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An Integrated Panel Data Approach to Modelling Economic Growth

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  • Guohua Feng
  • Jiti Gao
  • Bin Peng

Abstract

Empirical growth analysis has three major problems --- variable selection, parameter heterogeneity and cross-sectional dependence --- which are addressed independently from each other in most studies. The purpose of this study is to propose an integrated framework that extends the conventional linear growth regression model to allow for parameter heterogeneity and cross-sectional error dependence, while simultaneously performing variable selection. We also derive the asymptotic properties of the estimator under both low and high dimensions, and further investigate the finite sample performance of the estimator through Monte Carlo simulations. We apply the framework to a dataset of 89 countries over the period from 1960 to 2014. Our results reveal some cross-country patterns not found in previous studies (e.g., "middle income trap hypothesis", "natural resources curse hypothesis", "religion works via belief, not practice", etc.).

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  • Guohua Feng & Jiti Gao & Bin Peng, 2019. "An Integrated Panel Data Approach to Modelling Economic Growth," Papers 1903.07948, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1903.07948
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    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence

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