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Publications

by members of

Government of Sweden → Konjunkturinstitutet

→ National Institute of Economic Research - NIER

These are publications listed in RePEc written by members of the above institution who are registered with the RePEc Author Service. Thus this compiles the works all those currently affiliated with this institution, not those affilated at the time of publication. List of registered members. Register yourself. Citation analysis. This page is updated in the first days of each month.
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Working papers

2025

  1. Karlsson, Sune & Österholm, Pär, 2025, "On the Stability of Macroeconomic Relationships in Australia," Working Papers, Örebro University, School of Business, number 2025:15, Nov.

2024

  1. Karlsson, Sune & Kiss, Tamás & Nguyen, Hoang & Österholm, Pär, 2024, "US Interest Rates: Are Relations Stable?," Working Papers, Örebro University, School of Business, number 2024:3, Mar.
  2. Kiss, Tamás & Mazur, Stepan & Nguyen, Hoang & Österholm, Pär, 2024, "VAR Models with Fat Tails and Dynamic Asymmetry," Working Papers, Örebro University, School of Business, number 2024:8, Oct.

2023

  1. Kiss, Tamás & Kladivko, Kamil & Silfverberg, Oliwer & Österholm, Pär, 2023, "Market Participants or the Random Walk – Who Forecasts Better? Evidence from Micro Level Survey Data," Working Papers, Örebro University, School of Business, number 2023:2, Jan.
  2. Edvinsson, Rodney & Karlsson, Sune & Österholm, Pär, 2023, "Does Money Growth Predict Inflation? Evidence from Vector Autoregressions Using Four Centuries of Data," Working Papers, Örebro University, School of Business, number 2023:3, Feb.
  3. Armelius, Hanna & Solberger, Martin & Spånberg, Erik & Österholm, Pär, 2023, "The Evolution of the Natural Rate of Interest – Evidence from the Scandinavian Countries," Working Papers, Örebro University, School of Business, number 2023:8, Apr.
  4. Berger, Helge & Karlsson, Sune & Österholm, Pär, 2023, "A Note of Caution on the Relation between Money Growth and Inflation," Working Papers, Örebro University, School of Business, number 2023:9, Apr.

2022

  1. Kiss, Tamas & Nguyen, Hoang & Österholm, Pär, 2022, "Modelling Okun’s Law – Does non-Gaussianity Matter?," Working Papers, Örebro University, School of Business, number 2022:1, Jan.
  2. Österholm, Pär & Poon, Aubrey, 2022, "Trend Inflation in Sweden," Working Papers, Örebro University, School of Business, number 2022:2, Jan.
  3. Kiss, Tamás & Kladivko, Kamil & Lunander, Anders & Österholm, Pär, 2022, "Varför har arbetstagar- och arbetsgivarorganisationer olika förväntningar om lönetillväxt?," Working Papers, Örebro University, School of Business, number 2022:3, Feb.
  4. Andersson, Fredrik N G & Hjalmarsson, Erik & Österholm, Pär, 2022, "Inflation Illiteracy – A Micro-Data Analysis," Working Papers, Örebro University, School of Business, number 2022:6, May.
  5. Kladívko, Kamil & Österholm, Pär, 2022, "Analysts versus the Random Walk in Financial Forecasting: Evidence from the Czech National Bank’s Financial Market Inflation Expectations Survey," Working Papers, Örebro University, School of Business, number 2022:14, Nov.

2021

  1. Kiss, Tamás & Mazur, Stepan & Nguyen, Hoang & Österholm, Pär, 2021, "Modelling the Relation between the US Real Economy and the Corporate Bond-Yield Spread in Bayesian VARs with non-Gaussian Disturbances," Working Papers, Örebro University, School of Business, number 2021:9, May.

2020

  1. Kiss, Tamás & Österholm, Pär, 2020, "Corona, Crisis and Conditional Heteroscedasticity," Working Papers, Örebro University, School of Business, number 2020:2, Mar.
  2. Kladivko, Kamil & Österholm, Pär, 2020, "Can Households Predict where the Macroeconomy is Headed?," Working Papers, Örebro University, School of Business, number 2020:11, Oct.
  3. Kiss, Tamás & Nguyen, Hoang & Österholm, Pär, 2020, "Modelling Returns in US Housing Prices – You’re the One for Me, Fat Tails," Working Papers, Örebro University, School of Business, number 2020:13, Oct.

2019

  1. Knezevic, David & Nordström, Martin & Österholm, Pär, 2019, "The Relation between Municipal and Government Bond Yields in an Era of Unconventional Monetary Policy," Working Papers, Örebro University, School of Business, number 2019:6, Sep.
  2. Karlsson, Sune & Österholm, Pär, 2019, "The Relation between the Corporate Bond-Yield Spread and the Real Economy: Stable or TimeVarying?," Working Papers, Örebro University, School of Business, number 2019:7, Sep.
  3. Kladivko, Kamil & Österholm, Pär, 2019, "Market Participants’ Forecasts of Financial Variables – Can Survey Data Outperform the Random Walk?," Working Papers, Örebro University, School of Business, number 2019:10, Nov.
  4. Hjalmarsson, Erik & Österholm, Pär, 2019, "Heterogeneity in Households’ Expectations of Housing Prices – Evidence from Micro Data," Working Papers, Örebro University, School of Business, number 2019:11, Dec.

2018

  1. Laun, Tobias & Markussen, Simen & Vigtel, Trond Christian & Wallenius, Johanna, 2018, "Health, Longevity and Pension Reform," Working Paper Series, Uppsala University, Department of Economics, number 2018:9, May.
  2. Carlén, Björn & Dahlqvist, Anna & Mandell, Svante & Marklund, Pelle, 2018, "EU ETS emissions under the cancellation mechanism: Effects of national measures," Working Papers, National Institute of Economic Research, number 151, Jun.
  3. Karlsson, Sune & Österholm, Pär, 2018, "Is the US Phillips Curve Stable? Evidence from Bayesian VARs," Working Papers, Örebro University, School of Business, number 2018:5, Mar.
  4. Karlsson, Sune & Österholm, Pär, 2018, "A Note on the Stability of the Swedish Philips Curve," Working Papers, Örebro University, School of Business, number 2018:6, Mar.
  5. Beechey, Meredith & Österholm, Pär, 2018, "Point versus Band Targets for Inflation," Working Papers, Örebro University, School of Business, number 2018:8, Jun.

