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A recursive formula for the $n^\text{th}$ survival function and the $n^\text{th}$ first passage time distribution for jump and diffusion processes. Applications to the pricing of $n^\text{th}$-to-default CDS

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  • Alessio Lapolla

Abstract

We derive some rather general, but complicated, formulae to compute the survival function and the first passage time distribution of the $n^\text{th}$ coordinate of a many-body stochastic process in the presence of a killing barrier. First we will study the case of two coordinates and then we will generalize the results to three or more coordinates. Even if the results are difficult to implement, we will provide examples of their use applying them to a physical system, the single file diffusion, and to the financial problem of pricing a $n^\text{th}$-to-default credit default swap ($n^\text{th}$-CDS)

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  • Alessio Lapolla, 2025. "A recursive formula for the $n^\text{th}$ survival function and the $n^\text{th}$ first passage time distribution for jump and diffusion processes. Applications to the pricing of $n^\text{th}$-to-defa," Papers 2509.02347, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2025.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2509.02347
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jean-Paul Laurent & Jon Gregory, 2005. "Basket default swaps, CDOs and factor copulas," Post-Print hal-03679517, HAL.
    2. G. Hummer & J. C. Rasaiah & J. P. Noworyta, 2001. "Water conduction through the hydrophobic channel of a carbon nanotube," Nature, Nature, vol. 414(6860), pages 188-190, November.
    3. Zhou, Chunsheng, 2001. "An Analysis of Default Correlations and Multiple Defaults," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 14(2), pages 555-576.
    4. Djibril Gueye & Alejandra Quintos, 2025. "Dependent Default Modeling through Multivariate Generalized Cox Processes," Papers 2508.05022, arXiv.org.
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