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Home Price Expectations and Behaviour: Evidence from a Randomized Information Experiment

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Bleemer, Zachary & Zafar, Basit, 2018. "Intended college attendance: Evidence from an experiment on college returns and costs," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 184-211.
  2. Golin, Marta & Romarri, Alessio, 2024. "Broadband internet and attitudes toward migrants: Evidence from Spain," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
  3. Qian, Wei, 2023. "House price expectations and household consumption," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
  4. William N Goetzmann & Christophe Spaenjers & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2021. "Real and Private-Value Assets [Gendered prices]," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 34(8), pages 3497-3526.
  5. Sören Harrs & Lara Marie Müller & Bettina Rockenbach, 2021. "How Optimistic and Pessimistic Narratives about COVID-19 Impact Economic Behavior," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 091, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
  6. Knut Are Aastveit & André K. Anundsen, 2022. "Asymmetric Effects of Monetary Policy in Regional Housing Markets," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 14(4), pages 499-529, October.
  7. Otilia Boldea & Bettina Drepper & Zhuojiong Gan, 2020. "Change point estimation in panel data with time‐varying individual effects," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(6), pages 712-727, September.
  8. Boyd, Laura & McIndoe-Calder, Tara & Zekaite, Zivile, 2025. "Great expectations: the role of experiences in Irish house price expectations formation," Research Technical Papers 7/RT/25, Central Bank of Ireland.
  9. Nicholas Garvin & Alex Kearney & Corrine Rosé, 2021. "Macroprudential Limits on Mortgage Products: The Australian Experience," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2021-07, Reserve Bank of Australia.
  10. Ahn, Hie Joo & Xie, Shihan & Yang, Choongryul, 2024. "Effects of monetary policy on household expectations: The role of homeownership," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
  11. Ganguli, Ina & Gaule, Patrick & Čugalj, Danijela Vuletić, 2020. "Biased Beliefs and Entry into Scientific Careers," IZA Discussion Papers 13475, IZA Network @ LISER.
  12. Verma, Akhilesh Kumar & McQuinn, Kieran, 2024. "Assessing expectations of European house prices," Quarterly Economic Commentary: Special Articles, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
  13. Alistair Macaulay & James Moberly, 2026. "Heterogeneity in Imperfect Inflation Expectations: Theory and Evidence from a Novel Survey," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 58(4), pages 969-994, June.
  14. René Bernard & Panagiota Tzamourani & Michael Weber, 2022. "Climate change and individual behavior," VfS Annual Conference 2021 (Virtual Conference): Climate Economics 242592, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, revised 2022.
  15. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber, 2021. "Fiscal Policy and Households’ Inflation Expectations: Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial," NBER Working Papers 28485, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  16. Olivier Coibion & Dimitris Georgarakos & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber, 2023. "Forward Guidance and Household Expectations," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 21(5), pages 2131-2171.
  17. Heiner Mikosch & Christopher Roth & Samad Sarferaz & Johannes Wohlfart, 2024. "Uncertainty and Information Acquisition: Evidence from Firms and Households," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 16(2), pages 375-405, April.
  18. Christopher Roth & Sonja Settele & Johannes Wohlfart, 2022. "Risk Exposure and Acquisition of Macroeconomic Information," American Economic Review: Insights, American Economic Association, vol. 4(1), pages 34-53, March.
  19. Theresa Kuchler & Monika Piazzesi & Johannes Stroebel, 2022. "Housing Market Expectations," NBER Working Papers 29909, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  20. Ingar Haaland & Christopher Roth & Johannes Wohlfart, 2023. "Designing Information Provision Experiments," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 61(1), pages 3-40, March.
  21. Bernardo Candia & James Mitchell & Damjan Pfajfar, 2026. "The Causal Effects of Tariff Uncertainty on Consumers' Macroeconomic Expectations and Spending Plans," Working Papers 26-05, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
  22. Vranceanu, Diana Maria & Tuclea, Claudia Elena & Schiopu, Andreea Fortuna, 2025. "Consumer fear and responses in proximity to war," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).
  23. McQuinn, Kieran & O'Toole, Conor & O'Shea, Dónal, 2024. "Quarterly Economic Commentary, Winter 2024," Forecasting Report, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number QEC2024WIN, December.
  24. Pedro Bordalo & Nicola Gennaioli & Andrei Shleifer, 2022. "Overreaction and Diagnostic Expectations in Macroeconomics," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 36(3), pages 223-244, Summer.
  25. Ye Zhang, 2020. "Discrimination in the Venture Capital Industry: Evidence from Field Experiments," Papers 2010.16084, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2022.
  26. Peter Andre & Philipp Schirmer & Johannes Wohlfart, 2023. "Mental Models of the Stock Market," CESifo Working Paper Series 10691, CESifo.
