Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

1. Forecasting with DSGE Models
2. Forecasting

2008

• Prüfer, P. & Tondl, G., 2008, "The FDI-Growth Nexus in Latin America : The Role of Source Countries and Local Conditions," Discussion Paper, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research, number 2008-61.
• Einmahl, J.H.J. & van Keilegom, I., 2008, "Tests for independence in nonparametric regression," Other publications TiSEM, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management, number 4356c520-d1d5-4156-b5b7-0.
• Prüfer, P. & Tondl, G., 2008, "The FDI-Growth Nexus in Latin America : The Role of Source Countries and Local Conditions," Other publications TiSEM, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management, number 73b28850-1597-4bcb-a76c-1.
• Richard K. Crump & V. Joseph Hotz & Guido W. Imbens & Oscar A. Mitnik, 2008, "Nonparametric Tests for Treatment Effect Heterogeneity," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, volume 90, issue 3, pages 389-405, August.
• Marmer, Vadim & Otsu, Taisuke, 2008, "Optimal Comparison of Misspecified Moment Restriction Models under a Chosen Measure of Fit," Microeconomics.ca working papers, Vancouver School of Economics, number vadim_marmer-2008-13, Oct, revised 25 Jul 2011.
• Hnatkovska, Viktoria & Marmer, Vadim & Tang, Yao, 2008, "Comparison of Misspecified Calibrated Models: The Minimum Distance Approach," Microeconomics.ca working papers, Vancouver School of Economics, number vadim_marmer-2008-14, Oct, revised 28 Sep 2011.
• Luis H. B. Braido, 2008, "Evidence on the Incentive Properties of Share Contracts," Journal of Law and Economics, University of Chicago Press, volume 51, issue 2, pages 327-349, May, DOI: 10.1086/589663.
• Yu-chin Chen & Kenneth Rogoff & Barbara Rossi, 2008, "Can Exchange Rates Forecast Commodity Prices?," Working Papers, University of Washington, Department of Economics, number UWEC-2008-11-FC, Feb, revised Oct 2009.
• Dimitris K. Christopoulos & Miguel Leon-Ledesma, 2008, "Testing for Granger (non)-Causality in a Time Varying Coefficient VAR Model," Studies in Economics, School of Economics, University of Kent, number 0802, Jan.
• Hugo Gerard & Kristoffer Nimark, 2008, "Combining multivariate density forecasts using predictive criteria," Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, number 1117, Aug, revised Oct 2008.
• Beatrice Pataracchia, 2008, "Design Limits in Regime-Switching Cases," Department of Economics University of Siena, Department of Economics, University of Siena, number 529, Mar.
• D. Aristei & Luca Pieroni, 2008, "Cointegration Rank Test and Long Run Specification: A Note on the Robustness of Structural Demand Systems," Working Papers, Department of Accounting, Economics and Finance, Bristol Business School, University of the West of England, Bristol, number 0809, Nov.
• Henri L.F. de Groot & Jacques Poot & Martijn J. Smit, 2008, "Agglomeration Externalities, Innovation and Regional Growth: Theoretical Perspectives and Meta-Analysis," Working Papers in Economics, University of Waikato, number 08/01, Feb.
• R. Aaberge & T. Wennemo & U. Colombino, 2008, "Evaluating Alternative Representations of the Choice Sets in Models of Labour Supply," CHILD Working Papers, CHILD - Centre for Household, Income, Labour and Demographic economics - ITALY, number wp20_08, Oct.
• Laura Griner Hill & Scott G. Goates & Robert Rosenman, 2008, "Detecting Selection Bias in Community Disseminations of Universal Family-Based Prevention Programs," Working Papers, School of Economic Sciences, Washington State University, number 2008-2, Apr.
• Michael G. Arghyrou & Maria Dolores Gadea, 2008, "The single monetary policy and domestic macro-fundamentals: Evidence from Spain," Documentos de Trabajo, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Universidad de Zaragoza, number dt2008-05, May.
• Juselius, Mikael, 2008, "Cointegration implications of linear rational expectation models," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland, number 6/2008.
• Herwartz, Helmut, 2008, "Exact inference in diagnosing value-at-risk estimates: A Monte Carlo device," Economics Working Papers, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics, number 2008-16.
• Mittnik, Stefan & Yener, Tina, 2008, "Value-at-Risk and expected shortfall for rare events," CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies (CFS), number 2008/14.
• Bjørnstad, Roger & Nymoen, Ragnar, 2008, "The New Keynesian Phillips curve tested on OECD panel data," Economics Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 2008-4.
