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Publications

by members of

Konjunkturinstitutet
Government of Sweden
Stockholm, Sweden

(National Institute of Economic Research - NIER, )

These are publications listed in RePEc written by members of the above institution who are registered with the RePEc Author Service. Thus this compiles the works all those currently affiliated with this institution, not those affilated at the time of publication. List of registered members. Register yourself. Citation analysis. This page is updated in the first days of each month.
| Working papers | Journal articles | Software components |

Working papers

2021

  1. Kiss, Tamás & Mazur, Stepan & Nguyen, Hoang & Österholm, Pär, 2021. "Modelling the Relation between the US Real Economy and the Corporate Bond-Yield Spread in Bayesian VARs with non-Gaussian Disturbances," Working Papers 2021:9, Örebro University, School of Business.

2020

  1. Kiss, Tamás & Österholm, Pär, 2020. "Corona, Crisis and Conditional Heteroscedasticity," Working Papers 2020:2, Örebro University, School of Business.
  2. Kladivko, Kamil & Österholm, Pär, 2020. "Can Households Predict where the Macroeconomy is Headed?," Working Papers 2020:11, Örebro University, School of Business.
  3. Kiss, Tamás & Nguyen, Hoang & Österholm, Pär, 2020. "Modelling Returns in US Housing Prices – You’re the One for Me, Fat Tails," Working Papers 2020:13, Örebro University, School of Business.

2019

  1. Knezevic, David & Nordström, Martin & Österholm, Pär, 2019. "The Relation between Municipal and Government Bond Yields in an Era of Unconventional Monetary Policy," Working Papers 2019:6, Örebro University, School of Business.
  2. Karlsson, Sune & Österholm, Pär, 2019. "The Relation between the Corporate Bond-Yield Spread and the Real Economy: Stable or TimeVarying?," Working Papers 2019:7, Örebro University, School of Business.
  3. Kladivko, Kamil & Österholm, Pär, 2019. "Market Participants’ Forecasts of Financial Variables – Can Survey Data Outperform the Random Walk?," Working Papers 2019:10, Örebro University, School of Business.
  4. Hjalmarsson, Erik & Österholm, Pär, 2019. "Heterogeneity in Households’ Expectations of Housing Prices – Evidence from Micro Data," Working Papers 2019:11, Örebro University, School of Business.
  5. Sebastian Ankargren & Paulina Jon'eus, 2019. "Simulation smoothing for nowcasting with large mixed-frequency VARs," Papers 1907.01075, arXiv.org.
  6. Ankargren, Sebastian & Shahnazarian, Hovick, 2019. "The Interaction Between Fiscal and Monetary Policies: Evidence from Sweden," Working Paper Series 365, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden), revised 01 Apr 2019.
  7. Sebastian Ankargren & M{aa}ns Unosson & Yukai Yang, 2019. "A Flexible Mixed-Frequency Vector Autoregression with a Steady-State Prior," Papers 1911.09151, arXiv.org.
  8. Sebastian Ankargren & Paulina Jon'eus, 2019. "Estimating Large Mixed-Frequency Bayesian VAR Models," Papers 1912.02231, arXiv.org.

2018

  1. Carlén, Björn & Dahlqvist, Anna & Mandell, Svante & Marklund, Pelle, 2018. "EU ETS emissions under the cancellation mechanism: Effects of national measures," Working Papers 151, National Institute of Economic Research.
  2. Karlsson, Sune & Österholm, Pär, 2018. "Is the US Phillips Curve Stable? Evidence from Bayesian VARs," Working Papers 2018:5, Örebro University, School of Business.
  3. Karlsson, Sune & Österholm, Pär, 2018. "A Note on the Stability of the Swedish Philips Curve," Working Papers 2018:6, Örebro University, School of Business.
  4. Beechey, Meredith & Österholm, Pär, 2018. "Point versus Band Targets for Inflation," Working Papers 2018:8, Örebro University, School of Business.
  5. Laun, Tobias & Markussen, Simen & Vigtel, Trond Christian & Wallenius, Johanna, 2018. "Health, Longevity and Pension Reform," Working Paper Series 2018:9, Uppsala University, Department of Economics.
  6. Sebastian Ankargren & Måns Unosson & Yukai Yang, 2018. "A mixed-frequency Bayesian vector autoregression with a steady-state prior," CREATES Research Papers 2018-32, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.

2017

  1. Hjalmarsson, Erik & Österholm, Pär, 2017. "Households’ Mortgage-Rate Expectations: More Realistic than at First Glance?," Working Papers 2017:9, Örebro University, School of Business.
  2. Laun, Tobias & Wallenius, Johanna, 2017. "Having It All? Employment, Earnings and Children," Working Paper Series 2017:6, Uppsala University, Department of Economics.

