Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

1. Forecasting with DSGE Models
2. Forecasting

2009

• Luiz Cerqueira & Adrian Pizzinga & Cristiano Fernandes, 2009, "Methodological Procedure for Estimating Brazilian Quarterly GDP Series," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, volume 15, issue 1, pages 102-114, February, DOI: 10.1007/s11294-008-9187-2.
• E.-H. Yoo & P. Kyriakidis, 2009, "Area-to-point Kriging in spatial hedonic pricing models," Journal of Geographical Systems, Springer, volume 11, issue 4, pages 381-406, December, DOI: 10.1007/s10109-009-0090-z.
• Yanyan Liu & Robert Myers, 2009, "Model selection in stochastic frontier analysis with an application to maize production in Kenya," Journal of Productivity Analysis, Springer, volume 31, issue 1, pages 33-46, February, DOI: 10.1007/s11123-008-0111-9.
• Hang Ryu, 2009, "Economic assumptions and choice of functional forms: comparison of top down and bottom up approaches," Journal of Productivity Analysis, Springer, volume 32, issue 1, pages 55-62, August, DOI: 10.1007/s11123-009-0130-1.
• Pierre Siklos & Martin Bohl, 2009, "Asset Prices as Indicators of Euro Area Monetary Policy: An Empirical Assessment of Their Role in a Taylor Rule," Open Economies Review, Springer, volume 20, issue 1, pages 39-59, February, DOI: 10.1007/s11079-007-9063-3.
• Aris Spanos, 2009, "Statistical Misspecification and the Reliability of Inference: The Simple T-Test in the Presence of Markov Dependence," Korean Economic Review, Korean Economic Association, volume 25, pages 165-213.
• Sang Hoon Kang & Seong-Min Yoon, 2009, "Value-at-Risk Analysis for Asian Emerging Markets: Asymmetry and Fat Tails in Returns Innovation," Korean Economic Review, Korean Economic Association, volume 25, pages 387-411.
• Gianfranco Di Vaio & Kerstin Enflo, 2009, "Did Globalization Lead to Segmentation? Identifying Cross-Country Growth Regimes in the Long-Run," Discussion Papers, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics, number 09-08, Apr.
• E Pavlidis & I Paya & D Peel, 2009, "Specifying Smooth Transition Regression Models in the Presence of Conditional Heteroskedasticity of Unknown Form," Working Papers, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department, number 599040.
• Muliaman D. Hadad & Maximilian J. B. Hall & Wimboh Santoso & Karligash Kenjegalieva & Richard Simper, 2009, "Productivity Changes in Indonesian Banking: Application of a New Approach to Estimating Malmquist Indices," Discussion Paper Series, Department of Economics, Loughborough University, number 2009_13, Sep, revised Sep 2009.
• Muliaman D. Hadad & Maximilian J. B. Hall & Wimboh Santoso & Karligash Kenjegalieva & Richard Simper, 2009, "A New Approach to Dealing With Negative Numbers in Efficiency Analysis: An Application to the Indonesian Banking Sector," Discussion Paper Series, Department of Economics, Loughborough University, number 2009_20, Dec, revised Dec 2009.
• Gilbert COLLETAZ & Christophe HURLIN & Sessi TOKPAVI, 2009, "Backtesting Value-at-Risk: A GMM Duration-Based Test," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans, number 265.
• Gianfranco Di Vaio & Kerstin Enflo, 2009, "Did Globalization Lead to Segmentation? Identifying Cross-Country Growth Regimes in the Long-Run," Working Papers CELEG, Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza, LUISS Guido Carli, number 0902.
• Olfa Maalaoui & Georges Dionne & Pascal François, 2009, "Credit Spread Changes within Switching Regimes," Cahiers de recherche, CIRPEE, number 0905.
• Sébastien Laurent & Jeroen V.K. Rombouts & Francesco Violante, 2009, "On Loss Functions and Ranking Forecasting Performances of Multivariate Volatility Models," Cahiers de recherche, CIRPEE, number 0948.
• Stefan Hlawatsch, 2009, "A Framework for LGD Validation of Retail Portfolios," FEMM Working Papers, Otto-von-Guericke University Magdeburg, Faculty of Economics and Management, number 09025, Aug.
• Alastair R. Hall & Atsushi Inoue & James M Nason & Barbara Rossi, 2009, "Information Criteria for Impulse Response Function Matching Estimation of DSGE Models," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series, Economics, The University of Manchester, number 127.
• Paul Alagidede & Theodore Panagiotidis, 2009, "Modelling stock returns in Africa’s emerging equity markets," Discussion Paper Series, Department of Economics, University of Macedonia, number 2009_01, Jan, revised Jan 2009.
• Magali Aubert & Véronique Meuriot, None, "Choices of wine consumption: measure of interaction terms and attributes," Enometrica, Enometrica - Review of the Vineyard Data Quantification Society (VDQS) and the European Association of Wine Economists (EuAWE) - Macerata University, Faculty of Communications.
