Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

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Top JEL
/ C: Mathematical and Quantitative Methods
/ / C3: Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables
/ / / C30: General

2015

• Ishida, Kazuyoshi & Malaga, Jaime E., 2015, "Why has US sorghum lost the market share in the Japanese market?," 2015 Annual Meeting, January 31-February 3, 2015, Atlanta, Georgia, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, number 196853, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.196853.
• Andrew Chesher & Adam Rosen, 2015, "Counterfactual worlds," CeMMAP working papers, Institute for Fiscal Studies, number 22/15, Jun, DOI: 10.1920/wp.cem.2015.2215.
• Marianna Oliskevych, 2015, "Hysteresis, Structural Shocks and Common Trends in Labor Market: Consequence for Ukraine," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 4, pages 120-137.
• Jéssica Fernanda Castaño Lavado & Miguel Ángel Morales Mosquera, 2015, "Revisión Metodológica de Índices de Precios de la Vivienda," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 895, Jul, DOI: 10.32468/be.895.
• Juan Andrés Espinosa-Torres & Luis Fernando Melo-Velandia & José Fernando Moreno-Gutiérrez, 2015, "Expectativas de inflación, prima de riesgo inflacionario y prima de liquidez: una descomposición del break-even inflation para los bonos del gobierno colombiano," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 903, Sep, DOI: 10.32468/be.903.
• Diego Alejandro Martínez Cruz & José Fernando Moreno Gutiérrez & Juan Sebastián Rojas Moreno, 2015, "Evolución de la relación entre bonos locales y externos del gobierno colombiano frente a choques de riesgo," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 919, Dec, DOI: 10.32468/be.919.
• Majid M. Al-Sadoon, 2015, "A General Theory of Rank Testing," Working Papers, Barcelona School of Economics, number 750, Sep.
• Jeremy Greenwood & Georgi Kocharkov & Cezar Santos & Nezih Guner, 2015, "Technology and the Changing Family: a Unified Model of Marriage, Divorce Educational Attainment and Married Female Labor-Force Participation," Working Papers, Barcelona School of Economics, number 808, Sep.
• Giuseppe Cavaliere & A. M. Robert Taylor & Carsten Trenkler, 2015, "Bootstrap Co-integration Rank Testing: The Effect of Bias-Correcting Parameter Estimates," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, volume 77, issue 5, pages 740-759, October.
• M. Grazia Pittau & Shlomo Yitzhaki & Roberto Zelli, 2015, "The “Make-up” of a Regression Coefficient: Gender Gaps in the European Labor Market," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, volume 61, issue 3, pages 401-421, September.
• Zhongjun Qu & Denis Tkachenko, 2015, "Global Identification in DSGE Models Allowing for Indeterminacy," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series, Boston University - Department of Economics, number wp2015-001, Aug.
• Zhongjun Qu, 2015, "A Composite Likelihood Framework for Analyzing Singular DSGE Models," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series, Boston University - Department of Economics, number wp2015-002, Jun.
• J�ssica Fernanda Casta�o Lavado & Miguel �ngel Morales Mosquera, 2015, "Revisi�n Metodol�gica de �ndices de Precios de la Vivienda," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 13317, Jul.
• Juan Andr�s Espinosa-Torres & Luis Fernando Melo-Veland�a & Jos� Fernando Moreno-Guti�rrez, 2015, "Expectativas de inflaci�n, prima de riesgo inflacionario y prima de liquidez: una descomposici�n del break-even inflation para los bonos del gobierno colombiano," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 13700, Sep.
• Diego Alejandro Mart�nez Cruz & Jos� Fernando Moreno Guti�rrez & Juan Sebasti�n Rojas Moreno, 2015, "Evoluci�n de la relaci�n entre bonos locales y externos del gobierno colombiano frente a choques de riesgo," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 14112, Dec.
• Carlos Alberto Cuadros Lara, 2015, "Descomposicion de la estructura a terminos de la tasa de interes de los bonos soberanos de Estados Unidos y Colombia," Revista de Economía del Rosario, Universidad del Rosario, volume 18, issue 2, pages 309-342.
• Wei, Shang-Jin & Han, Xuehui, 2015, "Re-examining the Middle Income Trap Hypothesis: What to Reject and What to Revive?," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 10989, Dec.
• Tchatoka, Firmin Doko, 2015, "Subset Hypotheses Testing And Instrument Exclusion In The Linear Iv Regression," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, volume 31, issue 6, pages 1192-1228, December.
• Barnett, William A. & Serletis, Apostolos & Serletis, Demitre, 2015, "Nonlinear And Complex Dynamics In Economics," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, volume 19, issue 8, pages 1749-1779, December.
• Mohamed Mounir Sraieb, 2015, "An Empirical Model for U.S. Foreign Aid Allocation," Working Papers ECARES, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles, number ECARES 2015-48, Nov.
• Koetter, Michael & Noth, Felix, 2015, "Bank bailouts and competition - Did TARP distort competition among sound banks?," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1804, Jun.
• Le, Huong Thu & Homel, Ross, 2015, "The impact of child labor on children's educational performance: Evidence from rural Vietnam," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, volume 36, issue C, pages 1-13, DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2014.11.001.
• Phiromswad, Piyachart, 2015, "Measuring monetary policy with empirically grounded restrictions: An application to Thailand," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, volume 38, issue C, pages 104-113, DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2015.04.005.
