Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

1. Forecasting with DSGE Models
2. Forecasting

2015

• Onatski, Alexei, 2015, "Asymptotic analysis of the squared estimation error in misspecified factor models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 186, issue 2, pages 388-406, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2015.02.016.
• Shi, Xiaoxia, 2015, "Model selection tests for moment inequality models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 187, issue 1, pages 1-17, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2015.01.004.
• Lee, Donghoon & Song, Kyungchul, 2015, "Simulated maximum likelihood estimation for discrete choices using transformed simulated frequencies," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 187, issue 1, pages 131-153, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2014.12.009.
• Caner, Mehmet & Fan, Qingliang, 2015, "Hybrid generalized empirical likelihood estimators: Instrument selection with adaptive lasso," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 187, issue 1, pages 256-274, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2015.01.007.
• Baek, Yae In & Cho, Jin Seo & Phillips, Peter C.B., 2015, "Testing linearity using power transforms of regressors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 187, issue 1, pages 376-384, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2015.03.041.
• Baldovin, Fulvio & Caporin, Massimiliano & Caraglio, Michele & Stella, Attilio L. & Zamparo, Marco, 2015, "Option pricing with non-Gaussian scaling and infinite-state switching volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 187, issue 2, pages 486-497, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2015.02.033.
• Andersen, Torben G. & Bondarenko, Oleg & Todorov, Viktor & Tauchen, George, 2015, "The fine structure of equity-index option dynamics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 187, issue 2, pages 532-546, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2015.02.037.
• Hong, Han & Mahajan, Aprajit & Nekipelov, Denis, 2015, "Extremum estimation and numerical derivatives," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 188, issue 1, pages 250-263, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2014.05.019.
• Lu, Xun & Su, Liangjun, 2015, "Jackknife model averaging for quantile regressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 188, issue 1, pages 40-58, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2014.11.005.
• Poskitt, D.S. & Grose, Simone D. & Martin, Gael M., 2015, "Higher-order improvements of the sieve bootstrap for fractionally integrated processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 188, issue 1, pages 94-110, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2015.03.045.
• Hong, Han & Li, Weiming & Wang, Boyu, 2015, "Estimation of dynamic discrete models from time aggregated data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 188, issue 2, pages 435-446, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2015.03.009.
• Lee, Yoonseok & Phillips, Peter C.B., 2015, "Model selection in the presence of incidental parameters," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 188, issue 2, pages 474-489, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2015.03.012.
• Farrell, Max H., 2015, "Robust inference on average treatment effects with possibly more covariates than observations," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 189, issue 1, pages 1-23, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2015.06.017.
• Cai, Zongwu & Juhl, Ted & Yang, Bingduo, 2015, "Functional index coefficient models with variable selection," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 189, issue 2, pages 272-284, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2015.03.022.
• Cheng, Tzu-Chang F. & Ing, Ching-Kang & Yu, Shu-Hui, 2015, "Toward optimal model averaging in regression models with time series errors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 189, issue 2, pages 321-334, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2015.03.026.
• Clements, A.E. & Hurn, A.S. & Volkov, V.V., 2015, "Volatility transmission in global financial markets," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, volume 32, issue C, pages 3-18, DOI: 10.1016/j.jempfin.2014.12.002.
• Shen, Chung-Hua & Luo, Fuyan & Huang, Dengshi, 2015, "Analysis of earnings management influence on the investment efficiency of listed Chinese companies," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, volume 34, issue C, pages 60-78, DOI: 10.1016/j.jempfin.2015.08.003.
• Pringles, Rolando & Olsina, Fernando & Garcés, Francisco, 2015, "Real option valuation of power transmission investments by stochastic simulation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 47, issue C, pages 215-226, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2014.11.011.
• Weron, Rafał & Zator, Michał, 2015, "A note on using the Hodrick–Prescott filter in electricity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 48, issue C, pages 1-6, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2014.11.014.
