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Content
2026
- 2602.10798 Trading in CEXs and DEXs with Priority Fees and Stochastic Delays
by Philippe Bergault & Yadh Hafsi & Leandro S'anchez-Betancourt
- 2602.10785 A novel approach to trading strategy parameter optimization using double out-of-sample data and walk-forward techniques
by Tomasz Mroziewicz & Robert 'Slepaczuk
- 2602.10756 Identifying Behavioral Types
by Christopher Kops & Paola Manzini & Marco Mariotti & Illia Pasichnichenko
- 2602.10679 Smart Lotteries in School Choice: Ex-ante Pareto-Improvement with Ex-post Stability
by Haris Aziz & P'eter Bir'o & Gergely Cs'aji & Tom Demeulemeester
- 2602.10515 Quantile optimization in semidiscrete optimal transport
by Yinchu Zhu & Ilya O. Ryzhov
- 2602.10474 How to Ask for Belief Statistics without Distortion?
by Yi-Chun Chen & Ruoyu Wang & Xinhan Zhang
- 2602.10456 Informal and Privatized Transit: Incentives, Efficiency and Coordination
by Devansh Jalota & Matthew Tsao
- 2602.10428 Filling Positions Without Transfers: Screening on Outside Options
by Morteza Honarvar & Joanna Krysta & Eric Tang
- 2602.10415 Inference for High-Dimensional Local Projection
by Jiti Gao & Fei Liu & Bin Peng
- 2602.10293 Metric geometry for ranking-based voting: Tools for learning electoral structure
by Moon Duchin & Kristopher Tapp
- 2602.10174 Detecting Network Instability via Multiscale Detrended Cross-Correlations and MST Topology
by Jose De Leon Miranda & Marina Dolfin & George Kapetanios & Leone Leonida
- 2602.10130 Fiscal Dynamics in Japan under Demographic Pressure
by Goshi Aoki
- 2602.10071 Deep Learning for Electricity Price Forecasting: A Review of Day-Ahead, Intraday, and Balancing Electricity Markets
by Runyao Yu & Derek W. Bunn & Julia Lin & Jochen Stiasny & Fabian Leimgruber & Tara Esterl & Yuchen Tao & Lianlian Qi & Yujie Chen & Wentao Wang & Jochen L. Cremer
- 2602.10053 The Architecture of Illusion: Network Opacity and Strategic Escalation
by Raman Ebrahimi & Sepehr Ilami & Babak Heydari & Isabel Trevino & Massimo Franceschetti
- 2602.09969 Causal Multi-Task Demand Learning
by Varun Gupta & Vijay Kamble
- 2602.09967 Incentive Pareto Efficiency in Monopoly Insurance Markets with Adverse Selection
by Maria Andraos & Mario Ghossoub
- 2602.09950 How can the dual martingale help solving the primal optimal stopping problem?
by Aur'elien Alfonsi & Ahmed Kebaier & J'er^ome Lelong
- 2602.09887 Partially Active Automated Market Makers
by Sunghun Ko
- 2602.09728 Competitive Credit and Present Bias: A Stochastic Discounting Approach
by Siddharth Chatterjee & Daniel F. Garrett
- 2602.09608 Designing a Token Economy: Incentives, Governance, and Tokenomics
by Samela Kivilo & Alex Norta & Marie Hattingh & Sowelu Avanzo & Luca Pennella
- 2602.09504 Seeing the Goal, Missing the Truth: Human Accountability for AI Bias
by Sean Cao & Wei Jiang & Hui Xu
- 2602.09490 Robust Trust
by Piotr Dworczak & Alex Smolin
- 2602.09406 Selective Disclosure in Overlapping Generations
by Nemanja Antic & Harry Pei
- 2602.09382 Initial-Condition-Robust Inference in Autoregressive Models
by Donald W. K. Andrews & Ming Li & Yapeng Zheng
- 2602.09362 Behavioral Economics of AI: LLM Biases and Corrections
by Pietro Bini & Lin William Cong & Xing Huang & Lawrence J. Jin
- 2602.09237 Sign-Dependent Spillovers of Global Monetary Policy
by Santiago Camara
- 2602.09189 Affirmative Action in India with Hierarchical Reservations
by Orhan Aygun & Bertan Turhan
- 2602.08988 Analyzing Vaccine Manufacturing Supply Chain Disruptions for Pandemic Preparedness using Discrete-Event Simulation
