. Velo, 2015, "Precious metals under the microscope: a high-frequency analysis," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 15, issue 5, pages 743-759, May, DOI: 10.1080/14697688.2014.947313.
• Hatice Gokce Karasoy & Caglar Yunculer, 2015, "The Explanatory Power and the Forecast Performance of Consumer Confidence Indices for Private Consumption Growth in Turkey," Working Papers, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, number 1519.
• Suleyman Hilmi Kal & Ferhat Arslaner & Nuran Arslaner, 2015, "Sources of Asymmetry and Non-linearity in Pass-Through of Exchange Rate and Import Price to Consumer Price Inflation for the Turkish Economy during Inflation Targeting Regime," Working Papers, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, number 1530.
• Tugrul Gurgur & Zubeyir Kilinc, 2015, "In Search of the Drivers of the Turkish Consumer Confidence," Working Papers, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, number 1538.
• Andrew J. Buck & George M. Lady, 2015, "Estimating a Falsified Model: Some Impossibility Theorems," DETU Working Papers, Department of Economics, Temple University, number 1506, Jan.
• Guillaume Gaetan Martinet & Michael McAleer, 2015, "On the Invertibility of EGARCH(p,q)," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 15-022/III, Feb.
• Giuseppe De Luca & Jan Magnus & Franco Peracchi, 2015, "On the Ambiguous Consequences of Omitting Variables," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 15-061/III, May.
• Francisco Blasques & Siem Jan Koopman & Katarzyna Lasak & André Lucas, 2015, "In-Sample Confidence Bands and Out-of-Sample Forecast Bands for Time-Varying Parameters in Observation Driven Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 15-083/III, Jul.
• Francine Gresnigt & Erik Kole & Philip Hans Franses, 2015, "Specification Testing in Hawkes Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 15-086/III, Jul.
• Erik Kole & Thijs Markwat & Anne Opschoor & Dick van Dijk, 2015, "Forecasting Value-at-Risk under Temporal and Portfolio Aggregation," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 15-140/III, Jan, revised 19 Apr 2017.
• Kim Ristolainen, 2015, "Were the Scandinavian Banking Crises Predictable? A Neural Network Approach," Discussion Papers, Aboa Centre for Economics, number 99, Jan.
• Josh R. Stillwagon, 2015, "TIPS and the VIX: Non-linear Spillovers from Financial Panic to Breakeven Inflation," Working Papers, Trinity College, Department of Economics, number 1502, Feb.
• Lavergne, Pascal, 2015, "Assessing the Approximate Validity of Moment Restrictions," TSE Working Papers, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), number 15-562, Mar, revised May 2020.
• Diewert, W. Erwin, 2015, "A Note on the Flexibility of the Barnett and Hahm Functional Form," Economics working papers, Vancouver School of Economics, number erwin_diewert-2015-1, Jan, revised 09 Jan 2015.
• Guillaume Gaetan Martinet & Michael McAleer, 2015, "On the Invertibility of EGARCH(p,q)," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2015-03, Feb.
• Shiqing Ling & Michael McAleer & Howell Tong, 2015, "Frontiers in Time Series and Financial Econometrics: An Overview," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2015-04, Feb.
• Riadh Aloui & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2015, "Uncertainty and crude oil returns," Working papers, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, number 2015-03, Apr.
• Dmytro Pokidin, 2015, "National Bank of Ukraine Econometric Model for the Assessment of Banks' Credit Risk and Support Vector Machine Alternative," Visnyk of the National Bank of Ukraine, National Bank of Ukraine, issue 234, pages 52-72, DOI: 10.26531/vnbu2015.234.052.
• Sylvain Barde, 2015, "A Practical, Universal, Information Criterion over Nth Order Markov Processes," Studies in Economics, School of Economics, University of Kent, number 1504, Jan.
• Sylvain Barde, 2015, "Direct calibration and comparison of agent-based herding models of financial markets," Studies in Economics, School of Economics, University of Kent, number 1507, Apr.
• Sylvain Barde, 2015, "A fast algorithm for finding the confidence set of large collections of models," Studies in Economics, School of Economics, University of Kent, number 1519, Sep.
