Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

1. Forecasting with DSGE Models
2. Forecasting

2014

• Christian M. Hafner & Michael McAleer, 2014, "A One Line Derivation of DCC: Application of a Vector Random Coefficient Moving Average Process," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 14-087/III, Jul.
• André Lucas & Xin Zhang, 2014, "Score Driven exponentially Weighted Moving Average and Value-at-Risk Forecasting," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 14-092/IV/DSF77, Jul, revised 09 Sep 2015.
• Guillaume Gaetan Martinet & Michael McAleer, 2014, "On the Invertibility of EGARCH," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 14-096/III, Jul.
• Michael McAleer, 2014, "Asymmetry and Leverage in Conditional Volatility Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 14-125/III, Sep.
• Gerda Claeskens & Jan Magnus & Andrey Vasnev & Wendun Wang, 2014, "The Forecast Combination Puzzle: A Simple Theoretical Explanation," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 14-127/III, Sep.
• Maistre, Samuel & Lavergne, Pascal & Patilea, Valentin, 2014, "Powerful nonparametric checks for quantile regression," TSE Working Papers, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), number 14-501, Jun.
• Lavergne, Pascal & Maistre, Samuel & Patilea, Valentin, 2014, "A Significance Test for Covariates in Nonparametric Regression," TSE Working Papers, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), number 14-502, Mar.
• Catalina M. Torres & Sergio Colombo & Nick Hanley, 2014, "Incorrectly accounting for preference heterogeneity in choice experiments: what are the implications for welfare measurement?," DEA Working Papers, Universitat de les Illes Balears, Departament d'Economía Aplicada, number 65.
• Michael McAleer & Christian M. Hafner, 2014, "A One Line Derivation of EGARCH," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2014-15, Jun.
• Francisco Javier Eransus & Alfonso Novales Cinca, 2014, "Parameter Estimation Error in Tests of Predictive Performance under Discrete Loss Functions," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2014-22.
• Francisco Javier Eransus & Alfonso Novales Cinca, 2014, "A statistical test for forecast evaluation under a discrete loss function," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2014-24.
• Guillaume Gaetan Martinet & Michael McAleer, 2014, "On the Invertibility of EGARCH," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2014-28.
• Christian M. Hafner & Michael McAleer, 2014, "A One Line Derivation of DCC: Application of a Vector Random Coefficient Moving Average Process," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2014-29.
• Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2014, "Alternative tests for correct specification of conditional predictive densities," Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, number 1416, Jan, revised Jul 2017.
• Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2014, "Forecast rationality tests in the presence of instabilities, with applications to Federal Reserve and survey forecasts," Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, number 1426, Jun, revised Nov 2014.
• Atsushi Inoue & Lu Jin & Barbara Rossi, 2014, "Rolling window selection for out-of-sample forecasting with time-varying parameters," Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, number 1435, Jun, revised Apr 2016.
• Raffaella Giacomini & Barbara Rossi, 2014, "Model comparisons in unstable environments," Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, number 1437, Aug, revised Jan 2015.
• Raffaella Giacomini & Barbara Rossi, 2014, "Forecasting in nonstationary environments: What works and what doesn't in reduced-form and structural models," Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, number 1476, Dec.
• Buncic, Daniel & Moretto, Carlo, 2014, "Forecasting Copper Prices with Dynamic Averaging and Selection Models," Economics Working Paper Series, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science, number 1430, Sep.
• Buncic, Daniel & Piras, Gion Donat, 2014, "Heterogeneous Agents, the Financial Crisis and Exchange Rate Predictability," Economics Working Paper Series, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science, number 1436, Dec, revised Oct 2015.
• Caporin, Massimiliano & Ranaldo, Angelo & Velo, Gabriel G., 2014, "Precious Metals Under the Microscope: A High-Frequency Analysis," Working Papers on Finance, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance, number 1409, Jan.
• Olivier Bargain & Kristian Orsini & Andreas Peichl, 2014, "Comparing Labor Supply Elasticities in Europe and the United States: New Results," Journal of Human Resources, University of Wisconsin Press, volume 49, issue 3, pages 723-838.
• Roberto Casarin & Daniel Felix Ahelegbey & Monica Billio, 2014, "Sparse Graphical Vector Autoregression: A Bayesian Approach," Working Papers, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari", number 2014:29.
• Marcos Álvarez-Díaz & Manuel González-Gómez & María Soledad Otero-Giráldez & Ana Belén Trigo Iglesias, 2014, "Modelización econométrica de la demanda de turistas británicos a España," Working Papers, Universidade de Vigo, Departamento de Economía Aplicada, number 1404, Nov.
