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Predictive regressions with time-varying coefficients

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Li, Jiahan & Tsiakas, Ilias, 2017. "Equity premium prediction: The role of economic and statistical constraints," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 56-75.
  2. Davide Pettenuzzo & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2016. "Optimal Portfolio Choice Under Decision‐Based Model Combinations," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(7), pages 1312-1332, November.
  3. Faria, Gonçalo & Verona, Fabio, 2018. "Forecasting stock market returns by summing the frequency-decomposed parts," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 228-242.
  4. Korobilis, Dimitris & Koop, Gary, 2018. "Variational Bayes inference in high-dimensional time-varying parameter models," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 22665, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
  5. Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2013. "Large time-varying parameter VARs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 177(2), pages 185-198.
  6. Davide Pettenuzzo & Antonio Gargano & Allan Timmermann, 2014. "Bond Return Predictability: Economic Value and Links to the Macroeconomy," Working Papers 75R, Brandeis University, Department of Economics and International Businesss School, revised Jul 2016.
  7. Timmermann, Allan G, 2018. "Forecasting Methods in Finance," CEPR Discussion Papers 12692, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  8. Davide Pettenuzzo & Zhiyuan Pan & Yudong Wang, 2017. "Forecasting Stock Returns: A Predictor-Constrained Approach," Working Papers 116, Brandeis University, Department of Economics and International Businesss School.
  9. Gupta, Rangan & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Modise, Mampho P. & Nguyen, Duc Khuong, 2014. "Can economic uncertainty, financial stress and consumer sentiments predict U.S. equity premium?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 367-378.
  10. repec:kap:fmktpm:v:31:y:2017:i:3:d:10.1007_s11408-017-0290-3 is not listed on IDEAS
  11. Russell Davidson & Niels S. Grønborg, 2018. "Time-varying parameters: New test tailored to applications in finance and macroeconomics," CREATES Research Papers 2018-22, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  12. Gary Koop & Lise Tole, 2013. "Forecasting the European carbon market," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 176(3), pages 723-741, June.
  13. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "International stock return predictability: Is the role of U.S. time-varying?," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 44(1), pages 121-146, February.
  14. repec:eee:empfin:v:42:y:2017:i:c:p:131-154 is not listed on IDEAS
  15. Haibin Xie & Shouyang Wang, 2015. "Risk-return trade-off, information diffusion, and U.S. stock market predictability," International Journal of Financial Engineering (IJFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 2(04), pages 1-20, December.
  16. repec:eee:econom:v:210:y:2019:i:1:p:75-97 is not listed on IDEAS
  17. Stefano Grassi & Nima Nonejad & Paolo Santucci De Magistris, 2017. "Forecasting With the Standardized Self‐Perturbed Kalman Filter," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(2), pages 318-341, March.
  18. repec:eee:empfin:v:46:y:2018:i:c:p:130-145 is not listed on IDEAS
  19. Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné & Jae H. Kim, 2016. "Stock Return Predictability: Evaluation based on prediction intervals," Working Papers hal-01295037, HAL.
  20. repec:eee:intfor:v:35:y:2019:i:2:p:485-501 is not listed on IDEAS
  21. repec:wsi:ijtafx:v:21:y:2018:i:06:n:s0219024918500437 is not listed on IDEAS
  22. Joseph P. Byrne & Dimitris Korobilis & Pinho J. Ribeiro, 2018. "On The Sources Of Uncertainty In Exchange Rate Predictability," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 59(1), pages 329-357, February.
  23. Michael Johannes & Arthur Korteweg & Nicholas Polson, 2014. "Sequential Learning, Predictability, and Optimal Portfolio Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 69(2), pages 611-644, April.
  24. Daniele Bianchi & Kenichiro McAlinn, 2018. "Large-Scale Dynamic Predictive Regressions," Papers 1803.06738, arXiv.org.
  25. repec:eee:empfin:v:45:y:2018:i:c:p:141-156 is not listed on IDEAS
  26. Miguel Belmonte & Gary Koop, 2014. "Model Switching and Model Averaging in Time-Varying Parameter Regression Models," Advances in Econometrics, in: Bayesian Model Comparison, volume 34, pages 45-69, Emerald Publishing Ltd.
  27. repec:eee:jfinec:v:132:y:2019:i:1:p:150-174 is not listed on IDEAS
  28. Korobilis, D & Yilmaz, K, 2018. "Measuring Dynamic Connectedness with Large Bayesian VAR Models," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 20937, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
  29. repec:ipg:wpaper:2013-020 is not listed on IDEAS
  30. Faria, Gonçalo & Verona, Fabio, 2018. "The equity risk premium and the low frequency of the term spread," Research Discussion Papers 7/2018, Bank of Finland.
  31. repec:ipg:wpaper:20 is not listed on IDEAS
  32. Marie-Hélène Gagnon & Gabriel Power & Dominique Toupin, 2018. "Forecasting International Index Returns using Option-implied Variables," Cahiers de recherche 1807, Centre de recherche sur les risques, les enjeux économiques, et les politiques publiques.
