Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

1. Forecasting with DSGE Models
2. Forecasting

2012

• Prowse, Victoria, 2012, "Modeling employment dynamics with state dependence and unobserved heterogeneity," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 38038, Apr, revised 10 Apr 2012.
• Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2012, "Large time-varying parameter VARs," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 38591, Feb.
• Fan, Jianqing & Liao, Yuan, 2012, "Endogeneity in ultrahigh dimension," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 38698.
• Doretti, Marco, 2012, "Modelli di scoring per il rischio paese
  [Scoring models for country risk]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 38898, Feb.
• Owyang, Michael T. & Piger, Jeremy & Wall, Howard J., 2012, "Forecasting national recessions using state-level data," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 39168, Apr.
• Janczura, Joanna & Trueck, Stefan & Weron, Rafal & Wolff, Rodney, 2012, "Identifying spikes and seasonal components in electricity spot price data: A guide to robust modeling," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 39277, Jun.
• Gabrielsen, A. & Zagaglia, Paolo & Kirchner, A. & Liu, Z., 2012, "Forecasting Value-at-Risk with time-varying variance, skewness and kurtosis in an exponential weighted moving average framework," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 39294, Jun.
• Simwaka, Kisu, 2012, "Testing for time-varying fractional cointegration using the bootstrap approach," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 39698, Jun.
• Grydaki, Maria & Bezemer, Dirk J., 2012, "The Role of Credit in Great Moderation: a Multivariate GARCH Approach," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 39813, Jun.
• Bernardi, Mauro & Maruotti, Antonello & Lea, Petrella, 2012, "Skew mixture models for loss distributions: a Bayesian approach," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 39826.
• Chan, Joshua & Eisenstat, Eric, 2012, "Marginal Likelihood Estimation with the Cross-Entropy Method," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 40051.
• Zhu, Ke, 2012, "A mixed portmanteau test for ARMA-GARCH model by the quasi-maximum exponential likelihood estimation approach," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 40382, Jul.
• Barnett, William A. & Eryilmaz, Unal, 2012, "Hopf bifurcation in the Clarida, Gali, and Gertler model," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 40668, Aug.
• Doko Tchatoka, Firmin & Dufour, Jean-Marie, 2012, "Identification-robust inference for endogeneity parameters in linear structural models," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 40695, Aug.
• Sirucek, Martin, 2012, "The impact of money supply on stock prices and stock bubbles," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 40919, Jun.
• Liu, Chu-An, 2012, "A plug-in averaging estimator for regressions with heteroskedastic errors," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 41414, Aug.
• Leeb, Hannes & Pötscher, Benedikt M., 2012, "Testing in the Presence of Nuisance Parameters: Some Comments on Tests Post-Model-Selection and Random Critical Values," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 41459.
• Khalfaoui, R & Boutahar, M, 2012, "Portfolio risk evaluation: An approach based on dynamic conditional correlations models and wavelet multiresolution analysis," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 41624, Sep.
• Lanne, Markku & Luoto, Jani, 2012, "Does Output Gap, Labor's Share or Unemployment Rate Drive Inflation?," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 41820.
• Medel, Carlos A. & Salgado, Sergio C., 2012, "Does BIC Estimate and Forecast Better than AIC?," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 42235, Oct.
• Kang, Lili & Peng, Fei, 2012, "Selection and Real wage cyclicality: Germany Case," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 42452, Oct.
• Chatelain, Jean-Bernard & Ralf, Kirsten, 2012, "Spurious Regressions and Near-Multicollinearity, with an Application to Aid, Policies and Growth," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 42533, Nov.
• Bartolucci, Francesco & Grilli, Leonardo & Pieroni, Luca, 2012, "Estimating dynamic causal effects with unobserved confounders: a latent class version of the inverse probability weighted estimator," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 43430, Oct.
• Leon, Jorge, 2012, "Managing the Uncertainty in the Hodrick Prescott Filter," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 44531, revised 2012.
• Ferreira Lima, Luis Cristovao, 2012, "The determinants of the academic outcome: an Bayesian approach using a sample of economics students from the University of Brasilia, Brazil," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 44784, Nov.
• Teneng, Dean, 2012, "Modeling and forecasting foreign exchange daily closing prices with normal inverse Gaussian," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 47855, Sep.
• Ezzat, Hassan, 2012, "The Application of GARCH and EGARCH in Modeling the Volatility of Daily Stock Returns During Massive Shocks: The Empirical Case of Egypt," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 50530, Aug.
• Dinda, Soumyananda, 2012, "China Integrates Asia with the World: An Empirical Study," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 63952, Jul, revised 08 Nov 2014.
• Marin, J. Miguel & Sucarrat, Genaro, 2012, "Financial Density Selection," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 66839, Aug, revised 13 Jun 2012.