by Robin Kelchtermans & Valentijn Stienen & Guido Dietrich & Mauro Bernuzzi & Nico Vandaele
- 2602.08955 Platform Design, Earnings Transparency and Minimum Wage Policies: Evidence from A Natural Experiment on Lyft
by Rubing Li & Xiao Liu & Arun Sundararajan
- 2602.08899 Fixed Effects as Generated Regressors
by Jiaqi Huang
- 2602.08892 Winner's Curse Drives False Promises in Data-Driven Decisions: A Case Study in Refugee Matching
by Hamsa Bastani & Osbert Bastani & Bryce McLaughlin
- 2602.08888 Almost sure null bankruptcy of testing-by-betting strategies
by Hongjian Wang & Shubhada Agrawal & Aaditya Ramdas
- 2602.08812 On the Inefficiency of Social Learning
by Florian Brandl & Wanying Huang & Atulya Jain
- 2602.08631 Effectiveness of Rent Controls: Evidence from Spain
by Luis Perez Garcia
- 2602.08527 Consumption-Investment with anticipative noise
by Mario Ayala & Benjamin Vallejo Jim'enez
- 2602.08429 On- and off-chain demand and supply drivers of Bitcoin price
by Pavel Ciaian & d'Artis Kancs & Miroslava Rajcaniova
- 2602.08228 Comparing Mixture, Box, and Wasserstein Ambiguity Sets in Distributionally Robust Asset Liability Management
by Alireza Ghahtarani & Ahmed Saif & Alireza Ghasemi
- 2602.08182 Nansde-net: A neural sde framework for generating time series with memory
by Hiromu Ozai & Kei Nakagawa
- 2602.08144 Competitive Sequential Screening
by Ian Ball & Deniz Kattwinkel & Jan Knoepfle
- 2602.08134 Double Disadvantage: How Gender and Residential Location Shape Hiring Outcomes in Pakistan's IT Sector
by Sana Khalil
- 2602.08120 Optimal Quantum Speedups for Repeatedly Nested Expectation Estimation
by Yihang Sun & Guanyang Wang & Jose Blanchet
- 2602.08119 Constrained Pricing under Finite Mixtures of Logit
by Hoang Giang Pham & Tien Mai
- 2602.08074 Continuation-Performance Decomposition in Dynamic Games with Irreversible Failure
by Nicholas H. Kirk
- 2602.08039 Perfectly Fitting CDO Prices Across Tranches: A Theoretical Framework with Efficient Algorithms
by Lan Bu & Ning Cai & Chenxi Xia & Jingping Yang
- 2602.08035 Distributional Preferences for Market Design
by Federico Echenique & Teddy Mekonnen & M. Bumin Yenmez
- 2602.07841 A Nontrivial Upper Bound on the Out-of-Sample $R^2$ in Return Forecasting
by Cheng Zhang
- 2602.07808 Droughts and Deluges: Non-Linear Effects of Climate Extremes on the Gender Gap in Labour Supply
by Jheelum Sarkar
- 2602.07772 FilterLoss: A Transfer Learning Approach for Communication Scene Recognition
by Jiasong Han & Yufei Feng & Xiaofeng Zhong
- 2602.07769 Channel Estimation with Hierarchical Sparse Bayesian Learning for ODDM Systems
by Jiasong Han & Xuehan Wang & Jingbo Tan & Jintao Wang & Yu Zhang & Hai Lin & Jinhong Yuan
- 2602.07688 Model Restrictiveness in Functional and Structural Settings
by Drew Fudenberg & Wayne Yuan Gao & Zhiheng You
- 2602.07667 Fast Response or Silence: Conversation Persistence in an AI-Agent Social Network
by Aysajan Eziz
- 2602.07659 Continuous Program Search
by Matthew Siper & Muhammad Umair Nasir & Ahmed Khalifa & Lisa Soros & Jay Azhang & Julian Togelius
- 2602.07634 Partially Identified Ambiguity
by Cheaheon Lim
- 2602.07542 Prophet Inequalities via Linear Programming
by Halil I. Bayrak & Mustafa c{C}. P{i}nar & Rakesh Vohra
- 2602.07486 Identification of Child Penalties
by Dor Leventer
- 2602.07377 Inference under First-Order Degeneracy
by Xinyue Bei & Manu Navjeevan
- 2602.07327 Bank Failures: The Roles of Solvency and Liquidity
by Sergio Correia & Stephan Luck & Emil Verner
- 2602.07238 Is there "Secret Sauce'' in Large Language Model Development?