• Mercereau, Benoît & Miniane, Jacques Alain, 2008, "Should We Trust the Empirical Evidence from Present Value Models of the Current Account?," Economics Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 2008-10.
• Fanelli, Luca, 2008, "Evaluating the New Keynesian Phillips Curve under VAR-Based Learning," Economics Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 2008-15.
• Sucarrat, Genaro, 2008, "Forecast Evaluation of Explanatory Models of Financial Return Variability," Economics Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 2008-18.
• Juselius, Mikael, 2008, "Testing the New Keynesian Model on U.S. and Euro Area Data," Economics Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 2008-23.
• Bjørnstad, Roger & Nymoen, Ragnar, 2008, "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve Tested on OECD Panel Data," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy, volume 2, pages 1-18, DOI: 10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2008-.
• Juselius, Mikael, 2008, "Testing the New Keynesian Model on U.S. and Euro Area Data," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy, volume 2, pages 1-26, DOI: 10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2008-.
• Fanelli, Luca, 2008, "Evaluating New Keynesian Phillips Curve under VAR-Based Learning," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy, volume 2, pages 1-24, DOI: 10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2008-.
• Mercereau, Benoît & Miniane, Jacques Alain, 2008, "Should We Trust the Empirical Evidence from Present Value Models of the Current Account?," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy, volume 2, pages 1-36, DOI: 10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2008-.
• Scheufele, Rolf, 2008, "Evaluating the German (New Keynesian) Phillips Curve," IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), number 10/2008.
• Härdle, Wolfgang Karl & Mungo, Julius, 2008, "Value-at-risk and expected shortfall when there is long range dependence," SFB 649 Discussion Papers, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk, number 2008-006.
• Jeong, Kiho & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, 2008, "A consistent nonparametric test for causality in quantile," SFB 649 Discussion Papers, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk, number 2008-007.
• Schulz, Rainer & Werwatz, Axel, 2008, "House prices and replacement cost: A mMicro-level analysis," SFB 649 Discussion Papers, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk, number 2008-013.
• Winschel, Viktor & Krätzig, Markus, 2008, "Solving, estimating and selecting nonlinear dynamic models without the curse of dimensionality," SFB 649 Discussion Papers, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk, number 2008-018.
• Schulz, Rainer & Staiber, Markus & Wersing, Martin & Werwatz, Axel, 2008, "The accuracy of long-term real estate valuations," SFB 649 Discussion Papers, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk, number 2008-019.
• Winschel, Viktor & Krätzig, Markus, 2008, "JBendge: An object-oriented system for solving, estimating and selecting nonlinear dynamic models," SFB 649 Discussion Papers, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk, number 2008-034.
• Härdle, Wolfgang Karl & Hautsch, Nikolaus & Pigorsch, Uta, 2008, "Measuring and modeling risk using high-frequency data," SFB 649 Discussion Papers, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk, number 2008-045.
• Hautsch, Nikolaus & Jeleskovic, Vahidin, 2008, "Modelling high-frequency volatility and liquidity using multiplicative error models," SFB 649 Discussion Papers, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk, number 2008-047.
• Hautsch, Nikolaus, 2008, "Testing multiplicative error models using conditional moment tests," SFB 649 Discussion Papers, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk, number 2008-067.
• Blaskowitz, Oliver J. & Herwartz, Helmut, 2008, "Testing directional forecast value in the presence of serial correlation," SFB 649 Discussion Papers, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk, number 2008-073.
• Seymen, Atilim, 2008, "A Comparative Study on the Role of Stochastic Trends in U.S. Macroeconomic Fluctuations, 1954-1988," ZEW Discussion Papers, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research, number 08-007.
• Søren Johansen & Katarina Juselius & Roman Frydberg & Michael Goldberg, 2008, "Testing hypotheses in an I(2) model with applications to the persistent long swings in the Dmk/$ rate," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2008-03, Jan.
• Annastiina Silvennoinen & Timo Teräsvirta, 2008, "Modelling Multivariate Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity with the Double Smooth Transition Conditional Correlation GARCH Model," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2008-05, Jan.
• Annastiina Silvennoinen & Timo Teräsvirta, 2008, "Multivariate GARCH models," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2008-06, Jan.
• Christina Amado & Timo Teräsvirta, 2008, "Modelling Conditional and Unconditional Heteroskedasticity with Smoothly Time-Varying Structure," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2008-08, Jan.