• Zanin, Luca, 2015, "Determinants of risk attitudes using sample surveys: The implications of a high rate of nonresponse," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, volume 8, issue C, pages 44-53, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2015.08.001.
• Stella, Andrea, 2015, "Firm dynamics and the origins of aggregate fluctuations," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 55, issue C, pages 71-88, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2015.03.009.
• Andreasen, Martin M. & Christensen, Bent Jesper, 2015, "The SR approach: A new estimation procedure for non-linear and non-Gaussian dynamic term structure models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 184, issue 2, pages 420-451, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2014.10.002.
• Chang, Jinyuan & Chen, Song Xi & Chen, Xiaohong, 2015, "High dimensional generalized empirical likelihood for moment restrictions with dependent data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 185, issue 1, pages 283-304, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2014.10.011.
• Hsiao, Cheng & Zhou, Qiankun, 2015, "Statistical inference for panel dynamic simultaneous equations models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 189, issue 2, pages 383-396, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2015.03.031.
• Orlov, Anton, 2015, "An assessment of optimal gas pricing in Russia: A CGE approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 49, issue C, pages 492-506, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2015.03.013.
• Lubnau, Thorben & Todorova, Neda, 2015, "Trading on mean-reversion in energy futures markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 51, issue C, pages 312-319, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2015.06.018.
• Chung, Yu-Hsuan & Pan, Lee-Hsien & Huang, Shaio Yan & Chen, K.C., 2015, "Do firms change earnings management behavior after receiving financial forecast warnings?," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, volume 27, issue C, pages 1-17, DOI: 10.1016/j.gfj.2015.04.002.
• Brutti, Filippo & Sauré, Philip, 2015, "Transmission of sovereign risk in the Euro crisis," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, volume 97, issue 2, pages 231-248, DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2015.03.009.
• López-Espinosa, Germán & Moreno, Antonio & Rubia, Antonio & Valderrama, Laura, 2015, "Systemic risk and asymmetric responses in the financial industry," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 58, issue C, pages 471-485, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2015.05.004.
• Villar, Jaume García & Raya, Josep Maria, 2015, "Use of a Gini index to examine housing price heterogeneity: A quantile approach," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, volume 29, issue C, pages 59-71, DOI: 10.1016/j.jhe.2015.06.001.
• León-González, Roberto & Montolio, Daniel, 2015, "Endogeneity and panel data in growth regressions: A Bayesian model averaging approach," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 46, issue C, pages 23-39, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2015.07.003.
• Arundina, Tika & Azmi Omar, Mohd. & Kartiwi, Mira, 2015, "The predictive accuracy of Sukuk ratings; Multinomial Logistic and Neural Network inferences," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, volume 34, issue C, pages 273-292, DOI: 10.1016/j.pacfin.2015.03.002.
• Jung, Alexander & Latsos, Sophia, 2015, "Do federal reserve bank presidents have a regional bias?," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, volume 40, issue PA, pages 173-183, DOI: 10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2015.06.004.
• Battisti, Michele & Delgado, Michael S. & Parmeter, Christopher F., 2015, "Evolution of the global distribution of carbon dioxide: A finite mixture analysis," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 42, issue C, pages 31-52, DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2015.06.004.
• Anton Bekkerman & Eric Belasco & Amy Watson, 2015, "Decoupling direct payments: potential impacts of the 2014 farm bill on farm debt," Agricultural Finance Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, volume 75, issue 4, pages 434-449, November, DOI: 10.1108/AFR-05-2015-0023.
• Nicholas Apergis & Ahdi Noomen Ajmi, 2015, "Systemic Sovereign Risk and Asset Prices: Evidence from the CDS Market, Stressed European Economies and Nonlinear Causality Tests," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, volume 65, issue 2, pages 106-126, April.
• Moreira, Humberto Ataíde & Moreira, Marcelo J., 2015, "Optimal two-sided tests for instrumental variables regression with heteroskedastic and autocorrelated errors," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE), EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), number 764, May.
• Dionissi Aliprantis, 2015, "Assessing the Evidence on Neighborhood Effects from Moving to Opportunity," Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, number 1506, Mar, DOI: 10.26509/frbc-wp-201506.
• Mikhail V. Oet & Stephen J. Ong, 2015, "From Organization to Activity in the US Collateralized Interbank Market," Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, number 1529, Dec, DOI: 10.26509/frbc-wp-201529.
• Andrea Stella, 2015, "Firm Dynamics and the Origins of Aggregate Fluctuations," International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 1133, Apr, DOI: 10.17016/IFDP.2015.1133.
• Michael W. McCracken & Serena Ng, 2015, "FRED-MD: A Monthly Database for Macroeconomic Research," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, number 2015-12, Jun, DOI: 10.20955/wp.2015.012.
• Emir Malikov & Subal C. Kumbhakar & Efthymios G. Tsionas, 2015, "Bayesian Approach to Disentangling Technical and Environmental Productivity," Econometrics, MDPI, volume 3, issue 2, pages 1-23, June.
• Russell Davidson & James G. MacKinnon, 2015, "Bootstrap Tests for Overidentification in Linear Regression Models," Econometrics, MDPI, volume 3, issue 4, pages 1-39, December.
• Russell Davidson & James G. Mackinnon, 2015, "Bootstrap Tests for Overidentification in Linear Regression Models," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-01456100, Dec, DOI: 10.3390/econometrics3040825.