• Atsushi Inoue & Chun-Hung Kuo & Barbara Rossi, 2015, "Identifying the sources of model misspecification," Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, number 1479, Feb, revised Jun 2018.
• Buncic, Daniel & Gisler, Katja I. M., 2015, "Global Equity Market Volatility Spillovers: A Broader Role for the United States," Economics Working Paper Series, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science, number 1508, Mar.
• Tim Conley & Nirav Mehta & Ralph Stinebrickner & Todd Stinebrickner, 2015, "Social Interactions, Mechanisms, and Equilibrium: Evidence from a Model of Study Time and Academic Achievement," University of Western Ontario, Centre for Human Capital and Productivity (CHCP) Working Papers, University of Western Ontario, Centre for Human Capital and Productivity (CHCP), number 20154.
• Guido W. Imbens, 2015, "Matching Methods in Practice: Three Examples," Journal of Human Resources, University of Wisconsin Press, volume 50, issue 2, pages 373-419.
• Daniel Felix Ahelegbey, 2015, "The Econometrics of Networks: A Review," Working Papers, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari", number 2015:13.
• Marcos Alvarez-Díaz & Mª Soledad Otero-Giraldez & Manuel González-Gómez, 2015, "La Modelización de la Demanda de Turismo de Economías Emergentes: El caso de la Llegada de Turistas Rusos a España," Working Papers, Universidade de Vigo, Departamento de Economía Aplicada, number 1503, Jun.
• Maliková Zuzana & Kubák Matúš & Bačík Radovan & Fišar Miloš, 2015, "Governmental Research Support Programs and Private Entities in Slovakia," Review of Economic Perspectives, Sciendo, volume 14, issue 4, pages 345-371, January, DOI: 10.1515/revecp-2015-0004.
• Jesus Crespo Cuaresma & Philipp Piribauer, 2015, "Bayesian Variable Selection in Spatial Autoregressive Models," Department of Economics Working Papers, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics, number wuwp199, Jul.
• Crespo Cuaresma, Jesus & Piribauer, Philipp, 2015, "Bayesian Variable Selection in Spatial Autoregressive Models," Department of Economics Working Paper Series, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business, number 199, Jul.
• Torben G. Andersen & Nicola Fusari & Viktor Todorov, 2015, "Parametric Inference and Dynamic State Recovery From Option Panels," Econometrica, Econometric Society, volume 83, issue 3, pages 1081-1145, May.
• Firmin Doko Tchatoka, 2015, "On bootstrap validity for specification tests with weak instruments," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, volume 18, issue 1, pages 137-146, February.
• Igor L. Kheifets, 2015, "Specification tests for nonlinear dynamic models," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, volume 18, issue 1, pages 67-94, February.
• Raffaella Giacomini, 2015, "Economic theory and forecasting: lessons from the literature," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, volume 18, issue 2, pages 22-41, June.
• André K. Anundsen, 2015, "Econometric Regime Shifts and the US Subprime Bubble," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 30, issue 1, pages 145-169, January.
• Fulvio Corsi & Stefano Peluso & Francesco Audrino, 2015, "Missing in Asynchronicity: A Kalman‐em Approach for Multivariate Realized Covariance Estimation," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 30, issue 3, pages 377-397, April.
• Michael T. Owyang & Jeremy Piger & Howard J. Wall, 2015, "Forecasting National Recessions Using State‐Level Data," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 47, issue 5, pages 847-866, August, DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.12228.
• Alexandros Gabrielsen & Axel Kirchner & Zhuoshi Liu & Paolo Zagaglia, 2015, "Forecasting Value-At-Risk With Time-Varying Variance, Skewness And Kurtosis In An Exponential Weighted Moving Average Framework," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., volume 10, issue 01, pages 1-29, DOI: 10.1142/S2010495215500050.
• Hong Ben Yee, 2015, "On The Impact Of The Boundary On Dynamics: Anti-Persistence In The Case Of The Hkd Exchange Rate Corridor," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., volume 10, issue 01, pages 1-25, DOI: 10.1142/S2010495215500062.