• Christian M. Dahl & Emma M. Iglesias, 2008, "The limiting properties of the QMLE in a general class of asymmetric volatility models," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2008-38, Jul.
• Christian M. Dahl & Henrik Hansen & John Smidt, 2008, "The cyclical component factor model," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2008-44, Sep.
• Tim Bollerslev & Tzuo Hao & George Tauchen, 2008, "Expected Stock Returns and Variance Risk Premia," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2008-48, Sep.
• Christian M. Hafner & Helmut Herwartz, 2008, "Testing for Causality in Variance Usinf Multivariate GARCH Models," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 89, pages 215-241.
• Steffen Osterloh, 2008, "Accuracy and Properties of German Business Cycle Forecasts," Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot, Berlin, volume 54, issue 1, pages 27-57.
• Colombo, Sergio & Hanley, Nick, 2008, "Análisis econométrico de la heterogeneidad de las preferencias de los individuos: aplicación a la valoración económica de la conservación del paisaje agrícola de montaña," Economia Agraria y Recursos Naturales, Spanish Association of Agricultural Economists, volume 8, issue 01, pages 1-21, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.37191.
• Kaltsas, Ioannis K. & Bosch, Darrell J. & McGuirk, Anya M., 2008, "Residential Land Values in Urbanizing Areas," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, volume 40, issue 2, pages 1-13, August, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.47204.
• Power, Gabriel J. & Turvey, Calum G., 2008, "On Term Structure Models of Commodity Futures Prices and the Kaldor-Working Hypothesis," 2008 Conference, April 21-22, 2008, St. Louis, Missouri, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management, number 37608, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.37608.
• Cooray, Arusha, 2008, "A Model of Inflation for Sri Lanka," Review of Applied Economics, Lincoln University, Department of Financial and Business Systems, volume 4, issue 01-2, pages 1-10, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.50017.
• Clements, Michael P. & Beatriz Galvao, Ana, , "First Announcements and Real Economic Activity," Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick - Department of Economics, number 271314, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.271314.
• Dijk, D. van & Diks, C.G.H. & Panchenko, V., 2008, "Partial Likelihood-Based Scoring Rules for Evaluating Density Forecasts in Tails," CeNDEF Working Papers, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance, number 08-03.
• Diks, C.G.H. & Dijk, D. van & Panchenko, V., 2008, "Out-of-sample comparison of copula specifications in multivariate density forecasts," CeNDEF Working Papers, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance, number 08-10.
• Richard Blundell & Monica Costa Dias, 2008, "Alternative approaches to evaluation in empirical microeconomics," CeMMAP working papers, Institute for Fiscal Studies, number 26/08, Oct, DOI: 10.1920/wp.cem.2008.2608.
• Vassil Tsanov, 2008, "Macroeconomic Dependencies of the Labor Market: Bulgaria and the European Union," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 4, pages 3-32.
• Anita Staneva, 2008, "Analysis of the Labour Market in Bulgaria through a Error Correction Model," Economic Thought journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 3, pages 90-106.
• Fousseni Chabi-Yo & Eric Ghysels & Eric Renault, 2008, "On Portfolio Separation Theorems with Heterogeneous Beliefs and Attitudes towards Risk," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 08-16, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2008-16.
• Donald Coletti & René Lalonde & Dirk Muir, 2008, "Inflation Targeting and Price-Level-Path Targeting in the GEM: Some Open Economy Considerations," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 08-6, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2008-6.
• Wagner P. Gaglianone & Luiz Renato Lima & Oliver Linton, 2008, "Evaluating Value-at-Risk Models via Quantile Regressions," Working Papers Series, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department, number 161, Feb.
• Carmen Broto & Esther Ruiz, 2008, "Testing for conditional heteroscedasticity in the components of inflation," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 0812, Jun.
• Valérie Chauvin & Antoine Devulder, 2008, "An Inflation Forecasting Model for the Euro Area," Working papers, Banque de France, number 192.
• Vassillis Hajivassiliou & Frédérique Savignac, 2008, "Financing Constraints and a Firm's Decision and Ability to Innovate: Establishing Direct and Reverse Effects," Working papers, Banque de France, number 202.
• Renaud Lacroix, 2008, "Assessing the shape of the distribution of interest rates: lessons from French individual data," Working papers, Banque de France, number 206.
• Karim Barhoumi & V ronique Brunhes-Lesage & Olivier Darn & Laurent Ferrara & Bertrand Pluyaud & Rouvreau, B., 2008, "Monthly forecasting of French GDP: A revised version of the OPTIM model," Working papers, Banque de France, number 222.