• Camarero, Mariam & Forte, Anabel & Garcia-Donato, Gonzalo & Mendoza, Yurena & Ordoñez, Javier, 2015, "Variable selection in the analysis of energy consumption–growth nexus," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 52, issue PA, pages 207-216, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2015.10.012.
• Deeney, Peter & Cummins, Mark & Dowling, Michael & Bermingham, Adam, 2015, "Sentiment in oil markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, volume 39, issue C, pages 179-185, DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2015.01.005.
• Wang, Miao & Wong, M. C. Sunny, 2015, "Rational speculative bubbles in the US stock market and political cycles," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 13, issue C, pages 1-9, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2015.03.009.
• Han, Jihun & Park, Hyungbin, 2015, "The intrinsic bounds on the risk premium of Markovian pricing kernels," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 13, issue C, pages 36-44, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2015.03.005.
• Ardia, David & Boudt, Kris, 2015, "Testing equality of modified Sharpe ratios," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 13, issue C, pages 97-104, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2015.02.008.
• Sogiakas, Vasilios & Karathanassis, George, 2015, "Informational efficiency and spurious spillover effects between spot and derivatives markets," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, volume 27, issue C, pages 46-72, DOI: 10.1016/j.gfj.2015.04.004.
• Denuit, Michel & Kiriliouk, Anna & Segers, Johan, 2015, "Max-factor individual risk models with application to credit portfolios," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, volume 62, issue C, pages 162-172, DOI: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2015.03.006.
• Jammazi, Rania & Lahiani, Amine & Nguyen, Duc Khuong, 2015, "A wavelet-based nonlinear ARDL model for assessing the exchange rate pass-through to crude oil prices," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, volume 34, issue C, pages 173-187, DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2014.11.011.
• Bec, Frédérique & Mogliani, Matteo, 2015, "Nowcasting French GDP in real-time with surveys and “blocked” regressions: Combining forecasts or pooling information?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 31, issue 4, pages 1021-1042, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2014.11.006.
• Berg, Tim O. & Henzel, Steffen R., 2015, "Point and density forecasts for the euro area using Bayesian VARs," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 31, issue 4, pages 1067-1095, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2015.03.006.
• Jessen, Cathrine & Lando, David, 2015, "Robustness of distance-to-default," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 50, issue C, pages 493-505, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2014.05.016.
• Darolles, Serge & Fol, Gaëlle Le & Mero, Gulten, 2015, "Measuring the liquidity part of volume," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 50, issue C, pages 92-105, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2014.09.007.
• Tavin, Bertrand, 2015, "Detection of arbitrage in a market with multi-asset derivatives and known risk-neutral marginals," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 53, issue C, pages 158-178, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2014.12.023.
• Fajardo, José, 2015, "Barrier style contracts under Lévy processes: An alternative approach," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 53, issue C, pages 179-187, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2015.01.002.
• Weiß, Gregor N.F. & Scheffer, Marcus, 2015, "Mixture pair-copula-constructions," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 54, issue C, pages 175-191, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2015.01.008.
• Bernard, Carole & Vanduffel, Steven, 2015, "A new approach to assessing model risk in high dimensions," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 58, issue C, pages 166-178, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2015.03.007.
• Cai, Zongwu & Ren, Yu & Yang, Bingduo, 2015, "A semiparametric conditional capital asset pricing model," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 61, issue C, pages 117-126, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2015.09.002.
• Audrino, Francesco & Fengler, Matthias R., 2015, "Are classical option pricing models consistent with observed option second-order moments? Evidence from high-frequency data," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 61, issue C, pages 46-63, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2015.08.018.
• Christiansen, Nels, 2015, "Greasing the wheels: Pork and public goods contributions in a legislative bargaining experiment," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 120, issue C, pages 64-79, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2015.10.004.
• Schneider, Paul, 2015, "Generalized risk premia," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, volume 116, issue 3, pages 487-504, DOI: 10.1016/j.jfineco.2015.03.003.
