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MM-ARC: Multimodal Adaptive Routing of Capital with Robustness-Audited Strategy Pools

Author

Listed:
  • Yang Chen
  • Yuchen Cao
  • Jacky Keung
  • Leilei Gan
  • Kun Kuang
  • Yueheng Jiang
  • Zhaozhao Ma
  • Jianping Zhu
  • Fei Wu
  • Jinpeng Li

Abstract

Financial trading systems must convert multimodal market history into executable positions while limiting overfitting from repeated strategy search. We introduce MM-ARC (MultiModal Adaptive Routing of Capital), which routes capital across trend, reversal, breakout, and exposure-control experts using aligned chart, numerical, and technical-text views. Within each market, regime-conditioned strategy pools are shared with bounded asset-specific adjustments. Robustness-Audited Bayesian Optimization (RABO) filters candidates proposed by Bayesian optimization on purged validation blocks using after-cost benchmark exceedance, lower-tail performance, stability, and turnover; a common portfolio layer then produces market-feasible orders. We evaluate 62 instruments across five asset classes using five training seeds and a frozen July 2025--June 2026 trading holdout. Under an all-in one-way cost of 10 basis points per unit of executed turnover, MM-ARC attains an equal-market Sharpe ratio of 1.33 and maximum drawdown of -13.7, versus 0.53 and -18.3 for the LLMoE-style routing baseline. The global learned-static control reaches 1.12 and -15.3, respectively. Paired block-bootstrap intervals favor the prespecified contrasts, while ablation point estimates are consistent with contributions from visual inputs, adaptive routing, exposure control, and robustness-audited admission. Family-level data-snooping tests also reject their prespecified nulls (SPA p= .039; Reality Check p= .021); we therefore interpret the evidence as benchmark-relative support within the evaluated candidate family and holdout, not as universal or future-regime superiority.

Suggested Citation

  • Yang Chen & Yuchen Cao & Jacky Keung & Leilei Gan & Kun Kuang & Yueheng Jiang & Zhaozhao Ma & Jianping Zhu & Fei Wu & Jinpeng Li, 2025. "MM-ARC: Multimodal Adaptive Routing of Capital with Robustness-Audited Strategy Pools," Papers 2509.05080, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2026.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2509.05080
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. German Forero-Laverde, 2018. "A New Indicator for Describing Bull and Bear Markets," Working Papers 0129, European Historical Economics Society (EHES).
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    Cited by:

    1. Zhi Yang & Lingfeng Zeng & Fangqi Lou & Qi Qi & Wei Zhang & Zhenyu Wu & Zhenxiong Yu & Jun Han & Zhiheng Jin & Lejie Zhang & Xiaoming Huang & Xiaolong Liang & Zheng Wei & Junbo Zou & Dongpo Cheng & Zh, 2026. "UniFinEval: Towards Unified Evaluation of Financial Multimodal Models across Text, Images and Videos," Papers 2601.22162, arXiv.org.

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