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Modeling Fluctuations in the Global Demand for Commodities

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Wang, Yudong & Hao, Xianfeng, 2023. "Forecasting the real prices of crude oil: What is the role of parameter instability?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
  2. Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2022. "Oil prices, exchange rates and interest rates," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
  3. Li, Zheng-Zheng & Meng, Qin & Zhang, Linling & Lobont, Oana-Ramona & Shen, Yijuan, 2023. "How do rare earth prices respond to economic and geopolitical factors?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
  4. Basher, Syed Abul & Haug, Alfred A. & Sadorsky, Perry, 2019. "The impact of economic policy uncertainty and commodity prices on CARB country stock market volatility," MPRA Paper 96577, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  5. Nektarios A. Michail & Konstantinos D. Melas, 2021. "Sentiment-Augmented Supply and Demand Equations for the Dry Bulk Shipping Market," Economies, MDPI, vol. 9(4), pages 1-14, November.
  6. Rodrigo da Silva Souza & Leonardo Bornacki Mattos, 2022. "Oil price shocks and global liquidity: macroeconomic effects on the Brazilian real," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 19(4), pages 761-781, October.
  7. Nima Nonejad, 2021. "Should crude oil price volatility receive more attention than the price of crude oil? An empirical investigation via a large‐scale out‐of‐sample forecast evaluation of US macroeconomic data," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(5), pages 769-791, August.
  8. Kilian, Lutz, 2022. "Facts and fiction in oil market modeling," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
  9. Baumeister, Christiane & Guérin, Pierre, 2021. "A comparison of monthly global indicators for forecasting growth," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 1276-1295.
  10. Erten Bilge & Tuzcuoglu Kerem, 2018. "Output Effects of Global Food Commodity Shocks," Journal of Globalization and Development, De Gruyter, vol. 9(1), pages 1-18, June.
  11. Ganiko, Gustavo & Jiménez, Alvaro, 2023. "Choques externos en la economía peruana: un enfoque de ceros y signos en un modelo BVAR," Working Papers 2023-010, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
  12. Aktham I. Maghyereh & Osama D. Sweidan, 2020. "Do structural shocks in the crude oil market affect biofuel prices?," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 164, pages 183-193.
  13. Gilbert, Christopher L., 2022. "Warehouse load-out queues and aluminum prices," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
  14. Jamie L. Cross & Chenghan Hou & Bao H. Nguyen, 2018. "On the China factor in international oil markets: A regime switching approach," Working Papers No 11/2018, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
  15. Christiane Baumeister & Dimitris Korobilis & Thomas K. Lee, 2022. "Energy Markets and Global Economic Conditions," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 104(4), pages 828-844, October.
  16. Hu, Chunyang & Zhou, Yang, 2025. "Do domestic and US economic policy uncertainty increase China’s macro-financial risk connectedness?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
  17. Chen, Peng & Miao, Xinru, 2024. "Understanding the role of China's factors in international commodity price fluctuations: A perspective of monetary-fiscal policy interaction," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 1464-1483.
  18. Lutz Kilian & Nikos Nomikos & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2023. "A Quantitative Model of the Oil Tanker Market in the Arabian Gulf," The Energy Journal, , vol. 44(5), pages 95-114, September.
  19. Konstantinos D. Melas & Photis M. Panayides & Dimitris A. Tsouknidis, 2022. "Dynamic volatility spillovers and investor sentiment components across freight-shipping markets," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 24(2), pages 368-394, June.
  20. Bampinas, Georgios & Panagiotidis, Theodore & Papapanagiotou, Georgios, 2023. "Oil shocks and investor attention," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 68-81.
  21. Gilles Dufrénot & William Ginn & Marc Pourroy, 2023. "ENSO Climate Patterns on Global Economic Conditions," AMSE Working Papers 2308, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
  22. Wenyang Wang & Nan He & Peng Shao & Jibin Zhou, 2025. "An interpretable multi-model ensemble deep learning framework for forecasting ocean freight indices with external uncertainty factors," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 27(4), pages 628-661, December.