by Matthias Mertens & Natalia Fischl-Lanzoni & Neil Thompson
- 2602.07096 RealFin: How Well Do LLMs Reason About Finance When Users Leave Things Unsaid?
by Yuyang Dai & Yan Lin & Zhuohan Xie & Yuxia Wang
- 2602.07085 QuantaAlpha: An Evolutionary Framework for LLM-Driven Alpha Mining
by Jun Han & Shuo Zhang & Wei Li & Yifan Dong & Tu Hu & Yumo Zhu & Xiaomin Yu & Xin Guo & Zhaowei Liu & Kunyi Wang & Jingping Liu & Tianyi Jiang & Ruichuan An & Sen Hu & Zhi Yang & Ronghao Che & Huacan Wang
- 2602.07066 Algorithmic Monitoring: Measuring Market Stress with Machine Learning
by Marc Schmitt
- 2602.07048 LLM as a Risk Manager: LLM Semantic Filtering for Lead-Lag Trading in Prediction Markets
by Sumin Kim & Minjae Kim & Jihoon Kwon & Yoon Kim & Nicole Kagan & Joo Won Lee & Oscar Levy & Alejandro Lopez-Lira & Yongjae Lee & Chanyeol Choi
- 2602.07046 Same Returns, Different Risks: How Cryptocurrency Markets Process Infrastructure vs Regulatory Shocks
by Murad Farzulla
- 2602.07023 Behavioral Consistency Validation for LLM Agents: An Analysis of Trading-Style Switching through Stock-Market Simulation
by Zeping Li & Guancheng Wan & Keyang Chen & Yu Chen & Yiwen Zhao & Philip Torr & Guangnan Ye & Zhenfei Yin & Hongfeng Chai
- 2602.07020 Financial Bond Similarity Search Using Representation Learning
by Amin Haeri & Mahdi Ghelichi & Nishant Agrawal & David Li & Catalina Gomez Sanchez
- 2602.07018 The Extremity Premium: Sentiment Regimes and Adverse Selection in Cryptocurrency Markets
by Murad Farzulla
- 2602.06927 Topological Semantics for Common Inductive Knowledge
by Siddharth Namachivayam
- 2602.06885 Identification and Estimation of Network Models with Nonparametric Unobserved Heterogeneity
by Andrei Zeleneev
- 2602.06672 Future-blindness and the product topology
by Marcel Andrade & Lorenzo Bastianello & Jaime Orrillo
- 2602.06607 Beyond Pairwise Distance: Cognitive Traversal Distance as a Holistic Measure of Scientific Novelty
by Yi Xiang & Pascal Welke & Chengzhi Zhang & Jian Wang
- 2602.06582 The Impossibility of Strategyproof Rank Aggregation
by Manuel Eberl & Patrick Lederer
- 2602.06435 Social Interactions Models with Latent Structures
by Zhongjian Lin & Zhentao Shi & Yapeng Zheng
- 2602.06424 Single- and Multi-Level Fourier-RQMC Methods for Multivariate Shortfall Risk
by Chiheb Ben Hammouda & Truong Ngoc Nguyen
- 2602.06415 Joint survival annuity derivative valuation in the linear-rational Wishart mortality model
by Jose Da Fonseca & Patrick Wong
- 2602.06401 Wishart conditional tail risk measures: An analytic approach
by Jose Da Fonseca & Patrick Wong
- 2602.06394 Unlocking Noisy Real-World Corpora for Foundation Model Pre-Training via Quality-Aware Tokenization
by Arvid E. Gollwitzer & Paridhi Latawa & David de Gruijl & Deepak A. Subramanian & Adri'an Noriega de la Colina
- 2602.06263 Chasing Tails: How Do People Respond to Wait Time Distributions?