• Ovidiu Constantin BUNGET & Eusebiu Raducu BUREANA, 2015, "Testing the violation of conservatism accounting principle. Case study on Romanian listed entities," Timisoara Journal of Economics and Business, West University of Timisoara, Romania, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, volume 8, issue 2, pages 183-202, December.
• Adam Nowak & Patrick Smith, 2015, "Textual Analysis in Real Estate," Working Papers, Department of Economics, West Virginia University, number 15-34, Aug.
• YAE IN BAEK & Jin Seo Cho & PETER C.B. PHILLIPS, 2015, "Testing Linearity Using Power Transforms of Regressors," Working papers, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute, number 2015rwp-79, Mar.
• YAE IN BAEK & Jin Seo Cho & PETER C.B. PHILLIPS, 2015, "We provide mathematical proofs for the results in "Testing Linearity Using Power Transforms of Regressors"," Working papers, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute, number 2015rwp-79a, Mar.
• Jia Chen & Degui Li & Oliver Linton & Zudi Lu, 2015, "Semiparametric Model Averaging of Ultra-High Dimensional Time Series," Discussion Papers, Department of Economics, University of York, number 15/18, Oct.
• Asongu, Simplice & Efobi, Uchenna & Beecroft, Ibukun, 2015, "FDI, Aid, Terrorism: Conditional Threshold Evidence from Developing Countries," EconStor Preprints, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, number 114569, May.
• Lux, Thomas & Segnon, Mawuli & Gupta, Rangan, 2015, "Modeling and forecasting crude oil price volatility: Evidence from historical and recent data," FinMaP-Working Papers, Collaborative EU Project FinMaP - Financial Distortions and Macroeconomic Performance: Expectations, Constraints and Interaction of Agents, number 31.
• Barunik, Jozef & Barunikova, Michaela, 2015, "Revisiting the long memory dynamics of implied-realized volatility relation: A new evidence from wavelet band spectrum regression," FinMaP-Working Papers, Collaborative EU Project FinMaP - Financial Distortions and Macroeconomic Performance: Expectations, Constraints and Interaction of Agents, number 43.
• Proietti, Tommaso & Marczak, Martyna & Mazzi, Gianluigi, 2015, "EuroMInd-D: A density estimate of monthly gross domestic product for the euro area," Hohenheim Discussion Papers in Business, Economics and Social Sciences, University of Hohenheim, Faculty of Business, Economics and Social Sciences, number 03-2015.
• Deeken, Tim, 2015, "Knowledge spillovers: On the impact of genetic distance and data revisions," Working Paper Series in Economics, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Department of Economics and Management, number 74, DOI: 10.5445/IR/1000050443.
• Donadelli, Michael & Paradiso, Antonio & Riedel, Max, 2015, "A novel ex-ante leading indicator for the EU industrial production," SAFE Working Paper Series, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE, number 118, DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2694608.
• Meyer-Gohde, Alexander & Neuhoff, Daniel, 2015, "Generalized exogenous processes in DSGE: A Bayesian approach," SFB 649 Discussion Papers, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk, number 2015-014.
• Neuhoff, Daniel, 2015, "Dynamics of real per capita GDP," SFB 649 Discussion Papers, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk, number 2015-039.
• Härdle, Wolfgang Karl & Trimborn, Simon, 2015, "CRIX or evaluating blockchain based currencies," SFB 649 Discussion Papers, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk, number 2015-048.
• Döhrn, Roland, 2015, "Der Prognostiker des Jahres: Ein Zufallsergebnis? Möglichkeiten einer mehrdimensionalen Evaluierung von Konjunkturprognosen," IBES Diskussionsbeiträge, University of Duisburg-Essen, Institute of Business and Economic Studie (IBES), number 208.
• Conrad, Christian & Schienle, Melanie, 2015, "Misspecification Testing in GARCH-MIDAS Models," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 112919.
• Demetrescu, Matei & Kruse, Robinson, 2015, "Testing heteroskedastic time series for normality," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 113221.

2014

• Edgar Merkle & Jinyan Fan & Achim Zeileis, 2014, "Testing for Measurement Invariance with Respect to an Ordinal Variable," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, volume 79, issue 4, pages 569-584, October, DOI: 10.1007/s11336-013-9376-7.
