IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2509.03926.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

National social cost of carbon: An application of FUND

Author

Listed:
  • In Chang Hwang
  • Richard S. J. Tol

Abstract

This paper presents a refined country-level integrated assessment model, FUND 3.9n, that extends the regional FUND 3.9 framework by incorporating sector-specific climate impact functions and parametric uncertainty analysis for 198 individual countries. The model enables estimation of the national social cost of carbon (NSCC), capturing heterogeneity across nations from economic structure, climate sensitivity, and population exposure. Our results demonstrate that both the NSCC and the global sum estimates are highly sensitive to damage specifications and preference parameters, including the pure rate of time preference and relative risk aversion. Compared to aggregated single-sector approaches, the disaggregated model with uncertainty yields higher values of the NSCC for low- and middle-income countries. The paper contributes to the literature by quantifying how sector-specific vulnerabilities and stochastic variability amplify climate damages and reshape global equity in the distribution of the NSCC. The NSCCs derived from our model offer policy-relevant metrics for adaptation planning, mitigation target setting, and equitable burden-sharing in international climate negotiations. This approach bridges the gap between globally harmonized carbon pricing and nationally differentiated climate impacts, providing a theoretically grounded and empirically rich framework for future climate policy design.

Suggested Citation

  • In Chang Hwang & Richard S. J. Tol, 2025. "National social cost of carbon: An application of FUND," Papers 2509.03926, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2509.03926
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2509.03926
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2509.03926. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.