2016

  1. Jussila Hammes , Johanna & Mandell , Svante, 2016. "Districts’ co-financing of the central government," Working papers in Transport Economics 2016:12, CTS - Centre for Transport Studies Stockholm (KTH and VTI).
  2. Billstam, Maria & Frändén, Kristina & Samuelsson, Johan & Österholm, Pär, 2016. "Quasi-Real-Time Data of the Economic Tendency Survey," Working Papers 143, National Institute of Economic Research.
  3. Stockhammar, Pär & Österholm, Pär, 2016. "Do Inflation Expectations Granger Cause Inflation?," Working Papers 145, National Institute of Economic Research.
  4. Stockhammar, Pär & Österholm, Pär, 2016. "The Impact of US Uncertainty Shocks on Small Open Economies," Working Papers 2016:5, Örebro University, School of Business.
  5. Johanna Wallenius & Tobias Laun, 2016. "Home and Market Hours, Human Capital Accumulation and Fertility," 2016 Meeting Papers 518, Society for Economic Dynamics.

2015

  1. Vierth , Inge & Schleussner , Heike & Mandell , Svante, 2015. "Road freight transport policies and their impact: a comparative study of Germany and Sweden," Working papers in Transport Economics 2015:16, CTS - Centre for Transport Studies Stockholm (KTH and VTI).
  2. Mandell, Svante & Proost, Stef, 2015. "Why truck distance taxes are contagious and drive fuel taxes to the bottom," Working Paper Series 15/5, Royal Institute of Technology, Department of Real Estate and Construction Management & Banking and Finance.
  3. Flodberg, Caroline & Österholm, Pär, 2015. "A Statistical Analysis of Revisions of Swedish National Accounts Data," Working Papers 136, National Institute of Economic Research.
  4. Gustafsson, Peter & Stockhammar, Pär & Österholm, Pär, 2015. "Macroeconomic Effects of a Decline in Housing Prices in Sweden," Working Papers 138, National Institute of Economic Research.
  5. Assarsson, Bengt & Österholm, Pär, 2015. "Do Swedish Consumer Confidence Indicators Do What They Are Intended to Do?," Working Papers 139, National Institute of Economic Research.

2014

  1. Mandell, Svante & Nilsson, Jan-Eric & Vierth, Inge, 2014. "Freight transport, policy instruments and climate," Working Paper Series 14/3, Royal Institute of Technology, Department of Real Estate and Construction Management & Banking and Finance.
  2. Österholm, Pär & Stockhammar, Pär, 2014. "The Euro Crisis and Swedish GDP Growth — A Study of Spillovers," Working Papers 134, National Institute of Economic Research.
  3. Stockhammar, Pär & Österholm, Pär, 2014. "Effects of US Policy Uncertainty on Swedish GDP Growth," Working Papers 135, National Institute of Economic Research.

2013

  1. Mandell, Svante & Wilhelmsson, Mats, 2013. "Financial Infrastructure and House Prices," Working Paper Series 13/7, Royal Institute of Technology, Department of Real Estate and Construction Management & Banking and Finance.
  2. Svante Mandell, 2013. "Carbon Emissions and Cost Benefit Analyses," International Transport Forum Discussion Papers 2013/32, OECD Publishing.
  3. Högberg, Lovisa & Mandell, Svante & Netzell, Olof, 2013. "Price discovery over space in office markets," Working Paper Series 13/17, Royal Institute of Technology, Department of Real Estate and Construction Management & Banking and Finance.
  4. Beechey, Meredith & Österholm, Pär, 2013. "Central Bank Forecasts of Policy Interest Rates: An Evaluation of the First Years," Working Papers 128, National Institute of Economic Research.
  5. Antipin, Jan-Erik & Boumediene, Farid Jimmy & Österholm, Pär, 2013. "On the Usefulness of Constant Gain Least Squares when Forecasting the Unemployment Rate," Working Papers 129, National Institute of Economic Research.
  6. Österholm, Pär, 2013. "Survey Data and Short-Term Forecasts of Swedish GDP Growth," Working Papers 130, National Institute of Economic Research.
  7. Österholm, Pär, 2013. "Forecasting Business Investment in the Short Term Using Survey Data," Working Papers 131, National Institute of Economic Research.
  8. Laun, Tobias & Wallenius, Johanna, 2013. "Social Insurance and Retirement: A Cross-Country Perspective," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 744, Stockholm School of Economics.
  9. Johansson, Per & Laun, Lisa & Laun, Tobias, 2013. "Screening stringency in the disability insurance program," Working Paper Series 2013:10, IFAU - Institute for Evaluation of Labour Market and Education Policy.
  10. Johanna Wallenius & Tobias Laun, 2013. "The Role of Social Insurance Programs in Accounting for Cross-Country Differences in Retirement Behavior," 2013 Meeting Papers 221, Society for Economic Dynamics.