• Cati Torres & Sergio Colombo & Nick Hanley, 2014, "Incorrectly accounting for preference heterogeneity in choice experiments: what are the implications for welfare measurement?," Discussion Papers in Environment and Development Economics, University of St. Andrews, School of Geography and Sustainable Development, number 2014-07, Oct.
• Chen, Xiaoshan & Kirsanova, Tatiana & Leith, Campbell, 2014, "An Empirical Assessment of Optimal Monetary Policy Delegation in the Euro Area," Stirling Economics Discussion Papers, University of Stirling, Division of Economics, number 2014-11, Nov.
• Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2014, "Model uncertainty in panel vector autoregressive models," Working Papers, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics, number 1408, Aug.
• Cristiano Cantore & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman & Bo Yang, 2014, "CES Technology and Business Cycle Fluctuations," School of Economics Discussion Papers, School of Economics, University of Surrey, number 0414, Aug.
• Minxian Yang, 2014, "The Risk Return Relationship: Evidence from Index Return and Realised Variance Series," Discussion Papers, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales, number 2014-16, Mar.
• Ahdi Noomen Ajmi & Ghassen El-montasser & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Duc Khuong Nguyen, 2014, "Oil prices and MENA stock markets: new evidence from nonlinear and asymmetric causalities during and after the crisis period," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 46, issue 18, pages 2167-2177, June, DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.896987.
• Sule Akkoyunlu & Boriss Siliverstovs, 2014, "Does the law of one price hold in a high-inflation environment? A tale of two cities in Turkey," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 46, issue 26, pages 3236-3245, September, DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.925190.
• Janine Aron & Kenneth Creamer & John Muellbauer & Neil Rankin, 2014, "Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Consumer Prices in South Africa: Evidence from Micro-Data," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 50, issue 1, pages 165-185, January, DOI: 10.1080/00220388.2013.847178.
• Knut Are Aastveit & Karsten R. Gerdrup & Anne Sofie Jore & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2014, "Nowcasting GDP in Real Time: A Density Combination Approach," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 32, issue 1, pages 48-68, January, DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2013.844155.
• Cristina Amado & Timo Teräsvirta, 2014, "Conditional Correlation Models of Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity With Nonstationary GARCH Equations," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 32, issue 1, pages 69-87, January, DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2013.847376.
• I. Sebastian Buhai & Coen N. Teulings, 2014, "Tenure Profiles and Efficient Separation in a Stochastic Productivity Model," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 32, issue 2, pages 245-258, April, DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2013.866568.
• Rainer Schulz & Martin Wersing & Axel Werwatz, 2014, "Automated valuation modelling: a specification exercise," Journal of Property Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 31, issue 2, pages 131-153, June, DOI: 10.1080/09599916.2013.846930.
• Jos� Fajardo & Ernesto Mordecki, 2014, "Skewness premium with L�vy processes," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 14, issue 9, pages 1619-1626, September, DOI: 10.1080/14697688.2011.618809.
• Yao, Wenying & Kam, Timothy & Vahid, Farshid, 2014, "VAR(MA), what is it good for? more bad news for reduced-form estimation and inference," Working Papers, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics, number 2014-14.
• Bulent Ulasan, 2014, "Openness to International Trade and Economic Growth : A Cross-Country Empirical Investigation," Working Papers, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, number 1407.
• Mihaela Simionescu, 2014, "Directional accuracy for inflation and unemployment rate predictions in Romania," International Journal of Business and Economic Sciences Applied Research (IJBESAR), Democritus University of Thrace (DUTH), Kavala Campus, Greece, volume 7, issue 2, pages 129-138, September.
• Andrew J. Buck & George M. Lady, 2014, "A New Approach to Model Verification, Falsification and Selection," DETU Working Papers, Department of Economics, Temple University, number 1403, Aug.
• Oscar Jorda & Moritz HP. Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2014, "Sovereigns versus Banks: Credit, Crises and Consequences," Working Papers Series, Institute for New Economic Thinking, number 3, Feb, DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2585696.
• Francesco Calvori & Drew Creal & Siem Jan Koopman & Andre Lucas, 2014, "Testing for Parameter Instability in Competing Modeling Frameworks," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 14-010/IV/DSF71, Jan.