  23. Wen, Xiaoqian & Xie, Yuxin & Pantelous, Athanasios A., 2022. "Extreme price co-movement of commodity futures and industrial production growth: An empirical evaluation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
  24. Lutz Kilian & Nikos Nomikos & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2023. "Container Trade and the U.S. Recovery," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 19(1), pages 417-450, March.
  25. Arabinda Basistha & Richard Startz, 2024. "Measuring persistent global economic factors with output, commodity price, and commodity currency data," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(7), pages 2860-2885, November.
  26. Emanuel Kohlscheen, 2022. "Quantifying the role of interest rates, the Dollar and Covid in oil prices," BIS Working Papers 1040, Bank for International Settlements.
  27. Sadeghi, Abdorasoul & Roudari, Soheil & Nammouri, Hela, 2025. "Green finance, fossil energy, and institutional factors in the context of sustainable development," MPRA Paper 126836, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 13 Aug 2025.
  28. Ahmed, Rashad, 2023. "Global commodity prices and macroeconomic fluctuations in a low interest rate environment," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PB).
  29. David S. Jacks & Martin Stuermer, 2021. "Dry bulk shipping and the evolution of maritime transport costs, 1850–2020," Australian Economic History Review, Economic History Society of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 61(2), pages 204-227, July.
  30. Xingong Ding & Yong-Jae Choi, 2023. "Macroeconomic Effects of Maritime Transport Costs Shocks: Evidence from the South Korean Economy," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(17), pages 1-26, August.
  31. Qian, Chenqi & Zhang, Tianding & Li, Jie, 2023. "The impact of international commodity price shocks on macroeconomic fundamentals: Evidence from the US and China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
  32. Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2018. "Structural Interpretation of Vector Autoregressions with Incomplete Information: Revisiting the Role of Oil Supply and Demand Shocks: Comment," CEPR Discussion Papers 13068, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
  33. Sadeghi, Abdorasoul & Roudari, Soheil, 2022. "Heterogeneous effects of oil structure and oil shocks on stock prices in different regimes: Evidence from oil-exporting and oil-importing countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
  34. Zhang, Zhikai & Wang, Yudong & Xiao, Jihong & Zhang, Yaojie, 2023. "Not all geopolitical shocks are alike: Identifying price dynamics in the crude oil market under tensions," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
  35. Annamaria Crescenzio & Etienne Lepers, 2025. "Extreme Capital Flow Episodes From the Global Financial Crisis to COVID-19: An Exploration With Monthly Data," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 36(1), pages 105-136, February.
  36. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Naifar, Nader, 2022. "Dependence dynamics of Islamic and conventional equity sectors: What do we learn from the decoupling hypothesis and COVID-19 pandemic?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
  37. Herwartz, Helmut & Theilen, Bernd & Wang, Shu, 2024. "Unraveling the structural sources of oil production and their impact on CO2 emissions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
  38. Matsumoto, Akito & Pescatori, Andrea & Wang, Xueliang, 2023. "Commodity prices and global economic activity," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
  39. Raghavan, Mala, 2020. "An analysis of the global oil market using SVARMA models," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
  40. Fukunaga, Ichiro & Kido, Yosuke & Suita, Kotaro, 2025. "Japan's inflation under global inflation synchronization," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
  41. Reinhard Ellwanger, 2019. "A Structural Model of the Global Oil Market," Staff Analytical Notes 2019-17, Bank of Canada.
  42. William Ginn, 2024. "Agricultural fluctuations and global economic conditions," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 160(3), pages 1037-1056, August.
  43. Liao, Wenting & Ma, Jun & Zhang, Chengsi, 2024. "Commodity returns co-movement, uncertainty shocks, and the US dollar exchange rate," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
  44. Nooman Rebei & Rashid Sbia, 2021. "Transitory and permanent shocks in the global market for crude oil," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(7), pages 1047-1064, November.
