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Policy failure or success? Detecting market failure in China's housing market

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  • Chen, W.D.

Abstract

Due to a high vacancy rate of residential homes, housing prices remain sticky in most urban areas of China, which causes higher searching and bargaining costs. With an inefficient outcome, deadweight loss and market failure arises. To assess the Chinese government's housing policies in 2010, we develop a dynamic equilibrium model, in which we demonstrate how the sticky price results in market failure. We apply a multiple-factor panel data model to show that a high degree of market failure is associated with a high ratio of persistent components in the gap between price and equilibrium. As the persistent components will cause the market's instability, we can use the ratio between persistent and mean reverting components as an indicator to supervise the status of the housing market.

Suggested Citation

  • Chen, W.D., 2016. "Policy failure or success? Detecting market failure in China's housing market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 109-121.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:56:y:2016:i:c:p:109-121
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2016.03.024
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    Cited by:

    1. Chen, W.D., 2018. "Upward wage rigidity and Japan's dispatched worker system," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 152-162.
    2. Fan, Ying, 2022. "Demand shocks and price stickiness in housing market dynamics," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    3. Qian, Biyu & Wang, Gang-Jin & Feng, Yusen & Xie, Chi, 2022. "Partial cross-quantilogram networks: Measuring quantile connectedness of financial institutions," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Housing market; Market failure; Transaction cost; Mean reversion; Persistency; Bootstrap method;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection

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