  33. Liu, Li & Ma, Feng & Wang, Yudong, 2015. "Forecasting excess stock returns with crude oil market data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 316-324.
  34. Byrne, Joseph & Fu, Rong, 2016. "Stock Return Prediction with Fully Flexible Models and Coefficients," MPRA Paper 75366, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  35. Cai, Zongwu & Wang, Yunfei, 2014. "Testing predictive regression models with nonstationary regressors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 178(P1), pages 4-14.
  36. repec:eee:empfin:v:44:y:2017:i:c:p:158-176 is not listed on IDEAS
  37. repec:eee:econom:v:204:y:2018:i:1:p:101-118 is not listed on IDEAS
  38. Farmer, Leland & Schmidt, Lawrence & Timmermann, Allan G, 2018. "Pockets of Predictability," CEPR Discussion Papers 12885, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  39. repec:bla:eufman:v:22:y:2016:i:5:p:749-796 is not listed on IDEAS
  40. repec:taf:quantf:v:17:y:2017:i:3:p:405-421 is not listed on IDEAS
  41. Tom Engsted & Stig V. Møller & Magnus Sander, 2013. "Bond return predictability in expansions and recessions," CREATES Research Papers 2013-13, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  42. Satadru Hore, 2015. "Equilibrium Predictability, Term Structure of Equity Premia, and Other Return Characteristics," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 19(1), pages 423-466.
  43. Billio, Monica & Casarin, Roberto & Ravazzolo, Francesco & van Dijk, Herman K., 2013. "Time-varying combinations of predictive densities using nonlinear filtering," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 177(2), pages 213-232.
  44. Alexander M. Chinco & Adam D. Clark-Joseph & Mao Ye, 2017. "Sparse Signals in the Cross-Section of Returns," NBER Working Papers 23933, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  45. Dangl, Thomas & Randl, Otto & Zechner, Josef, 2016. "Risk control in asset management: Motives and concepts," CFS Working Paper Series 546, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
  46. repec:eee:quaeco:v:70:y:2018:i:c:p:137-149 is not listed on IDEAS
  47. He, Zhongzhi (Lawrence) & Zhu, Jie & Zhu, Xiaoneng, 2015. "Multi-factor volatility and stock returns," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(S2), pages 132-149.
  48. Byrne, Joseph P. & Korobilis, Dimitris & Ribeiro, Pinho J., 2014. "On the Sources of Uncertainty in Exchange Rate Predictability," 2007 Annual Meeting, July 29-August 1, 2007, Portland, Oregon TN 2015-24, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
  49. Nuno Silva, 2015. "Time-Varying Stock Return Predictability: The Eurozone Case," Notas Económicas, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra, issue 41, pages 28-38, June.
  50. repec:bkr:journl:v:78:y:2019:i:1:p:3-18 is not listed on IDEAS
  51. repec:eee:riibaf:v:48:y:2019:i:c:p:243-257 is not listed on IDEAS
  52. Sarah Brown & Pulak Ghosh & Karl Taylor, 2016. "Household Finances and Social Interaction: Bayesian Analysis of Household Panel Data," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 62(3), pages 467-488, September.
  53. Georgiev, Iliyan & Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2018. "Testing for parameter instability in predictive regression models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 204(1), pages 101-118.
  54. Carlos Carvalho & Jared D. Fisher & Davide Pettenuzzo, 2018. "Optimal Asset Allocation with Multivariate Bayesian Dynamic Linear Models," Working Papers 123, Brandeis University, Department of Economics and International Businesss School.
  55. Li, Yan & Ng, David T. & Swaminathan, Bhaskaran, 2013. "Predicting market returns using aggregate implied cost of capital," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(2), pages 419-436.
  56. repec:eee:finmar:v:38:y:2018:i:c:p:83-102 is not listed on IDEAS
  57. repec:eee:intfor:v:33:y:2017:i:4:p:894-914 is not listed on IDEAS
  58. repec:eee:finlet:v:22:y:2017:i:c:p:35-41 is not listed on IDEAS
  59. de Oliveira Souza, Thiago, 2019. "Predictability concentrates in bad times. And so does disagreement," Discussion Papers of Business and Economics 8/2019, University of Southern Denmark, Department of Business and Economics.
  60. Schumacher, Christian, 2014. "MIDAS regressions with time-varying parameters: An application to corporate bond spreads and GDP in the Euro area," Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy 100289, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
  61. repec:eee:econom:v:210:y:2019:i:1:p:155-169 is not listed on IDEAS
  62. repec:eee:finana:v:58:y:2018:i:c:p:260-270 is not listed on IDEAS
  63. Giulia Dal Pra & Massimo Guidolin & Manuela Pedio & Fabiola Vasile, 2016. "Do Regimes in Excess Stock Return Predictability Create Economic Value? An Out-of-Sample Portfolio Analysis," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 1637, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
  64. Bart Diris & Franz Palm & Peter Schotman, 2015. "Long-Term Strategic Asset Allocation: An Out-of-Sample Evaluation," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 61(9), pages 2185-2202, September.