  45. Jinan Liu & Apostolos Serletis, 2022. "World Commodity Prices and Economic Activity in Advanced and Emerging Economies," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 33(2), pages 347-374, April.
  46. Diaz, Elena & Pérez Quirós, Gabriel, 2020. "Daily Tracker of Global Economic Activity. A Close-Up of the Covid-19 Pandemic," CEPR Discussion Papers 15451, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
  47. Alsalman, Zeina & Herrera, Ana María & Rangaraju, Sandeep Kumar, 2023. "Oil news shocks and the U.S. stock market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
  48. Nima Nonejad, 2021. "Crude oil price point forecasts of the Norwegian GDP growth rate," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(5), pages 2913-2930, November.
  49. repec:rim:rimwps:20-22 is not listed on IDEAS
  50. Tvedt, Jostein, 2019. "Transport services and the valuation of flexibility over business cycles," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 517-528.
  51. Serdar Kabaca & Kerem Tuzcuoglu, 2023. "Supply Drivers of US Inflation Since the COVID-19 Pandemic," Staff Working Papers 23-19, Bank of Canada.
  52. Oksana Hoshovska & Zhanna Poplavska & Natalia Kryvinska & Natalia Horbal, 2020. "Considering Random Factors in Modeling Complex Microeconomic Systems," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(8), pages 1-18, July.
  53. Bertrand Candelon & Rubens Moura, 2024. "A Multicountry Model of the Term Structures of Interest Rates with a GVAR," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 22(5), pages 1558-1587.
  54. Lu, Xinjie & Ma, Feng & Guo, Qiang & Wang, Tianyang, 2025. "Financial risk management innovation in global commodity futures markets: A macroeconomic attention perspective," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
  55. Yao Axel Ehouman, 2020. "Do oil-market shocks drive global liquidity?," EconomiX Working Papers 2020-33, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
  56. Kilian, Lutz, 2022. "Understanding the estimation of oil demand and oil supply elasticities," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
  57. Casagranda, Yasmin Gomes & Casarotto, Eduardo Luis & Pereira, Gênesis Miguel & Amorin, Anderson Luís Walker & Schollkopf, Joana Cechele & Mores, Giana de Vargas, 2023. "Agricultural commodities price dependence on Brazilian financial market," International Journal on Food System Dynamics, International Center for Management, Communication, and Research, vol. 14(01), January.
  58. Funashima, Yoshito, 2020. "Global economic activity indexes revisited," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
  59. Dufrénot, Gilles & Ginn, William & Pourroy, Marc, 2024. "Climate pattern effects on global economic conditions," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
  60. Kilian, Lutz, 2019. "Measuring global real economic activity: Do recent critiques hold up to scrutiny?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 106-110.
  61. Comunale, Mariarosaria & Nguyen, Anh Dinh Minh, 2025. "A comprehensive MacroEconomic uncertainty measure for the euro area and its implications to COVID-19," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
  62. DeCoste, Joseph, 2025. "Does excess futures market demand affect the spot price of oil?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
  63. Lin, Boqiang & Bai, Rui, 2021. "Oil prices and economic policy uncertainty: Evidence from global, oil importers, and exporters’ perspective," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
  64. Simona Delle Chiaie & Laurent Ferrara & Domenico Giannone, 2022. "Common factors of commodity prices," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(3), pages 461-476, April.
  65. Zeina Alsalman, 2023. "Oil price shocks and US unemployment: evidence from disentangling the duration of unemployment spells in the labor market," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(1), pages 479-511, July.
  66. Jin, Xin, 2019. "The role of market expectations in commodity price dynamics: Evidence from oil data," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 1-18.
  67. Xiaoshi Zhou & Wanglin Ma, 2021. "Does agricultural mechanization reduce vulnerable employment? Evidence from cross-country panel data," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 41(2), pages 294-303.