• Vesterberg, Mattias & Kiran B. Krishnamurthy, Chandra & Bayrak, Oben, 2015, "Determinants of Residential end-use electricity demand: Evidence from Sweden," Umeå Economic Studies, Umeå University, Department of Economics, number 910, Jun.
• Olteanu Elena Luminita, 2015, "Importance of the three-dimensional modeling in materials processing," Impact of Socio-economic and Technological Transformations at National, European and International Level (ISETT), Institute for World Economy, Romanian Academy, volume 6.
• Andrew Chesher & Adam Rosen, 2015, "Counterfactual worlds," CeMMAP working papers, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies, number CWP22/15, Jun.
• Heilemann Ullrich, 2015, "Literaturbeitrag / Review Paper. Macroeconometric Models – From “Little Science” to “Big Science”," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, volume 235, issue 1, pages 82-89, February, DOI: 10.1515/jbnst-2015-0107.
• George Halkos & Kyriaki Tsilika, 2015, "Programming Identification Criteria in Simultaneous Equation Models," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, volume 46, issue 1, pages 157-170, June, DOI: 10.1007/s10614-014-9444-9.
• David Mayston, 2015, "Analysing the effectiveness of public service producers with endogenous resourcing," Journal of Productivity Analysis, Springer, volume 44, issue 1, pages 115-126, August, DOI: 10.1007/s11123-014-0428-5.
• Ivar Kolstad & Arne Wiig, 2015, "Education and entrepreneurial success," Small Business Economics, Springer, volume 44, issue 4, pages 783-796, April, DOI: 10.1007/s11187-014-9621-1.
• Shrabani Mukherjee & Subhadri Sankar Mallik, 2015, "Is Financial Inclusion Cause or Outcome? A State-Wise Assessment in India," Working Papers, Madras School of Economics,Chennai,India, number 2015-132, Nov.
• Tina Vukasovic, 2015, "Managing Consumer-Based Brand Equity in Higher Education," Managing Global Transitions, University of Primorska, Faculty of Management Koper, volume 13, issue 1 (Spring, pages 75-90.
• Claudio, Morana, 2015, "Model Averaging by Stacking," Working Papers, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, number 310, Oct, revised 29 Oct 2015.
• Claudio, Morana, 2015, "Semiparametric Estimation of Multivariate GARCH Models," Working Papers, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, number 317, Dec, revised 10 Dec 2015.
• Emanuele BACCHIOCCHI & Riccardo Jack LUCCHETTI, 2015, "Structure-Based SVAR Identification," Departmental Working Papers, Department of Economics, Management and Quantitative Methods at Università degli Studi di Milano, number 2015-11, Jul.
• Emanuele BACCHIOCCHI, 2015, "On the Identification of Interdependence and Contagion of Financial Crises," Departmental Working Papers, Department of Economics, Management and Quantitative Methods at Università degli Studi di Milano, number 2015-12, Jul.
• Zsuzsanna Hosszú & Gyöngyi Körmendi & Bence Mérõ, 2015, "Univariate and multivariate filters to measure the credit gap," MNB Occasional Papers, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary), number 2015/118.
• Tin-Chun Lin, 2015, "A Closer Look at the Relationship between Grades and Teacher Evaluation: The Role of Grade Knowledge," Journal of Economic Insight, Missouri Valley Economic Association, volume 41, issue 2, pages 35-66.
• Roberto Leon-Gonzalez & Daniel Montolio, 2015, "Endogeneity and Panel Data in Growth Regressions: A Bayesian Model Averaging Approach," GRIPS Discussion Papers, National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies, number 15-16, Oct.
• Liu, Fengquan, 2015, "The Whole Economy Approach of the Input-Output Model," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 64746, Mar.
• Malikov, Emir & Kumbhakar, Subal C. & Tsionas, Efthymios G., 2015, "Bayesian Approach to Disentangling Technical and Environmental Productivity," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 64877.
• Delis, Manthos & Hasan, Iftekhar & Tsionas, Efthymios, 2015, "Banks’ Risk Endogenous to Strategic Management Choices," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 64907, Jun.
• Fe, Eduardo & Hollingsworth, Bruce, 2015, "Short and long run estimates of the local effects of retirement on health," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 65462.
• Argentiero, Amedeo & Bovi, Maurizio & Cerqueti, Roy, 2015, "Over consumption. A horse race of Bayesian DSGE models," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 66445, Sep.
• Hossain, Fazlee & Das, Sabuj, 2015, "The Rogers-Ramanujan Identities," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 83043, Mar, revised 28 Mar 2015.
• Annari De Waal & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste, 2015, "How Independent are the South African Reserve Bank’s Monetary Policy Decisions? Evidence from a Global New-Keynesian DSGE Model," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201525, May.
• Radek Hendrych & Tomáš Cipra, 2015, "Econometric Model of the Czech Life Insurance Market," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, volume 2015, issue 2, pages 173-191, DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.507.
• Evgeniy Ozhegov, 2015, "Identification in a class of nonparametric simultaneous equation models with sample selection (in Russian)," Quantile, Quantile, issue 13, pages 15-23, May.
• Claudio Morana, 2015, "Model Averaging by Stacking," Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis, number 15-38, Oct.
• Xuehui Han & Shang-Jin Wei, 2015, "Re-examining the Middle-Income Trap Hypothesis: What to Reject and What to Revive?," ADB Economics Working Paper Series, Asian Development Bank, number 436, Jul.