• Andersen, Torben G. & Fusari, Nicola & Todorov, Viktor, 2015, "The risk premia embedded in index options," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, volume 117, issue 3, pages 558-584, DOI: 10.1016/j.jfineco.2015.06.005.
• Saka, Orkun & Fuertes, Ana-Maria & Kalotychou, Elena, 2015, "ECB policy and Eurozone fragility: Was De Grauwe right?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 54, issue C, pages 168-185, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2015.03.002.
• Funke, Michael & Shu, Chang & Cheng, Xiaoqiang & Eraslan, Sercan, 2015, "Assessing the CNH–CNY pricing differential: Role of fundamentals, contagion and policy," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 59, issue C, pages 245-262, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2015.07.008.
• Dreger, Christian & Wolters, Jürgen, 2015, "Unconventional monetary policy and money demand," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 46, issue C, pages 40-54, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2015.07.005.
• Khan, Jashim & Belk, Russell W. & Craig-Lees, Margaret, 2015, "Measuring consumer perceptions of payment mode," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, volume 47, issue C, pages 34-49, DOI: 10.1016/j.joep.2015.01.006.
• Lucarelli, Caterina & Uberti, Pierpaolo & Brighetti, Gianni & Maggi, Mario, 2015, "Risky choices and emotion-based learning," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, volume 49, issue C, pages 59-73, DOI: 10.1016/j.joep.2015.04.004.
• Dragomirescu-Gaina, Catalin & Elia, Leandro & Weber, Anke, 2015, "A fast-forward look at tertiary education attainment in Europe 2020," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, volume 37, issue 5, pages 804-819, DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2015.05.002.
• Li, Gang & Li, Yong, 2015, "Forecasting copper futures volatility under model uncertainty," Resources Policy, Elsevier, volume 46, issue P2, pages 167-176, DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2015.09.009.
• Geyer, Johannes & Haan, Peter & Wrohlich, Katharina, 2015, "The effects of family policy on maternal labor supply: Combining evidence from a structural model and a quasi-experimental approach," Labour Economics, Elsevier, volume 36, issue C, pages 84-98, DOI: 10.1016/j.labeco.2015.07.001.
• Fantazzini, Dean & Toktamysova, Zhamal, 2015, "Forecasting German car sales using Google data and multivariate models," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, volume 170, issue PA, pages 97-135, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijpe.2015.09.010.
• Swanson, Norman R. & Urbach, Richard, 2015, "Prediction and simulation using simple models characterized by nonstationarity and seasonality," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, volume 40, issue C, pages 312-323, DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2015.02.027.
• Caporin, Massimiliano & Velo, Gabriel G., 2015, "Realized range volatility forecasting: Dynamic features and predictive variables," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, volume 40, issue C, pages 98-112, DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2015.02.021.
• Demirovic, Amer & Tucker, Jon & Guermat, Cherif, 2015, "Accounting data and the credit spread: An empirical investigation," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, volume 34, issue C, pages 233-250, DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2015.02.013.
• Joshua C.C. Chan & Angelia L. Grant, 2015, "Pitfalls of Estimating the Marginal Likelihood Using the Modified Harmonic Mean," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2015-08, Mar.
• Francesco Furlanetto & Nicolas Groshenny, 2015, "Mismatch Shocks and Unemployment During the Great Recession," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2015-17, Jun.
• Joshua C.C. Chan & Angelia L. Grant, 2015, "Modeling energy price dynamics: GARCH versus stochastic volatility," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2015-20, Jun.
• Joshua C.C. Chan & Angelia L. Grant, 2015, "A Bayesian model comparison for trend-cycle decompositions of output," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2015-31, Aug.
• Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat, 2015, "Bayesian model comparison for time-varying parameter VARs with stochastic volatility," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2015-32, Aug.
• Silva, João M. C. Santos & Tenreyro, Silvana & Windmeijer, Frank, 2015, "Testing competing models for non-negative data with many zeros," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 63663, Jan.
• Lleo, Sebastien & Ziemba, Bill, 2015, "The Swiss black swan bad scenario: is Switzerland another casualty of the Eurozone crisis," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 65107, Aug.
