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Citations for "The empirical risk-return relation: A factor analysis approach"

by Ludvigson, Sydney C. & Ng, Serena

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  1. Mario Forni & Marc Hallin & Marco Lippi & Paolo Zaffaroni, 2011. "One-Sided Representations of Generalized Dynamic Factor Models," EIEF Working Papers Series 1106, Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance (EIEF), revised Mar 2011.
  2. Peter C. B. Phillips & Donggyu Sul, 2007. "Transition Modeling and Econometric Convergence Tests," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 75(6), pages 1771-1855, November.
  3. Jensen, Mark J & Maheu, John M, 2013. "Risk, Return and Volatility Feedback: A Bayesian Nonparametric Analysis," MPRA Paper 52132, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  4. Rangan Gupta & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Mampho P. Modise & Duc Khuong Nguyen, 2013. "Can Economic Uncertainty, Financial Stress and Consumer Sentiments Predict U.S. Equity Premium?," Working Papers 2013-20, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
  5. Nektarios Aslanidis & Charlotte Christiansen, 2012. "Quantiles of the Realized Stock-Bond Correlation and Links to the Macroeconomy," CREATES Research Papers 2012-34, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  6. Anisha Ghosh & Oliver Linton, 2007. "Consistent estimation of the risk-return tradeoff in the presence of measurement error," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 24506, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  7. Lin Peng & Turan G. Bali, 2006. "Is there a risk-return trade-off? Evidence from high-frequency data," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(8), pages 1169-1198.
  8. Li, Hongjun & Li, Qi & Shi, Yutang, 2017. "Determining the number of factors when the number of factors can increase with sample size," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 197(1), pages 76-86.
  9. Gourguet, S. & Thébaud, O. & Dichmont, C. & Jennings, S. & Little, L.R. & Pascoe, S. & Deng, R.A. & Doyen, L., 2014. "Risk versus economic performance in a mixed fishery," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 110-120.
  10. Christoph Große Steffen & Maximilian Podstawski, 2016. "Ambiguity and Time-Varying Risk Aversion in Sovereign Debt Markets," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1602, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
  11. Frazier, David T. & Liu, Xiaochun, 2016. "A new approach to risk-return trade-off dynamics via decomposition," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 43-55.
  12. Ioannis Kasparis & Peter C. B. Phillips, 2009. "Dynamic Misspecification in Nonparametric Cointegrating Regression," University of Cyprus Working Papers in Economics 2-2009, University of Cyprus Department of Economics.
  13. Elena Andreou, 2016. "On the use of high frequency measures of volatility in MIDAS regressions," University of Cyprus Working Papers in Economics 03-2016, University of Cyprus Department of Economics.
  14. Elena Andreou & Eric Ghysels & Andros Kourtellos, 2013. "Should Macroeconomic Forecasters Use Daily Financial Data and How?," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(2), pages 240-251, April.
  15. Peter Exterkate, 2011. "Modelling Issues in Kernel Ridge Regression," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 11-138/4, Tinbergen Institute.
  16. Taamouti, Abderrahim & García, René & Dufour, Jean-Marie, 2008. "Measuring causality between volatility and returns with high-frequency data," UC3M Working papers. Economics we084422, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Economía.
  17. Aslanidis, Nektarios & Christiansen, Charlotte & Savva, Christos S., 2015. "Risk-Return Trade-Off for European Stock Markets," Working Papers 2072/246967, Universitat Rovira i Virgili, Department of Economics.
  18. Salvador, Enrique & Floros, Christos & Arago, Vicent, 2014. "Re-examining the risk–return relationship in Europe: Linear or non-linear trade-off?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 60-77.
  19. repec:dau:papers:123456789/11692 is not listed on IDEAS
  20. Bai, Jushan & Ng, Serena, 2008. "Forecasting economic time series using targeted predictors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 146(2), pages 304-317, October.
  21. Peter Exterkate & Patrick J.F. Groenen & Christiaan Heij & Dick van Dijk, 2013. "Nonlinear Forecasting With Many Predictors Using Kernel Ridge Regression," CREATES Research Papers 2013-16, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  22. Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Narayan, Seema & Thuraisamy, Kannan Sivananthan, 2014. "Can institutions and macroeconomic factors predict stock returns in emerging markets?," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 19(C), pages 77-95.
  23. Jack Fosten, 2016. "Forecast evaluation with factor-augmented models," University of East Anglia School of Economics Working Paper Series 2016-05, School of Economics, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK..
  24. Eric Ghysels & Casidhe Horan & Emanuel Moench, 2012. "Forecasting through the rear-view mirror: data revisions and bond return predictability," Staff Reports 581, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  25. He, Zhongzhi (Lawrence) & Zhu, Jie & Zhu, Xiaoneng, 2015. "Multi-factor volatility and stock returns," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(S2), pages 132-149.