• Frieda Rikkers & Andre E. Thibeault, 2009, "A Structural form Default Prediction Model for SMEs, Evidence from the Dutch Market," Multinational Finance Journal, Multinational Finance Journal, volume 13, issue 3-4, pages 229-264, September.
• Monica Billio & Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan & Gian Luigi Mazzi, 2009, "Evaluation of Nonlinear time-series models for real-time business cycle analysis of the Euro," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, number 09053, Aug.
• D.S. Poskitt, 2009, "Vector Autoregresive Moving Average Identification for Macroeconomic Modeling: Algorithms and Theory," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, number 12/09, Nov.
• Nicolas Groshenny, 2009, "Evaluating a monetary business cycle model with unemployment for the euro area," Working Paper Research, National Bank of Belgium, number 173, Jul.
• Jesse Rothstein, 2009, "Student sorting and bias in value added estimation: Selection on observables and unobservables," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 14666, Jan.
• John F. Cogan & Tobias Cwik & John B. Taylor & Volker Wieland, 2009, "New Keynesian versus Old Keynesian Government Spending Multipliers," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 14782, Mar.
• John B. Taylor & Volker Wieland, 2009, "Surprising Comparative Properties of Monetary Models: Results from a New Data Base," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 14849, Apr.
• Bryan S. Graham & Guido W. Imbens & Geert Ridder, 2009, "Complementarity and Aggregate Implications of Assortative Matching: A Nonparametric Analysis," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 14860, Apr.
• Raymond Kan & Cesare Robotti & Jay Shanken, 2009, "Pricing Model Performance and the Two-Pass Cross-Sectional Regression Methodology," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 15047, Jun.
• Jaroslav Borovička & Lars Peter Hansen & Mark Hendricks & José A. Scheinkman, 2009, "Risk Price Dynamics," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 15506, Nov.
• Daniel L. Millimet & Rusty Tchernis, 2009, "Estimation of Treatment Effects Without an Exclusion Restriction: with an Application to the Analysis of the School Breakfast Program," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 15539, Nov.
• Nicolas Groshenny, 2009, "Evaluating a monetary business cycle model with unemployment for the euro area," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, number DP2009/08, Sep.
• Martin Fukac, 2009, "Impulse Response Identification in DSGE Models," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, number DP2009/14, Dec.
• Andreas Breitenfellner & Jesús Crespo Cuaresma & Catherine Keppel, 2009, "Determinants of Crude Oil Prices: Supply, Demand, Cartel or Speculation?," Monetary Policy & the Economy, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 4, pages 111-136.
• Joseph V. Balagtas & Matthew T. Holt, 2009, "The Commodity Terms of Trade, Unit Roots, and Nonlinear Alternatives: A Smooth Transition Approach," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, volume 91, issue 1, pages 87-105.
• Richard K. Crump & V. Joseph Hotz & Guido W. Imbens & Oscar A. Mitnik, 2009, "Dealing with limited overlap in estimation of average treatment effects," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, volume 96, issue 1, pages 187-199.
• Annastiina Silvennoinen & Timo Teräsvirta, 2009, "Modeling Multivariate Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity with the Double Smooth Transition Conditional Correlation GARCH Model," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, volume 7, issue 4, pages 373-411, Fall.
• Costas Milas, 2009, "Does high M4 money growth trigger large increases in UK inflation? Evidence from a regime-switching model," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, volume 61, issue 1, pages 168-182, January.
• Raffaella Giacomini & Barbara Rossi, 2009, "Detecting and Predicting Forecast Breakdowns," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, volume 76, issue 2, pages 669-705.
• Tim Bollerslev & George Tauchen & Hao Zhou, 2009, "Expected Stock Returns and Variance Risk Premia," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, volume 22, issue 11, pages 4463-4492, November.
• Kyungchul Song, 2009, "Efficient Estimation of Average Treatment Effects under Treatment-Based Sampling," PIER Working Paper Archive, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, number 09-011, Mar.
• Kyungchul Song, 2009, "Testing Predictive Ability and Power Robustification," PIER Working Paper Archive, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, number 09-035, Oct.
• Kyungchul Song, 2009, "Efficient Estimation of Average Treatment Effects under Treatment-Based Sampling, Second Version," PIER Working Paper Archive, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, number 10-018, Mar, revised 24 May 2010.
• Kimolo, Deogratius, 2009, "Modelling and Forecasting Inflation in Tanzania: A Univariate Time Series Analysis," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 114782, Nov.
• Barnett, William A. & He, Susan, 2009, "Existence of Singularity Bifurcation in an Euler-Equations Model of the United States Economy: Grandmont was Right," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 12803, Jan.
• Buncic, Daniel, 2009, "Understanding forecast failure in ESTAR models of real exchange rates," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 13121, Feb.
• Baharom, A.H. & Radam, Alias & Habibullah, M.S. & Hirnissa, M.T, 2009, "The Volatility of Thai Rice Price," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 14113, Jan.
• Proietti, Tommaso, 2009, "The Multistep Beveridge-Nelson Decomposition," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 15345, Apr.