by Evgeny Kagan & Kyle Hyndman & Andrew Davis
- 2602.06198 Insider Purchase Signals in Microcap Equities: Gradient Boosting Detection of Abnormal Returns
by Hangyi Zhao
- 2602.05898 Universal approximation with signatures of non-geometric rough paths
by Mihriban Ceylan & Anna P. Kwossek & David J. Promel
- 2602.05592 An invariant modification of the bilinear form test
by Angelo Garate & Felipe Osorio & Federico Crudu
- 2602.05542 Trimming of extreme votes and favoritism: Evidence from the field
by Alex Krumer & Felix Otto & Tim Pawlowski
- 2602.05291 Aspiration-Weighted Influence
by Siming Ye
- 2602.05241 On the Skew Stickiness Ratio
by Masaaki Fukasawa
- 2602.05226 Predictive Synthesis under Sporadic Participation: Evidence from Inflation Density Surveys
by Matthew C. Johnson & Matteo Luciani & Minzhengxiong Zhang & Kenichiro McAlinn
- 2602.05155 Optimal Risk-Sharing Rules in Network-based Decentralized Insurance
by Heather N. Fogarty & Sooie-Hoe Loke & Nicholas F. Marshall & Enrique A. Thomann
- 2602.05137 Nested Pseudo-GMM Estimation of Demand for Differentiated Products
by Victor Aguirregabiria & Hui Liu & Yao Luo
- 2602.05112 Collaboration for the Bioeconomy -- Evidence from Innovation Output in Sweden, 1970-2021
by Philipp Jonas Kreutzer & Josef Taalbi
- 2602.05099 Personalized Policy Learning through Discrete Experimentation: Theory and Empirical Evidence
by Zhiqi Zhang & Zhiyu Zeng & Ruohan Zhan & Dennis Zhang
- 2602.05007 Music as an Asset Class
by Sasha Stoikov & Aadityaa Singla & Umu Cetin & Luis Alonso Cendra Villalobos
- 2602.04815 Winning in the Limit: Average-Case Committee Selection with Many Candidates
by Yifan Lin & Shenyu Qin & Kangning Wang & Lirong Xia
- 2602.04791 Fair Pricing in Long-Term Insurance: A Unified Framework
by Hong Beng Lim & Mengyi Xu & Kenneth Q. Zhou
- 2602.04563 Integrating Linear Regression and Multi-Criteria Decision Making for Assessing Financial Statement Risks in Manufacturing Firms
by Duaa Abdullah & Marwa Abdullah
- 2602.04526 Choice via AI
by Christopher Kops & Elias Tsakas
- 2602.04494 Anchor-proofness in Voting
by Federico Fioravanti & Zoi Terzopoulou
- 2602.04464 Discounted Sales of Expiring Perishables: Challenges for Demand Forecasting in Grocery Retail Practice
by David Winkelmann & Theresa Elbracht & Jonas Brenker & Arnold Gerzen
- 2602.04230 Validating Causal Message Passing Against Network-Aware Methods on Real Experiments
by Albert Tan & Sadegh Shirani & James Nordlund & Mohsen Bayati
- 2602.04219 Sampled-Data Wasserstein Distributionally Robust Control of Multiplicative Systems: A Convex Relaxation with Performance Guarantees
by Chung-Han Hsieh
- 2602.04092 Time-to-Event Estimation with Unreliably Reported Events in Medicare Health Plan Payment
by Oana M. Enache & Sherri Rose
- 2602.04060 The Output Convergence Debate Revisited: Lessons from recent developments in the analysis of panel data models
by M Hashem Pesaran & Ron Smith
- 2602.03995 Dynamic Matching Under Patience Imbalance
by Zhiyuan Chen & Rui & Chen & Ming Hu & Yun Zhou
- 2602.03981 DeXposure-FM: A Time-series, Graph Foundation Model for Credit Exposures and Stability on Decentralized Financial Networks
by Aijie Shu & Wenbin Wu & Gbenga Ibikunle & Fengxiang He
- 2602.03903 Taming Tail Risk in Financial Markets: Conformal Risk Control for Nonstationary Portfolio VaR
by Marc Schmitt
- 2602.03884 Nota de Pol\'itica P\'ublica: Quanto de produtividade precisamos para reduzir a jornada de trabalho?