  26. Eric Ghysels & Pierre Guérin & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2013. "Regime Switches in the Risk-Return Trade-Off," Staff Working Papers 13-51, Bank of Canada.
  27. Rapach, David & Zhou, Guofu, 2013. "Forecasting Stock Returns," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, Elsevier.
  28. Sydney C. Ludvigson & Sai Ma & Serena Ng, 2015. "Uncertainty and Business Cycles: Exogenous Impulse or Endogenous Response?," NBER Working Papers 21803, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  29. Guidolin, Massimo & Hyde, Stuart, 2012. "Can VAR models capture regime shifts in asset returns? A long-horizon strategic asset allocation perspective," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 695-716.
  30. Bruno Feunou & Jean-Sébastien Fontaine & Abderrahim Taamouti & Roméo Tédongap, 2014. "Risk Premium, Variance Premium, and the Maturity Structure of Uncertainty," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 18(1), pages 219-269.
  31. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Sousa, Ricardo M. & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "Do cay and cayMS predict stock and housing returns? Evidence from a nonparametric causality test," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 269-279.
  32. Andreou, Elena, 2016. "On the use of high frequency measures of volatility in MIDAS regressions," CEPR Discussion Papers 11307, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  33. Koopman, Siem Jan & Lucas, André & Schwaab, Bernd, 2011. "Modeling frailty-correlated defaults using many macroeconomic covariates," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 162(2), pages 312-325, June.
  34. In Choi, 2007. "Efficient Estimation of Factor Models," Working Papers 0701, Research Institute for Market Economy, Sogang University, revised Dec 2010.
  35. Morana, Claudio, 2014. "Insights on the global macro-finance interface: Structural sources of risk factor fluctuations and the cross-section of expected stock returns," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 64-79.
  36. Faria, Gonçalo & Verona, Fabio, 2016. "Forecasting stock market returns by summing the frequency-decomposed parts," Research Discussion Papers 29/2016, Bank of Finland.
  37. Rangan Gupta & Mampho P. Modise, 2011. "Macroeconomic Variables and South African Stock Return Predictability," Working Papers 201107, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  38. Xing Jin & LepingWang & JunYu, 2007. "Temporal Aggregation and Risk-Return Relation," Finance Working Papers 21917, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
  39. Enrique Salvador, 2012. "The Risk-Return Trade-Off in Emerging Markets," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(6), pages 106-128, November.
  40. Guidolin, Massimo & Hyde, Stuart, 2012. "Simple VARs cannot approximate Markov switching asset allocation decisions: An out-of-sample assessment," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(11), pages 3546-3566.
  41. repec:gnv:wpaper:unige:76321 is not listed on IDEAS
  42. Juan Carlos Escanciano & Juan Carlos Pardo-Fernández & Ingrid Van Keilegom, 2013. "Semi Parametric Estimation Of Risk-Return Relationships," Caepr Working Papers 2013-004, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Economics Department, Indiana University Bloomington.
  43. Patrick Gagliardini & Elisa Ossola & Olivier Scaillet, 2016. "A diagnostic criterion for approximate factor structure," Papers 1612.04990, arXiv.org.
  44. repec:ipg:wpaper:19 is not listed on IDEAS
  45. Baetje, Fabian & Menkhoff, Lukas, 2013. "Macro determinants of U.S. stock market risk premia in bull and bear markets," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-520, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
  46. Patrick GAGLIARDINI & Elisa OSSOLA & Olivier SCAILLET, "undated". "Time-Varying Risk Premium In Large Cross-Sectional Equidity Datasets," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 11-41, Swiss Finance Institute.
  47. repec:dau:papers:123456789/11663 is not listed on IDEAS
  48. Leonardo Morales-Arias & Alexander Dross, 2010. "Adaptive Forecasting of Exchange Rates with Panel Data," Research Paper Series 285, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
  49. Rangan Gupta & Mampho P. Modise, 2012. "Valuation Ratios and Stock Return Predictability in South Africa: Is It There?," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, M.E. Sharpe, Inc., vol. 48(1), pages 70-82, January.
  50. Kim, Jaeho, 2015. "Bayesian Inference in a Non-linear/Non-Gaussian Switching State Space Model: Regime-dependent Leverage Effect in the U.S. Stock Market," MPRA Paper 67153, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  51. Dalibor Stevanovic & Charles Olivier Mao Takongmo, 2014. "Selection of the number of factors in presence of structural instability: a Monte Carlo study," CIRANO Working Papers 2014s-44, CIRANO.
  52. repec:dau:papers:123456789/11382 is not listed on IDEAS
  53. Cheng, Ai-Ru & Jahan-Parvar, Mohammad R., 2014. "Risk–return trade-off in the pacific basin equity markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 18(C), pages 123-140.