• Marçal, Emerson F. & Valls Pereira, Pedro L. & Abbara, Omar, 2009, "Testing the long-run implications of the expectation hypothesis using cointegration techniques with structural change," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 15624, Jan.
• Chen, Pian & Velamuri, Malathi, 2009, "Misspecification and Heterogeneity in Single-Index, Binary Choice Models," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 15722, May.
• Kumar, Sundaram, 2009, "Investigating causal relationship between stock return with respect to exchange rate and FII: evidence from India," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 15793, May.
• Buncic, Daniel, 2009, "Understanding forecast failure of ESTAR models of real exchange rates," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 16526, Feb.
• Bušs, Ginters, 2009, "Forecasting economy with Bayesian autoregressive distributed lag model: choosing optimal prior in economic downturn," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 17273, Sep.
• Chun, So Yeon & Alexander, Shapiro, 2009, "Normal versus Noncentral Chi-square Asymptotics of Misspecified Models," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 17310, Sep.
• Ardia, David, 2009, "Bayesian Estimation of the GARCH(1,1) Model with Student-t Innovations in R," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 17414, Sep.
• Liew, Venus Khim-Sen & Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi & Puah, Chin-Hong, 2009, "Monetary Model of Exchange Rate for Thailand: Long-run Relationship and Monetary Restrictions," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 17715.
• Ortigueira, Luis C., 2009, "Local Public Management: A Spanish Case Study Based on Image Strategy," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 19364, Dec.
• El Bouhadi, Abdelhamid & Achibane, Khalid, 2009, "The Predictive Power of Conditional Models: What Lessons to Draw with Financial Crisis in the Case of Pre-Emerging Capital Markets?," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 19482, Dec.
• NR, Bhanumurthy & Kumawat, Lokendra, 2009, "External Shocks and the Indian Economy: Analyzing through a Small, Structural Quarterly Macroeconometric Model," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 19776, Nov.
• Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2009, "Bayesian Multivariate Time Series Methods for Empirical Macroeconomics," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 20125, Sep.
• Varga, Gyorgy, 2009, "Teste de Modelos Estatísticos para a Estrutura a Termo no Brasil
  [Test of Term Structure Models for Brazil]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 20832.
• Korobilis, Dimitris, 2009, "VAR forecasting using Bayesian variable selection," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 21124, Dec.
• Bulla, Jan, 2009, "Hidden Markov models with t components. Increased persistence and other aspects," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 21830, Oct.
• Carrasco Gutierrez, Carlos Enrique & Castro Souza, Reinaldo & Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén, Osmani, 2009, "Selection of optimal lag length in cointegrated VAR models with weak form of common cyclical features," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 22550, Jan.
• Rubio, Gonzalo & Lozano, Martin, 2009, "Evaluating alternative methods for testing asset pricing models with historical data," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 23613, Sep.
• Lanne, Markku & Luoma, Arto & Luoto, Jani, 2009, "Bayesian Model Selection and Forecasting in Noncausal Autoregressive Models," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 23646, Sep.
• Irina, Mozhaeva, 2009, "Multidimensional health modeling: Association between socioeconomic and psychosocial factors and health in Latvia," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 24626, Oct, revised 01 Aug 2010.
• Nwachukwu, Ifeanyi N. & Onyenweaku, Chris E., 2009, "Allocative Efficiency among Fadama Fluted Pumkin Farmers in Imo State, Nigeria," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 27249, Dec.
• Köksal, Bülent, 2009, "A Comparison of Conditional Volatility Estimators for the ISE National 100 Index Returns," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 30510.
• Irina, Mozhaeva, 2009, "Multidimensional health modeling: Association between socioeconomic and psychosocial factors and health in Latvia," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 34634, Oct, revised 01 Aug 2010.
• Bandi, Federico & Corradi, Valentina & Moloche, Guillermo, 2009, "Bandwidth selection for continuous-time Markov processes," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 43682, Oct.
• Costa Junior, Celso Jose, 2009, "Análise da Dinâmica do Modelo IS-MP para a Economia Brasileira Contemporânea
  [Analysis of Dynamics of Model IS-MP for the Contemporary Brazilian Economy]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 45522.
• Mendoza-Velázquez, Alfonso & Galvanovskis, Evalds, 2009, "Introducing the GED-Copula with an application to Financial Contagion in Latin America," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 46669, Feb, revised 01 Feb 2010.
• Ketenci, Natalya, 2009, "The ARDL Approach to Cointegration Analysis of Tourism Demand in Turkey: with Greece as the substitution destination," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 86602.
• Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Emmanuel Ziramba, 2009, "The Effect Of Defense Spending On Us Output: A Factor Augmented Vector Autoregression (Favar) Approach," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 200911, Mar.
• Costas Milas & Ruthira Naraidoo, 2009, "Financial Market Conditions, Real Time, Nonlinearity and European Central Bank Monetary Policy: In-Sample and Out-of-Sample Assessment," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 200923, Oct.