• Jaramillo Franco, Miguel & Serván Lozano, Sergio, 2012, "Modeling exchange rate dynamics in Peru: A cointegration approach using the UIP and PPP," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 70772, Apr.
• Herrera Gómez, Marcos & Mur Lacambra, Jesús & Ruiz Marín, Manuel, 2012, "Selecting the Most Adequate Spatial Weighting Matrix:A Study on Criteria," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 73700, Jul.
• Melhem, Sadek & terraza, Michel & chikhi, Mohamed, 2012, "Cyclical Mackey Glass Model for Oil Bull Seasonal," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 76206, revised 2012.
• Omotosho, Babatunde S. & Doguwa, Sani I., 2012, "Understanding the dynamics of inflation volatility in Nigeria: A GARCH perspective," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 96125, Jun.
• Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Mampho P. Modise, 2012, "Structural Breaks and Predictive Regressions Models of South African Equity Premium," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201209, Mar.
• Gary Koop, 2012, "Using VARs and TVP-VARs with Many Macroeconomic Variables," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, volume 4, issue 3, pages 143-167, September.
• Sofia D. ANASTASIADOU, 2012, "A Structural Model Describe Chinese Tradesmen Attitudes Towards Greek Students Consumption Behavior," Scientific Bulletin - Economic Sciences, University of Pitesti, volume 11, issue 2, pages 102-111.
• Tian Xie, 2012, "Least Squares Model Averaging By Prediction Criterion," Working Paper, Economics Department, Queen's University, number 1299, Nov.
• John Muellbauer, 2012, "When is a Housing Market Overheated Enough to Threaten Stability?," RBA Annual Conference Volume (Discontinued), Reserve Bank of Australia, in: Alexandra Heath & Frank Packer & Callan Windsor, "Property Markets and Financial Stability".
• Ferreyra, Jesús & Vásquez, José, 2012, "Proyección de precios de exportación utilizando tipos de cambio: Caso peruano," Working Papers, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, number 2012-008, Feb.
• Barrera, Carlos, 2012, "El ciclo común y los grupos homogéneos en la inflación," Working Papers, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, number 2012-010, Apr.
• Carol Alexander & Marcel Prokopczuk & Anannit Sumawon, 2012, "The (De)merits of Minimum-Variance Hedging: Application to the Crack Spread," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance, Henley Business School, University of Reading, number icma-dp2012-01, Jan.
• Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2012, "Large Time-Varying Parameter VARs," Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis, number 11_12, Mar.
• Alexandros Gabrielsen & Paolo Zagaglia & Axel Kirchner & Zhuoshi Liu, 2012, "Forecasting Value-at-Risk with Time-Varying Variance, Skewness and Kurtosis in an Exponential Weighted Moving Average Framework," Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis, number 34_12, Jun.
• Jennifer L. Castle & Jurgen A. Doornik & David F. Hendry, 2012, "Model Selection in Equations with Many 'Small' Effects," Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis, number 53_12, Jul.
• Samuel K. Ampaabeng & Chih Ming Tang, 2012, "The Long-Term Cognitive Consequences of Early Childhood Malnutrition: The Case of Famine in Ghana," Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis, number 64_12, Sep.
• Chris Florakis & Gianluigi Giorgioni & Alexandros Kostakis & Costas Milas, 2012, "The Impact of Stock Market Illiquidity on Real UK GDP Growth," Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis, number 65_12, Nov.
• Dimitris Korobilis, 2012, "Bayesian Forecasting with Highly Correlated Predictors," Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis, number 67_12, Nov.
• Sergei Aivazian & Mikhail Afanasiev & Victoria Rudenko, 2012, "Some specification aspects for three-factor models of a company's production potential taking into account intellectual capital," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), volume 27, issue 3, pages 36-69.
• Olga Demidova, 2012, "The European residents' attitude towards immigrants: A comparative analysis based on the ESS data," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), volume 28, issue 4, pages 23-34.
• Vasilios Plakandaras & Theophilos Papadimitriou & Periklis Gogas, 2012, "Directional forecasting in financial time series using support vector machines: The USD/Euro exchange rate," DUTH Research Papers in Economics, Democritus University of Thrace, Department of Economics, number 5-2012, Jan.
• Lee, Chien Chiang & Chang, Chun Ping, 2012, "The Demand for Money in China: A Reassessment Using the Bounds Testing Approach," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, volume 0, issue 1, pages 74-94, March.
• Stratan, Alexandru & Chistruga, Marcel, 2012, "The Macromodel of the Moldovan Economy Medium-Term Forecast for Moldova," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, volume 0, issue 2, pages 68-84, June.
