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Estimates of the social cost of carbon have not changed over time

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  • Richard S.J. Tol

    (Department of Economics, University of Sussex, Falmer, United Kingdom)

Abstract

Some claim that as knowledge about climate change accumulates, the social cost of carbon increases. A meta-analysis of published estimates shows that this is not the case. Correcting for inflation and emission year and controlling for the discount rate, kernel density decomposition reveals a stationary distribution. Actual carbon prices are almost everywhere below the estimated social cost of carbon.

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  • Richard S.J. Tol, 2021. "Estimates of the social cost of carbon have not changed over time," Working Paper Series 0821, Department of Economics, University of Sussex Business School.
  • Handle: RePEc:sus:susewp:0821
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