2017

  1. Laun, Tobias & Wallenius, Johanna, 2017, "Having It All? Employment, Earnings and Children," Working Paper Series, Uppsala University, Department of Economics, number 2017:6, Apr.
  2. Hjalmarsson, Erik & Österholm, Pär, 2017, "Households’ Mortgage-Rate Expectations: More Realistic than at First Glance?," Working Papers, Örebro University, School of Business, number 2017:9, Dec.

2016

  1. Johanna Wallenius & Tobias Laun, 2016, "Home and Market Hours, Human Capital Accumulation and Fertility," 2016 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 518.
  2. Jussila Hammes , Johanna & Mandell , Svante, 2016, "Districts’ co-financing of the central government," Working papers in Transport Economics, CTS - Centre for Transport Studies Stockholm (KTH and VTI), number 2016:12, Apr.
  3. Billstam, Maria & Frändén, Kristina & Samuelsson, Johan & Österholm, Pär, 2016, "Quasi-Real-Time Data of the Economic Tendency Survey," Working Papers, National Institute of Economic Research, number 143, Apr.
  4. Stockhammar, Pär & Österholm, Pär, 2016, "Do Inflation Expectations Granger Cause Inflation?," Working Papers, National Institute of Economic Research, number 145, Oct.
  5. Stockhammar, Pär & Österholm, Pär, 2016, "The Impact of US Uncertainty Shocks on Small Open Economies," Working Papers, Örebro University, School of Business, number 2016:5, Oct.

2015

  1. Assarsson, Bengt & Österholm, Pär, 2015, "Do Swedish Consumer Confidence Indicators Do What They Are Intended to Do?," Working Papers, National Institute of Economic Research, number 139, Sep.
  2. Mandell Svante & Stef Proost, 2015, "Why truck distance taxes are contagious and drive fuel taxes to the bottom," Working Papers of Department of Economics, Leuven, KU Leuven, Faculty of Economics and Business (FEB), Department of Economics, Leuven, number 490748, Mar.
  3. Vierth , Inge & Schleussner , Heike & Mandell , Svante, 2015, "Road freight transport policies and their impact: a comparative study of Germany and Sweden," Working papers in Transport Economics, CTS - Centre for Transport Studies Stockholm (KTH and VTI), number 2015:16, Oct.
  4. Flodberg, Caroline & Österholm, Pär, 2015, "A Statistical Analysis of Revisions of Swedish National Accounts Data," Working Papers, National Institute of Economic Research, number 136, Feb.
  5. Gustafsson, Peter & Stockhammar, Pär & Österholm, Pär, 2015, "Macroeconomic Effects of a Decline in Housing Prices in Sweden," Working Papers, National Institute of Economic Research, number 138, Mar.

2014

  1. Arslan, Yavuz & Kanik, Birol & Köksal, Bülent, 2014, "Anticipated vs. Unanticipated House Price Movements and Transaction Volume," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 54641, Mar.
  2. Birol Kanik & Wei Xiao, 2014, "News, Housing Boom-Bust Cycles, and Monetary Policy," Working Papers, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, number 1415.
  3. Mandell, Svante & Nilsson , Jan-Eric & Vierth , Inge, 2014, "Freight transport, policy instruments and climate," Working papers in Transport Economics, CTS - Centre for Transport Studies Stockholm (KTH and VTI), number 2014:5, Mar.
  4. Österholm, Pär & Stockhammar, Pär, 2014, "The Euro Crisis and Swedish GDP Growth — A Study of Spillovers," Working Papers, National Institute of Economic Research, number 134, Mar.
  5. Stockhammar, Pär & Österholm, Pär, 2014, "Effects of US Policy Uncertainty on Swedish GDP Growth," Working Papers, National Institute of Economic Research, number 135, Oct.

2013

  1. Ermi̇şoğlu, Ergun & Kanik, Bi̇rol, 2013, "Türkiye Ekonomik Politika Belirsizliği Endeksi
    [Turkish Economic Policy Uncertainty Index]    ," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 49920, Sep.
  2. ARSLAN, Yavuz & CERİTOĞLU, Evren & KANIK, Birol, 2013, "Nüfus Yapısındaki Değişimlerin Uzun Dönem Konut Talebi Üzerindeki Etkileri
    [The Effects of Demographic Changes on the Long Term Housing Demand in Turkey]    ," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 52013, Jun, revised 06 Dec 2013.
  3. Birol Kanik & Enes Sunel & Temel Taskin, 2013, "Unemployment and Vacancies in Turkey : The Beveridge Curve and Matching Function," Working Papers, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, number 1335.
  4. Laun, Tobias & Wallenius, Johanna, 2013, "Social Insurance and Retirement: A Cross-Country Perspective," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance, Stockholm School of Economics, number 744, Apr.
  5. Johansson, Per & Laun, Lisa & Laun, Tobias, 2013, "Screening stringency in the disability insurance program," Working Paper Series, IFAU - Institute for Evaluation of Labour Market and Education Policy, number 2013:10, May.
  6. Johanna Wallenius & Tobias Laun, 2013, "The Role of Social Insurance Programs in Accounting for Cross-Country Differences in Retirement Behavior," 2013 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 221.
  7. Mandell, Svante & Wilhelmsson, Mats, 2013, "Financial infrastructure and house prices," Working papers in Transport Economics, CTS - Centre for Transport Studies Stockholm (KTH and VTI), number 2013:7, Jun.
  8. Högberg, Lovisa & Mandell, Svante & Netzell, Olof, 2013, "Price discovery over space in office markets," Working Paper Series, Royal Institute of Technology, Department of Real Estate and Construction Management & Banking and Finance, number 13/17, Oct.
  9. Svante Mandell, 2013, "Carbon Emissions and Cost Benefit Analyses," International Transport Forum Discussion Papers, OECD Publishing, number 2013/32, Dec, DOI: 10.1787/5jz40rmnqzvc-en.
  10. Beechey, Meredith & Österholm, Pär, 2013, "Central Bank Forecasts of Policy Interest Rates: An Evaluation of the First Years," Working Papers, National Institute of Economic Research, number 128, Jan.
  11. Antipin, Jan-Erik & Boumediene, Farid Jimmy & Österholm, Pär, 2013, "On the Usefulness of Constant Gain Least Squares when Forecasting the Unemployment Rate," Working Papers, National Institute of Economic Research, number 129, Sep.
  12. Österholm, Pär, 2013, "Survey Data and Short-Term Forecasts of Swedish GDP Growth," Working Papers, National Institute of Economic Research, number 130, Sep.
  13. Österholm, Pär, 2013, "Forecasting Business Investment in the Short Term Using Survey Data," Working Papers, National Institute of Economic Research, number 131, Nov.