• Robert Engle & Clive Granger, 2015, "Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), volume 39, issue 3, pages 106-135.
• Cristi SPULBAR & Mihai NITOI & Lucian ANGHEL, 2015, "Efficiency In Cooperative Banks And Savings Banks : A Stochastic Frontier Approach," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, volume 0, issue 1, pages 5-21, March.
• Mahmut ZORTUK & Sinan ÇEKEN, 2015, "The Relationship between Health Care Expenditures and Income in the Selected Transition Economies: A Panel Smooth Transition Regression Analysis," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, volume 0, issue 2, pages 105-118, June.
• Elena-Maria Prada, 2015, "An investigation of romanians’ return intentions from Spain," Romanian Statistical Review Supplement, Romanian Statistical Review, volume 63, issue 5, pages 31-42, May.
• Massimiliano Castellani & Pierpaolo Pattitoni & Roberto Patuelli, 2015, "Abnormal Returns of Soccer Teams," Journal of Sports Economics, , volume 16, issue 7, pages 735-759, October, DOI: 10.1177/1527002513505285.
• Plaza Llorente, Jesús Manuel, 2015, "Estimación De Un Modelo Determinista Para La Posición Del Reino Unido En El à ndice De Desarrolo Humano, 1990-2010," Revista Galega de Economía, University of Santiago de Compostela. Faculty of Economics and Business., volume 24, issue 1, pages 89-100.
• Yichen Gao & Yu Zhang & Ximing Wu, 2015, "Penalized exponential series estimation of copula densities with an application to intergenerational dependence of body mass index," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 48, issue 1, pages 61-81, February, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-014-0858-y.
• Debra Shepherd, 2015, "Learn to teach, teach to learn: A within-pupil across-subject approach to estimating the impact of teacher subject knowledge on South African grade 6 performance," Working Papers, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics, number 01/2015.
• Daniel Burkhard, 2015, "Allocation of Expenditures in Elderly Households and the Cost of Widowhood," Diskussionsschriften, Universitaet Bern, Departement Volkswirtschaft, number dp1503, Feb.
• Basu, Deepankar, 2015, "Asymptotic Bias of OLS in the Presence of Reverse Causality," UMASS Amherst Economics Working Papers, University of Massachusetts Amherst, Department of Economics, number 2015-18.
• Filippo Belloc & Eleonora laurenza & Maria Alessandra Rossi, 2015, "Corporate Governance and Sectoral Patterns of Innovation: Evidence from Italian Manufacturing Industries," Department of Economics University of Siena, Department of Economics, University of Siena, number 706, Mar.
• Filippo Belloc & Eleonora laurenza & Maria Alessandra Rossi, 2015, "Corporate Governance Effects on Innovation when both Agency Costs and Asset Specificity Matter," Department of Economics University of Siena, Department of Economics, University of Siena, number 718, Nov.
• Michael Landesmann & Sandra M. Leitner & Isilda Mara, 2015, "Should I Stay, Should I Go Back or Should I Move Further? Contrasting Answers under Diverse Migration Regimes," wiiw Working Papers, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw, number 111, Jan.
• Florian Huber & Manfred M. Fischer, 2015, "A Markov switching factor-augmented VAR model for analyzing US business cycles and monetary policy," Department of Economics Working Papers, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics, number wuwp201, Aug.
• Jesus Crespo Cuaresma & Gernot Doppelhofer & Martin Feldkircher & Florian Huber, 2015, "US Monetary Policy in a Globalized World," Department of Economics Working Papers, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics, number wuwp209, Nov.
• Huber, Florian & Fischer, Manfred M., 2015, "A Markov switching factor-augmented VAR model for analyzing US business cycles and monetary policy," Department of Economics Working Paper Series, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business, number 201, Aug.
• Crespo Cuaresma, Jesus & Doppelhofer, Gernot & Feldkircher, Martin & Huber, Florian, 2015, "US Monetary Policy in a Globalized World," Department of Economics Working Paper Series, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business, number 209, Nov.
• Laurens Cherchye & Bram De Rock & Arthur Lewbel & Frederic Vermeulen, 2015, "Sharing Rule Identification for General Collective Consumption Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, volume 83, issue 5, pages 2001-2041, September.
• David J. Mayston, 2015, "Data envelopment analysis, endogeneity and the quality frontier for public services," Discussion Papers, Department of Economics, University of York, number 15/05, Apr.
• Luptak, Martin & Boda, Daniel & Szucs, Gabor, 2015, "ORBIS as a Research Tool: Examination of the Capital Structure of the Hungarian and French Wine Industry," Proceedings of the ENTRENOVA - ENTerprise REsearch InNOVAtion Conference (2015), Kotor, Montengero, IRENET - Society for Advancing Innovation and Research in Economy, Zagreb, "Proceedings of the ENTRENOVA - ENTerprise REsearch InNOVAtion Conference, Kotor, Montengero, 10-11 September 2015".
• Berg, Matthew & Hartley, Brian & Richters, Oliver, 2015, "A stock-flow consistent input–output model with applications to energy price shocks, interest rates, and heat emissions," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, volume 17, issue 1, DOI: 10.1088/1367-2630/17/1/015011.
• Scharnagl, Michael & Mandler, Martin, 2015, "The relationship of simple sum and Divisia monetary aggregates with real GDP and inflation: a wavelet analysis for the US," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 112879.

