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Carlos A. Medel

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Personal Details

First Name:Carlos A.
Middle Name:
Last Name:Medel
Suffix:
RePEc Short-ID:pme357
Agustinas 1180, Office 12/Second Floor, Santiago 8340454, CHILE
+56 2 23882172

Affiliation

Santiago, Chile
http://www.bcentral.cl/

: (562) 670 2000
(562) 698 4847
Casilla No967, Santiago
RePEc:edi:bccgvcl (more details at EDIRC)

Works

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Working Papers

  1. Pablo Furche & Carlos Madeira & Mario Marcel & Carlos Medel, 2017. "FinTech y el Futuro de la Banca Central," Economic Policy Papers Central Bank of Chile 63, Central Bank of Chile.
  2. Mario Marcel & Carlos Medel & Jessica Mena, 2017. "Determinantes de la Inflación de Servicios en Chile," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 803, Central Bank of Chile.
  3. Carlos Medel, 2016. "Un Análisis de la Capacidad Predictiva del Precio del Cobre sobre la Inflación Global," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 786, Central Bank of Chile.
  4. Rodrigo Alfaro & Carlos Medel & Carola Moreno, 2016. "An Analysis of the Impact of External Financial Risks on the Sovereign Risk Premium of Latin American Economies," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 795, Central Bank of Chile.
  5. Carlos Medel, 2016. "Forecasting Chilean Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Globalisation, Combination, and Accuracy," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 791, Central Bank of Chile.
  6. Medel, Carlos A., 2015. "Forecasting Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: A Compact-Scale Global VAR Approach," MPRA Paper 67081, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  7. Medel, Carlos A., 2015. "Geopolitical Tensions, OPEC News, and Oil Price: A Granger Causality Analysis," MPRA Paper 65667, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  8. Carlos Medel, 2015. "Fuelling Future Prices: Oil Price and Global Inflation," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 770, Central Bank of Chile.
  9. Medel, Carlos, 2015. "Inflation Dynamics and the Hybrid Neo Keynesian Phillips Curve: The Case of Chile," MPRA Paper 62609, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  10. Medel, Carlos, 2015. "Producers, Politicians, Warriors, and Forecasters: Who's Who in the Oil Market?," MPRA Paper 65298, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  11. Medel, Carlos A., 2015. "A Critical Review of Posch, J. and F. Rumler (2015), 'Semi-Structural Forecasting of UK Inflation Based on the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve,' Journal of Forecasting 34(2): 145-62," MPRA Paper 65665, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  12. Medel, Carlos & Camilleri, Gilmour & Hsu, Hsiang-Ling & Kania, Stefan & Touloumtzoglou, Miltiadis, 2015. "Robustness in Foreign Exchange Rate Forecasting Models: Economics-based Modelling After the Financial Crisis," MPRA Paper 65290, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  13. Medel, Carlos & Pincheira, Pablo, 2015. "The Out-of-sample Performance of an Exact Median-Unbiased Estimator for the Near-Unity AR(1) Model," MPRA Paper 62552, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  14. Carlos Medel & Michael Pedersen & Pablo Pincheira, 2014. "The Elusive Predictive Ability of Global Inflation," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 725, Central Bank of Chile.
  15. Medel, Carlos A., 2014. "Probabilidad Clásica de Sobreajuste con Criterios de Información: Estimaciones con Series Macroeconómicas Chilenas
    [Classical Probability of Overfitting with Information Criteria: Estimations with     ," MPRA Paper 57401, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  16. Medel, Carlos A., 2014. "A Comparison Between Direct and Indirect Seasonal Adjustment of the Chilean GDP 1986-2009 with X-12-ARIMA," MPRA Paper 57053, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  17. Carlos Medel, 2014. "The Typical Spectral Shape of An Economic Variable: A Visual Guide with 100 Examples," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 719, Central Bank of Chile.
  18. Medel, Carlos A. & Salgado, Sergio C., 2012. "Does BIC Estimate and Forecast Better than AIC?," MPRA Paper 42235, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  19. Medel, Carlos A., 2012. "¿Akaike o Schwarz? ¿Cuál elegir para predecir el PIB chileno?
    [Akaike or Schwarz? Which One is a Better Predictor of Chilean GDP?]    ," MPRA Paper 35950, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  20. Medel, Carlos A., 2012. "How informative are in-sample information criteria to forecasting? the case of Chilean GDP," MPRA Paper 35949, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  21. Pablo Pincheira & Carlos A. Medel, 2012. "Forecasting Inflation with a Simple and Accurate Benchmark: a Cross-Country Analysis," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 677, Central Bank of Chile.
  22. Pablo Pincheira & Carlos Medel, 2012. "Forecasting Inflation With a Random Walk," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 669, Central Bank of Chile.
  23. Medel, Carlos A., 2011. "The Effects of Global Warming on Fisheries," MPRA Paper 28373, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  24. Carrière-Swallow, Yan & Medel, Carlos, 2011. "Incertidumbre Global sobre el Pacífico Sur," Working Papers 2011-016, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
  25. Marcus Cobb & Gonzalo Echavarría & Pablo Filippi & Macarena García & Carolina Godoy & Wildo González & Carlos Medel & Marcela Urrutia, 2011. "Short-Term GDP Forecasting Using Bridge Models: a Case for Chile," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 626, Central Bank of Chile.
  26. Carlos Medel & Marcela Urrutia, 2010. "Proyección Agregada y Desagregada del PIB Chileno con Procedimientos Automatizados de Series de Tiempo," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 577, Central Bank of Chile.
  27. Carlos Medel, 2009. "Efectos del Calentamiento Global sobre la Industria Pesquera," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 534, Central Bank of Chile.
  28. Medel, Carlos A., 2007. "Guía de Ejercicios: Introducción a la Macroeconomía
    [Exercises Guide: Principles of Macroeconomics]    ," MPRA Paper 41401, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Aug 2007.