• Monti, Francesca, 2015, "Can a data-rich environment help identify the sources of model misspecification?," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 86320, Jan.
• Giuseppe De Luca & Jan R. Magnus & Franco Peracchi, 2015, "On the ambiguous consequences of omitting variables," EIEF Working Papers Series, Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance (EIEF), number 1505, revised May 2015.
• George Lady & Andres J. Buck, 2015, "Estimating a Falsified Model: Some Impossibility Theorems," EcoMod2015, EcoMod, number 8326, Jul.
• Gulten Mero & Serge Darolles & Gaëlle Le Fol, 2015, "Financial Market Liquidity: Who Is Acting Strategically?," Thema Working Papers, THEMA (Théorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), CY Cergy-Paris University, ESSEC and CNRS, number 2015-14.
• Marcel Aloy & Gilles Dufrénot, 2015, "A Comparison of the Fed’s and ECB’s Strategies during the Subprime Crisis," International Symposia in Economic Theory and Econometrics, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, "Monetary Policy in the Context of the Financial Crisis: New Challenges and Lessons", DOI: 10.1108/S1571-038620150000024024.
• Martinet, G.G. & McAleer, M.J., 2015, "On the Invertibility of EGARCH(p,q)," Econometric Institute Research Papers, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute, number EI 2015-12, Feb.
• Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & STELIOS BEKIROS, 2015, "The Role Of News-Based Uncertainty Indices In Predicting Oil Markets: A Hybrid Nonparametric Quantile Causality Method," Working Papers, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics, number 15-02.
• Mariana NICOLAE-BALAN & Raluca Ioana IORGULESCU, 2015, "Analysis Models for Territorial Variation of Demographic Phenomena. The Case of Romania," Eco-Economics Review, Ecological University of Bucharest, Economics Faculty and Ecology and Environmental Protection Faculty, volume 1, issue 1, pages 25-32, June.
• Raja HMILI & Taoufik BOURAOUI, 2015, "Early Warning Indicators of Banking Crisis in Asian Countries," Expert Journal of Finance, Sprint Investify, volume 3, issue 1, pages 1-8.
• Hyytinen, Ari & Meriläinen, Jaakko & Saarimaa, Tuukka & Toivanen, Otto & Tukiainen, Janne, 2015, "Does Regression Discontinuity Design Work? Evidence from Random Election Outcomes," Working Papers, VATT Institute for Economic Research, number 59.
• Galina Hale & John Krainer & Erin McCarthy, 2015, "Aggregation level in stress testing models," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2015-14, Sep, DOI: 10.24148/wp2015-14.
• Mark Bognanni & Edward P. Herbst, 2015, "Estimating (Markov-Switching) VAR Models without Gibbs Sampling: A Sequential Monte Carlo Approach," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2015-116, Dec, DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2015.116.
• Silvia Goncalves & Michael W. McCracken & Benoit Perron, 2015, "Tests of Equal Accuracy for Nested Models with Estimated Factors," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, number 2015-25, Sep, DOI: 10.20955/wp.2015.025.
• Michael W. McCracken & Michael T. Owyang & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2015, "Real-Time Forecasting and Scenario Analysis using a Large Mixed-Frequency Bayesian VAR," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, number 2015-030, Oct, revised 10 Apr 2020, DOI: 10.20955/wp.2015.030.
• Christophe Gouel & Nicolas Legrand, 2015, "Estimating the Competitive Storage Model with Trending Commodity Prices," FOODSECURE Technical papers, LEI Wageningen UR, number 6, Nov.
• Andrew J. Buck & George M. Lady, 2015, "A New Approach to Model Verification, Falsification and Selection," Econometrics, MDPI, volume 3, issue 3, pages 1-28, June.
• Sebastien Lleo & William T. Ziemba, 2015, "The Swiss Black Swan Bad Scenario: Is Switzerland Another Casualty of the Eurozone Crisis?," IJFS, MDPI, volume 3, issue 3, pages 1-30, August.