• Michael McAleer & Christian M. Hafner, 2014, "A One Line Derivation of EGARCH," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 14-069/III, Jun.
• Christian M. Hafner & Michael McAleer, 2014, "A One Line Derivation of DCC: Application of a Vector Random Coefficient Moving Average Process," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 14-087/III, Jul.
• André Lucas & Xin Zhang, 2014, "Score Driven exponentially Weighted Moving Average and Value-at-Risk Forecasting," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 14-092/IV/DSF77, Jul, revised 09 Sep 2015.
• Guillaume Gaetan Martinet & Michael McAleer, 2014, "On the Invertibility of EGARCH," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 14-096/III, Jul.
• Michael McAleer, 2014, "Asymmetry and Leverage in Conditional Volatility Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 14-125/III, Sep.
• Gerda Claeskens & Jan Magnus & Andrey Vasnev & Wendun Wang, 2014, "The Forecast Combination Puzzle: A Simple Theoretical Explanation," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 14-127/III, Sep.
• Maistre, Samuel & Lavergne, Pascal & Patilea, Valentin, 2014, "Powerful nonparametric checks for quantile regression," TSE Working Papers, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), number 14-501, Jun.
• Lavergne, Pascal & Maistre, Samuel & Patilea, Valentin, 2014, "A Significance Test for Covariates in Nonparametric Regression," TSE Working Papers, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), number 14-502, Mar.
• Catalina M. Torres & Sergio Colombo & Nick Hanley, 2014, "Incorrectly accounting for preference heterogeneity in choice experiments: what are the implications for welfare measurement?," DEA Working Papers, Universitat de les Illes Balears, Departament d'Economía Aplicada, number 65.
• Michael McAleer & Christian M. Hafner, 2014, "A One Line Derivation of EGARCH," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2014-15, Jun.
• Francisco Javier Eransus & Alfonso Novales Cinca, 2014, "Parameter Estimation Error in Tests of Predictive Performance under Discrete Loss Functions," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2014-22.
• Francisco Javier Eransus & Alfonso Novales Cinca, 2014, "A statistical test for forecast evaluation under a discrete loss function," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2014-24.
• Guillaume Gaetan Martinet & Michael McAleer, 2014, "On the Invertibility of EGARCH," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2014-28.
• Christian M. Hafner & Michael McAleer, 2014, "A One Line Derivation of DCC: Application of a Vector Random Coefficient Moving Average Process," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2014-29.
• Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2014, "Alternative tests for correct specification of conditional predictive densities," Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, number 1416, Jan, revised Jul 2017.
• Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2014, "Forecast rationality tests in the presence of instabilities, with applications to Federal Reserve and survey forecasts," Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, number 1426, Jun, revised Nov 2014.
• Atsushi Inoue & Lu Jin & Barbara Rossi, 2014, "Rolling window selection for out-of-sample forecasting with time-varying parameters," Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, number 1435, Jun, revised Apr 2016.
• Raffaella Giacomini & Barbara Rossi, 2014, "Model comparisons in unstable environments," Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, number 1437, Aug, revised Jan 2015.
• Raffaella Giacomini & Barbara Rossi, 2014, "Forecasting in nonstationary environments: What works and what doesn't in reduced-form and structural models," Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, number 1476, Dec.
• Buncic, Daniel & Moretto, Carlo, 2014, "Forecasting Copper Prices with Dynamic Averaging and Selection Models," Economics Working Paper Series, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science, number 1430, Sep.
• Buncic, Daniel & Piras, Gion Donat, 2014, "Heterogeneous Agents, the Financial Crisis and Exchange Rate Predictability," Economics Working Paper Series, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science, number 1436, Dec, revised Oct 2015.
• Caporin, Massimiliano & Ranaldo, Angelo & Velo, Gabriel G., 2014, "Precious Metals Under the Microscope: A High-Frequency Analysis," Working Papers on Finance, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance, number 1409, Jan.
• Olivier Bargain & Kristian Orsini & Andreas Peichl, 2014, "Comparing Labor Supply Elasticities in Europe and the United States: New Results," Journal of Human Resources, University of Wisconsin Press, volume 49, issue 3, pages 723-838.