• Jaroslav Borovicka & Lars Peter Hansen & Mark Hendricks & Jose A. Scheinkman, 2009, "Risk Price Dynamics," Working Papers, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Econometric Research Program., number 1393, Nov.
• Patrick Bolton & Tano Santos & Jose A. Scheinkman, 2009, "Monetary Policy, Liquidity, and Financial Crises: Market and Public Liquidity," Working Papers, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Econometric Research Program., number 1394, Oct.
• Justyna Wróblewska, 2009, "Bayesian Model Selection in the Analysis of Cointegration," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, volume 1, issue 1, pages 57-69, March.
• Radosław Cholewiński, 2009, "Real-Time Market Abuse Detection with a Stochastic Parameter Model," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, volume 1, issue 3, pages 261-284, November.
• Nikolay Iskrev, 2009, "Local Identification in DSGE Models," Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department, number w200907.
• Tim M Christensen & Stan Hurn & Adrian Pagan, 2009, "Detecting Common Dynamics in Transitory Components," NCER Working Paper Series, National Centre for Econometric Research, number 49, Nov.
• Martin Fukac & Adrian Pagan, 2009, "Structural Macro-Econometric Modelling in a Policy Environment," NCER Working Paper Series, National Centre for Econometric Research, number 50, Nov.
• Ramírez Carrera, Dionisio & Rodríguez, Gabriel, 2009, "Have European Unemployment Rates Converged?," Working Papers, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, number 2009-007, Mar.
• Rodríguez, Gabriel, 2009, "Using A Forward-Looking Phillips Curve to Estimate the Output Gap in Peru," Working Papers, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, number 2009-010, Apr.
• Rodríguez, Gabriel, 2009, "Estimating Output Gap, Core Inflation, and the NAIRU for Peru," Working Papers, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, number 2009-011, Apr.
• Mikhail Chernov & Ruslan Bikbov, 2009, "Monetary Policy Regimes and the Term Structure of Interest Rates," 2009 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 334.
• Sasa Zikovic & Bora Aktan, 2009, "Global financial crisis and VaR performance in emerging markets: A case of EU candidate states - Turkey and Croatia," Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business, volume 27, issue 1, pages 149-170.
• Alessandro Flamini & Costas Milas, 2009, "Real-time Optimal Monetary Policy with Undistinguishable Model Parameters and Shock Processes Uncertainty," Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis, number 38_09, Jan.
• Costas Milas & Ruthira Naraidoo, 2009, "Financial Market Conditions, Real Time, Nonlinearity and European Central Bank Monetary Policy: In-Sample and Out-of-Sample Assessment," Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis, number 42_09, Jan.
• Markus Jochmann & Gary Koop & Roberto Leon-Gonzalez & Rodney W. Strachan, 2009, "Stochastic Search Variable Selection in Vector Error Correction Models with an Application to a Model of the UK Macroeconomy," Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis, number 44_09, Jan.
• Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2009, "Bayesian Multivariate Time Series Methods for Empirical Macroeconomics," Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis, number 47_09, Jan.
• Donghyun Park & Qin Xiao, 2009, "Housing Prices and the Role of Speculation: The Case of Seoul," ADB Economics Working Paper Series, Asian Development Bank, number 146, Jan.
• Dean Fantazzini, 2009, "Credit Risk Management (Cont.)," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), volume 13, issue 1, pages 105-138.
• Dean Fantazzini, 2009, "Econometric Analysis of Financial Data in Risk Management," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), volume 14, issue 2, pages 100-127.
• Alexander Varshavsky, 2009, "Questionable Innovations in Data Processing with Incomplete Information about the Analyzed System in Absence of Applications Limitations," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), volume 16, issue 4, pages 116-133.
• Alexandre Subbotin, 2009, "Volatility Models: from Conditional Heteroscedasticity to Cascades at Multiple Horizons," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), volume 15, issue 3, pages 94-138.
• Sang Hoon Kang & Seong-Min Yoon, 2009, "Modeling and Forecasting the Volatility of Eastern European Emerging Markets," East Asian Economic Review, Korea Institute for International Economic Policy, volume 13, issue 1, pages 113-132, DOI: 10.11644/KIEP.JEAI.2009.13.1.198.
• Alexandru Minea & Christophe Rault, 2009, "Some New Insights into Monetary Transmission Mechanism in Bulgaria," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, volume 24, pages 563-595.
• Pavelescu, Florin Marius, 2009, "A Review Of Student Test Properties In Condition Of Multifactorial Linear Regression," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, volume 6, issue 1, pages 63-75, March.
• Tudor, Cristiana, 2009, "Price Ratios and the Cross-section of Common Stock Returns on Bucharest Stock Exchange: Empirical Evidence," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, volume 6, issue 2, pages 132-146, June.
• Felician ALECU & Paul POCATILU & Radu MARSANU, 2009, "Quality Metrics For It Project Management," Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Knowledge Management: Projects, Systems and Technologies,Bucharest, November 6-7 2009, Faculty of Economic Cybernetics, Statistics and Informatics, Academy of Economic Studies and National Defence University "Carol I", DEPARTMENT FOR MANAGEMENT OF THE DEFENCE RESOURCES AND EDUCATION, number 33, Aug.