• Olivier Darn & Laurent Ferrara, 2009, "Identification of slowdowns and accelerations for the euro area economy," Working papers, Banque de France, number 239.
• BARHOUMI, K. & BRUNHES-LESAGE, V. & DARNÉ, O. & Laurent Ferrara & PLUYAUD, B. & ROUVREAU, B., 2008, "OPTIM : un outil de prévision trimestrielle du PIB de la France," Bulletin de la Banque de France, Banque de France, issue 171, pages 31-42.
• Barhoumi, K. & Brunhes-Lesage, V. & Ferrara, L. & Pluyaud, B. & Rouvreau, B. & Darné, O., 2008, "OPTIM: a quarterly forecasting tool for French GDP," Quarterly selection of articles - Bulletin de la Banque de France, Banque de France, issue 13, pages 31-47, Autumn.
• Luca Fanelli, 2008, "Testing the New Keynesian Phillips Curve Through Vector Autoregressive Models: Results from the Euro Area," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, volume 70, issue 1, pages 53-66, February, DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-0084.2007.00490.x.
• Michael G. Arghyrou & Georgios Chortareas, 2008, "Current Account Imbalances and Real Exchange Rates in the Euro Area," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, volume 16, issue 4, pages 747-764, September, DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-9396.2008.00773.x.
• Fabio Milani, 2008, "Monetary Policy With A Wider Information Set: A Bayesian Model Averaging Approach," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, volume 55, issue 1, pages 1-30, February, DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-9485.2008.00446.x.
• Ida Wolden Bache, 2008, "Assessing estimates of the exchange rate pass-through," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2007/12, Jan.
• Ida Wolden Bache & Bjørn E. Naug, 2008, "Estimating New Keynesian import price models," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2007/15, Jan.
• Christian Kascha & Karel Mertens, 2008, "Business cycle analysis and VARMA models," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2008/05, Apr.
• Manos Matsaganis & Theodore Mitrakos & Panos Tsakloglou, 2008, "Modelling Household Expenditure on Health Care in Greece," Working Papers, Bank of Greece, number 68, Mar.
• Rafael Machado Santana & Rodrigo De Losso da Silveira Bueno, 2008, "SWARCH and the implicit volatility of the Real/USD exchange rate," Brazilian Review of Finance, Brazilian Society of Finance, volume 6, issue 2, pages 235-265.
• Akhter Faroque & William Veloce & Jean-Francois Lamarche, 2008, "The impact of structural breaks on the stability of the out-of-sample predictive content of financial variables for Canada's real GDP growth: An encompassing approach," Working Papers, Brock University, Department of Economics, number 0803, Apr.
• Pesaran, M.H. & Schleicher, C. & Zaffaroni, P., 2008, "Model Averaging in Risk Management with an Application to Futures Markets," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 0808, Jan.
• Pesaran, M.H. & Zaffaroni, P., 2008, "Optimal Asset Allocation with Factor Models for Large Portfolios," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 0813, Mar.
• Carlos Santos, 2008, "Selection on the basis of prior testing," Working Papers de Economia (Economics Working Papers), Católica Porto Business School, Universidade Católica Portuguesa, number 062008, Sep.
• Andersson, Magnus & D'Agostino, Antonello, 2008, "Are sectoral stock prices useful for predicting euro area GDP?," Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland, number 2/RT/08, Apr.
• Oscar Jorda & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2008, "Path Forecast Evaluation," Working Papers, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics, number 131, Jul.
• Arghyrou, Michael G & Gadea, Maria Dolores, 2008, "The single monetary policy and domestic macro-fundamentals: Evidence from Spain," Cardiff Economics Working Papers, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, number E2008/23, Oct.
• Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael, 2008, "How much nominal rigidity is there in the US economy? Testing a New Keynesian DSGE Model using indirect inference," Cardiff Economics Working Papers, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, number E2008/32, Dec, revised Jul 2011.
• Oliver Linton & Kyungchul Song & Yoon-Jae Whang, 2008, "Bootstrap Tests of Stochastic Dominance with AsymptoticSimilarity on the Boundary," STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE, number 527, Feb.
• Jan Hanousek & Evzen Kocenda & Ali M. Kutan, 2008, "The Reaction of Asset Prices to Macroeconomic Announcements in New EU Markets: Evidence from Intraday Data," CERGE-EI Working Papers, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague, number wp349, Mar.