2012

  1. Carlén, Björn & Mandell, Svante, 2012. "On assessing climate effects of electrifying the transport sector," Working papers in Transport Economics 2012:11, CTS - Centre for Transport Studies Stockholm (KTH and VTI).
  2. Antipin, Jan-Erik & Boumediene, Farid Jimmy & Österholm, Pär, 2012. "Forecasting Inflation Using Constant Gain Least Squares," Working Papers 126, National Institute of Economic Research.
  3. Beechey, Meredith & Österholm, Pär, 2012. "Policy Interest-Rate Expectations in Sweden: A Forecast Evaluation," Working Papers 127, National Institute of Economic Research.
  4. Laun, Tobias, 2012. "Optimal Social Insurance with Endogenous Health," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 742, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 26 Mar 2013.
  5. Laun, Tobias & Wallenius, Johanna, 2012. "A Life Cycle Model of Health and Retirement: The Case of Swedish Pension Reform," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 741, Stockholm School of Economics.

2011

  1. Mandell, Svante & Brunes, Fredrik, 2011. "Quantity Choice in Unit Price Contract Procurements," Working Papers 2011:4, Swedish National Road & Transport Research Institute (VTI).
  2. Mandell, Svante & Nyström, Johan, 2011. "Why are bids not more unbalanced?," Working papers in Transport Economics 2011:13, CTS - Centre for Transport Studies Stockholm (KTH and VTI).
  3. Svante Mandell & Han-Suck Song & Abukar Warsame & Mats Wilhelmsson, 2011. "Bank Lending and House Prices in Sweden 1992-2010," ERES eres2011_91, European Real Estate Society (ERES).
  4. HanSuck Song & Mats Wilhelmsson & Svante Mandell & Abukar Warsame, 2011. "Analysis of the inter-relationship between listed real estate share index and stock and bond market," ERES eres2011_145, European Real Estate Society (ERES).

2010

  1. Mandell, Svante & Wilhelmsson, Mats, 2010. "Willingness to pay for sustainable housing," Working Papers 2010:6, Swedish National Road & Transport Research Institute (VTI).
  2. Mandell, Svante, 2010. "Carbon Emission Values in Cost Benefit Analyses," Working Papers 2010:4, Swedish National Road & Transport Research Institute (VTI).
  3. Mandell, Svante & Nilsson, Jan-Eric, 2010. "A Comparison of Unit Price and Fixed Price Contracts for Infrastructure Construction Projects," Working Papers 2010:13, Swedish National Road & Transport Research Institute (VTI).
  4. Österholm, Pär & Mossfeldt, Marcus, 2010. "The Persistent Labour-Market Effects of the Financial Crisis," Working Papers 117, National Institute of Economic Research.
  5. Gustavsson, Magnus & Österholm, Pär, 2010. "Labor-Force Participation Rates and the Informational Value of Unemployment Rates: Evidence from Disaggregated US Data," Working Paper Series 2010:14, Uppsala University, Department of Economics.
  6. Jonsson, Thomas & Österholm, Pär, 2010. "The Forecasting Properties of Survey-Based Wage-Growth Expectations," Working Papers 121, National Institute of Economic Research.
  7. Gustavsson, Magnus & Österholm, Pär, 2010. "Does the Labor-Income Process Contain a Unit Root? Evidence from Individual-Specific Time Series," Working Paper Series 2010:21, Uppsala University, Department of Economics.

2009

  1. Mandell, Svante, 2009. "Incentives for innovation and adoption of new technology under emissions trading," Working Papers 2009:10, Swedish National Road & Transport Research Institute (VTI).
  2. Mandell, Svante & Wråke, Markus & Myers, Erica C. & Burtraw, Dallas & Holt, Charles A., 2009. "Pricing Strategies Under Emissions Trading: An Experimental Analysis," Working Papers 2009:1, Swedish National Road & Transport Research Institute (VTI).
  3. Mandell, Svante & Holt, Chrles & Myers, Erica & Burtraw, Dallas & Wråke, Markus, 2009. "Teaching Opportunity Cost in an Emissions Permit Experiment," Working Papers 2009:6, Swedish National Road & Transport Research Institute (VTI).
  4. Mandell, Svante, 2009. "Prices and Quantities in a Climate Policy Setting," Working Papers 2009:4, Swedish National Road & Transport Research Institute (VTI).
  5. Österholm, Pär, 2009. "The Effect on the Swedish Real Economy of the Financial Crisis," Working Papers 110, National Institute of Economic Research.
  6. Österholm, Pär, 2009. "Improving Unemployment Rate Forecasts Using Survey Data," Working Papers 112, National Institute of Economic Research.
  7. Jonsson, Thomas & Österholm, Pär, 2009. "The Properties of Survey-Based Inflation Expectations in Sweden," Working Papers 114, National Institute of Economic Research.
  8. Österholm, Pär, 2009. "Unemployment and Labour Force Participation in Sweden," Working Papers 113, National Institute of Economic Research.