2014

• Davidson, Russell & MacKinnon, James G., 2014, "Bootstrap tests for overidentification in linear regression models," Queen's Economics Department Working Papers, Queen's University - Department of Economics, number 274643, Apr, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.274643.
• Paris, Quirino, , "A Dual Least-Squares Estimator of the Errors-In-Variables Model Using Only First And Second Moments," Working Papers, University of California, Davis, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, number 181288, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.181288.
• Dunker, Fabian & Florens, Jean-Pierre & Hohage, Thorsten & Johannes, Jan & Mammen, Enno, 2014, "Iterative estimation of solutions to noisy nonlinear operator equations in nonparametric instrumental regression," LIDAM Reprints ISBA, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA), number 2014007, Jan.
• Paulo M.D.C. Parente & Richard J. Smith, 2014, "Recent Developments in Empirical Likelihood and Related Methods," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, volume 6, issue 1, pages 77-102, August.
• Alexander Guarín & José Fernando Moreno & Hernando Vargas, 2014, "An Empirical Analysis of the Relationship between US and Colombian Long-Term Sovereign Bond Yields," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 822, May, DOI: 10.32468/be.822.
• Juan Andrés Espinosa Torres & Luis Fernando Melo Velandia & José Fernando Moreno Gutiérrez, 2014, "Estimación de la prima por vencimiento de los TES en pesos del gobierno colombiano," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 854, Dec, DOI: 10.32468/be.854.
• Alexander Guarín & José Fernando Moreno & Hernando Vargas, 2014, "An Empirical Analysis of the Relationship between US and Colombian Long-Term Sovereign Bond Yields," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, volume 32, issue 74, pages 68-86, June, DOI: 10.1016/S0120-4483(14)70028-4.
• Alexander Guarín & José Fernando Moreno & Hernando Vargas, 2014, "An empirical analysis of the relationship between US and Colombian long-term sovereign bond yields," BIS Papers chapters, Bank for International Settlements, in: Bank for International Settlements, "The transmission of unconventional monetary policy to the emerging markets".
• Orlov Anton & Grethe Harald, 2014, "Introducing Carbon Taxes in Russia: The Relevance of Tax-Interaction Effects," The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, De Gruyter, volume 14, issue 3, pages 723-754, July, DOI: 10.1515/bejeap-2013-0006.
• Kaya, Ezgi, 2014, "Heterogeneous Couples, Household Interactions and Labor Supply Elasticities of Married Women," Cardiff Economics Working Papers, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, number E2014/18, Oct.
• Ghazala Azmat & Caterina Calsamiglia & Nagore Iriberri, 2014, "Gender Differences in Response to Big Stakes," CEP Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE, number dp1314, Nov.
• Amaresh K. Tiwari & Pierre Mohnen & Franz Palm & Sybrand Schim van der Loeff, 2014, "Microeconometric Evidence of Financing Frictions and Innovative Activity," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 4645.
• Henrike Michaelis & Sebastian Watzka, 2014, "Are there Differences in the Effectiveness of Quantitative Easing at the Zero-Lower-Bound in Japan over Time?," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 4901.
• Francesco Aiello & Fernanda Ricotta, 2014, "Firm Heterogeneity In Productivity Across Europe. What Explains What?," Working Papers, Università della Calabria, Dipartimento di Economia, Statistica e Finanza "Giovanni Anania" - DESF, number 201404, May.
• Alexander Guar�n & Jos� Fernando Moreno & Hernando Vargas, 2014, "An Empirical Analysis of the Relationship between US and Colombian Long-Term Sovereign Bond Yields?," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 11311, May.
• Juan Andr�s Espinosa Torres & Luis Fernando Melo Velandia & Jos� Fernando Moreno Guti�rrez, 2014, "Estimaci�n de la prima por vencimiento de los TES en pesos del gobierno colombiano," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 12333, Dec.
• Alexander Guarín & Jos� Fernando Moreno & Hernando Vargas, 2014, "An Empirical Analysis of the Relationship between US and Colombian Long-Term Sovereign Bond Yields," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, volume 32, issue 74, pages 68-86, DOI: 10.1016/S0120-4483(14)70028-4.
• Neeraj Hathekar & Sanjay Singh, 2014, "Financial Structure and Economic Development: A Case of Indian Economy," Indian Economic Review, Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics, volume 49, issue 2, pages 205-226.
• Arratibel, Olga & Michaelis, Henrike, 2014, "The impact of monetary policy and exchange rate shocks in Poland: evidence from a time-varying VAR," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1636, Feb.
• Jung, Alexander & Latsos, Sophia, 2014, "Do federal reserve bank presidents have a regional bias?," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1731, Sep.
• Kolstad, Ivar & Wiig, Arne & Moazzem, Khondaker Golam, 2014, "Returns to education among entrepreneurs in Bangladesh," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, volume 34, issue C, pages 54-65, DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2014.07.001.
• Li, Qian & Bao, Liang, 2014, "Enhanced index tracking with multiple time-scale analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 39, issue C, pages 282-292, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2014.03.009.
• Skeels, Christopher L. & Taylor, Larry W., 2014, "Prediction after IV estimation," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 122, issue 3, pages 420-422, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2014.01.003.
• Kédagni, Désiré & Mourifié, Ismael, 2014, "Tightening bounds in triangular systems," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 125, issue 3, pages 455-458, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2014.10.019.