• M. Hashem Pesaran & Allan Timmermann, 2004, "Real Time Econometrics," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 1169.
• Thomas A. Knetsch, 2004, "Evaluating the German Inventory Cycle – Using Data from the Ifo Business Survey," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 1202.
• M. Hashem Pesaran & Paolo Zaffaroni, 2004, "Model Averaging and Value-at-Risk Based Evaluation of Large Multi Asset Volatility Models for Risk Management," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 1358.
• Sebastian Buhai & Coenraad N. Teulings, 2006, "Tenure Profiles and Efficient Separation in a Stochastic Productivity Model," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 1688.
• M. Hashem Pesaran & Allan Timmermann, 2006, "Testing Dependence among Serially Correlated Multi-category Variables," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 1770.
• M. Hashem Pesaran & Paolo Zaffaroni, 2008, "Optimal Asset Allocation with Factor Models for Large Portfolios," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 2326.
• Jan Grossarth-Maticek & Johannes Mayr, 2008, "Medienberichte als Konjunkturindikator," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, volume 61, issue 07, pages 17-29, April.
• Nikolay Robinzonov & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2008, "Freedom of Choice in Macroeconomic Forecasting: An Illustration with German Industrial Production and Linear Models," ifo Working Paper Series, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 57.
• Tahir Andrabi & Jishnu Das & Asim Ijaz Khwaja & Tristan Zajonc, 2008, "Do Value-Added Estimates Add Value? Accounting for Learning Dynamics," CID Working Papers, Center for International Development at Harvard University, number 158, Mar.
• Javier Mencía & Enrique Sentana, 2008, "Distributional Tests in Multivariate Dynamic Models with Normal and Student t Innovations," Working Papers, CEMFI, number wp2008_0804, Apr.
• Javier Mencía & Enrique Sentana, 2008, "Multivariate Location-Scale Mixtures of Normals and Mean-Variance-skewness Portfolio Allocation," Working Papers, CEMFI, number wp2008_0805, Apr.
• Ataman Ozyildirim & Brian Schaitkin & Victor Zarnowitz, 2008, "Business Cycles in the Euro Area Defined with Coincident Economic Indicators and Predicted with Leading Economic Indicators," Economics Program Working Papers, The Conference Board, Economics Program, number 08-04, Nov.
• Elkin Castano & Karoll Gómez & Santiago Gallón, 2008, "Pronóstico y estructuras de volatilidad multiperíodo de la tasa de cambio del peso colombiano," Revista Cuadernos de Economia, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID.
• Oscar Becerra & Luis Fernando Melo, 2008, "Medidas De Riesgo Financiero Usando C�Pulas: Teor�A Y Aplicaciones," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 4523, Feb.
• Dairo Estrada & Javier Guti�rrez Rueda, 2008, "Supervisi�N Y Regulaci�N Del Sistema Financiero:Modelos Implicaciones Y Alcances," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 4543, Feb.
• Andr�s Gonz�lez & Hern�n Rinc�m & Norberto Rodr�guez, 2008, "La transmisi�n de los choques a la tasa de cambio sobre la inflaci�n," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 5089, Oct.
• Rubén Darío Sepúlveda Vargas, 2008, "Valoración económica del uso recreativo del Parque Ronda del Sinú, en Montería, Colombia," Revista Semestre Económico, Universidad de Medellín.
• Adam Elbourne & Henk Kranendonk & Rob Luginbuhl & Bert Smid & Martin Vromans, 2008, "Evaluating CPB's published GDP growth forecasts; a comparison with individual and pooled VAR based forecasts," CPB Document, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis, number 172, Oct.
• Canova, Fabio, 2008, "How much structure in empirical models?," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 6791, Apr.
• Marcellino, Massimiliano & Jordà , Ã’scar, 2008, "Path Forecast Evaluation," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 7009, Oct.
• Dolado, Juan J & Stucchi, Rodolfo, 2008, "Do Temporary Contracts Affect TFP? Evidence from Spanish Manufacturing Firms," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 7055, Nov.
• Linde, Jesper & Jacobson, Tor & Roszbach, Kasper & Kindell, Rikard, 2008, "Firm Default and Aggregate Fluctuations," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 7083, Dec.
• Chernov, Mikhail & Bikbov, Ruslan, 2008, "Monetary Policy Regimes and the Term Structure of Interest Rates," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 7096, Dec.
• Janine Aron & John Muellbauer, 2008, "Multi-sector inflation forecasting - quarterly models for South Africa," CSAE Working Paper Series, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford, number 2008-27.