2008

  1. Mandell, Svante, 2008. "Steering the European transport greenhouse gas emissions under uncertainty," Working Papers 2008:4, Swedish National Road & Transport Research Institute (VTI).
  2. Mandell, Svante, 2008. "Policies towards a more efficient car fleet," Working Papers 2008:12, Swedish National Road & Transport Research Institute (VTI).
  3. Dale, Spencer & Orphanides, Athanasios & Österholm, Pär, 2008. "Imperfect Central Bank Communication: Information versus Distraction," Working Paper Series 2008:3, Uppsala University, Department of Economics.
  4. Meredith J. Beechey & Erik Hjalmarsson & Pär Österholm, 2008. "Testing the expectations hypothesis when interest rates are near integrated," International Finance Discussion Papers 953, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  5. Berger, Helge & Österholm, Pär, 2008. "Does money matter for U.S. inflation? Evidence from Bayesian VARs," Discussion Papers 2008/9, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
  6. Berger, Helge & Österholm, Pär, 2008. "Does money still matter for U.S. output?," Discussion Papers 2008/7, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
  7. Berger, Helge & Österholm, Pär, 2008. "Does money growth granger-cause inflation in the Euro Area? Evidence from output-of-sample forecasts using Bayesian VARs," Discussion Papers 2008/10, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
  8. Mr. Lisandro Abrego & Pär Österholm, 2008. "External Linkages and Economic Growth in Colombia: Insights from A Bayesian VAR Model," IMF Working Papers 2008/046, International Monetary Fund.

2007

  1. Meredith J. Beechey & Pär Österholm, 2007. "The rise and fall of U.S. inflation persistence," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2007-26, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  2. Erik Hjalmarsson & Pär Österholm, 2007. "A residual-based cointegration test for near unit root variables," International Finance Discussion Papers 907, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  3. Berger, Helge & Österholm, Pär, 2007. "Does Money Growth Granger-Cause Inflation in the Euro Area? Evidence from Out-of-Sample Forecasts Using Bayesian VARs," Working Paper Series 2007:30, Uppsala University, Department of Economics.
  4. Carlsson, Mikael & Lyhagen, Johan & Österholm, Pär, 2007. "Testing for Purchasing Power Parity in Cointegrated Panels," Working Paper Series 2008:1, Uppsala University, Department of Economics.
  5. Erik Hjalmarsson & Pär Österholm, 2007. "Testing for cointegration using the Johansen methodology when variables are near-integrated," International Finance Discussion Papers 915, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  6. Mr. Jeromin Zettelmeyer & Pär Österholm, 2007. "The Effect of External Conditions on Growth in Latin America," IMF Working Papers 2007/176, International Monetary Fund.
  7. Jonsson, Thomas, 2007. "Market Power Effects of Supply Control and Dairy Market Deregulation," Umeå Economic Studies 721, Umeå University, Department of Economics.
  8. Jonsson, Thomas, 2007. "Collective Action and Common Agricultural Policy Lobbying: Evidence of Euro-Group Influence, 1986-2003," Umeå Economic Studies 713, Umeå University, Department of Economics.
  9. Jonsson, Thomas, 2007. "Essays on Agricultural and Environmental Policy," Umeå Economic Studies 719, Umeå University, Department of Economics.

2006

  1. Gustavsson, Magnus & Österholm, Pär, 2006. "Does Unemployment Hysteresis Equal Employment Hysteresis?," Working Paper Series 2006:15, Uppsala University, Department of Economics.
  2. Österholm, Pär, 2006. "Incorporating Judgement in Fan Charts," Working Paper Series 2006:30, Uppsala University, Department of Economics.
  3. Aronsson, Thomas & Jonsson, Thomas & Sjögren, Tomas, 2006. "Environmental Policy and Optimal Taxation in a Decentralized Economic Federation," Umeå Economic Studies 669, Umeå University, Department of Economics.

2005

  1. Welz, Peter & Österholm, Pär, 2005. "Interest Rate Smoothing versus Serially Correlated Errors in Taylor Rules: Testing the Tests," Working Paper Series 2005:14, Uppsala University, Department of Economics.