2012

  1. Yavuz Arslan & Birol Kanik, 2012, "ABD Kira Enflasyonu ve Konut Fiyat Dinamikleri," CBT Research Notes in Economics, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, number 1203.
  2. Birol Kanik & Enes Sunel & Temel Taskin, 2012, "Beveridge Egrisi ve Eslesme Fonksiyonu : Turkiye Ornegi," CBT Research Notes in Economics, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, number 1224.
  3. Laun, Tobias, 2012, "Optimal Social Insurance with Endogenous Health," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance, Stockholm School of Economics, number 742, Mar, revised 26 Mar 2013.
  4. Laun, Tobias & Wallenius, Johanna, 2012, "A Life Cycle Model of Health and Retirement: The Case of Swedish Pension Reform," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance, Stockholm School of Economics, number 741, Mar.
  5. Carlén, Björn & Mandell, Svante, 2012, "On assessing climate effects of electrifying the transport sector," Working papers in Transport Economics, CTS - Centre for Transport Studies Stockholm (KTH and VTI), number 2012:11, May.
  6. Antipin, Jan-Erik & Boumediene, Farid Jimmy & Österholm, Pär, 2012, "Forecasting Inflation Using Constant Gain Least Squares," Working Papers, National Institute of Economic Research, number 126, Feb.
  7. Beechey, Meredith & Österholm, Pär, 2012, "Policy Interest-Rate Expectations in Sweden: A Forecast Evaluation," Working Papers, National Institute of Economic Research, number 127, Nov.

2011

  1. KANIK, Birol, 2011, "Learning, monetary policy and housing prices," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 35782, Mar.
  2. Arslan, Yavuz & Akkoyun, H. Cagri & Kanik, Birol, 2011, "Housing prices and transaction volume," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 37343, Oct, revised 01 Mar 2012.
  3. HanSuck Song & Mats Wilhelmsson & Svante Mandell & Abukar Warsame, 2011, "Analysis of the inter-relationship between listed real estate share index and stock and bond market," ERES, European Real Estate Society (ERES), number eres2011_145, Jan.
  4. Svante Mandell & Han-Suck Song & Abukar Warsame & Mats Wilhelmsson, 2011, "Bank Lending and House Prices in Sweden 1992-2010," ERES, European Real Estate Society (ERES), number eres2011_91, Jan.
  5. Mandell, Svante & Brunes, Fredrik, 2011, "Quantity choice in unit price contract procurements," Working papers in Transport Economics, CTS - Centre for Transport Studies Stockholm (KTH and VTI), number 2011:4, Nov.
  6. Mandell, Svante & Nyström, Johan, 2011, "Why are bids not more unbalanced?," Working papers in Transport Economics, CTS - Centre for Transport Studies Stockholm (KTH and VTI), number 2011:13, Nov.

2010

  1. Jonsson, Thomas & Österholm, Pär, 2010, "The Forecasting Properties of Survey-Based Wage-Growth Expectations," Working Papers, National Institute of Economic Research, number 121, Sep.
  2. Mandell, Svante, 2010, "Carbon Emission Values in Cost Benefit Analyses," Working Papers, Swedish National Road & Transport Research Institute (VTI), number 2010:4, Jan.
  3. Mandell, Svante & Wilhelmsson, Mats, 2010, "Willingness to pay for sustainable housing," Working Papers, Swedish National Road & Transport Research Institute (VTI), number 2010:6, Jul.
  4. Mandell, Svante & Nilsson, Jan-Eric, 2010, "A Comparison of Unit Price and Fixed Price Contracts for Infrastructure Construction Projects," Working Papers, Swedish National Road & Transport Research Institute (VTI), number 2010:13, Dec.
  5. Österholm, Pär & Mossfeldt, Marcus, 2010, "The Persistent Labour-Market Effects of the Financial Crisis," Working Papers, National Institute of Economic Research, number 117, Mar.
  6. Gustavsson, Magnus & Österholm, Pär, 2010, "Labor-Force Participation Rates and the Informational Value of Unemployment Rates: Evidence from Disaggregated US Data," Working Papers, National Institute of Economic Research, number 120, Sep.
  7. Gustavsson, Magnus & Österholm, Pär, 2010, "Does the Labor-Income Process Contain a Unit Root? Evidence from Individual-Specific Time Series," Working Paper Series, Center for Labor Studies, Uppsala University, Department of Economics, number 2010:19, Dec.

2009

  1. Jonsson, Thomas & Österholm, Pär, 2009, "The Properties of Survey-Based Inflation Expectations in Sweden," Working Papers, National Institute of Economic Research, number 114, Dec.
  2. Svante Mandell, 2009, "Prices and Quantities in a Climate Policy Setting," ERES, European Real Estate Society (ERES), number eres2009_294, Jan.
  3. Mandell, Svante & Wråke, Markus & Myers, Erica C. & Burtraw, Dallas & Holt, Charles A., 2009, "Pricing Strategies Under Emissions Trading: An Experimental Analysis," Working Papers, Swedish National Road & Transport Research Institute (VTI), number 2009:1, Jan.
  4. Mandell, Svante & Holt, Chrles & Myers, Erica & Burtraw, Dallas & Wråke, Markus, 2009, "Teaching Opportunity Cost in an Emissions Permit Experiment," Working Papers, Swedish National Road & Transport Research Institute (VTI), number 2009:6, May.
  5. Mandell, Svante, 2009, "Incentives for innovation and adoption of new technology under emissions trading," Working Papers, Swedish National Road & Transport Research Institute (VTI), number 2009:10, Oct.
  6. Österholm, Pär, 2009, "The Effect on the Swedish Real Economy of the Financial Crisis," Working Papers, National Institute of Economic Research, number 110, Feb.
  7. Österholm, Pär, 2009, "Improving Unemployment Rate Forecasts Using Survey Data," Working Papers, National Institute of Economic Research, number 112, Jun.
  8. Österholm, Pär, 2009, "Unemployment and Labour Force Participation in Sweden," Working Papers, National Institute of Economic Research, number 113, Nov.