Articles

  1. Pablo M. Pincheira & Carlos A. Medel, 2016. "Forecasting with a Random Walk," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 66(6), pages 539-564, December.
  2. Carlos A. Medel, 2016. "Un análisis de la capacidad predictiva del precio del cobre sobre la inflación global," Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 19(2), pages 128-153, August.
  3. Carlos A. Medel & Michael Pedersen & Pablo M. Pincheira, 2016. "The Elusive Predictive Ability of Global Inflation," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(2), pages 120-146, 06.
  4. Carlos A. Medel & Pablo M. Pincheira, 2016. "The out-of-sample performance of an exact median-unbiased estimator for the near-unity AR(1) model," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(2), pages 126-131, February.
  5. Pablo M. Pincheira & Carlos A. Medel, 2015. "Forecasting Inflation with a Simple and Accurate Benchmark: The Case of the US and a Set of Inflation Targeting Countries," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 65(1), pages 2-29, January.
  6. Carlos A. Medel, 2015. "Dinámica inflacionaria y la curva de Phillips híbrida neokeynesiana: el caso de Chile," Monetaria, Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos, vol. 0(1), pages 27-78, Enero-jun.
  7. Carlos A. Medel, 2015. "Classical Probability of Overfitting with Information Criteria: Estimations with Chilean Macroeconomic Series," Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, Ilades-Georgetown University, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Bussines, vol. 30(1), pages 57-72, April.
  8. Carlos A. Medel, 2014. "The typical spectral shape of an economic variable: a visual guide," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(14), pages 1017-1024, September.
  9. Carlos A. Medel & Sergio C. Salgado, 2013. "Does the Bic Estimate and Forecast Better than the Aic?," Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, Ilades-Georgetown University, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Bussines, vol. 28(1), pages 47-64, April.
  10. Carlos A. Medel, 2013. "How informative are in-sample information criteria to forecasting? The case of Chilean GDP," Latin American Journal of Economics-formerly Cuadernos de Economía, Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 50(1), pages 133-161, May.
  11. Yan Carrière-Swallow & Carlos A. Medel V., 2011. "Incertidumbre Externa sobre la Economía Chilena," Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 14(3), pages 75-82, December.
  12. Carlos A. Medel Vera, 2011. "¿Akaike o Schwarz? ¿Cuál utilizar para predecir el PIB chileno?," Monetaria, Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos, vol. 0(4), pages 591-615, octubre-d.
  13. Carlos A. Medel V. & Michael Pedersen, 2010. "Incertidumbre en las Series Desestacionalizadas de Actividad y Demanda en Chile," Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 13(1), pages 63-72, April.
  14. Marcus Cobb C. & Carlos A. Medel V., 2010. "Una Estimación del Impacto del Efecto Calendario en Series Desestacionalizadas Chilenas de Actividad y Demanda," Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 13(3), pages 95-103, December.

NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 35 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.
  1. NEP-FOR: Forecasting (22) 2011-06-18 2012-01-25 2012-01-25 2012-02-27 2012-02-27 2012-07-29 2012-09-09 2012-11-11 2013-02-08 2014-05-04 2015-03-13 2015-03-13 2015-07-04 2015-07-25 2015-10-10 2016-02-23 2016-02-29 2016-03-06 2016-06-04 2016-06-09 2016-11-06 2017-04-23. Author is listed
  2. NEP-MAC: Macroeconomics (16) 2011-06-18 2014-07-28 2014-12-03 2015-03-13 2015-07-04 2015-07-04 2015-07-25 2015-07-25 2015-10-10 2016-03-06 2016-06-09 2016-06-14 2016-11-06 2017-01-01 2017-04-23 2017-07-02. Author is listed
  3. NEP-MON: Monetary Economics (10) 2012-07-29 2012-09-09 2014-05-04 2015-03-13 2015-07-04 2015-10-10 2016-06-04 2016-06-09 2016-11-06 2017-04-23. Author is listed
  4. NEP-CBA: Central Banking (8) 2011-06-18 2012-07-29 2014-05-04 2015-07-25 2015-10-10 2016-06-09 2016-11-06 2017-04-23. Author is listed
  5. NEP-ENE: Energy Economics (5) 2011-02-05 2015-07-04 2015-07-25 2016-02-23 2017-07-02. Author is listed
  6. NEP-ETS: Econometric Time Series (5) 2012-11-11 2013-02-08 2014-02-15 2015-03-13 2016-02-29. Author is listed
  7. NEP-ECM: Econometrics (3) 2012-07-29 2012-11-11 2015-03-13
  8. NEP-EEC: European Economics (2) 2015-07-04 2016-06-04
  9. NEP-LAM: Central & South America (2) 2015-03-13 2017-01-01
  10. NEP-AGR: Agricultural Economics (1) 2011-02-05
  11. NEP-ENV: Environmental Economics (1) 2011-02-05
  12. NEP-ORE: Operations Research (1) 2012-07-29
  13. NEP-PAY: Payment Systems & Financial Technology (1) 2017-08-27
  14. NEP-POL: Positive Political Economics (1) 2017-07-02
  15. NEP-SOG: Sociology of Economics (1) 2014-02-15

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