• Michał Brzeziński, 2014, "Empirical modeling of the impact factor distribution," Working Papers, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw, number 2014-01.
• Michał Brzeziński, 2014, "Power laws in citation distributions: Evidence from Scopus," Working Papers, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw, number 2014-05.
• Irina Možajeva, 2014, "Association Between Self-Assessed Health and Attitude Towards Own Health," Economic Research Guardian, Mutascu Publishing, volume 4, issue 2, pages 97-120, December.
• Guilherme Resende & Tulio Cravo & Alexandre Carvalho, 2014, "The Impact of Brazilian Regional Development Funds on Regional Economic Growth: A spatial panel approach," ERSA conference papers, European Regional Science Association, number ersa14p123, Nov.
• Margherita Comola & Marcel Fafchamps, 2014, "Testing Unilateral and Bilateral Link Formation," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, volume 124, issue 579, pages 954-976, September.
• Firmin Doko Tchatoka & Jean‐Marie Dufour, 2014, "Identification‐robust inference for endogeneity parameters in linear structural models," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, volume 17, issue 1, pages 165-187, February.
• Hendrik Kaufmann & Florian Heinen & Philipp Sibbertsen, 2014, "The Dynamics Of Real Exchange Rates: A Reconsideration," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 29, issue 5, pages 758-773, August.
• Miguel A.G. Belmonte & Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2014, "Hierarchical Shrinkage in Time‐Varying Parameter Models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 33, issue 1, pages 80-94, January.
• Klaus Wohlrabe & Teresa Buchen, 2014, "Assessing the Macroeconomic Forecasting Performance of Boosting: Evidence for the United States, the Euro Area and Germany," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 33, issue 4, pages 231-242, July.
• Bryan S. Graham & Guido W. Imbens & Geert Ridder, 2014, "Complementarity and aggregate implications of assortative matching: A nonparametric analysis," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, volume 5, issue , pages 29-66, March.
• Azam, Kazim, 2014, "Effects of Marginal Speci cations on Copula Estimation," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics, number 1053.
• Sasa Zikovic & Rafal Weron & Ivana Tomas Zikovic, 2014, "Evaluating the performance of VaR models in energy markets," HSC Research Reports, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, number HSC/14/12, Oct.
• Jin Seo Cho & Halbert White, 2014, "Testing the Equality of Two Positive-Definite Matrices with Application to Information Matrix Testing," Working papers, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute, number 2014rwp-67, Jul.
• Vilsmeier, Johannes, 2014, "Updating the option implied probability of default methodology," Discussion Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 43/2014.
• Sacht, Stephen, 2014, "Identification of prior information via moment-matching," Economics Working Papers, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics, number 2014-04.
• Warne, Anders & Coenen, Günter & Christoffel, Kai, 2014, "Marginalized predictive likelihood comparisons of linear Gaussian state-space models with applications to DSGE, DSGEVAR, and VAR models," CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies (CFS), number 478.
• Guerron-Quintana, Pablo & Inoue, Atsushi & Kilian, Lutz, 2014, "Impulse response matching estimators for DSGE models," CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies (CFS), number 498.
• Kholodilin, Konstantin A. & Thomas, Tobias & Ulbricht, Dirk, 2014, "Do media data help to predict German industrial production?," DICE Discussion Papers, Heinrich Heine University Düsseldorf, Düsseldorf Institute for Competition Economics (DICE), number 149.
• Recchioni, Maria Cristina & Tedeschi, Gabriele & Berardi, Simone, 2014, "Bank's strategies during the financial crisis," FinMaP-Working Papers, Collaborative EU Project FinMaP - Financial Distortions and Macroeconomic Performance: Expectations, Constraints and Interaction of Agents, number 25.
• Krasnosselski, Nikolai & Cremers, Heinz & Sanddorf, Walter, 2014, "Messung des Marktrisikos mit generalisierter autoregressiver bedingter heteroskedastischer Modellierung der Volatilität: Ein Vergleich univariater und multivariater Konzepte," Frankfurt School - Working Paper Series, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management, number 208.
• Offermanns, Christian J., 2014, "On the degree of homogeneity in dynamic heterogeneous panel data models," Discussion Papers, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics, number 2014/25.
• Golosnoy, Vasyl & Rossen, Anja, 2014, "Modeling dynamics of metal price series via state space approach with two common factors," HWWI Research Papers, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWI), number 156.
• Juselius, Katarina, 2014, "Testing for near I(2) trends when the signal to noise ratio is small," Economics Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 2014-8.