2008

  1. Mandell, Svante, 2008, "Steering the European transport greenhouse gas emissions under uncertainty," Working Papers, Swedish National Road & Transport Research Institute (VTI), number 2008:4, May.
  2. Mandell, Svante, 2008, "Policies towards a more efficient car fleet," Working Papers, Swedish National Road & Transport Research Institute (VTI), number 2008:12, Dec.
  3. Spencer Dale & Athanasios Orphanides & Par Osterholm, 2008, "Imperfect Central Bank Communication: Information versus Distraction," Working Papers, Central Bank of Cyprus, number 2008-1, Feb.
  4. Meredith J. Beechey & Erik Hjalmarsson & Pär Österholm, 2008, "Testing the expectations hypothesis when interest rates are near integrated," International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 953.
  5. Pär Österholm & Mr. Lisandro Abrego, 2008, "External Linkages and Economic Growth in Colombia: Insights from A Bayesian VAR Model," IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund, number 2008/046, Feb.
  6. Pär Österholm & Mr. Helge Berger, 2008, "Does Money Matter for U.S. Inflation? Evidence from Bayesian VARs," IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund, number 2008/076, Mar.
  7. Berger, Helge & Österholm, Pär, 2008, "Does money growth granger-cause inflation in the Euro Area? Evidence from output-of-sample forecasts using Bayesian VARs," Discussion Papers, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics, number 2008/10.
  8. Berger, Helge & Österholm, Pär, 2008, "Does money still matter for U.S. output?," Discussion Papers, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics, number 2008/7.

2007

  1. Jonsson, Thomas, 2007, "Market Power Effects of Supply Control and Dairy Market Deregulation," Umeå Economic Studies, Umeå University, Department of Economics, number 721, Nov.
  2. Jonsson, Thomas, 2007, "Collective Action and Common Agricultural Policy Lobbying: Evidence of Euro-Group Influence, 1986-2003," Umeå Economic Studies, Umeå University, Department of Economics, number 713, Jun.
  3. Jonsson, Thomas, 2007, "Essays on Agricultural and Environmental Policy," Umeå Economic Studies, Umeå University, Department of Economics, number 719, Nov.
  4. Meredith J. Beechey & Pär Österholm, 2007, "The rise and fall of U.S. inflation persistence," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2007-26.
  5. Erik Hjalmarsson & Pär Österholm, 2007, "A residual-based cointegration test for near unit root variables," International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 907.
  6. Erik Hjalmarsson & Pär Österholm, 2007, "Testing for cointegration using the Johansen methodology when variables are near-integrated," International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 915.
  7. Berger, Helge & Österholm, Pär, 2007, "Does Money Growth Granger-Cause Inflation in the Euro Area? Evidence from Out-of-Sample Forecasts Using Bayesian VARs," Working Paper Series, Uppsala University, Department of Economics, number 2007:30, Dec.
  8. Carlsson, Mikael & Lyhagen, Johan & Österholm, Pär, 2007, "Testing for Purchasing Power Parity in Cointegrated Panels," Working Paper Series, Uppsala University, Department of Economics, number 2008:1, Dec.
  9. Mr. Jeromin Zettelmeyer & Pär Österholm, 2007, "The Effect of External Conditions on Growth in Latin America," IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund, number 2007/176, Jul.

2006

  1. Aronsson, Thomas & Jonsson, Thomas & Sjögren, Tomas, 2006, "Environmental Policy and Optimal Taxation in a Decentralized Economic Federation," Umeå Economic Studies, Umeå University, Department of Economics, number 669, Jan.
  2. Pär Österholm, 2006, "Incorporating judgement in fan charts," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2006-39.
  3. Gustavsson, Magnus & Österholm, Pär, 2006, "Does Unemployment Hysteresis Equal Employment Hysteresis?," Working Paper Series, Uppsala University, Department of Economics, number 2006:15, Jul.

2005

  1. Thomas Eisensee, 2005, "Sustainable Social Security," 2005 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 754.
  2. Welz, Peter & Österholm, Pär, 2005, "Interest Rate Smoothing versus Serially Correlated Errors in Taylor Rules: Testing the Tests," Working Paper Series, Uppsala University, Department of Economics, number 2005:14, Mar.

2004

  1. Aronsson, Thomas & Jonsson, Thomas & Sjögren, Tomas, 2004, "Environmental Policy Reforms and the Labor Market in a Global Economy," Umeå Economic Studies, Umeå University, Department of Economics, number 629, Mar.
  2. Mandell, Svante, 2004, "Optimal Mix of Price and Quantity Regulation under Uncertainty," Research Papers in Economics, Stockholm University, Department of Economics, number 2004:12, Sep.
  3. Mandell, Svante, 2004, "A Generalized Hybrid Approach to Controlling Emissions," Research Papers in Economics, Stockholm University, Department of Economics, number 2004:17, Nov.
  4. Österholm, Pär, 2004, "Estimating the Relationship between Age Structure and GDP in the OECD Using Panel Cointegration Methods," Working Paper Series, Uppsala University, Department of Economics, number 2004:13, Sep.

2003

  1. Österholm, Pär, 2003, "The Taylor Rule: A Spurious Regression?," Working Paper Series, Uppsala University, Department of Economics, number 2003:20, Aug.
  2. Österholm, Pär, 2003, "Testing for Cointegration in Misspecified Systems –A Monte Carlo Study of Size Distortions," Working Paper Series, Uppsala University, Department of Economics, number 2003:21, Aug.

2001

  1. Andersson, Andreas & Österholm, Pär, 2001, "The Impact of Demography on the Real Exchange Rate," Working Paper Series, Uppsala University, Department of Economics, number 2001:11, Mar.

1999

  1. Assarsson, Bengt & Berg, Claes & Jansson, Per, 1999, "Investment in Swedish Manufacturing: Analysis and Forecasts," Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden), number 95, Oct.

1995

  1. Assarsson, B. & Jansson, P., 1995, "Some Further Evidence on Hysteresis in Unemployment Rates: The Cases of Denmark and Sweden," Papers, Uppsala - Working Paper Series, number 1995-16.

1992

  1. Assarsson, B., 1992, "Aggregate Consumption and Model Selection Bais with Erroneous Data," Papers, Uppsala - Working Paper Series, number 1992s.
  2. Assarsson, B., 1992, "Alcohol Pricing Policy and the Demand for Alcohol in Sweden 1978-1988," Papers, Uppsala - Working Paper Series, number 1992a.
  3. Assarsson, B., 1992, "The Stochastic Behaviour of Durables and Nondurables Consumption in Sweden," Papers, Uppsala - Working Paper Series, number 1992d.

Journal articles

2026

  1. Sune Karlsson & Pär Österholm, 2026, "On the Stability of Macroeconomic Relationships in Australia," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, volume 59, issue 2, pages 208-225, June, DOI: 10.1111/1467-8462.70060.