• Joseph P. Byrne & Shuo Cao. & Dimitris Korobilis., 2015, "Term Structure Dynamics, Macro-Finance Factors and Model Uncertainty," Working Papers, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow, number 2015_08, Feb.
• Dimitris Korobilis., 2015, "Quantile forecasts of inflation under model uncertainty," Working Papers, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow, number 2015_09, Apr.
• Dimitris Korobilis., 2015, "Prior selection for panel vector autoregressions," Working Papers, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow, number 2015_10, Apr.
• Ossola, Elisa & Gagilardini, Patrick & Scaillet, Olivier, 2015, "Time-varying risk premium in large cross-sectional equity datasets," Working Papers, University of Geneva, Geneva School of Economics and Management, number unige:76321.
• Stephan Klasen & Simon Lange, 2015, "Accuracy and Poverty Impacts of Proxy Means-Tested Transfers: An Empirical Assessment for Bolivia," Courant Research Centre: Poverty, Equity and Growth - Discussion Papers, Courant Research Centre PEG, number 164, Jan.
• Stephan Klasen & Simon Lange, 2015, "Targeting Performance and Poverty Effects of Proxy Means-Tested Transfers: Trade-offs and Challenges," Ibero America Institute for Econ. Research (IAI) Discussion Papers, Ibero-America Institute for Economic Research, number 231, Mar.
• Constantin Burgi, 2015, "Can A Subset Of Forecasters Beat The Simple Average In The Spf?," Working Papers, The George Washington University, The Center for Economic Research, number 2015-001, Mar.
• William Larson, 2015, "Forecasting an Aggregate in the Presence of Structural Breaks in the Disaggregates," Working Papers, The George Washington University, The Center for Economic Research, number 2015-002, Jul.
• Jörg Döpke & Ulrich Fritsche & Christian Pierdzioch, 2015, "Predicting Recessions With Boosted Regression Trees," Working Papers, The George Washington University, The Center for Economic Research, number 2015-004, Dec.
• Constantin Bürgi & Tara M. Sinclair, 2015, "A Nonparametric Approach to Identifying a Subset of Forecasters that Outperforms the Simple Average," Working Papers, The George Washington University, The Center for Economic Research, number 2015-006, Dec.
• Christophe Boucher & Patrick Kouontchou & Bertrand Maillet, 2015, "Du risque des mesures de risque systémique," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-01243404, DOI: 10.3917/reco.pr2.0065.
• Marcel Aloy & Gilles Dufrénot, 2015, "A Comparison of the Fed’s and ECB’s Strategies during the Subprime Crisis," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-01456110, Jul.
• Serge Darolles & Gaëlle Le Fol & Gulten Mero, 2015, "Measuring the Liquidity Part of Volume," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-01632766, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2014.09.007.
• Gulten Mero & S. Darolles & Gaëlle Le Fol, 2015, "Measuring the Liquidity Part of Volume," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-02979999, Dec.
• Mihailo Radoman & Marcel Voia, 2015, "Youth Training Programs and Their Impact on Career and Spell Duration of Professional Soccer Players," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-04926597, Apr, DOI: 10.1111/labr.12049.
• Christophe Gouel & Nicolas Legrand, 2015, "Estimating the Competitive Storage Model with Trending Commodity Prices," Working Papers, HAL, number hal-04141412.
• Grote, Claudia & Bertram, Philip, 2015, "A comparative Study of Volatility Breaks," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP), Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät, number dp-558, Jun.
• Jörg Döpke & Ulrich Fritsche & Christian Pierdzioch, 2015, "Predicting Recessions in Germany With Boosted Regression Trees," Macroeconomics and Finance Series, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics, number 201505, Oct.
• Westin, Jonas & de Jong, Gerard & Vierth, Inge & Krüger, Niclas & Karlsson, Rune & Johansson, Magnus, 2015, "Baserunning - analyzing the sensitivity and economies of scale of the Swedish national freight model system using stochastic production-consumption-matrices," Working papers in Transport Economics, CTS - Centre for Transport Studies Stockholm (KTH and VTI), number 2015:10, May, revised 15 Sep 2016.