• Juselius, Katarina, 2014, "Testing for near I(2) trends when the signal-to-noise ratio is small," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy, volume 8, pages 1-30, DOI: 10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2014-.
• Mora, Jhon James & Muro, Juan, 2014, "Consistent estimation in pseudo panels in the presence of selection bias," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy, volume 8, pages 1-25, DOI: 10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2014-.
• Aßmann, Christian & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Pape, Markus, 2014, "Bayesian analysis of dynamic factor models: An ex-post approach towards the rotation problem," Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 1902.
• Drechsel, Katja & Giesen, Sebastian & Lindner, Axel, 2014, "Outperforming IMF Forecasts by the Use of Leading Indicators," IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), number 4/2014.
• Zheng, Shuzhuan & Liu, Rong & Yang, Lijian & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, 2014, "Simultaneous confidence corridors and variable selection for generalized additive models," SFB 649 Discussion Papers, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk, number 2014-008.
• Zhu, Yanyuan & Feng, Xiao, 2014, "China's national production function since 1997: A reinvestigation," Working Papers in Economics, Bundeswehr University Munich, Economic Research Group, number 2014,2.
• Wagner, Martin & Wied, Dominik, 2014, "Monitoring Stationarity and Cointegration," VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 100386.
• Drechsel, Katja & Giesen, Sebastian & Lindner, Axel, 2014, "Outperforming IMF Forecasts by the Use of Leading Indicators," VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 100393.
• Rafael Weißbach, Rafael & Voß, Sebastian, 2014, "A score-test on measurement errors in rating transition times," VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 100532.
• Teresa, Buchen & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2014, "Assessing the Macroeconomic Forecasting Performance of Boosting: Evidence for the United States, the Euro Area, and Germany," VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 100626.
• Löffler, Max & Peichl, Andreas & Siegloch, Sebastian, 2014, "Structural labor supply models and wage exogeneity," ZEW Discussion Papers, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research, number 14-040.
• Koesler, Simon, 2014, "Specifying parameters in computable general equilibrium models using optimal fingerprint detection methods," ZEW Discussion Papers, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research, number 14-092.
• Paul Catani & Timo Teräsvirta & Meiqun Yin, 2014, "A Lagrange Multiplier Test for Testing the Adequacy of the Constant Conditional Correlation GARCH Model," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2014-03, Jan.
• Timo Teräsvirta & Yukai Yang, 2014, "Linearity and Misspecification Tests for Vector Smooth Transition Regression Models," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2014-04, Feb.
• Timo Teräsvirta & Yukai Yang, 2014, "Specification, Estimation and Evaluation of Vector Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models with Applications," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2014-08, Mar.
• Yukai Yang, 2014, "Testing Constancy of the Error Covariance Matrix in Vector Models against Parametric Alternatives using a Spectral Decomposition," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2014-11, Apr.
• Søren Johansen & Bent Nielsen, 2014, "Outlier detection algorithms for least squares time series regression," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2014-39, Sep.
• Paolo Santucci de Magistris & Federico Carlini, 2014, "On the identification of fractionally cointegrated VAR models with the F(d) condition," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2014-43, Nov.
• Alessandro Giovannelli & Tommaso Proietti, 2014, "On the Selection of Common Factors for Macroeconomic Forecasting," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2014-46, Nov.
• Torben G. Andersen & Nicola Fusari & Viktor Todorov, 2014, "The Risk Premia Embedded in Index Options," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2014-56, Dec.
• Simplice A. Asongu & Christian L. Nguena, 2014, "Equitable and Sustainable Development of Foreign Land Acquisitions: Lessons, Policies and Implications," Research Africa Network Working Papers, Research Africa Network (RAN), number 14/038, Dec.
• Igor Kheifets, 2014, "Specification Tests for Nonlinear Dynamic Models," Working Papers, New Economic School (NES), number w0209, Oct.
• Varang Wiriyawit, 2014, "Trend Mis-specifications and Estimated Policy Implications in DSGE Models," ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics, number 2014-615, Apr.
• Firmin Doko Tchatoka, 2014, "Specification Tests with Weak and Invalid Instruments," School of Economics and Public Policy Working Papers, University of Adelaide, School of Economics and Public Policy, number 2014-05, Jun.
• Firmin Doko Tchatoka, 2014, "On Bootstrap Validity for Specification Tests with Weak Instruments," School of Economics and Public Policy Working Papers, University of Adelaide, School of Economics and Public Policy, number 2014-06, Jun.