by Victor Rangel
- 2602.03874 ASRI: An Aggregated Systemic Risk Index for Cryptocurrency Markets
by Murad Farzulla & Andrew Maksakov
- 2602.03819 Global Testing in Multivariate Regression Discontinuity Designs
by Artem Samiahulin
- 2602.03776 DiffLOB: Diffusion Models for Counterfactual Generation in Limit Order Books
by Zhuohan Wang & Carmine Ventre
- 2602.03767 Decision-oriented benchmarking to transform AI weather forecast access: Application to the Indian monsoon
by Rajat Masiwal & Colin Aitken & Adam Marchakitus & Mayank Gupta & Katherine Kowal & Hamid A. Pahlavan & Tyler Yang & Y. Qiang Sun & Michael Kremer & Amir Jina & William R. Boos & Pedram Hassanzadeh
- 2602.03751 Tracing the Genetic Footprints of the UK National Health Service
by Nicolau Martin-Bassols & Pietro Biroli & Elisabetta De Cao & Massimo Anelli & Stephanie von Hinke & Silvia Mendolia
- 2602.03725 Quantum Speedups for Derivative Pricing Beyond Black-Scholes
by Dylan Herman & Yue Sun & Jin-Peng Liu & Marco Pistoia & Charlie Che & Rob Otter & Shouvanik Chakrabarti & Aram Harrow
- 2602.03720 Nested search
by Yutong Zhang
- 2602.03541 Group Selection as a Safeguard Against AI Substitution
by Qiankun Zhong & Thomas F. Eisenmann & Julian Garcia & Iyad Rahwan
- 2602.03469 Unbiased Estimation of Central Moments in Unbalanced Two- and Three-Level Models
by Dan Ben-Moshe & David Genesove
- 2602.03461 Soft-Radial Projection for Constrained End-to-End Learning
by Philipp J. Schneider & Daniel Kuhn
- 2602.03325 A Novel approach to portfolio construction
by T. Di Matteo & L. Riso & M. G. Zoia
- 2602.03231 Confrontation with the West and Long-Run Economic and Institutional Outcomes: Evidence from Iran
by Rok Spruk
- 2602.03221 The long-run returns to breastfeeding
by Marco Francesconi & Stephanie von Hinke & Emil N. S{o}rensen
- 2602.03129 Mathematical Modeling of Common-Pool Resources: A Comprehensive Review of Bioeconomics, Strategic Interaction, and Complex Adaptive Systems
by Zebiao Li & Rui Liu & Chengyi Tu
- 2602.03009 Using OPTiMEM and the Heat Conjecture to Estimate Future Social Cost of Greenhouse Gases
by Brian Hanley & Pieter Tans & Edward A. G. Schuur & Geoffrey Gardiner & Steve Keen & Adam Smith
- 2602.02996 Dual Attainment in Multi-Period Multi-Asset Martingale Optimal Transport and Its Computation
by Charlie Che & Tongseok Lim & Yue Sun
- 2602.02956 Applications of structural equation modeling and mathematical statistics to the triggering mechanism of a class of liquors consumer behaviors in Sichuan province
by Ruofeng Rao
- 2602.02833 Endogenous Product Design: A Linear Demand Approach
by Afonso Rodrigues
- 2602.02816 Habit Formation, Labor Supply, and the Dynamics of Retirement and Annuitization
by Criscent Birungi & Cody Hyndman
- 2602.02805 Predicting Well-Being with Mobile Phone Data: Evidence from Four Countries
by M. Merritt Smith & Emily Aiken & Joshua E. Blumenstock & Sveta Milusheva
- 2602.02607 The Innovation Tax: Generative AI Adoption, Productivity Paradox, and Systemic Risk in the U.S. Banking Sector
by Tatsuru Kikuchi
- 2602.02604 AI Assisted Economics Measurement From Survey: Evidence from Public Employee Pension Choice
by Tiancheng Wang & Krishna Sharma
- 2602.02483 Skill Substitution, Expectations, and the Business Cycle
by Andreas Leibing
- 2602.02403 Strategic Interactions in Science and Technology Networks: Substitutes or Complements?