• Bai, Jushan & Wang, Peng, 2014, "Identification theory for high dimensional static and dynamic factor models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 178, issue 2, pages 794-804, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2013.11.001.
• Hahn, Jinyong & Newey, Whitney K. & Smith, Richard J., 2014, "Neglected heterogeneity in moment condition models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 178, issue P1, pages 86-100, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2013.08.009.
• Dunker, Fabian & Florens, Jean-Pierre & Hohage, Thorsten & Johannes, Jan & Mammen, Enno, 2014, "Iterative estimation of solutions to noisy nonlinear operator equations in nonparametric instrumental regression," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 178, issue P3, pages 444-455, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2013.06.001.
• White, Halbert & Xu, Haiqing & Chalak, Karim, 2014, "Causal discourse in a game of incomplete information," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 182, issue 1, pages 45-58, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2014.04.007.
• Caner, Mehmet, 2014, "Near exogeneity and weak identification in generalized empirical likelihood estimators: Many moment asymptotics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 182, issue 2, pages 247-268, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2014.05.001.
• Mills, Benjamin & Moreira, Marcelo J. & Vilela, Lucas P., 2014, "Tests based on t-statistics for IV regression with weak instruments," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 182, issue 2, pages 351-363, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2014.03.012.
• Wang, Bing & Nistor, Ioan & Murty, Tad & Wei, Yi-Ming, 2014, "Efficiency assessment of hydroelectric power plants in Canada: A multi criteria decision making approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 46, issue C, pages 112-121, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2014.09.001.
• Jin, Xisong & Nadal De Simone, Francisco de A., 2014, "Banking systemic vulnerabilities: A tail-risk dynamic CIMDO approach," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, volume 14, issue C, pages 81-101, DOI: 10.1016/j.jfs.2013.12.004.
• Geijer, Erik & Andersson, Jon & Bostedt, Göran & Brännlund, Runar & Hjältén, Joakim, 2014, "Safeguarding species richness vs. increasing the use of renewable energy—The effect of stump harvesting on two environmental goals," Journal of Forest Economics, Elsevier, volume 20, issue 2, pages 111-125, DOI: 10.1016/j.jfe.2014.01.001.
• Braga de Macedo, Jorge & Oliveira Martins, Joaquim & Rocha, Bruno, 2014, "Are complementary reforms a “luxury” for developing countries?," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, volume 42, issue 2, pages 417-435, DOI: 10.1016/j.jce.2013.06.003.
• Castledine, A. & Moeltner, K. & Price, M.K. & Stoddard, S., 2014, "Free to choose: Promoting conservation by relaxing outdoor watering restrictions," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 107, issue PA, pages 324-343, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2014.02.004.
• Hvide, Hans K. & Panos, Georgios A., 2014, "Risk tolerance and entrepreneurship," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, volume 111, issue 1, pages 200-223, DOI: 10.1016/j.jfineco.2013.06.001.
• Förster, Marcel & Jorra, Markus & Tillmann, Peter, 2014, "The dynamics of international capital flows: Results from a dynamic hierarchical factor model," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 48, issue PA, pages 101-124, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2014.07.004.
• Schüller, David & Tauchmann, Harald & Upmann, Thorsten & Weimar, Daniel, 2014, "Pro-social behavior in the TV show “Come Dine With Me”: An empirical investigation," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, volume 45, issue C, pages 44-55, DOI: 10.1016/j.joep.2014.07.005.
• Lammers, Marloes, 2014, "The effects of savings on reservation wages and search effort," Labour Economics, Elsevier, volume 27, issue C, pages 83-98, DOI: 10.1016/j.labeco.2014.03.001.
• Hottenrott, Hanna & Lopes-Bento, Cindy, 2014, "(International) R&D collaboration and SMEs: The effectiveness of targeted public R&D support schemes," Research Policy, Elsevier, volume 43, issue 6, pages 1055-1066, DOI: 10.1016/j.respol.2014.01.004.
• Wilfredo L. Maldonado & Octávio A. F. Tourinho & Jorge A. B. M. de Abreu, 2014, "Cointegrated Periodically Collapsing Bubbles in the Exchange Rate of 'BRICS' Countries," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2014-34, Apr.
• Oya KORKMAZ & Evrim ERDOGAN, 2014, "Is Yasam Dengesinin Orgutsel Baglilik ve Calisan Memnuniyetine Etkisi," Ege Academic Review, Ege University Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, volume 14, issue 4, pages 541-557.
• Azmat, Ghazala & Calsamiglia, Caterina & Iriberri, Nagore, 2014, "Gender differences in response to big stakes," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 60607, Nov.
• Espinosa, Christian. & Gorigoitía, Juan, 2014, "¿Es útil el análisis técnico en periodos de crisis financiera? Evidencia para el mercado bursátil latinoamericano," El Trimestre Económico, Fondo de Cultura Económica, volume 0, issue 323, pages .595-618, julio-sep, DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.20430/ete.v81i.
• Jan F. Kiviet & Jerzy Niemczyk, 2014, "On the Limiting and Empirical Distributions of IV Estimators When Some of the Instruments are Actually Endogenous," Advances in Econometrics, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, "Essays in Honor of Peter C. B. Phillips", DOI: 10.1108/S0731-905320140000033013.
• Han PHOUMIN & Fukunari KIMURA, 2014, "Trade-off Relationship between Energy Intensity-thus energy demand-and Income Level: Empirical Evidence and Policy Implications for ASEAN and East Asia Countries," Working Papers, Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA), number DP-2014-15.