  68. Jacho, Domenica & Cruz, Zoe & Carrillo-Maldonado, Paul, 2024. "Effect of terms of trade on the Latin American Labor market," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
  69. Costola, Michele & Lorusso, Marco, 2022. "Spillovers among energy commodities and the Russian stock market," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
  70. José, Barrales-Ruíz & Pino, Gabriel, 2024. "On the effect of short-run and long-run US economic expectations on oil and gold volatilities," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
  71. Padhan, Hemachandra & Kocoglu, Mustafa, 2025. "Analysing a frequency and quantile connectedness spillover dynamics nexus: Metals, grains, and energy markets under economic signals," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
  72. Shen, Yifan & He, Jia & Shi, Xunpeng & Zeng, Ting, 2025. "Uncertainty, macroeconomic activity and commodity price: A global analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
  73. Xiaoqing Zhou, 2020. "Refining the workhorse oil market model," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(1), pages 130-140, January.
  74. Nonejad, Nima, 2021. "The price of crude oil and (conditional) out-of-sample predictability of world industrial production," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 23(C).
  75. Rausser, Gordon & Stuermer, Martin, 2020. "A Dynamic Analysis of Collusive Action: The Case of the World Copper Market, 1882-2016," MPRA Paper 104708, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  76. Kang, Sang Hoon & Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Nautiyal, Neeraj & Alessa, Noha & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2026. "Extreme quantile connectedness across shipping freights, agriculture and energy commodities," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
  77. Daniele Valenti, 2018. "Modelling the Global Price of Oil: Is there any Role for the Oil Futures-spot Spread?," Working Papers 2018.06, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
  78. Khalil, Makram, 2022. "Oil prices, manufacturing goods, and nontradeable services," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
  79. Akadiri, Seyi Saint & Ozkan, Oktay, 2025. "Risk across the spectrum: Unpacking the nexus of global oil uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, energy volatility, and US-China trade tensions," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
  80. Kilian, Lutz, 2024. "How to construct monthly VAR proxies based on daily surprises in futures markets," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
  81. Konstantinos D. Melas & Nektarios A. Michail, 2024. "Can commodity prices predict stock market returns? The case of dry bulk shipping companies," Journal of Shipping and Trade, Springer, vol. 9(1), pages 1-14, December.
  82. Long, Shaobo & Li, Jieyu & Luo, Tianyuan, 2023. "The asymmetric impact of global economic policy uncertainty on international grain prices," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
  83. Naafey Sardar & Zulfiqar Hyder, 2022. "Does the source of the oil price shock matter for inflation in Pakistan: Implications for monetary policy," SBP Working Paper Series 110, State Bank of Pakistan, Research Department.
  84. Jochen H. F. Güntner & Katharina Linsbauer, 2018. "The Effects of Oil Supply and Demand Shocks on U.S. Consumer Sentiment," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(7), pages 1617-1644, October.
  85. James D. Hamilton, 2021. "Measuring global economic activity," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(3), pages 293-303, April.
  86. Mathias Schneid Tessmann & Carlos Enrique Carrasco-Gutierrez & Alexandre Vasconcelos Lima, 2023. "Determinants of Corn and Soybean Futures Prices Traded on the Brazilian Stock Exchange: An ARDL Approach," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 15(1), pages 1-65, January.
  87. Kim, Won Joong & Ko, Juyoung & Kwon, Won Soon & Piao, Chunyan, 2025. "Time-varying sources of fluctuations in global inflation," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
  88. Francesco Ravazzolo & Joaquin Vespignani, 2020. "World steel production: A new monthly indicator of global real economic activity," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 53(2), pages 743-766, May.
  89. Wu, Fei & Zhao, Wan-Li & Ji, Qiang & Zhang, Dayong, 2020. "Dependency, centrality and dynamic networks for international commodity futures prices," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 118-132.
  90. Dagher, Leila & Hasanov, Fakhri J., 2023. "Oil market shocks and financial instability in Asian countries," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 182-195.
  91. Gilles Dufrénot & William Ginn & Marc Pourroy, 2021. "The Effect of ENSO Shocks on Commodity Prices: A Multi-Time Scale Approach," Working Papers halshs-03225070, HAL.