by Michael Balzer & Adhen Benlahlou
- 2602.02284 Optimal Solar Investment and Operation under Asymmetric Net Metering
by Nathan Engelman Lado & Ahmed Alahmed & Audun Botterud & Saurabh Amin
- 2602.02274 The relationship between R&D spillovers and regional innovation: Licensing patents through royalties and the Stackelberg duopoly with subgame perfect Nash equilibrium
by Vasilios Kanellopoulos
- 2602.01963 Forecasting Oil Consumption: The Statistical Review of World Energy Meets Machine Learning
by Jan Ditzen & Erkal Ersoy & Haoyang Li & Francesco Ravazzolo
- 2602.01958 "Sail Fast, Then Wait" in First-come, First-served Port Queues: Information Sharing for Sustainable Shipping
by Ayato Kitadai & Shunta Yoshimura & Takuya Nakashima & Noora Torpo & Rei Miratsu & Naoki Mizutani & Nariaki Nishino
- 2602.01912 Reliable Real-Time Value at Risk Estimation via Quantile Regression Forest with Conformal Calibration
by Du-Yi Wang & Guo Liang & Kun Zhang & Qianwen Zhu
- 2602.01817 Do designated market makers provide liquidity during downward extreme price movements?
by Mario Bellia & Kim Christensen & Aleksey Kolokolov & Loriana Pelizzon & Roberto Ren`o
- 2602.01790 Beyond Hurwicz: Incentive Compatibility under Informational Decentralization
by David Lancashire
- 2602.01684 The Strategic Foresight of LLMs: Evidence from a Fully Prospective Venture Tournament
by Felipe A. Csaszar & Aticus Peterson & Daniel Wilde
- 2602.01531 Hype Has Worth: Attention, Sentiment, and NFT Valuation in Major Ethereum Collections
by Samiha Tariq
- 2602.01417 Identification and Estimation in Fuzzy Regression Discontinuity Designs with Covariates
by Carolina Caetano & Gregorio Caetano & Juan Carlos Escanciano
- 2602.01376 Keeping Up with the Correlations: Stochastic Spot/Volatility Correlation and Exotic Pricing
by Mark Higgins
- 2602.01361 A Methodology to Measure Impacts of Scenarios Through Expected Credit Losses
by Mahmood Alaghmandan & Meghal Arora & Olga Streltchenko
- 2602.01224 The Domain of RSD Characterization by Efficiency, Symmetry, and Strategy-Proofness
by Maor Ben Zaquen & Ron Holzman
- 2602.01122 Was Benoit Mandelbrot a hedgehog or a fox?