• Francesco Furlanetto & Nicolas Groshenny, 2014, "Mismatch Shocks and Unemployment During the Great Recession," School of Economics and Public Policy Working Papers, University of Adelaide, School of Economics and Public Policy, number 2014-07, Aug.
• Patrick Feve & Ahmat Jidoud, 2014, "News Shocks, Information Flows and SVARs," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 113-114, pages 293-307, DOI: 10.15609/annaeconstat2009.113-114.2.
• Marta Gómez-Puig & Simón Sosvilla-Rivero, 2014, "Causality and Contagion in EMU Sovereign Debt Markets," Working Papers, Asociación Española de Economía y Finanzas Internacionales, number 14-03, Feb.
• Marta Gómez-Puig & Simón Sosvilla-Rivero & María del Carmen Ramos-Herrera, 2014, "An update on EMU sovereign yield spread drivers in times of crisis: A panel data analysis," Working Papers, Asociación Española de Economía y Finanzas Internacionales, number 14-07, Mar.
• Cristina Ganescu & Andreea Gangone & Mihaela Asandei, 2014, "Assessing the Impact of the National Cultural Framework on Responsible Corporate Behaviour towards Consumers: an Application of Geert Hofstede`s Cultural Model," The AMFITEATRU ECONOMIC journal, Academy of Economic Studies - Bucharest, Romania, volume 16, issue 35, pages 351-351, February.
• Ruxandra Diana Sinescu & Andrea Anghel & Razvan Teohari Vulcanescu, 2014, "Hand Surgery – Postoperative Recovery and Medical Tourism," The AMFITEATRU ECONOMIC journal, Academy of Economic Studies - Bucharest, Romania, volume 16, issue Special 8, pages 1125-1125, August.
• Torres, Catalina M. & Colombo, Sergio & Hanley, Nick, None, "Incorrectly accounting for preference heterogeneity in choice experiments: Implications for welfare measurement," Economia Agraria y Recursos Naturales, Spanish Association of Agricultural Economists, volume 14, issue 02, pages 1-25, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.195724.
• Bastianin, Andrea & Galeotti, Marzio & Manera, Matteo, 2014, "Forecasting the Oil-gasoline Price Relationship: Should We Care about the Rockets and the Feathers?," Climate Change and Sustainable Development, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM), number 165791, Mar, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.165791.
• Anastasiadis, Simon & Kerr, Suzi & Zhang, Wei & Allan, Corey & Power, William, 2014, "Land Use in Rural New Zealand: Spatial Land Use, Land-use Change, and Model Validation," Motu Working Papers, Motu Economic and Public Policy Research, number 189413, Aug, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.189413.
• Anastasiadis, Simon & Kerr, Suzi & Zhang, Wei & Allan, Corey & Power, WIlliam, 2014, "Land Use in Rural New Zealand: Spatial Land Use, Land-use Change, and Model Validation," Motu Working Papers, Motu Economic and Public Policy Research, number 290607, Aug, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.290607.
• Anastasiadis, Simon & Kerr, Suzi & Zhang, Wei & Allan, Corey & Power, William, 2014, "Land Use in Rural New Zealand: Spatial Land-use, Land-use Change, and Model Validation," 2013 Conference, August 28-30, 2013, Christchurch, New Zealand, New Zealand Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, number 189507, Aug, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.189507.
• Olivier Bargain & Karina Doorley, 2014, "Putting Structure on the RD Design: Social Transfers and Youth Inactivity in France," AMSE Working Papers, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France, number 1406, Feb, revised 23 Feb 2014.
• McAleer, Michael & Hafner, Christian, 2014, "A One Line Derivation of EGARCH," LIDAM Reprints ISBA, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA), number 2014030, Jan.
• Hasan Güngör & Salih Turan Katircioglu & Mehmet Mercan, 2014, "Revisiting the nexus between financial development, FDI, and growth: New evidence from second generation econometric procedures in the Turkish context," Acta Oeconomica, Akadémiai Kiadó, Hungary, volume 64, issue 1, pages 73-89, March.
• Miklós Virág & Tamás Nyitrai, 2014, "Is there a trade-off between the predictive power and the interpretability of bankruptcy models? The case of the first Hungarian bankruptcy prediction model," Acta Oeconomica, Akadémiai Kiadó, Hungary, volume 64, issue 4, pages 419-440, December.
• Ivona Stoica & Anamaria-Cătălina Radu & Andra Dobrescu & OlguÅ£a Anca Orzan, 2014, "Modeling User Satisfaction Of Medical Educational Services," Annales Universitatis Apulensis Series Oeconomica, Faculty of Sciences, "1 Decembrie 1918" University, Alba Iulia, volume 1, issue 16, pages 1-22.