  27. Müller, Lara Marie & Harrs, Sören & Rockenbach, Bettina, 2022. "How Narratives Impact Financial Behavior - Experimental Evidence from the COVID-19 Pandemic," VfS Annual Conference 2022 (Basel): Big Data in Economics 264089, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
  28. Bao, Te & Dai, Yun & Duffy, John, 2025. "Least squares learning? Evidence from the laboratory," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
  29. Bellet, Clément S., 2024. "The McMansion effect: Positional externalities in U.S. suburbs," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 238(C).
  30. Michael Weber & Bernardo Candia & Hassan Afrouzi & Tiziano Ropele & Rodrigo Lluberas & Serafin Frache & Brent Meyer & Saten Kumar & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Dimitris Georgarakos & Olivier Coibion & Geoff, 2025. "Tell Me Something I Don't Already Know: Learning in Low‐ and High‐Inflation Settings," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 93(1), pages 229-264, January.
  31. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber, 2022. "Does Policy Communication during COVID Work?," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 18(1), pages 3-39, March.
  32. Gohl, Niklas & Haan, Peter & Michelsen, Claus & Weinhardt, Felix, 2024. "House price expectations," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 218(C), pages 379-398.
  33. Alessia De Stefani, 2021. "House price history, biased expectations, and credit cycles: The role of housing investors," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 49(4), pages 1238-1266, December.
  34. Qian, Wei, 2025. "House price expectations and household spending— A survey-based experiment," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
  35. Larson, William D. & Makridis, Christos A. & Redmer, Chad A., 2025. "Borrower expectations and mortgage performance: Evidence from the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
  36. Kuang, Pei & Mitra, Kaushik & Tang, Li & Xie, Shihan, 2026. "Macroprudential policy and housing market expectations," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 181(C).
  37. Ulrich Roschitsch & Hannes Twieling, 2025. "United in Booms, Divided in Busts: Regional House Price Cycles and Monetary Policy," Staff Working Papers 25-36, Bank of Canada.
  38. Anahit Matinyan & Ardash Kilejian, 2026. "The role of information in shaping inflation expectations and perceptions: a survey experiment," IFC Bulletins chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Statistics and beyond: new data for decision making in central banks, volume 66, Bank for International Settlements.
  39. repec:osf:socarx:9pr34_v1 is not listed on IDEAS
  40. Bartosz Maćkowiak & Filip Matějka & Mirko Wiederholt, 2023. "Rational Inattention: A Review," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 61(1), pages 226-273, March.
  41. Andersson, Ola & Campos-Mercade, Pol & Meier, Armando N. & Wengström, Erik, 2021. "Anticipation of COVID-19 vaccines reduces willingness to socially distance," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
  42. Scott R. Baker & Robert A Farrokhnia & Steffen Meyer & Michaela Pagel & Constantine Yannelis, 2023. "Income, Liquidity, and the Consumption Response to the 2020 Economic Stimulus Payments," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 27(6), pages 2271-2304.
  43. Klaus Adam & Oliver Pfäuti & Timo Reinelt, 2020. "Falling Natural Rates, Rising Housing Volatility and the Optimal Inflation Target," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2020_235, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
  44. Charles F. Manski, 2018. "Survey Measurement of Probabilistic Macroeconomic Expectations: Progress and Promise," NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, vol. 32(1), pages 411-471.
  45. Kogan, Shimon & Schneider, Florian H. & Weber, Roberto A., 2025. "Self-serving biases in beliefs about collective outcomes," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 153(C), pages 315-344.
  46. Sarah Kiesl-Reiter & Melanie Lührmann & Jonathan Shaw & Joachim Winter, 2025. "The formation of subjective house price expectations: the role of perceptions and local economic conditions," IFS Working Papers W25/58, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
  47. Michael Bailey & Ruiqing Cao & Theresa Kuchler & Johannes Stroebel, 2016. "Social Networks and Housing Markets," NBER Working Papers 22258, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  48. Greg Howard & Jack Liebersohn, 2023. "Regional Divergence and House Prices," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 49, pages 312-350, July.
  49. Peter Andre & Felix Chopra & Luca Michels & Johannes Wohlfart, 2026. "Do People Have Economic Expectations?," CESifo Working Paper Series 12603, CESifo.
  50. Gong, Yifan & Yao, Yuxi, 2022. "Demographic changes and the housing market," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
  51. Carola Binder, 2021. "Presidential antagonism and central bank credibility," Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(2), pages 244-263, July.
  52. Goldfayn-Frank, Olga & Wohlfart, Johannes, 2020. "Expectation formation in a new environment: Evidence from the German reunification," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 301-320.
  53. Bishop, Kelly C. & Dowling, Jakob & Kuminoff, Nicolai V. & Murphy, Alvin D., 2025. "Tax policy and the heterogeneous costs of homeownership," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
  54. Deng, Kuang Kuang & Lang, Henan & Zhou, Xiaoxia, 2022. "Extrapolation and house price overreaction: Evidence from local jurisdiction mergers," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 44(C).