• Pingel, Ronnie & Waernbaum, Ingeborg, 2015, "Correlation and efficiency of propensity score-based estimators for average causal effects," Working Paper Series, IFAU - Institute for Evaluation of Labour Market and Education Policy, number 2015:3, Feb.
• Anundsen, Andre K. & Nymoen, Ragnar, 2015, "Did US consumers `save for a rainy day' before the Great Recession?," Memorandum, Oslo University, Department of Economics, number 11/2015, May.
• Gjelsvik, Marit Linnea & Nymoen, Ragnar & Sparrman, Victoria, 2015, "Have Inflation Targeting and EU labour Immigration Changed the System of Wage Formation in Norway," Memorandum, Oslo University, Department of Economics, number 18/2015, Oct.
• Lucas, André & Zhang, Xin, 2015, "Score Driven Exponentially Weighted Moving Averages and Value-at-Risk Forecasting," Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden), number 309, Sep.
• Ishihara, Tsunehiro & Watanabe, Toshiaki, 2015, "Econometric Analysis of Business Cycles: A Survey with the Application to the Composite Index in Japan," Economic Review, Hitotsubashi University, volume 66, issue 2, pages 145-168, April, DOI: 10.15057/27510.
• Achim Ahrens, 2015, "Civil conflicts in Africa: Climate, economic shocks, nighttime lights and spill-over effects," SEEC Discussion Papers, Spatial Economics and Econometrics Centre, Heriot Watt University, number 1501.
• Abbas ali Rezaei, 2015, "“Revenue-led Spending” or “Spending-led Revenue” : Evidence from Iran (1978-2012)," Hyperion Economic Journal, Faculty of Economic Sciences, Hyperion University of Bucharest, Romania, volume 3, issue 1, pages 3-19, March.
• Henk-Wim de Boer & Egbert L.W. Jongen & Jan Kabatek, 2015, "The Effectiveness of Fiscal Stimuli for Working Parents," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne, number wp2015n19, Sep.
• Tarek Bouchaddekh & Abdelfatteh Bouri & Makram Nouaili, 2015, "Asset Pricing and Probability of Information-based Trading: Application to the Tunisian Stock Market," Oblik i finansi, Institute of Accounting and Finance, issue 1, pages 58-65, March.
• Toru Kitagawa & Chris Muris, 2015, "Model averaging in semiparametric estimation of treatment effects," CeMMAP working papers, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies, number CWP46/15, Aug.
• Steven Berry & Phil Haile, 2015, "Identification in differentiated product markets," CeMMAP working papers, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies, number CWP47/15, Aug.
• Jia Chen & Degui Li & Oliver Linton & Zudi Lu, 2015, "Semiparametric model averaging of ultra-high dimensional time series," CeMMAP working papers, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies, number CWP62/15, Oct.
• Florin-Marius PAVELESCU, 2015, "Modelling factors of Student test statistics dispersion in a multiple linear regression," Romanian Journal of Economics, Institute of National Economy, volume 41, issue 2(50), pages 25-41, december.
• Levent Bulut, 2015, "Google Arama Motoru ve Turk Lirasi-Dolar Kurunu Belirleyen Yapýsal Modeller," IPEK Working Papers, Ipek University, Department of Economics, number 1501, Jul.
• Levent Bulut, 2015, "Google Trends and Forecasting Performance of Exchange Rate Models," IPEK Working Papers, Ipek University, Department of Economics, number 1505, Aug.
• , , "," IPEK Working Papers, Ipek University, Department of Economics, number 1509.
• Gerdes, Christer, 2015, "A Note on Possible Estimation Bias When Studying Persons with Work Disability in Active Labour Market Programs," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 9264, Aug.
• de Boer, Henk-Wim & Jongen, Egbert L. W. & Kabátek, Jan, 2015, "The Effectiveness of Fiscal Stimuli for Working Parents," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 9298, Aug.