• Pavelescu, Florin Marius, 2012, "Interdendenta dintre tipul de colinearitate si valorile calculate ale testului Student in cazul unei regresii lineare cu doua variabile explicative," Working Papers of Macroeconomic Modelling Seminar, Institute for Economic Forecasting, number 122502, Mar.
• Georgeta VINTILA & Georgia Maria TOROAPA, 2012, "Forecasting the Bankruptcy Risk on the Example of Romanian Enterprises," Romanian Statistical Review Supplement, Romanian Statistical Review, volume 60, issue 2, pages 377-388, May.
• Łukasz Goczek, 2012, "Metody ekonometryczne w modelach wzrostu gospodarczego," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 10, pages 49-71.
• Katja Drechsel & Rolf Scheufele, 2012, "Bottom-up or Direct? Forecasting German GDP in a Data-rich Environment," Working Papers, Swiss National Bank, number 2012-16.
• Alfredo García-Hiernaux & José Casals & Miguel Jerez, 2012, "Estimating the system order by subspace methods," Computational Statistics, Springer, volume 27, issue 3, pages 411-425, September, DOI: 10.1007/s00180-011-0264-2.
• George Dikos & Dimitrios Thomakos, 2012, "Econometric testing of the real option hypothesis: evidence from investment in oil tankers," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 42, issue 1, pages 121-145, February, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-010-0412-5.
• Daniel Buncic, 2012, "Understanding forecast failure of ESTAR models of real exchange rates," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 43, issue 1, pages 399-426, August, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-011-0460-5.
• Jens Hougaard & Tue Tjur & Lars Østerdal, 2012, "On the meaningfulness of testing preference axioms in stated preference discrete choice experiments," The European Journal of Health Economics, Springer;Deutsche Gesellschaft für Gesundheitsökonomie (DGGÖ), volume 13, issue 4, pages 409-417, August, DOI: 10.1007/s10198-011-0312-4.
• Lars Hansen & José Scheinkman, 2012, "Pricing growth-rate risk," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, volume 16, issue 1, pages 1-15, January, DOI: 10.1007/s00780-010-0141-9.
• Hassan Mohammadi & Mohammad Jahan-Parvar, 2012, "Oil prices and exchange rates in oil-exporting countries: evidence from TAR and M-TAR models," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, volume 36, issue 3, pages 766-779, July, DOI: 10.1007/s12197-010-9156-5.
• Guillaume Fréchette & John Kagel & Massimo Morelli, 2012, "Pork versus public goods: an experimental study of public good provision within a legislative bargaining framework," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), volume 49, issue 3, pages 779-800, April, DOI: 10.1007/s00199-011-0611-0.
• Alfredo Pereira & Jorge Andraz, 2012, "Social security and economic performance in Portugal: after all that has been said and done how much has actually changed?," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, volume 11, issue 2, pages 83-100, August, DOI: 10.1007/s10258-012-0082-7.
• Matteo Barigozzi & Alessio Moneta, 2012, "Identifying the Independent Sources of Consumption Variation," LEM Papers Series, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy, number 2012/16, Sep.
• Yaw Osei Adofo & Joanne Evans & Lester Charles Hunt, 2012, "How sensitive to time period sampling is the asymmetric price response specification in energy demand modelling?," Surrey Energy Economics Centre (SEEC), School of Economics Discussion Papers (SEEDS), Surrey Energy Economics Centre (SEEC), School of Economics, University of Surrey, number 138, Nov.
• Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman & Bo Yang, 2012, "Imperfect Information, Optimal Monetary Policy and Informational Consistency," School of Economics Discussion Papers, School of Economics, University of Surrey, number 1012, Aug.
• James Morley & Jeremy Piger & Pao-Lin Tien, 2012, "Reproducing Business Cycle Features: Are Nonlinear Dynamics a Proxy for Multivariate Information?," Discussion Papers, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales, number 2012-23, Mar.
• Hong il Yoo, 2012, "The perceived unreliability of rank-ordered data: an econometric origin and implications," Discussion Papers, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales, number 2012-46, Nov.
• Hong il Yoo, 2012, "The confounding effects of consumer heterogeneity on model-based inference of attribute non-attendance," Discussion Papers, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales, number 2012-47, Nov.
• Donghyun Oh & Almas Heshmati & Hans Lööf, 2012, "Technical change and total factor productivity growth for Swedish manufacturing and service industries," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 44, issue 18, pages 2373-2391, June, DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.564147.
• M. Ali Choudhary & Adnan Haider, 2012, "Neural network models for inflation forecasting: an appraisal," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 44, issue 20, pages 2631-2635, July, DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566190.
• Akhter Faroque & William Veloce & Jean-Francois Lamarche, 2012, "Have structural changes eliminated the out-of-sample ability of financial variables to forecast real activity after the mid-1980s? Evidence from the Canadian economy," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 44, issue 30, pages 3965-3985, October, DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.583226.