• Narek Ghazaryan, 2014, "Short Term Forecasting System of Private Demand Components in Armenia," Working Papers, Central Bank of Armenia, number 3, Apr, revised Dec 2015.
• Hayk Karapetyan, 2019, "Estimating Potential Output at the Central Bank of Armenia," Working Papers, Central Bank of Armenia, number 12, Oct.
• Maximiliano Mozetic, 2014, "Aproximación a las causas de la desigualdad económica," Ensayos de Política Económica, Departamento de Investigación Francisco Valsecchi, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Pontificia Universidad Católica Argentina., volume 2, issue 2, pages 116-143, Octubre.
• Marta Gómez-Puig & Simón Sosvilla-Rivero, 2014, "Causality and contagion in EMU sovereign debt markets," Working Papers, Universitat de Barcelona, UB Riskcenter, number 2014-03, Feb.
• Marta Gómez-Puig & Simón Sosvilla-Rivero & María del Carmen Ramos-Herrera, 2014, "An update on EMU sovereign yield spread drivers in time of crisis: A panel data analysis," Working Papers, Universitat de Barcelona, UB Riskcenter, number 2014-04, Mar.
• Prakash L. Dheeriya & Fahimeh Rezayat & Burhan F. Yavas, 2014, "Relations between Volatility and Returns of Exchange Traded Funds of Emerging Markets and of USA," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, volume 4, pages 44-46, Feburary.
• Javier Eliecer Pirateque Niño, 2014, "Uso de la Metodología Wavelets para la validación de la regla de la raíz del tiempo y su aplicación al riesgo de mercado," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 809, Feb, DOI: 10.32468/be.809.
• Ignacio Lozano & Alexander Guarín, 2014, "Fragilidad Bancaria en Colombia: Un Análisis Basado en las Hojas de Balance," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 813, Jun, DOI: 10.32468/be.813.
• Ignacio Lozano & Alexander Guarín, 2014, "Banking Fragility in Colombia: An Empirical Analysis Based on Balance Sheets," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 813i, Mar, DOI: 10.32468/be.813-I.
• Santiago Cajiao Raigosa & Luis Fernando Melo Velandia & Daniel Parra Amado, 2014, "Pronósticos para una economía menos volátil: El caso colombiano," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 821, May, DOI: 10.32468/be.821.
• Andrés Eduardo Jiménez Gómez & Luis Fernando Melo Velandia, 2014, "Modelación de la asimetría y curtosis condicionales: una aplicación VaR para series colombianas," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 834, Jul, DOI: 10.32468/be.834.
• Ignacio Lozano & Alexander Guarin, 2014, "Banking fragility in Colombia: An empirical analysis based on balance sheets," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, volume 32, issue 75, pages 48-63, December, DOI: 10.1016/j.espe.2014.10.001.
• Matteo Mogliani & V ronique Brunhes-Lesage & Olivier Darn & Bertrand Pluyaud, 2014, "New estimate of the MIBA forecasting model. Modeling first-release GDP using the Banque de France's Monthly Business Survey and the blocking approach," Working papers, Banque de France, number 473.
• Fulvio Pegoraro & Siegel, A. F. & Luca Tiozzo Pezzoli, 2014, "International Yield Curves and Principal Components Selection Techniques: An Empirical Assessment," Working papers, Banque de France, number 489.
• Fulvio Pegoraro & Siegel, A. F. & Luca Tiozzo Pezzoli, 2014, "Specification Analysis of International Treasury Yield Curve Factors," Working papers, Banque de France, number 490.
• Barbara Rossi, 2015, "Forecast Rationality Tests in the Presence of Instabilities, With Applications to Federal Reserve and Survey Forecasts," Working Papers, Barcelona School of Economics, number 765, Sep.
• Lu Jin & Atsushi Inoue & Barbara Rossi, 2015, "Rolling Window Selection for Out-of-Sample Forecasting with Time-Varying Parameters," Working Papers, Barcelona School of Economics, number 768, Sep.
• Raffaella Giacomini & Barbara Rossi, 2015, "Model Comparisons in Unstable Environments," Working Papers, Barcelona School of Economics, number 784, Sep.
• Raffaella Giacomini & Barbara Rossi, 2015, "Forecasting in Nonstationary Environments: What Works and What Doesn't in Reduced-Form and Structural Models," Working Papers, Barcelona School of Economics, number 819, Sep.
• Beißner, Patrick, 2014, "Coherent price systems and uncertainty-neutral valuation," Center for Mathematical Economics Working Papers, Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University, number 464, Apr.