by Rosario N. Mantegna
- 2602.01066 Simple and Robust Quality Disclosure: The Power of Quantile Partition
by Shipra Agrawal & Yiding Feng & Wei Tang
- 2602.01022 Calibrating Behavioral Parameters with Large Language Models
by Brandon Yee & Pairie Koh
- 2602.00934 Social Learning with Endogenous Information and the Countervailing Effects of Homophily
by Yunus C. Aybas & Matthew O. Jackson
- 2602.00858 Short-Rate-Dependent Volatility Models
by Tim Leung & Matthew Lorig
- 2602.00836 Dynamic causal inference with time series data
by Tanique Schaffe-Odeleye & K=osaku Takanashi & Vishesh Karwa & Edoardo M. Airoldi & Kenichiro McAlinn
- 2602.00784 Non-standard analysis for coherent risk estimation: hyperfinite representations, discrete Kusuoka formulae, and plug-in asymptotics
by Tomasz Kania
- 2602.00776 Explainable Patterns in Cryptocurrency Microstructure
by Bartosz Bieganowski & Robert 'Slepaczuk
- 2602.00775 Stable Time Series Prediction of Enterprise Carbon Emissions Based on Causal Inference
by Zitao Hong & Zhen Peng & Xueping Liu
- 2602.00548 The Impact of Trump-Era Tariffs on Financial Market Efficiency
by Tetsuya Takaishi
- 2602.00487 Targeting Without Transfers
by Filip Tokarski
- 2602.00383 Null-Validated Topological Signatures of Financial Market Dynamics
by Samuel W. Akingbade
- 2602.00355 Coping with Inductive Risk When Theories are Underdetermined: Decision Making with Partial Identification
by Charles F. Manski
- 2602.00201 Numerical Simulations for Time-Fractional Black-Scholes Equations
by Neetu Garg & A. S. V. Ravi Kanth
- 2602.00196 Generative AI for Stock Selection
by Keywan Christian Rasekhschaffe
- 2602.00139 Payrolls to Prompts: Firm-Level Evidence on the Substitution of Labor for AI
by Ryan Stevens
- 2602.00138 Regulatory Migration to Europe: ICO Reallocation Following U.S. Securities Enforcement
by Krishna Sharma & Khemraj Bhatt & Indra Giri
- 2602.00133 PredictionMarketBench: A SWE-bench-Style Framework for Backtesting Trading Agents on Prediction Markets
by Avi Arora & Ritesh Malpani
- 2602.00121 A Prior-Predictive Monte Carlo Framework for Pricing Complex Data Products in Data-Poor Markets
by Adam L. Siemiatkowski & Victor Zhirnov & Kashyap Yellai & Gabriella Bein & Terresa Zimmerman
- 2602.00101 A Formal Approach to AMM Fee Mechanisms with Lean 4
by Marco Dessalvi & Massimo Bartoletti & Alberto Lluch-Lafuente
- 2602.00097 Rough Martingale Optimal Transport: Theory, Implementation, and Regulatory Applications for Non-Modelable Risk Factors
by Sri Sairam Gautam B. & Isha
- 2602.00090 Stochastic bifurcation in economic growth model driven by L\'evy noise
by Almaz Abebe & Shenglan Yuanb & Daniel Tesfay & James Brannan
- 2602.00086 Impact of LLMs news Sentiment Analysis on Stock Price Movement Prediction
by Walid Siala & Ahmed Khanfir & Mike Papadakis
- 2602.00082 Design and Empirical Study of a Large Language Model-Based Multi-Agent Investment System for Chinese Public REITs
by Zheng Li
- 2602.00080 The GT-Score: A Robust Objective Function for Reducing Overfitting in Data-Driven Trading Strategies
by Alexander Sheppert
- 2602.00073 Test-Time Adaptation for Non-stationary Time Series: From Synthetic Regime Shifts to Financial Markets
by Yurui Wu & Qingying Deng & Wonou Chung & Mairui Li
- 2602.00050 AI in Debt Collection: Estimating the Psychological Impact on Consumers
by Minou Goetze & Sebastian Clajus & Stephan Stricker
- 2602.00049 Exploring the Interpretability of Forecasting Models for Energy Balancing Market
by Oskar V{aa}le & Shiliang Zhang & Sabita Maharjan & Gro Kl{ae}boe