  92. Tzeng, Kae-Yih & Su, Yi-Kai, 2024. "Can U.S. macroeconomic indicators forecast cryptocurrency volatility?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
  93. Marco Quatrosi, 2024. "Emission trading in a high dimensional context: to what extent are carbon markets integrated with the broader system?," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 41(3), pages 793-814, October.
  94. Chen, Zhonglu & Wang, Chuan & Bai, Fan, 2024. "Greenhouse gas emissions and global real economic activities," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
  95. Thomas St rdal Gundersen & Even Soltvedt Hvinden, 2021. "OPEC's crude game: Strategic Competition and Regime-switching in Global Oil Markets," Working Papers No 01/2021, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
  96. Gilbert, Christopher L., 2023. "The impact of the Ukraine conflict on world grains prices," 97th Annual Conference, March 27-29, 2023, Warwick University, Coventry, UK 334525, Agricultural Economics Society - AES.
  97. Christiane Baumeister & James D. Hamilton, 2019. "Structural Interpretation of Vector Autoregressions with Incomplete Identification: Revisiting the Role of Oil Supply and Demand Shocks," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 109(5), pages 1873-1910, May.
  98. Krzysztof Drachal, 2022. "Forecasting the Crude Oil Spot Price with Bayesian Symbolic Regression," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(1), pages 1-29, December.
  99. Mignon, Valérie & Saadaoui, Jamel, 2024. "How do political tensions and geopolitical risks impact oil prices?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
  100. Afees A. Salisu & Dinci J. Penzin & Xuan Vinh Vo, 2024. "Global economic contraction, climate change and the gold market volatility: A GARCH‐MIDAS approach," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 63(4), pages 712-728, December.
  101. Alfred A. Haug & Syed Abul Basher, 2019. "Exchange rates of oil exporting countries and global oil price shocks: a nonlinear smooth-transition approach," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(48), pages 5282-5296, October.
  102. Fretheim, Torun, 2019. "An empirical analysis of the correlation between large daily changes in grain and oil futures prices," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 14(C), pages 66-75.
  103. Hunter L. Clark & Jeffrey B. Dawson & Maxim L. Pinkovskiy, 2020. "How Stable Is China’s Growth? Shedding Light on Sparse Data," Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 26(4), pages 1-38, October.
  104. Chen, Leqin, 2025. "China’s impact on global commodity returns: A time-varying perspective," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 677-689.
  105. Jiménez-Rodríguez, Rebeca, 2022. "Oil shocks and global economy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
  106. Ivan, Miruna-Daniela & Banti, Chiara & Kellard, Neil, 2022. "Prime money market funds regulation, global liquidity, and the crude oil market," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
  107. Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2020. "Does drawing down the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve help stabilize oil prices?," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(6), pages 673-691, September.
  108. Raputsoane, Leroi, 2025. "External demand developments and the minerals industry," MPRA Paper 124372, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  109. Emanuel Kohlscheen, 2024. "Forecasting oil prices with random forests," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 66(2), pages 927-943, February.
  110. Kruse, Robinson & Wegener, Christoph, 2020. "Time-varying persistence in real oil prices and its determinant," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
  111. Tumala, Mohammed M. & Salisu, Afees & Nmadu, Yaaba B., 2023. "Climate change and fossil fuel prices: A GARCH-MIDAS analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
  112. Anthony Garratt & Shaun P. Vahey & Yunyi Zhang, 2019. "Real‐time forecast combinations for the oil price," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(3), pages 456-462, April.
  113. Benk, Szilard & Gillman, Max, 2023. "Identifying money and inflation expectation shocks to real oil prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
  114. Diaz, Elena Maria & Perez-Quiros, Gabriel, 2021. "GEA tracker: A daily indicator of global economic activity," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
  115. Nong, Huifu & Liu, Hongxiao, 2023. "Measuring the frequency and quantile connectedness between policy categories and global oil price," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
  116. Nonejad, Nima, 2020. "Crude oil price changes and the United Kingdom real gross domestic product growth rate: An out-of-sample investigation," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 21(C).