2025

  1. Meredith Beechey & Pär Österholm & Aubrey Poon, 2025, "An international analysis of the trend five‐year government bond rate," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, volume 72, issue 3, July, DOI: 10.1111/sjpe.12381.
  2. Rodney Edvinsson & Sune Karlsson & Pär Österholm, 2025, "Does money growth predict inflation in Sweden? Evidence from vector autoregressions using four centuries of data," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 68, issue 4, pages 1613-1635, April, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-024-02684-y.
  3. Hoang Nguyen & Pär Österholm, 2025, "A note on the dynamic effects of supply and demand shocks in the crude oil market," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 32, issue 11, pages 1627-1633, June, DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2024.2308590.

2024

  1. Hanna Armelius & Martin Solberger & Erik Spånberg & Pär Österholm, 2024, "The evolution of the natural rate of interest: evidence from the Scandinavian countries," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 66, issue 4, pages 1633-1659, April, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-023-02503-w.
  2. Kamil Kladívko & Pär Österholm, 2024, "An Analysis of UK Households’ Directional Forecasts of Interest Rates," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), volume 20, issue 3, pages 423-442, November, DOI: 10.1007/s41549-024-00103-w.
  3. Kamil Kladívko & Pär Österholm, 2024, "Analysts versus the random walk in financial forecasting: evidence from the Czech National Bank’s Financial Market Inflation Expectations survey," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 56, issue 17, pages 2077-2088, April, DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2178633.

2023

  1. Sune Karlsson & Pär Österholm, 2023, "Is the US Phillips curve stable? Evidence from Bayesian vector autoregressions," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, volume 125, issue 1, pages 287-314, January, DOI: 10.1111/sjoe.12508.
  2. Helge Berger & Sune Karlsson & Pär Österholm, 2023, "A note of caution on the relation between money growth and inflation," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, volume 70, issue 5, pages 479-496, November, DOI: 10.1111/sjpe.12364.
  3. Kiss, Tamás & Kladívko, Kamil & Silfverberg, Oliwer & Österholm, Pär, 2023, "Market participants or the random walk – who forecasts better? Evidence from micro-level survey data," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 54, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2023.103752.
  4. Beechey, Meredith & Österholm, Pär & Poon, Aubrey, 2023, "Estimating the US trend short-term interest rate," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 55, issue PA, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2023.103913.
  5. Tamás Kiss & Hoang Nguyen & Pär Österholm, 2023, "Modelling Okun’s law: Does non-Gaussianity matter?," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 64, issue 5, pages 2183-2213, May, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-022-02309-2.
  6. Pär Österholm & Aubrey Poon, 2023, "Trend Inflation in Sweden," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 28, issue 4, pages 4707-4716, October, DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.2672.
  7. Tamás Kiss & Stepan Mazur & Hoang Nguyen & Pär Österholm, 2023, "Modeling the relation between the US real economy and the corporate bond‐yield spread in Bayesian VARs with non‐Gaussian innovations," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 42, issue 2, pages 347-368, March, DOI: 10.1002/for.2911.

2022

  1. Kiss, Tamás & Nguyen, Hoang & Österholm, Pär, 2022, "The Relation between the High-Yield Bond Spread and the Unemployment Rate in the Euro Area," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 46, issue PA, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2021.102365.
  2. Farrukh Javed & Tamás Kiss & Pär Österholm, 2022, "Performance analysis of nowcasting of GDP growth when allowing for conditional heteroscedasticity and non-Gaussianity," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 54, issue 58, pages 6669-6686, December, DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2075823.

2021

  1. Tobias Laun & Johanna Wallenius, 2021, "Having It All? Employment, Earnings, and Children," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, volume 123, issue 1, pages 353-381, January, DOI: 10.1111/sjoe.12346.
  2. David Knezevic & Martin Nordström & Pär Österholm, 2021, "The relation between municipal and government bond yields in an era of unconventional monetary policy," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, volume 50, issue 1, February, DOI: 10.1111/ecno.12176.
  3. Hjalmarsson, Erik & Österholm, Pär, 2021, "Anchoring in surveys of household expectations," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 198, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2020.109687.
  4. Kladívko, Kamil & Österholm, Pär, 2021, "Do market participants’ forecasts of financial variables outperform the random-walk benchmark?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 40, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2020.101712.
  5. Tamás Kiss & Hoang Nguyen & Pär Österholm, 2021, "Modelling Returns in US Housing Prices—You’re the One for Me, Fat Tails," JRFM, MDPI, volume 14, issue 11, pages 1-17, October.
  6. Tamás Kiss & Pär Österholm, 2021, "Corona, crisis and conditional heteroscedasticity," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 28, issue 9, pages 755-759, May, DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1776829.

2020

  1. Aursland, Thor Andreas & Frankovic, Ivan & Kanik, Birol & Saxegaard, Magnus, 2020, "State-dependent fiscal multipliers in NORA - A DSGE model for fiscal policy analysis in Norway," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 93, issue C, pages 321-353, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2020.07.017.
  2. Tobias Laun, 2020, "Optimal Social Insurance with Endogenous Health," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, volume 122, issue 2, pages 464-493, April, DOI: 10.1111/sjoe.12359.
  3. Jonas Eliasson & Fredrik Kopsch & Svante Mandell & Mats Wilhelmsson, 2020, "Transport Mode and the Value of Accessibility–A Potential Input for Sustainable Investment Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, volume 12, issue 5, pages 1-14, March.
  4. Karlsson, Sune & Österholm, Pär, 2020, "The relation between the corporate bond-yield spread and the real economy: Stable or time-varying?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 186, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2019.108883.
  5. Kiss, Tamás & Österholm, Pär, 2020, "Fat tails in leading indicators," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 193, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2020.109317.
  6. Karlsson, Sune & Österholm, Pär, 2020, "A hybrid time-varying parameter Bayesian VAR analysis of Okun’s law in the United States," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 197, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2020.109622.
  7. Hjalmarsson, Erik & Österholm, Pär, 2020, "Heterogeneity in households’ expectations of housing prices – evidence from micro data," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, volume 50, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jhe.2020.101731.
  8. Sune Karlsson & Pär Österholm, 2020, "A note on the stability of the Swedish Phillips curve," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 59, issue 6, pages 2573-2612, December, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-019-01746-w.