  55. Ludwig, Alexander & Mankart, Jochen & Quintana, Jorge & Wiederholt, Mirko, 2024. "Heterogeneity in Expectations and House Price Dynamics," CEPR Discussion Papers 19498, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
  56. Chaewon Baek & Vitaliia Yaremko, 2026. "The Puzzle of a Missing Wage‐Price Spiral: Experimental Evidence on Inflation Expectations and Labor Supply," Trinity Economics Papers tep0926, Trinity College Dublin, Department of Economics.
  57. Sarah Kiesl-Reiter & Melanie Lührmann & Jonathan Shaw & Joachim Winter, 2024. "The Formation of Subjective House Price Expectations," Rationality and Competition Discussion Paper Series 491, CRC TRR 190 Rationality and Competition.
  58. Olivier Armantier & Gizem Koşar & Jason Somerville & Giorgio Topa & Wilbert Van der Klaauw & John C. Williams, 2022. "The Curious Case of the Rise in Deflation Expectations," Staff Reports 1037, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  59. Misha Galashin & Martin Kanz & Ricardo Perez-Truglia, 2020. "Macroeconomic Expectations and Credit Card Spending," NBER Working Papers 28281, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  60. Christophe Andre & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Time-Varying Spillovers between Housing Sentiment and Housing Market in the United States," Working Papers 202091, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  61. Sergey Turlo & Matteo Fina & Johannes Kasinger & Arash Laghaie & Thomas Otter, 2025. "Discrete choice in marketing through the lens of rational inattention," Quantitative Marketing and Economics (QME), Springer, vol. 23(1), pages 45-104, March.
  62. Patrick Bareinz & Fabian Koenings, 2021. "Framing of Economic News and Policy Support During a Pandemic: Evidence from an Information Experiment," Jena Economics Research Papers 2021-004, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena.
  63. Akesson, Jesper & Hahn, Robert W. & Metcalfe, Robert D. & Rasooly, Itzhak, 2026. "Race and redistribution in the United States: An experimental analysis," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 255(C).
  64. Emanuele Ciani & Adeline Delavande & Ben Etheridge & Marco Francesconi, 2023. "Policy Uncertainty and Information Flows: Evidence from Pension Reform Expectations," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 133(649), pages 98-129.
  65. André, Christophe & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan, 2021. "Time-varying spillovers between housing sentiment and housing market in the United States☆," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
  66. Gunther Tichy, 2020. "Zur Prognostizierbarkeit von Krisen," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 93(3), pages 193-206, March.
  67. Armantier, Olivier & Foncel, Jérôme & Treich, Nicolas, 2023. "Insurance and portfolio decisions: Two sides of the same coin?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(3), pages 201-219.
  68. Bing Han & Haoyang Liu & Pengfei Sui, 2026. "Social Network and Sentiment Contagion: Evidence from the Bitcoin Market," Working Papers 2605, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
  69. Christine Laudenbach & Annika Weber & Johannes Wohlfart, 2021. "Beliefs About the Stock Market and Investment Choices: Evidence from a Field Experiment," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 128, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
  70. Niu, Geng & Yu, Li & Fan, Gang-Zhi & Zhang, Donghao, 2019. "Corporate fraud, risk avoidance, and housing investment in China," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 18-33.
  71. Blesse, Sebastian & Heinemann, Friedrich & Krieger, Tommy, 2021. "Informationsdefizite als Hindernis rationaler Wirtschaftspolitik: Ausmass, Ursachen und Gegenstrategien. Eine Studie mit Unterstützung der Brigitte Strube Stiftung," ZEW Expertises, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research, number 241989.
  72. Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Weber, Michael, 2020. "Does Policy Communication during COVID-19 Work?," IZA Discussion Papers 13355, IZA Network @ LISER.
  73. Ma, Chao, 2020. "Momentum and Reversion to Fundamentals: Are They Captured by Subjective Expectations of House Prices?," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
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  75. Jackson T. Anderson & Scott Gibson & Kimberly F. Luchtenberg & Michael J. Seiler, 2022. "How Much Are Borrowers Willing to Pay to Remove Uncertainty Surrounding Mortgage Defaults?," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 64(4), pages 500-522, May.
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  77. Nicolai V. Kuminoff, 2018. "Can Understanding Spatial Equilibria Enhance Benefit Transfers for Environmental Policy Evaluation?," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 69(3), pages 591-608, March.
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  88. Alistair Macaulay & James Moberly, 2022. "Heterogeneity in imperfect inflation expectations:theory and evidence from a novel survey," Economics Series Working Papers 970, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
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  91. Tore Dubbert & Adrian Schroeder, 2025. "Conditioning business and financial cycles on multivariate information," CQE Working Papers 11225, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
  92. Shimon Kogan & Florian H. Schneider & Roberto A. Weber, 2021. "Self-serving biases in beliefs about collective outcomes," ECON - Working Papers 379, Department of Economics - University of Zurich.
  93. Piccolo, Jessica & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy, 2025. "Homeownership and Attention to Inflation: Evidence from Information Treatments," CEPR Discussion Papers 20087, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
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  111. Daniel Albuquerque & Thomas Lazarowicz & Jamie Lenney, 2025. "Monetary transmission through the housing sector," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 1115, Bank of England.
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