• Sloczynski, Tymon, 2015, "New Evidence on Linear Regression and Treatment Effect Heterogeneity," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 9491, Nov.
• Mariam Camarero & Anabel Forte & Gonzalo García-Donato & Yurena Mendoza & Javier Ordóñez, 2015, "Variable selection in the analysis of energy consumption-growth nexus," Working Papers, Economics Department, Universitat Jaume I, Castellón (Spain), number 2015/15.
• Schanbacher Peter, 2015, "Averaging Across Asset Allocation Models," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, volume 235, issue 1, pages 61-81, February, DOI: 10.1515/jbnst-2015-0106.
• Flaig Gebhard, 2015, "Why We Should Use High Values for the Smoothing Parameter of the Hodrick-Prescott Filter," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, volume 235, issue 6, pages 518-538, December, DOI: 10.1515/jbnst-2015-0602.
• Wagner Martin & Hlouskova Jaroslava, 2015, "Growth Regressions, Principal Components Augmented Regressions and Frequentist Model Averaging," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, volume 235, issue 6, pages 642-662, December, DOI: 10.1515/jbnst-2015-0608.
• William A. Barnett, 2015, "Collaboration with and without Coauthorship: Rocket Science Versus Economic Science," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, number 201501, Aug, revised Aug 2015.
• Jean-Thomas Bernard & Michael Gavin & Lynda Khalaf & Marcel Voia, 2015, "Environmental Kuznets Curve: Tipping Points, Uncertainty and Weak Identification," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, volume 60, issue 2, pages 285-315, February, DOI: 10.1007/s10640-014-9767-y.
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• Kelvin Balcombe & Iain Fraser, 2015, "Parametric preference functionals under risk in the gain domain: A Bayesian analysis," Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, volume 50, issue 2, pages 161-187, April, DOI: 10.1007/s11166-015-9213-8.
• Januj Juneja, 2015, "An evaluation of alternative methods used in the estimation of Gaussian term structure models," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, volume 44, issue 1, pages 1-24, January, DOI: 10.1007/s11156-013-0396-2.
• Mariana Balan, 2015, "From Learning to Productive Active Life in Romania and European Union," Knowledge Horizons - Economics, Faculty of Finance, Banking and Accountancy Bucharest,"Dimitrie Cantemir" Christian University Bucharest, volume 7, issue 3, pages 180-186, September.
• Thor Pajhede, 2015, "Backtesting Value-at-Risk: A Generalized Markov Framework," Discussion Papers, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics, number 15-18, Nov.
• Julius Stakenas, 2015, "Forecasting Lithuanian Inflation," Bank of Lithuania Working Paper Series, Bank of Lithuania, number 17, Jan.
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• Henzel Steffen R. & Lehmann Robert & Wohlrabe Klaus, 2015, "Nowcasting Regional GDP: The Case of the Free State of Saxony," Review of Economics, De Gruyter, volume 66, issue 1, pages 71-98, April, DOI: 10.1515/roe-2015-0105.
• Vardan, Baghdasaryan & Giovanna, Iannantuoni & Valeria, Maggian, 2015, "Electoral fraud and voter turnout," Working Papers, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, number 315, Nov, revised 25 Nov 2015.
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• Mihaela Simionescu, 2015, "The Accuracy Analysis of Inflation Rate Forecasts in Euro Area," Global Economic Observer, "Nicolae Titulescu" University of Bucharest, Faculty of Economic Sciences;Institute for World Economy of the Romanian Academy, volume 3, issue 1, pages 80-85, May.
• Martin Feldkircher & Florian Huber & Josef Schreiner & Marcel Tirpák & Peter Tóth & Julia Wörz, 2015, "Bridging the information gap: small-scale nowcasting models of GDP growth for selected CESEE countries," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 2, pages 56-75.
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• Gabriel Rodríguez, 2015, "Modeling Latin-American Stock Markets Volatility: Varying Probabilities and Mean Reversion in a Random Level Shifts Model," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú, number 2015-403.