• Jose Olmo & William Pouliot, 2014, "Tests to Disentangle Breaks in Intercept from Slope in Linear Regression Models with Application to Management Performance in the Mutual Fund Industry," Discussion Papers, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham, number 14-02, Mar.
• Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee, 2014, "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Concise Review Of Some Recent Developments," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, volume 28, issue 2, pages 195-208, April.
• Markku Lanne & Jani Luoto, 2014, "Does Output Gap, Labour's Share or Unemployment Rate Drive Inflation?," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, volume 76, issue 5, pages 715-726, October.
• Jan R. Magnus & Wendun Wang, 2014, "Concept-Based Bayesian Model Averaging and Growth Empirics," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, volume 76, issue 6, pages 874-897, December.
• Antonio Murillo Reyes, 2014, "Estimación de una curva de Phillips Neokeynesiana para Bolivia," Serie de Documentos de Trabajo, Banco Central de Bolivia, number 2014/05, Dec.
• Knut Are Aastveit & Anne Sofie Jore & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2014, "Forecasting recessions in real time," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2014/02, Feb.
• Konstantinos Theodoridis & Francesco Zanetti, 2014, "News and labour market dynamics in the data and in matching models," Bank of England working papers, Bank of England, number 488, Mar.
• F. Bacchini & M. E. Bontempi & R. Golinelli & C. Jona Lasinio, 2014, "ICT and Non-ICT investments: short and long run macro dynamics," Working Papers, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna, number wp956, Jul.
• Kleiber, Christian & Zeileis, Achim, 2014, "Visualizing Count Data Regressions Using Rootograms," Working papers, Faculty of Business and Economics - University of Basel, number 2014/13.
• Karim L. Anaya & Michael G. Pollitt, 2014, "Does Weather Have an Impact on Electricity Distribution Efficiency? Evidence from South America," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 1424, Aug.
• Velibor Milošević, 2014, "Use and Limitations of the Reserve Requirement Policy in Montenegro," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, volume 3, issue 2, pages 5-20.
• Snežana Radukić & Milica Radović, 2014, "Long Term Trend Analysis in the Capital Market – The Case of Serbia," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, volume 3, issue 3, pages 5-18.
• Michael McAleer & Christian M. Hafner, 2014, "A One Line Derivation of EGARCH," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 14/16, Jun.
• Christian M. Hafner & Michael McAleer, 2014, "A One Line Derivation of DCC: Application of a Vector Random Coefficient Moving Average Process," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 14/19, Jul.
• Guillaume Gaetan Martinet & Michael McAleer, 2014, "On the Invertibility of EGARCH," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 14/21, Jul.
• Michael McAleer, 2014, "Asymmetry and Leverage in Conditional Volatility Models," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 14/24, Sep.
• Clifford Lam & Pedro Souza, 2014, "Regularization for Spatial Panel Time Series Using the Adaptive LASSO," STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE, number 578, Nov.
• Tim Oliver Berg & Steffen Henzel, 2014, "Point and Density Forecasts for the Euro Area Using Bayesian VARs," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 4711.
• Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2014, "The Great Mortgaging: Housing Finance, Crises, and Business Cycles," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 4993.
• Robert Lehmann & Michael Weber, 2014, "Der Blick in die Glaskugel wird schärfer: EineEvaluation der Treffsicherheit der ifo DresdenKonjunkturprognosen," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, volume 21, issue 03, pages 45-46, June.
• Steffen Henzel & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2014, "Evaluation der ifo Konjunkturprognosen," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, volume 67, issue 17, pages 43-45, September.
• Jorge Miguel Lopo Gonçalves Andraz, 2014, "On the Long-Term Macroeconomic Effects of Social Security Spending: Evidence for 12 EU Countries," CEFAGE-UE Working Papers, University of Evora, CEFAGE-UE (Portugal), number 2014_08.
• Igor Kheifets, 2014, "Specification Tests for Nonlinear Dynamic Models," Working Papers, Center for Economic and Financial Research (CEFIR), number w0209, Oct.
• Firmin Doko Tchatoka & Jean-Marie Dufour, 2014, "Identification-robust inference for endogeneity parameters in linear structural models," CIRANO Working Papers, CIRANO, number 2014s-17, Feb.
• Bruce A. Blonigen & Jeremy Piger, 2014, "Determinants of foreign direct investment," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, volume 47, issue 3, pages 775-812, August, DOI: 10.1111/caje.12091.
• Gabriele Fiorentini & Enrique Sentana, 2014, "Neglected Serial Correlation Tests in UCARIMA Models," Working Papers, CEMFI, number wp2014_1406, Oct.
