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Contrarian Motives in Social Learning: Information Cascades with Nonconformist Preferences

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  • Georgy Lukyanov
  • Vasilii Ivanik

Abstract

We embed a taste for nonconformism into a canonical Bikhchandani-Hirshleifer-Welch social-learning model. Agents value both correctness and choosing the minority action (fixed or proportion-based bonus). We study exogenous signals and endogenous acquisition with a fixed entry cost and convex cost of precision in a Gaussian-quadratic specification. Contrarian motives shift equilibrium cutoffs away from 1/2 and expand the belief region where information is purchased, sustaining informative actions; conditional on investing, chosen precision is lower near central beliefs. Welfare is shaped by a trade-off: mild contrarianism counteracts premature herding, whereas strong contrarianism steers actions against informative social signals and induces low-value experimentation. A tractable characterization delivers closed-form cutoffs, comparative statics, and transparent welfare comparisons. Applications include scientific priority races and academic diffusion, where distinctiveness yields rents yet excessive contrarianism erodes information aggregation.

Suggested Citation

  • Georgy Lukyanov & Vasilii Ivanik, 2025. "Contrarian Motives in Social Learning: Information Cascades with Nonconformist Preferences," Papers 2508.21446, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2508.21446
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