- 2602.00037 Bitcoin Price Prediction using Machine Learning and Combinatorial Fusion Analysis
by Yuanhong Wu & Wei Ye & Jingyan Xu & D. Frank Hsu
- 2601.23172 A unified theory of order flow, market impact, and volatility
by Johannes Muhle-Karbe & Youssef Ouazzani Chahdi & Mathieu Rosenbaum & Gr'egoire Szymanski
- 2601.22945 Persuasive Privacy
by Joshua J Bon & James Bailie & Judith Rousseau & Christian P Robert
- 2601.22659 Using SVM to Estimate and Predict Binary Choice Models
by Yoosoon Chang & Joon Y. Park & Guo Yan
- 2601.22404 Screening with Advertisements
by Kolagani Paramahamsa
- 2601.22354 Model Selection in Panel Data Models: A Generalization of the Vuong Test
by Jinyong Hahn & Zhipeng Liao & Konrad Menzel & Quang Vuong
- 2601.22250 Endogenous Inequality Aversion: Decision criteria for triage and other ethical tradeoffs
by Federico Echenique & Teddy Mekonnen & M. Bumin Yenmez
- 2601.22200 Adaptive Benign Overfitting (ABO): Overparameterized RLS for Online Learning in Non-stationary Time-series
by Luis Ontaneda Mijares & Nick Firoozye
- 2601.22168 Stablecoin Design with Adversarial-Robust Multi-Agent Systems via Trust-Weighted Signal Aggregation
by Shengwei You & Aditya Joshi & Andrey Kuehlkamp & Jarek Nabrzyski
- 2601.22167 The Widening Profitability Gap between Renewable and Fossil Power Firms in Europe
by Robin Fischer & Anton Pichler
- 2601.22166 A Real-Options-Aware Multi-Criteria Framework for Ex-Ante Real Estate Redevelopment Use Selection
by Roberto Garrone
- 2601.22162 UniFinEval: Towards Unified Evaluation of Financial Multimodal Models across Text, Images and Videos
by Zhi Yang & Lingfeng Zeng & Fangqi Lou & Qi Qi & Wei Zhang & Zhenyu Wu & Zhenxiong Yu & Jun Han & Zhiheng Jin & Lejie Zhang & Xiaoming Huang & Xiaolong Liang & Zheng Wei & Junbo Zou & Dongpo Cheng & Zhaowei Liu & Xin Guo & Rongjunchen Zhang & Liwen Zhang
- 2601.22119 Alpha Discovery via Grammar-Guided Learning and Search
by Han Yang & Dong Hao & Zhuohan Wang & Qi Shi & Xingtong Li
- 2601.22113 Diverse Approaches to Optimal Execution Schedule Generation
by Robert de Witt & Mikko S. Pakkanen
- 2601.22112 Distributional Competition
by Mark Whitmeyer
- 2601.22079 The Economics of No-regret Learning Algorithms
by Jason Hartline
- 2601.21749 fixest: A fast and feature-rich framework for econometric estimations in R
by Laurent R. Berg'e & Kyle Butts & Grant McDermott
- 2601.21573 Characteristics Design: A Hedonic Approach to Optimal Product Differentiation
by Masaki Miyashita
- 2601.21534 Electoral Polls and Economic Uncertainty: an Analysis of the Last Two U.S. Presidential Elections
by Giampiero M. Gallo & Demetrio Lacava & Edoardo Otranto
- 2601.21470 PPI-SVRG: Unifying Prediction-Powered Inference and Variance Reduction for Semi-Supervised Optimization
by Ruicheng Ao & Hongyu Chen & Haoyang Liu & David Simchi-Levi & Will Wei Sun
- 2601.21447 Trade uncertainty impact on stock-bond correlations: Insights from conditional correlation models
by Demetrio Lacava & Edoardo Otranto
- 2601.21275 Compromise by "multimatum"
by Federico Echenique & Mat'ias N'u~nez
- 2601.21272 Finite-Sample Properties of Model Specification Tests for Multivariate Dynamic Regression Models
by Koichiro Moriya & Akihiko Noda
- 2601.21036 Experimental Design for Matching
by Chonghuan Wang
- 2601.20976 The Effects of Higher Education on Midlife Depression: Quasi-Experimental Evidence from South Korea
by Ah-Reum Lee & Jacqueline M. Torres & Jinkook Lee
- 2601.20912 Clear Messages, Ambiguous Audiences: Measuring Interpretability in Political Communication
by Krishna Sharma & Khemraj Bhatt
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