• Roberto Casarin & Daniel Felix Ahelegbey & Monica Billio, 2014, "Sparse Graphical Vector Autoregression: A Bayesian Approach," Working Papers, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari", number 2014:29.
• Marcos Álvarez-Díaz & Manuel González-Gómez & María Soledad Otero-Giráldez & Ana Belén Trigo Iglesias, 2014, "Modelización econométrica de la demanda de turistas británicos a España," Working Papers, Universidade de Vigo, Departamento de Economía Aplicada, number 1404, Nov.
• Michał Brzeziński, 2014, "Empirical modeling of the impact factor distribution," Working Papers, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw, number 2014-01.
• Michał Brzeziński, 2014, "Power laws in citation distributions: Evidence from Scopus," Working Papers, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw, number 2014-05.
• Irina Možajeva, 2014, "Association Between Self-Assessed Health and Attitude Towards Own Health," Economic Research Guardian, Mutascu Publishing, volume 4, issue 2, pages 97-120, December.
• Guilherme Resende & Tulio Cravo & Alexandre Carvalho, 2014, "The Impact of Brazilian Regional Development Funds on Regional Economic Growth: A spatial panel approach," ERSA conference papers, European Regional Science Association, number ersa14p123, Nov.
• Margherita Comola & Marcel Fafchamps, 2014, "Testing Unilateral and Bilateral Link Formation," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, volume 124, issue 579, pages 954-976, September.
• Firmin Doko Tchatoka & Jean‐Marie Dufour, 2014, "Identification‐robust inference for endogeneity parameters in linear structural models," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, volume 17, issue 1, pages 165-187, February.
• Hendrik Kaufmann & Florian Heinen & Philipp Sibbertsen, 2014, "The Dynamics Of Real Exchange Rates: A Reconsideration," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 29, issue 5, pages 758-773, August.
• Miguel A.G. Belmonte & Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2014, "Hierarchical Shrinkage in Time‐Varying Parameter Models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 33, issue 1, pages 80-94, January.
• Klaus Wohlrabe & Teresa Buchen, 2014, "Assessing the Macroeconomic Forecasting Performance of Boosting: Evidence for the United States, the Euro Area and Germany," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 33, issue 4, pages 231-242, July.
• Bryan S. Graham & Guido W. Imbens & Geert Ridder, 2014, "Complementarity and aggregate implications of assortative matching: A nonparametric analysis," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, volume 5, issue , pages 29-66, March.
• Azam, Kazim, 2014, "Effects of Marginal Speci cations on Copula Estimation," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics, number 1053.
• Sasa Zikovic & Rafal Weron & Ivana Tomas Zikovic, 2014, "Evaluating the performance of VaR models in energy markets," HSC Research Reports, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, number HSC/14/12, Oct.
• Jin Seo Cho & Halbert White, 2014, "Testing the Equality of Two Positive-Definite Matrices with Application to Information Matrix Testing," Working papers, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute, number 2014rwp-67, Jul.
• Vilsmeier, Johannes, 2014, "Updating the option implied probability of default methodology," Discussion Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 43/2014.
• Sacht, Stephen, 2014, "Identification of prior information via moment-matching," Economics Working Papers, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics, number 2014-04.
• Warne, Anders & Coenen, Günter & Christoffel, Kai, 2014, "Marginalized predictive likelihood comparisons of linear Gaussian state-space models with applications to DSGE, DSGEVAR, and VAR models," CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies (CFS), number 478.
• Guerron-Quintana, Pablo & Inoue, Atsushi & Kilian, Lutz, 2014, "Impulse response matching estimators for DSGE models," CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies (CFS), number 498.
• Kholodilin, Konstantin A. & Thomas, Tobias & Ulbricht, Dirk, 2014, "Do media data help to predict German industrial production?," DICE Discussion Papers, Heinrich Heine University Düsseldorf, Düsseldorf Institute for Competition Economics (DICE), number 149.
• Recchioni, Maria Cristina & Tedeschi, Gabriele & Berardi, Simone, 2014, "Bank's strategies during the financial crisis," FinMaP-Working Papers, Collaborative EU Project FinMaP - Financial Distortions and Macroeconomic Performance: Expectations, Constraints and Interaction of Agents, number 25.