• M. Ali Choudhary & Adnan Haider, 2012, "Neural network models for inflation forecasting: an appraisal," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 44, issue 20, pages 2631-2635, July, DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566190.
• Andrew Patton & Allan Timmermann, 2012, "Forecast Rationality Tests Based on Multi-Horizon Bounds," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 30, issue 1, pages 1-17, DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2012.634337.
• Pascal Lavergne & Valentin Patilea, 2012, "One for All and All for One: Regression Checks With Many Regressors," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 30, issue 1, pages 41-52, DOI: 10.1198/jbes.2011.07152.
• John M. Maheu & Thomas H. McCurdy & Yong Song, 2012, "Components of Bull and Bear Markets: Bull Corrections and Bear Rallies," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 30, issue 3, pages 391-403, February, DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2012.680412.
• Victoria Prowse, 2012, "Modeling Employment Dynamics With State Dependence and Unobserved Heterogeneity," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 30, issue 3, pages 411-431, April, DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2012.697851.
• Barbara Rossi & Atsushi Inoue, 2012, "Out-of-Sample Forecast Tests Robust to the Choice of Window Size," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 30, issue 3, pages 432-453, April, DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2012.693850.
• Lili Kang & Fei Peng, 2012, "A selection analysis of returns to education in China," Post-Communist Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 24, issue 4, pages 535-554, March, DOI: 10.1080/14631377.2012.729307.
• Giovanni Cerulli & Bianca Potì, 2012, "Evaluating the Robustness of the Effect of Public Subsidies on Firms' R&D: An Application to Italy," Journal of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 15, issue 2, pages 287-320, November, DOI: 10.1016/S1514-0326(12)60013-0.
• Nicolas Debarsy, 2012, "The Mundlak Approach in the Spatial Durbin Panel Data Model," Spatial Economic Analysis, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 7, issue 1, pages 109-131, March, DOI: 10.1080/17421772.2011.647059.
• Doko Tchatoka, Firmin, 2012, "Testing for partial exogeneity with weak identification," Working Papers, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics, number 14565, May, revised 31 May 2012.
• Doko Tchatoka, Firmin, 2012, "Specification tests with weak and invalid instruments," Working Papers, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics, number 15063, Jun, revised 26 Jun 2012.
• Doko Tchatoka, Firmin & Dufour, Jean-Marie, 2012, "Identification-robust inference for endogeneity parameters in linear structural models," Working Papers, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics, number 15064, Aug, revised 01 Aug 2012.
• Kurmas Akdogan & Selen Baser & Meltem Gulenay Chadwick & Dilara Ertug & Timur Hulagu & Sevim Kosem & Fethi Ogunc & M. Utku Ozmen & Necati Tekatli, 2012, "Short-Term Inflation Forecasting Models For Turkey and a Forecast Combination Analysis," Working Papers, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, number 1209.
• Oscar Jorda & Moritz HP. Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2012, "When Credit Bites Back: Leverage, Business Cycles and Crises," Working Papers Series, Institute for New Economic Thinking, number 20, Oct, DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2682713.
• Rodney Strachan & Herman K. van Dijk, 2012, "Evidence on Features of a DSGE Business Cycle Model from Bayesian Model Averaging," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 12-025/4, Mar.
• Magnus, J.R. & Wang, W., 2012, "Concept-Based Bayesian Model Averaging and Growth Empirics," Discussion Paper, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research, number 2012-017.
• Magnus, J.R. & Wang, W., 2012, "Concept-Based Bayesian Model Averaging and Growth Empirics," Other publications TiSEM, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management, number 889f1e52-6cc4-470e-87ce-2.
• Javier Mencía & Enrique Sentana, 2012, "Distributional Tests in Multivariate Dynamic Models with Normal and Student-t Innovations," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, volume 94, issue 1, pages 133-152, February.
• Elena Andreou & Bas J. M. Werker, 2012, "An Alternative Asymptotic Analysis of Residual-Based Statistics," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, volume 94, issue 1, pages 88-99, February.
• John B. Taylor & Volker Wieland, 2012, "Surprising Comparative Properties of Monetary Models: Results from a New Model Database," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, volume 94, issue 3, pages 800-816, August.
• Marco Bee & Massimo Riccaboni & Stefano Schiavo, 2012, "A Trick of the (Pareto) Tail," Department of Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics, University of Trento, Italia, number 1206.
• Fève, Patrick & Jidoud, Ahmat, 2012, "Identifying News Shocks from SVARs," TSE Working Papers, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), number 12-287, Mar.
• Fève, Patrick & Jidoud, Ahmat, 2012, "News Shocks, Information Flows and SVARs," TSE Working Papers, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), number 12-286, Mar.