• Christopher J. Neely, 2014, "How Persistent Are Unconventional Monetary Policy Effects?," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, number 2014-004, Feb, revised 15 Apr 2022, DOI: 10.20955/wp.2014.004.
• Pedro Godinho & Pedro Cerqueira, 2014, "The Impact of Expectations, Match Importance and Results in the Stock Prices of European Football Teams," GEMF Working Papers, GEMF, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra, number 2014-09, Apr.
• Jorge Braga de Macedo & Bruno Rocha & Joaquim Oliveira Martins, 2014, "Are Complementary Reforms a 'Luxury' for Developing Countries?," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-01618204, May, DOI: 10.1016/j.jce.2013.06.003.
• Damijan, Jože & Kostevc, Crt & Rojec, Matija, 2014, "Outward FDI and company performance in CEECs," Working Paper Series in Economics and Institutions of Innovation, Royal Institute of Technology, CESIS - Centre of Excellence for Science and Innovation Studies, number 381, Oct.
• Vesterberg, Mattias & B. Krishnamurthy, Chandra Kiran & Bayrak, Oben, 2014, "Residential End use electricity demand and the implications for real time pricing in Sweden," CERE Working Papers, CERE - the Center for Environmental and Resource Economics, number 2014:16, Dec.
• Vesterberg, Mattias & Kiran B. Krishnamurthy, Chandra, 2014, "Residential End use electricity demand and the implications for real time pricing in Sweden," Umeå Economic Studies, Umeå University, Department of Economics, number 903, Dec, revised 15 Apr 2015.
• Evgeniy M. Ozhegov, 2014, "The Underwriting, Choice And Performance Of Government-Insured Mortgages In Russia," HSE Working papers, National Research University Higher School of Economics, number WP BRP 31/FE/2014.
• Nikolay Arefiev, 2014, "A Theory Of Data-Oriented Identification With A Svar Application," HSE Working papers, National Research University Higher School of Economics, number WP BRP 79/EC/2014.
• K.S. Apsara Mendis & Masaru Ichihashi, 2014, "Impact of Government Spending on Education and Health in Sri Lanka : A Provincial Level Analysis," IDEC DP2 Series, Hiroshima University, Graduate School for International Development and Cooperation (IDEC), number 4-8, Nov.
• Erik Armundito & Shinji Kaneko, 2014, "Note on Data Cleaning and Panel Data Development of Indonesian Manufacturing Survey Data," IDEC DP2 Series, Hiroshima University, Graduate School for International Development and Cooperation (IDEC), number 4-9, Dec.
• Dauda Mohammed, 2014, "Causality Test Of Business Risk And Capital Structure In A Panel Data Of Nigerian Listed Firms," Accounting & Taxation, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, volume 6, issue 2, pages 85-99.
• Zixiong Xie & Shyh-Wei Chen & Jie-Hong Fang, 2014, "Foreign Exchange Exposure and Stock Returns: Evidence from Multinational Corporations in Taiwan," Journal of Economics and Management, College of Business, Feng Chia University, Taiwan, volume 10, issue 1, pages 49-68, January.
• Jin-Li Hu & Tzu-Pu Chang & Ray Chou, 2014, "Market conditions and the effect of diversification on mutual fund performance: should funds be more concentrative under crisis?," Journal of Productivity Analysis, Springer, volume 41, issue 1, pages 141-151, February, DOI: 10.1007/s11123-012-0331-x.
• Ronald Zhao & Yihong He, 2014, "The accounting implication of banking deregulation: an event study of Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act (1999)," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, volume 42, issue 3, pages 449-468, April, DOI: 10.1007/s11156-013-0349-9.
• Karsten Wasiluk, 2014, "Imitation Induced Innovation in General Equilibrium," Working Paper Series of the Department of Economics, University of Konstanz, Department of Economics, University of Konstanz, number 2014-12, Oct.
• Ralf Brüggemann & Carsten Jentsch & Carsten Trenkler, 2014, "Inference in VARs with Conditional Heteroskedasticity of Unknown Form," Working Paper Series of the Department of Economics, University of Konstanz, Department of Economics, University of Konstanz, number 2014-13, Aug.
• El¿bieta Radziszewska–Zielina & Grzegorz Œladowski, 2014, "Analysing Decision-making Models for the Choice of Adaptation Options for Derelict Buildings," World of Real Estate Journal (Swiat Nieruchomosci), Fundacja Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego w Krakowie, issue 90, pages 45-50, December, DOI: 10.14659/worej.2014.90.07.
• Michaelis, Henrike & Watzka, Sebastian, 2014, "Are there Differences in the Effectiveness of Quantitative Easing in Japan over Time?," Discussion Papers in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics, number 21087, Jun.
• Alberto Benítez Sánchez & Alejandro Benítez Sánchez, 2014, "Viable Techniques, Leontief’s Closed Model, and Sraffa’s Subsistence Economies," International Journal of Business and Social Research, LAR Center Press, volume 4, issue 11, pages 18-30, November.
• Alberto Benítez Sánchez & Alejandro Benítez Sánchez, 2014, "Viable Techniques, Leontief’s Closed Model, and Sraffa’s Subsistence Economies," International Journal of Business and Social Research, MIR Center for Socio-Economic Research, volume 4, issue 11, pages 18-30, November.