• Krasnosselski, Nikolai & Cremers, Heinz & Sanddorf, Walter, 2014, "Messung des Marktrisikos mit generalisierter autoregressiver bedingter heteroskedastischer Modellierung der Volatilität: Ein Vergleich univariater und multivariater Konzepte," Frankfurt School - Working Paper Series, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management, number 208.
• Offermanns, Christian J., 2014, "On the degree of homogeneity in dynamic heterogeneous panel data models," Discussion Papers, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics, number 2014/25.
• Golosnoy, Vasyl & Rossen, Anja, 2014, "Modeling dynamics of metal price series via state space approach with two common factors," HWWI Research Papers, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWI), number 156.
• Juselius, Katarina, 2014, "Testing for near I(2) trends when the signal to noise ratio is small," Economics Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 2014-8.
• Juselius, Katarina, 2014, "Testing for near I(2) trends when the signal-to-noise ratio is small," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy, volume 8, pages 1-30, DOI: 10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2014-.
• Mora, Jhon James & Muro, Juan, 2014, "Consistent estimation in pseudo panels in the presence of selection bias," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy, volume 8, pages 1-25, DOI: 10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2014-.
• Aßmann, Christian & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Pape, Markus, 2014, "Bayesian analysis of dynamic factor models: An ex-post approach towards the rotation problem," Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 1902.
• Drechsel, Katja & Giesen, Sebastian & Lindner, Axel, 2014, "Outperforming IMF Forecasts by the Use of Leading Indicators," IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), number 4/2014.
• Zheng, Shuzhuan & Liu, Rong & Yang, Lijian & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, 2014, "Simultaneous confidence corridors and variable selection for generalized additive models," SFB 649 Discussion Papers, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk, number 2014-008.
• Zhu, Yanyuan & Feng, Xiao, 2014, "China's national production function since 1997: A reinvestigation," Working Papers in Economics, Bundeswehr University Munich, Economic Research Group, number 2014,2.
• Wagner, Martin & Wied, Dominik, 2014, "Monitoring Stationarity and Cointegration," VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 100386.
• Drechsel, Katja & Giesen, Sebastian & Lindner, Axel, 2014, "Outperforming IMF Forecasts by the Use of Leading Indicators," VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 100393.
• Rafael Weißbach, Rafael & Voß, Sebastian, 2014, "A score-test on measurement errors in rating transition times," VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 100532.
• Teresa, Buchen & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2014, "Assessing the Macroeconomic Forecasting Performance of Boosting: Evidence for the United States, the Euro Area, and Germany," VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 100626.
• Löffler, Max & Peichl, Andreas & Siegloch, Sebastian, 2014, "Structural labor supply models and wage exogeneity," ZEW Discussion Papers, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research, number 14-040.
• Koesler, Simon, 2014, "Specifying parameters in computable general equilibrium models using optimal fingerprint detection methods," ZEW Discussion Papers, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research, number 14-092.
• Paul Catani & Timo Teräsvirta & Meiqun Yin, 2014, "A Lagrange Multiplier Test for Testing the Adequacy of the Constant Conditional Correlation GARCH Model," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2014-03, Jan.
• Timo Teräsvirta & Yukai Yang, 2014, "Linearity and Misspecification Tests for Vector Smooth Transition Regression Models," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2014-04, Feb.
• Timo Teräsvirta & Yukai Yang, 2014, "Specification, Estimation and Evaluation of Vector Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models with Applications," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2014-08, Mar.
• Yukai Yang, 2014, "Testing Constancy of the Error Covariance Matrix in Vector Models against Parametric Alternatives using a Spectral Decomposition," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2014-11, Apr.
• Søren Johansen & Bent Nielsen, 2014, "Outlier detection algorithms for least squares time series regression," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2014-39, Sep.
• Paolo Santucci de Magistris & Federico Carlini, 2014, "On the identification of fractionally cointegrated VAR models with the F(d) condition," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2014-43, Nov.