• Paul Alagidede & Theodore Panagiotidis, 2009, "Calendar Anomalies in the Ghana Stock Exchange," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, volume 8, issue 1, pages 1-23, April, DOI: 10.1177/097265270900800101.
• Timothy Christensen & Stan Hurn & Kenneth Lindsay, 2009, "It Never Rains but it Pours: Modeling the Persistence of Spikes in Electricity Prices," The Energy Journal, , volume 30, issue 1, pages 25-48, January, DOI: 10.5547/ISSN0195-6574-EJ-Vol30-No1-.
• Vo Phuong Mai Le & Patrick Minford & Michael Wickens, 2009, "The ‘Puzzles’ Methodology: En Route to Indirect Inference?," CDMA Conference Paper Series, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis, number 0903, Sep.
• Gutierrez, Carlos Enrique Carrasco & Souza, Reinaldo Castro & Guillén, Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho, 2009, "Selection of Optimal Lag Length in Cointegrated VAR Models with Weak Form of Common Cyclical Features," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, volume 29, issue 1, May.
• Dong-hyun Oh & Almas Heshmati & Hans Loof, 2009, "Technical Change and Total Factor Productivity Growth for Swedish Manufacturing and Service Industries," TEMEP Discussion Papers, Seoul National University; Technology Management, Economics, and Policy Program (TEMEP), number 200912, Aug, revised Sep 2009.
• Michele Sennhauser, 2009, "Why the Linear Utility Function is a Risky Choice in Discrete-Choice Experiments," SOI - Working Papers, Socioeconomic Institute - University of Zurich, number 1014, Nov.
• Wei Sun & Svetlozar Rachev & Frank Fabozzi & Petko Kalev, 2009, "A new approach to modeling co-movement of international equity markets: evidence of unconditional copula-based simulation of tail dependence," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 36, issue 1, pages 201-229, February, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-008-0192-3.
• Aránzazu Juan & Antonio Arroyo, 2009, "European incomplete catching-up," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 36, issue 2, pages 385-402, May, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-008-0201-6.
• Emilio Díaz & Rubén Osuna, 2009, "From correlation to dispersion: geometry of the price-value deviation," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 36, issue 2, pages 427-440, May, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-008-0203-4.
• Michael Arghyrou, 2009, "Monetary policy before and after the euro: evidence from Greece," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 36, issue 3, pages 621-643, June, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-008-0216-z.
• Christian Aßmann & Jens Hogrefe & Roman Liesenfeld, 2009, "The decline in German output volatility: a Bayesian analysis," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 37, issue 3, pages 653-679, December, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-008-0251-9.
• Manos Matsaganis & Theodore Mitrakos & Panos Tsakloglou, 2009, "Modelling health expenditure at the household level in Greece," The European Journal of Health Economics, Springer;Deutsche Gesellschaft für Gesundheitsökonomie (DGGÖ), volume 10, issue 3, pages 329-336, July, DOI: 10.1007/s10198-008-0137-y.
• Dimitrios Dadakas & Erotokritos Varelas, 2009, "The decomposition of Greek real GDP (1858–1938)," International Review of Economics, Springer;Happiness Economics and Interpersonal Relations (HEIRS), volume 56, issue 2, pages 189-202, June, DOI: 10.1007/s12232-008-0059-0.
• Angelos Kanas, 2009, "The relation between the equity risk premium and the bond maturity premium in the UK: 1900–2006," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, volume 33, issue 2, pages 111-127, April, DOI: 10.1007/s12197-008-9038-2.
• Wolfgang Härdle & Nikolaus Hautsch & Uta Pigorsch, 2009, "Measuring and Modeling Risk Using High-Frequency Data," Springer Books, Springer, chapter 13, in: Wolfgang K. Härdle & Nikolaus Hautsch & Ludger Overbeck, "Applied Quantitative Finance", DOI: 10.1007/978-3-540-69179-2_13.
• Annastiina Silvennoinen & Timo Teräsvirta, 2009, "Multivariate GARCH Models," Springer Books, Springer, chapter 9, in: Thomas Mikosch & Jens-Peter Kreiß & Richard A. Davis & Torben Gustav Andersen, "Handbook of Financial Time Series", DOI: 10.1007/978-3-540-71297-8_9.
• John Foster & Jason Potts, 2009, "A micro-meso-macro perspective on the methodology of evolutionary economics: Integrating history, simulation and econometrics," Springer Books, Springer, in: Uwe Cantner & Jean-Luc Gaffard & Lionel Nesta, "Schumpeterian Perspectives on Innovation, Competition and Growth", DOI: 10.1007/978-3-540-93777-7_5.
• Alagidede, Paul & Panagiotidis, Theodore, 2009, "Modelling stock returns in Africa's emerging equity markets," Stirling Economics Discussion Papers, University of Stirling, Division of Economics, number 2009-04, Jan.