  117. Krzysztof Drachal & Daniel González Cortés, 2022. "Estimation of Lockdowns’ Impact on Well-Being in Selected Countries: An Application of Novel Bayesian Methods and Google Search Queries Data," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(1), pages 1-24, December.
  118. Valenti, Daniele & Manera, Matteo & Sbuelz, Alessandro, 2020. "Interpreting the oil risk premium: Do oil price shocks matter?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
  119. Juan B'ogalo & Pilar Poncela & Eva Senra, 2020. "Understanding fluctuations through Multivariate Circulant Singular Spectrum Analysis," Papers 2007.07561, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2023.
  120. Lu, Xunfa & He, Pengchao & Zhang, Zhengjun & Apergis, Nicholas & Roubaud, David, 2024. "Extreme co-movements between decomposed oil price shocks and sustainable investments," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
  121. Saadaoui, Jamel, 2025. "US-China Tensions, US Partisan Conflict and Global Oil Prices: Scapegoating or Following the Flag or both?," MPRA Paper 124152, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  122. Yang, Tianle & Dong, Qingyuan & Du, Min & Du, Qunyang, 2023. "Geopolitical risks, oil price shocks and inflation: Evidence from a TVP–SV–VAR approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PB).
  123. Ginn, William, 2024. "The paradox of fossil fuel subsidies," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 333-358.
  124. Forhad, Md. Abdur Rahman & Alam, Md. Rafayet, 2022. "Impact of oil demand and supply shocks on the exchange rates of selected Southeast Asian countries," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
  125. Gelfer, Sacha, 2026. "The building blocks of inflation: The role of monetary policy and the gap between goods and services," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
  126. Romero, Damian, 2025. "Domestic linkages and the transmission of commodity price shocks," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
  127. Nonejad, Nima, 2020. "An observation regarding Hamilton’s recent criticisms of Kilian’s global real economic activity index," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
  128. Hassan, Kamrul & Hoque, Ariful & Gasbarro, Dominic, 2019. "Separating BRIC using Islamic stocks and crude oil: dynamic conditional correlation and volatility spillover analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 950-969.
  129. Dufrénot Gilles & Ginn William & Pourroy Marc & Sullivan Adam, 2025. "Does State Dependence Matter in Relation to Oil Price Shocks on Global Economic Conditions?," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 29(2), pages 247-264.
  130. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Gul, Raazia & Farid, Saqib & Karim, Sitara & Lucey, Brian M., 2023. "Assessing linkages between alternative energy markets and cryptocurrencies," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 211(C), pages 513-529.
  131. Nima Nonejad, 2022. "New Findings Regarding the Out-of-Sample Predictive Impact of the Price of Crude Oil on the United States Industrial Production," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 18(1), pages 1-35, March.
  132. Beck, Krzysztof & Filippidis, Michail & Jackson, Karen & Magkonis, Georgios, 2026. "Commodity prices redux: A global factor story," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 165(C).
  133. Maghyereh, Aktham & Abdoh, Hussein, 2021. "The impact of extreme structural oil-price shocks on clean energy and oil stocks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
  134. Nektarios A. Michail & Konstantinos D. Melas & Dimitris Batzilis, 2021. "Container shipping trade and real GDP growth: A panel vector autoregressive approach," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 41(2), pages 304-315.
  135. Marina V. Vasiljeva & Vadim V. Ponkratov & Elena Y. Kharlamova & Nikolay V. Kuznetsov & Maksim S. Maramygin & Maria V. Volkova, 2019. "Problems and Prospects of Development of the Oil Exchange Market in the Russian Federation," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, vol. 9(3), pages 77-86.
  136. James D. Hamilton, 2019. "Measuring Global Economic Activity," NBER Working Papers 25778, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  137. Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2018. "Structural Interpretation of Vector Autoregressions with Incomplete Identification: Revisiting the Role of Oil Supply and Demand Shocks: Comment," CESifo Working Paper Series 7166, CESifo.
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