2019

  1. Laun, Tobias & Markussen, Simen & Vigtel, Trond Christian & Wallenius, Johanna, 2019, "Health, longevity and retirement reform," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 103, issue C, pages 123-157, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2019.03.004.
  2. Hammes, Johanna Jussila & Mandell, Svante, 2019, "Local government co-financing of the central government's transport infrastructure investment," Economics of Transportation, Elsevier, volume 18, issue C, pages 40-49, DOI: 10.1016/j.ecotra.2019.03.001.
  3. Carlén, Björn & Dahlqvist, Anna & Mandell, Svante & Marklund, Pelle, 2019, "EU ETS emissions under the cancellation mechanism - Effects of national measures," Energy Policy, Elsevier, volume 129, issue C, pages 816-825, DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2019.02.060.
  4. Hjalmarsson, Erik & Österholm, Pär, 2019, "A micro-data analysis of households’ expectations of mortgage rates," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 185, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2019.108693.
  5. Karlsson, Sune & Österholm, Pär, 2019, "Volatilities, drifts and the relation between treasury yields and the corporate bond yield spread in australia," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 30, issue C, pages 378-384, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2018.11.003.

2018

  1. Österholm, Pär, 2018, "The relation between treasury yields and corporate bond yield spreads in Australia: Evidence from VARs," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 24, issue C, pages 186-192, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2017.09.009.
  2. Pär Stockhammar & Pär Österholm, 2018, "Do inflation expectations granger cause inflation?," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, volume 35, issue 2, pages 403-431, August, DOI: 10.1007/s40888-018-0111-9.

2017

  1. Caroline Flodberg & Pär Österholm, 2017, "A Statistical Anaysis of Revisions in Swedish National Accounts Data," Finnish Economic Papers, Finnish Economic Association, volume 28, issue 1, pages 10-33, Autumn.
  2. Pär Stockhammar & Pär Österholm, 2017, "The Impact of US Uncertainty Shocks on Small Open Economies," Open Economies Review, Springer, volume 28, issue 2, pages 347-368, April, DOI: 10.1007/s11079-016-9424-x.
  3. Maria Billstam & Kristina Frändén & Johan Samuelsson & Pär Österholm, 2017, "Quasi-Real-Time Data of the Economic Tendency Survey," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), volume 13, issue 1, pages 105-138, May, DOI: 10.1007/s41549-017-0016-7.

2016

  1. Tobias Laun & Johanna Wallenius, 2016, "Social Insurance and Retirement: A Cross-Country Perspective," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, volume 22, pages 72-92, October, DOI: 10.1016/j.red.2016.06.004.
  2. Mandell, Svante & Proost, Stef, 2016, "Why truck distance taxes are contagious and drive fuel taxes to the bottom," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, volume 93, issue C, pages 1-17, DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2016.02.001.
  3. Andersson, Matts & Mandell, Svante & Thörn, Helena Braun & Gomér, Ylva, 2016, "The effect of minimum parking requirements on the housing stock," Transport Policy, Elsevier, volume 49, issue C, pages 206-215, DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2016.05.005.
  4. Pär Österholm, 2016, "The Long-run Relationship Between Stock Prices and GDP in Sweden," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, volume 45, issue 2, pages 283-297, July.
  5. Gustafsson, Peter & Stockhammar, Pär & Österholm, Pär, 2016, "Macroeconomic effects of a decline in housing prices in Sweden," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, volume 38, issue 2, pages 242-255, DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2016.02.011.
  6. Pär Stockhammar & Pär Österholm, 2016, "Effects of US policy uncertainty on Swedish GDP growth," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 50, issue 2, pages 443-462, March, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-015-0934-y.
  7. Pär Österholm, 2016, "Time variation in Okun’s law in Sweden," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 23, issue 6, pages 436-439, April, DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1080796.

2015

  1. Bengt Assarsson & Pär Österholm, 2015, "Do Swedish Consumer Confidence Indicators Do What They Are Intended to Do?," Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot GmbH, Berlin, volume 61, issue 4, pages 391-404, DOI: 10.3790/aeq.61.4.391.
  2. Arslan, Yavuz & Kanık, Birol & Köksal, Bülent, 2015, "Anticipated vs. unanticipated house price movements and transaction volume," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, volume 28, issue C, pages 121-129, DOI: 10.1016/j.jhe.2015.04.003.
  3. Laun, Tobias & Wallenius, Johanna, 2015, "A life cycle model of health and retirement: The case of Swedish pension reform," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, volume 127, issue C, pages 127-136, DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2013.11.002.
  4. Svante Mandell & Mats Wilhelmsson, 2015, "Financial infrastructure and house prices," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 47, issue 30, pages 3175-3188, June, DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1013608.

2014

  1. Birol Kanik & Wei Xiao, 2014, "News, Housing Boom-Bust Cycles, and Monetary Policy," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, volume 10, issue 4, pages 249-298, December.
  2. Yavuz Arslan & Evren Ceritoglu & Birol Kanik, 2014, "Nufus Yapisindaki Degisimlerin Uzun Donem Konut Talebi Uzerindeki Etkileri," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, volume 14, issue 2, pages 13-29.
  3. Birol Kanik & Enes Sunel & Temel Taskin, 2014, "Unemployment and Vacancies in Turkey : The Beveridge Curve and Matching Function," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, volume 14, issue 3, pages 35-62.
  4. Johansson Per & Laun Lisa & Laun Tobias, 2014, "Screening Stringency in the Disability Insurance Program," The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, De Gruyter, volume 14, issue 3, pages 873-891, July, DOI: 10.1515/bejeap-2013-0095.
  5. Svante Mandell & Fredrik Brunes, 2014, "Quantity Choice in Unit Price Contract Procurements," Journal of Transport Economics and Policy, University of Bath, volume 48, issue 3, pages 483-497, September.
  6. Jan-Erik Antipin & Farid Jimmy Boumediene & Pär Österholm, 2014, "Forecasting Inflation Using Constant Gain Least Squares," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, volume 53, issue 1-2, pages 2-15, June.
  7. Meredith Beechey & Pär Österholm, 2014, "Central Bank Forecasts of Policy Interest Rates: An Evaluation of the First Years," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, volume 43, issue 1, pages 63-78, February.
  8. Jan-Erik Antipin & Farid Jimmy Boumediene & Pär Österholm, 2014, "On the Usefulness of Constant Gain Least Squares when Forecasting the Unemployment Rate," Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot GmbH, Berlin, volume 60, issue 4, pages 315-336, DOI: 10.3790/aeq.60.4.315.
  9. Gustavsson, Magnus & Österholm, Pär, 2014, "Does the labor-income process contain a unit root? Evidence from individual-specific time series," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 47, issue C, pages 152-167, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2014.07.012.
  10. Meredith Beechey & P�r Österholm, 2014, "Policy interest-rate expectations in Sweden: a forecast evaluation," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 21, issue 14, pages 984-991, September, DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.904480.
  11. P�r Österholm & P�r Stockhammar, 2014, "The euro crisis and Swedish GDP growth - a study of spillovers," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 21, issue 16, pages 1105-1110, November, DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.912028.
  12. P�r Österholm, 2014, "Survey data and short-term forecasts of Swedish GDP growth," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 21, issue 2, pages 135-139, January, DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.844317.