• Markus Jochmann & Gary Koop & Roberto Leon-Gonzalez & Rodney Strachan, 2009, "Stochastic Search Variable Selection in Vector Error Correction Models with an Application to a Model of the UK Macroeconomy," Working Papers, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics, number 0919, Oct.
• Atanas Christev & Allen Featherstone, 2009, "A note on Allen-Uzawa partial elasticities of substitution: the case of the translog cost function," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 16, issue 11, pages 1165-1169, DOI: 10.1080/13504850701367130.
• A. Ozlem Onder, 2009, "The stability of the Turkish Phillips curve and alternative regime shifting models," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 41, issue 20, pages 2597-2604, DOI: 10.1080/00036840701222645.
• Changli He & Timo Terasvirta & Andres Gonzalez, 2009, "Testing Parameter Constancy in Stationary Vector Autoregressive Models Against Continuous Change," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 28, issue 1-3, pages 225-245, DOI: 10.1080/07474930802388041.
• Venus Khim-Sen Liew & Ahmad Zubaidi Baharumshah & Chin-Hong Puah, 2009, "Monetary Model of Exchange Rate for Thailand: Long-run Relationship and Monetary Restrictions," Global Economic Review, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 38, issue 4, pages 385-395, DOI: 10.1080/12265080903391784.
• Inder Ruprah & Luis Marcano, 2009, "Does technical assistance matter? An impact evaluation approach to estimate its value added," Journal of Development Effectiveness, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 1, issue 4, pages 507-528, DOI: 10.1080/19439340903370451.
• Maritta Paloviita, 2009, "Estimating open economy Phillips curves for the euro area with directly measured expectations," New Zealand Economic Papers, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 43, issue 3, pages 233-254, DOI: 10.1080/00779950903308760.
• Franz R. Hahn, 2009, "A Note on Management Efficiency and International Banking. Some Empirical Panel Evidence," Journal of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 12, issue 1, pages 69-81, May, DOI: 10.1016/S1514-0326(09)60006-4.
• David Ardia & Lennart Hoogerheide & Herman K. van Dijk, 2009, "To Bridge, to Warp or to Wrap? A Comparative Study of Monte Carlo Methods for Efficient Evaluation of Marginal Likelihoods," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 09-017/4, Feb.
• Pierre-Philippe Combes & Gilles Duranton & Diego Puga & Sebastien Roux, 2009, "The productivity advantages of large cities: Distinguishing agglomeration from firm selection," Working Papers, University of Toronto, Department of Economics, number tecipa-353, Mar.
• Robert Breunig & Joseph Mercante, 2009, "The accuracy of predicted wages of the non-employed and implications for policy simulations from structural labour supply models," Treasury Working Papers, The Treasury, Australian Government, number 2009-03, Mar, revised Mar 2009.
• Jacob Dijkstra & Diane Payne, 2009, "Collective Decisions in the EU. Explaining the Norm of Co-operation," Working Papers, Geary Institute, University College Dublin, number 200930, Sep.
• Massimiliano Caporin & Michael McAleer, 2009, "Thresholds, News Impact Surfaces and Dynamic Asymmetric Multivariate GARCH," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2009-11.
• Agostino Consolo & Carlo A. Favero & Alessia Paccagnini, 2009, "On the statistical identification of DSGE models," Open Access publications, School of Economics, University College Dublin, number 10197/7586, May.
• Olivier Bargain & Karina Doorley, 2009, "In-work transfers in good times and bad - simulations for Ireland," Working Papers, School of Economics, University College Dublin, number 200930, Dec.
• Borghans, L. & Cörvers, F., 2009, "The Americanization of European higher education and research," Research Memorandum, Maastricht University, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organization (METEOR), number 051, Jan, DOI: 10.26481/umamet.2009051.
• Fabio Canova, 2009, "Comment to "Weak instruments robust tests in GMM and the New Keynesian Phillips curve" by Frank Kleibergen and Sophocles Mavroeidis," Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, number 1159, Jan.
• Arauzo Carod, Josep Maria & Manjón Antolín, Miguel C., 2009, "(Optimal) Spatial Aggregation in the Determinants of Industrial Location," Working Papers, Universitat Rovira i Virgili, Department of Economics, number 2072/42866.
• Katja Ignatieva & Eckhard Platen, 2009, "Modelling Co-movements and Tail Dependency in the International Stock Market via Copulae," Research Paper Series, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney, number 265, Dec.
• Richard Blundell & Monica Costa Dias, 2009, "Alternative Approaches to Evaluation in Empirical Microeconomics," Journal of Human Resources, University of Wisconsin Press, volume 44, issue 3.
• Christopher J. Bennett, 2009, "p-Value Adjustments for Asymptotic Control of the Generalized Familywise Error Rate," Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics, number 0905, Apr.
• Andrabi, Tahir & Das, Jishnu & Khwaja, Asim Ijaz & Zajonc, Tristan, 2009, "Do value-added estimates add value ? accounting for learning dynamics," Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank, number 5066, Sep.
• James Morley & Jeremy Piger & Pao-Lin Tien, 2009, "Reproducing Business Cycle Features: How Important Is Nonlinearity Versus Multivariate Information?," Wesleyan Economics Working Papers, Wesleyan University, Department of Economics, number 2009-003, May.
