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Common trends in global volatility

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  • Clements, A.E.
  • Hurn, A.S.
  • Volkov, V.V.

Abstract

This paper investigates the long-term patterns in global foreign exchange, equity and bond markets in three different trading zones, namely, Japan, Europe and the United States. Recent advances in the measurement of volatility from high-frequency data are used together with the concepts of fractional integration and cointegration. The specific objective is to consider whether there are common trends that drive volatility in the global marketplace. This so-called commonality in volatility hypothesis is formulated using a cofractional model. The results confirm that volatility in all three financial asset markets, across all three trading zones share a single common trend which lends itself to interpretation as a global news stream.

Suggested Citation

  • Clements, A.E. & Hurn, A.S. & Volkov, V.V., 2016. "Common trends in global volatility," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 194-214.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jimfin:v:67:y:2016:i:c:p:194-214
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2016.05.001
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    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)

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