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A portfolio demand approach for broad money in the euro area

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  • Jung, Alexander

Abstract

The aim of the paper is to reassess the issue of money demand stability by estimating a portfolio demand approach for broad money M3 in the euro area covering the sample 1999 to 2013. The question is relevant, since in view of the massive shocks observed since the start of the financial crisis in 2007 relationships may have changed. Overall, the paper finds that the main components of euro area M3 are largely stable and can be explained by fundamental factors such as a transaction variable and opportunity costs. Nevertheless, the analysis detects some instabilities originating from the demand for currency in circulation linked to the euro cash changeover and for marketable instruments in an environment of very low interest rates. JEL Classification: C22, C52, E41

Suggested Citation

  • Jung, Alexander, 2016. "A portfolio demand approach for broad money in the euro area," Working Paper Series 1929, European Central Bank.
  • Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20161929
    Note: 2106626
    as

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    File URL: https://www.ecb.europa.eu//pub/pdf/scpwps/ecbwp1929.en.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    2. Luca Baldo & Elisa Bonifacio & Marco Brandi & Michelina Lo Russo & Gianluca Maddaloni & Andrea Nobili & Giorgia Rocco & Gabriele Sene & Massimo Valentini, 2021. "Inside the black box: tools for understanding cash circulation," Mercati, infrastrutture, sistemi di pagamento (Markets, Infrastructures, Payment Systems) 7, Bank of Italy, Directorate General for Markets and Payment System.
    3. Emanuele Borgonovo & Stefano Caselli & Alessandra Cillo & Donato Masciandaro, 2018. "Between Cash, Deposit And Bitcoin: Would We Like A Central Bank Digital Currency? Money Demand And Experimental Economics," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 1875, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    4. Maciej Albinowski, 2022. "The role of fractional-reserve banking in amplifying credit booms: Evidence from panel data," The Review of Austrian Economics, Springer;Society for the Development of Austrian Economics, vol. 35(1), pages 63-88, March.
    5. Emanuele Borgonovo & Stefano Caselli & Alessandra Cillo & Donato Masciandaro & Giovanno Rabitti, 2018. "Cryptocurrencies, central bank digital cash, traditional money: does privacy matter?," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 1895, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    6. Maciej Albinowski, 2017. "The role of fractional-reserve banking in amplifying credit booms: evidence from panel data," Working Papers 2016-024, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis.
    7. João Ricardo Faria & Peter McAdam, 2023. "Janus's Money Demand and Time Inconsistency: A New Impossibility Theorem?," Research Working Paper RWP 23-04, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    8. Benjamin Korankye & Xuezhou Wen & Appiah Michael & Easmond Baah-Nketiah, 2020. "Analyzing Economic Growth and Its impact on Poverty Reduction in Africa," International Journal of Science and Business, IJSAB International, vol. 4(12), pages 93-105.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    cointegration analysis; components of M3; financial crisis; money demand stability;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
    • E41 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Demand for Money

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