• Massimiliano Caporin & Michael McAleer, 2012, "Robust Ranking of Multivariate GARCH Models by Problem Dimension," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2012-06, revised Apr 2012.
• Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee, 2012, "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Concise Review of Some Recent Developments," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2012-14, Jun.
• Yasmin Briceño Santafé & Giampaolo Orlandoni Merli, 2012, "Determination of bank risk indicators and macroeconomic conditions in Venezuela (1997-2009)," Economía, Instituto de Investigaciones Económicas y Sociales (IIES). Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Sociales. Universidad de Los Andes. Mérida, Venezuela, volume 37, issue 34, pages 55-88, july-dece.
• Barbara Rossi & Atsushi Inoue, 2012, "Out-of-sample forecast tests robust to the choice of window size," Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, number 1404, Apr.
• Barbara Rossi, 2012, "The changing relationship between commodity prices and equity prices in commodity exporting," Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, number 1405, Oct.
• Martínez Ibáñez, Óscar & Manjón Antolín, Miguel C. & Arauzo Carod, Josep Maria, 2012, "The Geographical Scope of Industrial Location Determinants: An Alternative Approach," Working Papers, Universitat Rovira i Virgili, Department of Economics, number 2072/212205.
• Corsi, Fulvio & Peluso, Stefano & Audrino, Francesco, 2012, "Missing in Asynchronicity: A Kalman-EM Approach for Multivariate Realized Covariance Estimation," Economics Working Paper Series, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science, number 1202, Jan.
• Roberta DE SANTIS, 2012, "The Impact Of Growth On Biodiversity: An Empirical Assessment," Journal of Applied Economic Sciences, Spiru Haret University, Faculty of Financial Management and Accounting Craiova, volume 7, issue 3(21)/ Fa, pages 283-290.
• Gordan Stojić, 2012, "Using Fuzzy Logic for Evaluating the Level of Countries’ (Regions’) Economic Development," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, volume 59, issue 3, pages 293-310.
• Mirjana Miletić, 2012, "Estimating the Impact of the Balassa-Samuelson Effect in Central and Eastern European Countries: A Revised Analysis of Panel Data Cointegration Tests," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, volume 59, issue 4, pages 475-499.
• Valente J. Matlaba & Mark Holmes & Philip McCann & Jacques Poot, 2012, "Agglomeration Externalities and 1981-2006 Regional Growth in Brazil," Working Papers in Economics, University of Waikato, number 12/07, Jun.
• Paweł Strawiński, 2012, "Small sample properties of matching with caliper," Working Papers, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw, number 2012-13.
• Irina Možajeva, 2012, "Multidimensional Health Modelling: Association between Socioeconomic Factors and Health in Latvia," Economic Research Guardian, Mutascu Publishing, volume 2, issue 2, pages 160-179, December.
• Zsuzsanna Csereklyei & Stefan Humer, 2012, "Modelling Primary Energy Consumption under Model Uncertainty," Department of Economics Working Papers, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics, number wuwp147, Nov.
• Csereklyei, Zsuzsanna & Humer, Stefan, 2012, "Modelling Primary Energy Consumption under Model Uncertainty," Department of Economics Working Paper Series, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business, number 147, Nov.
• Tue Gørgens & Allan Würtz, 2012, "Testing a parametric function against a non‐parametric alternative in IV and GMM settings," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, volume 15, issue 3, pages 462-489, October, DOI: j.1368-423X.2012.00382.x.
• Jean‐Thomas Bernard & Jean‐Marie Dufour & Lynda Khalaf & Maral Kichian, 2012, "An identification‐robust test for time‐varying parameters in the dynamics of energy prices," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 27, issue 4, pages 603-624, June.
• Markku Lanne & Arto Luoma & Jani Luoto, 2012, "Bayesian Model Selection And Forecasting In Noncausal Autoregressive Models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 27, issue 5, pages 812-830, August.
• Dennis Fok & Richard Paap & Bram Van Dijk, 2012, "A Rank‐Ordered Logit Model With Unobserved Heterogeneity In Ranking Capabilities," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 27, issue 5, pages 831-846, August.
• Diaa Noureldin & Neil Shephard & Kevin Sheppard, 2012, "Multivariate high‐frequency‐based volatility (HEAVY) models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 27, issue 6, pages 907-933, September.
• Sébastien Laurent & Jeroen V. K. Rombouts & Francesco Violante, 2012, "On the forecasting accuracy of multivariate GARCH models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 27, issue 6, pages 934-955, September.
• Xiaoshan Chen & Ronald Macdonald, 2012, "Realized and Optimal Monetary Policy Rules in an Estimated Markov‐Switching DSGE Model of the United Kingdom," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 44, issue 6, pages 1091-1116, September, DOI: 10.1111/j.1538-4616.2012.00524.x.