2013

  1. Akkoyun, H. Cagri & Arslan, Yavuz & Kanik, Birol, 2013, "Housing prices and transaction volume," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, volume 22, issue 2, pages 119-134, DOI: 10.1016/j.jhe.2013.02.001.
  2. Svante Mandell & Johan Nyström, 2013, "Too Much Balance in Unbalanced Bidding," Studies in Microeconomics, , volume 1, issue 1, pages 23-35, June, DOI: 10.1177/2321022213488845.

2012

  1. Birol Kanik, 2012, "Learning, Monetary Policy, and Housing Prices," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, volume 12, issue 1, pages 13-36.
  2. Gustavsson, Magnus & Österholm, Pär, 2012, "Labor-force participation rates and the informational value of unemployment rates: Evidence from disaggregated US data," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 116, issue 3, pages 408-410, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2012.04.020.
  3. Österholm, Pär, 2012, "The limited usefulness of macroeconomic Bayesian VARs when estimating the probability of a US recession," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 34, issue 1, pages 76-86, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2011.10.002.
  4. Meredith Beechey & Pär Österholm, 2012, "The Rise and Fall of U.S. Inflation Persistence," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, volume 8, issue 3, pages 55-86, September.
  5. Thomas Jonsson & Pär Österholm, 2012, "The properties of survey-based inflation expectations in Sweden," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 42, issue 1, pages 79-94, February, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-010-0428-x.

2011

  1. Mandell, Svante, 2011, "Carbon emission values in cost benefit analyses," Transport Policy, Elsevier, volume 18, issue 6, pages 888-892, November.
  2. Helge Berger & Pär Österholm, 2011, "Does Money Growth Granger Cause Inflation in the Euro Area? Evidence from Out‐of‐Sample Forecasts Using Bayesian VARs," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, volume 87, issue 276, pages 45-60, March.
  3. Jonsson, Thomas & Österholm, Pär, 2011, "The forecasting properties of survey-based wage-growth expectations," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 113, issue 3, pages 276-281, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2011.08.013.
  4. Spencer Dale & Athanasios Orphanides & Pär Österholm, 2011, "Imperfect Central Bank Communication: Information versus Distraction," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, volume 7, issue 2, pages 3-39, June.
  5. Helge Berger & Pär Österholm, 2011, "Does Money matter for U.S. Inflation? Evidence from Bayesian VARs," CESifo Economic Studies, CESifo Group, volume 57, issue 3, pages 531-550, September.
  6. Marcus Mossfeldt & Par Osterholm, 2011, "The persistent labour-market effects of the financial crisis," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 18, issue 7, pages 637-642, DOI: 10.1080/13504851003781424.
  7. Magnus Gustavsson & Par Osterholm, 2011, "Mean reversion in the US unemployment rate - evidence from bootstrapped out-of-sample forecasts," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 18, issue 7, pages 643-646, DOI: 10.1080/13504851003761855.

2010

  1. Charles Holt & Erica Myers & Markus Wrake & Dallas Burtraw & Svante Mandell, 2010, "Teaching Opportunity Cost in an Emissions Permit Experiment," International Review of Economic Education, Economics Network, University of Bristol, volume 9, issue 2, pages 34-42.
  2. Markus Wråke & Erica Myers & Dallas Burtraw & Svante Mandell & Charles Holt, 2010, "Opportunity Cost for Free Allocations of Emissions Permits: An Experimental Analysis," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, volume 46, issue 3, pages 331-336, July, DOI: 10.1007/s10640-010-9343-z.
  3. Svante Mandell, 2010, "Steering the European Transport Greenhouse Gas Emissions under Uncertainty," Journal of Transport Economics and Policy, University of Bath, volume 44, issue 1, pages 1-16, January.
  4. Lisandro Abrego & Pär Österholm, 2010, "External Linkages and Economic Growth in Colombia: Insights from a Bayesian VAR Model," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, volume 33, issue 12, pages 1788-1810, December.
  5. Österholm, Pär, 2010, "Unemployment and labour-force participation in Sweden," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 106, issue 3, pages 205-208, March.
  6. Beechey, Meredith & Österholm, Pär, 2010, "Forecasting inflation in an inflation-targeting regime: A role for informative steady-state priors," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 26, issue 2, pages 248-264, April.
  7. Pär Österholm, 2010, "Improving Unemployment Rate Forecasts Using Survey Data," Finnish Economic Papers, Finnish Economic Association, volume 23, issue 1, pages 16-26, Spring.
  8. Magnus Gustavsson & Pär Österholm, 2010, "The presence of unemployment hysteresis in the OECD: what can we learn from out-of-sample forecasts?," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 38, issue 3, pages 779-792, June, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-009-0290-x.
  9. Erik Hjalmarsson & Pär Österholm, 2010, "Testing for cointegration using the Johansen methodology when variables are near-integrated: size distortions and partial remedies," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 39, issue 1, pages 51-76, August, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-009-0294-6.
  10. Par Osterholm, 2010, "The effect on the Swedish real economy of the financial crisis," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 20, issue 4, pages 265-274, DOI: 10.1080/09603100903357408.

2009

  1. Mandell, Svante, 2009, "Policies towards a more efficient car fleet," Energy Policy, Elsevier, volume 37, issue 12, pages 5184-5191, December.
  2. Pär Österholm, 2009, "Incorporating Judgement in Fan Charts," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, volume 111, issue 2, pages 387-415, June, DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-9442.2009.01569.x.
  3. Beechey, Meredith & Österholm, Pär, 2009, "Time-varying inflation persistence in the Euro area," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 26, issue 2, pages 532-535, March.
  4. Berger, Helge & Österholm, Pär, 2009, "Does money still matter for U.S. output?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 102, issue 3, pages 143-146, March.
  5. Beechey, Meredith & Hjalmarsson, Erik & sterholm, Pr, 2009, "Testing the expectations hypothesis when interest rates are near integrated," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 33, issue 5, pages 934-943, May.
  6. Par Osterholm, 2009, "The time-series properties of Norwegian inflation and nominal interest rate," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 41, issue 10, pages 1303-1309, DOI: 10.1080/00036840701537828.