• Giovanni Cerulli, 2008, "Modelling and measuring the effects of public subsidies on business R&D: theoretical and econometric issues," CERIS Working Paper, CNR-IRCrES Research Institute on Sustainable Economic Growth - Torino (TO) ITALY - former Institute for Economic Research on Firms and Growth - Moncalieri (TO) ITALY, number 200803, Jun.
• Giovanni Cerulli & Bianca Poti', 2008, "Evaluating the Effect of Public Subsidies on firm R&D activity: an Application to Italy Using the Community Innovation Survey," CERIS Working Paper, CNR-IRCrES Research Institute on Sustainable Economic Growth - Torino (TO) ITALY - former Institute for Economic Research on Firms and Growth - Moncalieri (TO) ITALY, number 200809, Dec.
• Moreno, M. & Serrano, P. & Stute, Winfried, 2008, "Statistical properties and economic implications of Jump-Diffusion Processes with Shot-Noise effects," DEE - Working Papers. Business Economics. WB, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Economía de la Empresa, number wb084912, Oct.
• Escribano, Álvaro & Stucchi, Rodolfo, 2008, "Catching up in total factor productivity through the business cycle : evidence from Spanish manufacturing surveys," UC3M Working papers. Economics, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Economía, number we085125, Nov.
• Busetti, Fabio & Harvey, Andrew, 2008, "Testing For Trend," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, volume 24, issue 1, pages 72-87, February.
• Leeb, Hannes & Pötscher, Benedikt M., 2008, "Can One Estimate The Unconditional Distribution Of Post-Model-Selection Estimators?," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, volume 24, issue 2, pages 338-376, April.
• Romano, Joseph P. & Shaikh, Azeem M. & Wolf, Michael, 2008, "Formalized Data Snooping Based On Generalized Error Rates," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, volume 24, issue 2, pages 404-447, April.
• Kaltsas, Ioannis K. & Bosch, Darrell J. & McGuirk, Anya, 2008, "Residential Land Values in Urbanizing Areas," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, volume 40, issue 2, pages 635-647, August.
• Jeong, Hyeok & Townsend, Robert M., 2008, "Growth And Inequality: Model Evaluation Based On An Estimation-Calibration Strategy," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, volume 12, issue S2, pages 231-284, September.
• Christian Dreger & Jürgen Wolters, 2008, "M3 Money Demand and Excess Liquidity in the Euro Area," Working Paper / FINESS, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, number 7.1a.
• Christian Dreger & Jürgen Wolters, 2008, "Money Velocity and Asset Prices in the Euro Area," Working Paper / FINESS, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, number 7.1b.
• Christian Dreger & Jürgen Wolters, 2008, "M3 Money Demand and Excess Liquidity in the Euro Area," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, number 795.
• Christian Dreger & Jürgen Wolters, 2008, "Money Velocity and Asset Prices in the Euro Area," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, number 813.
• Walter Sosa Escudero & Anil K. Bera, 2008, "Tests for Unbalanced Error Component Models Under Local Misspecication," CEDLAS, Working Papers, CEDLAS, Universidad Nacional de La Plata, number 0065, Mar.
• Akhand Akhtar Hossain, 2008, "Responses of Agricultural Prices, Industrial Prices and the Agricultural Terms of Trade to Money Supply Shocks in Bangladesh, 1973M1-2006M6," Indian Economic Review, Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics, volume 43, issue 1, pages 287-314, December.
• Inoue, Atsushi & Rossi, Barbara, 2008, "Which Structural Parameters Are "Structural"? Identifying the Sources of Instabilities in Economic Models," Working Papers, Duke University, Department of Economics, number 08-02.
• Chen, Yu-chin & Rogoff, Kenneth & Rossi, Barbara, 2008, "Can Exchange Rates Forecast Commodity Prices?," Working Papers, Duke University, Department of Economics, number 08-03.
• Giacomini, Raffaella & Rossi, Barbara, 2008, "Forecast Comparisons in Unstable Environments," Working Papers, Duke University, Department of Economics, number 08-04.
• Tatevik Sekhposyan & Barbara Rossi, 2008, "Has modelsí forecasting performance for US output growth and inflation changed over time, and when?," Working Papers, Duke University, Department of Economics, number 09-02.
• Sushil Mohan & Bill Russell, 2008, "Modelling Thirty Five Years Of Coffee Prices In Brazil, Guatemala And India," Dundee Discussion Papers in Economics, Economic Studies, University of Dundee, number 221, Dec.