• Qaiser Munir & Kok Sook Ching & Fumitaka Furouka & Kasim Mansur, 2012, "The Efficient Market Hypothesis Revisited: Evidence From The Five Small Open Asean Stock Markets," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., volume 57, issue 03, pages 1-12, DOI: 10.1142/S021759081250021X.
• Franke, Reiner & Jang, Tae-Seok & Sacht, Stephen, 2012, "Moment matching versus Bayesian estimation: Backward-looking behaviour in a New-Keynesian baseline model," Economics Working Papers, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics, number 2012-08.
• Aßmann, Christian & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Pape, Markus, 2012, "The directional identification problem in Bayesian factor analysis: An ex-post approach," Economics Working Papers, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics, number 2012-11.
• Tinschert, Jonas & Cremers, Heinz, 2012, "Fixed income strategies for trading and for asset management," Frankfurt School - Working Paper Series, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management, number 191.
• Mora Rodriguez, Jhon James & Muro, Juan, 2012, "Consistent estimation of pseudo panels in the presence of selection bias," Economics Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 2012-26.
• Qin, Duo & He, Xinhua, 2012, "Globalisation effect on inflation in the great moderation era: New evidence from G10 countries," Economics Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 2012-56.
• Ulaşan, Bülent, 2012, "Cross-country growth empirics and model uncertainty: An overview," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy, volume 6, pages 1-69, DOI: 10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2012-.
• Aßmann, Christian & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Pape, Markus, 2012, "The directional identification problem in Bayesian factor analysis: An ex-post approach," Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 1799.
• Schmidt, Sebastian & Wieland, Volker, 2012, "The new keynesian approach to dynamic general equilibrium modeling: Models, methods, and macroeconomic policy evaluation," IMFS Working Paper Series, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS), number 52.
• Taylor, John B. & Wieland, Volker, 2012, "Surprising comparative properties of monetary models: Results from a new model database," IMFS Working Paper Series, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS), number 66.
• Dickhaus, Thorsten, 2012, "Simultaneous statistical inference in dynamic factor models," SFB 649 Discussion Papers, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk, number 2012-033.
• Landau, Katja & Klasen, Stephan & Zucchini, Walter, 2012, "Measuring Vulnerability to Poverty Using Long-Term Panel Data," VfS Annual Conference 2012 (Goettingen): New Approaches and Challenges for the Labor Market of the 21st Century, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 66057.
• De Rassenfosse, Gaétan & Wastyn, Annelies, 2012, "Selection bias in innovation studies: A simple test," ZEW Discussion Papers, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research, number 12-012.

2011

• E. Davis & Dilruba Karim & Iana Liadze, 2011, "Should multivariate early warning systems for banking crises pool across regions?," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), volume 147, issue 4, pages 693-716, November, DOI: 10.1007/s10290-011-0102-1.
• Pål Boug & Ådne Cappelen & Anders R. Swensen, 2011, "The new Keynesian Phillips curve: Does it fit Norwegian data?," Discussion Papers, Statistics Norway, Research Department, number 652, May.
• Markus Jochmann & Gary Koop, 2011, "Regime-Switching Cointegration," Working Papers, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics, number 1125, May.
• Miguel Belmonte & Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2011, "Hierarchical Shrinkage in Time-Varying Parameter Models," Working Papers, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics, number 1137, Jun.
• Lütkepohl, Helmut & Proietti, Tommaso, 2011, "Does the Box-Cox transformation help in forecasting macroeconomic time series?," Working Papers, University of Sydney Business School, Discipline of Business Analytics, number 08/2011, Oct.
• Proietti, Tommaso, 2011, "The Multistep Beveridge-Nelson Decomposition," Working Papers, University of Sydney Business School, Discipline of Business Analytics, number 09/2011, Oct.
• Paul Alagidede & Theodore Panagiotidis & Xu Zhang, 2011, "Why a diversified portfolio should include African assets," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 18, issue 14, pages 1333-1340, DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.537617.
• WenShwo Fang & Stephen Miller, 2011, "The lag in effect of inflation targeting and policy evaluation," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 18, issue 14, pages 1371-1375, DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.537624.
• Jorge Perdomo, 2011, "A methodological proposal to estimate changes of residential property value: case study developed in Bogota," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 18, issue 16, pages 1577-1581, DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.554360.
• Timo Terasvirta & Zhenfang Zhao, 2011, "Stylized facts of return series, robust estimates and three popular models of volatility," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 21, issue 1-2, pages 67-94, DOI: 10.1080/09603107.2011.523195.
• Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & Luiz Renato Lima & Oliver Linton & Daniel R. Smith, 2011, "Evaluating Value-at-Risk Models via Quantile Regression," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 29, issue 1, pages 150-160, January, DOI: 10.1198/jbes.2010.07318.