• Alessandro Giovannelli & Tommaso Proietti, 2014, "On the Selection of Common Factors for Macroeconomic Forecasting," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2014-46, Nov.
• Torben G. Andersen & Nicola Fusari & Viktor Todorov, 2014, "The Risk Premia Embedded in Index Options," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2014-56, Dec.
• Simplice A. Asongu & Christian L. Nguena, 2014, "Equitable and Sustainable Development of Foreign Land Acquisitions: Lessons, Policies and Implications," Research Africa Network Working Papers, Research Africa Network (RAN), number 14/038, Dec.
• Igor Kheifets, 2014, "Specification Tests for Nonlinear Dynamic Models," Working Papers, New Economic School (NES), number w0209, Oct.
• Varang Wiriyawit, 2014, "Trend Mis-specifications and Estimated Policy Implications in DSGE Models," ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics, number 2014-615, Apr.
• Firmin Doko Tchatoka, 2014, "Specification Tests with Weak and Invalid Instruments," Adelaide Economics Working Papers, Adelaide University, School of Economics, number 2014-05, Jun.
• Firmin Doko Tchatoka, 2014, "On Bootstrap Validity for Specification Tests with Weak Instruments," Adelaide Economics Working Papers, Adelaide University, School of Economics, number 2014-06, Jun.
• Francesco Furlanetto & Nicolas Groshenny, 2014, "Mismatch Shocks and Unemployment During the Great Recession," Adelaide Economics Working Papers, Adelaide University, School of Economics, number 2014-07, Aug.
• Patrick Feve & Ahmat Jidoud, 2014, "News Shocks, Information Flows and SVARs," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 113-114, pages 293-307, DOI: 10.15609/annaeconstat2009.113-114.2.
• Marta Gómez-Puig & Simón Sosvilla-Rivero, 2014, "Causality and Contagion in EMU Sovereign Debt Markets," Working Papers, Asociación Española de Economía y Finanzas Internacionales, number 14-03, Feb.
• Marta Gómez-Puig & Simón Sosvilla-Rivero & María del Carmen Ramos-Herrera, 2014, "An update on EMU sovereign yield spread drivers in times of crisis: A panel data analysis," Working Papers, Asociación Española de Economía y Finanzas Internacionales, number 14-07, Mar.
• Cristina Ganescu & Andreea Gangone & Mihaela Asandei, 2014, "Assessing the Impact of the National Cultural Framework on Responsible Corporate Behaviour towards Consumers: an Application of Geert Hofstede`s Cultural Model," The AMFITEATRU ECONOMIC journal, Academy of Economic Studies - Bucharest, Romania, volume 16, issue 35, pages 351-351, February.
• Ruxandra Diana Sinescu & Andrea Anghel & Razvan Teohari Vulcanescu, 2014, "Hand Surgery – Postoperative Recovery and Medical Tourism," The AMFITEATRU ECONOMIC journal, Academy of Economic Studies - Bucharest, Romania, volume 16, issue Special 8, pages 1125-1125, August.
• Torres, Catalina M. & Colombo, Sergio & Hanley, Nick, None, "Incorrectly accounting for preference heterogeneity in choice experiments: Implications for welfare measurement," Economia Agraria y Recursos Naturales, Spanish Association of Agricultural Economists, volume 14, issue 02, pages 1-25, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.195724.
• Bastianin, Andrea & Galeotti, Marzio & Manera, Matteo, 2014, "Forecasting the Oil-gasoline Price Relationship: Should We Care about the Rockets and the Feathers?," Climate Change and Sustainable Development, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM), number 165791, Mar, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.165791.
• Anastasiadis, Simon & Kerr, Suzi & Zhang, Wei & Allan, Corey & Power, William, 2014, "Land Use in Rural New Zealand: Spatial Land Use, Land-use Change, and Model Validation," Motu Working Papers, Motu Economic and Public Policy Research, number 189413, Aug, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.189413.
• Anastasiadis, Simon & Kerr, Suzi & Zhang, Wei & Allan, Corey & Power, WIlliam, 2014, "Land Use in Rural New Zealand: Spatial Land Use, Land-use Change, and Model Validation," Motu Working Papers, Motu Economic and Public Policy Research, number 290607, Aug, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.290607.