• Benati, Luca & Surico, Paolo, 2008, "VAR analysis and the Great Moderation," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 866, Feb.
• Andersson, Magnus & D'Agostino, Antonello, 2008, "Are sectoral stock prices useful for predicting euro area GDP?," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 876, Feb.
• Alessi, Lucia & Barigozzi, Matteo & Capasso, Marco, 2008, "A robust criterion for determining the number of static factors in approximate factor models," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 903, May.
• Alessi, Lucia & Barigozzi, Matteo & Capasso, Marco, 2008, "A review of nonfundamentalness and identification in structural VAR models," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 922, Jul.
• Bekaert, Geert & Hodrick, Robert J. & Zhang, Xiaoyan, 2008, "International stock return comovements," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 931, Sep.
• McAdam, Peter & Mestre, Ricardo, 2008, "Is forecasting with large models informative? Assessing the role of judgement in macroeconomic forecasts," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 950, Oct.
• Hahn, Elke & Skudelny, Frauke, 2008, "Early estimates of euro area real GDP growth: a bottom up approach from the production side," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 975, Dec.
• Alberto Abadie & Guido W. Imbens, 2008, "On the Failure of the Bootstrap for Matching Estimators," Econometrica, Econometric Society, volume 76, issue 6, pages 1537-1557, November.
• Gallo, Giampiero M. & Otranto, Edoardo, 2008, "Volatility spillovers, interdependence and comovements: A Markov Switching approach," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, volume 52, issue 6, pages 3011-3026, February.
• Hautsch, Nikolaus, 2008, "Capturing common components in high-frequency financial time series: A multivariate stochastic multiplicative error model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 32, issue 12, pages 3978-4015, December.
• Clarke, Judith A., 2008, "On weighted estimation in linear regression in the presence of parameter uncertainty," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 100, issue 1, pages 1-3, July.
• Zhao, Zhong, 2008, "Sensitivity of propensity score methods to the specifications," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 98, issue 3, pages 309-319, March.
• Jondeau, Eric & Sahuc, Jean-Guillaume, 2008, "Testing heterogeneity within the euro area," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 99, issue 1, pages 192-196, April.
• Gao, Jiti & Casas, Isabel, 2008, "Specification testing in discretized diffusion models: Theory and practice," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 147, issue 1, pages 131-140, November.
• Loss, Frederic & Malavolti-Grimal, Estelle & Verge, Thibaud & Berges-Sennou, Fabian, 2008, "European competition policy modernization: From notifications to legal exception," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 52, issue 1, pages 77-98, January.
• Zhang, Xibin & King, Maxwell L., 2008, "Box-Cox stochastic volatility models with heavy-tails and correlated errors," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, volume 15, issue 3, pages 549-566, June.
• Siklos, Pierre L., 2008, "The Fed's reaction to the stock market during the great depression: Fact or artefact?," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, volume 45, issue 2, pages 164-184, April.
• Ané, Thierry & Ureche-Rangau, Loredana, 2008, "Does trading volume really explain stock returns volatility?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, volume 18, issue 3, pages 216-235, July.
• Angelidis, Timotheos & Degiannakis, Stavros, 2008, "Volatility forecasting: Intra-day versus inter-day models," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, volume 18, issue 5, pages 449-465, December.
• Dordonnat, V. & Koopman, S.J. & Ooms, M. & Dessertaine, A. & Collet, J., 2008, "An hourly periodic state space model for modelling French national electricity load," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 24, issue 4, pages 566-587.
• Paolella, Marc S. & Taschini, Luca, 2008, "An econometric analysis of emission allowance prices," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 32, issue 10, pages 2022-2032, October.
• Akram, Q. Farooq & Eitrheim, Øyvind, 2008, "Flexible inflation targeting and financial stability: Is it enough to stabilize inflation and output?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 32, issue 7, pages 1242-1254, July.
• Russell, Bill & Banerjee, Anindya, 2008, "The long-run Phillips curve and non-stationary inflation," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 30, issue 4, pages 1792-1815, December.
• Edmark, Karin & Ågren, Hanna, 2008, "Identifying strategic interactions in Swedish local income tax policies," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, volume 63, issue 3, pages 849-857, May.
• Richard Dennis, 2008, "The Frequency of Price Adjustment and New Keynesian Business Cycle Dynamics," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2008-19, Jul.