  54. Christopher J. Neely & David E. Rapach & Jun Tu & Guofu Zhou, 2010. "Out-of-sample equity premium prediction: economic fundamentals vs. moving-average rules," Working Papers 2010-008, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
  55. Jin, Xing & Wang, Leping & Yu, Jun, 2007. "Temporal aggregation and risk-return relation," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 4(2), pages 104-115, June.
  56. Federico M. Bandi & Benoit Perron & Andrea Tamoni & Claudio Tebaldi, 2015. "The scale of predictability," CIRANO Working Papers 2015s-21, CIRANO.
    • Federico M. Bandi & Bernard Perron & Andrea Tamoni & Claudio Tebaldi, 2014. "The scale of predictability," Working Papers 509, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
  57. repec:ipg:wpaper:2013-019 is not listed on IDEAS
  58. Kyle Jurado & Sydney C. Ludvigson & Serena Ng, 2013. "Measuring Uncertainty," NBER Working Papers 19456, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  59. Gonçalo Faria & Fabio Verona, 2016. "Forecasting the equity risk premium with frequency-decomposed predictors," Working Papers de Economia (Economics Working Papers) 06, Católica Porto Business School, Universidade Católica Portuguesa.
  60. In Choi, 2013. "Model Selection for Factor Analysis: Some New Criteria and Performance Comparisons," Working Papers 1209, Research Institute for Market Economy, Sogang University.
  61. Peter Exterkate, 2012. "Model Selection in Kernel Ridge Regression," CREATES Research Papers 2012-10, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  62. Lasse Bork & Hans Dewachter & Romain Houssa, 2009. "Identification of Macroeconomic Factors in Large Panels," CREATES Research Papers 2009-43, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  63. Jermann, Urban J., 2010. "The equity premium implied by production," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(2), pages 279-296, November.
  64. Andreou, Elena, 2016. "On the use of high frequency measures of volatility in MIDAS regressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 193(2), pages 367-389.
  65. Cavicchioli, Maddalena & Forni, Mario & Lippi, Marco & Zaffaroni, Paolo, 2016. "Eigenvalue Ratio Estimators for the Number of Common Factors," CEPR Discussion Papers 11440, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  66. Bätje, Fabian & Menkhoff, Lukas, 2016. "Predicting the equity premium via its components," Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145789, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
  67. Gonçalves, Sílvia & Perron, Benoit, 2014. "Bootstrapping factor-augmented regression models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 182(1), pages 156-173.
  68. Massacci, Daniele, 2017. "Least squares estimation of large dimensional threshold factor models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 197(1), pages 101-129.
  69. Cem Cakmakli & Dick van Dijk, 2010. "Getting the Most out of Macroeconomic Information for Predicting Stock Returns and Volatility," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 10-115/4, Tinbergen Institute.
  70. repec:ipg:wpaper:20 is not listed on IDEAS
  71. Schuhmacher, Frank & Auer, Benjamin R., 2014. "Sufficient conditions under which SSD- and MR-efficient sets are identical," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 239(3), pages 756-763.
  72. Ng Serena & Bai Jushan, 2009. "Selecting Instrumental Variables in a Data Rich Environment," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 1(1), pages 1-34, April.
  73. Yannick Le Pen & Benoît Sévi, 2013. "Futures Trading and the Excess Comovement of Commodity Prices," Working Papers halshs-00793724, HAL.
  74. Lustig, Hanno & Verdelhan, Adrien, 2012. "Business cycle variation in the risk-return trade-off," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(S), pages 35-49.
  75. Andrew S. Duncan & Alain Kabundi, 2014. "Global Financial Crises and Time-Varying Volatility Comovement in World Equity Markets," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 82(4), pages 531-550, December.
  76. Perez, M. Fabricio & Shkilko, Andriy & Sokolov, Konstantin, 2015. "Factor models for binary financial data," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(S2), pages 177-188.
  77. In Choi & Dukpa Kim & Yun Jung Kim & Noh-Sun Kwark, 2016. "A Multilevel Factor Model: Identification, Asymptotic Theory and Applications," Working Papers 1609, Research Institute for Market Economy, Sogang University.
  78. Pettenuzzo, Davide & Timmermann, Allan G & Valkanov, Rossen, 2013. "Forecasting Stock Returns under Economic Constraints," CEPR Discussion Papers 9377, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  79. John Cotter & Enrique Salvador, 2014. "The non-linear trade-off between return and risk: a regime-switching multi-factor framework," Papers 1410.6005, arXiv.org.
  80. Aslanidis, Nektarios & Christiansen, Charlotte & Lambertides, Neophytos & Savva, Christos S., 2015. "Idiosyncratic Volatility Puzzle: Influence of Macro-Finance Factors," Working Papers 2072/246968, Universitat Rovira i Virgili, Department of Economics.