2008

  1. Mandell, Svante, 2008, "Optimal mix of emissions taxes and cap-and-trade," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, volume 56, issue 2, pages 131-140, September.
  2. Meredith Beechey & Pär Österholm, 2008, "A Bayesian Vector Autoregressive Model with Informative Steady‐state Priors for the Australian Economy," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, volume 84, issue 267, pages 449-465, December, DOI: 10.1111/j.1475-4932.2008.00510.x.
  3. Beechey, Meredith & Österholm, Pär, 2008, "Revisiting the uncertain unit root in GDP and CPI: Testing for non-linear trend reversion," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 100, issue 2, pages 221-223, August.
  4. Pär Österholm, 2008, "Can forecasting performance be improved by considering the steady state? An application to Swedish inflation and interest rate," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 27, issue 1, pages 41-51, DOI: 10.1002/for.1041.
  5. P&aauml;r Österholm & Jeromin Zettelmeyer, 2008, "The Effect of External Conditions on Growth in Latin America," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, volume 55, issue 4, pages 595-623, December.
  6. Par Osterholm, 2008, "A structural Bayesian VAR for model-based fan charts," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 40, issue 12, pages 1557-1569, DOI: 10.1080/00036840600843947.

2007

  1. Thomas Eisensee & David Strömberg, 2007, "News Droughts, News Floods, and U. S. Disaster Relief," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, volume 122, issue 2, pages 693-728.
  2. Magnus Gustavsson & Pär Österholm, 2007, "Does Unemployment Hysteresis Equal Employment Hysteresis?," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, volume 83, issue 261, pages 159-173, June, DOI: 10.1111/j.1475-4932.2007.00391.x.

2006

  1. Thomas Aronsson & Thomas Jonsson & Tomas Sjögren, 2006, "International Environmental Policy Reforms, Tax Distortions, and the Labor Market," FinanzArchiv: Public Finance Analysis, Mohr Siebeck, Tübingen, volume 62, issue 2, pages 199-217, June, DOI: 10.1628/001522106X120668.
  2. Thomas Aronsson Aronsson & Thomas Jonsson & Tomas Sjögren, 2006, "Environmental Policy and Optimal Taxation in a Decentralized Economic Federation," FinanzArchiv: Public Finance Analysis, Mohr Siebeck, Tübingen, volume 62, issue 3, pages 437-454, September, DOI: 10.1628/001522106X153464.
  3. Gustavsson, Magnus & Osterholm, Par, 2006, "The informational value of unemployment statistics: A note on the time series properties of participation rates," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 92, issue 3, pages 428-433, September.
  4. Magnus Gustavsson & Par Osterholm, 2006, "Hysteresis and non-linearities in unemployment rates," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 13, issue 9, pages 545-548, DOI: 10.1080/13504850500401437.
  5. Andreas Andersson & Par Osterholm, 2006, "Population age structure and real exchange rates in the OECD," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 20, issue 1, pages 1-18, DOI: 10.1080/14765280500520261.

2005

  1. Svante Mandell, 2005, "The choice of multiple or single auctions in emissions trading," Climate Policy, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 5, issue 1, pages 97-107, January, DOI: 10.1080/14693062.2005.9685543.
  2. Pär Österholm, 2005, "The Taylor Rule: A Spurious Regression?," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, volume 57, issue 3, pages 217-247, July, DOI: 10.1111/j.0307-3378.2005.01220.x.
  3. Par Osterholm, 2005, "The Taylor rule and real-time data - a critical appraisal," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 12, issue 11, pages 679-685, DOI: 10.1080/13504850500181849.
  4. Andreas Andersson & Par Osterholm, 2005, "Forecasting real exchange rate trends using age structure data - the case of Sweden," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 12, issue 5, pages 267-272, DOI: 10.1080/13504850500042959.

2004

  1. Bengt Assarsson & Claes Berg & Per Jansson, 2004, "Investment in Swedish manufacturing: Analysis and forecasts," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 29, issue 2, pages 261-280, May, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-003-0165-5.
  2. Par Osterholm, 2004, "Size properties of cointegration tests in misspecified systems," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 11, issue 15, pages 919-924, DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000282286.
  3. Par Osterholm, 2004, "Killing four unit root birds in the US economy with three panel unit root test stones," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 11, issue 4, pages 213-216, DOI: 10.1080/13504850410001674821.

2003

  1. Svante Mandell, 2003, "Local property taxes and moral hazard," Journal of Property Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 20, issue 2, pages 157-172, January, DOI: 10.1080/0959991032000109526.

2002

  1. Svante Mandell, 2002, "Lessor and lessee perspectives on ground lease pricing," Journal of Property Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 19, issue 2, pages 145-157, January, DOI: 10.1080/09599910210125241.

1998

  1. Bengt Assarsson & Per Jansson, 1998, "Unemployment persistence: the case of Sweden," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 5, issue 1, pages 25-29, DOI: 10.1080/758540121.

1986

  1. Assarsson, Bengt, 1986, "Inflation and relative-price variability -- A model for an open economy applied to Sweden," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 8, issue 4, pages 455-469.

Books

2025

  1. Stepan Mazur & Pär Österholm (ed.), 2025, "Recent Developments in Bayesian Econometrics and Their Applications," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-032-00110-8, ISBN: ARRAY(0x70a1e810), DOI: 10.1007/978-3-032-00110-8.

Chapters

2025

  1. Stepan Mazur & Pär Österholm, 2025, "Introduction," Springer Books, Springer, in: Stepan Mazur & Pär Österholm, "Recent Developments in Bayesian Econometrics and Their Applications", DOI: 10.1007/978-3-032-00110-8_1.
  2. Tamás Kiss & Stepan Mazur & Hoang Nguyen & Pär Österholm, 2025, "VAR Models with Fat Tails and Dynamic Asymmetry," Springer Books, Springer, in: Stepan Mazur & Pär Österholm, "Recent Developments in Bayesian Econometrics and Their Applications", DOI: 10.1007/978-3-032-00110-8_5.

Software components

2016

  1. Tobias Laun & Johanna Wallenius, 2016, "Code and data files for "Social Insurance and Retirement: A Cross-Country Perspective"," Computer Codes, Review of Economic Dynamics, number 14-161, revised .

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