• Viktor Todorov & George Tauchen, 2011, "Volatility Jumps," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 29, issue 3, pages 356-371, July, DOI: 10.1198/jbes.2010.08342.
• Bertil Wegmann & Mattias Villani, 2011, "Bayesian Inference in Structural Second-Price Common Value Auctions," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 29, issue 3, pages 382-396, July, DOI: 10.1198/jbes.2011.08289.
• Andrew J. Patton & Allan Timmermann, 2011, "Forecast Rationality Tests Based on Multi-Horizon Bounds," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 30, issue 1, pages 1-17, June, DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2012.634337.
• Pascal Lavergne & Valentin Patilea, 2011, "One for All and All for One: Regression Checks With Many Regressors," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 30, issue 1, pages 41-52, January, DOI: 10.1198/jbes.2011.07152.
• Firmin Doko Tchatoka, 2011, "Subset hypotheses testing and instrument exclusion in the linear IV regression," Working Papers, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics, number 10668.
• Mahir Binici & Yin-Wong Cheung, 2011, "Exchange Rate Equations Based on Interest Rate Rules : In-Sample and Out-of-Sample Performance (Faiz Kurallarina Dayali Doviz Kuru Denklemleri : Orneklem Ici ve Disi Performans)," Working Papers, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, number 1114.
• Mahir Binici & Yin-Wong Cheung, 2011, "Exchange Rate Dynamics under Alternative Optimal Interest Rate Rules," Working Papers, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, number 1116.
• Efe Çağlar Çağli & Pinar Evrim Mandaci & Pinar Hakan Kahyaoğlu, 2011, "Volatility Shifts and Persistence in Variance: Evidence from the Sector Indices of Istanbul Stock Exchange," International Journal of Business and Economic Sciences Applied Research (IJBESAR), Democritus University of Thrace (DUTH), Kavala Campus, Greece, volume 4, issue 3, pages 119-140, December.
• Andrew J. Buck & George M. Lady, 2011, "Structural Sign Patterns and Reduced Form Restrictions," DETU Working Papers, Department of Economics, Temple University, number 1102, Jun.
• Andrew J. Buck & George M. Lady, 2011, "Structural Models, Information and Inherited Restrictions," DETU Working Papers, Department of Economics, Temple University, number 1103, Jun.
• Cem Cakmakli & Richard Paap & Dick J.C. van Dijk, 2011, "Modeling and Estimation of Synchronization in Multistate Markov-Switching Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 11-002/4, Jan.
• Rodney W. Strachan & Herman K. van Dijk, 2011, "Divergent Priors and well Behaved Bayes Factors," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 11-006/4, Jan.
• Lennart F. Hoogerheide & David Ardia & Nienke Corre, 2011, "Stock Index Returns' Density Prediction using GARCH Models: Frequentist or Bayesian Estimation?," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 11-020/4, Jan.
• Marcin Wojtowicz, 2011, "CDOs and the Financial Crisis: Credit Ratings and Fair Premia," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 11-022/2/DSF 8, Feb.
• Pieter A. Gautier & Aico van Vuuren, 2011, "A Flexible Test for Present Bias and Time Preferences using Land-Lease Contracts," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 11-087/3, Jun.
• Lennart F. Hoogerheide & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2011, "Backtesting Value-at-Risk using Forecasts for Multiple Horizons, a Comment on the Forecast Rationality Tests of A.J. Patton and A. Timmermann," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 11-131/4, Sep.
• Cem Cakmakli & Richard Paap & Dick van Dijk, 2011, "Measuring and Predicting Heterogeneous Recessions," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 11-154/4, Nov, revised 15 Nov 2011.
• Frank A.G. den Butter & Harro B.J.B. Maas, 2011, "From Expert Judgment to Model based Monetary Analysis: The Case of the Dutch Central Bank in the Postwar Period," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 11-161/3, Nov.
• De Luca, G. & Magnus, J.R., 2011, "Bayesian Model Averaging and Weighted Average Least Squares : Equivariance, Stability, and Numerical Issues," Discussion Paper, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research, number 2011-082.
• Einmahl, J.H.J. & Magnus, J.R. & Kumar, K., 2011, "On the Choice of Prior in Bayesian Model Averaging," Discussion Paper, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research, number 2011-003.
• Poghosyan, K. & Magnus, J.R., 2011, "WALS estimation and forecasting in factor-based dynamic models with an application to Armenia," Discussion Paper, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research, number 2011-054.
• Poghosyan, K. & Boldea, O., 2011, "Structural versus Matching Estimation : Transmission Mechanisms in Armenia," Discussion Paper, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research, number 2011-104.