  65. Roy P. P. M. Hoevenaars & Roderick D. J. Molenaar & Peter C. Schotman & Tom B. M. Steenkamp, 2014. "Strategic Asset Allocation For Long‐Term Investors: Parameter Uncertainty And Prior Information," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(3), pages 353-376, April.
  66. repec:spr:comgts:v:15:y:2018:i:2:d:10.1007_s10287-018-0308-y is not listed on IDEAS
  67. Gonçalo Faria & Fabio Verona, 2016. "Forecasting the equity risk premium with frequency-decomposed predictors," Working Papers de Economia (Economics Working Papers) 06, Católica Porto Business School, Universidade Católica Portuguesa.
  68. Dorra Zouari & Achraf Ghorbel & Sonia Ghorbel-Zouari & Younes Boujelbène, 2014. "Volatility spillovers and dynamic correlation between liquidity risk factors in Tunisian banks," International Journal of Managerial and Financial Accounting, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 6(1), pages 1-26.
  69. repec:eee:empfin:v:43:y:2017:i:c:p:159-184 is not listed on IDEAS
  70. Kartikay Gupta & Niladri Chatterjee, 2019. "Top performing stocks recommendation strategy for portfolio," Papers 1901.11013, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2019.
  71. repec:eee:finana:v:58:y:2018:i:c:p:52-68 is not listed on IDEAS
  72. Jiang, Danling, 2013. "The second moment matters! Cross-sectional dispersion of firm valuations and expected returns," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(10), pages 3974-3992.
  73. repec:eee:jbfina:v:102:y:2019:i:c:p:43-58 is not listed on IDEAS
  74. Møller, Stig V. & Sander, Magnus, 2017. "Dividends, earnings, and predictability," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 153-163.
  75. Rapach, David & Zhou, Guofu, 2013. "Forecasting Stock Returns," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 328-383, Elsevier.
  76. Nuno Silva, 2015. "Industry based equity premium forecasts," GEMF Working Papers 2015-19, GEMF, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra.
  77. repec:eee:transa:v:118:y:2018:i:c:p:319-330 is not listed on IDEAS
  78. repec:oup:rfinst:v:31:y:2018:i:11:p:4345-4397. is not listed on IDEAS
  79. repec:eee:eneeco:v:68:y:2017:i:c:p:240-254 is not listed on IDEAS
  80. Elliott, Graham & Gargano, Antonio & Timmermann, Allan, 2013. "Complete subset regressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 177(2), pages 357-373.
  81. Álvarez-Díaz, Marcos & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Gupta, Rangan, 2014. "Detecting predictable non-linear dynamics in Dow Jones Islamic Market and Dow Jones Industrial Average indices using nonparametric regressions," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 22-35.
  82. Jacopo Piana & Daniele Bianchi, 2017. "Expected Spot Prices and the Dynamics of Commodity Risk Premia," 2017 Meeting Papers 1149, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  83. repec:eee:jfinec:v:132:y:2019:i:2:p:325-350 is not listed on IDEAS
  84. Leopoldo Catania & Stefano Grassi & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2018. "Forecasting Cryptocurrencies Financial Time Series," Working Papers No 5/2018, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
  85. repec:bpj:jossai:v:2:y:2014:i:3:p:193-205:n:1 is not listed on IDEAS
  86. repec:eee:eneeco:v:75:y:2018:i:c:p:193-205 is not listed on IDEAS
  87. repec:ibf:ijbfre:v:12:y:2018:i:2:p:39-48 is not listed on IDEAS
  88. Athambawa Jahfer & Abdul Hameed Mulafara, 2016. "Dividend policy and share price volatility: evidence from Colombo stock market," International Journal of Managerial and Financial Accounting, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 8(2), pages 97-108.
  89. Marcos Álvarez-Díaz & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Detecting Predictable Non-linear Dynamics in Dow Jones Industrial Average and Dow Jones Islamic Market Indices using Nonparametric Regressions," Working Papers 201385, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  90. repec:eee:empfin:v:44:y:2017:i:c:p:209-225 is not listed on IDEAS
  91. repec:spr:fininn:v:4:y:2018:i:1:d:10.1186_s40854-018-0110-4 is not listed on IDEAS
  92. Wang, Yudong & Ma, Feng & Wei, Yu & Wu, Chongfeng, 2016. "Forecasting realized volatility in a changing world: A dynamic model averaging approach," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 136-149.
  93. Joscha Beckmann & Rainer Schüssler, 2014. "Forecasting Equity Premia using Bayesian Dynamic Model Averaging," CQE Working Papers 2914, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
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