2004

  1. Mandell, Svante, 2004. "Optimal Mix of Price and Quantity Regulation under Uncertainty," Research Papers in Economics 2004:12, Stockholm University, Department of Economics.
  2. Mandell, Svante, 2004. "A Generalized Hybrid Approach to Controlling Emissions," Research Papers in Economics 2004:17, Stockholm University, Department of Economics.
  3. Österholm, Pär, 2004. "Estimating the Relationship between Age Structure and GDP in the OECD Using Panel Cointegration Methods," Working Paper Series 2004:13, Uppsala University, Department of Economics.
  4. Aronsson, Thomas & Jonsson, Thomas & Sjögren, Tomas, 2004. "Environmental Policy Reforms and the Labor Market in a Global Economy," Umeå Economic Studies 629, Umeå University, Department of Economics.

2003

  1. Österholm, Pär, 2003. "The Taylor Rule: A Spurious Regression?," Working Paper Series 2003:20, Uppsala University, Department of Economics.
  2. Österholm, Pär, 2003. "Testing for Cointegration in Misspecified Systems –A Monte Carlo Study of Size Distortions," Working Paper Series 2003:21, Uppsala University, Department of Economics.

2001

  1. Andersson, Andreas & Österholm, Pär, 2001. "The Impact of Demography on the Real Exchange Rate," Working Paper Series 2001:11, Uppsala University, Department of Economics.

1999

  1. Assarsson, Bengt & Berg, Claes & Jansson, Per, 1999. "Investment in Swedish Manufacturing: Analysis and Forecasts," Working Paper Series 95, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).

1995

  1. Assarsson, B. & Jansson, P., 1995. "Some Further Evidence on Hysteresis in Unemployment Rates: The Cases of Denmark and Sweden," Papers 1995-16, Uppsala - Working Paper Series.

1992

  1. Assarsson, B., 1992. "Aggregate Consumption and Model Selection Bais with Erroneous Data," Papers 1992s, Uppsala - Working Paper Series.
  2. Assarsson, B., 1992. "Alcohol Pricing Policy and the Demand for Alcohol in Sweden 1978-1988," Papers 1992a, Uppsala - Working Paper Series.
  3. Assarsson, B., 1992. "The Stochastic Behaviour of Durables and Nondurables Consumption in Sweden," Papers 1992d, Uppsala - Working Paper Series.

Journal articles

2021

  1. David Knezevic & Martin Nordström & Pär Österholm, 2021. "The relation between municipal and government bond yields in an era of unconventional monetary policy," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 50(1), February.
  2. Hjalmarsson, Erik & Österholm, Pär, 2021. "Anchoring in surveys of household expectations," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
  3. Tamás Kiss & Pär Österholm, 2021. "Corona, crisis and conditional heteroscedasticity," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(9), pages 755-759, May.
  4. Kladívko, Kamil & Österholm, Pär, 2021. "Do market participants’ forecasts of financial variables outperform the random-walk benchmark?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 40(C).
  5. Tobias Laun & Johanna Wallenius, 2021. "Having It All? Employment, Earnings, and Children," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 123(1), pages 353-381, January.

2020

  1. Jonas Eliasson & Fredrik Kopsch & Svante Mandell & Mats Wilhelmsson, 2020. "Transport Mode and the Value of Accessibility–A Potential Input for Sustainable Investment Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 12(5), pages 1-14, March.
  2. Karlsson, Sune & Österholm, Pär, 2020. "The relation between the corporate bond-yield spread and the real economy: Stable or time-varying?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
  3. Kiss, Tamás & Österholm, Pär, 2020. "Fat tails in leading indicators," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
  4. Sune Karlsson & Pär Österholm, 2020. "A note on the stability of the Swedish Phillips curve," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(6), pages 2573-2612, December.
  5. Hjalmarsson, Erik & Österholm, Pär, 2020. "Heterogeneity in households’ expectations of housing prices – evidence from micro data," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
  6. Karlsson, Sune & Österholm, Pär, 2020. "A hybrid time-varying parameter Bayesian VAR analysis of Okun’s law in the United States," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).
  7. Tobias Laun, 2020. "Optimal Social Insurance with Endogenous Health," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 122(2), pages 464-493, April.
  8. Ankargren Sebastian & Unosson Måns & Yang Yukai, 2020. "A Flexible Mixed-Frequency Vector Autoregression with a Steady-State Prior," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 12(2), pages 1-41, July.

2019

  1. Hammes, Johanna Jussila & Mandell, Svante, 2019. "Local government co-financing of the central government's transport infrastructure investment," Economics of Transportation, Elsevier, vol. 18(C), pages 40-49.
  2. Carlén, Björn & Dahlqvist, Anna & Mandell, Svante & Marklund, Pelle, 2019. "EU ETS emissions under the cancellation mechanism - Effects of national measures," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 816-825.
  3. Karlsson, Sune & Österholm, Pär, 2019. "Volatilities, drifts and the relation between treasury yields and the corporate bond yield spread in australia," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 378-384.
  4. Hjalmarsson, Erik & Österholm, Pär, 2019. "A micro-data analysis of households’ expectations of mortgage rates," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 185(C).
  5. Laun, Tobias & Markussen, Simen & Vigtel, Trond Christian & Wallenius, Johanna, 2019. "Health, longevity and retirement reform," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 123-157.
  6. Shaobo Jin & Sebastian Ankargren, 2019. "Frequentist Model Averaging in Structural Equation Modelling," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 84(1), pages 84-104, March.