• Benjamín García Martínez & Arturo Lorenzo Valdés, 2008, "La matriz de covarianzas de residuales en la asignación y valuación de activos," Revista de Administración, Finanzas y Economía (Journal of Management, Finance and Economics), Tecnológico de Monterrey, Campus Ciudad de México, volume 2, issue 2, pages 162-178.
• A. Nazif Catik & Christopher Martin & A. Özlem Önder, 2008, "Relative Price Variability and the Philips Curve: Evidence from Turkey," Working Papers, Ege University, Department of Economics, number 0807, Jul.
• Linton, Oliver & Song, Kyungchul & Whang, Yoon-Jae, 2008, "Bootstrap tests of stochastic dominance with asymptotic similarity on the boundary," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 25092, Feb.
• Garcés Díaz, Daniel G., 2008, "Análisis de las funciones de importación y exportación de México (1980-2000)," El Trimestre Económico, Fondo de Cultura Económica, volume 75, issue 297, pages 109-141, enero-mar, DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.20430/ete.v75i.
• Xavier de Luna & Per Johansson, 2008, "Graphical diagnostics of endogeneity," Advances in Econometrics, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, "Modelling and Evaluating Treatment Effects in Econometrics", DOI: 10.1016/S0731-9053(07)00006-0.
• Dimitris Korobilis, 2008, "Forecasting in vector autoregressions with many predictors," Advances in Econometrics, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, "Bayesian Econometrics", DOI: 10.1016/S0731-9053(08)23012-4.
• Michael K. Andersson & Sune Karlsson, 2008, "Bayesian forecast combination for VAR models," Advances in Econometrics, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, "Bayesian Econometrics", DOI: 10.1016/S0731-9053(08)23015-X.
• Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & Segers, R., 2008, "Seasonality in revisions of macroeconomic data," Econometric Institute Research Papers, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute, number EI 2008-09, Apr.
• Guillermo Benavides Perales & Israel Felipe Mora Cuevas, 2008, "Parametric vs. non-parametric methods for estimating option implied risk-neutral densities: the case of the exchange rate Mexican peso – US dollar," Ensayos Revista de Economia, Universidad Autonoma de Nuevo Leon, Facultad de Economia, volume 0, issue 1, pages 33-52, May.
• Markku Lanne & Pentti Saikkonen, 2008, "Modeling Expectations with Noncausal Autoregressions," Economics Working Papers, European University Institute, number ECO2008/20.
• Òscar Jordà & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2008, "Path Forecast Evaluation," Economics Working Papers, European University Institute, number ECO2008/34.
• Vít Bubák, 2008, "Value-at-Risk on Central and Eastern European Stock Markets: An Empirical Investigation Using GARCH Models," Working Papers IES, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, number 2008/18, Sep, revised Sep 2008.
• Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & Linton, Oliver & Lima, Luiz Renato Regis de Oliveira, 2008, "Evaluating Value-at-Risk models via Quantile regressions," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE), EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), number 679, Sep.
• Jing-zhi Huang & Hao Zhou, 2008, "Specification analysis of structural credit risk models," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2008-55.
• Tor Jacobson & Rikard Kindell & Jesper Lindé & Kasper Roszbach, 2008, "Firm default and aggregate fluctuations," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, number 08-21.
• Dean Croushore, 2008, "Frontiers of real-time data analysis," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, number 08-4.
• Christian T. Brownlees & Giampiero Gallo, 2008, "Comparison of Volatility Measures: a Risk Management Perspective," Econometrics Working Papers Archive, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti", number wp2008_03, Feb.
• Robert F. Engle & Giampiero M. Gallo & Margherita Velucchi, 2008, "A MEM-based Analysis of Volatility Spillovers in East Asian Financial Markets," Econometrics Working Papers Archive, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti", number wp2008_09, Jun.
• Frédéric Loss & Estelle Malavolti & Thibaud Vergé & Fabian Bergès-Sennou, 2008, "European competition policy modernization : from notifications to legal exception," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-01021575, Jan, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2007.02.001.
• Eric Jondeau & Jean-Guillaume Sahuc, 2008, "Testing Heterogeneity within the Euro Area," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-01612713.
• Gilbert Colletaz & Christophe Hurlin & Sessi Tokpavi, 2008, "Backtesting Value-at-Risk : A GMM Duration-based Test," Post-Print, HAL, number halshs-00363146, Nov.
• Gilbert Colletaz & Christophe Hurlin & Sessi Tokpavi, 2008, "Backtesting Value-at-Risk : A GMM Duration-based Test," Post-Print, HAL, number halshs-00363165, Nov.