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• Claudiu Oprescu, 2015, "Difficulties in business valuation issue in the context of investment strategies," Annals of the University of Petrosani, Economics, University of Petrosani, Romania, volume 15, issue 1, pages 237-244.
• Berg, Tim Oliver, 2015, "Multivariate Forecasting with BVARs and DSGE Models," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 62405, Feb.
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• Henzel, Steffen & Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2015, "Nowcasting Regional GDP: The Case of the Free State of Saxony," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 63714, Apr.
• Byrne, Joseph & Cao, Shuo & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2015, "Term Structure Dynamics, Macro-Finance Factors and Model Uncertainty," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 63844, Apr.
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• Barnett, William, 2015, "Collaboration with and without Coauthorship: Rocket Science Versus Economic Science," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 65236, Jun.
• Bratanova, Alexandra & Robinson, Jacqueline & Wagner, Liam, 2015, "Modification of the LCOE model to estimate a cost of heat and power generation for Russia," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 65925, Aug.
• Bartolucci, Francesco & Pennoni, Fulvia & Vittadini, Giorgio, 2015, "Causal latent Markov model for the comparison of multiple treatments in observational longitudinal studies," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 66492, Aug.
• Hanif, Muhammad Nadim & Malik, Muhammad Jahanzeb, 2015, "Evaluating Performance of Inflation Forecasting Models of Pakistan," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 66843, Sep.
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• Asongu, Simplice & Nwachukwu, Jacinta, 2015, "Drivers of FDI in Fast Growing Developing Countries: Evidence from Bundling and Unbundling Governance," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 67294, Feb.
• Asongu, Simplice & Kodila-Tedika, Oasis, 2015, "Conditional determinants of FDI in fast emerging economies: an instrumental quantile regression approach," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 67297, Feb.
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• Asongu, Simplice, 2015, "Determinants of Growth in Fast Developing Countries: Evidence from Bundling and Unbundling Institutions," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 67310, Mar.
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• Asongu, Simplice & Efobi, Uchenna & Beecroft, Ibukun, 2015, "FDI, Aid, Terrorism: Conditional Threshold Evidence from Developing Countries," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 67856, May.
• Asongu, Simplice & Nwachukwu, Jacinta, 2015, "Fighting Terrorism: Empirics on Policy Harmonization," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 68314, Jun.
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• Asongu, Simplice & El Montasser, Ghassen & Toumi, Hassen, 2015, "Testing the Relationships between Energy Consumption, CO2 emissions and Economic Growth in 24 African Countries: a Panel ARDL Approach," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 69442.
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• Perdomo Calvo, Jorge Andrés, 2015, "The Effects of the Bus Rapid Transit Infrastructure on the Property Values in Colombia," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 79611, Oct.
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• Riadh Aloui & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2015, "Uncertainty and Crude Oil Returns," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201503, Feb.
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• Rangan Gupta, 2015, "Forecasting Inflation in an Inflation Targeting Economy: Structural Versus Non-Structural Models," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201547, Jun.
• Goodness C. Aye & Tsangyao Chang & Rangan Gupta, 2015, "Is Gold an Inflation-Hedge? Evidence from an Interrupted Markov-Switching Cointegration Model," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201559, Aug.
• Ching-Wai (Jeremy) Chiu & Haroon Mumtaz & Gabor Pinter, 2015, "Forecasting with VAR Models: Fat Tails and Stochastic Volatility," CReMFi Discussion Papers, CReMFi, School of Economics and Finance, QMUL, number 2, Feb.
• Karen Poghosyan, 2015, "Alternative models for forecasting the key macroeconomic variables in Armenia (in Russian)," Quantile, Quantile, issue 13, pages 25-39, May.
• Annastiina Silvennoinen & Timo Terasvirta, 2015, "Testing constancy of unconditional variance in volatility models by misspecification and specification tests," NCER Working Paper Series, National Centre for Econometric Research, number 108, Oct.