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Modelling the Time Between Trades in the After-Hours Electronic Equity Futures Market

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Abstract

This paper models the time between trades of the after-hours electronically traded equity futures market, a market which is previously unstudied in this regard. Using a relatively long 2 year data set, trades in the NASDAQ and S&P500 equity futures are shown to require different forms of autoregressive conditional duration models, including longer lag lengths than previous spot data applications. Volume provides an informative mark in both cases. The S&P500 necessitates a threshold model where the majority of trades display the typical low autocorrelation and strong clustering evident in other assets, but with large durations more autocorrelated with low clustering.

Suggested Citation

  • Dungey, Mardi & Jeyasreedharan, Nagaratnam & Li, Tuo, 2010. "Modelling the Time Between Trades in the After-Hours Electronic Equity Futures Market," Working Papers 10451, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics, revised 30 May 2012.
  • Handle: RePEc:tas:wpaper:10451
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    File URL: http://eprints.utas.edu.au/10451/1/DP2010-07_Dungey_Sree_Li_May_2010.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Bauwens, Luc & Veredas, David, 2004. "The stochastic conditional duration model: a latent variable model for the analysis of financial durations," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 119(2), pages 381-412, April.
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    3. Hujer, Reinhard & Vuletic, Sandra, 2007. "Econometric analysis of financial trade processes by discrete mixture duration models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 635-667, February.
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    7. Mardi Dungey & Luba Fakhrutdinova & Charles Goodhart, 2009. "After‐hours trading in equity futures markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(2), pages 114-136, February.
    8. Joel Hasbrouck, 2003. "Intraday Price Formation in U.S. Equity Index Markets," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 58(6), pages 2375-2400, December.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    duration; high frequency data; electronic futures markets;

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C41 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Duration Analysis; Optimal Timing Strategies
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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