• Ulrike Schneider & Martin Wagner, 2009, "Catching Growth Determinants with the Adaptive Lasso," wiiw Working Papers, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw, number 55, Jun.
• Xiaohong Chen & Sydney C. Ludvigson, 2009, "Land of addicts? an empirical investigation of habit‐based asset pricing models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 24, issue 7, pages 1057-1093, November, DOI: 10.1002/jae.1091.
• Clements, Michael P. & Galvão, Ana Beatriz, 2009, "First Announcements and Real Economic Activity," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics, number 885.
• Justyna Wróblewska, 2009, "Bayesian Model Selection in the Analysis of Cointegration," Working Papers, Department of Applied Econometrics, Warsaw School of Economics, number 32, Mar.
• Alvaro Escribano & J. Luis Guasch & Manuel De Orte & Jorge Pena, 2009, "Investment Climate Assessment In Indonesia, Malaysia, The Philippines And Thailand: Results From Pooling Firm-Level Data," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., volume 54, issue 03, pages 335-366, DOI: 10.1142/S0217590809003379.
• Kaddour Hadri & Yao Rao, 2009, "Are Oecd Macroeconomic Variables Trend Stationary? Evidence From Panel Stationarity Tests Allowing For A Structural Break And Cross-Sectional Dependence," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., volume 54, issue 03, pages 427-440, DOI: 10.1142/S0217590809003410.
• Dierk Herzer, 2009, "Cross-country heterogeneity and the trade-income relationship," FIW Working Paper series, FIW, number 026, Jan.
• Elçin Aykaç alp, 2009, "Türkiye’de Turizm Sektörünün Tarihsel Gelişimi ve Turizm Talebi İle Hizmet Sektörü Arasındaki İlişkinin Analizi," Working Papers, Yildiz Technical University, Department of Economics, number 0023, Oct, revised Oct 2009.
• Dardanoni V & Li Donni P, 2009, "The Effect Of Supplemental Insurance On Health Care Demand With Multiple Information: A Latent Class Analysis," Health, Econometrics and Data Group (HEDG) Working Papers, HEDG, c/o Department of Economics, University of York, number 09/03, Mar.
• Lanne, Markku & Saikkonen, Pentti, 2009, "Noncausal vector autoregression," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland, number 18/2009.
• Cogan, John F. & Cwik, Tobias J. & Taylor, John B. & Wieland, Volker, 2009, "New Keynesian versus old Keynesian government spending multipliers," CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies (CFS), number 2009/17.
• Taylor, John B. & Wieland, Volker, 2009, "Surprising comparative properties of monetary models: Results from a new data base," CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies (CFS), number 2009/21.
• Dreger, Christian & Wolters, Jürgen, 2009, "Money Velocity and Asset Prices in the Euro Area," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, volume 36, issue 1, pages 51-63.
• Herzer, Dierk, 2009, "Cross-country heterogeneity and the trade-income relationship," Proceedings of the German Development Economics Conference, Frankfurt a.M. 2009, Verein für Socialpolitik, Research Committee Development Economics, number 13.
• Nowak-Lehmann D., Felicitas & Martínez-Zarzoso, Inmaculada & Herzer, Dierk & Klasen, Stephan & Dreher, Axel, 2009, "The search for a long-run aid and growth relationship: Pitfalls and findings," Proceedings of the German Development Economics Conference, Frankfurt a.M. 2009, Verein für Socialpolitik, Research Committee Development Economics, number 23.
• Sucarrat, Genaro, 2009, "Forecast Evaluation of Explanatory Models of Financial Variability," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy, volume 3, pages 1-33, DOI: 10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2009-.
• Mitze, Timo, 2009, "Endogeneity in Panel Data Models with Time-Varying and Time-Fixed Regressors: To IV or not IV?," Ruhr Economic Papers, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen, number 83.
• Amendola, Alessandra & Storti, Giuseppe, 2009, "Combination of multivariate volatility forecasts," SFB 649 Discussion Papers, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk, number 2009-007.
• Blaskowitz, Oliver J. & Herwartz, Helmut, 2009, "On economic evaluation of directional forecasts," SFB 649 Discussion Papers, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk, number 2009-052.
• Gürtler, Marc & Kreiss, Jens-Peter & Rauh, Ronald, 2009, "A non-stationary approach for financial returns with nonparametric heteroscedasticity," Working Papers, Technische Universität Braunschweig, Institute of Finance, number IF31V2.
• Jim Malley & Ulrich Woitek, 2009, "Technology shocks and aggregate fluctuations in an estimated hybrid RBC model," IEW - Working Papers, Institute for Empirical Research in Economics - University of Zurich, number 408, Apr.
• Jim Malley & Ulrich Woitek, 2009, "Productivity shocks and aggregate cycles in an estimated endogenous growth model," IEW - Working Papers, Institute for Empirical Research in Economics - University of Zurich, number 416, Jun.