  81. Chiang, Thomas C. & Chen, Xiaoyu, 2016. "Stock returns and economic fundamentals in an emerging market: An empirical investigation of domestic and global market forces," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 107-120.
  82. Goh, Jeremy C. & Jiang, Fuwei & Tu, Jun & Wang, Yuchen, 2013. "Can US economic variables predict the Chinese stock market?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 69-87.
  83. Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Yuan, Yuan & Chiang, Thomas & Nandha, Mohan, 2010. "Symmetric and asymmetric US sector return volatilities in presence of oil, financial and economic risks," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(8), pages 3922-3932, August.
  84. Gloria González-Rivera & Tae-Hwy Lee, 2007. "Nonlinear Time Series in Financial Forecasting," Working Papers 200803, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics, revised Feb 2008.
  85. Gagnon, Marie-Hélène & Gimet, Céline, 2013. "The impacts of standard monetary and budgetary policies on liquidity and financial markets: International evidence from the credit freeze crisis," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(11), pages 4599-4614.
  86. Nikolay Gospodinov & Raymond Kan & Cesare Robotti, 2012. "Robust inference in linear asset pricing models," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2012-17, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
  87. Carolina Castagnetti & Eduardo Rossi & Lorenzo Trapani, 2014. "A Two-Stage Estimator for Heterogeneous Panel Models with Common Factors," DEM Working Papers Series 066, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
  88. Çakmaklı, Cem & van Dijk, Dick, 2016. "Getting the most out of macroeconomic information for predicting excess stock returns," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 650-668.
  89. Morales-Arias, Leonardo & Moura, Guilherme V., 2013. "Adaptive forecasting of exchange rates with panel data," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 493-509.
  90. Maio, Paulo & Philip, Dennis, 2015. "Macro variables and the components of stock returns," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 287-308.
  91. Roselyne Joyeux & George Milunovich, 2015. "Speculative bubbles, financial crises and convergence in global real estate investment trusts," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(27), pages 2878-2898, June.
  92. Bekiros, Stelios & Gupta, Rangan, 2015. "Predicting stock returns and volatility using consumption-aggregate wealth ratios: A nonlinear approach," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 83-85.
  93. Forni, Mario & Hallin, Marc & Lippi, Marco & Zaffaroni, Paolo, 2015. "Dynamic factor models with infinite-dimensional factor spaces: One-sided representations," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 185(2), pages 359-371.
  94. Naser, Hanan & Alaali, Fatema, 2015. "Can Oil Prices Help Predict US Stock Market Returns: An Evidence Using a DMA Approach," MPRA Paper 65295, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 25 Jun 2015.
  95. Jiang, Xiaoquan & Lee, Bong-Soo, 2014. "The intertemporal risk-return relation: A bivariate model approach," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 18(C), pages 158-181.
  96. Christophe Croux & Peter Exterkate, 2011. "Sparse and Robust Factor Modelling," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 11-122/4, Tinbergen Institute.
  97. repec:ipg:wpaper:2014-414 is not listed on IDEAS
  98. Igor Makarov & D. Papanikolaou, 2008. "Sources of systematic risk," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 53906, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  99. Rapach, David E. & Ringgenberg, Matthew C. & Zhou, Guofu, 2016. "Short interest and aggregate stock returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(1), pages 46-65.
  100. Bork, Lasse, 2009. "Estimating US Monetary Policy Shocks Using a Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregression: An EM Algorithm Approach," Finance Research Group Working Papers F-2009-03, University of Aarhus, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies.
  101. Nikolai Roussanov, 2010. "Composition of Wealth, Conditioning Information, and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns," NBER Working Papers 16073, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  102. Patrick Gagliardini & Elisa Ossola & Olivier Scaillet, 2016. "Time‐Varying Risk Premium in Large Cross‐Sectional Equity Data Sets," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 84, pages 985-1046, 05.
  103. repec:ipg:wpaper:2013-020 is not listed on IDEAS
  104. Thomadakis, Apostolos, 2016. "Do Combination Forecasts Outperform the Historical Average? Economic and Statistical Evidence," MPRA Paper 71589, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  105. Lai, Ya-Wen, 2017. "Macroeconomic factors and index option returns," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 452-477.
  106. repec:dau:papers:123456789/6800 is not listed on IDEAS
  107. Jaime Casassus & Freddy Higuera, 2011. "Stock Return Predictability and Oil Prices," Documentos de Trabajo 406, Instituto de Economia. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile..
  108. Jiahan Li & Ilias Tsiakas, 2016. "Equity Premium Prediction: The Role of Economic and Statistical Constraints," Working Paper Series 16-25, The Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
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