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Hat die Finanzkrise zu einer instabilen Geldnachfrage geführt?

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  • Christian Dreger
  • Jürgen Wolters

Abstract

A stable money demand relationship is one of the pre-conditions for a successful monetary policy of the European Central Bank (ECB). In this contribution we examine the stability of money demand in the euro area by taken the period of the financial crisis into account. Our results indicate that the broad monetary aggregate M3 has developed still in line with the macroeconomic fundamentals. From an empirical perspective, the specifications should include house prices, as they play a significant role in explaining money demand. Eine stabile Geldnachfrage ist eine Grundvoraussetzung für eine erfolgreiche Geldpolitik der Europäischen Zentralbank (EZB). In diesem Beitrag wird untersucht, ob die Geldnachfrage im Euroraum auch im Laufe der Finanzkrise die Bedingung der Stabilität erfüllt. Die Ergebnisse zeigen, dass die Entwicklung der Geldmenge M3 auch während der Finanzkrise in Einklang mit den makroökonomischen Fundamentalvariablen steht. Aus empirischer Sicht sind insbesondere solche Ansätze erfolgreich, die den Immobilienpreisen eine maßgebliche Rolle bei der Erklärung der Geldnachfrage zubilligen.

Suggested Citation

  • Christian Dreger & Jürgen Wolters, 2010. "Hat die Finanzkrise zu einer instabilen Geldnachfrage geführt?," Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung / Quarterly Journal of Economic Research, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 79(4), pages 135-145.
  • Handle: RePEc:diw:diwvjh:79-4-10
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    File URL: http://ejournals.duncker-humblot.de/DH/doi/pdf/10.3790/vjh.79.4.135
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Elinor Ostrom, 2010. "Beyond Markets and States: Polycentric Governance of Complex Economic Systems," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, pages 641-672.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Money demand; stability; wealth effects; error correction analysis;

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
    • E41 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Demand for Money

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