2008

• Trino-Manuel Ñíguez, 2008, "Volatility and VaR forecasting in the Madrid Stock Exchange," Spanish Economic Review, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, volume 10, issue 3, pages 169-196, September, DOI: 10.1007/s10108-007-9030-6.
• Matteo Barigozzi & Marco Capasso, 2008, "Nonfundamental Representations of the Relation between Technology Shocks and Hours Worked," LEM Papers Series, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy, number 2008/09, Apr.
• Håvard Hungnes, 2008, "A Demand System for Input Factors when there are Technological Changes in Production," Discussion Papers, Statistics Norway, Research Department, number 556, Sep.
• Ådne Cappelen & Arvid Raknerud & Marina Rybalka, 2008, "The effects of R&D tax credits on patenting and innovations," Discussion Papers, Statistics Norway, Research Department, number 565, Nov.
• Olutomi I Adeyemi & David C Broadstock & Mona Chitnis & Lester C Hunt & Guy Judge, 2008, "Asymmetric Price Responses and the Underlying Energy Demand Trend: Are they Substitutes or Complements? Evidence from Modelling OECD Aggregate Energy Demand," Surrey Energy Economics Centre (SEEC), School of Economics Discussion Papers (SEEDS), Surrey Energy Economics Centre (SEEC), School of Economics, University of Surrey, number 121, Oct.
• Ali Choudhary & Adnan Haider, 2008, "Neural Network Models for Inflation Forecasting: An Appraisal," School of Economics Discussion Papers, School of Economics, University of Surrey, number 0808, Nov.
• Young-Bae Kim, 2008, "Is There A Trade-off Between Regional Growth and National Income? Theory and Evidence from the EU," School of Economics Discussion Papers, School of Economics, University of Surrey, number 1008, Nov.
• Daniel Buncic, 2008, "A Note on Long Horizon Forecasts of Nonlinear Models of Real Exchange Rates: Comments on Rapach and Wohar (2006)," Discussion Papers, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales, number 2008-02, Feb.
• Cees Diks & Valentyn Panchenko & Dick van Dijk, 2008, "Partial Likelihood-Based Scoring Rules for Evaluating Density Forecasts in Tails," Discussion Papers, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales, number 2008-10, May.
• Cees Diks & Valentyn Panchenko & Dick van Dijk, 2008, "Out-of-sample comparison of copula specifications in multivariate density forecasts," Discussion Papers, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales, number 2008-23, Oct.
• Daniele Fabbri & Chiara Monfardini, 2008, "Style of practice and assortative mating: a recursive probit analysis of Caesarean section scheduling in Italy," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 40, issue 11, pages 1411-1423, DOI: 10.1080/00036840600771395.
• Maritta Paloviita, 2008, "Comparing alternative Phillips curve specifications: European results with survey-based expectations," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 40, issue 17, pages 2259-2270, DOI: 10.1080/00036840600949439.
• Stavros Degiannakis & Alexandra Livada & Epaminondas Panas, 2008, "Rolling-sampled parameters of ARCH and Levy-stable models," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 40, issue 23, pages 3051-3067, DOI: 10.1080/00036840600994039.
• Fulvio Corsi & Stefan Mittnik & Christian Pigorsch & Uta Pigorsch, 2008, "The Volatility of Realized Volatility," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 27, issue 1-3, pages 46-78, DOI: 10.1080/07474930701853616.
• Wolfgang Hardle & Torsten Kleinow & Alexander Korostelev & Camille Logeay & Eckhard Platen, 2008, "Semiparametric diffusion estimation and application to a stock market index," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 8, issue 1, pages 81-92, DOI: 10.1080/14697680601026998.
• Stavros Degiannakis & Evdokia Xekalaki, 2008, "SPEC model selection algorithm for ARCH models: an options pricing evaluation framework," Applied Financial Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 4, issue 6, pages 419-423, DOI: 10.1080/17446540701765258.
• V. Dordonnat & S.J. Koopman & M. Ooms & A. Dessertaine & J. Collet, 2008, "An Hourly Periodic State Space Model for Modelling French National Electricity Load," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 08-008/4, Jan.
• Cees Diks & Valentyn Panchenko & Dick van Dijk, 2008, "Partial Likelihood-Based Scoring Rules for Evaluating Density Forecasts in Tails," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 08-050/4, May.
• Oleg Sheremet & André Lucas, 2008, "Global Loss Diversification in the Insurance Sector," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 08-086/2, Sep.
• Rodney W. Strachan & Herman K. van Dijk, 2008, "Bayesian Averaging over Many Dynamic Model Structures with Evidence on the Great Ratios and Liquidity Trap Risk," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 08-096/4, Oct.
• Cees Diks & Valentyn Panchenko & Dick van Dijk, 2008, "Out-of-sample Comparison of Copula Specifications in Multivariate Density Forecasts," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 08-105/4, Nov.
• Magnus, J.R. & Powell, O.R. & Prüfer, P., 2008, "A Comparison of Two Averaging Techniques with an Application to Growth Empirics," Discussion Paper, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research, number 2008-39.