• Alexandra PERJU-MITRAN & Andreea E. BUDACIA, 2014, "Video Games Contribution To Students’ Entrepreneurial Traits And Intent," CrossCultural Management Journal, Fundația Română pentru Inteligența Afacerii, Editorial Department, issue 2, pages 339-346, November.
• Consuela NECȘULESCU & Luminița ȘERBĂNESCU, 2014, "The Impact Of The Main Macroeconomic Indicators On The Final Consumption Of The Population," SEA - Practical Application of Science, Romanian Foundation for Business Intelligence, Editorial Department, issue 3, pages 388-396, April.
• Ricardo Crisóstomo, 2014, "An analisys of the Heston Stochastic Volatility Model: Implementation and Calibration using Matlab," CNMV Working Papers, CNMV- Spanish Securities Markets Commission - Research and Statistics Department, number CNMV Working Papers no 58.
• Javier Eliecer Pirateque Ni�o, 2014, "Uso de la Metodolog�a Wavelets para la Validaci�n de la Regla de la Ra�z del Tiempo y su Aplicaci�n al Riesgo de Mercado," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 11137, Feb.
• Ignacio Lozano & Alexander Guar�n, 2014, "Banking Fragility in Colombia: An Empirical Analysis Based on Balance Sheets," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 11145, Mar.
• Santiago Cajiao Raigosa & Luis Fernando Melo Velandia & Daniel Parra Amado, 2014, "Pron�sticos para una econom�a menos vol�til: El caso colombiano," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 11252, May.
• Ignacio Lozano & Alexander Guar�n, 2014, "Banking fragility in Colombia: An empirical analysis based on balance sheets," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, volume 32, issue 75, pages 48-63, DOI: 10.1016/j.espe.2014.10.001.
• Jhon Alexander Méndez Sayago, 2014, "Plusvalía, salario real y eficiencia del trabajo en el sector manufacturero en Colombia," Apuntes del Cenes, Universidad Pedagógica y Tecnológica de Colombia.
• Juan Carlos Rodríguez Marín & Jhon Alexis D�az Contreras, 2014, "Evaluación de impacto del sistema de transporte Metrolínea: revisión de metodologías," Revista Equidad y Desarrollo, Universidad de la Salle, DOI: 10.19052/ed.3253.
• YANG, Yukai, 2014, "Testing constancy of the error covariance matrix in vector models against parametric alternatives using a spectral decomposition," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE), number 2014017, Jun.
• Braione, Manuela & Scholtes, Nicolas K., 2014, "Construction of value-at-risk forecasts under different distributional assumptions within a BEKK framework," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE), number 2014059, Nov.
• Terasvirta, Timo & Yang, Yukai, 2014, "Linearity and misspecification tests for vector smooth transition regression models," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE), number 2014061, Nov.
• Terasvirta, Timo & Yang, Yukai, 2014, "Specification, estimation and evaluation of vector smooth transition autoregressive models with applications," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE), number 2014062, Nov.
• Joris de Wind & Luca Gambetti, 2014, "Reduced-rank time-varying vector autoregressions," CPB Discussion Paper, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis, number 270, Mar.
• Joris de Wind, 2014, "Time variation in the dynamic effects of unanticipated changes in tax policy," CPB Discussion Paper, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis, number 271, Mar.
• Henk-Wim de Boer & Egbert Jongen & Jan Kabatek, 2014, "The effectiveness of fiscal stimuli for working parents," CPB Discussion Paper, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis, number 286, Oct.
• Nikolay, Iskrev, 2014, "Choosing the variables to estimate singular DSGE models: Comment," Dynare Working Papers, CEPREMAP, number 41, Oct.
• Taylor, Alan M. & Schularick, Moritz & Jordà , Ã’scar, 2014, "The Great Mortgaging: Housing Finance, Crises, and Business Cycles," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 10161, Sep.
• Rossi, Barbara & Inoue, Atsushi & Jin, Lu, 2014, "Window Selection for Out-of-Sample Forecasting with Time-Varying Parameters," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 10168, Sep.
• Giacomini, Raffaella, 2014, "Economic theory and forecasting: lessons from the literature," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 10201, Oct.
• Dolado, Juan J & Mora, Ricardo, 2014, "Dual Labour Markets and (Lack of) On-The-Job Training: PIAAC Evidence from Spain and Other EU Countries," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 10246, Nov.
• Kilian, Lutz & Inoue, Atsushi & Guerron-Quintana, Pablo A., 2014, "Impulse Response Matching Estimators for DSGE Models," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 10298, Dec.