• Brüggemann, Ralf & Jentsch, Carsten & Trenkler, Carsten, 2014, "Inference in VARs with Conditional Heteroskedasticity of Unknown Form," Working Papers, University of Mannheim, Department of Economics, number 14-21.
• Joe S. Ballard & E. Anthon Eff, 2014, "Working for the Weekend: A Time Allocation Model for Student Workers," Journal for Economic Educators, Middle Tennessee State University, Business and Economic Research Center, volume 14, issue 1, pages 108-119, Fall.
• Anita Castledine & Klaus Moeltner & Michael Price & Shawn Stoddard, 2014, "Free to Choose: Promoting Conservation by Relaxing Outdoor Watering Restrictions," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 20362, Jul.
• Martin Feldkircher & Florian Huber, 2014, "The International Transmission of U.S. Structural Shocks – Evidence from Global Vector Autoregressions," Working Papers, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), number 195, Jul.
• Anna Ferus, 2014, "The application of data envelopment analysis method in managing companies' credit risk," Business and Economic Horizons (BEH), Prague Development Center, volume 10, issue 1, pages 60-69, April.
• Aiello, Francesco & Ricotta, Fernanda, 2014, "Firm heterogeneity in productivity across Europe. What explains what?," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 56222, May.
• Saltari, Enrico & Federici, Daniela, 2014, "Elasticity of substitution and the slowdown of the Italian productivity," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 58302, Sep.
• Saltari, Enrico & Federici, Daniela, 2014, "Elasticity of substitution and the slowdown of the Italian productivity," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 58422, Sep.
• Chen, Song Xi & Guo, Bin, 2014, "Tests for High Dimensional Generalized Linear Models," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 59816.
• Aiello, Francesco & Ricotta, Fernanda, 2014, "Firm heterogeneity in productivity across Europe. What explains what?," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 63234, May, revised 25 Mar 2015.
• Sabuj, Das & Mohajan, Haradhan, 2014, "Development of Partition Functions of Ramanujan’s Works," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 83045, Jul, revised 15 Aug 2014.
• Mohajan, Haradhan, 2014, "Gravitational Collapse of a Massive Star and Black Hole Formation," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 83188, Jul, revised 10 Aug 2014.
• James G. MacKinnon & Russell Davidson, 2014, "Bootstrap Tests For Overidentification In Linear Regression Models," Working Paper, Economics Department, Queen's University, number 1318, Apr.
• Rivkin, Wladislaw & Diestel, Stefan & Schmidt, Klaus-Helmut, 2014, "The positive relationship between servant leadership and employees’ psychological health: A multi-method approach," Zeitschrift fuer Personalforschung. German Journal of Research in Human Resource Management, Rainer Hampp Verlag, volume 28, issue 1-2, pages 52-72.
• Daniela Federici & Enrico Saltari, 2014, "Elasticity of substitution and the slowdown of Italian productivity," Working Papers in Public Economics, Department of Economics and Law, Sapienza University of Rome, number 166, Nov.
• Sabiha Isci & Engin Karada?, 2014, "Destructive Leadership, Psychological Capital and Organizational Citizenship Behavior: A structural Equation Modelling," Proceedings of International Academic Conferences, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences, number 0802644, Oct.
• Nuri Baltaci, 2014, "Turkish Banking Sector: The Analysis Of Macroeconomics Indicators And Bank Profitability With Panel Data Approach," Journal of Academic Research in Economics, Spiru Haret University, Faculty of Accounting and Financial Management Constanta, volume 6, issue 1 (March), pages 82-92.
• Piyachart Phiromswad, 2014, "Measuring monetary policy with empirically grounded identifying restrictions," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 46, issue 2, pages 681-699, March, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-013-0692-7.
• Silvia Balia, 2014, "Survival expectations, subjective health and smoking: evidence from SHARE," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 47, issue 2, pages 753-780, September, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-013-0750-1.
• Guy Chapda Nana & Bruno Larue, 2014, "Imposing curvature conditions on flexible functional forms for GNP functions," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 47, issue 4, pages 1411-1440, December, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-013-0784-4.
• Ping Chen, 2014, "Metabolic growth theory: market-share competition, learning uncertainty, and technology wavelets," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, volume 24, issue 2, pages 239-262, April, DOI: 10.1007/s00191-014-0341-0.
• Edgar Merkle & Jinyan Fan & Achim Zeileis, 2014, "Testing for Measurement Invariance with Respect to an Ordinal Variable," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, volume 79, issue 4, pages 569-584, October, DOI: 10.1007/s11336-013-9376-7.
• Giuseppe Cavaliere & Anders Rahbek & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2014, "Bootstrap Determination of the Co-Integration Rank in Heteroskedastic VAR Models," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 33, issue 5-6, pages 606-650, August, DOI: 10.1080/07474938.2013.825175.
• Desire Kedagni & Ismael Mourifie, 2014, "Tightening Bounds In Triangular Systems," Working Papers, University of Toronto, Department of Economics, number tecipa-515, Jul.
• Seki, Mai, 2014, "Heterogeneous Returns to U.S. College Selectivity and the Value of Graduate Degree Attainment," CLSSRN working papers, Vancouver School of Economics, number clsrn_admin-2014-53, Nov, revised 25 Nov 2014.
• Pingfan Hong & Zhibo Tan, 2014, "A comparative study of the forecasting performance of three international organizations," Working Papers, United Nations, Department of Economics and Social Affairs, number 133, Jun.