2018

  1. Österholm, Pär, 2018. "The relation between treasury yields and corporate bond yield spreads in Australia: Evidence from VARs," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 186-192.
  2. Pär Stockhammar & Pär Österholm, 2018. "Do inflation expectations granger cause inflation?," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 35(2), pages 403-431, August.
  3. Sebastian Ankargren & Shaobo Jin, 2018. "On the least-squares model averaging interval estimator," Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(1), pages 118-132, January.

2017

  1. Pär Stockhammar & Pär Österholm, 2017. "The Impact of US Uncertainty Shocks on Small Open Economies," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 28(2), pages 347-368, April.
  2. Maria Billstam & Kristina Frändén & Johan Samuelsson & Pär Österholm, 2017. "Quasi-Real-Time Data of the Economic Tendency Survey," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 13(1), pages 105-138, May.
  3. Caroline Flodberg & Pär Österholm, 2017. "A Statistical Anaysis of Revisions in Swedish National Accounts Data," Finnish Economic Papers, Finnish Economic Association, vol. 28(1), pages 10-33, Autumn.
  4. Sebastian Ankargren & Mårten Bjellerup & Hovick Shahnazarian, 2017. "The importance of the financial system for the real economy," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(4), pages 1553-1586, December.

2016

  1. Mandell, Svante & Proost, Stef, 2016. "Why truck distance taxes are contagious and drive fuel taxes to the bottom," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 1-17.
  2. Andersson, Matts & Mandell, Svante & Thörn, Helena Braun & Gomér, Ylva, 2016. "The effect of minimum parking requirements on the housing stock," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 206-215.
  3. Pär Stockhammar & Pär Österholm, 2016. "Effects of US policy uncertainty on Swedish GDP growth," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 50(2), pages 443-462, March.
  4. Gustafsson, Peter & Stockhammar, Pär & Österholm, Pär, 2016. "Macroeconomic effects of a decline in housing prices in Sweden," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 242-255.
  5. Pär Österholm, 2016. "The Long-run Relationship Between Stock Prices and GDP in Sweden," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 45(2), pages 283-297, July.
  6. Pär Österholm, 2016. "Time variation in Okun’s law in Sweden," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(6), pages 436-439, April.
  7. Tobias Laun & Johanna Wallenius, 2016. "Social Insurance and Retirement: A Cross-Country Perspective," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 22, pages 72-92, October.

2015

  1. Svante Mandell & Mats Wilhelmsson, 2015. "Financial infrastructure and house prices," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(30), pages 3175-3188, June.
  2. Bengt Assarsson & Pär Österholm, 2015. "Do Swedish Consumer Confidence Indicators Do What They Are Intended to Do?," Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot GmbH, Berlin, vol. 61(4), pages 391-404.
  3. Laun, Tobias & Wallenius, Johanna, 2015. "A life cycle model of health and retirement: The case of Swedish pension reform," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 127-136.

2014

  1. Svante Mandell & Fredrik Brunes, 2014. "Quantity Choice in Unit Price Contract Procurements," Journal of Transport Economics and Policy, University of Bath, vol. 48(3), pages 483-497, September.
  2. Meredith Beechey & Pär Österholm, 2014. "Central Bank Forecasts of Policy Interest Rates: An Evaluation of the First Years," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 43(1), pages 63-78, February.
  3. Gustavsson, Magnus & Österholm, Pär, 2014. "Does the labor-income process contain a unit root? Evidence from individual-specific time series," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 152-167.
  4. Jan-Erik Antipin & Farid Jimmy Boumediene & Pär Österholm, 2014. "Forecasting Inflation Using Constant Gain Least Squares," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 53(1-2), pages 2-15, June.
  5. Jan-Erik Antipin & Farid Jimmy Boumediene & Pär Österholm, 2014. "On the Usefulness of Constant Gain Least Squares when Forecasting the Unemployment Rate," Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot GmbH, Berlin, vol. 60(4), pages 315-336.
  6. P�r Österholm, 2014. "Survey data and short-term forecasts of Swedish GDP growth," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(2), pages 135-139, January.
  7. Meredith Beechey & P�r Österholm, 2014. "Policy interest-rate expectations in Sweden: a forecast evaluation," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(14), pages 984-991, September.
  8. P�r Österholm & P�r Stockhammar, 2014. "The euro crisis and Swedish GDP growth - a study of spillovers," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(16), pages 1105-1110, November.
  9. Johansson Per & Laun Lisa & Laun Tobias, 2014. "Screening Stringency in the Disability Insurance Program," The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 14(3), pages 1-19, July.