• Kilian, Lutz & Inoue, Atsushi, 2014, "Joint Confidence Sets for Structural Impulse Responses," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 9892, Mar.
• Willi Mutschler, 2014, "Identification of DSGE Models - the Effect of Higher-Order Approximation and Pruning," CQE Working Papers, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster, number 3314, Oct.
• Marta Małecka, 2014, "Duration-Based Approach to VaR Independence Backtesting," Statistics in Transition new series, Główny Urząd Statystyczny (Polska), volume 15, issue 4, pages 627-636, September.
• Armstrong, Angus & Davis, E. Philip, 2014, "Comparing Housing Booms and Mortgage Supply in the Major OECD Countries," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, volume 230, issue , pages 3-15, November.
• Igor Kheifets, 2014, "Specification Tests for Nonlinear Dynamic Models," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, number 1937, Mar, revised Oct 2014.
• Alfredo Marvão Pereira & Jorge M. Andraz, 2014, "On The Long-Term Macroeconomic Effects Of Social Security Spending:Evidence For 12 Eu Countries," Working Papers, Economics Department, William & Mary, number 150, Apr.
• Johannes Geyer & Peter Haan & Katharina Wrohlich, 2014, "The Effects of Family Policy on Mothers' Labor Supply: Combining Evidence from a Structural Model and a Natural Experiment," SOEPpapers on Multidisciplinary Panel Data Research, DIW Berlin, The German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP), number 645.
• Max Löffler & Andreas Peichl & Sebastian Siegloch, 2014, "Structural Labor Supply Models and Wage Exogeneity," SOEPpapers on Multidisciplinary Panel Data Research, DIW Berlin, The German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP), number 675.
• Johannes Geyer & Peter Haan & Katharina Wrohlich, 2014, "The Effects of Family Policy on Mothers' Labor Supply: Combining Evidence from a Structural Model and a Natural Experiment," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, number 1366.
• Christian Dreger & Jürgen Wolters, 2014, "Unconventional Monetary Policy and Money Demand," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, number 1382.
• Konstantin A. Kholodilin & Tobias Thomas & Dirk Ulbricht, 2014, "Do Media Data Help to Predict German Industrial Production?," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, number 1393.
• Johannes Mayr & Dirk Ulbricht, 2014, "Log versus Level in VAR Forecasting: 42 Million Empirical Answers - Expect the Unexpected," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, number 1412.
• Ha-Thu Nguyen, 2014, "Default Predictors in Credit Scoring - Evidence from France’s Retail Banking Institution," EconomiX Working Papers, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX, number 2014-26.
• Krylova, Elizaveta & Darracq Pariès, Matthieu & Moccero, Diego & Marchini, Claudia, 2014, "The retail bank interest rate pass-through: The case of the euro area during the financial and sovereign debt crisis," Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 155, Sep.
• Marek Jarociński & Bartosz Maćkowiak, 2014, "Choosing variables in macroeconomic modelling," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, volume 20, pages 5-8.
• de Bondt, Gabe & Dieden, Heinz Christian & Muzikarova, Sona & Vincze, Istvan, 2014, "Modelling industrial new orders for the euro area," Statistics Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 6, Dec.
• Baumann, Ursel & Albuquerque, Bruno & Krustev, Georgi, 2014, "Has US household deleveraging ended? a model-based estimate of equilibrium debt," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1643, Mar.
• Hoerova, Marie & Bekaert, Geert, 2014, "The VIX, the variance premium and stock market volatility," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1675, May.
• Bakshi, Gurdip & Chabi-Yo, Fousseni, 2014, "New Entropy Restrictions and the Quest for Better Specified Asset Pricing Models," Working Paper Series, Ohio State University, Charles A. Dice Center for Research in Financial Economics, number 2014-07, May.
• Merlo, Antonio & Palfrey, Thomas R., 2014, "External Validation of Voter Turnout Models by Concealed Parameter Recovery," Working Papers, Rice University, Department of Economics, number 14-015, Aug.
• Schorfheide, Frank & Wolpin, Kenneth I., 2014, "To Hold Out or Not to Hold Out," Working Papers, Rice University, Department of Economics, number 14-018, Jul.
• Nadhem Selmi & Nejib Hachicha, 2014, "Were Oil Price Markets the Source of Credit Crisis in European Countries? Evidence Using a VAR-MGARCH-DCC Model," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, volume 4, issue 2, pages 169-177.
• Korobilis, Dimitris, 2014, "Data-based priors for vector autoregressions with drifting coefficients," SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE), number 2014-022, Jan.