• De Luca, G. & Magnus, J.R., 2011, "Bayesian Model Averaging and Weighted Average Least Squares : Equivariance, Stability, and Numerical Issues," Other publications TiSEM, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management, number 3aa66f2e-55c5-4ddb-8acf-7.
• Poghosyan, K. & Magnus, J.R., 2011, "WALS estimation and forecasting in factor-based dynamic models with an application to Armenia," Other publications TiSEM, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management, number 419d588e-7827-4cdd-b989-4.
• Poghosyan, K. & Boldea, O., 2011, "Structural versus Matching Estimation : Transmission Mechanisms in Armenia," Other publications TiSEM, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management, number cbb75e20-8475-4f79-ba65-d.
• Marco Bee & Massimo Riccaboni & Stefano Schiavo, 2011, "Pareto versus lognormal: a maximum entropy test," Department of Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics, University of Trento, Italia, number 1102.
• Andersson, Henrik & Hammitt, James K. & Lindberg, Gunnar & Sundström, Kristian, 2011, "Willingness to Pay and Sensitivity to Time Framing: A Theoretical Analysis and an Application on Car Safety," TSE Working Papers, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), number 11-271, Oct.
• Giuseppe De Luca & Jan R. Magnus, 2011, "Bayesian model averaging and weighted-average least squares: Equivariance, stability, and numerical issues," Stata Journal, StataCorp LLC, volume 11, issue 4, pages 518-544, December.
• Liam Delaney & Alan Fernihough & James P. Smith, 2011, "Exporting Poor Health: The Irish in England," Working Papers, Geary Institute, University College Dublin, number 201114 Keywords : healthy, Jul.
• Francisco J. Eransus & Alfonso Novales Cinca, 2011, "A statistical test for forecast evaluation under a discrete loss function," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2011-07.
• Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee:, 2011, "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Review of Some Recent Developments," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2011-11.
• Massimiliano Caporin & Michael McAleer, 2011, "Ranking Multivariate GARCH Models by Problem Dimension: An Empirical Evaluation," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2011-20.
• Olivier Bargain & Kristian Orsini & Andreas Peichl, 2011, "Labor Supply Elasticities in Europe and the US," Working Papers, School of Economics, University College Dublin, number 201114, Jul.
• Theo S Eicher & Lindy Helfman & Alex Lenkoski, 2011, "Robust FDI Determinants: Bayesian Model Averaging In The Presence Of Selection Bias," Working Papers, University of Washington, Department of Economics, number UWEC-2011-07-FC, Apr.
• Aloysius Deno Hervino, 2011, "Avoiding Risk In Working Capital Credit Distribution In Indonesia," Economic Journal of Emerging Markets, Universitas Islam Indonesia, volume 3, issue 2, pages 199-210.
• Evren Caglar & Jagjit S. Chadha & Katsuyuki Shibayama, 2011, "Bayesian Estimation of DSGE models: Is the Workhorse Model Identified?," Studies in Economics, School of Economics, University of Kent, number 1125, Nov.
• Audrino, Francesco, 2011, "Forecasting correlations during the late-2000s financial crisis: short-run component, long-run component, and structural breaks," Economics Working Paper Series, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science, number 1112, Apr.
• Maria PASCU-NEDELCU, 2011, "Estimation of the Cost of Equity by Considering the Interdependences between Capital Markets," The Valuation Journal, The National Association of Authorized Romanian Valuers, volume 6, issue 2, pages 76-99.
• Andrea Vaona, 2011, "A panel data approach to price-value correlations," Working Papers, University of Verona, Department of Economics, number 14/2011, Oct.
• David E. Giles, 2011, "Interpreting Dummy Variables in Semi-logarithmic Regression Models: Exact Distributional Results," Econometrics Working Papers, Department of Economics, University of Victoria, number 1101, Jan.
• Paweł Strawiński, 2011, "Dynamic caliper matching," Working Papers, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw, number 2011-25.
• Marcello Pagnini & Valter Di Giacinto & Giacinto Micucci & Matteo Gomellini, 2011, "Mapping Local Productivity Advantages In Italy: Industrial Districts, Cities Or Both?," ERSA conference papers, European Regional Science Association, number ersa11p1806, Sep.
• Luca Fanelli & Giulio Palomba, 2011, "Simulation‐based tests of forward‐looking models under VAR learning dynamics," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 26, issue 5, pages 762-782, August.
• Mateusz Mysliwski, 2011, "A microeconometric analysis of album sales success in the Polish music market," Working Papers, Department of Applied Econometrics, Warsaw School of Economics, number 54, May.
• George Tauchen, 2011, "Stochastic Volatility in General Equilibrium," Quarterly Journal of Finance (QJF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., volume 1, issue 04, pages 707-731, DOI: 10.1142/S2010139211000237.