2013

  1. Svante Mandell & Johan Nyström, 2013. "Too Much Balance in Unbalanced Bidding," Studies in Microeconomics, , vol. 1(1), pages 23-35, June.

2012

  1. Thomas Jonsson & Pär Österholm, 2012. "The properties of survey-based inflation expectations in Sweden," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 42(1), pages 79-94, February.
  2. Österholm, Pär, 2012. "The limited usefulness of macroeconomic Bayesian VARs when estimating the probability of a US recession," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 76-86.
  3. Meredith Beechey & Pär Österholm, 2012. "The Rise and Fall of U.S. Inflation Persistence," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 8(3), pages 55-86, September.
  4. Gustavsson, Magnus & Österholm, Pär, 2012. "Labor-force participation rates and the informational value of unemployment rates: Evidence from disaggregated US data," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 116(3), pages 408-410.

2011

  1. Mandell, Svante, 2011. "Carbon emission values in cost benefit analyses," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 18(6), pages 888-892, November.
  2. Helge Berger & Pär Österholm, 2011. "Does Money Growth Granger Cause Inflation in the Euro Area? Evidence from Out‐of‐Sample Forecasts Using Bayesian VARs," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 87(276), pages 45-60, March.
  3. Spencer Dale & Athanasios Orphanides & Pär Österholm, 2011. "Imperfect Central Bank Communication: Information versus Distraction," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 7(2), pages 3-39, June.
  4. Helge Berger & Pär Österholm, 2011. "Does Money matter for U.S. Inflation? Evidence from Bayesian VARs," CESifo Economic Studies, CESifo, vol. 57(3), pages 531-550, September.
  5. Jonsson, Thomas & Österholm, Pär, 2011. "The forecasting properties of survey-based wage-growth expectations," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 113(3), pages 276-281.
  6. Marcus Mossfeldt & Par Osterholm, 2011. "The persistent labour-market effects of the financial crisis," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(7), pages 637-642.
  7. Magnus Gustavsson & Par Osterholm, 2011. "Mean reversion in the US unemployment rate - evidence from bootstrapped out-of-sample forecasts," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(7), pages 643-646.

2010

  1. Markus Wråke & Erica Myers & Dallas Burtraw & Svante Mandell & Charles Holt, 2010. "Opportunity Cost for Free Allocations of Emissions Permits: An Experimental Analysis," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 46(3), pages 331-336, July.
  2. Charles Holt & Erica Myers & Markus Wrake & Dallas Burtraw & Svante Mandell, 2010. "Teaching Opportunity Cost in an Emissions Permit Experiment," International Review of Economic Education, Economics Network, University of Bristol, vol. 9(2), pages 34-42.
  3. Svante Mandell, 2010. "Steering the European Transport Greenhouse Gas Emissions under Uncertainty," Journal of Transport Economics and Policy, University of Bath, vol. 44(1), pages 1-16, January.
  4. Par Osterholm, 2010. "The effect on the Swedish real economy of the financial crisis," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(4), pages 265-274.
  5. Österholm, Pär, 2010. "Unemployment and labour-force participation in Sweden," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 106(3), pages 205-208, March.
  6. Magnus Gustavsson & Pär Österholm, 2010. "The presence of unemployment hysteresis in the OECD: what can we learn from out-of-sample forecasts?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 38(3), pages 779-792, June.
  7. Beechey, Meredith & Österholm, Pär, 2010. "Forecasting inflation in an inflation-targeting regime: A role for informative steady-state priors," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 26(2), pages 248-264, April.
  8. Pär Österholm, 2010. "Improving Unemployment Rate Forecasts Using Survey Data," Finnish Economic Papers, Finnish Economic Association, vol. 23(1), pages 16-26, Spring.
  9. Erik Hjalmarsson & Pär Österholm, 2010. "Testing for cointegration using the Johansen methodology when variables are near-integrated: size distortions and partial remedies," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 39(1), pages 51-76, August.
  10. Lisandro Abrego & Pär Österholm, 2010. "External Linkages and Economic Growth in Colombia: Insights from a Bayesian VAR Model," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(12), pages 1788-1810, December.

2009

  1. Mandell, Svante, 2009. "Policies towards a more efficient car fleet," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(12), pages 5184-5191, December.
  2. Beechey, Meredith & Österholm, Pär, 2009. "Time-varying inflation persistence in the Euro area," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 26(2), pages 532-535, March.
  3. Berger, Helge & Österholm, Pär, 2009. "Does money still matter for U.S. output?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 102(3), pages 143-146, March.
  4. Beechey, Meredith & Hjalmarsson, Erik & sterholm, Pr, 2009. "Testing the expectations hypothesis when interest rates are near integrated," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(5), pages 934-943, May.
  5. Par Osterholm, 2009. "The time-series properties of Norwegian inflation and nominal interest rate," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(10), pages 1303-1309.
  6. Pär Österholm, 2009. "Incorporating Judgement in Fan Charts," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 111(2), pages 387-415, June.

2008

  1. Mandell, Svante, 2008. "Optimal mix of emissions taxes and cap-and-trade," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 56(2), pages 131-140, September.
  2. Pär Österholm, 2008. "Can forecasting performance be improved by considering the steady state? An application to Swedish inflation and interest rate," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 41-51.
  3. Beechey, Meredith & Österholm, Pär, 2008. "Revisiting the uncertain unit root in GDP and CPI: Testing for non-linear trend reversion," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 100(2), pages 221-223, August.
  4. Par Osterholm, 2008. "A structural Bayesian VAR for model-based fan charts," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(12), pages 1557-1569.
  5. P&aauml;r Österholm & Jeromin Zettelmeyer, 2008. "The Effect of External Conditions on Growth in Latin America," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 55(4), pages 595-623, December.
  6. Meredith Beechey & Pär Österholm, 2008. "A Bayesian Vector Autoregressive Model with Informative Steady‐state Priors for the Australian Economy," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 84(267), pages 449-465, December.

2007

  1. Magnus Gustavsson & Pär Österholm, 2007. "Does Unemployment Hysteresis Equal Employment Hysteresis?," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 83(261), pages 159-173, June.

2006

  1. Gustavsson, Magnus & Osterholm, Par, 2006. "The informational value of unemployment statistics: A note on the time series properties of participation rates," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 92(3), pages 428-433, September.
  2. Andreas Andersson & Par Osterholm, 2006. "Population age structure and real exchange rates in the OECD," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(1), pages 1-18.
  3. Magnus Gustavsson & Par Osterholm, 2006. "Hysteresis and non-linearities in unemployment rates," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(9), pages 545-548.
  4. Thomas Aronsson & Thomas Jonsson & Tomas Sjögren, 2006. "International Environmental Policy Reforms, Tax Distortions, and the Labor Market," FinanzArchiv: Public Finance Analysis, Mohr Siebeck, Tübingen, vol. 62(2), pages 199-217, June.
  5. Thomas Aronsson Aronsson & Thomas Jonsson & Tomas Sjögren, 2006. "Environmental Policy and Optimal Taxation in a Decentralized Economic Federation," FinanzArchiv: Public Finance Analysis, Mohr Siebeck, Tübingen, vol. 62(3), pages 437-454, September.

2005

  1. Svante Mandell, 2005. "The choice of multiple or single auctions in emissions trading," Climate Policy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 97-107, January.
  2. Pär Österholm, 2005. "The Taylor Rule: A Spurious Regression?," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 57(3), pages 217-247, July.
  3. Par Osterholm, 2005. "The Taylor rule and real-time data - a critical appraisal," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(11), pages 679-685.
  4. Andreas Andersson & Par Osterholm, 2005. "Forecasting real exchange rate trends using age structure data - the case of Sweden," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(5), pages 267-272.

2004

  1. Par Osterholm, 2004. "Killing four unit root birds in the US economy with three panel unit root test stones," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(4), pages 213-216.
  2. Par Osterholm, 2004. "Size properties of cointegration tests in misspecified systems," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(15), pages 919-924.
  3. Bengt Assarsson & Claes Berg & Per Jansson, 2004. "Investment in Swedish manufacturing: Analysis and forecasts," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 29(2), pages 261-280, May.

2003

  1. Svante Mandell, 2003. "Local property taxes and moral hazard," Journal of Property Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(2), pages 157-172, January.

2002

  1. Svante Mandell, 2002. "Lessor and lessee perspectives on ground lease pricing," Journal of Property Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(2), pages 145-157, January.

1998

  1. Bengt Assarsson & Per Jansson, 1998. "Unemployment persistence: the case of Sweden," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 25-29.

1986

  1. Assarsson, Bengt, 1986. "Inflation and relative-price variability -- A model for an open economy applied to Sweden," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 8(4), pages 455-469.

Software components

2016

  1. Tobias Laun & Johanna Wallenius, 2016. "Code and data files for "Social Insurance and Retirement: A Cross-Country Perspective"," Computer Codes 14-161, Review of Economic Dynamics.

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